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 Post subject: March 12th Friday 2010 Emini TF points - NO TRADES TODAY
PostPosted: Sat Mar 13, 2010 7:55 pm 
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Trade Journal By M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)

Trade journals are crucial in preventing us traders from becoming complacent or content with our trading plan or the markets because without having the ability to review archives of past trading days in a forever changing market...we won't know it's time to adapt when change occurs in the markets because broker statements alone doesn't help us keep that edge in comparison to a trade journal. In addition, although this journal contains advertisements involving my trade methods, it does contain useful trading tips a few times per week. Thus, if you're looking for trading tips that can improve your trading and understand that profitable trading involves more than just entry signals...consistently read this trade journal and the #FuturesTrades chat room logs where I post my trades in real-time from entry to exit (see link below) via my IRC user name wrbtrader that's the same as my user name on twitter.

Today's #FuturesTrades chat room logs is archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=72&t=468.

Quote:
Today's results are NO TRADES. One of my kids was sick today and I had the primary duty of taking care of him while the spouse had to do some important errands. Simply, not able to trade and things with the family should be back to normal by Monday. However, looking at the charts after the close I did notice a key change in supply/demand around 10am est via the 2min chart interval that's still open for use until price action traverses through the WRB S/R Zone.

Trading Tip: Knowing when not to trade (rest and relaxation) is just as important as an edge in comparison to entry/exit signals.


In addition, posted below are direct links about my trade methodology or trading approach that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis).

http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm

http://www.thestrategylab.com/TradeStrategies.htm

Also, if you're interested in having free access to one of my profitable trade strategies along with earning extra income with little effort...join my referral program @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ReferralProgram.htm

My Trading Performance: +0.00 points in the ICE Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures

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Stocks Near 18-Month Highs
By Ben Rooney and Alexandra Twin, staff writers
March 12, 2010: 5:51 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks ended little changed Friday, as investors welcomed a report that showed a surprise rise in retail sales, but showed caution as the Dow, Nasdaq and S&P 500 lingered below 18-month highs.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) added 12 points or 0.1%. The S&P 500 index (SPX) and the Nasdaq composite (COMP) were little changed. Both ended the previous session at their highest levels in a year and a half.

Stocks have risen modestly over the last two weeks as investors have struggled to balance expectations for a broader economic recovery with the reality of more modest signs of improvement.

Through Friday's close, the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq have all risen in nine of the last 11 sessions.

"It's been quiet the last few weeks, but there's still been this upward bias in the market," said Kenny Landgraf, founder at Kenjol Capital Management.

That bias should enable stocks to continue to drift higher over the next few weeks, he said, but any gains are going to be capped by continued concerns about the economic outlook both in the U.S. and overseas.

He said that the Dow, currently at 10,624.69, could drift as high as 11,000, but that at that point its likely to meet some heavier selling pressure.

Economy: Retail sales rose 0.3% last month, according to a Commerce Department report released Friday morning. Sales rose a revised 0.1% in January and were expected to fall another 0.2% in February, according to a consensus of economists surveyed by Briefing.com.

Sales excluding autos rose 0.8% in February after rising 0.5% in January. Economists thought sales would rise 0.1%.

The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell to 72.5 in early March from 73.6 in the previous month. Economists thought sentiment would rise to 74.

Business inventories were unchanged in February, after falling 0.2% in the previous month. Economists thought inventories would rise 0.1%.

In other economic news, President Obama wants to nominate San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank president Janet Yellen to become the next Federal Reserve vice chairman. If nominated and confirmed, Yellen would replace Donald Kohn, who is retiring as of June 23rd.

Lehman Brothers: The collapse of Lehman Brothers was largely attributable to actions by its executives and auditor, according to a report by a U.S. bankruptcy court released Friday.

The collapse of Lehman in September 2008 played a critical role in turning an already precarious financial market environment into a full-blown crisis.
Why we can't inflate our way out of debt

The dollar and commodities: The dollar fell versus the euro and gained against the yen.

U.S. light crude oil for April delivery fell 87 cents to settle at $81.24 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

COMEX gold for April delivery fell $6 to $1,102.20 per ounce.

Bonds: Treasury prices rose, lowering the yield on the 10-year note to 3.71% from 3.72% late Thursday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.
0:00 /4:02A year after Madoff, SEC touts change

World markets: In overseas trading, European markets were mixed. The London FTSE rose 0.2%, the French CAC 40 was unchanged and the German DAX lost 0.4%. Asian markets were mixed, with Japan's Nikkei rising 0.8% and the Hong Kong Hang Seng ending lower.

