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 Post subject: May 29th Tuesday 2012 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +15.20
PostPosted: Tue May 29, 2012 11:43 pm 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)

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click on the above image to view today's performance verification

Price Action Trade Performance for Today: +15.20 points or $1520 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, all trades were posted real-time in the free #FuturesTrades chat room. You can read today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs for details (e.g. time, price, contract size) about each one of my trades from entry to exit along with price action commentary as the trade traversed in comparison to what's shown in the above image...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=104&t=1231.

To join our free chat room...log-in instructions located at a different forum @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=630

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my price action trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=119&t=718.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our price action trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=152&t=1459

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Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED/ECB/IMF actions or any important global economic events that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables (key market events) causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that results in swing points and strong continuation price actions. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for my technical analysis. Just as important, these summaries becomes my archives to allow me to understand what was happening on any given trading day in the past...something I can not get from my broker statements alone.

U.S. Stocks Gain on Greece News, U.S. Housing Data

May 29 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks rose, after the first weekly gain since April in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, as Greek opinion polls eased concern the country will leave the euro and data signaled the American housing market stabilized.

Stocks Gain As Worries About Greece Abate

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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stocks rose Tuesday as investors welcomed a lack of negative headlines out of Europe and hopes that China will move to support its economy.

The gains came despite a weaker-than-expected report on U.S. consumer confidence and continued declines in home prices.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) rose 126 points, or 1%, to end at 12,580. The S&P 500 (SPX) added 14 points, or 1.1%, to 1,332. The Nasdaq (COMP) rose 33 points, or 1.2%, to 2,871.

Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) surged 4%, leading gainers on the Dow. Aluminum producer Alcoa (AA, Fortune 500) was also strong, rising more than 3%.

U.S. investors came off a holiday weekend with a renewed focus on Europe's debt crisis, which has been dominant in recent months.

"We're still in a pattern where Europe is driving the bus," said Art Hogan, a managing director at Lazard Capital Markets. "Fortunately, for the moment there is no disaster du jour to take out our legs, so stocks are rallying."

Investors were encouraged by signs over the weekend that pro-bailout parties in Greece were gaining in the polls. In addition, four major Greek banks received recapitalization funds under the nation's bailout program. The extra capital helped ease concerns that a so-called bank jog in Greece could develop into a full-blown run.

* Video - El-Erian: 'A Greek exit is inevitable'

Spain is also prominent in investors' minds amid fresh worries about the health of its banking system, after the Spanish government agreed last week to inject €19 billion into one of the nation's largest lenders.

The yield on 10-year Spanish government bonds eased slightly Tuesday, one day after the spread between Spanish and German debt reached the highest level since the creation of the euro.

Investors have also been fearful that the slowing of China's economy could cause a so-called "hard landing" for the world's No. 2 economy. But there is speculation Beijing will announce more stimulus spending in China, including a program to spur auto purchases.

The Chinese government has disputed the talk of impending stimulus, said Dan Greenhaus, chief equity strategist at BTIG. "But it's clear China is inching closer to some level of fiscal support," he added.

* China paying billions for oil deals

But the focus could shift back to the U.S. economy from overseas worries, given the importance of upcoming economic reports.

Due later this week are the May jobs report, key readings on manufacturing and auto sales. Economists surveyed by CNNMoney forecast that employers added 150,000 jobs in May, and that unemployment remained at 8.1%.

U.S. stocks fell Friday, but ended higher for the week, as concerns about the debt crisis in Europe continued to weigh on the market. U.S. markets were closed Monday for Memorial Day.

Worries over Greece's future and the broader region's debt problems have already triggered deep losses in U.S. stocks and international markets this month. The S&P 500 and Dow are down almost 6% in May, and headed for their worst monthly losses since November 2011.

CNNMoney's Fear & Greed index, which measures investor sentiment, remains firmly in extreme fear territory.

Economy: The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index for May fell to 64.9, after falling to 68.7 last month. Economists had expected the index to ease to 69.4 in May, according to a consensus forecast from Briefing.com.

The Case-Shiller 20-city Index, which tracks home prices, fell at a 2.6% annual rate in March, after falling at a 3.5% rate in the prior month. Economists had expected the index to have slipped 2.8%.

