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Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries.
Bloomberg Video - U.S. Stocks Rise on Consumer Spending, Confidence
Oct. 1 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Gigi Stone reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks gained, building on the biggest September rally since 1939, as higher-than-estimated consumer spending and confidence bolstered optimism in the economic recovery. Bloomberg's Pimm Fox also speaks.
Stocks Kick Off October With Gains
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By CNNMoney.com staff
October 1, 2010: 4:59 PM ET
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- U.S. stocks began the new month higher, clawing out gains Friday as a better-than-expected reading on personal income overshadowed a mixed manufacturing report.
The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) ended 42 points higher, or 0.4%, after gaining more than 70 points earlier. The S&P 500 (SPX) rose 5 points, or 0.4%, and the Nasdaq (COMP) edged up 2 points, or 0.1%.
Stocks finished lower Thursday, but the Dow and S&P 500 still managed to close out the month with their biggest September gains since 1939.
A slightly better-than-expected report on the state of the consumer helped push stocks higher Friday, said Alec Young, equity strategist with S&P Equity Research.
"The consumer is a big source of concern right now, so those numbers being strong was a good sign," he said. "Expectations are still so low that the numbers today were able to easily exceed them."
But an early rally lost some momentum after a key reading of U.S. manufacturing activity fell to a 9-month low, reminding investors that the United States is in for a prolonged period of sluggishness, said Peter Boockvar, chief market strategist with Miller Taback & Co.
Additionally, many investors are holding off on big bets ahead of the midterm elections in November, which will determine control of Congress.
Boockvar said the darkening economic outlook and recent comments from Fed officials have raised expectations that the central bank will accelerate its purchases of U.S. Treasurys -- a policy called quantitative easing -- later this year.
While the move is designed to aid the economy by keeping long-term interest rates low, some investors worry that it could stoke inflation over the long-term. As a result, the U.S. dollar has gone into a tailspin.
The weak dollar has fueled interest in commodities that are priced in the U.S. currency. Gold, which is considered a hedge against inflation, rose to a record high, and oil prices also rallied.
0:00 /1:05September's winners and losers
Economy: The Institute for Supply Management said its index of manufacturing activity slipped to 54.4 in September, from 56.3 in August. Any reading above 50 indicates growth in the sector.
Economists had expected a reading of 54.8, according consensus estimates from Briefing.com. The ISM report also showed that new orders for manufactured goods slowed significantly in August, and that production has also declined.
The report raised fears that the recovery in manufacturing activity is losing steam. A report on manufacturing activity in China helped temper some concerns.
Separately, the U.S. Commerce Department said personal income increased 0.5% in August, while spending rose 0.4%. Economists expected both consumer spending and income to have risen 0.3% in August.
Meanwhile, the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission said in a report Friday that a large investor using an automated trading software to sell futures contracts sparked the stock market "flash crash" on May 6.
Automakers: Auto sales were up from a year ago but failed to gain momentum in September, according to sales figures from major automakers released Friday.
General Motors reported an 11% increase in September sales compared to a year ago, when both dealer inventories and customer demand were severely depressed by the end of the Cash for Clunkers program. But sales fell 6% from August.
Ford (F, Fortune 500) sales jumped 46% from a year ago, but only 2% from August, while Chrysler reported a 61% surge in sales from a year ago, but sales bumped up less than 1% from the previous month. Toyota (TM) posted a 17% increase compared to a year earlier, but sales were down 1% from August.
Companies: The United Airlines and Continental Airlines merger is complete, under the holding company United Continental Holdings, Inc. The company's common stock, which began trading Friday under the ticker symbol UAL (UAL), was up 5.5%.
Hewlett-Packard named Léo Apotheker as its new president and CEO late Thursday. Apotheker previously held top roles at SAP (SAP), including a brief stint as CEO. Shares of HP (HPQ, Fortune 500) fell 3%.
