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#FuturesTrades November 20th Thursday 2008 Trade Log

 

Trade Posting Chat Log Info: My name is M.A. Perry (a.k.a. online as NihabaAshi - martial arts & Japanese Candlestick term) and I am the moderator of #FuturesTrades.

Simply, my job is to keep the peace and ensure #FuturesTrades is a useful community of traders from around the world that have gather in a virtual trading office.

In addition, I personally use the below chat log as feedback for critical trading information that's not available when I review my broker statements nor any statistical analysis of my trading.  To maintain the usefulness of the below chat log, all of my trades were posted in real-time within 5 seconds after entry or exit unless otherwise noted in the log. 

  To read behind the scenes details about my trades posted below such as explanation of position size, stop management, chart interval choice et cetera...click here.

Further, although I'm not familiar with the trade methods used by most members of #FuturesTrades, I use a rule based methodology (very objective) that involves price action only trading (no indicators). However, some of my trades are intuition via market experience in combo with many concepts from my rule based methodology.

  My own current performance record and broker profit/loss statement is posted at the bottom of today's log.

With that said, today's trade posting chat log is below and it contains trades posted in real-time by #FuturesTrades members including all of my own trades that were posted in real-time. 

Last of all, if you want the instructions for gaining access to our free #FuturesTrades chat room...click here.

   
  #FuturesTrades purpose, benefits and access info for day traders, swing traders and position traders...click here.
Time Zone Info Chat Log below is eastern standard time (est.) - New York City, U.S.A and/or Montréal, Canada time zone.
  
<@X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade because it provides critical information they can't get from broker statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not recommended without their permission.

More info at http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm   

 
  
Session Start: Thu Nov 20 09:13:54 2008Session Ident: #futurestrades
* Now talking in #futurestrades09:13
<@X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm
<@NihabaAshi> Good morning all09:14
<pat255> gm N
<futurible> gm all09:15
<stick2it> gm all
<drt> gm
<TraderG> gm every 109:17
<werner> gm all
<silo> morning09:21
<T-stop> gm everyone
<LumenPharmer> gm all09:26
<+silo>  Shorts YM @ 7892 09:31
<ItalianSharp> morning all09:32
<+silo>  Covered all YM Short @ 7898 --> - 6
<PeterPanBoy> morning all
<@NihabaAshi>  Shorts ES @ 799.75 -> large size 09:34

10 only
<+T-stop> vn nihaba09:36
<@NihabaAshi>  Covered ES Short @ 794.50 --> + 5.25

Holding 4 remainders
<+LumenPharmer> wtg09:37
<@NihabaAshi>  Covered ES Short @ 792.50 --> + 7.25 09:39

Holding 2 remainders09:40
<+PeterPanBoy>  Shorts ES @ 792 «« paper »»
Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 791.25 --> + 0.75 «« paper »»
<szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 790 «« paper »»
<@NihabaAshi>  Covered ES Short @ 788.50 --> + 11.25 09:41
Holding 1 contract remainder
<+szubaark> Nice Niha.
<Nesi> great :)
<+PeterPanBoy> very good nihaba09:42
<@NihabaAshi>  Covered Remainder ES Short @ 785.50 --> + 14.25
<palmer> awesome niha
<+PeterPanBoy>  Covered Remainder ES Short @ 788.25 --> + 3.75 «« paper »» 09:43
<+T-stop> Nihaba I guess that lil pop earlier was a gift. I was lookin to get lg on the pb.obviously the wrong view. very, very nice wk.
<+PeterPanBoy> wrong I mean exit @786.25 :)09:44
<+szubaark> Tightening Stop09:45
<+PeterPanBoy>  Shorts ES @ 786.5 «« paper »» 09:46
Covered all ES Short @ 789 --> - 2.5 «« paper »»
Shorts ES @ 789 «« paper »» 09:47
<nqcruiser> gm all
<+silo>  Shorts YM @ 7844 09:48
<+PeterPanBoy>  Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 786.5 --> + 2.5 «« paper »»
<+silo>  Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 7823 --> + 21 09:49
<+PeterPanBoy>  Covered Remainder ES Short @ 785.5 --> + 3.5 «« paper »»
<+silo>  Covered Remainder YM Short @ 7852 --> - 8 09:50
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 790.50 --> - 0.5 «« paper »»
<+PeterPanBoy>  Shorts ES @ 791.5 «« paper »» 09:51
Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 791.25 --> + 0.25 «« paper »» 09:52
Covered Remainder ES Short @ 790 --> + 1.5 «« paper »»
Shorts ES @ 786.75 «« paper »» 09:54
Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 786.25 --> + 0.5 «« paper »»
Covered Remainder ES Short @ 786.5 --> + 0.25 «« paper »» 09:55
<+szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 785.25 «« paper »»
<+PeterPanBoy>  Shorts ES @ 789.25 «« paper »» 09:57
Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 788.25 --> + 1 «« paper »»
<pdays>  Long ES @ 788.5
<+pdays>  Exited all ES Long @ 789.5 --> + 1
<+PeterPanBoy>  Covered Remainder ES Short @ 786.5 --> + 2.75 «« paper »» 09:58
<+silo>  Shorts YM @ 7848
<+szubaark> tightening stop09:59
<+silo>  Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 7820 --> + 28
<+szubaark> News in 1 minute by the way
<+PeterPanBoy>  Shorts ES @ 784.5 «« paper »» 10:00
Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 783.5 --> + 1 «« paper »»
<+silo>  Covered Remainder YM Short @ 7810 --> + 38
<+PeterPanBoy>  Covered Remainder ES Short @ 784.25 --> + 0.25 «« paper »»
Shorts ES @ 786.75 «« paper »» 10:02
Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 785.75 --> + 1 «« paper »»
Covered Remainder ES Short @ 781.75 --> + 5 «« paper »» 10:03
<+szubaark> tightening stop10:04
<+nqcruiser> folks i need a little help on tiling charts in OEC trader10:05
could some1 give me a little helping hand
<Pepe> gm all
<+PeterPanBoy>  Shorts ES @ 779 «« paper »» 10:09
<+Nesi>  Long ES @ 780.00 «« paper »»
<+szubaark> tightening stop
exit stop set ES @ 783.75 «« paper »»
<+PeterPanBoy>  Covered all ES Short @ 780.75 --> - 1.75 «« paper »» 10:10

