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 Post subject: January 11th Thursday Price Action Trade Results - No Trades
PostPosted: Thu Jan 11, 2018 10:31 pm 
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Joined: Sat Jan 10, 2009 1:06 pm
Posts: 3231
Location: Canada
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Price Action Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
TheStrategyLab Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Online user name wrbtrader (more info about me) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=127&t=850 & http://www.thestrategylab.com/wrbtrader.htm
Free Chat Room: http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=164
Archive Real-Time Chat Logs (timestamp, entries/exits, position size): http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewforum.php?f=20
Users Reviews, Accolades (Testimonials): http://www.thestrategylab.com/Accolades.htm
Review of TheStrategyLab: http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=84&t=3167 & http://www.thestrategylab.com/thestrategylab-reviews.htm
Price Action Trading: http://www.thestrategylab.com/price-action-trading.htm
TheStrategyLab Business Hours: 8am - 5pm est (Mon - Fri)
Telephone: +1 708 572-4885
wrbanalysis@gmail.com (24/7)
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Twitter @ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader (24/7)

Quote:
No trades today for me due to a required rest day after a very aggressive trading day yesterday. In fact, mentally I'm still not where I want to be because I still have slow recovery from a stressful trading day...the slow recovery is one of the side effects from my hospitalization the fall of 2016. Doctors say it may take 1 - 2 years for me to recover. Also, soon I'll be on vacation until the end of January...winter hiking, camping and photography.

Price Action Trade Performance for Today: Emini RTY ($RTY_F) futures @ $0.00 dollars or +0.00 points, Emini ES ($ES_F) futures @ $0.00 dollars or +0.00 points, Light Crude Oil CL ($CL_F) futures @ $0.00 dollars or +0.00 points, Gold GC ($GC_F) futures @ $0.00 dollars or +0.00 points and EuroFX 6E ($6E_F) futures @ $0.00 dollars or +0.0000 ticks. Total Profit @ $0.00 dollars

Russell 2000 Emini RTY Futures: 1 tick or 0.10 = $5.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup (formerly as TF @ The ICE)
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures: 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup
Light Crude Oil CL (WTI) Futures: 1 tick or 0.01 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup
Gold GC Futures: 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup
EuroFX 6E Futures: 1 tick or 0.0001 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup

Today's Trade Log & Price Action Analysis is archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=176&t=2740

All of my trades are posted real-time at the above link for today's archive chat log in the timestamp ##TheStrategyLab free chat room via the user name wrbtrader for anyone to do a real-time review (you must be a member of the chat room for a real-time review). Although the trades and price action analysis are posted by me and other users of WRB Analysis in real-time...review of TheStrategyLab is that this is not a signal calling chat room nor is this a live trading room that has a head trader telling you what to do. I'm the moderator (I keep the peace between members) and my own live trades are posted within 3.2 seconds on average after the trade confirmation in my broker trade execution platform via an auto script to minimize delays in posting of my trades. You can review today's price action trade journal about my trades (e.g. time, price entry, contract size, price exit, market analysis) as the trade traversed to its completion. In addition, sometimes I'll post real-time trading tips in the free ##TheStrategyLab chat room involving WRBs, WRB Hidden GAPs, Key Market Events (KME), WRB Zones, Reaction Highs/Lows, Contracting Volatility or Expanding Volatility...all key concepts from the WRB Analysis free study guide even though the free chat room is not design to be an education chat room because the education is only performed at the forums in the private threads.

Image ##TheStrategyLab Chat Room is free. The free chat room is not a signal calling trading room nor is it a live trading room with a head trader even though members of the chat room are posting their trades & market analysis in real-time. I do not mentor (never have) although I get many requests to do mentoring. There is education but only in members private threads at the forum involving members asking questions (help) about their own trading. Thus, the primary purpose of TheStrategyLab free chat room is for you to use as your trade journal so that you can use as valuable feedback about your own trading and for members to help each other...as in more eyes on the market. In addition, we highly recommend that you use the free chat room with a professional trade journal software like tradebench.com, edgewonk.com, tradervue.com, tradingdiarypro.com, stocktickr.com, journalsqrd.com, tradingdiary.pro, mxprofit.com or trademetria.com because they can provide you with the quantitative statistical analysis of your trading. You can then download your results and post them in your private thread at the forum.

Also, you can use TheStrategyLab free chat room to ask real-time WRB Analysis questions. Yet, please do not post your quantitative statistical analysis, brokerage statements in the free chat room. Instead, its highly recommended that you only post that particular information in your private thread for security reasons. Yet, if you want to post that type of information at another website, blog or chat room...that's your choice.

TheStrategyLab free chat room is on IRC via users request because the IRC servers are located in many different countries, software in many different languages, many different mobile apps, many different types of social media software can be used to log in along with IRC being easier to moderate via script codes when trouble makers, spammers and trolls show up. I'm the moderator of the free chat room via the user name wrbtrader. Thus, I keep the peace between members without hesitation in removing problematic traders so that members can peacefully post their market observations, trades, WRB Analysis commentary about the markets without being trolled or harassed.

TheStrategyLab free chat room is not for traders looking for someone to hold their hands and tell them when to buy or sell nor do we allow the free chat room to be used for mentoring because we do not offer a mentoring service. The purpose of TheStrategyLab is for you to post your real-time analysis or trades so that you can review as feedback for any trading day to provide valuable information about the results in your broker statements. If you join the free chat room and then you decide to not post any WRB Analysis about the price action or you decide to not post your trades or you decide to be silent (lurk without saying a word about today's markets)...you're not using the free chat room properly to help improve your trading.

