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 Post subject: September 9th Wednesday 2009 Emini ES ($ES_F) points +34.75
PostPosted: Wed Sep 09, 2009 3:31 pm 
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Joined: Sat Jan 10, 2009 1:06 pm
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Today's trades that were posted in real-time in #FuturesTrades chat room via my IRC user name wrbtrader. You can review each trade from entry to exit along with commentary and an occasional trading tip because its all archived @

Good trading day in Emini ES ($ES_F) big trade that got me going in the right direction via a Long position around 0944am est as posted in real-time at the above chat log for #FuturesTrades on IRC.

FYI - You can ask me questions here at the forum or you can tweet me on twitter about anything related to today's trading or related to your own trading.


In addition, posted below are direct links about my trade methodology or trading approach that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand along with being able to exploit the changes in supply/demand.

Also, I strongly believe that profitable trading involves more than just trade signals and that's why most traders fail because they put all their interest in trade signals while ignoring the impact of their trading habits/routine or personal lifestyle. If you don't understand this perspective...please ask questions here at the forum for more info or you can tweet me on twitter @wrbtrader.

My Trading Performance: +34.75 Emini ES ($ES_F) points

090909wrbtraderPnLBlotterProfit.png [ 32.52 KiB | Viewed 528 times ]


Nasdaq and S&P 500 at '09 Highs
Stocks stage a rally, with banks and techs among the big gainers. Apple slips. Beige book says economy continues to stabilize.
By Alexandra Twin, senior writer
Last Updated: September 9, 2009: 4:20 PM ET

NEW YORK ( -- Stocks rallied Wednesday, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 ending at 11-month highs as investors welcomed a Federal Reserve report that indicated the economy is stabilizing.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) gained 50 points, or 0.5%, according to early tallies, ending just short of a 10-month high.

The S&P 500 (SPX) index gained 8 points, or 0.8%, ending the session at an 11-month high.

The Nasdaq composite (COMP) rose 22 points, or 1.1%, ending the session at the highest point since Oct. 1.

Stocks struggled in the first 30 minutes of trading, before making a move higher. Investors initially took a step back after the release of the Fed's "Beige book" survey of the economy, but then redoubled their efforts late in the session.

"It's the combination of the weak dollar lifting a lot of companies with international operations and a lot of news coming out of all the techs," said Dave Rovelli, managing director of U.S. equity trading at Canaccord Adams.

A variety of heavily-weighted Dow components rose including Boeing (BA, Fortune 500), 3M (MMM, Fortune 500), Caterpillar (CAT, Fortune 500), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ, Fortune 500), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500) and United Technologies (UTX, Fortune 500).

Citigroup's annual tech conference, Apple's afternoon media event and mid-quarter updates from Altera (ALTR) and Texas Instruments (TXN, Fortune 500) were among the tech events Rovelli cited.

With the S&P 500 up more than 50% off the March 9 lows, stocks are going to be facing some challenges on the technical side of trading as well, Rovelli said, as the S&P 500 bats against the 1040 to 1045 level.

Beige Book: The Federal Reserve said reports from its 12 districts showed economic conditions continued to improve in July and August, although consumer spending remained weak. Most of the regions said that there was some improvement in the residential real estate market although home prices continued to slip.

Apple: CEO Steve Jobs delivered the keynote address at the company's media event in the afternoon, making his first appearance at an Apple event in nearly a year. Jobs returned to work this summer after taking a medical leave for the first six months of the year.

Jobs announced a new version of iTunes. Apple also said the company's 8 GB iPod Nano will include a built-in video camera and FM radio.

Earlier Wednesday, Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500) cut prices on its line of iPods by as much as $120.

Shares slipped 3% in afternoon trading.

Currencies and commodities: The greenback held close to yearly lows versus the euro and Australian currency, and two-month lows versus the yen.

The weak dollar has boosted oil, gold and other dollar-traded commodity prices. Those prices have also been on the rise on bets of a global economy recovery.