Shorts ES @ 779 «« paper »»
<+Nesi>  Exited all ES Long @ 778.25 --> - 53.5 «« paper »»
oops
<+PeterPanBoy>  Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 778.25 --> + 0.75 «« paper »» 10:11

Covered Remainder ES Short @ 777.75 --> + 1.25 «« paper »» 10:12
<+Nesi>  Long ES @ 779.00 «« paper »»
<+PeterPanBoy> woh missing this nice drop :(10:13

Shorts ES @ 778 «« paper »» 10:14
<+szubaark> tightening stop10:15
exit stop set ES @ 781 «« paper »»
<+PeterPanBoy>  Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 777.75 --> + 0.25 «« paper »»
<+Nesi>  Long ES @ 778.50 «« paper »»
<+PeterPanBoy>  Covered Remainder ES Short @ 775.5 --> + 2.5 «« paper »» 10:17
<+szubaark> market going lower in slow, controlled Volatility, tick by tick
<+PeterPanBoy> yep

Shorts ES @ 775.5 «« paper »» 10:18
<+szubaark> also known as a CREEPER
<+PeterPanBoy>  Covered Remainder ES Short @ 775.25 --> + 0.25 «« paper »» 10:19

fear is come

for this last trade
<+szubaark> tightening stop10:20
Covered all Short ES at 779.75 --> + 5.5 «« paper »» 10:21
<+silo> szu is a creeper :)
<+PeterPanBoy>  Shorts ES @ 783.25 «« paper »» 10:23
Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 782.5 --> + 0.75 «« paper »»
Covered Remainder ES Short @ 782.5 --> + 0.75 «« paper »» 10:24
<@X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Some members (including me) explain basic details about their trades posted in #FuturesTrades @ http://thestrategylab.com/forum/index.ph p?board=58.0 and there's a link there to take you to #FuturesTrades archived logs if you're interested in reviewing past trades or market commentary posted in #FuturesTrades.
<+PeterPanBoy>  Shorts ES @ 783.25 «« paper »»
fast action
Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 783 --> + 0.25 «« paper »» 10:25
Covered Remainder ES Short @ 781.25 --> + 2 «« paper »» 10:26
Shorts ES @ 784 «« paper »» 10:29
Covered all ES Short @ 785 --> - 1 «« paper »»
<+Nesi>  Exited all ES Long @ 786.00 --> + 7.5 «« paper »» 10:30
<+PeterPanBoy>  Long ES @ 792.5 «« paper »» 10:33
<+pat255> vn nesi
<@NihabaAshi>  buy limit to enter long ES @ 795.25
<+Nesi>  Shorts ES @ 793.00 «« paper »»
<+PeterPanBoy>  Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 793.25 --> + 0.75 «« paper »»
Exited Remainder ES Long @ 792.5 --> 0 «« paper »» 10:34
Shorts ES @ 791 «« paper »»
Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 790 --> + 1 «« paper »»
<+Nesi>  Covered all ES Short @ 789.00 --> + 4 «« paper »» 10:35
<+PeterPanBoy>  Covered Remainder ES Short @ 786.25 --> + 4.75 «« paper »» 10:36
<+szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 783.25 «« paper »» 10:41
<+silo>  Long YM @ 7825
Exited 1/2 YM Long @ 7851 --> + 26 10:42
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 789.75 --> - 6.5 «« paper »» 10:43
<@NihabaAshi>  Long ES @ 790.50 -> medium size
4 only
cancelled all open limit orders 10:44
<+silo>  Exited Remainder YM Long @ 7905 --> + 80
<+szubaark>  Buys ES @ 794.25 «« paper »»
<@NihabaAshi> cancel a prior order after I decided to get long much earlier :)

