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 Post subject: October 16th Monday Trade Results - No Trades
PostPosted: Mon Oct 16, 2017 9:26 pm 
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Joined: Sat Jan 10, 2009 1:06 pm
Posts: 3020
Location: Canada
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
TheStrategyLab Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Phone: +1 708 572-4885
wrbtrader (more info about me): http://www.thestrategylab.com/wrbtrader.htm
Free Chat Room: http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=164
Archive Real-Time Chat Logs (timestamp, entries/exits, position size): http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewforum.php?f=20
Accolades (Testimonials): http://www.thestrategylab.com/Accolades.htm
TheStrategyLab Reviews: http://www.thestrategylab.com/thestrategylab-reviews.htm
Price Action Trading: http://www.thestrategylab.com/price-action-trading.htm
TheStrategyLab Business Hours: 8am - 5pm est (Mon - Fri)
wrbanalysis@gmail.com (24/7)
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Twitter @ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader (24/7)

Quote:
No trades today. I only got a few hours of sleep last night. Due to the lack of sleep...I had painful headaches that I must be careful about because I'm still recovering from the illness I had late 2016. Thus, I just took it easy...listen to music and did some yoga today.

Price Action Trade Performance for Today: Emini RTY ($RTY_F) futures @ $0.00 dollars or +0.00 points, Emini ES ($ES_F) futures @ $0.00 dollars or +0.00 points, Light Crude Oil CL ($CL_F) futures @ $0.00 dollars or +0.00 points, Gold GC ($GC_F) futures @ $0.00 dollars or +0.00 points and EuroFX 6E ($6E_F) futures @ $0.00 dollars or +0.0000 ticks. Total Profit @ $0.00 dollars

Disclaimer: Today's trading performance is not an indication of my future performance and not an indication of the future performance for any trader that decides to learn/apply WRB Analysis.

Russell 2000 Emini RTY Futures: 1 tick or 0.10 = $5.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup (formerly as TF @ The ICE)
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures: 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup
Light Crude Oil CL (WTI) Futures: 1 tick or 0.01 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup
Gold GC Futures: 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup
EuroFX 6E Futures: 1 tick or 0.0001 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup

Today's Trade Log is archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=172&t=2671

All of my trades are posted real-time at the above link for today's archive chat log in the timestamp ##TheStrategyLab free chat room via the user name wrbtrader for anyone to do a real-time review (you must be a member of the chat room for a real-time review). Although the trades are posted by me and other users of WRB Analysis in real-time...this is not a signal calling chat room nor is this a live trading room that has a head trader telling you what to do. I'm the moderator (I keep the peace between members) and my own live trades are posted within 3.2 seconds on average after the trade confirmation in my broker trade execution platform via an auto script to minimize delays in posting of my trades. You can review today's price action trade journal about my trades (e.g. time, price entry, contract size, price exit, market analysis) as the trade traversed to its completion. In addition, sometimes I'll post real-time trading tips in the free ##TheStrategyLab chat room involving WRBs, WRB Hidden GAPs, Key Market Events (KME), WRB Zones, Reaction Highs/Lows, Contracting Volatility or Expanding Volatility...all key concepts from the WRB Analysis free study guide even though the free chat room is not design to be an education chat room because the education is only performed at the forums in the private threads.

Quote:
2017 has been the most difficult trading year since I've begun trading +25 years ago because successful trading involves more than just trade methods than any other trading year. This is a key concept many traders have difficulties in understanding. Some blame it on algorithms while I blame it on the inability to adapt, failure to backtest, failure to document trades (real-money or simulator) and underestimating how our environment influences our cognitive decision making while trading...all while trading in low volatility market conditions that statistically have the reputation for difficult trading.

Image ##TheStrategyLab Chat Room is free. The free chat room is not a signal calling trading room nor is it a live trading room with a head trader even though members of the chat room are posting their trades & market analysis in real-time. I do not mentor (never have) although I get many requests to do mentoring. There is education but only in members private threads at the forum involving members asking questions (help) about their own trading. Thus, the primary purpose of TheStrategyLab free chat room is for you to use as your trade journal so that you can use as valuable feedback about your own trading and for members to help each other...as in more eyes on the market. In addition, we highly recommend that you use the free chat room with a professional trade journal software like tradebench.com, edgewonk.com, tradervue.com, tradingdiarypro.com, stocktickr.com, journalsqrd.com, tradingdiary.pro, mxprofit.com or trademetria.com because they can provide you with the quantitative statistical analysis of your trading. You can then download your results and post them in your private thread at the forum.

Also, you can use TheStrategyLab free chat room to ask real-time WRB Analysis questions. Yet, please do not post your quantitative statistical analysis, brokerage statements in the free chat room. Instead, its highly recommended that you only post that particular information in your private thread for security reasons. Yet, if you want to post that type of information at another website, blog or chat room...that's your choice.

TheStrategyLab free chat room is on IRC via users request because the IRC servers are located in many different countries, software in many different languages, many different mobile apps, many different types of social media software can be used to log in along with IRC being easier to moderate via script codes when trouble makers, spammers and trolls show up. I'm the moderator of the free chat room via the user name wrbtrader. Thus, I keep the peace between members without hesitation in removing problematic traders so that members can peacefully post their market observations, trades, WRB Analysis commentary about the markets without being trolled or harassed.

TheStrategyLab free chat room is not for traders looking for someone to hold their hands and tell them when to buy or sell nor do we allow the free chat room to be used for mentoring because we do not offer a mentoring service. The purpose of TheStrategyLab is for you to post your real-time analysis or trades so that you can review as feedback for any trading day to provide valuable information about the results in your broker statements. If you join the free chat room and then you decide to not post any WRB Analysis about the price action or you decide to not post your trades or you decide to be silent (lurk without saying a word about today's markets)...you're not using the free chat room properly to help improve your trading.

