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 Post subject: March 2nd Tuesday 2010 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +1.50
PostPosted: Tue Mar 02, 2010 7:22 pm 
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Written By M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)

Trade journals are crucial in preventing us traders from becoming complacent or content with our trading plan or the markets because without having the ability to review archives of past trading days in a forever changing market...we won't know it's time to adapt when change occurs in the markets because broker statements alone doesn't help us keep that edge in comparison to a trade journal. In addition, although this journal contains advertisements involving my trade methods, it does contain useful trading tips a few times per week. Thus, if you're looking for trading tips that can improve your trading and understand that profitable trading involves more than just entry signals...consistently read this trade journal and the #FuturesTrades chat room logs where I post my trades in real-time from entry to exit (see link below) via my IRC user name wrbtrader that's the same as my user name on twitter.

Today's #FuturesTrades chat room logs is archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=72&t=460.

Quote:
Today's results are 8 wins : 6 losses. I didn't get profitable until the last trade of the day. However, I was trading small all day and manage well my losing trades. Most of the losses occurred within two prior key changes in supply/demand area that turned into a low volatility tight trading range. That doesn't happen often (low volatility contraction) within the range of a key change in supply/demand (WRB S/R Zone) except for once per day. The key trade signal of the day I missed (personal reasons) was around 2pm est as a Short signal and it can now be used as a WRB S/R Zone for the next trading day.

Trading Tip: Multiple hammer lines or long shadow dojis in the same price area are forming a support or resistance area.


FYI - You can ask me questions here at the forum or you can tweet me on twitter about anything related to today's trading or related to your own trading.

Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader

In addition, posted below are direct links about my trade methodology or trading approach that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis).


http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm

http://www.thestrategylab.com/TradeStrategies.htm

Also, if you're interested in having free access to one of my profitable trade strategies along with earning extra income with little effort...join my referral program @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ReferralProgram.htm

My Trading Performance: +1.50 points in the ICE Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures
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Stocks Eke Out Gains
By Alexandra Twin and Blake Ellis, staff writers
March 2, 2010: 6:02 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks ended with modest gains Tuesday, giving up a bigger advance, as investors weighed February auto sales, some upbeat company news and signs that Greece won't default on its debt.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) ended just above unchanged. The S&P 500 index (SPX) added 2 points, or 0.2%, and the Nasdaq composite (COMP) rose 7 points, or 0.3%.

Stocks had been modestly higher throughout the session, but lost some steam in the afternoon. A selloff in some of the Dow's tech stocks dragged on the index, with IBM (IBM, Fortune 500), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500) and Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500) among the losers. Bank stocks gave up bigger gains by the close, also causing the market to lose steam.

Stocks gained in the previous two sessions and in two of the last three weeks. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 ended in positive territory for the year Monday for the first time in six weeks.

"I think stocks are benefiting from a little bit of buying in the month-end, new-month period," said Ben Halliburton, chief investment officer at Tradition Capital Management.

He said that the gains were surprising considering the recent batch of weaker-than-expected economic news, especially in housing, consumer confidence and consumer spending.

Worries about Greece and a broader euro-zone debt crisis caused the more than nine-month-old U.S. stock rally to halt and do an about-face in mid-January. Mixed readings on the U.S. economy have added to the stock market weakness as investors have worried that the recovery won't be as robust as had been hoped.

"I think the challenges to the economic recovery are well known, but the question is whether they have been fully discounted by the market," Halliburton said.

Investors are gearing up for a busy three days of economic news. The highlight is Friday's government jobs report, expected to show continued weakness in the labor market.

Stocks still vulnerable: The mid-January to early February selloff sent the S&P 500 down over 9% and the Dow and Nasdaq down more than 7%. But that selloff is unlikely to be the last big retreat this year, or even in the first half of the year, Halliburton said, considering the size and pace of last year's rally.

Between bottoming at a 12-year low in March of last year and hitting a 2010 high on Jan. 19, the Dow gained 64% and the S&P 500 gained 70%. After bottoming out at a six-year low last March, the Nasdaq gained 83% through Jan. 19.

Greece: Investors took some comfort Tuesday from signs that Greece's debt situation seems to be under control. Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou said more aggressive action needs to be taken to get the company's ballooning deficit under control. His government is expected to announce further initiatives Wednesday after already announcing plans to raise the retirement age and freeze salaries for civil workers.

Autos: Automakers released February vehicle sales numbers on Tuesday in the aftermath of Toyota's massive recall last month.