In fact, we do not want silent (lurkers) traders to join the free chat room unless they are actively posting at the forum about their trading after the markets close. Access instructions for the free chat room @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=164

Quote:
All of my real-time posted trades involves price action concepts from WRB Analysis free study guide, Advance WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 4 - 12 and the Volatility Trading Report (VTR) trade signal strategies. Yet, I'm always backtesting new concepts of WRB Analysis, new trade entry rules, new trade management rules, new position size management rules before application in real money trades (small position size trades) to adapt to changed market conditions prior to large position size trades or sharing the new concepts with fee-base clients...living up to the name of my website. TheStrategyLab

Also, posted below for you to review are direct links to information about my price action trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis). I'm primarily a day trader because it suits my personal lifestyle but I do occasionally swing trade and position trade. Simply, my trade method is applicable for position trading, swing trading and day trading.

Image Price Action Analysis via Advance WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=119&t=718

Analysis -----> Trade Signals

Image Trade Signal Strategies via Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our price action trade strategies with support (answering your questions) prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR). All WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1 - 12 are included in the purchase of the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Daily Trading Plan Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=343&t=3632 contains brief information about trading plan, market context, brokers, trading time frames, position size management and other discussions.

-----------------------------

Market Context Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, Briefing, Reuters and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED/ECB/BOE/IMF actions or any important global economic events (e.g. Eurozone, MarketWatch.com) that had an impact on today's price action in many trading instruments I monitor during the trading day. Simply, I'm a strong believer that key market events causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility resulting in trade opportunities (swing points and strong continuation price actions) that reach profit targets. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events, intermarket analysis (e.g. Forex EurUsd, EuroFX 6E futures, Gold GC futures, Light Crude Oil (WTI) CL & Brent Oil futures, Eurex DAX futures, Euronext FTSE100 futures, Emini ES futures, Emini RTY futures, Treasury ZB futures and U.S. Dollar Index futures) while using WRB Analysis from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for price action trading before the appearance of my technical analysis trade signals. Therefore, I maintain these archives for easy review to allow me to understand what was happening on any given trading day in the past involving key market events to help better understand my trade decisions (day trading, swing trading, position trading)...something I can not get from my broker PnL statements alone. Further, most financial websites remove (delete) their archives after a few years to make room for new content. Therefore, I maintain my own archives of the news content so that I have it available for me when financial websites no longer archives their content.

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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

The Market at 04:30PM ET
Dow: +205.60… | Nasdaq: +58.21… | S&P: +19.33…
NASDAQ Vol: 1.99 bln… Adv: 1944… Dec: 718…
NYSE Vol: 827.8 mln… Adv: 2319… Dec: 625…

Moving the Market

'Buy the dip' mentality following first loss of the year; small caps, transports lead

The Producer Price Index declined 0.1% in December, while the Briefing.com consensus expected an increase of 0.2%; core PPI slipped 0.1% (Briefing.com consensus +0.2%)

ECB minutes hawkish, note guidance could be changed in early 2018

Sector Watch
Strong: Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy, Materials
Weak: Financials, Technology, Health Care, Consumer Staples, Utilities, Telecom Services, Real Estate

04:30PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Stocks rallied to new records on Thursday as investors geared up for the fourth quarter earnings season, which will begin on Friday.

The small-cap Russell 2000 set the pace, jumping 1.7% to 1586.79. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.8% to 7211.78, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.8% to 25574.73, and the S&P 500 rose 0.7% to 2767.56. All four indices finished at new all-time highs.

'Buy the dip' was the name of the game on Thursday; the major stock indices opened with modest gains after registering slim losses in the prior session. Wednesday's downtick marked the first losses of the year for both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq and just the second for the Dow.

Buying picked up throughout Thursday's session, especially in the final minutes, leaving the major indices at their session highs. Eight of eleven sectors advanced with the energy (+2.0%), consumer discretionary (+1.6%), industrials (+1.3%), and materials (+1.3%) groups being the top performers.

The energy sector was up as much as 2.4% thanks to a crude oil rally, which saw West Texas Intermediate crude futures jump 1.9% to $64.35 per barrel--their best level since December 2014. However, energy shares trimmed gains in the afternoon when WTI crude gave back much of its advance, settling higher by just 0.4% at $63.79 per barrel.

Meanwhile, in the industrial sector, heavyweights like Boeing (BA 328.12, +7.86) and Caterpillar (CAT 169.20, +3.33) climbed to new record highs, adding 2.5% and 2.0%, respectively. Transports also outperformed, pushing the Dow Jones Transportation Average (+2.3%) to a new record.

Within the DJTA, Delta Air Lines (DAL 58.52, +2.66) showed particular strength, adding 4.8%, after reporting better-than-expected earnings and revenues for the fourth quarter and raising its profit guidance for 2018. DAL shares finished at a new all-time high.

Retailers set the pace in the consumer discretionary sector, sending the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT 47.28, +1.14) higher by 2.5%. Retailers picked up steam following news that Wal-Mart (WMT 100.02, +0.35) will be closing a series of Sam's Club stores. Costco (COST 189.38, +3.96), Sam's Club's main rival, added 2.1%.

Wal-Mart also made headlines after announcing that it will raise wages for hourly employees, expand maternity and parental leave benefits, and provide one-time cash bonuses of up to $1,000. The world's largest retailer said the recent tax overhaul fueled its decision.

On the downside, the consumer staples (-0.1%), utilities (-0.4%), and real estate (-0.7%) sectors declined on Thursday, extending their year-to-date losses to 0.4%, 4.0%, and 4.6%, respectively. For comparison, the S&P 500 has added 3.5% year to date.