Companies: Shares of Facebook (FB) fell another 9.6% to $28.84, hitting a new low since the social media giant debuted as a public company earlier this month. Facebook is now trading at more than 24% below its IPO price.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar was slightly lower against the euro and British pound, but gained versus the Japanese yen.

Oil for July delivery fell 10 cents to settle at $90.76 a barrel.

[urlnew=]* Summer gas prices - as good as they'll get[/urlnew]

Gold futures for June delivery fell $20.02 to $1,552.80 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rose, with the yield falling to 1.72% from 1.74% on Friday.

World markets: European stocks closed higher. Britain's FTSE 100 (UKX) gained 0.6%, the DAX (DAX) in Germany added 1.2% and France's CAC 40 (CAC40) climbed 1.3%

Asian markets ended higher on hopes for more Chinese stimulus. The Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) rose 1.2%, the Hang Seng (HSI) in Hong Kong jumped 1.4% and Japan's Nikkei (N225) gained 0.7%.

Image

Market Update

4:30 pm : A retreat by the euro to a near two-year low caused stocks to surrender gains, but the major equity averages were able to find support and tick higher into afternoon trade.

The major equity averages were bid up more than 1% this morning as momentum built amid speculation that plans for new spending in China were a sign of the country’s plans for further stimulus. Comments that political leaders in Greece want to remain in the euro were also treated as a positive, although the news failed to provide the euro with a bid.

What was a narrow loss for the euro in the early going grew to something more sizable by midsession. The currency’s drop to $1.250, its lowest level in almost two years, came shortly after analysts at Egan Jones announced they had downgraded the debt rating of Spain. Concerns over macro conditions and the health of banking conditions in Spain had already weighed on Spain’s IBEX before the announcement – it ended the day down more than 2%, while many of the other major bourses of the region staged solid gains.

The euro’s retreat prompted market participants to pare their positions in stocks, forcing all three major equity averages to hand over about half of their gains before stabilizing. The broad market became range bound for the next few hours, but managed to gradually reclaim gains into the close. The euro was also able to lift off of its session low into the close.

Materials stocks were the strongest performers throughout the session. The sector settled the session with a 1.7% gain. It was up about 2% at its best level of the day. Steel stocks were among the sector's strongest performers.

Energy stocks were also strong in the early going, but the sector had a harder time of retracing its pullback. In turn, Energy settled with a gain of 1.3%. Meanwhile, crude oil settled with a 0.1% loss at $90.75 per barrel after it had been up more than 1% at its pit session high of $92.25 per barrel in morning action.

Tech, the largest sector by market weight, provided steady broad market support. The sector also settled shy of its session high, but still booked a 1.4% gain. The highly influential Financial sector finished with a similar gain.

There wasn’t a single sector that suffered a loss, but defensive-oriented Utilities slipped into negative territory on a few occasions. Despite that, the sector managed to muster a 0.4% gain. Fellow defensive issues also lagged.

Economic data were largely inconsequential today. Although, many were surprised to see the Consumer Confidence Index for May fall to 64.9 from a downwardly revised 68.7 in the prior reading since just last week the University of Michigan had posted the strongest Consumer Sentiment Survey in four years.

The economic calendar will remain light ahead of the second reading on first quarter GDP on Thursday and the official monthly payrolls report on Friday.

Advancing Sectors: Health Care +0.4%, Utilities +0.4%, Consumer Staples +0.6%, Telecom +0.8%, Industrials +1.2%, Energy +1.3%, Consumer Discretionary +1.3%, Financials +1.4%, Tech +1.4%, Materials +1.7%
Declining Sectors: None

Dow +1.0%, S&P 500 +1.1%, Nasdaq +1.2%, Nasdaq 100 +1.3%, S&P 400 +1.3%, Russell 2000 +1.4%DJ30 +125.86 NASDAQ +33.46 NQ100 +1.3% R2K +1.4% SP400 +1.3% SP500 +14.60 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1755/1.64 bln/757 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2391/708 mln/640

3:30 pm : Crude oil traded up to its pit session high of $92.25 per barrel in morning action, but tumbled into negative territory in response to a bounce by the dollar. The energy component fell as low as $90.25 per barrel before it recovered slightly to close 0.1% lower at $90.75 per barrel. Natural gas spent its entire floor session in the red. It traded near $2.59 per MMBtu for most of pit trade, but extended losses into the close, settling at its session low of $2.48 per MMBtu for a 5.3% loss.