crazy volatility right now...parabolic10:45
<+szubaark> as Long as its going UP and Im Long, i wont complain10:46
<@NihabaAshi>  Exited all ES Long @ 802.00 --> + 11.5

Not sure if that price movement was "news related" because it sure did feel like it after it picked up momentum after my entry10:47
<+ItalianSharp> I think it was "sentiment" related...we opened up with negative sentiment...5yr lows on SPX...etc...that's what you get when everything points to one direction10:49
markets just seem to love doing the opposite
:)
<+szubaark> :)))10:50
<+Nesi>  Shorts ES @ 795.00 «« paper »»
<+ItalianSharp> it'd be funny if we dropped hard from here
<+szubaark>  Exited all Long ES at 793.75 --> - 0.5 «« paper »»
<+ItalianSharp> like...NQ new highs!!! then 30mins later new lows

that would be a suprise to most
<+szubaark> its definetly acting erratic now10:51
<+ItalianSharp> well, we are trading in uncharted territory

traders dont know what comes next

they see ES making multiyear lows...is it ok to hold? what if it rallies from there?

lots of uncertainty both ways10:52
<+szubaark> yup FEAR and GREED at its best
<+ItalianSharp> the only certainty is we are in a bear market

yes, absolutely

vix above 75 also feeds into this uncertainty
<+Nesi>  Covered all ES Short @ 792.00 --> + 3 «« paper »» 10:53
<+silo>  Long YM @ 7933 10:55

Exited 1/2 YM Long @ 7941 --> + 8 10:56
<+szubaark>  Buys ES @ 798.50 «« paper »» 10:57
<@NihabaAshi>  Long ES @ 796.50 -> small size

1 only
<+silo>  Exited Remainder YM Long @ 7921 --> - 12
<@NihabaAshi>  Exited ES Long @ 794.00 --> - 2.5 10:58
<+silo> -4 for that trade.... worth the risk
<@NihabaAshi>  Long ES @ 796.00 -> small size 10:59

3 only
<+szubaark> tightening stop
<@NihabaAshi> took me only one trade to figure out that weird price action a few minutes ago11:00
<+szubaark> what did u figure out?11:01
<+Nesi>  Shorts ES @ 803.25 «« paper »»

Covered all ES Short @ 805.00 --> - 1.75 «« paper »» 11:02
<+PeterPanBoy> ok I stop here for today,I prefer do not ruin my morning results :)11:03
<@NihabaAshi>  Exited all ES Long @ 802.25 --> + 6.25
<+PeterPanBoy> take care see ya tomorrow..11:04
bye
<+T-stop> cya
<+PeterPanBoy> cya too
<+szubaark> tightening stop
<@NihabaAshi> Volatility is like it was a few weeks ago before the U.S. Elections11:06
Looks like the market is starting to "remember" the way we were before Obama :)11:07
<+szubaark>  Exited all Long ES at 800.50 --> + 2 «« paper »» 11:09
<+werner> lol niha11:14
<@NihabaAshi> It's getting so bad again that the "Obama" dream team won't be able to fix this and the market will have to be allowed to run its course without further intervention like that silly "no short" rule on financial sector.11:18

Shorts ES @ 797.50 -> small size 11:20

1 only
<+szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 795.75 «« paper »»
<@NihabaAshi> late to the show again
<+szubaark> Patience will be key today on every trade11:21
<@NihabaAshi> I did too much over-analysis...it caused a late entry instead of being short @ 799.2511:22
<+szubaark> is that where u got a Signal Entry@799.25?
<@NihabaAshi>  Covered ES Short @ 795.50 --> + 2 11:23

szu...no

It's where my first "entry" opportunity occurred...sometimes it correlates with the actual trade signal but most of the time it doesn't.