In fact, we do not want silent (lurkers) traders to join the free chat room unless they are actively posting at the forum about their trading after the markets close. Access instructions for the free chat room @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=164

Quote:
All of my real-time posted trades involves price action concepts from the WRB Analysis free study guide, Advance WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 4 - 12 and the Volatility Trading Report (VTR) trade signal strategies. Yet, I'm always backtesting new concepts of WRB Analysis, new trade entry rules, new trade management rules, new position size management rules before application in real money trades (small position size trades) to adapt to changed market conditions prior to large position size trades or sharing the new concepts with fee-base clients...living up to the name of my website. TheStrategyLab.

Also, posted below for you to review are direct links to information about my price action trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis). I'm primarily a day trader because it suits my personal lifestyle but I do occasionally swing trade and position trade. Simply, my trade method is applicable for position trading, swing trading and day trading.

Image Price Action Analysis via Advance WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=119&t=718

Analysis -----> Trade Signals

Image Trade Signal Strategies via Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our price action trade strategies with support (answering your questions) prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR). All WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1 - 12 are included in the purchase of the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Daily Trading Plan Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=331&t=3532 contains brief information about trading plan, market context, brokers, trading time frames, position size management and other discussions.

-----------------------------

Market Context Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, Briefing, Reuters and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED/ECB/BOE/IMF actions or any important global economic events (e.g. Eurozone, MarketWatch.com) that had an impact on today's price action in many trading instruments I monitor during the trading day. Simply, I'm a strong believer that key market events causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility resulting in trade opportunities (swing points and strong continuation price actions) that reach profit targets. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events, intermarket analysis (e.g. Forex EurUsd, EuroFX 6E futures, Gold GC futures, Light Crude Oil (WTI) CL & Brent Oil futures, Eurex DAX futures, Euronext FTSE100 futures, Emini ES futures, Emini TF futures, Treasury ZB futures and U.S. Dollar Index futures) while using WRB Analysis from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for price action trading before the appearance of my technical analysis trade signals. Therefore, I maintain these archives for easy review to allow me to understand what was happening on any given trading day in the past involving key market events to help better understand my trade decisions (day trading, swing trading, position trading)...something I can not get from my broker PnL statements alone. Further, most financial websites remove (delete) their archives after a few years to make room for new content. Therefore, I maintain my own archives of the news content so that I have it available for me when financial websites no longer archives their content.

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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

The Market at 04:30PM ET
Dow: +85.24… | Nasdaq: +18.20… | S&P: +4.47…
NASDAQ Vol: 1.62 bln… Adv: 1325… Dec: 1483…
NYSE Vol: 695.0 mln… Adv: 1451… Dec: 1462…

Moving the Market

Financials bounce back following last week's post-earnings sell off

Biotech stocks slip after President Trump comments on "out of control" drug prices

Oil climbs following reports of an Iraqi incursion into Kurdish-held city of Kirkuk

Sector Watch
Strong: Financials, Technology, Telecom Services
Weak: Materials, Health Care, Consumer Staples, Utilities, Real Estate
04:30PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] The U.S. equity market started the week on a positive note as all three major indices--the S&P 500 (+0.2%), the Nasdaq (+0.3%), and the Dow (+0.4%)--finished Monday's session at new record highs. Half way through the month of October, the S&P 500 holds a month-to-date gain of 1.5%.

Financial stocks within the S&P 500 climbed 0.6% on Monday, bouncing back from last Thursday's modest post-earnings decline. JPMorgan Chase (JPM 97.84, +1.98) and Bank of America (BAC 26.24, +0.41) were among the strongest financial components, climbing 2.1% and 1.6%, respectively, followed closely by Goldman Sachs (GS 242.41, +3.88), which will report earnings on Tuesday morning.

Telecoms also retraced a portion of last week's losses in the first session of the week--albeit a relatively small portion. The S&P 500's lightest sector by weight added 0.8% on Monday, but that advance barely dented the group's October loss, which currently sits at 5.0%. AT&T (T 36.17, +0.47) had a good session, climbing 1.3%.

On the flip side, the influential health care sector started the week on the back foot, dropping 0.4%. The group opened in positive territory, but eventually slid into the red after President Trump reiterated his belief that drug prices are "out of control." Allergan (AGN 198.41, -7.11) showed particular weakness, losing 3.5%, after a U.S. judge invalidated patents on the company's dry-eye medication Restasis.

Like health care, transportation stocks also tumbled, sending the Dow Jones Transportation Average lower by 0.8%. Railroad giant CSX (CSX 52.84, +0.01) finished flat, however, ahead of its Tuesday morning earnings release. The S&P 500's industrial sector, which houses transports, added 0.2%.

Retailers underperformed on Monday, evidenced by the 0.7% decline in the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT 39.73, -0.27). High-end department store retailer Nordstrom (JWN 40.40, -2.25) was hit particularly hard after the Nordstrom family announced that it is suspending efforts to take the company private until after the holiday season. JWN shares lost 5.3%.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 0.8% to $51.86 per barrel amid a conflict between Iraqi and Kurdish forces in the oil-rich city of Kirkuk. Afternoon reports indicated that the Iraqi army has taken full control of the city. The energy sector, which typically moves in tandem with the price of crude oil, finished higher by 0.2%.

U.S. Treasuries were weak from the start of the session and extended their losses in the afternoon after Bloomberg reported President Trump was impressed with John Taylor's interview for the potential Fed Chair vacancy. Mr. Taylor is an economist at Stanford University and is thought to be more hawkish than some of the other candidates in the running.

