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 Post subject: May 21st Monday 2012 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +0.70
PostPosted: Mon May 21, 2012 10:01 pm 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)

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click on the above image to view today's performance verification

Price Action Trade Performance for Today: +0.70 points or $70 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, all trades were posted real-time in the free #FuturesTrades chat room. You can read today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs for details (e.g. time, price, contract size) about each one of my trades from entry to exit along with price action commentary as the trade traversed in comparison to what's shown in the above image...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=104&t=1226.

To join our free chat room...log-in instructions located at a different forum @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=630

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my price action trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=119&t=718.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our price action trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=152&t=1459

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Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED/ECB/IMF actions or any important global economic events that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables (key market events) causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that results in swing points and strong continuation price actions. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for my technical analysis. Just as important, these summaries becomes my archives to allow me to understand what was happening on any given trading day in the past...something I can not get from my broker statements alone.

U.S. Stocks Gain as China Signals Support for Growth

May 21 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks rose, giving the Standard & Poor's 500 Index its biggest rally in more than two months, after China signaled it would support growth while German and French officials said they will work to keep Greece in the euro.

Stocks Rebound On Europe Hopes

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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- A plunge in Facebook's stock didn't faze the broader U.S. market Monday. U.S. stocks bounced back from their worst week of the year on renewed optimism that European leaders would find a way out of the sovereign debt crisis.

The Dow posted its biggest gain in over a month, while the S&P 500 delivered its best performance in over two months. The tech-heavy Nasdaq enjoyed its best gains of the year.

"I think it's just more of a relief rally after being down so many sessions in a row," said Dave Rovelli, managing director at Canaccord Adams. "People are looking for stocks that have sold off a bit."

Over the weekend, the Group of Eight nations met and reaffirmed their commitment to keeping Greece in the eurozone. And two opinion polls released in Greece reportedly put the pro-bailout New Democracy party ahead of the anti-austerity Syriza party.

The combination of the G8 and the poll results was enough to boost sentiment across world markets, with European and Asian stocks eking out gains and the euro holding steady at around $1.28 against the U.S. dollar.

Paul Zemsky, head of asset strategies for ING Investment Management, said the rally was the result of "a smidgen of good news in an oversold market."

"You had a tremendous amount of pessimism, but nothing bad came out of Greece this weekend," he said. "There's some optimism that perhaps the Greek people are realizing how damaging it would be for them to leave [the eurozone]."

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) rose 135 points, or 1.1%. Blue chips, including Caterpillar (CAT, Fortune 500), Boeing (BA, Fortune 500) and IBM (IBM, Fortune 500) led the gains.

The S&P 500 (SPX) gained 21 points, or 1.6%, and the Nasdaq (COMP) rose 68 points, or 2.5%.

Shares of Facebook (FB) plunged as much as 13.7%, before finishing down 11% at $34.03, well below the $38 initial public offering price.

The sharp drop "weighed heavily" on markets at the start of trading, said Anthony Conroy, head trader at ConvergEx Group, noting that the tech-heavy Nasdaq briefly slid into negative territory.
What's next for Greece

But trading might be choppy this week as worries about Europe will continue to dominate. Elisabeth Afseth, a fixed income analyst with Investec in London, said the weeks leading up to Greece's June 17 election are likely to be volatile for both equity and bond markets.

An informal summit of European leaders is scheduled for Wednesday.

Despite Thursday's bounce, stocks are still down considerably in May, on track for the worst monthly losses since September. The Dow has finished in the red on all but three of the 15 trading days this month.

The blue chip index and the S&P 500 are off more than 5% in May, while the Nasdaq is more than 6% lower.

U.S. stocks closed lower Friday, after the euphoria surrounding Facebook's Friday IPO had worn off. All three indexes clocked their worst weekly losses of the year last week.

World markets: European stocks closed with significant gains. Britain's FTSE 100 (UKX) climbed 0.9%, the DAX (DAX) in Germany rose 1.1% and France's CAC 40 (CAC40) jumped 1%.

Asian markets ended mixed. The Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) edged 0.2% higher and Japan's Nikkei (N225) ended up 0.3%. The Hang Seng (HSI) in Hong Kong shed 0.2%.
0:00 /1:47The toughest Fortune 500 CEO of all

Companies: Yahoo (YHOO, Fortune 500) and China's Alibaba Group have agreed to a $7.1 billion deal, in which the Chinese Internet giant will buy back half of Yahoo's 40% stake in the company.
JPMorgan loss: It's going to get worse

Speaking at a Deutsche Bank conference, JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) CEO Jamie Dimon said the firm would suspend its stock buyback program but would keep its dividend.

