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#FuturesTrades February 26th Tuesday 2008 Trade Log

 

Russell 2000 Emini ER2 Futures

Today Month Year
+23.20 +325.40 +742.90
$2,320 $32,540 $74,290

Profitable Trade

1054am - 1147am est

Losing Trade

"no losers today and that's rare"

click on image to view actual size

 

Current Performance Record

Key Trades of the Day (see chat log below)

Profit/Loss Statement

 

General Strategy Info: The above profit/loss info represents trades by M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi) only and all trades were posted in realtime as shown in the below chat log. 

Although I'm not familiar with the trade methods used by most members of #FuturesTrades, I use a rule based (no subjectivity) methodology that involves WRB Analysis.

  There is some subjectivity involved with some of my trades when I'm developing a new strategy (hence the name TheStrategyLab.com) that uses WRB Analysis.

In fact, many of my trades or profit targets will occur within key WRB support/resistance zones because these price areas gives me a better understanding of key changes in supply demand.

  Traditional pivot point analysis or traditional s/r levels are inadequate in understanding changes in supply/demand of the Russell 2000 Emini ER2 or any other trading instrument of today's markets in comparison to WRB Analysis.

WRB Analysis is also a key aspect in my use of intermarket analysis (ex. Oil and Gold), market seasonal tendencies, volatility analysis and custom Japanese Candlestick patterns to complete my trading plan that results in consistent profits.

Further, position size management is a key aspect of my trading and I trade any where between 1 to 9 contracts per trade depending upon the volatility, pattern signal, seasonal tendencies or intuition.

All of my trades and commentary for today's market action (posted below) are via the user name NihabaAshi (Japanese Candlestick term) and I exclusively trade the Russell 2000 Emini ER2 futures even though I closely monitor other key markets so that I'll have a better understanding of ER2 price action. 

With that said, today's trade posting chat log is below and it contains all my trades that were posted in realtime along with the trades of other members of #FuturesTrades.

Further, if you want the instructions for gaining access to our free #FuturesTrades chat room...click here.

   
  #FuturesTrades purpose, benefits and access info for day traders, swing traders and position traders...click here.
Session Start: Tue Feb 26 09:28:20 2008Session Ident: #FuturesTrades
* Now talking in #FuturesTrades09:28
<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm
<drt> gm everyone09:31
<futurible> gm all
<Spartan>  Shorts ER2 @ 706.2 paper
<ripsboy> gm all...
<KiwiRoo> gm.

ad/dc down, trin up, tick up.09:32
<Spartan>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 707.2 --> - 1 paper
<KiwiRoo> watch the gap fill...09:33

paper bidss all moring..09:35

5 mins lol.
<NihabaAshi> Good morning all...I'll be trading today but will be done prior to 12noon est.09:36
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> I am not Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday for tax preparation reasons.09:38
<szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 1367.75 paper
<KiwiRoo> expect a dump off once gap filled.09:41

paper still buying..
<Tim_a1> not necessarely, 1370 es has been important resistence level
<KiwiRoo> 1371 look like ... :P09:42
<Tim_a1> and if that's broken, it may keep going
<KiwiRoo> but 70 is tough so far...

look at them trying.. it will break. i guess.

paper now selling..... hmm09:43

here come..

watch the sell off now.... gap are filled..09:45
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 713.6 paper 09:46
<KiwiRoo> hmm... still buying....

-__-'09:47
<Tim_a1> 1370-1395 is the new es zone, if hold above 70. 1395 is spx 50 day ma
<KiwiRoo> thats better.. sell!!!
<Tim_a1> if i made the 50 day ma, it would be 50 month ma to 50 day ma as bear market rally boundaries09:48
<Andy>  Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 712.5 --> + 1.1 paper 09:49
<Spartan>  Shorts ER2 @ 712.2 paper
<Andy>  Covered 1/4 ER2 Short @ 711.7 --> + 1.9 paper 09:50
<KiwiRoo> great trade andy.
<Andy> thanks Kiwi
<KiwiRoo> ad/dc rising.. trin/tick both declining..... lol..09:51
opps.. i had trin in reverse mode (-1)
<Spartan>  Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 711.2 --> + 1 paper

exit stop moved to breakeven ER2 @ 712.2 paper
<KiwiRoo> i'm watching a bounce off 66.0009:52
<pat255> gm all
<KiwiRoo> gm pat09:53
<Andy>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 711.7 --> + 1.9 paper
  