The yield on the benchmark 10-yr Treasury note climbed three basis points to 2.31% while the 2-year yield jumped four basis points to 1.54%.

Reviewing Monday's economic data, which was limited to the October Empire State Manufacturing Survey:

The Empire Manufacturing Survey for October rose to 30.2 from the prior month's reading of 24.4. The Briefing.com consensus estimate was pegged at 21.0.

On Tuesday, investors will receive several economic reports, including September Import/Export Prices at 8:30 ET, September Industrial Production (Briefing.com consensus 0.2%) and Capacity Utilization (Briefing.com consensus 76.1%) at 9:15 ET, and the October NAHB Housing Market Index (Briefing.com consensus 64) at 10:00 ET.

Also, a host of notable companies in addition to Goldman Sachs and CSX will report their quarterly results on Tuesday morning, including UnitedHealth (UNH 192.20, +0.68), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 136.12, -0.31), and Morgan Stanley (MS 48.94, +0.64), among several others.

Nasdaq Composite +23.1% YTD
Dow Jones Industrial Average +16.2% YTD
S&P 500 +14.2% YTD
Russell 2000 +10.7% YTD

Dow: +85.24… | Nasdaq: +18.20… | S&P: +4.47…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1325/1483. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1451/1462.

03:30PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Commodities hold on to gains to end the day:

Overall, commodities, as measured by the Bloomberg Commodity Index, are currently up 0.12% at 85.9946
Dollar index is up 0.18% at 93.31.
Nov WTI crude is higher on the day.
Futures gained $0.42 to settle at $51.86/barrel.
In other energy, Nov natural gas settled down $0.05 at $2.95/MMBtu
On to metals:
Dec gold lost $1.50 to settle at $1303.00/oz, while Sept silver dropped $0.03 to $17.38/oz
Dec copper gained $0.012 to $3.24/lb
China released its producer price index at 6.9% this morning, well above consensus, showing signs that construction and manufacturing activity remains strong.
Finally, agriculture:
Dec corn settled $0.02 lower at $3.51/bu.
Nov soy settled $0.08 at $9.91/bu.
Dec wheat settled $0.04 lower at $4.36/bu.

Dow: +68.33… | Nasdaq: +13.70… | S&P: +3.08…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1276/1596. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1405/1505.

02:55PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages are hovering in record territory moving into the final stretch. The S&P 500 currently sports a gain of 0.1%.

Seven sectors are trading in positive territory this afternoon, with financials (+0.5%), energy (+0.3%), technology (+0.3%), and telecom services (+0.5%) showing relative strength. On the flip side, four sectors are trading in the red, with the health care group (-0.5%) being the weakest performer.

Tomorrow morning, a host of notable companies will report their quarterly results, including UnitedHealth (UNH 192.33, -0.19), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 135.90, -0.54), Goldman Sachs (GS 242.00, +3.45), Morgan Stanley (MS 48.66, +0.36), and CSX (CSX 52.78, -0.05), among several others.

Earnings will be limited this evening, however, with Netflix (NFLX 200.49, +1.00) being the most notable company on the docket.

Dow: +65.95… | Nasdaq: +11.02… | S&P: +2.71…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1221/1656. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1427/1488.

02:30PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages haven't changed since the last update.

Financials continue to trade comfortably ahead of the broader market this afternoon, with heavyweights like JPMorgan Chase (JPM 97.83, +1.98) and Bank of America (BAC 26.32, +0.49) pacing the advance; the two companies hold gains of 2.0% and 1.8%, respectively. Goldman Sachs (GS 242.02, +3.49) also shows relative strength, adding 1.5%, ahead of tomorrow morning's earnings release.

Travelers (TRV 128.42, +1.75) has also put together a positive performance, climbing 1.4%, after Keefe Bruyette upgraded the property and casualty insurer to 'Outperform' from 'Market Perform' early this morning.

Dow: +59.41… | Nasdaq: +10.55… | S&P: +2.80…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1273/1593. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1403/1475.

01:55PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages have been ticking up in recent action. The S&P 500 currently sports a slim gain of 0.1%.

Retailers are struggling today, evidenced by the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT 39.67, -0.33), which is down 0.8%. Ulta Beauty (ULTA 194.34, -4.24) shows particular weakness, dropping 2.1% after Goldman removed the company from its 'Conviction Buy List' this morning. ULTA shares have had a rough month thus far, with today's decline extending their October loss to 14.0%.

Meanwhile, Nordstrom (JWN 39.99, -2.67) has done even worse in today's session, plunging 6.3%, after the Nordstrom family announced that it has suspended its efforts to go private for the remainder of the year.

The consumer discretionary sector (unch), which houses many retailers, trades a tick behind the broader market.

Dow: +52.58… | Nasdaq: +10.29… | S&P: +2.40…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1329/1547. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1419/1462.

01:35PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] The major U.S. indices are broadly higher to kick off the trading week.

A look inside the Dow Jones Industrial Average shows that JP Morgan (JPM 97.55, +1.69), Apple (AAPL 159.48, +2.49), & General Electric (GE 53.33, +0.35) are outperforming. Apple is advancing after being upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at Pacific Crest, and given a price target of $187.

Conversely, Wal-Mart (WMT 85.07, -1.55) is the worst-performing Dow component as consumer discretionary names lag the broader market move higher.

As investors await for earnings season to kick into full gear, the DJIA is up 2.3% month-to-date.

Dow: +54.74… | Nasdaq: +8.53… | S&P: +2.18…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1260/1588. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1393/1486.

