Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
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click on the above image to view today's performance verification
Price Action Trade Performance for Today: +8.70 points or $870 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.
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To join our free chat room...log-in instructions located at a different forum @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=630
Also, posted below are direct links to information about my price action trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).
WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=119&t=718. Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our price action trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR). Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=162&t=1492 -----------------------------
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The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED/ECB/IMF actions or any important global economic events that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables (key market events) causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that results in swing points and strong continuation price actions. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for my technical analysis. Just as important, these summaries becomes my archives to allow me to understand what was happening on any given trading day in the past...something I can not get from my broker statements alone.
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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets
NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stocks fell Monday as investors lowered their expectations for a key summit of European Union leaders later this week.
The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) tumbled 138 points, or 1.1%, to end at 12,503. The S&P 500 (SPX) slid 21 points, or 1.6%, to 1,314. The Nasdaq (COMP) sank 56 points, or 1.9%, to 2,836.
Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) and Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500) were the worst performers on the Dow, while Wal-Mart (WMT, Fortune 500) bucked the trend. Shares of the world's largest retailer rose 1.3%.
The selloff was driven by doubts that EU leaders will come up with a "game-changer" at a two-day meeting that starts Thursday.
"The eurozone crisis is deepening as investors have little faith in a culmination of any sort of agreement on how to deal with the situation at this week's EU summit," said Angus Campbell, a market analyst at London-based Capital Spreads, in a note to clients.
The leaders are expected to discuss steps towards a so-called banking union and other measures to boost economic activity. But investors are skeptical that Germany will back more radical moves to share the debt burden of struggling euro area governments.
"Investors have all too often seen these summits before ending with little in the way of a resolution," said Campbell. "The markets are crying out for the bazooka that will put an end to the uncertainty, but unfortunately Europe's paymaster Germany is unwilling to pull the trigger."
Spain was in focus Monday after the government officially requested EU loans to help bailout the nation's banks.
Shares of Santander (SAN) and BBVA (BBVA), the two largest Spanish banks, were both down more than 5%.
Spain's borrowing costs have risen recently to record highs above 7%, although the yield on 10-year Spanish bonds stood at about 6.6% Monday. Some investors fear that Spain may need a bailout similar to those given to Greece, Portugal and Ireland.
"If you didn't really want to buy Spanish bonds, you certainly don't want to after this formal request," said Elisabeth Afseth, a fixed income analyst with Investec in London.
Meanwhile, Greek finance minister Vassilis Rapanos, who has been hospitalized since Friday, resigned, and Cyprus became the fifth eurozone country to seek a bailout.
Shares of the National Bank of Greece (NBG) dropped 12%, and GREK (GREK), a Greek ETF, fell 7.5%.
U.S. stocks closed higher Friday, one day after fears of slow growth and bank downgrades sent them spiraling downward.
World markets: European stocks ended the day sharply lower. Britain's FTSE 100 (UKX) slid 1.1%, the DAX (DAX) in Germany dropped 1.8% and France's CAC 40 (CAC40) lost 2.1%.
Asian markets ended lower. The Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) stumbled 1.6%, the Hang Seng (HSI) in Hong Kong shed 0.5% and Japan's Nikkei (N225) fell 0.7%.
* Video - How Bank Downgrades Affect You
Economy: New home sales for May rose at a seasonally adjusted annual rate 369,000, according to government data. Sales were expected to come in at 350,000, according to a survey of analysts by Briefing.com, up from 343,000 in the prior month.
Companies: Shares of BlackBerry-maker Research In Motion (RIMM) fell 7.5% after analysts at Morgan Stanley reportedly downgraded the stock.
Shares of Finnish cell phone company Nokia (NOK) fell 7.8% to a new 52-week low of $2.14. Another ailing wireless giant, Sprint (S, Fortune 500), was down 6%.
Shares of Parsippany, N.J.-based Watson Pharmaceuticals (WPI) rose on news that U.S. drug regulators gave it permission to produce generic forms of Adderall XR. Until now, Ireland's Shire (SHPGY) has been the only producer of the drug, administered to those diagnosed with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder.
Shares of JC Penney (JCP, Fortune 500) fell amid ongoing worries about the retailer's management. Last week, the company announced that its president was stepping down after less than nine months on the job.