U.S. light crude oil for October delivery rose 14 cents to $71.74 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

COMEX gold for December delivery fell $9.10 to $990.70 an ounce, after topping the key $1,000 level earlier for the second session in a row.

Bonds: Treasury prices slipped, pushing yields higher, despite solid demand for a $20 billion auction of ten-year notes, a resale of the issue in August. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note rose to 3.52%, from 3.48% late Tuesday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.

On Thursday, Treasury auctions $12 billion in 30-year bonds.

McDonald's: The fast-food chain said global sales at restaurants open a year or more rose 2.2% in August, the slowest growth in nearly a year. Weakness in Asia and a slowdown in the U.S. countered strength in Europe. Shares of McDonald's (MCD, Fortune 500), a Dow component, slumped 2%.

Other company news: Biotech Vivus (VVUS) reported positive results from two late-stage studies of its experimental weight loss drug, Qnexa. Shares gained 75%.

World markets: Global markets were mixed. In Europe, London's FTSE 100 crossed the 5,000 mark, while France's CAC 40 and the German DAX gained at least 1%. Asian markets ended lower.

Market breadth was positive. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners topped losers two to one on volume of 770 million shares. On the Nasdaq, advancers beat decliners by over two to one on volume of 1.74 billion shares.


Yahoo! Finance

4:20 pm : The major indices started the session with modest losses, but that was met by buyers looking to extend the stock market's recent gains. Stocks did hand back a chunk of their gains following a disappointing Fed Beige Book, but participants shrugged off the commentary and pushed stocks broadly higher into the close.

There weren't many news items to drive action in the early going, but that didn't stop participants from looking to continue the stock market's recent ride higher. Their efforts helped take the stock market back above last week's highs, but gains stalled as the S&P 500 came within close range of 2009 highs near 1039.

Industrial stocks showed leadership for the entire session. As a group, they settled 1.6% higher.

Financials had lagged in the early going, but managed to make their way to a 1.4% gain and provide support to the broader market. AIG (AIG 38.89, +3.04) was a primary leader as it bounced back from a two-session slide. Capital One (COF 37.47, +2.03) was also a leader in the financial sector. It benefited from an upgrade by analysts at Citigroup. Citigroup's analysts also upgraded shares of MasterCard (MA 210.31, +2.86), while JPMorgan upgraded Morgan Stanley (MS 28.55, +0.75).

Thanks to a late rebound by the broader market, energy and materials stocks were able to close with strength. They had faltered after energy prices and precious metals prices finished in weak fashion. Gold prices closed pit trade at $997.10 per ounce, down nearly 0.3%, and silver prices settled down 0.2% at $16.47 per ounce. Crude oil prices showed considerable strength early on, but finished with a 0.5% gain at $71.49 per barrel. The gyrations came ahead of the latest OPEC meeting, which is expected to culminate with oil output unchanged. Meanwhile, natural gas prices settled 1.2% higher at $2.84 per contract after being up nearly 7%.

Consumer staples stocks struggled for the entire session. They closed with a 0.1% loss. Utilities stocks were also weak and finished with a 0.1% loss.

Stocks showed little reaction to the results of a $20 billion 10-year Note auction, which showed a high yield of 3.51% and a bid-to-cover ratio of nearly 2.8, which is well above the 2009 auction average of 2.5. The benchmark 10-year Note moved lower a while after the results were released, but it eventually made its way to a fractional gain before the closing bell.

The only positive news from the Beige Book came from the manufacturing sector, which has seen an increase in orders, but improvements for the rest of the economy have largely been mediocre and show a slowing decline in economic activity, not an increase. The Fed's commentary also indicated that downward pressure on home prices continued in most districts.

Though stocks were initially let down by the Fed's commentary, it didn't take long for participants to brush the report aside to support a broad-based rebound, which ensured a fourth straight gain for the stock market. DJ30 +49.88 NASDAQ +22.62 NQ100 +0.9% R2K +1.7% SP400 +1.4% SP500 +7.98 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1896/2.49 bln/772 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2182/1.24 bln/842

3:30 pm : Despite continued weakness in the greenback, commodities spent the session mixed before finishing in lackluster fashion.