01:05PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] The stock market touched a new record high at today's opening bell, but began trimming its modest gain shortly thereafter. At midday, the S&P 500 hovers right at its unchanged mark. The Dow (+0.2%) and the Nasdaq (+0.1%) show relative strength while the small-cap Russell 2000 (-0.2%) shows relative weakness.

Health care stocks are under pressure this afternoon after President Trump reiterated his criticism of drug prices, saying they're "out of control." The S&P 500's health care sector is down 0.3%, hovering near the bottom of the sector standings. The iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 337.17, +0.79) is up 0.2%, but held a gain of more than 1.0% prior to the president's comments.

On the flip side, the heavily-weighed financial sector (+0.4%) exhibits relative strength, bouncing back from last week's post-earnings sell off. JPMorgan Chase (JPM 97.44, +1.58) and Bank of America (BAC 26.21, +0.39) are among the top performers within the group, adding 1.6% and 1.5%, respectively.

Telecom stocks within the S&P 500 have done even better, climbing 0.9%. However, today's advance does little to alleviate the group's month-to-date loss of 4.9%, most of which was gained last week thanks in large part to AT&T (T 36.18, +0.48). The wireless giant is up 1.4% today, but lost 7.5% last week after announcing that its video subscribers declined for the third quarter in a row.

The energy sector (+0.3%) is still trading in positive territory, but has come off its best mark of the day, moving in tandem with the price of crude oil. The commodity was up around 1.3% in pre-market action following reports of an Iraqi incursion into Kurdish-held, and oil-rich, city of Kirkuk, but has since trimmed that gain to 0.9%; WTI crude currently hovers at $51.90/bbl.

In corporate news, Ruby Tuesday (RT 2.36, +0.38) has surged 18.8% after announcing that it has agreed to be acquired by a fund managed by NRD Capital for $2.40/share in cash. Conversely, Nordstrom (JWN 40.01, -2.64) has plunged 6.2% after announcing that it has suspended its efforts to go private for the remainder of the year.

U.S. Treasuries are modestly lower this afternoon, sending yields into positive territory. The benchmark 10-yr yield is up one basis point at 2.29%.

Reviewing Monday's economic data, which was limited to the October Empire State Manufacturing Survey:

The Empire Manufacturing Survey for October rose to 30.2 from the prior month's reading of 24.4. The Briefing.com consensus estimate was pegged at 21.0.

Dow: +42.88… | Nasdaq: +8.06… | S&P: +1.20…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1248/1631. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1329/1530.

12:30PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 is now flat following a recent health care sell off.

Only four sectors are currently trading in the green--telecom services (+0.9%), financials (+0.4%), energy (+0.2%), and technology (unch)--while seven are hovering in the red--consumer discretionary (-0.1%), industrials (-0.1%), consumer staples (-0.1%), materials (-0.3%), utilities (-0.3%), real estate (-0.4%), and health care (-0.4%).

The health care group has tumbled to a new session low in recent action after President Trump reiterated his belief that drug prices are far too high. The biotech industry has been hit particularly hard, evidenced by the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 335.94, -0.44), which is down 0.1% after holding a gain of more than 1.0% an hour ago.

Dow: +32.66… | Nasdaq: +3.41… | S&P: +0.34…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1226/1616. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1308/1550.

12:00PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages have been trending sideways in recent action, leaving the S&P 500 with a slim gain of 0.1%.

Apple (AAPL 159.26, +2.27) has climbed 1.5% in today's session, helping to keep the top-weighted technology sector (+0.2%) above water. Apple's mega-cap peer Facebook (FB 174.68, +0.94) also outperforms, adding 0.6%, but there is a lot of red within the tech space. Adobe Systems (ADBE 150.00, -3.93) shows particular weakness after Deutsche Bank downgraded the company to 'Hold' from 'Buy' this morning; ADBE shares are down 2.5%.

In the bond market, U.S. Treasuries have ticked up from their worst marks of the day, but still trade mostly in negative territory. The yield on the benchmark 10-yr Treasury note is up one basis point at 2.29%. However, the 2-yr Treasury note shows relative strength, sending its yield one basis point lower to 1.51%.

Dow: +37.41… | Nasdaq: +14.11… | S&P: +2.00…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1378/1462. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1372/1470.

11:25AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Stocks continue hovering near their recent levels.

The S&P 500's telecom services sector, which constitutes just around 2.5% of the broader market, is trading at the top of today's sector standings, sporting a gain of 1.3%. The group had a poor showing last week, dropping 4.6%. Wireless giant AT&T (T 36.39, +0.69) had a lot to do with last week's losses as it lost 7.5% following news that its video subscribers had declined for the third quarter in a row.

Meanwhile, the industrial sector (-0.1%) is also struggling today, thanks in part to the underperformance of transports, which have sent the Dow Jones Transportation Average lower by 1.0%. JB Hunt Transport (JBHT 100.99, -3.02) shows particular weakness, extending last week's post-earnings decline, after Cowen downgraded the company to 'Market Perform' from 'Outperform' this morning.

Dow: +43.09… | Nasdaq: +17.02… | S&P: +3.30…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1429/1399. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1385/1437.

10:55AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Equity indices have slipped from their opening levels in recent action and now trade just a tick above their unchanged marks. The S&P 500 is up just 0.1%.

Financials are still showing relative strength this morning, with names like JPMorgan Chase (JPM 97.12, +1.26) and Bank of America (BAC 26.22, +0.39) sporting gains of 1.3% and 1.5%, respectively. Energy stocks are also outperforming, helped by a 1.1% increase in the price of crude oil, which is hovering at $52.01 per barrel.

Crude oil's advance has been attributed to news of military engagement between Iraqi and Kurdish forces in oil-rich Kirkuk.