Chesapeake Energy (CHK, Fortune 500) faced continued speculation that the natural gas producer is a takeover target. Its stock plunged 8% after a Reuters investigation revealed that the company and its competitors artificially held down land prices.
Currencies and commodities: The dollar gained strength against the euro and British pound, but fell versus the Japanese yen.
Oil for August delivery fell 55 cents to end at $79.21 a barrel.
Gold futures for August delivery rose $21.50 to settle at $1,588.40 an ounce.
Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rose, pushing the yield down to 1.62% from 1.67% late Friday.
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4:15 pm : Stocks finished off their lows, but still ended with large losses as negative headlines from Europe continued to flow. The headlines started with Spain formally requesting EUR100 billion to recapitalize its banks, and continued with the resignation of Greece’s newly appointed finance minister along with Cyprus asking the European Union for help. A small rally in the final hour of the session helped the major averages climb off their worst levels, but the S&P 500 still ended down 1.6%.
European bank stocks were hit hard on today’s news flow as Deutsche Bank (DB 34.28, -1.70) and Barclays (BCS 12.07, -0.54) fell 4.7% and 4.3% respectively.
Homebuilders ran to session highs following this morning’s better than expected new home sales number, but were unable to hold those levels. New home sales in May hit an annualized rate of 369,000, which is up from April's unrevised rate of 343,000, and better than the rate of 350,000 that had been broadly expected. The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB 19.55, -0.30) lost 1.5%.
Health care stocks were under pressure as markets await the Supreme Court’s decision on the constitutionality of Obamacare. With the Supreme Court issuing its last opinions of the term on June 28, an announcement will occur in the next couple of days. Athena Healthcare (ATHN 78.38, -0.68), Accretive Health (AH 11.16, -0.76), and CVS Caremark (CVS 45.20, -0.70) will all be in play on the announcement.
Chesapeake Energy (CHK 17.03, -1.58) and Encana Corp. (ECA 19.04, -0.82) saw large losses following reports the two companies together attempted to suppress land prices. The companies reportedly discussed ways to prevent bidding against one another in at least nine perspective deals in Michigan.
One bright spot in today’s selloff was the fertilizer sector which was upgraded at Dahlman Rose. CF Industries (CF 183.66, +5.97), Potash Corp. (POT 41.01, +0.67), and Mosaic (MOS 51.10, +0.52) were among those who saw strong gains. The sector’s upgrade comes at a time when grain prices continue to climb amid dry weather in key crop areas.
Treasuries saw a solid advance as buying dropped the 10-yr yield 6.4 basis points to 1.608%. Today’s aggressive buying flattened the yield curve as the 2-10-yr spread narrowed to 130.5 basis points.
The Dollar Index saw modest strength, closing up 0.2% at 82.45. Gains were strongest against the euro and the Australian dollar at 0.5% and 0.6% respectively. The Japanese yen was the biggest beneficiary from today’s flight to safety, gaining 1.5% against both the euro and the Australian dollar.
Tuesday will see the Case-Shiller 20-city Index released at 9 am ET and consumer confidence cross the wires at 10 am ET. Treasury will auction $35 bln 2-yr notes.DJ30 -138.12 NASDAQ -56.26 SP500 -21.30 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 646/1.45 bln/1870 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 712/753.7 mln/2346
3:30 pm : Crude oil spent its entire pit session in negative territory, dipping as low as $78.01 per barrel in afternoon action. However, the energy component came off its lows as it inched higher into the close. Crude ultimately settled down 0.7% at $79.18 per barrel. It is worth noting that according to reports, the European Union formally approved a ban on Iranian oil that will take effect on July 1. On the other hand, natural gas continued last week's advance, touching a session high of $2.72 per MMBtu. It trended slightly lower for the remainder of the session, but still finished pit trade with a 2.3% gain at $2.69 per MMBtu.