In the bond market, U.S. Treasuries rallied in a curve-flattening trade that pushed the benchmark 10-yr yield lower by two basis points to 2.53% and left the 2-yr yield flat at 1.96%. Chinese officials denied the Wednesday report that China may slow or halt its purchases of U.S. Treasuries.

Elsewhere, the major European stock indices finished Thursday mixed after the European Central Bank released the minutes from its last meeting, which noted that the ECB could begin preparing investors for the end of its bond-buying program early this year. The euro jumped following the minutes, climbing 0.7% against the U.S. dollar to 1.2032.

In Asia, equity indices finished mostly higher, but reports that the South Korean government is seeking to ban all cryptocurrency trading weighed on Bitcoin, which tumbled 7.2% to $13,451.

Reviewing Thursday's economic data, which included the Producer Price Index for December, the weekly Initial Claims report, and the Treasury Budget for December:

Producer prices declined 0.1% in December (Briefing.com consensus +0.2%) and core producer prices also decreased 0.1% (Briefing.com consensus +0.2%). Year-over-year, producer prices are up 2.6% (down from 3.1% in November) and core producer prices have risen 2.3% (down from 2.4% in November).
The key takeaway from the report is that there was a deceleration in the Producer Price Index, which will temper concerns about potential pass-through effects to the consumer and perhaps quell some of the budding inflation concerns that have contributed to some of the weakness in longer-dated Treasury securities to begin the year.
The latest weekly initial jobless claims count totaled 261,000, while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 248,000. Today's tally was above the unrevised prior week count of 250,000. As for continuing claims, they declined to 1.867 million from a revised count of 1.902 million (from 1.914 million).
Initial claims have picked up the last few weeks, yet the streak below 300,000 has stretched to 149 straight weeks, serving as a reminder that labor market conditions continue to be favorable.
The Treasury Budget for December showed a deficit of $23.2 billion (Briefing.com consensus -$47.5 billion) versus a deficit of $27.3 billion for December 2016.
The Treasury Budget data is not seasonally adjusted, so the December deficit cannot be compared to the $138.5 billion deficit registered in November.

On Friday, investors will receive the Consumer Price Index for December (Briefing.com consensus +0.2%) at 8:30 AM ET, Retail Sales for December (Briefing.com consensus +0.4%) also at 8:30 AM ET, and Business Inventories for November (Briefing.com consensus +0.3%) at 10:00 AM ET.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM 110.84, +0.59) and Wells Fargo (WFC 63.01, -0.11) will report earnings on Friday morning, unofficially marking the start of the Q4 earnings season.

Nasdaq Composite: +4.5% YTD
S&P 500: +3.5% YTD
Dow Jones Industrial Average: +3.5% YTD
Russell 2000: +3.3% YTD

Dow: +205.60… | Nasdaq: +58.21… | S&P: +19.33…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1944/718. …NYSE Adv/Dec 2319/625.

03:30PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Commodities end the day higher :

Overall, commodities, as measured by the Bloomberg Commodity Index, are currently up 0.1% at 88.3060
Dollar index is currently down 0.5% at 91.64
Feb WTI Crude is up 0.35% on the day.
Futures settle $0.22 higher to $63.79/barrel.
In other energy, Feb Natural Gas settled up $0.17 at $3.08/MMBtu
On the metals:
Feb Gold gained $2.8 to settle at $1322.1/oz, while Mar silver lost $0.08 to $16.96/oz
Mar Copper dropped $0.01 to $3.23/lb
Finally, agriculture:
Mar Corn settled unchanged at $3.49/bu.
Jan Soy settled down $0.01 at $9.49/bu.
Mar Wheat settled up $0.01 at $4.34/bu.

Dow: +152.21… | Nasdaq: +47.60… | S&P: +15.31…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2260/738. …NYSE Adv/Dec 2275/673.

02:55PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] The Dow (+0.6%), the Nasdaq (+0.6%), the S&P 500 (+0.5%), and the Russell 2000 (+1.5%) are on track to finish today's session at new record highs.

Looking ahead, the fourth quarter earnings season will kick off tomorrow morning with reports from JPMorgan Chase (JPM 110.44, +0.19) and Wells Fargo (WFC 62.91, -0.20). The Consumer Price Index for December (Briefing.com consensus +0.2%) and Retail Sales for December (Briefing.com consensus +0.4%) will be released at 8:30 AM ET, followed by the release of Business Inventories for November (Briefing.com consensus +0.3%) at 10:00 AM ET.

Dow: +136.00… | Nasdaq: +43.01… | S&P: +13.46…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2142/715. …NYSE Adv/Dec 2276/654.

02:25PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] The tech-heavy Nasdaq (+0.6%) has taken the lead this afternoon, extending its 2018 gain to 4.3%.

Costco (COST 189.46, +4.04) moved sharply higher earlier this afternoon after Wal-Mart (WMT 100.18, +0.52) tweeted that it will be closing "a series" of Sam's Club stores. COST shares were flat ahead of the announcement and now trade higher by 2.0%. WMT shares, meanwhile, are up 0.5%.

The energy (+2.1%), consumer discretionary (+1.2%), industrials (+1.1%), and materials (+1.0%) sectors are trading at the top of today's sector standings while the consumer staples (-0.2%), utilities (-0.2%), and real estate (-0.7%) groups hover at the bottom.

Dow: +138.78… | Nasdaq: +43.20… | S&P: +13.62…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2145/722. …NYSE Adv/Dec 2227/687.

02:00PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Equity indices hold gains between 0.5% and 0.6%, hovering near their session highs.