Ongoing pressure against the U.S. dollar caused the Dollar Index to shed 0.3% this session and register new 11-month lows, but that wasn't enough to bolster sustainable buying interest in gold after the yellow metal registered 18-month highs near $1008 per ounce in the previous session. In turn, gold prices closed pit trade at $997.10 per ounce, down nearly 0.3%. Gold only spent limited time in positive ground.

Silver prices didn't fare much better. The contracts for the commodity closed with prices down 0.2% at $16.47 per ounce.

Crude oil prices showed early strength, but surrendered most of their advance to settle with a 0.5% gain at $71.49 per barrel. The gyrations came ahead of the latest OPEC meeting, which is expected to culminate this evening with oil output unchanged, and a weekly inventory report tomorrow.

Natural gas inventory data will also be released tomorrow. Prices of the commodity came under considerable pressure late in the session. They had been up nearly 7%, but settled with a gain of 1.2% at $2.84 per contract.DJ30 +31.29 NASDAQ +18.54 SP500 +5.83 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1805/2.11 bln/846 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2077/925 mln/927

3:00 pm : Amid the stock market's recent downturn, energy stocks have fallen sharply out of favor. The energy sector had been up 1% at its session high, but it is now trading with a 0.5% loss.

A reversal by oil prices has also weighed on the energy sector. Oil prices had been up above $72 per barrel earlier this session, but they settled at $71.49 per barrel, which translates to a more modest 0.5%. That has left oil and gas equipment stocks to trade at session lows with a loss of 1.5%.

Materials stocks have followed the energy sector into the red. They are now trading with a 0.2% loss after being up 0.9%.

Both energy and materials stocks were laggards in the early going.DJ30 +13.00 NASDAQ +13.87 SP500 +3.74 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1699/1.98 bln/933 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1963/866 mln/1025

2:30 pm : At about 2:00 ET the Fed's Beige Book was released, with reports from the 12 Federal Reserve Districts indicating that economic activity continued to stabilize in July and August. Initially, the market had a muted reaction, and continued to trade with sizable gains. However, shortly following the release, the major averages sharply sold off as investors digested the information.

The Beige Book further indicated that downward pressure on home prices continued in most Districts, and reports on commercial real estate suggest that the demand for space remained weak and that nonresidential construction-related activity continued to decline. Also, the labor market conditions remained weak across all Districts. While none of this information would be considered "surprising", the report was taken as disappointing with little in terms of positive economic data points. DJ30 +18.7 NASDAQ +15.2 SP500 +4.5 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1782/1810.1/839 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2010/790.7/968

2:00 pm : In mid-afternoon trade, the stock market continues to trade with solid gains with the Nasdaq slightly outperforming the other major averages.

At Apple's (AAPL 174.12 +1.19) much anticipated "It's Only Rock and Roll, But We Like It" event, CEO Steve Jobs appeared on stage and confirmed that he did undergo a liver transplant. In terms of product announcements and updates, Apple introduced iTunes LP in iTunes 9 which includes digital video, liner notes, credits, and customized content for albums. Additionally, Electronic Arts (ERTS 18.70 -0.23) announced at the event that Madden NFL 2010 is coming to Apple's "app store."

Looking ahead, at about 2:00 ET, the Fed's Beige Book is set to be released.DJ30 +51.2 NASDAQ +23.9 SP500 +8.5 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1881/1616.7/723 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2193/710.5/786

1:30 pm : Stocks continue to push higher and are now within close range of 2009 intraday highs, which stand near 1039 for the S&P 500.