On the flip side, the rate-sensitive utilities sector (-0.8%) hovers at the bottom of the sector standings. Pacific Gas and Electric (PCG 51.13, -6.59) is once again the weakest performer within the sector amid continued concerns surrounding the wildfires in California. The company was removed from the 'Conviction Buy List' at Goldman this morning.

Dow: +35.68… | Nasdaq: +15.53… | S&P: +2.13…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1517/1270. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1445/1353.

10:30AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Commodities begin the day higher:

Overall, commodities, as measured by the Bloomberg Commodity Index, are currently up 0.31% at 86.1652
Dollar index is up 0.16% at 93.24.
Oct WTI crude is higher on the day.
Futures have gained $0.39 and trade at $51.84/bbl.
In other energy, Oct natural gas is down $0.079 at $2.921 /MMBtu
Metals:
Dec gold has gained $1.90 and trades at $1306.50/oz, while Sept silver has gained $0.064 to $17.475/oz
Sept copper has gained $0.11 to $3.2435/lb on positive Chinese data.
China released its producer price index at 6.9%, well above consensus, showing signs that construction and manufacturing activity remains strong.
Finally, agriculture:
Dec corn is $0.02 lower at $3.5075/bu.
Nov soy is down $0.04 at $9.9625/bu.
Dec wheat is down $0.02 at $4.375/bu.

Dow: +31.2… | Nasdaq: +15.17… | S&P: +2.16…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1536/1270. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1465/1272.

10:00AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Stocks are still trading modestly higher this morning, with the Dow Jones Industrial average sporting a gain of 0.3%.

Within the Dow, Travelers (TRV 129.43, +2.76) is the top performer after Keefe Bruyette upgraded the company's shares to 'Outperform' from 'Market Perform' in pre-market action; TRV shares are higher by 2.1%. On the flip side, Wal-Mart (WMT 85.85, -0.77) is one of the weakest Dow components (-0.9%), giving back a small portion of last week's 9.7% advance.

In the bond market, U.S. Treasuries are trading mixed, with shorter-dated issues showing relative strength; the 2-yr yield is down one basis point at 1.51% while the 10-yr yield is up two basis points at 2.28%.

Dow: +63.26… | Nasdaq: +21.92… | S&P: +5.50…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1719/1021. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1671/1007.

09:45AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] The major U.S. indices are modestly higher in the opening minutes of today's session, hovering near their all-time highs. The S&P 500 is up 0.2%.

Most of the 11 sectors are trading in the green, with the financials (+0.4%) and energy (+0.6%) groups exhibiting relative strength. On the flip side, countercyclical groups like consumer staples (unch), utilities (-0.3%), and telecom services (-0.1%) are struggling.

Dow component American Express (AXP 91.44, -1.43) is down 1.5% following news that the Supreme Court will hear an antitrust lawsuit regarding merchant fees. The company is currently the weakest component within the Dow.

Dow: +50.07… | Nasdaq: +17.51… | S&P: +4.45…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1554/1089. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1564/1041.

09:12AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +3.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +16.80.

The stock market is on track to open today's session with a modest gain as the S&P 500 futures are currently trading four points, or 0.1%, above fair value.

Earnings season will start heating up tomorrow, but today's releases will be limited. The most notable company on today's docket is Netflix (NFLX 201.74, +2.25), which will report following the closing bell. Charles Schwab (SCHW 44.80, +0.07) reported earnings earlier this morning, but trades higher by just 0.2% in pre-market action despite beating bottom-line estimates.

In other corporate news, Ruby Tuesday (RT 2.38, +0.39) has surged 19.6% after announcing that it has agreed to be acquired by a fund managed by NRD Capital for $2.40/share in cash. Nordstrom (JWN 40.10, -2.55) has plunged 6.0% after announcing that it has suspended its efforts to go private.

WTI crude is up 1.4% at $52.15/bbl, hitting a new October high, following reports of an Iraqi incursion into Kurdish-held city of Kirkuk, which is home to important oil fields. For background, the Kurds run their own semi-autonomous government in northern Iraq and voted to split from the central government last month.

U.S. Treasuries are modestly lower this morning, sending yields into the green. The 2-yr yield is up two basis points at 1.52% while the 10-yr yield is up just one basis point at 2.29%.

On the data front, the Empire Manufacturing Survey for October rose to 30.2 from the prior month's reading of 24.4. The Briefing.com consensus estimate was pegged at 21.0.

Investors will not receive any other economic data on Monday.

08:51AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +3.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +15.10.

The S&P 500 futures trade four points, or 0.1%, above fair value.

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region began the week on a mostly higher, but fairly quiet, note. South Korea's Navy began joint military drills with U.S. forces while New Zealand remains without a government. New Zealand's National Party leader Bill English said that forming a coalition could take until the end of the week. China's Communist Party Congress will begin on October 18. People's Bank of China Governor Zhou Xiaochuan expects that China's GDP for the second half of the year will hit 7.0%. Governor Zhou added that total debt leverage in China is too high.