Main reason why my trading is better than my back testing results.11:24

I prefer to grab those "better entry" prices11:25
<+szubaark> yea. that comes with thousands of hours of screen time11:26
plus you got to add in any Disctractions that day,how you feel,Internet Connection..etc..11:27
thats why Backtest results are almost WORTHLESS
<@NihabaAshi> szu...it's not worthless if used properly.11:29

I don't use my backtest results (only manually done) to indicate potential performance.
<+szubaark>  exit stop set ES @ 792 «« paper »» 11:30
<@NihabaAshi> Instead, I use it backtesting to discover "nuances" when I slowly and methodically reveiw each signal manually in the context of the price action it is occurring within.

I can't get that from some code11:31
<+szubaark> error on my last Trail Stop Post11:32
exit stop set ES @ 797.75 «« paper »»
exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 795.75 «« paper »» 11:35
Contracting Volatility,expecting spike soon,hopefully to downside,Im Short11:36
Covered all Short ES at 795.75 --> 0 «« paper »» 11:38
Buys ES @ 795.50 «« paper »»
tightening stop11:45
Exited all Long ES at 791.75 --> - 3.75 «« paper »» 11:48
Shorts ES @ 790 «« paper »» 12:00
Covered all Short ES at 791.25 --> - 1.25 «« paper »» 12:12
Buys ES @ 799.25 «« paper »» 12:21
* codehead_afk is now known as codehead12:26
<@X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Some members (including me) explain basic details about their trades posted in #FuturesTrades @ http://thestrategylab.com/forum/index.ph p?board=58.0 and there's a link there to take you to #FuturesTrades archived logs if you're interested in reviewing past trades or market commentary posted in #FuturesTrades.12:27
<+Nesi>  Long ES @ 805.00 «« paper »»

rumors of bailout

fwiw

Long ES @ 807.00 -> Add «« paper »» 12:28
<+szubaark> tightening stop12:30
thanks Nesi12:31
i dont care what its about as long as we get GOOD Volatility in the direction my trade is in12:32
<+silo>  Shorts YM @ 8102 12:33

1

Shorts YM @ 8086 -> Add 12:34
<+Nesi>  Long ES @ 811.00 -> Add «« paper »»
<+szubaark> tightening stop12:35
<+silo>  Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 8060 --> + 26
<+szubaark>  Exited all Long ES at 806.50 --> + 7.25 «« paper »» 12:37
<+silo>  Covered Remainder YM Short @ 8043 --> + 59 12:38
<+codehead> YM: 8016 is wave target, 8018 .382 pb of that move up12:44
<@NihabaAshi>  Long ES @ 811.75 -> small size 12:47
3 only
<+szubaark>  Buys ES @ 813 «« paper »» 12:48
<@NihabaAshi>  Exited all ES Long @ 817.50 --> + 5.75 12:49
crazy
<+szubaark>  exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 813 «« paper »» 12:50
<@NihabaAshi> A friends wife told him I should feel "guilty" about profiting while the economy and financial industry are suffering...12:51
That type of logic is the reason why we're in such a mess.12:52
I guess I should just quit...12:53
Stop paying my bills, stop buying, stop financing my kids future college education, stop paying the cleaning lady, stop buying flowers for special occassions...
People really don't understand what happens when a CONSUMER stops making money.12:54
There's a cascading affect on others financial well being.
<+szubaark>  Exited all Long ES at 813 --> 0 «« paper »»

yea people dont realizehow tough this trading crap is and u paid your dues12:56
<@NihabaAshi> However, she doesn't complain about watching here favorite actor on TV make millions each year (Tom Cruise)
:)
<+szubaark> ahahaha12:57
<winmax60> yeap...pretty sad.. :-(
<@NihabaAshi> Heck...she'll be the first in line to pay for tickets to see his next movie.
<+werner> lol lol
<+winmax60> :-(
<+szubaark> i knew a girl that liked tom cruise too LOL12:58
<+codehead> 7964 would be a likely reversal if it pulls back that far on this move12:59

8044, 8004, then 7964, with the last one have a wave target and fib13:00
<@NihabaAshi> As the economy gets worst...Wall Street or anybody afilliated with it will become the scapegoats (e.g. traders)13:01
<+codehead> 8004 is .500
<@NihabaAshi> I should send her some nice flowers (sarcasm)13:02
Amazing up and down directional price movement today.13:05
<+szubaark> yes GOOD Volatility now13:06
<@NihabaAshi>  Long ES @ 803.00 -> small size 13:08
1 only
geeesh
Exited ES Long @ 803.50 --> + 0.5 13:09
<+szubaark> Prce too jumpy for me, waiting for it to calm down13:10
<@NihabaAshi>  Long ES @ 803.50 -> small size
3 only13:11
Exited all ES Long @ 801.00 --> - 2.5 13:12
Long ES @ 801.50 -> medium size 13:13
4 only13:14
<+szubaark> each pullback area is hard fought battle