Market breadth was mixed. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners beat losers eight to seven on volume of 1.05 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, decliners beat advancers by seven to six on volume of 2.04 billion shares.

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Yahoo! Finance

4:20 pm : Stocks set a fractionally improved 52-week high in the early going, but then spent the rest of the session stuck in a choppy sideways trade as a disappointing consumer sentiment survey weighed on the mood of participants.

Momentum from four straight gains helped position stocks for a positive start this morning. A weaker dollar also helped -- it traded with a marked loss for the entire session as the euro and British pound garnered support amid news that industrial production in Europe spiked a sharper-than-expected 1.7% in January. A recommendation from analysts at Goldman Sachs to buy the euro also helped the currency. The dollar closed down 0.6%.

The positive mood in early action was further supported by a 0.3% increase in retail sales and a 0.8% increase in sales less autos during February, according to the latest Advance Retail Sales Report. Economists had expected a decline of 0.2% for total retail sales and a 0.1% increase in sales less autos for February.

However, the tone of trade was subdued by the University of Michigan's preliminary Consumer Sentiment Survey for March. It came in at 72.5, which was below the 74.0 that had been expected. Disappointment over the survey led participants to ignore a flat business inventory reading for January.

Corporate headlines did little to spur interest in the broader market. Among blue chips, Pfizer (PFE 17.08, -0.21) announced that two of its drugs failed to meet their endpoints in a study and that it has ended a late-stage trial for another drug. Pfizer weighed on the Dow for the entire session.

Fellow Dow component United Technologies (UTX 71.53, -0.51) reaffirmed its fiscal 2010 earnings outlook, which failed to provide much of a cushion relative to Wall Street's consensus forecast.

National Semiconductor (NSM 14.38, +0.04) served up better-than-expected earnings and an upside forecast, but that did little for the overall semiconductor space, which finished with a collective loss of 0.5%.

On the other hand, retailers gained 0.6% as Aeropostale (ARO 28.18, +1.13) provided leadership after the apparel retailer reported better-than-expected earnings and issued a strong forecast of its own.

Commodities saw mixed interest this session. In turn, the CRB Commodity Index finished flat. However, oil prices fell a considerable 1.1% to $81.24 per barrel. Oil prices had actually eclipsed $83 per barrel in the early going as news circulated that the International Energy Agency (IEA) expects oil demand to rise this year.

The flat finish among both commodities and stocks marked an anticlimactic close to this week's trade, though action in previous sessions combined for a considerable weekly move. The CRB Commodity Index fell 1.3% this week, while stocks settled with a 1.0% weekly gain.

Advancing Sectors: Industrials (+0.7%), Materials (+0.6%), Consumer Discretionary (+0.2%), Tech (+0.1%)
Declining Sectors: Utilities (-0.7%), Financials (-0.4%), Health Care (-0.4%); Telecom (-0.2%), Energy (-0.1%)
Unchanged: Consumer StaplesDJ30 +12.85 NASDAQ -0.80 NQ100 +0.00% R2K -0.1% SP400 +0.2% SP500 -0.25 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1201/2.03 bln/1458 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1680/1.05 bln/1349

3:35 pm : The market is flirting with a session low. After a strong week, financials are weighing most heavily on the indices. They are now down 0.8%.

Commodities closed essentially flat this session as strength in soft commodities offset weakness in the energy complex.

Energy commodities lost 1.0%. April crude oil futures rose to two month highs this morning at $83.16 per barrel after the EIA boosted their demand outlook for the commodity. However, after returning to the unchanged level and breaking below the $82 level, crude oil futures fell below the $81 level. April crude oil closed 1.1% lower at $81.24 per barrel. April natural gas futures closed 0.9% lower at $4.40 per MMBtu. The April contract is now down over 20% since February 16.

Despite a notable loss in the dollar index, precious metals' declines were less pronounced. They finished 0.6% lower at $1107.00 per ounce. April gold closed fractionally lower this session, netting a 2.5% loss for the week. May silver lost 0.8% to close at $17.04 per ounce. DJ30 -10.35 NASDAQ -5.38 SP500 -2.81 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1034/1.69 bln/1607 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1444/755 mln/1579

3:00 pm : Stocks crawl into the final hour of this week's trade with a weekly gain of 1.0%. Most of that is owed to the financial sector and the tech sector. Though financials are down 0.3% this session and tech is up just 0.1% at the moment, both sectors are on track for a weekly gain of 2.0%.