0:00 /1:06HP taps outsider as CEO
BP will use assets in the Gulf of Mexico as collateral for its $20 billion fund for oil spill victims, the company said Friday. BP permanently sealed its Macondo well on Sept. 19, after an oil spill that started there dragged on for more than 5 months. BP (BP) shares rose 1.9%.
World markets: European shares ended mixed. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.8%, Germany's DAX fell 0.3% and France's CAC 40 slid 0.6%.
Asian markets finished the day mostly higher on China's upbeat manufacturing data. The Shanghai Composite soared 1.7%, while Japan's Nikkei rose 0.4%. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong edged lower to 0.1%.
Currencies and commodities: Commodities continued to have a strong showing Friday, while the dollar remained weak.
Crude oil for November delivery surged past $80 a barrel, gaining $1.61, or nearly 2%, to settle at $81.58 a barrel after hitting 7-week highs earlier in the session.
Gold for December delivery climbed to another all-time high, adding $8.20 to settle at $1,317.80 an ounce. The precious metal also touched another intraday record of $1,322 an ounce earlier Friday.
Copper for December delivery gained 3.9 cents to $3.69 a pound, the highest level since July 31, 2008.
Meanwhile, the dollar slipped to a 6-month low against the euro and edged lower versus the Japanese yen and the British pound.
Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year Treasury bond rose, pushing down the yield to 2.51% from 2.52% late Thursday
Yahoo! Finance
4:15 pm : Despite a large dose of generally upbeat data, stocks only managed to muster modest gains in the first session of the fourth quarter.
Income and spending numbers for August were strong. Specifically, personal income increased 0.5%, which is not only greater than the 0.3% increase that had been widely expected, but also the biggest monthly increase in income this year. Spending increased 0.4%, which is greater than the 0.3% increase that had been widely expected and consistent with the prior month's increase. Core personal consumption expenditures increased 0.1% for the fourth straight month, as expected.
The final September reading on consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan improved to 68.2 from 66.6 to exceed the consensus call for 67.0 that had been made by economists polled by Briefing.com.
Construction spending also proved pleasing. It increased 0.4% in August after a 1.4% drop in the prior month. A 0.5% decrease had been widely anticipated.
However, the September ISM Manufacturing Index brought a bit of disappointment. It slipped to 54.4 from 56.3 month-over-month, but a reading closer to 54.8 had been widely expected among economists polled by Briefing.com.
Stocks slid following the release of the data and spent the rest of the morning and early afternoon struggling to find direction. Some light afternoon buying helped the major averages muster modest gains, though.
Though the broader market was slow to follow, financial stocks and energy stocks made out well. Specifically, financials advanced 1.1% with help from investment banks and brokerages (+1.9%) and diversified financial services (+2.5%), while the energy sector advanced 1.3% with help from oil's 2.2% bounce to a six-week closing high of $81.58 per barrel.
Despite the rise in oil prices, shares of air carriers sent the Amex Airline Index up 1.1% to its best level in almost three years.
Bolstered by higher precious metals prices, the materials sector booked a 1.2% gain. The continuous gold contract traded to a new all-time high of $1320.00 per ounce and the continuous silver contract notched a fresh 30-year high of $22.17 per ounce. Gold prices in the monthly contract ended pit trade 0.6% higher at $1317.80 per ounce while silver settled 1.2% higher at $22.06 per ounce.
The climb by precious metals came amid continued weakness in the dollar, which drove the Dollar Index down 0.8% for its eighth loss in 10 sessions. That streak of weakness has taken the greenback to an eight-month low.
Tech stocks lagged almost all session. The sector fell to a 0.1% loss. It was the only sector to settle lower. Hewlett-Packard (HPQ 40.75, -1.32) was a primary source of weakness as investors reacted negatively new the company's selection of Leo Apotheker, former head of SAP, as its new CEO and President.
Accenture (ACN 44.39, +1.90) was the only widely-held name out with quarterly earnings since the prior session's close. The company's bottom line bested expectations and its outlook also made room for a positive surprise. Analysts at Wells Fargo awarded the stock with an upgrade.