Extended support for the stock market has pushed Treasuries out of favor. The benchmark 10-year Note is now down 11 ticks and yielding close to 3.53%, despite strong results from a $20 billion auction of 10-year Notes. The results, which were released at 1:00 PM ET, showed a high yield of 3.51% and a bid-to-cover ratio of nearly 2.8, which is well above the 2009 auction average of 2.5. DJ30 +61.07 NASDAQ +25.52 SP500 +9.19 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1902/1.48 bln/667 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2246/650 mln/709

1:00 pm : A mild fit of profit taking sent stocks lower in the first few minutes of the session, but residual buying interest from the previous session helped stocks make an early rebound that left stocks with strong gains. Still, the S&P 500 has yet to make it to 1039, which marks 2009 intraday highs and is considered a key resistance level.

Industrial stocks (+1.8%) are sporting the best gains this session, but financials recently made a strong, upward move to provide an additional boon to the broader market. Financials are now up 1.4% after lagging for the first part of the session. Some of the sector's best gains are being made by MasterCard (MA 211.56, +4.11), Capital One (COF 37.44, +2.00), Morgan Stanley (MS 28.70, +0.90), all of which received analyst upgrades.

On the other side of things, consumer staples stocks and utilities stocks have spent the entire session trading as laggards. The two sectors are both down 0.1% currently.

The overall positive mood among broad market participants and the expectation that OPEC will leave production targets unchanged has helped oil prices extend their recent gains. Oil was recently quoted 1.5% higher at $72.20 per barrel. Ongoing weakness in the U.S. dollar has also helped prop up oil prices.

The dollar's decline hasn't done much to win additional support for gold prices, though. Gold was last quoted 0.1% lower at $997.30 per ounce. Gold just registered 18-month highs around $1008 per ounce in the previous session.

Results from a $20 billion auction of 10-year Treasuries are due imminently. The benchmark Note is down 8 ticks and yielding roughly 3.51% ahead of the announcement. Participants also await the Fed's Beige Book (2:00 PM ET), which should provide regional and anecdotal economic information. DJ30 +58.42 NASDAQ +24.26 SP500 +8.42 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1850/1.37 bln/695 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2188/604 mln/745

12:30 pm : The broader market continues to sport strong gains, helping residential REITs like Equity Residential (EQR 28.34, +0.77) and Essex Property Trust (ESS 74.99, +0.83) extend recent gains. An article from The Wall Street Journal saying that China's $300 billion sovereign-wealth fund is eyeing big investments in distressed U.S. real estate has also helped. According to the article, the U.S. government may be relied upon to help the deals, but China's Investment Corp has already held talks with U.S. private-equity fund managers, including BlackRock (BLK 200.79, +1.43).DJ30 +60.31 NASDAQ +24.48 SP500 +8.25 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1823/1.25 bln/711 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2174/551 mln/755

12:00 pm : The stock market is taking a breather and easing back a bit after making its way from a 0.4% gain to a 1.0% in the last hour. Though gains remain broad-based, consumer staples stocks (-0.1%) and utilities stocks (-0.1%) are back in negative ground.

Coca-Cola Enterprises (CCE 20.03, -0.39) is a creating a considerable drag on the consumer staples sector. Following the previous session's closing bell the company reaffirmed its fiscal 2009 outlook, which calls for earnings at the higher end of the range $1.44 to $1.49 per share, but that is still shy of the $1.52 per share that analysts, on average, have come to expect.

Meanwhile, utilities stocks are trading with weakness for the second straight session. Electric utilities like Entergy (ETR 78.67, -0.86) are undercutting the sector. DJ30 +60.76 NASDAQ +25.21 SP500 +8.14 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1814/1.11 bln/693 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2158/490 mln/743

11:30 am : After spending the past hour in a rather narrow trading range, stocks have broken out to trade at fresh session highs. However, the S&P 500 remains below August highs of roughly 1039, which represents technical resistance for traders.

The recent leg up has come amid broad-based buying, which has taken all 10 major sectors into the green.

