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 Post subject: Could Volatility Be Predicted ?
PostPosted: Fri Jan 13, 2012 7:14 pm 
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The following observation or question was posted @ EliteTrader.com

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Quote from A00082994:

I am a newbie,I heard that the volatility instead of the price could be predicted.If so,how to predict it and is there any good methods?

thank you much

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Give an example of what you refer to as "predicted" so that we can better understand your question. For example, on Jan 18th Tuesday around 0830am est there will be a volatility spike in the Emini Futures, Eurex Futures and Euronext Futures...would that qualified as something you're talking about. ?

Another possible example...after 2 - 3 range trading days, the next trade day has a 68.4% chance to produce at least 2 intraday strong directional price actions or a trend day...would that qualified as something you're talking about. ?

Yet another example...VIX or VXX in a tight trading range or trend price actions, there's a 86.7% chance the Index Futures will have the similar like price actions...would that qualified as something you're talking about. ?

The above involves Volatility Analysis and there's many more examples which is why I'm curious about what exactly you're talking about.

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http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3414683#post3414683

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M.A. Perry
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