Gold began pit trade in positive territory and climbed up to its session high of $82.40 per ounce in morning action. However, a pop by the greenback also pressured the yellow metal, leaving gold to give up all of its gain and slide as low as $1545.70 per ounce. It settled the session with a 1.3% loss at $1548.90 per ounce. Silver touched a pit session high of $28.67 per ounce before it lost steam and plunged into the red to touch a session low of $27.71 per ounce. Silver closed just above that level at $27.75 per ounce for a 2.4% loss.DJ30 +99.79 NASDAQ +26.25 SP500 +11.39 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1575/1.23 bln/935 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2250/440 mln/750

3:00 pm : With only an hour remaining in trade today, both the Dow and S&P 500 are narrowly above the upper end of their afternoon trading ranges, but the Nasdaq has managed to make a more pronounced push higher. Despite that, the Nasdaq's gain is only marginally better than that of either counterpart.

Tech has been a meaningful source of support for both the Nasdaq and the broader market. The sector's gain of 1.1% is second only to the 1.3% gain currently sported by Materials. However, Tech stocks carry considerably more market weight that Materials do, making them more influential in their performance. DJ30 +91.46 NASDAQ +23.61 SP500 +10.10 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1595/1.16 bln/910 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2220/415 mln/770

2:30 pm : Stocks have been unable to reclaim the gains they surrendered shortly before noon ET. The problem is most likely owed to steady pressure against the euro, which is still down about 0.4% against the greenback. The euro's retreat today has left it to trade at a near two-year low against the dollar.DJ30 +70.53 NASDAQ +20.16 SP500 +8.30 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1510/1.05 bln/980 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2150/375 mln/800

2:00 pm : Stocks remain range bound in afternoon trade. The Consumer Staples sector has fought to reclaim gains, though; its efforts have taken the sector up to a 0.4% gain, which is still less than what the broad market has managed to maintain. Also defensive in nature, Telecom stocks have ticked higher, too. The sector's gain of 0.5% is more in line with that of the broad market.DJ30 +74.51 NASDAQ +18.42 SP500 +8.36 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1465/992 mln/1015 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2115/350 mln/835

1:30 pm : Stocks have entered into a sideways drift, but that has allowed the broad market to maintain a relatively positive posture after it saw its gains slashed in half amid a retreat by the euro. Treasuries have managed to maintain modest gains.DJ30 +63.44 NASDAQ +12.10 SP500 +6.16 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1485/925 mln/985 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2095/325 mln/850

1:00 pm : The major equity averages are up solidly for the session, but their gains are only about half of what they were at session highs. The pullback comes in conjunction with a downturn by the euro.

Sentiment was strengthened this morning amid speculation of further stimulus in the from of increased spending by China, and encouraging comments from political leaders in Greece pertaining to their interest in maintaining their country's membership in the euro. Buying momentum helped take the three headline indices to gains greater than 1%.

Natural resource plays -- Energy stocks and Materials stocks -- led the broad market's advance. The two sectors were up about 2% at session highs with help from oil and gas services players and metals and mining issues, respectively.

However, stocks have since surrendered a chunk of their gains. Participants were prompted to sell in response to a recent retreat by the euro. The euro is now down 0.4% against the greenback after it traded only narrowly beneath the neutral line this morning.