Buys ES @ 803.25 «« paper »»
<@NihabaAshi>  Exited all ES Long @ 805.75 --> + 4.25 13:15
<+codehead> got within 6 ticks of my reversal point--that it?13:16
<+szubaark> Volatility Increasing
tightening stop13:18
Exited all Long ES at 803.25 --> 0 «« paper »» 13:19
<silo> computer froze :(13:20
<+szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 799 «« paper »»
<+silo> missed my short :(
<+codehead> long 7920 YM paper13:21
exit half +30 <paper>
raise stop on remained b/e13:22
<@NihabaAshi> My spouse picked the perfect day to take the kids to visit relatives for the day that's 1 hour away.

No family distractions today what so ever.
<+szubaark> getting some nasty candles now with huge wicks13:23
we got a shakeout Carnival going on LOL13:24
<+codehead> exit remainder YM +60 <paper>13:25

target was 8013

should hit
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 802.75 --> - 3.75 «« paper »»
Shorts ES @ 793.25 «« paper »» 13:37
tightening stop13:45
Covered all Short ES at 799 --> - 5.75 «« paper »» 13:46
Buys ES @ 798.50 «« paper »»
<@NihabaAshi> sneaky price action right now13:48

Long ES @ 799.75 -> small size 13:49
<+szubaark> so far they hammering any rally attempt
<@NihabaAshi> 2 only

:(
<MK>  Long ES @ 791.25 -> Add «« paper »»
<+MK>  Long ES @ 800.75 -> Add «« paper »»
<@NihabaAshi>  Exited all ES Long @ 799.25 --> - 0.5
<+MK>  Long ES @ 801 -> Add «« paper »»
<@NihabaAshi>  Shorts ES @ 798.50 -> medium size 13:50
3 only
Prior trade was a trade error
cost me a great entry
<+silo>  Shorts YM @ 7953

Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 7956 --> - 3 13:51

Covered Remainder YM Short @ 7967 --> - 14 13:52
<+szubaark> Volatility Spike
<@NihabaAshi>  Covered all ES Short @ 802.50 --> - 4
<rickf> hi all - just checking in for a while13:53
<+szubaark> hi rick, another day in the salt mine
<+rickf> lol a week i think i'm glad i've had other things to do than trade -- very wishy washy
<+Nesi>  Long ES @ 802.00 «« paper »» 13:54
<+szubaark> Sneaky Price Action still13:55
<@NihabaAshi> Not often we can say its a 4 point tight trading range :)13:56

since 1:45pm

Actually more like a 5 - 7 point tight trading range :)
<+rickf> had some tight ranges and creeper trends this past few days13:57
riding those creepers would have been nice, but it was a s-l-o-w creep
<+szubaark> we getting tight range after tight range today13:58
<+Nesi>  Long ES @ 803.00 -> Add «« paper »» 13:59
<@X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade because it provides critical information they can't get from broker statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not recommended without their permission.

More info at http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm   

 
<+szubaark> tightening stop14:00
<+rickf> jeez the ES is where the ER was when I first got into futures last year14:01
<+szubaark>  Exited all Long ES at 797 --> - 1.5 «« paper »» 14:03

uh huh

Shorts ES @ 796 «« paper »» 14:04

hopefully we pick a direction soon and Volatility picks up, im falling asleep14:06
<@NihabaAshi> oh oh14:09
Shorts ES @ 792.50 -> medium size
5 only
<+Nesi>  Long ES @ 793.50 -> Add «« paper »» 14:10
<+szubaark> market doesnt want to play nice right now14:11
<+silo> that's why you should hide in the corner and ambush it later

hopefully take all its lunch money14:12
<@NihabaAshi>  Covered all ES Short @ 795.25 --> - 2.75 14:13
<+szubaark> BRUTAL action
<@NihabaAshi> Gotta take the losses with the winners or don't play the game14:14
Shorts ES @ 794.00 -> medium size 14:15
5 only
<+szubaark> tightening stop
<@NihabaAshi> It's trying to find another 5 - 7 point range :(14:16
I now realize I'm at the bottom of a potential range :(14:17
Covered all ES Short @ 793.00 --> + 1
Support broken14:18
<+szubaark> hopefully GOOD Volatility shows up
<@NihabaAshi>  Shorts ES @ 791.00 -> large size
9 only
If this doesn't hit 787.0014:19
I'll be very surprised
:(14:20
<+szubaark>  exit stop set ES @ 795.50 «« paper »» 14:21