Precious metals inched higher in morning trade and picked up steam around noon despite the strong dollar. Buyers reacted to signs of a worsening Eurozone debt crisis as Greece's newly appointed finance minister resigned and Cyprus formally asked the European Union for help. Gold touched a session high of $1589.00 per ounce and closed just below that level at $1588.00 for a gain of 1.4%. Silver popped to a session high of $27.59 per ounce moments before it settled with a gain of 3.1% at $27.50 per ounce. The European Union Summit will take place later this week, and should have an impact on action in the precious metals market.DJ30 -127.49 NASDAQ -49.99 SP500 -19.18 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 624/1.15 bln/1870 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 682/468.6 mln/2392
3:00 pm : Treasuries ended off their best levels of the session, but still saw solid gains as traders shed risk and moved into the safety of the complex. The long bond finished the day up more than one and a half points to close at 106 16/32. Today's decline in the 10-yr yield is of interest as its drop of 6.4 basis points to 1.608% has it testing support in the 1.550%/1.600% area. Aggressive flattening of the yield curve saw the 2-10-yr spread narrow to 130.5 basis points. Tuesday will see the Case-Shiller 20-city Index released at 9 am ET and consumer confidence cross the wires at 10 am ET. Treasury will auction $35 billion 2-yr notes.DJ30 -157.84 NASDAQ -58.55 SP500 -23.12 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 605/1.05 bln/1863 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 645/420.8 mln/2417
2:25 pm : The major averages are slowly climbing off session lows, but still hold sizable losses with the S&P 500 down 1.5%.
European bank stocks are seeing heavy losses as negative headlines continue to emerge from the region. Deutsche Bank (DB 34.24, -1.74) and Barclays (BCS 12.11, -0.50) are trading down 4.8% and 4.0% respectively after Spain formally asked for EUR100 billion to recapitalize its banks. The stocks saw little reaction to the news that Greek Finance Minister Vassilis Rapanos is resigning from his post and that Cyprus had officially requested aid from the European Union, leading some to believe that the negative news is priced in for at least the time being. Markets now shift their attention to the EU Summit which will take place on Thursday and Friday in Brussels.DJ30 -138.54 NASDAQ -53.28 SP500 -20.76 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 619/388.3 mln/1846 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 658/387.9 mln/2373
2:00 pm : The Dollar Index is off its best levels, but still holds modest gains as afternoon trade hovers near 82.45. The greenback has benefitted from today’s safety bid, moving higher against all of the major currencies aside from the Japanese yen. Headlines emerging from the Eurozone continue to weigh on the single currency as selling has it testing near-term support in the 1.2500 area. Traders are also taking note of the weakness in the Australian dollar, which has dropped below dollar parity for the first time since June 15. The biggest winner in the complex is the yen which trades up 1.8% against the Australian dollar and 1.6% against the euro. DJ30 -149.97 NASDAQ -55.64 SP500 -22.11 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 584/884.5 mln/1872 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 595/355.9 mln/2441
1:30 pm : Equity markets continue to trade around their session lows, with the S&P 500 down 1.8%. The S&P 500 has lost 3.3% since last Wednesday's Fed meeting. One of the next macro events for the market will be this week's EU Summit, which is scheduled for Thursday and Friday. While expectations are low for the event, it has the potential to be a broad market catalyst.
In addition, there are several pieces of U.S. data due out this week. New home sales was the only economic data point released today, and it came in above expectations. However, it had little market impact, and the initial gains quickly evaporated. Other pieces of economic data due out over the remainder of the week include June consumer confidence tomorrow, May durable orders and pending home sales on Wednesday, initial jobless claims and the second revision to Q1 GDP on Thursday, and finally, June Chicago PMI, May personal income and spending and the final June Michigan Sentiment reading on Friday.
Next week, employment data will be in focus with the monthly employment report from the BLS due out on Friday (July 6). DJ30 -154.85 NASDAQ -55.11 SP500 -22.74 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 543/820.0 mln/1899 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 561/327.5 mln/2479
1:00 pm : The major market averages are under pressure in afternoon trade as European worries persist. The latest news flow out of the region indicates newly appointed Greek Finance Minister Vassilis Rapanos is resigning from his post, and that Cyprus has officially requested aid from the European Union. The Nasdaq is the worst performing of the major averages, currently sporting a loss of 1.9%.
Homebuilders ran to session highs following this morning’s better than expected new home sales number, but are now slipping back towards their lows. New home sales in May hit an annualized rate of 369,000, which is up from April's unrevised rate of 343,000, and better than the rate of 350,000 that had been broadly expected. The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB 19.56, -0.29) currently trades down 1.5%.
Health care stocks are under pressure as markets await the Supreme Court’s decision on the constitutionality of Obamacare. With the Supreme Court issuing its last opinions of the term on June 28, an announcement will occur in the next couple of days. Athena Healthcare (ATHN 78.77, -0.29), Accretive Health (AH 11.31, -0.61), and CVS Caremark (CVS 44.94, -0.96) will all be in play on the announcement.