Toyota Motor (TM) said sales fell 9% in February versus a year ago, better than the 10% drop tracker Edmunds.com was forecasting.

Ford Motor said February sales jumped 43% from an abysmal month a year ago, the worst month for the industry in 19 years. Sales also outpaced those of General Motors for the first time in 10 years.

GM said February sales rose about 12% from a year ago, far short of estimates. GM was expected, along with the other automakers, to benefit more substantially from Toyota's ongoing problems.

Earlier GM said it had recalled 1.3 million Chevrolet and Pontiac models in North America due to power steering failures

Company news: CF Industries Holdings (CF) relaunched its bid for fellow fertilizer firm Terra Industries (TRA), offering $4.75 billion in cash and stock, after giving up its aggressive takeover attempt in January. CF jumped back into the fray after Terra agreed last month to a $4.1 billion buyout from Norway's Yara.

CF shares fell 1%, while Terra shares gained 11%.

Qualcomm (QCOM, Fortune 500) said late Monday that it was hiking its dividend by 12% and that it was initiating a new $3 billion stock buyback program. Investors welcomed the news, propelling the stock of the wireless chipmaker up 6.7% Tuesday in active Nasdaq trading.

Market breadth was positive. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners beat losers by more than two to one on volume of 835 million shares. On the Nasdaq, advancers topped decliners by less than two to one on volume of 2.52 billion shares.
Ford is the new No. 1

Federal Reserve: Kansas City Fed President Thomas Hoenig said the central bank should raise short-term interest rates sooner rather than later, even with high levels of unemployment. Hoenig said that the extended period of historically low rates raises the risk of speculative behavior.

Hoenig, a voting member of the Fed's policy committee, was the only Fed official to vote against the group at the last Fed meeting in January, when the bankers opted to hold interest rates steady at levels near zero.

However, rates are not expected to rise for some time, as has been indicated by recent comments from Chairman Ben Bernanke and other voting members of the Fed's policy-setting committee.
0:00 /4:59Goldman bet on Greek failure

World Markets: In overseas trading, European markets rallied, with the London FTSE rising 1.5%, the French CAC 40 gaining 1.1% and the German DAX advancing 1.1%.

Asian markets ended mostly lower, although the Japanese Nikkei rose 0.5% after the government said the unemployment rate dropped for the second month in a row. Japan also said consumer spending grew.

The dollar and commodities: The dollar gained versus the euro and fell versus the yen.

U.S. light crude oil for April delivery rose 98 cents to settle at $79.68 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

COMEX gold for April delivery gained $19.10 to settle at $1,137.40 per ounce.

Bonds: Treasury prices rose, lowering the yield on the 10-year note to 3.60% from 3.61% late Monday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.

Image

Yahoo! Finance

4:30 pm : Stocks finished in weak fashion as solid, broad-based gains faded into the close and the major indices settled near session lows. However, the stock market still managed to eke out a slight gain, which puts it in positive territory for the year.

The mood among participants this session had generally been upbeat since the opening bell. The positive tone helped stocks extend the prior session's advance, such that the major indices hit new one-month highs.

Natural resource plays were leaders in the market's move. As such, energy stocks and materials stocks booked the best gains. Both sectors settled with a 0.8% gain, as measured by their Exchange Traded Funds (XLE 57.13, +0.47) and (XLB 32.25, +0.27).

Strong gains among commodities underpinned the strength in the energy and materials sectors. Specifically, oil prices advanced 1.2% to close at $79.68 per barrel after they had been as high as $80.95 per barrel, which marked a one-month high. A 3.6% spike to $17.06 per ounce gave silver one of its best single-session percentage moves in months. Meanwhile, gold prices settled pit trade with a 1.7% gain at $1137.40 per ounce after easing back from one-month highs around $1138 per ounce.

Financials had been a primary source of support for the broader market, but they lost their momentum as the session progressed. The sector's primary ETF, (XLF 14.77, +0.05), had been up roughly 1% at its session high, but it finished with a modest 0.3% gain.

Tech stocks also tumbled. That left the tech select SPDR (XLK 21.94, -0.03) to finish in negative territory.

A trip by tech stocks and financial stocks left the broader market without two of its primary leadership sources. That made it difficult for the broader market to sustain gains when it had already been without any legitimate catalysts.

Despite the absence of positive drivers, the S&P 500 managed to hold on to a modest gain, which put it back in positive territory for the year. Though its year-to-date gain is fractional, the benchmark index had struggled to accomplish that feat during the prior session.