Trading volume has been on the light side this week. Such remains the cast this session. A lack of trading volume is often associated with a lack of participation and, in turn, a lack of conviction. DJ30 +6.28 NASDAQ -0.47 SP500 -0.51 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1136/1.55 bln/1498 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1562/690 mln/1441

2:30 pm : The stock market continues to drift sideways as a subdued tone takes over traders in the week's final session. News flow has also slowed considerably since the flurry of reports that were released this morning.

Among the releases, retail spending for February exceeded expectations, January business inventories were flat, and consumer sentiment for March disappointed. DJ30 +4.92 NASDAQ -0.86 SP500 -0.30 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1120/1.43 bln/1492 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1577/635 mln/1407

2:00 pm : Utilities stocks are down 0.7%, collectively. NRG Energy (NRG 22.21, -0.73) is a primary source of weakness in the sector; it was downgraded by analysts at Bank of America's Merrill Lynch.

Utilities are also among the worst performers this year -- the sector is down 4.7% year-to-date. Telecom is the only sector that is worse of in 2010; it is down 7.6% year-to-date. DJ30 +10.59 NASDAQ -0.10 SP500 +0.24 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1097/1.34 bln/1515 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1593/593 mln/1387

1:30 pm : The major indices continue to dance along the unchanged mark. Action has been both listless and lackluster for the better part of the session.

Despite the lack of direction this session, the broader market is still on track for a weekly gain of 1.0%. That would come on last week's 3.1% advance. Month-to-date, stocks are up approximately 4.0%. DJ30 +6.58 NASDAQ -1.62 SP500 -0.29 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1089/1.19 bln/1510 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1566/550 mln/1394

1:00 pm : A disappointing consumer sentiment survey has dampened the mood of market participants, who had initially bid the stock market to a fractionally improved 52-week high in response to a drop in the dollar and strong retail sales.

The dollar is down for its third straight session as the euro and British pound bounce amid news that industrial production in Europe spiked a sharper-than-expected 1.7% in January. Reports that analysts at Goldman Sachs have instructed clients to buy the euro have also weighed on the greenback, which is currently down 0.6% against competing currencies.

The Advance Retail Sales Report for February showed a surprise 0.3% increase in retail sales and a 0.8% increase in sales less autos. However, excitement over that report was undermined by news that the University of Michigan's preliminary Consumer Sentiment Survey for March came in at 72.5, which is below the 74.0 that had been widely expected.

Though there is no empirical tie between sentiment and spending, stocks immediately turned lower with the release of the consumer sentiment number. A flat business inventory reading for January was largely ignored.

Since the pullback, stocks have been stuck in choppy trade along the neutral line.

Like the broader market, industrial stocks are mixed. Caterpillar (CAT 60.27, +1.37) is a leader in the group, and among blue chips, but its influence has been partly offset by United Technologies (UTX 71.40, -0.64). UTX reaffirmed its fiscal 2010 earnings outlook, but the forecast failed to provide much of a cushion relative to Wall Street's.

Steel stocks have been strong, though. The group is up 1.9%, which has given a lift to the materials sector. Materials stocks, as a group, are up 0.7%, more than any other major sector.

Aeropostale (ARO 28.55, +1.50) has helped retailers make their way to a solid 0.5% gain. The apparel retailer reported better-than-expected earnings and issued a strong forecast.

Health care (-0.5%) has lagged for the entire session as pharmaceutical plays come under pressure following an announcement from Pfizer (PFE 17.06, -0.23) that two of its drugs failed to meet their endpoints in a recent study and that it has ended a late-stage trial for another experimental drug. DJ30 -0.68 NASDAQ -2.15 SP500 -0.86 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1045/1.15 bln/1518 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1543/514 mln/1404

12:30 pm : As a group, semiconductor stocks are flat. The lack of interest in the group comes despite better-than-expected earnings and an upside forecast from National Semiconductor (NSM 14.42, +0.08).

Aeropostale (ARO 28.49, +1.44) reported better-than-expected earnings of its own and also issued a strong forecast. However, it has won much more support and helped drive shares of retailers to a collective 0.5% gain. DJ30 +6.50 NASDAQ -0.57 SP500 -0.12 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1077/1.40 bln/1478 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1547/461 mln/1387

12:00 pm : Trade remains mixed as the major indices continue to chop along the flat line.

Commodities have come under pressure, though. Oil has felt the brunt of it; prices for the commodity are now down 1.5% to $80.90 per barrel after they had been above $83.00 per barrel in the early going.