Lowe's (LOW, Fortune 500) reported better-than-expected earnings but issued mixed guidance. The stock fell 10%.

Campbell Soup (CPB, Fortune 500) posted a slight decline in earnings per share but performed slightly better than forecasts. The stock fell 2%.

Some social media stocks fell along with Facebook, though not as steeply. Zynga (ZNGA) fell less than 1% and LinkedIn (LNKD) declined just 2%. But Groupon (GRPN) surged 7%.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar posted modest gains versus the Japanese yen, but slipped slightly against the euro and the British pound.
How Iran could double its oil output

Oil for June delivery rose $1.09 to settle at $92.57 a barrel.

Gold futures for June delivery dropped $3.20 to settle at $1,588.70 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury fell Monday morning, pushing the yield up to 1.75% from the 1.70% level late Friday.

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Market Update

4:30 pm : There were few catalysts for trade today, but the S&P 500 staged its strongest performance in two months to snap a six-session losing streak.

Market participants were without any influential economic data today and only a dearth of corporate announcements. Home improvement retailer Lowe's (LOW 25.60, -2.88) reported stronger-than-expected earnings, but issued disappointing guidance, while Yahoo! (YHOO 15.58, +0.16) announced that it will sell half of its stake in Alibaba. JPMorgan Chase (JPM 32.51, -0.98) made it known at an industry conference that the firm has suspended its share repurchase program, but that it intends to maintain its dividend.

As has been the case for several weeks, macro-related topics were given the most attention. Leaders of China conveyed a willingness to consider accommodative policies with regard to stimulating economic growth. With regard to Europe, Group of Eight leaders made known their interest in keeping the eurozone intact.

The euro was down narrowly around the time of the open, but it was able to stage a solid advance against the greenback. By session's end it was up little more than 0.3% so that it traded above $1.28.

Tech stocks lacked leadership in the early going, but the sector eventually pushed out in front of the broad market to provide strong leadership. The sector's 2.8% gain was led by Apple (AAPL 561.28, +30.90), which is the single largest stock by market cap. The weight of AAPL shares and the strength of its gains also helped the Nasdaq outperform its counterparts, such that its gain was more than double that of the Dow.

Telecom and Utilities lagged all session. Telecom settled at the flat line, but Utilities eked out a 0.2% gain. Their lackluster performance comes after they managed to limit losses last week, which marked the worst week for the S&P 500 since November.

Last week's slide left the broad market at its lowest level since January, so naturally many market watchers are wondering if today's big bounce is simply owed to short covering, a bout of bargain hunting, or a combination thereof, especially amid so few catalysts.

Advancing Sectors: Materials +3.0%, Tech +2.8%, Industrials +2.2%, Energy +2.1%, Consumer Discretionary +1.6%, Financials +1.0%, Health Care +0.9%, Consumer Staples +0.4%, Utilities +0.2%
Unchanged: Telecom
Declining Sectors: NoneDJ30 +135.10 NASDAQ +68.42 NQ100 +2.7% R2K +2.3% SP400 +2.3% SP500 +20.77 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1957/1.85 bln/582 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2577/798 mln/434

3:30 pm : Crude oil trended higher for most of pit trade to set a session high of $92.71 per barrel just before the close of floor trade. Ultimately it settled the session with a 1.2% gain at $92.57 per barrel, marking the first positive close for the energy component in seven sessions. Natural gas, however, extended overnight losses. Prices fell to a session low of $2.59 per MMBtu moments before finishing the session at $2.62 per MMBtu for a 4.7% loss.

Precious metals encountered selling pressure despite a softer dollar. Gold started its floor session in the red, falling to a session low of $1584.50 per ounce, but it later popped into positive territory to set a session high of $1595.90 per ounce. An ensuing struggle between buyers and sellers caused prices to oscillate before the yellow metal settled with a 0.2% loss at $1588.60 per ounce. Silver spent its entire pit session in negative territory, falling as low as $28.03 per ounce in morning action. It rallied to a session high of $28.42 per ounce, but ultimately closed at $28.31 per ounce for a 1.4% loss.DJ30 +128.44 NASDAQ +67.48 SP500 +20.57 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1880/1.41 bln/650 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2505/480 mln/500

3:00 pm : The arrival of the session's final hour has brought with it new session highs for stocks. As things currently stand, the S&P 500 is positioned to tie its best performance of the past five weeks.