Participation remains on the light side, however; barely 1 billion shares traded hands on the NYSE this session.

Advancing Sectors: Materials (+1.0%), Energy (+0.8%), Utilities (+0.5%), Health Care (+0.4%), Consumer Staples (+0.4%), Financials (+0.3%), Industrials (+0.3%)
Declining Sectors: Telecom (-0.1%), Tech (-0.2%), Consumer Discretionary (-0.3%)DJ30 +2.19 NASDAQ +7.22 NQ100 +0.3% R2K +0.9% SP400 +0.8% SP500 +2.60 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1769/2.78 bln/892 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2127/1.07 bln/895

3:30 pm : Commodities had a strong session that concluded with a 0.9% gain for the CRB Commodity Index. The CRB was unable to break above its 50-day moving average, though.

Precious metals underpinned the CRB's strength. Silver had one of its best single-session percentage moves in months by spiking 3.6% to $17.06 per ounce. Meanwhile, gold prices settled pit trade with a 1.7% gain at $1137.40 per ounce after easing back from one-month highs around $1138 per ounce.

Energy contracts also garnered support. As such, oil prices advanced 1.2% to close at $79.68 per barrel. Though that was a strong gain, oil prices had been as high as $80.95 per barrel, which marked a one-month high. Meanwhile, natural gas lagged, but prices still increased 0.7% to $4.71 per MMBtu. DJ30 -4.08 NASDAQ +4.43 SP500 +1.79 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1719/2.25 bln/935 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2058/707 mln/952

3:00 pm : Stocks have surrendered a chunk of their gains as participants head into the final hour of the session. The downward move has actually taken the Dow down to the unchanged mark, though the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have managed to hold on to a slight gain. DJ30 +3.78 NASDAQ +7.07 SP500 +2.72 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1737/2.08 bln/890 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2067/645 mln/899

2:30 pm : Stocks have pulled back from their session highs, but they continue to trade with broad-based gains. Those gains have helped the stock market to a modest year-to-date gain.

Though the S&P 500 has managed to cross the line that separates a year-to-date gain from a year-to-date loss --1115 -- many pundits believe that a close above 1120 should be regarded as a bullish sign. DJ30 +14.43 NASDAQ +11.82 SP500 +4.25 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1766/1.92 bln/867 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2145/591 mln/872

2:00 pm : Monthly auto sales figures have been trickling across news wires this session. Toyota Motor (TM 74.91, +1.27) reported that U.S. February sales declined 8.7% year-over-year, while Honda Motor (HMC 35.13, +0.16) reported that its American Honda Motor division saw February sales increase 12.7% year-over-year. Shares of the two Japanese auto makers have made their way to fresh session highs in recent action.

Ford (F 12.56, +0.15) reported that its February monthly sales surged 43.1% and retail sales increased 28% from one year ago. The announcement has helped shares of the automaker climb back into positive territory. DJ30 +38.62 NASDAQ +15.96 SP500 +6.67 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1800/1.74 bln/816 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2220/524 mln/781

1:30 pm : The stock market has spent the first part of the afternoon trading in a relatively tight range with a modest gain.

Trading volume has been on the light side with fewer than 500 million shares exchanging hands on the NYSE so far this session. However, nearly 350 stocks listed on the NYSE have hit fresh 52-week highs this session.

Volatility has pushed sharply lower this session. Specifically, the Volatility Index is down 3.1% to a new one-month low. DJ30 +31.97 NASDAQ +12.38 SP500 +5.70 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1726/1.62 bln/868 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2143/489 mln/837

1:00 pm : The tone to this session's trade has been positive since the opening bell. That has helped extend the prior session's advance so that stocks trade at fresh one-month highs.

Strong gains among Europe's bourses in the wake of another rate hike by Australia's central bank helped prop up the mood of global participants and helped U.S. equities start the session on solid footing.

While strength has been broad based this session -- advancing issues outnumber decliners by 3-to-1 in the S&P 500 -- materials stocks have been the best performers. The sector is currently up 1.1%, which comes on top of the 1.6% gain that the sector logged in the prior session.

Among basic materials plays, Newmont Mining (NEM 51.80, +1.52) is a primary leader. The stock has been helped by both broader market support and sharp gains among precious metals prices, which have helped drive the CRB Commodity Index to a 1.0% gain.

The dollar hasn't been much of a factor in today's trade as the greenback was flat for most of the session, but is currently down modestly against competing currencies.