Trading Edge: 

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If your an independent trader looking for an edge to help you traverse around obstacles to profitable trading...a method that's well defined, gives you a better understanding of the markets, applicable for day trading, position trading, swing trading, market seasonal tendencies, position size management, intermarket analysis with a money back guaranteed policy...click here.
   Trading Strategies ->   Strategies used by NihabaAshi, from entry to exit, exploit inefficiencies in the price action for profits of the following trading instruments via WRB Analysis and Intermarket Analysis: Emini Index Futures (EMD, ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Index Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Index Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Energy Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM), COMEX Metals Futures (GC), Forex Currencies (EurUsd, EurYen, UsdCdn), Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, OIH, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, XLE) and Hang Seng Index Futures (HSI) 
  
<pat255> hi kiwi N KN
<Spartan>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 712.2 --> 0 paper 09:54
<KiwiRoo> data @ 10am.09:57
<szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1367.75 --> 0 paper 09:59

:(10:00
<KiwiRoo> wow..
dump spree
<Tim_a1> 2 tick slip on a 66 stop
<szubaark> hi KN10:01
<Kn-Es> long 65

out 3/4 66 +1.00

out 2 67 +2.00

hello szubaark

s.l 64.75

s.l 63.7510:02

add 65.2510:04
<Spartan>  Long ER2 @ 710.5 paper
<Kn-Es> out 3/4 66.25 +1.00
<KiwiRoo> nice shooting kn.10:05
<Kn-Es> thanks KiwiRoo
<windsail> short SDS 61.5610:06
<Kn-Es> out 3 67.25 +2.00
<Spartan>  Exited 1/2 ER2 Long @ 711.8 --> + 1.3 paper
<windsail> cover SDS 61.4010:07
<Spartan>  exit stop moved to breakeven ER2 @ 710.5 paper
<Kn-Es> out 1 68.75 + 3.50
<pat255> vn10:08
wtg
<KiwiRoo> trend line capping the top side now..
<Kn-Es> out 1 70.25 + 5.0010:09
<KiwiRoo> super!
<szubaark>  Buys ES @ 1370 paper
<Kn-Es> out last 70.25 + 5.00

last of 65.2510:10
<Spartan>  exit stop raised ER2 @ 712.5 paper
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  I am only trading the first few hours of each trading day for the remainder of the week due to tax preparations.
<Kn-Es> thanks pat255, KiwiRoo

out 1 65 70 + 5.00

4 con left10:12

s.l 66

(+1.00)

tp1 73+- ( +8.00) tp2+- 74 ( +9.00) tp3 75+- (+10.00) tp4 76+- (+11.00)10:14
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 715.00 -> large size
<Spartan>  exit stop raised ER2 @ 713.4 paper
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 714.90 --> + 0.1 10:16
My entry was flawed...didn't expect too much out of it.
<pat255> y n Swary of
<NihabaAshi> Gold and Oil helping keep this up.10:17
<Spartan>  exit stop raised ER2 @ 713.7 paper 10:18
<windsail> buy SDS 61.25
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 714.50 -> large size
<Spartan>  Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 713.7 --> + 3.2 paper 10:19
<windsail> sell SDS 61.38
<Andy> nice trade, Spartan
<Spartan>  Shorts ER2 @ 712.5 paper 10:20
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 711.80 --> + 2.7 10:21
<Spartan>  Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 711.5 --> + 1 paper

exit stop moved to breakeven ER2 @ 712.5 paper
<Pepe> NIce Niha10:24
<Kn-Es> out all 66/sl .............. +1.00

lng 67
<windsail> buy SDS 61.4910:25
sell SDS 61.6110:26
<Kn-Es> out 65.2510:30
<windsail> short SDS 61.5410:33
<Kn-Es> lng 67
<szubaark> up and down zig zagging action
<windsail> cover sds 61.4210:34
<Spartan>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 712.5 --> 0 paper
<Kn-Es> out 7/8 68.50 +1.50

out 1 68 +1.0010:36
<Spartan>  Shorts ER2 @ 711.5 paper
<Kn-Es> out all 67 0.0010:37