A few retailers are scheduled to post quarterly results after the close and tomorrow morning ahead of the open. Tonight features Urban Outfitters (URBN 26.37, +0.75), but Tuesday morning brings the latest from AutoZone (AZO 368.42, -4.03), Best Buy (BBY 18.07, +0.05), Express (EXPR 23.21, +0.66), and Polo Ralph Lauren (RL 145.13, +3.62). Overall action among retailers today has the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT 58.29, +1.17) up an enviable 2.0%. DJ30 +114.06 NASDAQ +61.56 SP500 +18.32 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1850/1.34 bln/670 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2475/450 mln/530

2:30 pm : Stocks are drifting sideways. The crawl has kept the major equity averages near session highs for the past couple of hours.

Share volume remains light. The lack of participation suggests that there might not be a great deal of conviction behind today's bid. To be fair, though, share volume has been unimpressive all year. DJ30 +92.79 NASDAQ +54.02 SP500 +15.41 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1825/1.24 bln/675 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2440/410 mln/545

2:00 pm : Stocks are slightly shy of session highs, but they continue to sport strong gains.

News flow remains slow, leaving many stocks to trade under their own volition this afternoon. That said, many market watchers will be paying close attention to see if the major averages can maintain the gains into late afternoon trade, given the downtrend in recent weeks. DJ30 +83.44 NASDAQ +51.54 SP500 +12.53 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1835/1.16 bln/650 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2460/375 mln/530

1:30 pm : Treasuries have been under modest pressure since the open. Their losses, although limited, come in conjunction with an improved tone of trade among stocks. The action has the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note a couple of more basis points above the historical low that it set late last week.DJ30 +96.42 NASDAQ +54.02 SP500 +15.75 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1830/1.07 bln/650 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2445/345 mln/525

1:00 pm : Despite a choppy, modestly positive open, stocks have worked their way up to impressive gains. That has the broad market well positioned to snap a six-session streak of losses with its best percentage gain in nearly four weeks.

Early participants had a generally positive response to news that China may consider changes to its policy in light of slower economic growth, as well as statements from Group of Eight leaders that point to keeping the eurozone intact. Although the latter story failed to keep the euro from slipping to a loss against the greenback, the currency has since rebounded so that it is up 0.1% to about $1.28.

With help from Apple (AAPL 553.35, +22.97) the Tech sector has pushed ahead to provide the broad market with leadership. As a group, Tech stocks are up 2.2%, which is better than what any other sector has achieved. Such pronounced strength has helped the Nasdaq put together a gain that is more than double that of the Dow.

Defensive-oriented stocks are generally lagging as market participants show an increased tolerance for risk, or possibly make a more concerted effort to cover the cyclical sectors that they have shorted in recent weeks -- Telecom stocks are down 0.1%, while Utilities are off by 0.2%.

Shares of home improvement retailer Lowe's (LOW 25.74, -2.74) have been out of favor all session. The stock's precipitous drop comes in response to disappointing guidance, which has completely overshadowed the strength of the company's latest earnings announcement. Facebook (FB 34.17, -4.06) has also been hit with aggressive selling pressure as many move to bet against the stock that was at the center of so much pre-IPO hype. DJ30 +94.95 NASDAQ +53.27 SP500 +15.31 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1855/1.00 bln/610 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2425/320 mln/530

12:30 pm : The Nasdaq has extended its advance to a new session high, but neither the Dow nor the S&P 500 has yet to clear the heights that they set in the early going.

Tech continues to underpin the Nasdaq's outsized gain, which is actually more than double that of the Dow. As a group, Tech stocks are up 2.2%.

Not every Nasdaq constituent is faring so well, though. Shares of Facebook (FB 33.78, -4.45) have taken a steep tumble after debuting from their IPO late last week. DJ30 +107.95 NASDAQ +15.71 SP500 +54.15 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1700/845 mln/745 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2320/280 mln/615

12:00 pm : Stocks remain shy of session highs, but they continue to sport strong gains.