The drop in oil prices has undercut the energy sector, which inow trades with a 0.4% loss after it had been up 0.4% in early trade. DJ30 -4.23 NASDAQ -1.95 SP500 -1.58 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1044/950 mln/1493 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1453/425 mln/1462

11:30 am : Stocks have made an upward move, but the advance has been modest in scope.

The Dow has a slight lead over its counterparts. Caterpillar (CAT 60.27, +1.37) is a primary leader among blue chips. The only piece of news related to Caterpillar is an article from The Wall Street Journal that the company has joined an onshoring trend as it relocating some heavy-equipment production from overseas to a new U.S. plant. However, such a story is unlikely to act as a catalyst for CAT.

Meanwhile, Pfizer (PFE 17.06, -0.23) is a laggard in the Dow following news that it has ended a late-stage trial for one of its experimental drugs. The pharmaceutical giant also indicated that two other drugs failed to meet their endpoints in a recent study. The news highlights concern that the company may have trouble refilling its robust drug pipeline as its primary patents expire.

United Technologies (UTX 71.35, -0.69) is also under pressure. The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2010 earnings outlook, which ranges from $4.40 to $4.65 per share. However, that outlook fails to provide much of a cushion relative to the current consensus forecast for $4.63 per share. DJ30 +10.13 NASDAQ +0.35 SP500 +0.19 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1080/840 mln/1432 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1557/380 mln/1333

11:00 am : The Dollar Index has drifted down to a 0.6% loss, but it is still above its session low, which was set ahead of the stock market's opening bell. Despite its weakness, the stock market continues to trade with a slight loss as its declining issues marginally outnumber its advancers.

Meanwhile, Treasuries have attracted a bid. The benchmark 10-year Note had been down several ticks in the early going, but it is now up slightly. DJ30 -4.08 NASDAQ -5.63 SP500 -1.53 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 954/690 mln/1511 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1407/325 mln/1452

10:30 am : The stock market has retreated into negative territory to trade with a modest loss. Of the major sectors in the S&P 500, only materials (+0.5%) are in higher ground. Their relative strength stems from gains among steel stocks (+1.6%) and other resource-linked stocks.

Though natural resource stocks are strong in the early going, commodities are a bit mixed. In turn, the CRB Commodity Index is up less than 0.2%.

In the precious metals space, gold prices are currently down 0.1% to $1107.40 per ounce, while silver is up 0.1% to $17.18 per ounce.

Oil prices are essentially unchanged at $82.10 per barrel. Oil prices had been above $83 per barrel amid news that the International Energy Agency (IEA) expects oil demand to rise this year.

Natural gas is down fractionally to $4.44 per MMBtu. DJ30 -7.10 NASDAQ -8.72 SP500 -2.38 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 883/516 mln/1547 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1345/266 mln/1476

10:00 am : Stocks started to fade in the early going, but modest support came as the stock market came close to the neutral line. It has since pulled back once more, though.

The latest move comes in the wake of the preliminary Consumer Sentiment Survey for March from the University of Michigan. The survey came in with a reading of 72.5, which is below the 74.0 that had been widely expected. The latest figure also marks a dip from the 73.6 reading for February.

Just released, business inventories for January came in flat. A 0.1% increase had been expected. Inventories for December were revised lower to reflect a 0.3% decline.

Early movers: Trading up -- MAM +35.3%, CPD +12%, FEIM +11.2%, CBKN +10.4%, CBC +8.9%, POT +8.1%, IPI +8%, CTRN +8%; Trading down -- CYTX -17.1%, PSUN -13.2%, WILC -12.5%, SWHC -8.9%, BWEN -8.1%, ATV -7.4%, SEAC -7.2%, ZUMZ -6.3%

Advancing Sectors: Materials (+0.6%), Financials (+0.4%), Tech (+0.1%), Consumer Staples (+0.1%)
Declining Sectors: Health Care (-0.5%), Telecom (-0.2%), Industrials (-0.1%), Utilities (-0.1%), Consumer Discretionary (-0.1%)
Unchanged: EnergyDJ30 +16.25 NASDAQ +2.19 SP500 +1.48 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1111/303 mln/1210 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1636/172 mln/1096

09:45 am : The S&P 500 started the session at a fractionally improved 52-week high, but its strength has faded a bit. Underlying action is now a bit mixed.

Though the stock market is still looking for direction, materials stocks have jumped out to a 0.8% gain. The move comes as natural resource plays garner support amid the greenback's pullback this morning. The dollar is up slightly from of its morning low, but is still down 0.4% against a basket of foreign currencies.