Commodities have been clipped, too. Crude oil prices have fallen to a fractional gain at $90.70 per barrel after they had been up more than 1% this morning. Gold prices are now down 0.7% to $1558 per ounce after they had been up about 0.7% at their session high. DJ30 +80.34 NASDAQ +16.10 SP500 +8.07 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1435/850 mln/1035 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2080/305 mln/865

12:30 pm : Stocks have stabilized after a recent descent that halved broad market gains amid an upturn by the dollar, which continues to trade with a modest gain of about 0.2%. The dollar was actually under modest pressure earlier this morning as market participants responded to reduced concerns regarding Greece's fate as a member of the eurozone after leading party officials there expressed their interest in remaining a constituent.DJ30 +72.69 NASDAQ +10.21 SP500 +6.30 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1390/785 mln/1050 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2055/280 mln/880

12:00 pm : Stocks have rolled over to trade at their lowest levels since the open. The downturn comes in conjunction with the dollar's upward push. The greenback only recently turned positive after grappling with a modest loss in the early going; it is now up nearly 0.2% against a basket of major foreign currencies for a fresh session high.

The dollar's advance has come largely against the euro, which has retreated to a 0.4% loss against the greenback. The euro's retreat comes shortly after it was announced that analysts at Egan Jones lowered their rating on Spain to B from BB-. Concerns over Spain's fiscal and economic health, as well as the stability of its banks, undercut the country's IBEX for a 2.3% loss today. DJ30 +100.39 NASDAQ +21.08 SP500 +9.57 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1700/630 mln/715 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2300/235 mln/605

11:30 am : Stocks are easing off of session highs, but all three major equity averages are still up by about 1% or more.

Meanwhile, the dollar has moved up to its best level in the past couple of hours. Still, it trails a collection of competing currencies by about 0.1%. The relatively lackluster action in the greenback comes after four consecutive weekly gains, all of about 1% or more. DJ30 +141.60 NASDAQ +36.63 SP500 +14.69 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1845/525 mln/555 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2475/195 mln/440

11:00 am : Stocks are at session highs with the major equity averages sporting gains in excess of 1%. Natural resource plays continue to outperform -- the Energy sector is up 1.9%, while the Materials sector is up 2.0%. Steel stocks like US Steel (X 22.50, +0.70) and oil and gas services players like Schlumberger (SLB 68.10, +2.69) are among the best performers across the two sectors.

Utilities, which are defensive in nature, are lagging. The sector only recently recovered from a slide into the red so that it now trades with a gain of only 0.1%. Electric utilities like Duke (DUK 21.94, -0.02) and Dominion (D 52.49, -0.06) are down narrowly, while American Electric (AEP 38.39, +0.16) has mustered a modest gain. DJ30 +148.25 NASDAQ +38.99 SP500 +15.90 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1890/430 mln/495 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2490/160 mln/385

10:30 am : Crude oil prices have climbed from a modest gain in morning trade to $91.85 per barrel for a 1.1% gain. They are just shy of session highs. In contrast, natural gas prices remain under pressure as futures contracts price the energy component with a 1.0% loss at $2.60 per MMBtu. That said, prices are up from their early morning electronic trade lows of about $2.54 per MMBtu.

Precious metals prices are up. Specifically, gold is sporting a 0.7% gain at $1580 per ounce, while silver has overcome an early loss so that it, too, trades with a 0.7% gain. Silver was last quoted at $28.57 per ounce. DJ30 +151.82 NASDAQ +44.43 SP500 +16.85 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1805/310 mln/520 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2445/125 mln/395

10:00 am : Stocks have slipped slightly from their morning perch following the latest Consumer Confidence Index. The Consumer Confidence Index for May fell to 64.9 from a downwardly revised 68.7 in the prior reading. It had been widely believed that the Index would improve to 69.4. Just last week market participants were dealt the best Consumer Sentiment Survey from the University of Michigan in four years.DJ30 +101.65 NASDAQ +19.92 SP500 +10.70 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1715/95 mln/500 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2325/58 mln/400

09:45 am : The major equity averages are all up with strong gains. Buying is generally broad based, but natural resource plays are out in front as Materials stocks climb to an early gain of 1.5% and Energy stocks sport a 1.4% gain.