Small-cap stocks are garnering particular interest from market participants. In turn, the Russell 2000 is up a robust 1.5%. DJ30 +59.71 NASDAQ +21.60 SP500 +7.63 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1718/918 mln/760 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2101/409 mln/766

11:00 am : Despite upgrades for shares of MasterCard (MA 207.68, +0.23) and Capital One (COF 36.96, +1.52) by analysts at Citigroup, an upgrade for Morgan Stanley (MS 28.16, +0.36) by analysts at JPMorgan, and an upgrade for Blackstone Group (BX 13.05, +0.37) by analysts at Barclays, financial stocks are lagging the broader market with a mere 0.1% gain. This is the third straight session in which financials have traded as relative laggards.

Utilities and consumer staples stocks are also trading as laggards this session. Their weakness has left them to trade with losses, though. They are down 0.3% and 0.2%, respectively.

The best gains of the session continue to be made by industrial stocks. Sporting a 1.1% gain, the sector is just shy of its session high.DJ30 +25.24 NASDAQ +14.01 SP500 +4.07 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1568/755 mln/851 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1903/338 mln/905

10:30 am : Currency traders continue to drive the U.S. dollar lower, which has helped to provide continued support to commodities.

Weakness in the greenback has the Dollar Index down 0.6% this session and down 2.1% during the course of the last four sessions. In turn, the Dollar Index is trading at fresh 11-month lows.

However, the dollar's declines have bode well for commodities. As such, crude oil prices are extending their recent gains with a 1.1% advance to $71.90 per barrel this session. The advance by crude oil prices comes after reports indicated that OPEC is expected to leave its production targets unchanged. Weekly oil inventory data will be delayed until tomorrow as a result of the Labor Day holiday.

Natural gas prices are also pushing higher. They were recently quoted at $2.95 per contract, up 5.0%.

Gold has managed to overcome an initial fit of selling pressure, which came as prices pulled back from the 18-month highs of approximately $1008 per ounce that were registered in the previous session of pit trade. Gold was last quoted fractionally higher at $999.80 per ounce. Silver is making a more impressive gain this session by climbing 0.8% to $16.65 per ounce.DJ30 +24.79 NASDAQ +10.88 SP500 +3.74 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1467/577 mln/870 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1802/265 mln/944

10:00 am : A recent flurry of buying interest helped stocks swing from an initial loss to a modest gain, which has put nine of the 10 major sectors in the S&P 500 into positive territory. Only the consumer staples sector remains in the red; it is currently trading with a 0.1% loss.

The upward move has put the S&P 500 above last week's highs. However, the S&P 500 has since stalled, even though it has yet to reach a key resistance level at roughly 1039, which marks its August high and its 2009 high.

Early movers: Trading up -- VVUS +67%, CLZR +34.6%, HITK +19.3%, TITN +12.5%, ISTA +9.1%, FIG +7.8%, CPHD +7.6%, STEI +7.3%, CASY +6%; Trading down -- RTI -6.6%, BPOP -6.4%, PALM -6.2%, OPXA -6%, PBY -5.9%, EAC -5.8%DJ30 +28.95 NASDAQ +8.31 SP500 +3.80 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1338/381 mln/910 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1699/179 mln/955

09:45 am : Stocks started the session with modest losses, but they recently made a sudden jump. The upward move has been largely broad-based, but industrial stocks are making some of the best gains. The sector is up 0.5% amid leadership from General Electric (GE 14.74, +0.24), which has advanced for four straight sessions. The streak of gains was helped along by JPMorgan's decision yesterday to upgrade the stock.