Just in, the Treasury Budget for December showed a deficit of $23.2 billion (Briefing.com consensus -$47.5 billion) versus a deficit of $27.3 billion for December 2016. The Treasury Budget data is not seasonally adjusted, so the December deficit cannot be compared to the $138.5 billion deficit registered in November.

Dow: +139.66… | Nasdaq: +42.75… | S&P: +13.96…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2117/726. …NYSE Adv/Dec 2211/703.

01:30PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Stocks are back on the march following two sessions of relatively flat activity. The Dow +0.6%, S&P +0.6%, and Nasdaq +0.7% are all enjoying a day firmly in the green. Some recent headlines gave pause to investors as concerns over trade, the pending budget battle, and higher bond yields fanned caution. But there have been a few headlines suggesting those fears are over done and that has led to the Buy the Dip activity to swarm back into markets. The next few weeks promise to be exciting as a healthy dose of earnings will create volatility on the company level while key meetings and central bank decisions and commentary will create volatility on the macro side.

Chevron Corp (CVX) has led the Dow with a +3.3% gain today as energy moves squarely into favor and a leadership roll. Higher oil prices and a strong global economy are boosting the sector and CVX is seeing an additional push from a BMO upgrade today. Peer Exxon Mobile (XOM) is up +1.4% on the day. Intel (INTC) is attempting to recover some recent losses as it rebounds +2.3%. Shares are fighting to hold support at the $43 area. General Electric (GE) is once again among the leaders as it rallies +1.7% and is now up +9% on the year.

American Express (AXP) has been the biggest laggard as it is down -0.9% in today's session. The stock is bumping up against psychological resistance at the $100 level and it will report Q4 results next week. The two events are providing some headwind for shares and leading to some selling by investors. Barclays tweaked its target to $119 from $118 today as it expects AXP to report in line results. Of note, AXP will be taking a $2.54 bln impact to its Deferred Tax Assets under the new tax reform laws. This is leading to some concern over the potential speed of its buyback program in the first half of 2018.

Dow: +138.95… | Nasdaq: +47.03… | S&P: +15.29…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2224/725. …NYSE Adv/Dec 2243/737.

01:00PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Stocks have bounced back from yesterday's downtick today, sending the major U.S. indices to new all-time highs.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 0.6% while the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 hold gains of 0.5% apiece. The small-cap Russell 2000 is easily outpacing the aforementioned indices, sporting a gain of 1.2%. All four indices have hit new record intraday highs and currently trade at their best marks of the session.

The energy sector (+2.3%) is today's top-performing group as crude oil extends its four-week rally; West Texas Intermediate crude futures are up 1.5% at $64.51 per barrel, cracking the $64 mark for the first time since December 2014. Dow component Chevron (CVX 132.98, +4.34) shows particular strength, jumping 3.4%, after BMO Capital Markets upgraded CVX shares to 'Outperform' from 'Market Perform.'

Sitting a ways back from energy in second place is the industrial group (+1.1%), which has benefited from the outperformance of heavyweights like Boeing (BA 326.23, +5.97), General Electric (GE 19.30, +0.38), and Caterpillar (CAT 169.45, +3.59); the three names hold gains between 1.8% and 2.1%. Transports also show notable strength, sending the Dow Jones Transportation Average to a new record, up 1.8%.

Within the DJTA, Delta Air Lines (DAL 57.19, +1.33) is up 2.4% after reporting better-than-expected earnings and revenues for the fourth quarter and raising its profit guidance for 2018 due to tax reform. DAL shares trade at a new all-time high.

The consumer discretionary sector (+1.0%) is also outperforming with homebuilders leading the charge. KB Home (KBH 38.26, +3.87) has jumped 11.3% to its best level in over a decade after reporting above-consensus profits and sales for the fourth quarter.

On the downside, the consumer staples (-0.1%), utilities (-0.2%), and real estate (-0.6%) sectors are lower, extending their losses for the year; the three groups show year-to-date losses of 0.4%, 3.9% and 4.6%, respectively. For comparison, the S&P 500 is up 3.4%.

In the bond market, U.S. Treasuries are flat with the benchmark 10-yr yield unchanged at 2.55%.

Elsewhere, the major European stock indices finished Thursday mixed after the European Central Bank released the minutes from its last meeting, which noted that the central bank could begin preparing inventors for the end of its bond-buying program early this year. The euro has jumped 0.8% to 1.2036 against the U.S. dollar following the minutes release.

In the Asia-Pacific region, equity indices finished mostly higher, but reports that the South Korean government is seeking to ban all cryptocurrency trading has weighed on Bitcoin; the cryptocurrency is down 5.9% at $13669.

Reviewing Thursday's economic data, which has included the Producer Price Index for December and the weekly Initial Claims report thus far:

Producer prices declined 0.1% in December (Briefing.com consensus +0.2%) and core producer prices also decreased 0.1% (Briefing.com consensus +0.2%). Year-over-year, producer prices are up 2.6% (down from 3.1% in November) and core producer prices have risen 2.3% (down from 2.4% in November).
The key takeaway from the report is that there was a deceleration in the Producer Price Index, which will temper concerns about potential pass-through effects to the consumer and perhaps quell some of the budding inflation concerns that have contributed to some of the weakness in longer-dated Treasury securities to begin the year.
The latest weekly initial jobless claims count totaled 261,000, while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 248,000. Today's tally was above the unrevised prior week count of 250,000. As for continuing claims, they declined to 1.867 million from a revised count of 1.902 million (from 1.914 million).
Initial claims have picked up the last few weeks, yet the streak below 300,000 has stretched to 149 straight weeks, serving as a reminder that labor market conditions continue to be favorable.