lng lng 66.7510:39
<Spartan>  Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 710.5 --> + 1 paper
<Kn-Es> out 65.75
<Spartan>  exit stop moved to breakeven ER2 @ 711.5 paper 10:40
<Kn-Es> lng 65
<szubaark>  Exited all Long ES at 1364.75 --> - 5.25 paper
Shorts ES @ 1364.75 paper
<Kn-Es> s.l 63

out all 65 need a better entry10:41
<robert>  Shorts ES @ 67 10:43
Covered all ES Short @ 65 --> + 2
<Spartan> gold spiking, 30 year breaking out10:44
<szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1366 --> - 1.25 paper 10:46
Buys ES @ 1366 paper
<Spartan>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 711.5 --> 0 paper 10:47
<szubaark> hopefully we can breakout of this nasty chop zone10:48
<windsail> short SDS 61.48
<szubaark> Volatility spike10:49
<windsail> cover sds 61.37
<Kn-Es> :)
74 next10:50
<szubaark> 75 was strong resistance Overnight, should be lots of Stops there
<Kn-Es> yes
71 72 7410:51
<szubaark>  exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 1366 paper 10:52
<NihabaAshi> resistance area for ER2 right now10:53
<Kn-Es> cool10:54
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 714.30 -> small size
2 only
<szubaark> all markets in sync now
<NihabaAshi> ER2 should have retraced in that price resistance area...
<Nesi> IBM up guidance from other room...fwiw10:55

dunno if u saw it...Niha
<NihabaAshi> Thus, my current trade is an intuition trade because ER2 showed strength and not weakness in the resistance area.
<Kn-Es> 73.25 need another spike

73.50
<szubaark> small Volatility contraction
<NihabaAshi> Nesi...thanks for the info...I didn't know IBM has some input to this recent price surge.10:56
<Nesi> it spiked off news, Niha
<szubaark> markets now retracing the last spike
<NihabaAshi> Starting to look like the market is absorbing the IBM news now.10:57
Financial TV networks now announcing the IBM news10:59
<Spartan>  Long ER2 @ 715.0 paper 11:02

Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 714.0 --> - 1 paper 11:03

shoot
<NihabaAshi> Pin Ball Machine11:04
Exited 1/2 ER2 Long @ 716.20 --> + 1.9 11:05
<szubaark> Nice Niha.
<Kn-Es> srt 74
<NihabaAshi> I gave that trade a TON of room to allow the Financial networks to HYPY the IBN news :)\11:06

HYPY = HYPE
<Spartan> I should have gave it more room
<szubaark> lots of zig zagging action, small Stops wont work
<Nesi> i am not brownnosing, but you Niha, are the best trader i have ever seen
<Kn-Es> out 7/8 73 +1.0011:07

s/l 75
<NihabaAshi> Nesi...you get some credit on this trade...I truly did not know why it started that price surge upwards...
<Andy> agree, Nesi
<NihabaAshi> You, CNBC and Bloomberg helped a lot :)
<szubaark> ES having hard time testing yersturday's high11:08
<Nesi> i am not just talking about this trade, i am saying the way you behave as a person, and many other things
u have no ego at all
<Kn-Es> out 2 72 + 2.00
<Nesi> nothing ..no ego
amazing
<Tim_a1> 1380 would close the 2/05 gap
<szubaark> yup, good point Tim11:09
<Kn-Es> out 1 70 ....... + 4.0011:10
<Spartan>  Shorts ER2 @ 714.5 paper
<Tim_a1> i'm not that big on gaps, but the entrance to this one has been resistance, and now we're inside it
<Kn-Es> thats 70.7511:11
<Spartan>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 715.5 --> - 1 paper 11:13
<szubaark> Expecting Volatility spike soon, hopefully up, Im Long11:15
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 715.4 -> small size paper 11:16