im giving this more then enough room14:22

but still somehow comes back and gets me LOL
<+silo> surprise!! hehe :)
just kidding
couldn't resist
<+szubaark> Ill take a break after this trade14:23
<@NihabaAshi> nothing...targets not reached14:24
<+szubaark>  exit stop set ES @ 793.25 «« paper »» 14:25
<@NihabaAshi>  Covered all ES Short @ 790.00 --> + 1
<+szubaark> i would like 785 to get tested14:26
<@NihabaAshi> new range forming and they are getting tighter and tighter
<+szubaark> This is where walking away and setting up Alerts comes in handy14:27

c'mon 78514:28
<+silo> told you szu... now is the time to hide around the corner and ambush the market for lunch money later
<@NihabaAshi>  Shorts ES @ 787.25 -> large size

6 only
<+silo> grab it by its collar and shake it against the wall until you hear coin drops on the floor :D
<+szubaark> well, Im Profitible on this trade, its just CRAWLING in my direction, not RUNNING like i want it to14:29

tightening stop14:30
<@NihabaAshi>  Covered all ES Short @ 788.50 --> - 1.25 14:32
<@X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  Some members (including me) explain basic details about their trades posted in #FuturesTrades @ http://thestrategylab.com/forum/index.ph p?board=58.0 and there's a link there to take you to #FuturesTrades archived logs if you're interested in reviewing past trades or market commentary posted in #FuturesTrades.14:33
<@NihabaAshi>  Shorts ES @ 786.00 -> large size 14:34
6 only
<+szubaark> Broke Support here

tightening stop14:35
<@NihabaAshi> These support levels aren't holding too well as they convert to a resistance level
I have a few losses in here and I've been shorting :(14:36
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 789.25 --> + 6.75 «« paper »» 14:37
<@NihabaAshi>  Covered all ES Short @ 789.50 --> - 3.5 14:38
4 short down from the 798 level14:39
4 losers and 2 winners
Good example of getting losses when the trade direction is correct
Here we go again14:41
<+szubaark> well, retail average stop is 2-4 Points, this downward channel takes care of that14:42

meaning, the up/down movement will get those Stops as we gring lower14:43
<+pdays>  Long YM @ 7893 14:44
Exited all YM Long @ 7927 --> + 34 14:45
<@NihabaAshi> Sometimes it's scandalous14:46

Ran it up nicely on the counter-thrust than pull the rug14:47

Another 5 - 7 point range again
<+szubaark> good lesson in not trying to predict next move but trading whats in front
easier said then doen, i know
Shorts ES @ 782.75 «« paper »» 14:48
<@NihabaAshi> Hammering out another support level

If it breaks...

Long ES @ 783.75 -> large size 14:49

6 only

Exited all ES Long @ 786.00 --> + 2.25 14:51
<+silo> we should get a BIG move soon14:53
up OR down14:54
get ready
approaching 3 to
too
<+szubaark> that last runup we had still confusing everyone
<@NihabaAshi>  Shorts ES @ 792.75 -> large size
9 only
<+szubaark> Last line of Defense here

Intraday lows next14:55
<kosmipt> the volume is too small on that selloff from the highs
<+szubaark> kosmipt, sorry i dont watch Volume
<@NihabaAshi> correction14:56
Shorts ES @ 782.75 -> large size
<+silo>  Shorts YM @ 7841 14:57

2

Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 7812 --> + 29 14:58
<@NihabaAshi>  Covered all ES Short @ 778.75 --> + 4
<+szubaark> 774.50 is my Last Support area
<+silo>  exit stop set YM @ 7841 14:59
<@NihabaAshi> I'm still paying commissions only via the last few trades in comparison to my morning trades
<+silo>  Covered Remainder YM Short @ 7841 --> 0
<@NihabaAshi> Right back to +170 again15:00
<+kosmipt> NIha I've read that you go lighter in the afternoon, now you're doing large size though
<+szubaark> just popped it out of nowehere LOL

Covered all Short ES at 786.50 --> - 3.75 «« paper »»

Buys ES @ 788.50 «« paper »» 15:02
<+silo> +170 pts?
<+szubaark>  Exited all Long ES at 780.50 --> - 8 «« paper »» 15:05