Advancing Sectors: Energy (+1.3%), Materials (+1.2%), Financials (+1.1%), Telecom (+0.9%), Utilities (+0.7%), Consumer Staples (+0.3%), Consumer Discretionary (+0.1%), Industrials (+0.1%), Health Care (+0.1%)
Declining Sectors: Tech (-0.1%)DJ30 +41.63 NASDAQ +2.13 NQ100 -0.1% R2K +0.5% SP400 +0.2% SP500 +5.04 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1495/1.93 bln/1104 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2032/1.08 bln/923
3:30 pm : The story today in commodities was the large sell of in grains, which dropped 4.5%. Dec corn shed 6.1% to close at $4.65 per bushel. It closed limit down and extended yesterday's sell off which were mainly due to the inventory build in corn noted in the USDA's quarterly stocks report. Nov soybeans dropped 4.5% to end at $10.57 per bushel.
Nov crude oil finished added an additional 2.2% to finish at $81.58 per barrel. It rallied for over 7.5% on the week, marking its best weekly advance since mid-Feb. Global economic data helped crude oil extend its recent rally to a seventh consecutive session and to its best levels in seven weeks. Nov natural gas finished lower by 2% to $3.80 per MMBtu, marking its second straight day of losses.
The continuous gold contract traded to a new all-time high, at $1320.00 per ounce, in mid morning trade, while the continuous silver contract notched a fresh 30 yr high at $22.17 per ounce. Dec gold ended higher by 0.6% to $1317.80 per ounce while Dec silver finished up 1.2% to $22.06 per ounce. DJ30 +49.50 NASDAQ +5.09 SP500 +5.95 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1513/1.6 bln/1065 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2062/785.8 mln/884
3:00 pm : Financial stocks have attracted support with the arrival of the final hour of trade. The sector has jumped ahead to a 1.2% gain, which is more than double what is currently displayed by the S&P 500.
Within the financial sector, investment banks and brokerages (+2.1%) are the best all around performers, but diversified financial services giant Citigroup (C 4.09, +0.18) is the strongest individual component. Shares of C are also atop the list of most actively traded names by volume this session. DJ30 +50.90 NASDAQ +2.50 SP500 +5.59 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1443/1.46 bln/1098 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2050/715 mln/895
2:30 pm : This afternoon's seesaw trade continues. That action has left the Nasdaq oscillating along the neutral lline and both the Dow and S&P 500 plodding along with modest gains.
Airline stocks are strong, though. In turn, the Amex Airline Index is up 1.2%. That move puts the Airline Index at its best level in almost three years.
The move by airline stocks comes in the face of higher oil prices, which are headed into the close of pit trade with a 2.0% gain at $81.60 per barrel. DJ30 +48.25 NASDAQ +1.80 SP500 +5.45 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1392/1.36 bln/1140 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1973/660 mln/966
2:00 pm : The resumption of listless trade has caused stocks to hand back some of their recent gains. The action has made for a rather uninteresting start to the fourth quarter.
The final quarter has provided plenty more positive returns than losses for the S&P 500 this decade. Only twice since 2000 has the S&P 500 failed to make a gain in the fourth quarter. Including those two losses, the average fourth quarter return for the S&P 500 since 2000 stands at 1.7%, excluding dividends. Notably, the average has been dragged down by the near 23% drop that stocks suffered in the fourth quarter of 2008.DJ30 +38.83 NASDAQ +0.53 SP500 +4.54 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1314/1.26 bln/1195 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1908/605 mln/1027
1:30 pm : Stocks have worked their way to their best levels since this morning. Still, current gains are only about half of what the stock market had sported at its session high.
Nonetheless, support is broadening. As such, only the health care sector (-0.2%) is still in the red.