Covered all ER2 Short @ 716 --> - 0.6 paper 11:17

Shorts ER2 @ 715.6 -> small size paper 11:19
<Spartan>  Long ER2 @ 716.1 paper 11:20
<szubaark> lots of shakes here before the next Volatility spike, make sure few get onboard
<Andy>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 716.5 --> - 0.9 paper 11:21
<windsail> short SDS 60.92
<Kn-Es> srt 7511:22
<Spartan>  Exited 1/2 ER2 Long @ 717.1 --> + 1 paper
<robert>  Shorts ES @ 74.50 11:23
<windsail> add short 60.87
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 716.4 -> medium size paper 11:24
<Spartan>  Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 716.5 --> + 0.4 paper
<Kn-Es> s/l 7611:25
<szubaark>  Exited all Long ES at 1373 --> + 7 paper
<robert>  Covered all ES Short @ 73.25 --> + 1.25 11:27
<pat255> vn guys
<windsail> cover sds 60.85 got filled outside the b/a11:28
<Andy>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 717.7 --> - 1.3 paper 11:34
<robert>  Shorts ES @ 77 11:37
<szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 1376.50 paper 11:38
<Spartan>  Shorts ER2 @ 718.0 paper 11:41
<robert>  Covered all ES Short @ 76 --> + 1 11:43
<windsail> buy SDS 60.66
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  I am only trading the first few hours of each trading day for the remainder of the week due to tax preparations.11:44
<szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1376.50 --> 0 paper 11:46
<Spartan>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 719.0 --> - 1 paper
<NihabaAshi>  Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 718.80 --> + 4.5 11:47
<pat255> vn n...
<windsail> sell sds 60.5211:49
<NihabaAshi> Thanks pat255

That was a random exit...no real reason why to dump it.

Other than that I wanted to be done trading by 12noon est.11:50
<pat255> dang big mistake to look for S
<NihabaAshi> On that note...I'm done trading for the day after reaching my trading goals for the day.11:51
<pat255> latern trades n v
hmmm my laptop..11:52
later
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 720.3 paper 11:54

Covered all ER2 Short @ 720.9 --> - 0.6 paper 11:57
<Tim_a1> approaching 2/05 es gap top11:58
<Andy>  Shorts ER2 @ 720.9 paper 11:59
<Spartan>  Shorts ER2 @ 720.8 paper
<NihabaAshi> Ouuuch...12:06

"11 reasons Bernanke's recession lasts till 2011"

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/be rnankes-recession-here-11-reasons/story. aspx?guid=%7B39D13A23%2D5028%2D4976%2D98 83%2DBB1975099038%7D&dist=TNMostRead

I hope he's wrong
<Tim_a1> arguably, we've been in a secular bear since 2000, adjusted for what you could actually buy with liquidated funds12:11
<szubaark> now the Financial news talking about the IBM news, 10 minutes after the Initial spike LOL
<windsail> buy SDS 60.22
<Tim_a1> they did an impressive job of papering it over though12:13

2/05 es gap was 1380.2512:14

filled12:15
<Spartan>  Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 718.7 --> + 2.1 paper
<Tim_a1> 1375 support?12:16
<Andy>  Covered 3/4 ER2 Short @ 719.1 --> + 1.8 paper
<Spartan>  exit stop moved to breakeven ER2 @ 719.6 paper 12:17

oops, not breakeven12:18

Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 719.6 --> + 1.2 paper 12:19
<Andy>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 720.7 --> + 0.2 paper 12:21
<robert>  Shorts ES @ 85.75 12:24

Covered Remainder ES Short @ 84.50 --> + 1.25 12:27
* codehead_afk is now known as codehead12:28
<Spartan>  Shorts ER2 @ 721.9 paper 12:34

Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 722.9 --> - 1 paper 12:40
<szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 1385.75 paper 13:10
Counter trend, so wont look for much Profit.13:18
<Andy>  Long ER2 @ 722.9 paper 13:21

Exited ER2 Long @ 722.3 --> - 0.6 paper 13:22

Reverse and Enter Short ER2 @ 722.3 paper

Covered all ER2 Short @ 722.7 --> - 0.4 paper 13:23
<szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1383.75 --> + 2 paper 13:24
<megus> hi all13:33