Shorts ES @ 780 «« paper »»

that was SNEAKY
<@NihabaAshi> geeesh
That's the type of move your jumping up and down if you caught the counter-thrust back up...15:06
Next your kicking your dog if you held on the way back down :)
<+szubaark> i didnt not Expect that Nasty BIG Inverted DArk Hammer Line

that last lose definetly got the blood flowing :(15:07
<+rickf> interesting - every creeper trend has been a long one that starts with a whimper yet runs forever it seems....not a lot of volatility to kick off trend changes it seems15:09
<+szubaark> too many frikin games being played today
<+rickf> yah
<+kosmipt> what do you mean by games?15:11
<+szubaark> Stop Running up and down
and not going anywhere
<+kosmipt> oh, market is doing it all the time15:12
<@NihabaAshi> Big range today15:14
820.75 - 774.25
<+kosmipt> yup, 45 es pts
<+szubaark> yea but good luck catching points in that Range LOL15:15
choppy, sneaky action all day
<@NihabaAshi> You can catch the points...the question is can you "keep the points".
<+kosmipt> oh, just reduce the size15:16
<@NihabaAshi> There was a few very "strong" directional movements today...
<+MK> heading to 775
<@NihabaAshi> Strong retracements and lots of chop
<+rickf> 'You can catch the points...the question is can you "keep the points".' -- now there's an emini trader's mantra if i ever heard one15:17
<@NihabaAshi> Still plenty of time remaining for a nother directional movement
<+rickf> here comes the eod meltdown....
<+kosmipt> or the double bottom
<@NihabaAshi>  Shorts ES @ 777.00 -> medium size 15:18
4 only
Lets see if they are going to buy the bottom
774.25 is my target...the bottom15:19
<+kosmipt> makes sense

nice job
<+szubaark> this is bottomless market
<@NihabaAshi>  Covered all ES Short @ 773.25 --> + 3.75
<+codehead> mentioned 7750 waver target earlier
<+rickf> nah, we can always hit zero
<+codehead> next is 770015:20
<+rickf> THEN i'll believe the bottom is in :(
<+codehead> had two waves at 7750 and 7751
<+rickf> prolly the only certainty we have today other than irrational irrationality
<@NihabaAshi> If this thing is going to put in a big counter-thrust back upwards at this late in the trading day...
<+codehead> so that is a reversal try target
<@NihabaAshi> Now's the time to do it.
<+kosmipt> 770 is previous bear mkt lows on SPX
<+codehead> bounced at 7750 on the button15:22
good for 50 anyway15:23
retest and bounce again
<+rickf> bang15:24
<+MK> now nq has to test its low
<+codehead> 7699 is next wave target, and is a fib extension
<+szubaark> tightening stop15:25
<+MK> should bounce about now15:26
<@NihabaAshi> Hindsight it's easy to say now to SELL the small 4 point counter-thrust rallies after 2pm est15:27
Shorting the support breaks was tough today
support right now15:28
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 773.75 --> + 6.25 «« paper »» 15:30

another Stop running bounce15:31
<+MK>  Long ES @ 775 -> Add «« paper »»
<+rickf> vn szu15:32
<+szubaark> thanks, still down for day
<+werner> sox is green....

smh15:33
<+szubaark> i got Whipsawed HUGE on a Inverted Dark Hammer Candle (in hindsight now)
<+silo>  Shorts YM @ 7752 15:34

2
<+rickf> below 770 lookout below?
<+szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 771 «« paper »» 15:35
<+silo> :D
hello szu!
:DS
hehe
ts freezing
wtf
Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 7703 --> + 49 15:36
<+rickf> ahh.....sorry i asked :(
<@NihabaAshi> szu...like I said...easy to get the points...
The issue is will you bank them.
<+rickf> does anyone here just shut down when they hit their profits for the day?

sicne we're talking about keeping our points15:37
<@NihabaAshi> rickf...depends upon how the goal was reached.
<+silo>  exit stop set YM @ 7760
<@NihabaAshi> For example...
If my goal was reached on poor trading...
I'll shut down
If not...I'll continue.
<+rickf> fair 'nuff

i just think about avoiding temptation when i've hit my target15:38

gotten much better recently i must admit

GE below 13 yow

VIX 78
<@NihabaAshi>  Shorts ES @ 767.00 -> medium size 15:39
4 only
geeesh
<+kosmipt> last minute flush
<@NihabaAshi> big toilet flushing
<+silo>  Covered Remainder YM Short @ 7649 --> + 103
<@NihabaAshi> wasn't expecting that
<+kosmipt> niiiiice

new lows on citigroup15:40
<+silo> 3x daily profit reached
done for the day
<@NihabaAshi>  Covered all ES Short @ 759.25 --> + 7.75 15:41
<+rickf> vn
<@NihabaAshi> I usually don't trade this late in the trading due due to family...