Volatility has come down with the stock market's latest lift. Specifically, the Volatility Index is off by 3.5%. DJ30 +40.57 NASDAQ +2.11 SP500 +4.25 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1333/1.17 bln/1180 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1905/542 mln/1036
1:00 pm : Early buying drove stocks markedly higher, but a heavy dose of data has left the major averages mixed.
Stocks ended September in lackluster fashion, but staged a nice rebound this morning. The early advance lost support, though, as participants came to fully digest today's data.
Among the announcements, personal income and spending during August increased 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively. Both were better than expected. Core personal consumption expenditures increased 0.1% month-over-month, as expected.
The final Consumer Sentiment Survey for September from the University of Michigan made a surprisingly strong improvement to 68.2, and construction spending in August made a surprise 0.4% increase. However, the September ISM Manufacturing Index slipped a bit more than expected to 54.4 from 56.3 in August.
The stock market surrendered its gains shortly after the data's release. It has since struggled to find direction.
Energy stocks have been strong performers, though. The sector is currently up 1.1% amid broad support for the sector's components. A 1.7% rally by oil prices to $81.35 per barrel has helped.
Tech stocks, which collectively represent the largest sector by market weight, have been mired for most of the session. The sector is currently down 0.1% as Hewlett-Packard (HPQ 40.64, -1.43) slumps following news that the company has hired Leo Apotheker, former head of SAP, as its new CEO and President.
Accenture (ACN 44.41, +1.92) was the only widely held name out with earnings. The company posted a better-than-expected bottom line and even issued upside guidance. That was enough to win the shares an upgrade by analysts at Wells Fargo.
Treasuries have been unable to break out of the red. That has the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note up a couple of basis points to 2.53% and the yield on the 30-year Bond at 2.53%.
The dollar's funk continues as it contends with a 0.7% loss. Its latest fit of weakness has taken it to a fresh eight-month low. DJ30 +34.59 NASDAQ -1.14 SP500 +3.03 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1185/1.06 bln/1306 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1755/498 mln/1165
12:30 pm : The major indices remain mixed, but a bevy of names have made their way to new 52-week highs on solid trading volume. The list of those at highs includes Crucell (CRXL 33.69, +0.41), Seattle Genetics (SGEN 15.65, +0.12), America Movil (AMX 53.81, +0.48), Chunghwa Telecom (CHT 22.54, +0.12), MetroPCS Communications (PCS 10.86, +0.40), Almaden Minerals (AAU 3.16, +0.33), Pan American Silver (PAAS 29.77, +0.18), Banco Bradesco (BBD 20.71, +0.33), ICICI Bank Limited (IBN 50.91, +1.06), American Oil & Gas (AEZ 8.32, +0.23), Enerplus Resources (ERF 26.11, +0.36), Conocho Resources (CXO 67.03, +0.86), DemandTec (DMAN 10.48, +1.07), and Infosys (INFY 69.95, +2.64). DJ30 +27.32 NASDAQ -2.81 SP500 +2.19 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1129/990 mln/1320 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1683/460 mln/1218
12:00 pm : Stocks have made a bit of a bounce in the past few minutes, but the major averages still aren't back to the session highs that they set earlier today.
Treasuries have been caught up in some sideways trade for quite a while now. That has kept the benchmark 10-year Note stuck at the neutral line. Treasuries had been under pressure this morning, when stocks had shown strength, but their attempt to rally has been stymied. DJ30 +26.95 NASDAQ +0.44 SP500 +2.81 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1272/904 mln/1160 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1826/415 mln/1073
11:30 am : The stock market has been unable to make a move up from the flat line, where it has spent most of the past hour. The lackluster action comes as the 10 major sectors trade mixed, such that half are in the red and half are higher.
Sellers continue to take the dollar lower. It is now down 0.7% to to trade at its worst level in eight months. Most of its weakness has come amid strong gains by the euro, which is currently up 0.9% to a six-month high. DJ30 +5.15 NASDAQ -6.80 SP500 +0.10 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 996/793 mln/1395 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1560/368 mln/1315
11:00 am : The major equity averages are chopping along the neutral line after giving up their opening gains. Tech (-0.1%), consumer staples (-0.1%), consumer discretionary (-0.1%), and health care (-0.3%) stocks make up the major sectors currently in the red.