Chesapeake Energy (CHK 16.97, -1.64) and Encana Corp. (ECA 18.92, -0.94) are seeing large losses this morning following reports the two companies together attempted to suppress land prices. The companies reportedly discussed ways to prevent bidding against one another in at least nine perspective deals in Michigan.
One bright spot in today’s selloff is the fertilizer sector which was upgraded at Dahlman Rose. CF Industries (CF 183.10, +5.41), Potash Corp. (POT 40.85, +0.51), and Mosaic (MOS 50.85, +0.27) are among those seeing strong gains. The sector’s upgrade comes at a time when grain prices continue to climb amid dry weather in key crop areas.
Treasuries are seeing strong gains as heavy buying of longer dated maturities has those yields down as much as nine basis points. The benchmark 10-yr yield is down more than six basis points on the, session and is holding near 1.610%. Flattening along the yield curve has the 2-10-yr spread tighter at 130 basis points. DJ30 -156.51 NASDAQ -55.79 SP500 -23.13 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 544/751.2 mln/1881 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 549/299.9 mln/2475
12:30 pm : Treasuries continue to climb higher as European debt worries persist. The latest headlines to emerge from the Eurozone suggest newly appointed Greek Finance Minister Vassilis Rapanos is resigning from his post, and that Cyprus has formally requested aid from the European Union. A gain of almost two points has the 30-yr bond up to 106 20/32 while dropping its yield to 2.675% where it is on track for its lowest close since June 5. Meanwhile, the 10-yr yield is down 6.9 basis points at 1.606%. Flattening continues along the yield curve as the 2-10-yr spread has narrowed to 130.5 basis points. DJ30 -154.32 NASDAQ -55.47 SP500 -23.00 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 502/697.7 mln/1920 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 531/278.7 mln/2462
12:00 pm : The major averages remain on session lows as a loss of 2.0% has the Nasdaq pacing the decline.
One bright spot in today's selloff is the fertilizer sector which was upgraded at Dahlman Rose. CF Industries (CF 181.27, +3.58), Potash Corp. (POT 40.78, +0.44), and Mosaic (MOS 108.14, +0.56) are among those seeing solid gains. The sector's upgrade comes at a time when grain prices continue to climb amid dry weather in key crop areas. DJ30 -165.90 NASDAQ -59.15 SP500 -24.06 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 496/611.0 mln/1917 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 526/245.8 mln/2456
11:30 am : Stocks remain trapped near session lows with the Nasdaq down 1.8% to lead the decline.
Shares of Chesapeake Energy (CHK 17.25, -1.36) and Encana (ECA 18.91, -0.95) are seeing large losses this morning following reports the two companies together attempted to suppress land prices. The companies reportedly discussed ways to prevent bidding against one another in at least nine perspective deals in Michigan. DJ30 -145.54 NASDAQ -53.12 SP500 -21.20 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 500/516.2 mln/1898 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 538/215.1 mln/2421
10:55 am : The major market averages hold near session lows, unable to sustain any attempt at a rally. The Nasdaq paces today’s decline with a loss of 1.7% while the Dow outperforms with a 1.3% loss.
Health care stocks are under pressure this morning as markets await the outcome of the Supreme Court’s ruling on Obamacare. The Supreme Court will issue its last opinions of the term on June 28, meaning an announcement will occur in the next couple of days. Athena Healthcare (ATHN 78.21, -0.85), Accretive Health (AH 11.65, -0.27), and CVS Caremark (CVS 45.14, -0.76) are all in play on the decision.DJ30 -148.11 NASDAQ -47.96 SP500 -20.22 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 463/412.5 mln/1912 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 490/180.5 mln/2439
10:35 am : Commodities are mixed this morning as the dollar index is trading higher, and currently near its session high.
In the energy space, Aug crude oil has been trending lower all session and just hit a new session low of $78.19. WTI crude attempted to rally higher a short while ago and moved just above $79 again, but lost steam and is now closer to the $78.50 mark. In current action, WTI crude is down 1.3% to $78.73. Brent crude oil is currently down 0.9% at $90.18.
July natural gas is showing strong gains this morning. Tropical Storm Debby is playing a part in oil and nat gas today as the storm is causing some production shutdowns. However, these are not helping crude prices much this morning. Currently, nat gas is up 3.1% at $2.71/MMBtu.
