May 26th Friday 2006 Trade Log

#FuturesTrades is a private and free realtime trading posting chat room on the IRC Othernet server that allows traders from all over the world to communicate.

Click here for the instructions on gaining access to #FuturesTrades.

In addition, NihabaAshi is the only trader in #FuturesTrades that represents TheStrategyLab.com strategies.

Further, you'll find below the chat room text log of realtime trades (real money and simulator) that were posted by full-time, part-time traders from around the world and the timestamp is eastern standard time (est). 

Also, you should read NihabaAshi's trading blog like comments (posted below after the trade posts) because sometimes the commentary will contain trading tips that are more useful than what you will see at any other futures blog.

Session Start: Fri May 26 09:30:54 2006Session Ident: #futurestrades
* Now talking in #futurestrades09:30
<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 731.30 -> small size 09:32

I'm short but I have a bullish bias due to a market tendency to move higher just before Memorial Day holidays.
<les>  Shorts ER2 @ 731 «« paper »» 09:34
Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 730.6 --> + 0.4 «« paper »»
Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 730.5 --> + 0.5 «« paper »»
thats just one exit = posted the first wrong
<NihabaAshi>  Covered 2/3 ER2 Short @ 730.20 --> + 1.1 09:36
<les>  Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 730.2 --> + 0.8 «« paper »»
<pat255> gm all
<les>  exit stop set ER2 @ 730.9 «« paper »»
  
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<NihabaAshi> CNBC just report that the market tendency for a bullish (up day) is around 80%...

My personal stats has it around 72%
<pat255> nice start niha09:37
<les>  Trailing Stop Hit ER2 @ 730.9 --> + 0.1 «« paper »»
<NihabaAshi>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 730.50 --> + 0.8 09:38
Once again...Oil Index price action helped me on the first trade of the morning.09:39
Something I've been leaning heavily upon for trades before 0945am est.
<szubaark> in what way?09:40
<les>  Long ER2 @ 730.7 «« paper »» 09:42
<pat255> L ym paper

241

out 45 looks down09:44

@office :9
<les>  Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 731.2 --> + 0.5 «« paper »» 09:45
<pat255> k guys later meeting..ty09:46
<les>  Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 731.5 --> + 0.8 «« paper »» 09:48
exit stop raised ER2 @ 730.8 «« paper »»
Trailing Stop Hit ER2 @ 730.8 --> + 0.1 «« paper »»
<szubaark>  Shorts YM @ 11240 09:50

exit stop set YM @ 11255 09:53
<aym> Short es @ 1278 risk 209:55
<szubaark>  Covered all YM Short @ 11255 --> - 15 10:01

:((

Shorts YM @ 11255 10:06

exit stop set YM @ 11275 10:07

Selling this ES triple top10:09
<les>  Shorts ER2 @ 729.2 «« paper »» 10:11
oops10:20
i exited that a while back
Covered all ER2 Short @ 730 --> - 0.8 «« paper »»
Shorts ER2 @ 730.1 «« paper »»
Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 729.6 --> + 0.5 «« paper »» 10:22
Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 729.1 --> + 1 «« paper »» 10:28
exit stop lowered ER2 @ 729.6 «« paper »» 10:29
Trailing Stop Hit ER2 @ 729.6 --> + 0.5 «« paper »» 10:30
  
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<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)10:34
<aym> cover es @ 127610:37
<NihabaAshi> 80% of the floor traders showed up for work today...10:41

10% of those have already gone back home or started their Memorial Day vacation a little early.10:42

#FuturesTrades Purpose -> No gurus here, no signal calling by a head trader and no intentions to educate. This room is being used as a realtime trade journal of trades (real money or simulator) and discussions. Do not mimic (shadow) the trades by others without their consent nor without private realtime consultation during such trades as stated at http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm10:46
<szubaark>  Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 11235 --> + 20 10:47
exit stop moved to breakeven YM @ 11255 10:48
Globex Low buyers10:49
Covered all YM Short @ 11255 --> 0 10:50
:((
too many Overnight Low buyers popped it up10:52
too much risk to get into any trades11:03
<NihabaAshi>  Reminder -> Today's #FuturesTrades chat room trade log with trading tip/market insight are posted @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm (logs will be updated tonight by 9pm est to current)11:11
<szubaark> thanks for the logs Niha.11:12
<NihabaAshi> :)11:33

Long ER2 @ 732.20 -> small size 11:35

1 contract only and last trade of the day.