Materials stocks (+0.4%) and energy stocks (+0.3%) had been showing the worst declines in the first few minutes of action. Their declines looked to come as participants took profits following the strong performances of the two sectors in the previous session, but the downward move was quickly met with supportive buying interest. DJ30 +14.13 NASDAQ +5.01 SP500 +2.14 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1188/260 mln/969 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1461/125 mln/1122

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +1.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: flat. There haven't been many reports to guide participants this morning, but stock futures have still managed to make their way off of overnight lows to trade near the neutral line. Several financial services stocks have lent support to the upward move, thanks to some upgrades by top analyst firms. A few trading catalysts could come this afternoon when results from a $20 billion auction of Treasuries (1:00 PM ET) and the Fed's Beige Book (2:00 PM ET) are released. Participants will be monitoring the auction results to assess demand for the benchmark Treasury security, while the latter report should provide the latest dose of anecdotal economic information. Meanwhile, gold and oil are working to extend their recent gains. Gold prices recently made their way out of negative territory to trade with a 0.1% gain at $999.40 per ounce. However, that's still below the 18-month highs of roughly $1008 per ounce, which was registered in the previous session of pit trade. As for oil, it is extending the previous session's run by tacking on another 0.8% to trade at $71.70 per barrel with OPEC expected to leave production unchanged.

09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +0.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -1.30. Stock futures remain flat, but commodities are trading in mixed fashion following their generally positive session yesterday. Gold prices are currently down 0.1% to $997.30 per ounce after registering 18-month highs above $1008 per ounce on Tuesday. However, oil prices are showing continued strength after the previous session's gain of more than 3%, which marked one of their best single-session percentage advances in one month. Oil prices are up 0.7% to $71.60 per barrel in the first few minutes of this session's pit trade. Oil's continued strength comes amid news that OPEC is expected to leave its production targets unchanged.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +2.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +0.80. U.S. stock futures have improved a bit, but still point to a generally flat start for the session. Meanwhile, European stocks are moving modestly higher. Britain's FTSE is sporting a 0.8% gain. Its advancing issues outnumber its decliners by 3-to-1 with banks and energy stocks trading as primary leaders. As such, HSBC (HBC), Barclays (BCS), BP PLC (BP), and BG Group are providing the most support to the FTSE's advance. France's CAC, which is up 0.7%, is also benefiting from the leadership of financial and energy plays. Societe Generale, AXA (AXA), Total (TOT) and GDF Suez are currently its primary winners. Germany's DAX is up 0.8%. Commerzbank and Deutsche Bank (DB) are its primary leaders. Both the MSCI Asia Pacific Index and Japan's Nikkei slipped 0.8%. Japan's exporters were hit by a stronger yen, while its bank shares slid after a brokerage firm downgraded two of its banks. That left Canon (CAJ), Toyota Motor (TM), and Honda Motor (HMC) to falter. Honda was also hit by a downgrade from analysts at Bank of America's Merrill Lynch. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MTU), Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, and Mizuho Financial (MFG) went on the skid following negative comments from analysts at JPMorgan Securities. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng closed 1.0% lower. Lenovo dropped sharply after a major shareholder sold a large lot of shares at a discount. In mainland China, the Shanghai Composite mustered a 0.5% gain, which made for its seventh straight gain. Metal stocks were leaders in the latest round of gains. In macro news, reports indicated that banks on the mainland had stronger new lending in Augugust than what had been previously expected.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +0.10. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -2.30. Overall news flow is slow, leaving broad-market stock futures to point toward a flat start for the session. However, several financial firms are looking strong following some key analyst upgrades, including Citigroup's upgrade of both Mastercard (MA) and Capital One Financial (COF). Meanwhile, analysts at JPMorgan upgraded Morgan Stanley (MS) and analysts at Barclays upgraded shares of Blackstone Group (BX). Several energy stocks are also extending their recent gains amid news that OPEC ministers are expected to leave oil production targets unchanged. That has helped to prop up oil prices, which were recently quoted at $71.30 per barrel, up 0.3% in electronic trade. Participants await results from a $20 billion auction of 10-year Notes that are scheduled for 1:00 PM ET, and the Fed's Beige Book, which is due at 2:00 PM ET.

06:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -0.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -2.80.

06:35 am : Nikkei...10312.14...-81.10...-0.80%. Hang Seng...20851.04...-218.80...-1.00%.

06:35 am : FTSE...4970.37...+23.00...+0.50%. DAX...5507.63...+25.90...+0.50%.

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