In metals, August gold and July silver were basically at the flat line in very early morning activity. In more recent trade, both gold and silver rallied, which pushed gold to a new session high of $1577.00 and silver just one penny short of its session high of $26.85. Gold is now up 0.4% at $1573.40/oz and silver is up 0.5% at $26.78.DJ30 -155.23 NASDAQ -50.45 SP500 -20.02 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 461/328.0 mln/1902 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 458/150 mln/2415
10:05 am : New home sales in May hit an annualized rate of 369,000, which is up from April's unrevised rate of 343,000, and better than the rate of 350,000 that had been broadly expected. Although the broad market has been unable to extend its rebound, shares of the SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB 19.71, -0.14) has moved well off its lows.DJ30 -123.21 NASDAQ -37.89 SP500 -16.43 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 460/194.7 mln/1838 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 490/100.9 mln/2339
09:45 am : Equity markets have opened sharply lower as the Nasdaq paces early weakness with a loss of 1.5% while slight outperformance can be found in the Dow which is lower by 1.2%. All of the S&P 500 sectors are trading in negative territory with energy (-2.2%), financials (-2.1%), and industrials leading the decline. New home sales are due out at 10 am ET.DJ30 -144.86 NASDAQ -39.85 SP500 -17.92 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1772/114.5 mln/737 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2092/70.9 mln/953
09:15 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -13.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -22.00. Futures point to sizable losses at the open as markets begin to price in another disappointing European Union summit. Macro data has been so far non-existent while headlines out of Spain point to the country formally asking for EUR100 billion to recapitalize its banks. Heavy selling has S&P futures down close to 12 points while Treasuries are seeing a solid bid. A decline of 5 basis points has dropped the 10-yr yield to 1.625%. Today’s data is light with new home sales due out at 10 am ET.
08:59 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -13.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -25.20. Treasuries have climbed to their best levels of the morning as equity futures slip back onto their lows. Heavy buying of the long bond has it now up one and a half points at 106 10/32 while an advance of 20/32 has the 10-yr note nearing 101 10/32. Longer dated yields are down as much as 7.5 basis points with the 30-yr sliding to 2.690%. Elsewhere, the benchmark 10-yr yield is testing the 1.600% threshold. Aggressive flattening of the yield curve has the 2-10-yr spread tighter at 132 basis points.
08:30 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -12.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -22.50. The major Asian bourses (Nikkei -0.7%, Hang Seng -0.5%, Shanghai -1.6%) finished lower as markets began to price in another disappointing European Union summit. News flow out of the region was quiet; however, India announced it was increasing its foreign debt cap by $5 billion in an effort to stem the rupee's slide. China’s Shanghai Composite (-1.6%) fell to its lowest level in six months as commodity-related names and real estate developers saw heavy selling. Jiangxi Copper fell 3.9% while China Vanke dropped 3.1%. Losses in Hong Kong (-0.5%) were led by financials as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China shed 1.9% and China Construction Bank lost 1.5%.
European markets (FTSE -0.7%, CAC -1.9%, DAX -1.7%) are under pressure after Spain formally requested EUR100 billion to recapitalize its banks. Peripheral yields are on the rise as selling of both Italian and Spanish bonds has their 10-yr yields up to 5.90% and 6.46% respectively. Financials lead today’s declines with Britain’s Barclays lower by 2.0%, France’s BNP Paribas off 3.5%, and Germany’s Deutsche Bank down 3.2%.
08:00 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -13.10. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -23.40. Global equity markets are under pressure this morning as traders begin to price in inactivity at this week’s European Union Summit. Heavy selling has S&P futures trading down 11 points as action has fallen to levels not seen since June 14. Treasuries are seeing strong gains as traders move back into safety. A gain of one point in the long bond has erased all of Friday’s losses. Meanwhile, a decline of more than 5.5 basis points has the 10-yr yield down to 1.618%. Today’s data is light with new home sales due out at 10 am ET.
06:31 am : Nikkei...8734.62...-63.70...-0.70%. Hang Seng...18897.45...-97.70...-0.50%.
06:31 am : FTSE...5465.25...-48.40...-0.90%. DAX...6193.33...-93.90...-1.50%.
06:30 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -12.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -22.50.
Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries.
Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader, http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader and http://chart.ly/users/wrbtraderhttp://www.thestrategylab.com
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