Not looking for much on this because I missed my trade signal all the way back at 726.90 due to an important phone call :(11:36
<szubaark> im done.11:38
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 732.30 --> + 0.1

:(

Not a good feeling when I was bullish...waiting for a Long signal...then I miss the signal big time :(11:40

Calling it a day...taking my small profits and will enjoy the holidays :)
* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_away
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)11:46
<pdays>  Shorts ER2 @ 731.4 «« paper »» 11:52
Covered all ER2 Short @ 730.9 --> + 0.5 «« paper »» 11:53
<codehead> short YM 1127812:13

stop 11283

took 5 min ghost, but it's not following thru12:16

taking too long12:17

took +1, sucker shook when it tried to give up with =312:24

was going nowhere even with the signal continuing down12:25

ER trying to zlr (down) on the 3 min12:33

YM finally tryign to follow thru

but potential for it to pop too12:34
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)12:58
<codehead> dow finally gave up the level13:10
* WannaBeBOS is now known as BOS-wunch13:22
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)14:07
<szubaark>  Long YM @ 11282 14:10
exit stop set YM @ 11270 14:12
looking for next push up
<codehead> wow strong cci on ES14:22
<szubaark>  Exited 1/2 YM Long @ 11291 --> + 9 14:24
exit stop moved to breakeven YM @ 11282
<codehead> nice14:25
<szubaark> code note we havent been below 0 line for no more then 3-4 5 minute candles=Go Long!
<codehead> ya14:26

mostly trading stocks past two days

ER snaking around the zero line, but ES been above the 100 for a long time
<szubaark> code u use CCI on stocks?14:27
Exited all YM Long @ 11282 --> 0
<codehead> sometimes

on stocks... sometimes for confirmation about *when* to enter14:28
<szubaark>  Shorts YM @ 11282
exit stop set YM @ 11295 14:30
code see that Ghost on 5min ES?14:32
<codehead> yes14:33
<substanz>  Shorts NQ @ 11289
sorry YM
<codehead> yes14:34
<szubaark> im hoping Longs start dumping taking profit Before the long weekend.14:37
Ive seen them do it 5 MINUTES BEFORE CLOSE before!
<codehead> yeah, top o the hour a popular choice14:39
<szubaark> code nice Ghost NQ 5 minute
"Mittens Ghost"14:40
<codehead> i see regular ghost14:41

well, ic

dbl head regular
<szubaark> yup.. WITH TRENDLINE BREAK=High %14:42
<substanz>  Covered all YM Short @ 11278 --> + 11 14:43
<codehead> nice14:44
<substanz> thanks

explosive volume !14:47
<szubaark> ES 15min HTLB could be quick DROP!14:48
* BOS-wunch is now known as WannaBeBOS14:52
<szubaark> CCI shamu'ing at 0 line.14:58
* Awash_afk is now known as Awash15:04
<Awash> afternoon
<szubaark> hi awash15:05

u did any trading today?
<Awash> just been learning my platform
lots of unfamiliar features15:06
<szubaark> which one?
<Awash> NinjaTrader
<szubaark> is that charts also?15:08
<Awash> no
currently using realtick, but I'm looking for something else as of June 1st15:09
Anyone in here use NinjaTrader?
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)15:19
<codehead> YM back to hod15:26
<szubaark>  Covered all YM Short @ 11295 --> - 13

Long YM @ 11291 15:30

looking for new highs.. Shorts not working15:31

exit stop set YM @ 11275
<codehead> ES ER trying to zlr on 3 min15:44
YM 3 min too15:45
all did
<szubaark> bunch of Sellers at the 11300 Level15:47

Exited all YM Long @ 11292 --> + 1 15:53

not enough time
<Awash> YM retesting 1130016:14
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)16:28
<Awash> brb16:41
* DisconnectedSession Close: Fri May 26 16:53:14 200616:53
  
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 #FuturesTrades Info ->   Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Index Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Index Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Index Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Energy Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, OIH, IWM, QQQQ, SPY) 
  
Trading Blog Below is not your traditional trader's blog in the usual blog format. However, you will find informative commentary that on a few occasions will contain trading tips that should help your trading as I attempt to sum up my thoughts as I traversed from the first trade to the last trade that was posted above in #FuturesTrades realtime trade posting chat room. 

 

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Market Seasonal Tendency Patterns  

Today was a market seasonal tendency trading day in that the last trading day prior to Memorial Day Holiday has a 80% chance (source. CNBC) to be an up day in that the market closes higher.

My personal stats produce a 72%.

However, unfortunately the market gap up at the open and didn't produce too many bullish pattern signals to allow one to exploit that market tendency. 

Today's results (real money and simulator trading) shown above are that of NihabaAshi only. To see his total accumulated points for the month of May...click here. To see results for the months of 2006 and prior years...click here.

Commentary by M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi)  
intradaystrategies@yahoo.com

Note: Each month there are a few trading days that we consider to involve interconnecting key price action of different markets and you can view the charts associated with the key price action along with their stories at our key chart story archives.

  

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In addition, below are the trading instruments our chat room members monitor closely to make trade decisions:  

CME Emini Futures ES, NQ and ER2 

CBOT mini-sized Dow Futures YM

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Euronext Futures FTSE-100 and CAC-40

CME Futures EuroFX EC

Treasury Futures T-Notes ZN, ZF and T-Bonds ZB

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Last of all, if you have any questions about either #EminiFutures general market chat room, #FuturesTrades realtime trade posting room or the two realtime strategy discussion rooms used by traders with access to our fee-based strategies called #TheStrategyLab and #SwingTradingTSL...

Don't hesitate to ask your questions and we'll reply back as soon as possible.

Sincerely,

M.A. Perry and Associates

TheStrategyLab.com

questions@thestrategylab.com

"The point of this whole exercise is to make money. Everything else is just conversation." --Jonathan Hoenig


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