In economic data:
China's September New Loans CNY1.27 trillion (expected CNY1.10 trillion; last CNY1.09 trillion). September Outstanding Loan Growth +13.1% year-over-year (expected 13.0%; last 13.2%). September M2 Money Stock +9.2% year-over-year (consensus 8.9%; last 8.9%). September PPI +6.9% year-over-year (consensus 6.3%; last 6.3%). September CPI +0.5% month-over-month (expected 0.4%; last 0.4%); +1.6% year-over-year, as expected (last 1.8%)
Japan's August Industrial Production +2.0% month-over-month (expected 2.1%; last 2.1%) and Capacity Utilization +3.3% month-over-month (last -1.8%)
South Korea's September trade surplus KRW13.60 billion (expected surplus of KRW13.80 billion; last surplus of KRW13.80 billion). September Imports +18.3% year-over-year (consensus 21.7%; last 21.7%) and Exports +25.9% year-over-year (consensus 35.0%; last 35.0%)
India's September WPI Inflation +2.6% year-over-year (consensus 3.41%; last 3.24%)

---Equity Markets---

Japan's Nikkei gained 0.5%. Yokohama Rubber, Okuma, Advantest, Furukawa, Sumitomo Mitsui, Isuzu Motors, TOTO, Japan Tobacco, and Japan Steel Works gained between 1.7% and 3.9%. On the downside, Fast Retailing, Suzuki Motor, Yamaha, Mazda Motor, and Chugai Pharmaceutical posted losses between 0.6% and 1.7%.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng climbed 0.8%. Property names and financials like New World Development, Henderson Land, Wharf Holdings, Bank of China, Ping An Insurance, and Hang Seng Bank advanced between 0.8% and 2.1%. Geely Automobile lost 1.3%.
China's Shanghai Composite lost 0.4%. Eastern Communications, Shanghai Highly Group, Anhui Jianghuai Automobile, and Liaoning SG Automotive surrendered between 5.5% and 6.0%.
India's Sensex rose 0.6%. Bharti Airtel, Mahindra&Mahindra, Tata Motors, Hindustan Unilever, Dr. Reddy's Labs, and Bajaj Auto rallied between 1.8% and 5.0%. Financials were mixed as ICICI Bank rose 1.0%, HDFC Bank added 0.2%, while AXIS Bank lost 1.7%. SBI shed 0.1%.

Major European indices trade modestly higher with Spain's IBEX (-0.6%) showing relative weakness. Catalan President Carles Puigdemont sent an evasive response to Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy's request to confirm last week's independence declaration. Spain's Deputy Prime Minister Soraya Saenz de Santamaria said Mr. Puigdemont has until Thursday to return to the rule of law. Austria will have a conservative coalition government after 31-year old Sebastian Kurz' People's Party secured 31.6% of the vote, followed by Freedom Party of Austria (20.5%). This should be viewed as another headwind for the European Union, which has been unable to appease the nationalist sentiment that has been on the rise in many member states. Reports indicate that the European Central Bank's governing council is deeply divided on announcing an end date for the asset purchase program.

In economic data:
Eurozone August trade surplus EUR16.10 billion (expected surplus of EUR23.30 billion; last surplus of EUR23.20 billion)
Germany's September WPI +0.6% month-over-month (expected 0.4%; last 0.3%); +3.4% year-over-year (last 3.2%)

---Equity Markets---

France's CAC is higher by 0.2% despite losses in most components. ArcelorMittal leads with a gain of 1.5% while Carrefour, Peugeot, Renault, Sanofi, Accor, and Total show gains between 0.6% and 1.3%. Financials are mixed with Societe Generale and BNP Paribas adding 0.1% apiece while Credit Agricole is down 0.2%.
Germany's DAX is up 0.2%. Financials Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank outperform with respective gains of 1.6% and 0.7% while heavyweights like Bayer, Lufthansa, Daimler, and BASF are up between 0.5% and 0.8%.
UK's FTSE is higher by 0.2%. Consumer names like Dixons Carphone, Kingfisher, TUI, Barratt Developments, Burberry, Pearson, and Persimmon show losses between 0.6% and 1.9%. Miners have shown relative strength. Antofagasta, BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto, Anglo American, Glencore, and Randgold Resources are up between 0.3% and 3.4%.
Spain's IBEX has slid 0.6%. Gamesa has dropped 6.5% following Friday's profit warning. Banco Sabadell, Telefonica, BBVA, Caixabank, Bankia, and Bankinter are down between 0.6% and 1.5%.

08:33AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +3.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +15.10.

The S&P 500 futures trade four points, or 0.1%, above fair value.

Just in, the Empire Manufacturing Survey for October rose to 30.2 from the prior month's reading of 24.4. The Briefing.com consensus estimate was pegged at 21.0.

08:00AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +2.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +11.90.

Equity futures are pointing to a modestly higher open for the U.S. equity market this morning as investors try to extend the S&P 500's five-week rally; the benchmark index hasn't posted a weekly loss since the week ended September 8. The S&P 500 futures are currently trading two points, or 0.1%, above fair value.

Earnings season will pick up the pace starting tomorrow, but today's reports will be limited. Charles Schwab (SCHW 44.70, -0.03) is scheduled to deliver its quarterly report before today's opening bell while Netflix (NFLX 201.00, +1.51) will report following today's close. The two companies have added 13.3% and 61.1% year-to-date, respectively.

On the data front, today's lone economic report--the October Empire State Manufacturing Survey (Briefing.com consensus 21)--will be released at 8:30 ET. Housing data will be a focal point this week as the September Housing Starts (Briefing.com consensus 1160K) and Existing Home Sales (Briefing.com consensus 5.29 million) reports are scheduled to be released on Wednesday and Friday, respectively.

U.S. Treasuries are hovering at their flat lines this morning, with the benchmark 10-yr yield unchanged at 2.28%. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index is up 0.1% at 92.98.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures are up 1.3% at $52.14 per barrel, which marks a fresh October high, following reports of an Iraqi incursion into Kurdish-held city of Kirkuk, which is home to important oil fields. For background, the Kurds run their own semi-autonomous government in northern Iraq and voted to split from the central government last month.

Nine of the S&P 500's eleven sectors currently trade in positive territory for the month, with gains ranging between 0.7% (health care) and 2.8% (technology). The energy and telecom services sectors are the two laggards and currently hold month-to-date losses of 0.4% and 5.7%, respectively.