Today's last economic report--the Treasury Budget for December (Briefing.com consensus -$47.5 billion)--will be released at 2:00 PM ET.

Dow: +143.82… | Nasdaq: +45.35… | S&P: +14.38…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2191/681. …NYSE Adv/Dec 2230/666.

12:25PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages trade at their best marks of the day, sporting gains between 0.4% and 0.5%.

Elsewhere, equity indices in Europe finished Thursday mixed with Germany's DAX and France's CAC shedding 0.6% and 0.3%, respectively, while the UK's FTSE climbed 0.2%. Stocks were trading modestly higher before the European Central Bank released the minutes from its last meeting, which noted that the central bank could begin preparing inventors for the end of its bond-buying program early this year.

The euro is up 0.7% against the U.S. dollar at 1.2034 after trading lower by 0.1% against the greenback ahead of the minutes release.

Dow: +126.14… | Nasdaq: +30.20… | S&P: +10.77…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2122/777. …NYSE Adv/Dec 2170/729.

11:55AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Stocks continue to drift near recent levels as the S&P 500 (+0.4%) looks to notch its seventh win in eight sessions.

In general, cyclical sectors, which tend to do well when the outlook for the economy is favorable, are outperforming their countercyclical peers in today's session.

Seven sectors trade in the green--energy (+2.0%), industrials (+0.9%), materials (+0.8%), consumer discretionary (+0.6%), technology (+0.2%), financials (+0.1%), and utilities (unch)--while four trade in the red--health care (-0.1%), telecom services (-0.1%), consumer staples (-0.2%), and real estate (-0.7%).

Elsewhere, Bitcoin is down 2.6% at 14074 following reports that the South Korean government is seeking to ban all cryptocurrency trading.

Dow: +110.68… | Nasdaq: +27.16… | S&P: +9.28…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2127/765. …NYSE Adv/Dec 2175/701.

11:25AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Equity indices have ticked higher in recent action with the S&P 500 extending its gain to 0.4% from 0.3%.

KB Home (KBH 38.07, +3.72) has jumped 10.5% to its best level in over a decade after reporting better-than-expected earnings and revenues for the fourth quarter and issuing above-consensus guidance for Q1. KB Home's peers have also rallied, sending the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB 45.45, +0.73) higher by 1.7%.

The fourth quarter earnings season will unofficially kick off tomorrow morning when financial heavyweights JPMorgan Chase (JPM 110.39, +0.15) and Wells Fargo (WFC 62.79, -0.32) report their latest results. Smaller financial names like BlackRock (BLK 532.34, +0.77) and PNC (PNC 150.72, +1.10) are also scheduled to report on Friday morning.

According to FactSet, S&P 500 earnings are expected to be up 10.5% year over year in the fourth quarter.

Dow: +122.21… | Nasdaq: +27.27… | S&P: +10.06…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2124/729. …NYSE Adv/Dec 2205/645.

10:55AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Stocks have stayed near their opening levels. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (+0.4%) is trading at a fresh record high and hovers a step ahead of the S&P 500 (+0.3%) and the Nasdaq (+0.3%). The small-cap Russell 2000 (+0.6%) shows relative strength.

The energy sector (+1.4%) has paced today's rally, underpinned by an increase in the price of crude oil; West Texas Intermediate crude futures are up 1.3% at $64.36 per barrel, cracking the $64 mark for the first time since December 2014. Dow component Chevron (CVX 131.12, +2.46) is up 1.9% after BMO Capital Markets upgraded CVX shares to 'Outperform' from 'Market Perform.'

Right behind energy is the industrial space (+0.7%), which has benefited from the outperformance of heavyweights like Boeing (BA 324.66, +4.49), General Electric (GE 19.19, +0.27), and Caterpillar (CAT 168.58, +2.71); the three names are up between 1.4% and 1.6%. Transports are also strong, evidenced by the Dow Jones Transportation Average (+1.1%).

Dow: +106.60… | Nasdaq: +22.71… | S&P: +8.90…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2024/803. …NYSE Adv/Dec 2137/674.

10:30AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Commodities begin the day higher:

Overall, commodities, as measured by the Bloomberg Commodity Index, are currently +0.2% at 88.3908
Dollar index is currently down 0.5% at 91.61
Jan WTI crude is up 1.26% on the day.
Futures are $0.8 higher to $64.37/barrel.
In other energy, Jan natural gas is up $0.14 at $3.05/MMBtu
The EIA released its weekly natural gas storage data, showing draw of 359 bcf vs a draw of 206 bcf in the prior week
Metals:
Feb gold gained $1.9 and trades at $1321.2/oz, while Mar silver lost $0.1 to $16.94/oz
Mar copper dropped 0.03 to $3.21/lb
Finally, agriculture:
Mar corn is unchanged at $3.49/bu.
Jan soy is down $0.03 at $9.525/bu.
Mar wheat is down $0.04 at $4.3/bu.

Dow: +87.68… | Nasdaq: +16.53… | S&P: +6.88…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1833/931. …NYSE Adv/Dec 2032/742.

09:55AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Equity indices trade near their opening levels; the S&P 500 is up 0.2%.

The top-weighted technology sector (unch), which represents nearly a quarter of the broader market, is underperforming with Microsoft (MSFT 87.37, -0.45) showing particular weakness, losing 0.5%. Conversely, the sector's largest component by market cap--Apple (AAPL 175.29, +1.00)--is higher by 0.6%.