Financials have been a primary leader this session, thanks to a rebound by bank stocks. The KBW Bank Index shed 0.4% Monday, but has since rallied to a 1.3% gain.

Amid this session's broad-based advance, stocks have made their way to their best levels since January. The stock market is still slightly more than 2% away from its 52-week high, however. DJ30 +29.92 NASDAQ +10.42 SP500 +5.04 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1671/1.46 bln/911 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2111/450 mln/854

12:30 pm : Stocks continue to sport solid gains midway through the session. The upbeat tone has been present since the opening bell and marks and extension of the previous session's advance, which took stocks to fresh one-month highs.

Financials had lagged during the previous session, but the sector has since bounced back to outperform the broader market. Banks are leaders in the broader financial sector; as such, the KBW Bank Index is up 1.3%. DJ30 +24.56 NASDAQ +9.87 SP500 +4.82 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1674/1.35 bln/897 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2116/413 mln/842

12:00 pm : The stock market has added incrementally to its gains, such that it is now at a fresh high for the session. The move also puts stocks at their best level since late January, but they remain more than 2% below their 52-week highs, which were set in mid-January.

Nonetheless, this session's gains have been broad based with advancing issues outnumbering decliners on the NYSE by 3-to-1. DJ30 +41.11 NASDAQ +14.87 SP500 +6.47 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1714/1.20 bln/826 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2193/366 mln/737

11:30 am : The broader market continues to trade with solid, broad-based gains. Natural resource plays are still among the best performers.

Among the best performing Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), ProShares Ultra Silver (ACQ 54.17, +2.50) and ProShares Ultra Basic Materials (UYM 33.09, +1.04) are standouts.

Positions against commodities are suffering. For example, ProShares UltraShort Silver (ZSL 4.51, -0.22) is among the worst performing ETFs this session. DJ30 +37.86 NASDAQ +11.22 SP500 +6.06 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1645/1.05 bln/874 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2135/326 mln/760

11:00 am : The stock market has recovered from a recent dip to trade at fresh morning highs. Overall gains are relatively modest, but they are still broad based.

Despite tempered gains in the broader market, materials stocks have extended their advance to a 1.1% gain, which makes it one of the best performing sectors in the S&P 500. Newmont Mining (NEM 51.80, +1.52) is a primary leader in its space, thanks to both broader market support and markedly higher precious metals prices this session.

Regional banks lagged in the previous session with a 0.8% loss, but the group has snapped back to a 1.5% gain this session. Wells Fargo (WFC 28.09, +0.74) is one of the best peforming regional lenders at the moment. DJ30 +35.74 NASDAQ +10.70 SP500 +5.43 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1553/863 mln/912 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2047/268 mln/813

10:30 am : The US Dollar Index recently moved back into positive territory to 80.838, but is off this morning's high of 81.291. This is causing the energy market to slightly pull back off of recently hit highs, while precious metals are holding their gains.

March crude oil pushed into positive territory earlier this morning on weakness in the dollar and hit session highs of $79.88 per barrel near the top of the hour. Currently, crude is just off those highs and is trading 1.2% higher at $79.66 per barrel. March natural gas has been in positive territory for most of the day, hitting its own session highs of $4.744 per MMBtu almost an hour ago. However, the energy component quickly gave those gains back as it fell sharply back into negative territory in recent trade. Currently natural gas is down $0.004 at $4.675 per MMBtu.

Precious metals also benefitted from the dollar's weakness, hitting recent morning highs. April gold touched $1128.80 per ounce and May silver hit $16.80 per ounce. Currently, Gold is 0.8% higher at $1127.00 per ounce, while silver is 1.5% higher at $16.73 per ounce. DJ30 +21.01 NASDAQ +8.16 SP500 +3.29 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1454/631.6 mln/920 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1915/197.7 mln/894

10:00 am : Stocks continue to stand on solid footing. As such, this morning's gains remain broad based, though relatively modest.

Basic materials plays have put together some of the best gains this morning. Steel stocks (+1.2%) have led the materials sector to a collective gain of 0.9%. That comes after the sector had already advanced 1.6% in the prior session.

Financials aren't far behind. At the moment, the sector is up 0.7% with help from diversified banks (+1.4%).