hey, a first timer here...
<Andy>  Long ER2 @ 721.7 paper 13:35
<NihabaAshi> Off-Topic discussion and I'll delete it later from the Logs...13:36
<Andy>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 721.2 --> - 0.5 paper
<megus>  sell stop to enter short ES @ 1381 paper
<NihabaAshi> I remember once CNBC asking some guest professional athletes about investment recommendations.
This was back in the late 90's during the Dot Com boom
One day they had Barry Bonds on the show.13:37
I remember my impression was that he's a good B.Ser about the market.
Today, I see him being indicted on lying to a congressional hearing while under oath...13:38
Rumors is that Roger Clemens may walk free from possibly doing the same.
<megus> so much for oaths
<NihabaAshi> Can any body explain why they are going after Bonds and most likely will let Clemens walk away ???13:39
I do know Roger has friends in congress but Bonds has no friends in congress.
<Tim_a1> i remember reading rabid fad management 'guru' Tom Peters encouraging risk takings saying 'throw caution to the wind, be like the dot commers' article was dated 3/31/0013:40
<megus> haha, that's a nice timing
<Tim_a1> what a pinhead
<megus> is there any chance the market's going bearish or is it just a midday false pullback?13:41
<NihabaAshi> I'm leaning towards false pullback13:42
<megus> seems like volume is pretty low
<Tim_a1> it made a 22 point run, from 1365 to 1387, with no pullback, blowing past 70 and 8- as resistence

90
<megus> i can see a support line forming at 1381.25 @ ES, correct?
<Tim_a1> 80
<NihabaAshi> I don't meant that the current pullback is false.13:43
I meant that the pullback is real but I don't see price going lower unless of course they fall below their support zones.
<Tim_a1> i could see it finding a support before challanging 1392 50 day ma spx
<NihabaAshi> There's some good looking support areas I see today...13:44
<Tim_a1> 1375.5 being one
<megus> i missed the whole day out, figuring that the market looks too optimistic
<NihabaAshi> If market drops below them...it'll most likely do it hard like and not like one of those slow bleeders.
<Tim_a1> 1380.25 another
<megus> what makes the 1375.5 stand out?13:46
<Tim_a1> overnight high
<megus> oh
<Tim_a1> also, 70 was a resistence, 65-70 was a chop range13:47
so, 70 +5
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  I am only trading the first few hours of each trading day for the remainder of the week due to tax preparations.
<megus> how do you figure such a range?
the 70 + 5, that is13:48
<Tim_a1> width of chop blow 70 resistence

below
<megus> ah i see
apologize for the ignorance, trying to gather more pieces of information13:49
<Tim_a1> not ignorant, nothing absolute about it, more a tendency13:50

tendency being the chop range math
<megus> is this a sleepy hour here? usually more active at beginning of day?13:53
cancelled all open stop orders paper 13:57
sell stop to enter short ES @ 1381 paper 13:58
Shorts ES @ 1381 -> small size paper 13:59
Short ES @ 1381 paper 14:00
oops
buy stop to enter long ES @ 1385 paper
entry stop lowered ES @ 1383.5 paper 14:09
<Andy>  Long ER2 @ 719.9 paper 14:12

Exited 1/2 ER2 Long @ 721.6 --> + 1.7 paper 14:16
<megus>  Exited all ES Long @ 1383.5 --> 0 paper
i need to get adjusted to this script :(14:17
  
WRB Analysis
  
<Andy>  Exited 1/4 ER2 Long @ 721.9 --> + 2 paper
<megus> for the record, exited ES Short @ 1383.5 --> - 2.5
nice symmetric triangle shape @ ES14:18
<Andy>  Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 722.6 --> + 2.7 paper 14:31

Shorts ER2 @ 722.6 paper 14:40

Covered all ER2 Short @ 723.0 --> - 0.4 paper 14:47

Shorts ER2 @ 722.4 paper

Covered all ER2 Short @ 723 --> - 0.6 paper 14:51

Long ER2 @ 718.6 paper 15:14

Exited 3/4 ER2 Long @ 719.2 --> + 0.6 paper

Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 718.6 --> 0 paper 15:15

Long ER2 @ 716.7 paper 15:39

Exited all ER2 Long @ 716.8 --> + 0.1 paper 15:41
<Kn-Es> lng 80.5015:44
lng 80.50
s/l 77.7515:45
that was 82.5015:46
tp1 82.5015:47
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  I am only trading the first few hours of each trading day for the remainder of the week due to tax preparations.15:50
<Kn-Es> 84 next15:55
* sep34 is now known as sep34_away16:12
<NihabaAshi> Take care all and see all tomorrow16:18
* DisconnectedSession Close: Tue Feb 26 16:18:34 2008
  
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In addition, below are the trading instruments our chat room members monitor closely to make trade decisions:  

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