In the bond market, U.S. Treasuries are under pressure, pushing yields higher across the curve. The benchmark 10-yr yield is at 2.56% after closing Wednesday at 2.55% while the 2-yr yield is up two basis points at 1.98%.

Dow: +67.78… | Nasdaq: +14.63… | S&P: +7.00…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1798/967. …NYSE Adv/Dec 2042/649.

09:40AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] The major U.S. indices trade modestly higher, sporting gains of 0.2% apiece.

Most sectors are trading in the green, but gains have been limited; no group is up more than 0.6%. The consumer discretionary (+0.4%), industrials (+0.5%), energy (+0.6%), and materials (+0.4%) spaces are the top performers while the consumer staples (unch) and health care (unch) groups are the weakest.

Dow components Boeing (BA 324.29, +4.03) and General Electric (GE 19.14, +0.22) have gotten off to a good start, adding 1.3% and 1.0%, respectively.

Dow: +62.19… | Nasdaq: +15.28… | S&P: +6.70…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1709/978. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1974/666.

09:10AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +6.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +14.30.

The stock market is attempting to bounce back from yesterday's downtick; the S&P 500 futures trade seven points, or 0.2%, above fair value.

In corporate news, Delta Air Lines (DAL 57.75, +1.89) and KB Home (KBH 35.78, +1.43) are up 3.4% and 4.2%, respectively, in pre-market trading after both companies beat earnings and revenue estimates for the fourth quarter. Xerox (XRX 32.35, +2.00) is also higher, up 6.7%, following a Wall Street Journal report that the company is discussing potential deals with Japan's Fujifilm Holdings.

On the data front, producer prices declined 0.1% in December (Briefing.com consensus +0.2%) and core producer prices also decreased 0.1% (Briefing.com consensus +0.2%). Year-over-year, producer prices are up 2.6% and core producer prices have risen 2.3%.

Separately, the latest weekly initial jobless claims count totaled 261,000, while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 248,000. Today's tally was above the unrevised prior week count of 250,000. As for continuing claims, they declined to 1.867 million from a revised count of 1.902 million (from 1.914 million).

Today's last economic report--Treasury Budget for December (Briefing.com consensus -$47.5 billion)--will be released at 2:00 PM ET.

U.S. Treasuries are slightly lower after holding modest gains earlier. The reverse followed the release of the minutes from the last European Central Bank meeting, which noted that guidance to investors could be changed in early 2018 if the European economy continues to expand. The benchmark 10-yr yield is up one basis point at 2.56%.

It's also worth noting that yesterday's report that China may slow or halt its purchases of U.S. Treasuries, which prompted heavy selling in the bond market, has been denied by Chinese officials.

08:50AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +6.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +16.50.

The S&P 500 futures trade six points, or 0.2%, above fair value.

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Thursday on a mixed note. Chinese officials swiftly denied yesterday's report, which claimed that the country could slow or stop purchasing U.S. Treasuries. China's State Administration of Foreign Exchange said the report quoted a 'mistaken source or it could also be a piece of fake news.' China's Premier Li Keqiang said that the Chinese economy grew at a faster pace than the official 6.5% target in 2017. The latest projections from the Japanese government showed that a primary surplus will be achieved two years later than it was previously expected.

In economic data:
Australia's November Retail Sales +1.2% month-over-month (expected 0.4%; last 0.5%)
Japan's November Leading Index 108.6 (expected 108.9; last 106.5). November Coincident Indicator 1.7% month-over-month (last 0.2%)

---Equity Markets---

Japan's Nikkei shed 0.3%. SUMCO, Advantest, Kirin Holdings, MS&AD Insurance Group, Dainippon Screen Manufacturing, Nikon, Honda, Fujifilm, Kikkoman, Suzuki Motor, and Alps Electric posted losses between 1.5% and 3.4%.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng added 0.1%. Sunny Optical Technologies and AAC Technologies spiked 9.0% and 4.4%, respectively, while property names and financials like Hang Lung Properties, BoC Hong Kong, Wharf Real Estate, HSBC, Bank of China, and China Life Insurance gained between 0.4% and 3.0%.
China's Shanghai Composite ticked up 0.1%. Hundsun Technologies spiked 5.7% while Eastern Communications, Jiang Su Etern, Topchoice Medical Investment, and Wuhan Xianglong Power Industry rose between 5.9% and 7.1%.
India's Sensex added 0.2%. Infosys jumped 2.3% while Housing Development Finance Corporation, Hindustan Unilever, Mahindra&Mahindra, Sun Pharma, and Tata Motors advanced between 0.5% and 1.0%.

Major European indices trade lower while Italy's MIB (+0.6%) outperforms. The major bourses held modest gains earlier, but slipped after the release of the latest ECB minutes, which noted that guidance to investors could be changed in early 2018 if the European economy continues to expand. British Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond said that the EU needs to spell out what it wants after the completion of Brexit. Today marks the last day for preliminary coalition talks in Germany. The talks could be extended if CDU/CSU and SPD fail to bridge their ideological gap.