Continued strength among bank stocks have the financial sector up a solid 0.4%, which is second only to materials.

Health care is an early laggard, though. The sector is down 0.4% as pharmaceutical stocks come under pressure. DJ30 +15.80 NASDAQ +0.89 SP500 +1.36 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1109/180 mln/1108 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1666/126 mln/983

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +4.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +4.50. The S&P 500 heads into Friday with a week-to-date gain of 1.0%, which has been enough to put the broader market back in touch with the 52-week high that it initially set in mid-January. The positive bias remains intact this morning, thanks partly to a drooping dollar. The greenback's pullback comes as the euro garners support amid news that industrial production in the eurozone was far stronger in January than had been thought. Meanwhile, currency traders seem to have shrugged off comments from Japanese officials regarding the need to stem the yen's strength. Premarket trade has also been helped by stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales -- a decline of 0.2% for February had been expected, but total sales actually increased 0.3%. Given the upbeat retail sales figures for February, participants anxiously await the 9:55 AM ET release of the preliminary Consumer Sentiment Survey for March from the University of Michigan, though there is no empirical evidence that indicates higher consumer sentiment translates to higher spending. Business inventory data for January immediately follows (10:00 AM ET). Aside from a couple of upbeat quarterly reports from National Semiconductor (NSM) and Aeropostale (ARO), corporate news flow has been light.

09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +4.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +5.50. U.S. stock futures continue to point to a higher start. Meanwhile, Europe's major bourses are firmly higher amid news that eurozone industrial production during January spiked 1.7% month-over-month. That exceeded the call from economists for a 0.6% increase. Britain's FTSE is currently up 0.4%. Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), Lloyds Banking Group (LYG), and Barclays (BCS) are up solidly. In Germany, the DAX is currently up 0.9%. Deutsche Post is a primary leader. The stock stopped its two-day slide after UniCredit Research upgraded the name. Meanwhile, France's CAC is up 0.6% at the moment. Valeo is among the top performers. In Asia, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index tacked on 0.3%, while Japan's Nikkei closed 0.8% higher. Exporters gained ground amid speculation that the Bank of Japan may take additional steps to ease monetary policy after Japanese Prime Minister Hatoyama called for firm steps to stem the yen's strength. The comments precede central bank meeting next week. Hitachi (HIT) advanced after its incoming president said he has no plans to pursue additional capital raising and that the company must return to profit at any cost. Honda Motor (HMC) gained after the Nikkei business daily reported the automaker's CR-Z hybrid sports car is drawing unprecedented demand. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng slipped 0.1%. However, Sun Hung Kai Properties gained after it forecast a stronger-than-expected first-half profit. In mainland China, the Shanghai Composite fell 1.2%. Banks weighed on the index.

08:30 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +3.40. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +4.50. Stock futures made a knee-jerk jump in the wake of the latest retail sales data, but they have since pulled back to trade in step with earlier levels. According to the latest Advance Retail Sales Report, retail sales for February increased 0.3%, which is stronger than the 0.2% decline that many had come to expect. It also marks a pick up from the downwardly revised 0.1% increase that was made in January. Excluding autos, retail sales increased 0.8%, which is stronger than the 0.1% increase that had been forecast. Sales less autos for January had increased 0.5%. More data is still on tap -- the preliminary Consumer Sentiment Survey for March from the University of Michigan is due at 9:55 AM ET, immediately followed by business inventory data for January at 10:00 AM ET.

08:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +2.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +2.00. A late lift in the prior session gave the S&P 500 its ninth gain in 10 sessions and put the broad market index back in touch with its 52-week closing high. The positive momentum has carried into this morning, helping stock futures trade with moderate strength. The case for stocks has been helped by a drop in the dollar, which is currently down 0.7% against a basket of competing currencies after reports indicated that industrial production in Europe spiked a sharper-than-expected 1.7% in January. The news has helped prop up the euro and spur solid gains among the continent's major bourses. A dose of U.S. data is due at the bottom of the hour with the release of the Advance Retail Sales Report for February. The preliminary Consumer Sentiment Survey for March from the University of Michigan follows at 9:55 AM ET, then business inventory data at 10:00 AM ET.

06:40 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +2.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +2.00.

06:40 am : Nikkei...10751.26...+86.30...+0.80%. Hang Seng...21209.74...-18.50...-0.10%.

06:40 am : FTSE...5640.04...+22.80...+0.40%. DAX...5970.38...+41.60...+0.70%.

Special thanks to Yahoo! Finance and CNNMoney for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader
@ RSS Feed of real-time WRB Analysis commentary

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