Crude oil prices have also pushed higher since opening pit trade with only a modest gain. The energy component was last quoted with a 0.9% gain at $91.65 per barrel. DJ30 +11.25 NASDAQ +20.22 SP500 +11.17 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec NA/NA/NA NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec NA/NA/NA

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +9.70. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +20.30. Stock futures continue to point to a firmly higher open for the cash market. Meanwhile, the dollar has made a modest turn lower so that it now trails a basket of major foreign currencies by about 0.2%. That slip has corresponded with an uptick by the euro. The positive tone to premarket trade comes in conjunction with solid gains abroad, where action has been helped by speculation regarding further stimulus from China and tempered concerns regarding the fate of the eurozone after a leading political party in Greece expressed its interest in remaining in the euro. Data from home and abroad have been limited and generally inconsequential, but still on the calendar is the latest monthly Consumer Confidence Index, which will be posted at 10:00 AM ET.

09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +7.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +15.30. Commodities are mixed this morning, but the CRB Index is up 0.3%. Among its more closely tracked constituents, crude oil prices are up 0.3% to $91.13 per barrel, but natural gas prices are down 1.4% to $2.59 per MMBtu in early pit trade. Precious metals prices have also diverged, such that gold prices are presently up 0.5% to $1576 per ounce, while silver prices are off by 0.1% at $28.35 per ounce.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +7.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +15.80. Domestic stock futures continue to sport solid gains with help from a positive tone of trade abroad. The improved mood has helped Germany's DAX advance to a 0.8% gain. Volkswagen, BMW, and Daimler are all up sharply. Infineon Tech and MAN SE are also contributing to the bourses bounce. In contrast, Deutsche Telekom and Allianz are under pressure. Germany reported earlier that its Import Price Index for April fell by 0.5% after a 0.7% spike in the prior month. France's CAC is currently up 0.6%. Alstom, Peugeot, and Renault are providing leadership, but weakness between Credit Agricole and Societe Generale are offsetting some of their gains. Britain's FTSE has worked its way to a 0.3% gain after completely giving up an early advance. Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS 6.42, -0.10) has been a drag. Vodafone (VOD 26.89, -0.29) is also weighing on broad market action. Rolls Royce Holding Plc, Glencore International, and Xstrata have helped provide support. However, Spain's IBEX is down 2.5% as concerns related to the country's banks continue.

Mainland China's Shanghai Composite booked a 1.2% gain. Speculation that further stimulus from the country is taking the form of new developmental projects helped lift the broad market measure, along with other major averages in the region. That said, Anhui Conch Cement was hit with selling. However, China First Heavy Industries scored a strong gain of about 7%. Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union and China Railway Erju advanced impressively, while various securities services firms also performed well. Japan's Nikkei put together a 0.7% gain in its latest round of action. Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha and NEC Corp led the list of advancing issues. Aozora Bank, Mitusi Mining & Smelting, and Pacific Metals also made impressive gains. Obayashi Corp, Kansai Electric Power, and Asahi Group were at the opposite end of things. According to recent data, sales by large retailers slipped 0.5% during April in a weak follow-up to the 5.1% spike experienced in the prior month. The country's jobless rate increased in April to 4.6% from 4.5% in the prior month. Hong Kong's Hang Seng scored a 1.4% gain in overnight action. Property plays Agile Property, Evergrande Real Estate, and China Overseas Land & Investment were among the best performers. Bank of China was a strong performer, but China Minsheng Banking mustered only an incremental gain. CNOOC (CEO 180.04, +0.00) also had a relatively uninspiring performance.

Note: ticker quotes reflect US premarket prices.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +5.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +14.30. Market participants have returned from a long, holiday weekend intent on building upon last week's advance by bidding stock futures higher this morning. Early strength comes in conjunction with gains abroad -- Asia's averages made varied gains overnight amid renewed speculation pertaining to further stimulus from China, but cooled concerns regarding the fate of the euro area have helped lift most of Europe's major bourses in their latest round of action. Corporate news flow is slow and the economic calendar remains relatively light today. The latter features the latest monthly S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index at 9:00 AM ET and the latest monthly Consumer Confidence Index at 10:00 AM ET.

06:20 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +6.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +16.00.

06:20 am : Nikkei...8657.08...+63.90...+0.70%. Hang Seng...19055.46...+254.50...+1.40%.

06:20 am : FTSE...5352.98...-3.40...-0.10%. DAX...6349.00...+25.80...+0.40%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader, http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader and http://chart.ly/users/wrbtrader

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