In economic data:
Eurozone November Industrial Production +1.0% month-over-month (expected 0.8%; last 0.4%); +3.2% year-over-year (consensus 3.0%; last 3.9%)
Germany's 2017 GDP Growth 2.2% (expected 2.4%; last 1.9%)
Italy's November Retail Sales +1.1% month-over-month (expected 0.3%; last -1.0%); +1.4% year-over-year (last -2.3%)
Spain's November Industrial Production +4.2% year-over-year (consensus 3.1%; last 4.4%)

---Equity Markets---

Germany's DAX is down 0.3%. Growth-sensitive names like Linde, Continental, Heidelbergcement, Siemens, and BASF show gains between 0.1% and 2.2%. On the downside, Deutsche Bank is down 0.6%.
France's CAC is lower by 0.2%. STMicroelectronics, ArcelorMittal, Danone, Cap Gemini, and TechnipFMC have gained between 0.1% and 2.7%. On the downside, Sodexo is down 3.9% in response to disappointing results.
UK's FTSE trades a tick below its flat line. Miners have shown relative strength with Anglo American, BHP Billiton, Glencore, Rio Tinto, Antofagasta, and Fresnillo rising between 0.4% and 2.5%. Consumer names like British American Tobacco, Imperial Brands, Carnival, Unilever, and InterContinental Hotels are up between 0.4% and 1.4%.
Italy's MIB has climbed 0.6%. Saipem, Enel, Tenaris, FinecoBank, Pirelli, Banca Generali, and Ferrari sport gains between 0.8% and 2.8%.


08:34AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +7.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +16.50.

The S&P 500 futures trade seven points, or 0.3%, above fair value.

Just in, producer prices declined 0.1% in December (Briefing.com consensus +0.2%) and core producer prices also decreased 0.1% (Briefing.com consensus +0.2%). Year-over-year, producer prices are up 2.6% and core producer prices have risen 2.3%.

Separately, the latest weekly initial jobless claims count totaled 261,000, while the Briefing.com consensus expected a reading of 248,000. Today's tally was above the unrevised prior week count of 250,000. As for continuing claims, they declined to 1.867 million from a revised count of 1.902 million (from 1.914 million).

07:54AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +7.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +22.00.

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq registered their first losses of the year on Wednesday, ticking lower by 0.1%, but look poised to move back into record territory at the opening bell; the S&P 500 futures, the Nasdaq futures, and the Dow futures trade 0.2% above fair value. The Dow also lost 0.1% on Wednesday, its second loss of 2018.

Investors are gearing up for the fourth quarter earnings season, which will begin tomorrow with releases from financial heavyweights JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC). In the meantime, investors will receive the Producer Price Index for December (Briefing.com consensus +0.2%), weekly Initial Claims (Briefing.com consensus 248K), and the Treasury Budget for December (Briefing.com consensus -$47.5 billion). The first two will be released at 8:30 AM ET, while the Treasury Budget will cross the wires at 2:00 PM ET.

U.S. Treasuries are a tick higher this morning following an eventful Wednesday session. Bonds sold off early on Wednesday due to a report that China may slow or halt its purchases of U.S. Treasuries. Chinese officials have since denied the report. The yield on the benchmark 10-yr Treasury note is down one basis point at 2.54%.

Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate crude futures are up 0.6% at $63.97 per barrel, marking yet another three-year high. The energy sector has outperformed this year amid the strength in crude oil and is in first place in the sector standings with a year-to-date gain of 4.1%. For comparison, the S&P 500 is up 2.8%.

Elsewhere, equity indices in Asia finished mostly higher, but Japan's Nikkei (-0.3%) declined for the second day in a row. Bitcoin is down 1.7% at 13695 and hit an overnight low of 12845 after reports that the South Korean government is planing to ban all cryptocurrency trading.

In Europe, the major bourses trade a tick above their flat lines while Italy's MIB (+0.6%) outperforms.

In U.S. corporate news:

Delta Air Lines (DAL 57.40, +1.54): +2.8% after reporting above-consensus earnings and revenues and raising its profit guidance for fiscal year 2018 due to tax reform.
Xerox (XRX 32.04, +1.69): +5.6% following a Wall Street Journal report that the company is discussing potential deals with Japan's Fujifilm Holdings.
KB Home (KBH 35.00, +0.65): +1.9% after reporting better than expected earnings and revenues

Reviewing overnight developments:

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Thursday on a mixed note. Japan's Nikkei -0.3%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng +0.1%, China's Shanghai Composite +0.1%, India's Sensex +0.2%.
In economic data:
Australia's November Retail Sales +1.2% month-over-month (expected 0.4%; last 0.5%)
Japan's November Leading Index 108.6 (expected 108.9; last 106.5). November Coincident Indicator 1.7% month-over-month (last 0.2%)
In news:
Chinese officials swiftly denied yesterday's report, which claimed that the country could slow or stop purchasing U.S. Treasuries. China's State Administration of Foreign Exchange said the report quoted a 'mistaken source or it could also be a piece of fake news.'
China's Premier Li Keqiang said that the Chinese economy grew at a faster pace than the official 6.5% target in 2017.
The latest projections from the Japanese government showed that a primary surplus will be achieved two years later than it was previously expected.

Major European indices trade near their flat lines while Italy's MIB (+0.6%) outperforms. Germany's DAX unch, France's CAC +0.1%, UK's FTSE +0.2%, Italy's MIB +0.6%.
In economic data:
Eurozone November Industrial Production +1.0% month-over-month (expected 0.8%; last 0.4%); +3.2% year-over-year (consensus 3.0%; last 3.9%)
Germany's 2017 GDP Growth 2.2% (expected 2.4%; last 1.9%)
Italy's November Retail Sales +1.1% month-over-month (expected 0.3%; last -1.0%); +1.4% year-over-year (last -2.3%)
Spain's November Industrial Production +4.2% year-over-year (consensus 3.1%; last 4.4%)
In news:
British Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond said that the EU needs to spell out what it wants after the completion of Brexit.
Today marks the last day for preliminary coalition talks in Germany. The talks could be extended if CDU/CSU and SPD fail to bridge their ideological gap.