In U.S. corporate news:

Adobe Systems (ADBE 151.44, -2.49): -1.6% after Deutsche Bank downgraded the company to 'Hold' from 'Buy.'
Apple (AAPL 158.32, +1.33): +0.9% after Pacific Crest upgraded the company to 'Overweight' from 'Sector Weight.'

Reviewing overnight developments:

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region began the week on a mostly higher, but fairly quiet, note. Japan's Nikkei +0.5%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng +0.8%, China's Shanghai Composite -0.4%, India's Sensex +0.6%.
In economic data:
China's September New Loans CNY1.27 trillion (expected CNY1.10 trillion; last CNY1.09 trillion). September Outstanding Loan Growth +13.1% year-over-year (expected 13.0%; last 13.2%). September M2 Money Stock +9.2% year-over-year (consensus 8.9%; last 8.9%). September PPI +6.9% year-over-year (consensus 6.3%; last 6.3%). September CPI +0.5% month-over-month (expected 0.4%; last 0.4%); +1.6% year-over-year, as expected (last 1.8%)
Japan's August Industrial Production +2.0% month-over-month (expected 2.1%; last 2.1%) and Capacity Utilization +3.3% month-over-month (last -1.8%)
South Korea's September trade surplus KRW13.60 billion (expected surplus of KRW13.80 billion; last surplus of KRW13.80 billion). September Imports +18.3% year-over-year (consensus 21.7%; last 21.7%) and Exports +25.9% year-over-year (consensus 35.0%; last 35.0%)
India's September WPI Inflation +2.6% year-over-year (consensus 3.41%; last 3.24%)
In news:
South Korea's Navy began joint military drills with U.S. forces.
New Zealand's National Party leader Bill English said that forming a coalition could take until the end of the week.
China's Communist Party Congress will begin on October 18. People's Bank of China Governor Zhou Xiaochuan expects that China's GDP for the second half of the year will hit 7.0%. Governor Zhou added that total debt leverage in China is too high.

Major European indices trade near their flat lines with Spain's IBEX (-0.7%) showing relative weakness. France's CAC +0.1%, Germany's DAX +0.1%, UK's FTSE unch.
In economic data:
Eurozone August trade surplus EUR16.10 billion (expected surplus of EUR23.30 billion; last surplus of EUR23.20 billion)
Germany's September WPI +0.6% month-over-month (expected 0.4%; last 0.3%); +3.4% year-over-year (last 3.2%)
In news:
Catalan President Carles Puigdemont sent an evasive response to Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy's request to confirm last week's independence declaration. Spain's Deputy Prime Minister Soraya Saenz de Santamaria said Mr. Puigdemont has until Thursday to return to the rule of law.
Austria will have a conservative coalition government after 31-year old Sebastian Kurz' People's Party secured 31.6% of the vote, followed by Freedom Party of Austria (20.5%). This should be viewed as another headwind for the European Union, which has been unable to appease the nationalist sentiment that has been on the rise in many member states.
Reports indicate that the European Central Bank's governing council is deeply divided on announcing an end date for the asset purchase program.

06:10AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +2.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +12.60.
06:10AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Nikkei

...21255.56...+10.40

...+0.50%

Hang Seng

...28692.80...+216.40...+0.80%

06:10AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] FTSE

...7540.61...+5.20...+0.10%

DAX

...13013.62...+21.80...+0.20%

04:30PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Stocks finished near the bottom of their narrow trading ranges on Friday, but still managed to eke out a narrow victory. The Nasdaq (+0.2%) finished at a new record high while S&P 500 (+0.1%) and the Dow (+0.1%) settled just a tick below their record marks. Small caps underperformed, sending the Russell 2000 lower by 0.2%. For the week, the S&P 500 added 0.2%.

Financials dominated the earnings front again on Friday after kicking off the third quarter earnings season in the prior session. Bank of America (BAC 25.83, +0.38) surpassed earnings expectations, but Wells Fargo (WFC 53.69, -1.52) disappointed, missing both top and bottom line estimates. As a result, BAC shares climbed 1.5% while WFC shares dropped 2.8%.

The S&P 500's financial sector opened the session with a sizable loss of around 0.9%, but quickly bounced back. In the end, the sector finished little changed.

Investors received several pieces of influential economic data on Friday, including the core Consumer Price Index, which increased less-than-expected in September (+0.1% actual vs +0.2% Briefing.com consensus). The core CPI differs from the total CPI in that it excludes the volatile categories of food and energy.

The cooler-than-expected reading sent Treasury yields into the red; the benchmark 10-yr yield dropped four basis points to 2.28%. However, it didn't have much effect on the market's rate-hike expectations. At the closing bell, the CME FedWatch Tool placed the chances of a December rate hike at 82.9%, virtually unchanged from 82.7% on Thursday.

In total, five of the S&P 500's eleven sectors finished Friday with gains. The technology group (+0.5%) was among the top performers, benefiting from broad strength. HP (HPQ 21.71, +1.31) showed particular resolve, jumping 6.4% to its best mark in over seven years, after raising its guidance for fiscal year 2018 on Thursday evening.

The materials sector (+0.5%) also outperformed, thanks in part to steel and iron ore companies, which rallied after China's monthly imports of iron ore hit an all-time high in September. Reports that President Trump may be fighting for rules in NAFTA that would require automakers to use North American steel also helped fuel buying interest.

On the flip side, industrial stocks slipped, especially transportation names, which sent the Dow Jones Transportation Average lower by 1.0%. JB Hunt Transport (JBHT 104.01, -4.34) was the DJTA's weakest performer, dropping 4.0%, after reporting worse-than-expected earnings.