Energy stocks continue to outperform. The sector's 0.9% gain comes amid renewed strength in oil and gas equipment stocks (+0.8%), oil and gas explorers (+0.8%), and integrated oil and gas outfits (+0.9%). Within the energy sector, Occidental Petroleum (OXY 81.05, +2.75) is sporting the best percentage gain. It is also among the most actively traded names by volume within the space. DJ30 +21.65 NASDAQ -4.41 SP500 +1.38 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1028/675 mln/1313 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1616/309 mln/1219
10:30 am : Weakness in the dollar index is giving a boost to crude oil and precious metals this morning, while natural gas is weak.
November natural gas has been in the red all session so far today after closing nine cents lower yesterday, following bearish inventory data. It hit session lows today of $3.81 per MMBtu just over two hours ago and is now 0.7% lower at $3.84 per MMBtu.
Meanwhile, November crude oil has been in positive territory all day. Minutes ago, the energy component pushed to new session highs of $81.47 per barrel, but has since pulled back and is now at $80.70 per barrel, up 0.9%.
Precious metals have also shown strength all morning. December gold is currently up 0.8% at $1320.50 per ounce, while December silver is 1.4% higher at $22.13 per ounce.
DJ30 +23.92 NASDAQ -1.39 SP500 +1.45 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1079/466.3 mln/1200 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1693/226.3 mln/1090
10:00 am : Stocks have slipped following a flurry of data. Among the announcements, the September ISM Manufacturing Index slipped to 54.4 from 56.3 in August, but the consensus among economists polled by Briefing.com had called for a reading of 54.8.
Construction spending for August increased 0.4%, but that was better than the 0.5% decrease that had been widely anticipated after a downwardly revised 1.4% drop in spending during in the prior month.
The final Consumer Sentiment Survey for September from the University of Michigan came in at 68.2, which is up from the 66.6 that had been reported in the preliminary reading. The final reading also contrasts with the 67.0 that had been expected among economists polled by Briefing.com.
Advancing Sectors: Energy (+1.0%), Materials (+0.8%), Industrials (+0.6%), Consumer Discretionary (+0.5%), Financial (+0.5%), Telecom (+0.4%), Tech (+0.3%), Utilities (+0.2%), Consumer Staples (+0.2%), Health Care (+0.1%)
Declining Sectors: (None)DJ30 +65.09 NASDAQ +16.11 SP500 +7.55 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1513/269 mln/715 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2096/146 mln/631
09:45 am : Stocks opened the session with strong gains, but were a bit quick to back off the initial high. Still, gains remain broad as all 10 major sectors trade in the green.
Energy stocks make up the strongest sector, so far. Their 1.3% gain puts them out in front of the broader market for the second straight session. A 1.4% gain in oil prices to $81.10 per barrel, a fresh three-week high, has helped support interest in the sector.
Education services stocks are also out in front of the broader market as they continue to build on recent strength. As such, Corinthian Colleges (COCO 7.23, +0.21), DeVry (DV 50.72, +1.51), and Apollo Group (APOL 52.89, +1.54) are each up about 3%. DJ30 +64.94 NASDAQ +17.75 SP500 +8.36 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1477/160 mln/665 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2079/95 mln/588
09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +7.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +14.50. Stock futures point to a strong start to trade, but the opening gain is likely to leave the S&P 500 about 15 points shy of the four-month high that it set during the prior session. The generally positive tone of premarket trade comes amid a solid personal income and spending report for September and varied gains across Europe and Asia, despite somewhat mixed data out of the two continents. Data will remain in focus for the rest of the morning as participants prepare for the final Consumer Sentiment Survey of September at 9:55 AM ET, and the September ISM Manufacturing Index and construction spending figures for August at 10:00 AM ET. Vehicle sales numbers for September will be released intermittently throughout the day. Traders will also keep an eye on the dollar, which has fallen to a fresh eight-month low with its latest descent. The greenback currently trails a basket of competing currencies by 0.5%. Treasuries are also under a bit of pressure this morning. The benchmark 10-year Note is off by about 13 ticks, but the 30-year Bond has already handed over a full point.