05:50AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +4.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +8.50.
05:50AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Nikkei

...23710...-77.80

...-0.30%

. Hang Seng

...31120...+46.70

...+0.20%

.
05:50AM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] FTSE

...7743.82...-4.70

...-0.10%

. DAX

...13251.63...-29.70

...-0.20%

.
04:25PM ET

[BRIEFING.COM] Stocks slipped from record highs on Wednesday with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq registering their first losses of 2018. All three major U.S. indices--the S&P 500, the Nasdaq, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average--lost 0.1% while the small-cap Russell 2000 finished flat.

A Bloomberg report that China may trim or halt its purchases of U.S. Treasuries prompted overnight selling in the Treasury market, sending the yield on the benchmark 10-yr Treasury note to its highest level since March 2017. The higher yields pushed equity investors to take some profits at the start of Wednesday's session.

The Dow, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq hit their worst marks of the day shortly after the opening bell, holding losses between 0.5% and 0.7%.

However, investors quickly bought the dip thanks in part to a CNBC interview with legendary investor Warren Buffett, who stated that he remains a net buyer of stocks, citing low interest rates and the recently passed tax reform legislation.

Equities eventually reached their flat lines in the afternoon but slid back into the red following a Reuters report that Canada believes that U.S. President Donald Trump will soon pull the United States out of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). General Motors (GM 43.00, -1.05), which was flat ahead of the report, finished lower by 2.4%.

The market made one last run in the final minutes, but ended just short of its unchanged mark. Nine of eleven sectors finished in negative territory with the financials (+0.9%) and industrials (+0.1%) groups being the two advancers.

The financial sector, which is the second heaviest group by weight, advanced at the opening bell due to the increase in Treasury yields and managed to keep the bulk of its gain even though yields returned to their flat lines following a $20 billion 10-yr note reopening that was met with strong demand. The benchmark 10-yr yield settled unchanged at 2.55% after trading as high as 2.59%.

As for the other sectors, losses ranged from less than 0.1% (consumer discretionary) to 1.5% (real estate). The top-weighted technology sector (-0.3%) underperformed with chipmakers showing particular weakness; the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped 1.2%.

Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate crude futures advanced 0.7% to $63.39 per barrel, a three-year high, after the Department of Energy said U.S. crude inventories declined for the eighth week in a row last week, dropping by 4.9 million barrels. The energy sector, which typically moves in tandem with oil prices, lost 0.1%.

Elsewhere, equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region finished Wednesday on a mixed note with Japan's Nikkei (-0.3%) slipping from a 26-year high. In Europe, the UK's FTSE added 0.2%, but the Euro Stoxx 50 lost 0.4%, breaking its five session winning streak.

Reviewing Wednesday's economic data, which included Import/Export Prices for December, Wholesale Inventories for November, and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index:

Import prices increased 0.1% in December, but were down 0.1% excluding fuel. Export prices, meanwhile, decreased 0.1% and were flat excluding agriculture.
The key takeaway from the report is that it will continue to foment budding inflation concerns, especially since the dollar is weakening, labor markets are tightening, and global growth is improving.
Wholesale inventories increased 0.8% in November (Briefing.com consensus 0.7%) following an upwardly revised 0.4% decline (from -0.5%) in October. Wholesale sales jumped 1.5% in November on top of an upwardly revised 0.8% increase (from 0.7%) in October.
The key takeaway from the report is that the sales increase outpaced the inventory increase by a sizable margin, which is a step in the right direction for wholesalers trying to regain some pricing power.
The weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index increased 8.3% to follow last week's 2.8% decline.

On Thursday, investors will receive both the Producer Price Index for December (Briefing.com consensus +0.2%) and the weekly Initial Claims report (Briefing.com consensus +248K) at 8:30 AM ET. The December Treasury Budget (Briefing.com consensus -$47.5 billion) will be released at 2:00 PM ET.

Nasdaq Composite: +3.6% YTD
S&P 500: +2.8% YTD
Dow Jones Industrial Average: +2.6% YTD
Russell 2000: +1.6% YTD

Dow: -16.67… | Nasdaq: -10.01… | S&P: -3.06…

NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1303/1356. …NYSE Adv/Dec 1137/1773.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, Briefing, Reuters and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. Also, thank you for the review of TheStrategyLab performance record...hopefully the links and data will be useful for you. gm

Image Price Action Trading @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/price-action-trading.htm

Image Trade Strategies via Volatility Analysis @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm

Image Rebuttal to Review of TheStrategyLab @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=84&t=3167

Image TheStrategyLab Review @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/thestrategylab-reviews.htm

Image Advance WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 5 - 12 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm

Disclaimer: Today's trading performance is not an indication of my future performance and not an indication of the future performance for any trader that decides to learn/apply WRB Analysis. The risk of loss can be substantial. Therefore, you must carefully consider if trading is suitable for you within the context of your financial condition. TheStrategyLab.com is an education and research site. The resources on this site are provided for informational purposes only and should not be used to replace professional educational and professional research because we are retail traders only. TheStrategyLab.com does not accept liability for your use of the website and its resources.

We make no guarantees of success and your level of success is dependent upon other factors including your skill as a trader, knowledge, financial condition, market conditions and other factors. Trading is stressful and you should always consult a doctor in all matters relating to physical and mental health of you & your family because trading can impact beyond your financial condition regardless if you're a profitable or losing trader. Also, you can read our full disclaimer statement @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/Disclaimer.htm


Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Online user name wrbtrader (more info about me) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=127&t=850 & http://www.thestrategylab.com/wrbtrader.htm
TheStrategyLab Price Action Trading (no indicators)
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
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