Nice to be able to trade until the close15:42
<+szubaark> tightening stop
Nice trading Niha.15:43
<@NihabaAshi> [15:17] <@NihabaAshi> Still plenty of time remaining for a nother directional movement

:)

However, I was leaning for a stronger counter-thrust off the lows and then a big time drop15:44

Instead, counter-thrust was weak and the drop was very quick and sudden15:45
<+szubaark> My target will be 741 on this Short OR will Trail until Stopped out
<+rickf> setting up for a buy into the close? heads say yes tails say no15:46
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 761.75 --> + 9.25 «« paper »»
<+rickf> wtg szu
<+silo> missed my bottom pick
damn it
<+szubaark> thankx
<+MK>  Long ES @ 761 -> Add «« paper »» 15:47
<+kosmipt> long ES 761 paper15:48
<+szubaark> big bounce here
<@NihabaAshi> 766.00 nice target for any Longs15:49
<+silo> just shut down my platform
have a good one guys
<+rickf> cya15:50

hrm headfake
<+kosmipt> exited all ES 756 -5.00 paper
<@NihabaAshi>  Long ES @ 755.00 -> small size

2 only
<+kosmipt> short ES 755 paper
<@NihabaAshi> oh oh :(15:51
<+szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 753.50 «« paper »»
<@NihabaAshi>  Exited all ES Long @ 755.25 --> + 0.25 15:52

Another support level formed
<+rickf> *this* is what szu meant about games15:53
from 1545 to now
<@NihabaAshi> the games only appear when the volatility is declining
<+rickf> yes, true
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 750.50 --> + 3 «« paper »» 15:54

good, ended Positive today
<+kosmipt> exited all ES 748 +7.00 paper
<+rickf> green is best :)15:55
<@NihabaAshi>  Shorts ES @ 748.50 -> small size
1 only
<+szubaark> I had earlier Stop out that i took Personal
<+kosmipt> lets see if they just kill it into the close
<+szubaark> will review that Sneaky Price Action that caught be off guard
<+kosmipt> just hold your shorts dude15:56
<+szubaark> lol
<@NihabaAshi>  Covered ES Short @ 746.00 --> + 2.5
<+codehead> long YM paper 750015:57

small

have a bounce target 7607, not sure if it'll get there15:58
<@NihabaAshi>  Long ES @ 751.50 -> small size 15:59
1 only
Exited ES Long @ 753.25 --> + 1.75 16:00
Shorts ES @ 751.75 -> small size 16:01
<+codehead> exit YM +48 <paper>16:02
<@NihabaAshi> 1 only
<+rickf> gn all - see you tomorrow16:03
<+codehead> long YM 7530 <paper>16:04
only because DELL beat
exit YM +14 <paper>16:05
lunch time
<@NihabaAshi> no fill :(16:07

Covered ES Short @ 748.75 --> + 3

took a second time at the price level to get the fill :(
* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_away16:16
<@X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  Some members (including me) explain basic details about their trades posted in #FuturesTrades @ http://thestrategylab.com/forum/index.ph p?board=58.0 and there's a link there to take you to #FuturesTrades archived logs if you're interested in reviewing past trades or market commentary posted in #FuturesTrades.16:36
  
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 Trading Strategies ->   Strategies used by NihabaAshi, from entry to exit, exploit inefficiencies in the price action for profits of the following trading instruments via WRB Analysis and Intermarket Analysis: Emini Index Futures (EMD, ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Index Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Index Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Energy Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM), COMEX Metals Futures (GC), Forex Currencies (EurUsd, EurYen, UsdCdn), Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, OIH, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, XLE) and Hang Seng Index Futures (HSI)   

   

 

Current Performance Record of M.A. Perry

  

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Today

Month

 

 

 

Emini ES points

+224.00

+761.75

 U.S. Dollars

$11,200.00

$38,087.50

 

We are proud to say that our chat room members are from the following geographical areas in the world:

Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Hong Kong (China), Italy, Japan, Mexico, Portugal, Puerto Rico (U.S.), Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Spain, United States and Venezuela.

In addition, below are the trading instruments our chat room members monitor closely to make trade decisions:  

CME Emini Futures EMD, ES and NQ   

ICE Emini TF (formerly CME ER2)

CBOT mini-sized Dow Futures YM

Eurex Index Derivatives (futures) DAX and DJ Euro Stoxx50

Eurex Fixed Income Derivatives BUND, BOBL and Schatz

Euronext Futures FTSE-100 and CAC-40

CME Futures EuroFX EC

Treasury Futures T-Notes ZN, ZF and T-Bonds ZB

Forex Currencies EurUsd, EurYen and UsdCdn

Exchange Traded Funds DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, OIH, XLE and GLD  

NYMEX Energies Light Crude Oil CL, e-miNY QM and Natural Gas NG

COMEX Metals Gold GC and ZG

Hang Seng Index Futures HSI

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Don't hesitate to ask your questions and we'll reply back as soon as possible.

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M.A. Perry and Associates

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