09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +6.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +13.80. Futures for the S&P 500 continue to trade with strength, but they still aren't back to their early morning highs. Meanwhile, Germany's DAX has recovered from a recent slip to trade with a 0.5% gain as advancers have come to outnumber declining issues by about 3-to-2. Thyssenkrupp is atop the list of leading issues, but BMW is among the lagging movers. The gains come in the face of news Germany's PMI Manufacturing Index for September slipped to 55.1 from 58.2 in August, and retail sales in the country slipped 0.2% in August after a 0.4% decline in July. France's CAC is currently flat. Energy giant Total (TOT) and steel outfit ArcelorMittal (MT) have providing support, but their efforts have been offset by weakness in BNP Paribas, LVMH Moet Hennesy, and Sanofi-Aventis (SNY). Britain's FTSE is up to a 0.9% gain. It is currently led by BP Plc (BP), BG Group, and HSBC (HBC), which was recently added to the Conviction Buy List at Goldman Sachs. "Vice" stocks British American Tobacco and SABMiller have lagged, however. Britain's PMI Manufacturing Index for September slipped to 53.4 from 54.3 in August. As for the broader eurozone, its PMI Manufacturing Index for September slipped to 53.7 from 55.1 from August. Eurozone unemployment for August held steady at 10.1%. The rate for July was revised upward to 10.1% from 10.0%.
In Asia, Japan's Nikkei advanced 0.3% amid strength in Softbank, Canon (CAJ), and Kyocera (KYO). NTT Data and Sony (SNE) were drags, though. The action comes after the Nikkei closed out September with a 2.4% monthly gain and a fractional loss for the quarter. Data indicated that household spending in August increased 1.7%, which is greater than the 1.1% increase that had been recorded for the same period one year ago. CPI in Japan fell 0.9% during August. That was consistent with the decline one year ago. Japan's jobless rate came in at 5.1% in August after it stood at 5.2% in July. Trade in China was suspended for holiday observance, but the PMI Manufacturing Index for August was released. It improved to 53.8 from 51.7 in July.
08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +5.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +13.80. Stock futures continue to trade with strength following the latest dose of data. Personal income for August increased 0.5%, which is greater than the 0.3% increase that had been expected, on average, among economists polled by Briefing.com. Income in the prior month increased 0.2%. Spending for August increased 0.4%, which is greater than the 0.3% increase that had been widely expected, but consistent with the 0.4% increase of the prior month. Also consistent with the prior month, core personal consumption expenditures increased 0.1% month-over-month, as expected.
08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +5.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +13.80. Index futures suggest that stocks are ready to recoup their losses from the prior session. Coming up, though, are personal income and spending figures (8:30 AM ET), the final consumer sentiment survey for the month (9:55 AM ET), and the latest ISM Manufacturing Index and construction spending numbers (10:00 AM ET). Commodities have caught a bid, too. Their bounce comes amid another 0.5% drop in the dollar, which set a fresh eight-month low overnight. Corporate news remains light, but Accenture (ACN) is out with better-than-expected earnings and upside guidance. The stock has been subsequently upgraded by analysts at Wells Fargo. Also, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) announced that Leo Apotheker will be CEO and President of the company. Apotheker came from the German software outfit SAP.
06:39 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +6.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +13.80.
06:39 am : Nikkei...9404.23...+34.90...+0.40%. Hang Seng...Holiday.........
06:39 am : FTSE...5606.22...+57.50...+1.00%. DAX...6286.30...+57.10...+0.90%.
Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries.
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