Early movers: Trading up -- HVT +18.7%, MDTH +15.7%, SQNM +13.7%, TRA +12.6%, QCOR +12.5%, BPI +12.5%, JADE +8.8%, CTB +7.6%, ATML +6.9%; Trading down -- NUHC -27.3%, CXDC -17%, WAVX -13.5%, NTRI -13.4%, PUK -10.2%, CNAM -8.3%, SPLS -7.3%, LTXC -6.8%DJ30 +34.69 NASDAQ +10.73 SP500 +4.97 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1451/411 mln/844 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1972/139 mln/750

09:45 am : Stocks have put together solid, broad-based gains in the early going, such that all three major indices are sporting similar gains. This morning's move extends the prior session's advance so that stocks now trade at fresh one-month highs.

More impressive, in the first 15 minutes of action, 41 names in the S&P 500 have already hit new 52-week highs. DJ30 +37.78 NASDAQ +9.75 SP500 +4.53 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1333/226 mln/859 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1952/89 mln/669

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +6.10. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +7.50. Stock futures continue to point to a higher start for the major equity averages as morning participants look to extend modestly the prior session's advance, which took stocks to fresh one-month highs and put the major indices back above their respective 50-day moving averages. Though the move in itself was impressive, the S&P 500 encountered resistance when it attempted to turn positive for the year. Also, in a suggestion that many were unsure whether to participate, trading volume was light. Such may be the case again today since there have only been a few morning headlines, including a flat dollar, solid gains in Europe amid a rate hike by Australia, and another small dose of M&A news with an updated offer by CF Industries (CF) for Terra Industries (TRA). However, participants are more likely to be compelled into action with the deluge of economic data that is on tap for later this week.

09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +6.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +6.00. The dollar continues to dance along the flat line and equity futures continue to garner support, such that a firmly higher start for the stock market looks to be in order. Commodities have also attracted some support, though modest; in turn, the CRB Commodity Index is up 0.2% after it slid considerably in the previous session.

08:30 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +6.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +6.80. Stock futures continue to trade with a healthy lead over fair value. Meanwhile, Europe's major bourses have managed to extend their gains from the prior session. The moves come just a couple of days ahead of the latest Bank of England and European Central Bank announcements and amid news that inflation in the euro zone eased to 0.9% in February from the year before after a 1% rate was recorded in January. Germany's DAX is up 0.8% at the moment. Engineering giant Siemens (SI) is a primary leader for the second straight session. Deutsche Telekom is a laggard. France Telecom is a laggard in the French CAC, which is currently up 0.8% with help from ArcelorMittal (MT) and Societe Generale. Meanwhile, Britain's FTSE is up 0.9% as HSBC (HBC) rebounds from the previous session's drop, which came in conjunction with disappointing quarterly earnings. Prudential PLC (PUK) is a laggard after Standard & Poor's Ratings Services placed the company and its operating subsidiaries on CreditWatch with negative implications. The CreditWatch placement reflects Prudential's announcement that it has reached an agreement with AIG (AIG) to acquire an AIG subsidiary. In Asia, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index advanced 0.8% and Japan's Nikkei gained 0.5%. Computer chip names like Advantest (ATE) were helped by an improved outlook from SanDisk (SNDK) at the company's investor conference. Tokyo Electron was also a strong performer. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries advanced after reports indicated that the Japanese government may provide financial support for the bid. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng shed 0.7%. Selling triggered by disappointing earnings from HSBC, which announced after the prior session had already closed. Despite its misfortune, shares of China Merchants Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China both gained. In mainland China, the Shanghai Composite closed 0.5% lower.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +4.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +5.80. Broad market equity futures are up modestly as premarket participants extend the stock market's move in the prior session to a fresh one-month high. This morning's support comes amid lawmakers' continued haggling over financial reform and another dose of merger and acquisition activity -- CF Industries (CF) has reportedly put in a $4.5 billion bid for Terra Industries (TRA). Austrailia has also hiked its target interest rate once more. As for the dollar, it is currently flat against a basket of major foreign currencies, though the euro and pound remain under pressure. There aren't any major pieces of economic data due today, so many market participants have started to look ahead to tomorrow's ADP Employment Report and ISM Service Index. The Bank of England and European Central Bank make their latest statements on Thursday, which is also when weekly jobless claims, monthly factory orders, monthly productivity figures, and monthly pending home sales numbers are released. This week's economic calendar concludes with the government's official nonfarm payrolls report.

06:36 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +2.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +2.30.

06:36 am : Nikkei...10221.84...+49.80...+0.50%. Hang Seng...20906.11...-150.80...-0.70%.

06:36 am : FTSE...5428.60...+22.70...+0.40%. DAX...5731.28...+17.80...+0.30%.

Special thanks to Yahoo! Finance and CNNMoney for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1 708 572-4885
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