The health care sector (-0.3%) also lagged, with health insurers like Anthem (ANTM 183.83, -5.91) and Humana (HUM 237.73, -3.71) showing particular weakness following the White House's decision to end the Affordable Care Act's cost-sharing reduction payments. The two companies finished with losses of 3.1% and 1.5%, respectively.

President Trump announced that he will not be certifying the Iran nuclear deal, essentially kicking the deal to Congress, which will have 60 days to decide whether to impose sanctions on Iran that were lifted under the agreement. If Congress does nothing, Mr. Trump vowed to end the accord.

Reviewing Friday's big batch of economic data, which included the Consumer Price Index for September, Retail Sales for September, the preliminary October reading for the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, and Business Inventories for August:

Total CPI increased 0.5% (Briefing.com consensus 0.6%) in September while core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.1% (Briefing.com consensus 0.2%).
The headline numbers were a little softer than expected, which will create some chatter that they could sway the Fed into thinking that it would be prudent to hold off on a rate hike at its December meeting. The key takeaway from our vantage point, though, is that the September CPI report hasn't run afoul of the Fed's price stability mandate. To that end, total CPI is up 2.2% year-over-year, versus 1.9% in August, and core CPI is up 1.7% for the fifth month in a row.
September retail sales increased 1.6% (Briefing.com consensus +1.5%). The prior month's reading was revised to -0.1% from -0.2%. Excluding autos, retail sales increased 1.0% while the Briefing.com consensus expected an increase of 0.8%. The prior month's reading was revised to +0.5% from +0.2%.
The key takeaway from the report is that core retail sales, which exclude auto, gas, building material, and food services and drinking place sales, and which factor into GDP computations, increased a solid 0.6%.
The preliminary reading of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for October rose to 101.1 (Briefing.com consensus 95.6) from 95.1 in September.
The key takeaway from the report is that the positive sentiment occurred among all age and income groups and across all partisan viewpoints. That should presumably bode well for consumer spending, which is the most important driver of GDP growth.
Business Inventories rose 0.7% in August, which is in line with the Briefing.com consensus. The July reading was revised to 0.3% from 0.2%.
The key takeaway from the report is that the inventory build will be a positive component for Q3 GDP forecasts.

On Monday, investors will receive just one piece of economic data--the October Empire State Manufacturing Survey (Briefing.com consensus 21). The report will be released at 8:30 ET.

Nasdaq Composite +22.7% YTD
Dow Jones Industrial Average +15.7% YTD
S&P 500 +14.0% YTD
Russell 2000 +10.7% YTD

Week In Review: Stocks Tick Up As Earnings Season Gets Under Way

The stock market moved modestly higher this week, touching new record highs yet again. The Dow led the advance, adding 0.4%, while the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 each settled with gains of 0.2% apiece. The small-cap Russell 2000 struggled, however, ending the week with a loss of 0.5%.

Financials kicked off the third quarter earnings season on a mostly higher note; JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Citigroup (C), and Bank of America (BAC) all reported better-than-expected earnings. However, Wells Fargo (WFC) missed both top and bottom line estimates. Despite the largely positive showing, the S&P 500's financial sector moved lower, dropping 0.9%.

The retreat wasn't all that surprising as the financial sector did ride a four-week rally into earnings season--climbing 10.6% from September 7 to October 6--and, therefore, was likely overdue for a pull back. A decline in Treasury yields also worked against the sector, which typically benefits from an increase in interest rates. The benchmark 10-yr yield dropped eight basis points to 2.28%.

Softer-than-expected consumer prices had a hand in pushing Treasury yields lower, but did little to dial back the market's rate-hike expectations. The Consumer Price Index increased less than expected in September (0.5% actual vs 0.6% Briefing.com consensus), as did the core Consumer Price Index, which excludes food and energy (0.1% actual vs 0.2% Briefing.com consensus).

The minutes from the September FOMC meeting were also released this week, but contained little to no new information. In short, the minutes showed that the Fed favors staying on a path of gradual rate hikes, although there was growing concern that the factors keeping a lid on inflation may not be transitory after all.

Following this week's events, the CME FedWatch Tool places the chances of a December rate hike at 82.9%, down modestly from 93.1% last week.

Industrial heavyweight General Electric (GE) had a rough showing this week, dropping 5.8%, after announcing that several of its top executives will be leaving the company. JPMorgan lowered its target price for the company to $20 from $22, which weighed on GE shares as well.

AT&T (T) was another notable laggard this week after announcing that its video subscribers declined for the third quarter in a row; the wireless giant finished with a loss of 7.5%.

On a positive note, the world's largest retailer--Wal-Mart (WMT)--jumped 9.7% this week after announcing a new return service that will allow its customers to return items they purchased online or in the store in under 30 seconds. Wal-Mart's brick-and-mortar locations potentially give the company an advantage over internet-based names like Amazon (AMZN) in the area of returns.

Wal-Mart's positive performance helped the S&P 500's consumer staples sector (+1.5%) settle alongside the technology (+1.3%), utilities (+1.3%), and real estate (+1.8%) groups at the top of the sector standings. On the flip side, the telecom services sector was by far the weakest performer--thanks mostly to AT&T--finishing with a loss of 4.6%.

Dow: +30.71… | Nasdaq: +14.29… | S&P: +2.24…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1396/1417. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1742/1165.

Image Price Action Trading @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/price-action-trading.htm

Image Trade Strategies via Volatility Analysis @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm

Image Review of TheStrategyLab @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=84&t=3167

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Special thanks to Bloomberg, Briefing, Reuters and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. Also, thank you for the review of TheStrategyLab performance record...hopefully the links will be useful for you. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Online user name wrbtrader (more info about me) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/wrbtrader.htm
TheStrategyLab Price Action Trading
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
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http://www.thestrategylab.com
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