Shares of home improvement retailer Lowe's (LOW 25.74, -2.74) has been a notable exception. The stock's precipitous drop today comes in response to disappointing guidance, which has completely overshadowed the strength of the company's latest earnings announcement. Shares of LOW are now back near where they started the year. Peer Home Depot (HD 47.41, +0.36) has managed to avoid implications of the outlook from Lowe's. DJ30 +77.73 NASDAQ +36.22 SP500 +11.85 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1705/765 mln/740 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2300/255 mln/605

11:30 am : Stocks have eased back from session highs, but the major equity averages continue to sport solid gains. Not only would the gain snap a six-session streak of losses, but at the stock market's current level the advance would result in the best single-session performance for the S&P 500 since a 1.4% jump on April 25.

Given that there isn't any real catalyst behind the sudden improvement in sentiment, some pundits are dismissing today's advance as owed to short covering or possibly bargain hunting. DJ30 +74.55 NASDAQ +33.33 SP500 +11.74 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1775/640 mln/640 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2325/212 mln/575

11:00 am : Stocks are on the climb. The effort has the S&P 500 sporting a gain greater than 1%. The Nasdaq is up with an even greater gain after overcoming an early slip that sent the Tech-rich Index into the red for a fractional loss.

Tech stocks, the largest sector by market weight, are providing leadership to the stock market. The sector's 1.8% gain trails only the 2.0% gains boasted by both Industrials and Materials. Apple (AAPL 546.72, +16.34), the largest stock by market cap, is a primary leader in the Tech space. Its bounce comes after closing each of the past two sessions near two-month lows of about $530 per share. DJ30 +99.79 NASDAQ +37.80 SP500 +14.41 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1740/535 mln/630 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2270/175 mln/600

10:30 am : Crude oil prices have pushed up to $92.10 per barrel for a 0.7% gain after opening pit trade with only a marginal gain. However, natural gas prices continue to wrestle with strong selling pressure, which has left prices at $2.74 per MMBtu for a 2.8% loss.

Gold prices have worked their way out of the red to trade with a 0.1% gain at $1594.20 per ounce. The yellow metal was slightly below $1585 per ounce at its morning low. As for silver, prices have pushed up from a morning low of almost $28 per ounce to $28.34 per ounce, but that still makes for a 1.2% loss. DJ30 +73.75 NASDAQ +25.20 SP500 +10.41 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1445/385 mln/860 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1920/130 mln/880

10:00 am : Choppy action and a recent flurry of selling have both the Dow and S&P 500 trading with modest gains. The Nasdaq actually fell into negative territory, but it is now back in positive territory with a narrow gain.

Although the Financial sector is up 0.3%, shares of diversified financial services giant JPMorgan Chase (JPM 33.05, -0.44) is under marked pressure this morning. The firm is a featured presenter at the Deutsche Bank Financial Services Conference today. At that conference JPM representatives stated that the firm has suspended its share repurchase program, but that it intends to maintain its dividend. DJ30 +37.54 NASDAQ +6.09 SP500 +4.15 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1325/180 mln/880 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1825/70 mln/845

09:45 am : Natural resource plays are sporting strong gains in the early going. Materials stocks, up 1.3%, are in the best shape of any major sector, while Energy stocks are sporting a 0.8% gain, which is about double that of the broad market. The two sectors had also attempted to offer support last Friday, but neither was able to sustain gains.DJ30 +38.75 NASDAQ +5.42 SP500 +4.49 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec NA/NA/NA NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec NA/NA/NA

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +3.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +3.00. Stock futures have eased back, but they still point to a positive open. That said, for several straight sessions stocks have attracted buyers in early trade only to see support wane and selling pressure renew. In fact, stocks have suffered losses for six straight sessions, or in 11 of the last 13 sessions. What's more, the two days in that span that weren't losses saw the S&P 500 finish flat and advance just 0.3%. Concerns about fiscal reform and responsibility in Europe have strongly influenced broad market action in recent weeks, especially as it pertains to Greece and other countries in the eurozone periphery. Today, though, many market participants have taken note that Group of Eight leaders want Greece to remain in the eurozone. Despite that, the euro has moved down to a 0.3% loss against the greenback, but it remains above the multi-month low that it logged last week.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +1.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -1.30. Crude oil prices are up only marginally to $91.55 per barrel in the opening minutes of pit trade after drifting down from overnight gains. Following a strong week, natural gas prices are under pressure today, such that the constant futures contract currently prices the energy component with a 2.6% loss at $2.75 per MMBtu. Precious metals prices are also down, but by varying degrees. Specifically, gold futures prices are down 0.3% to $1587 per ounce, but silver has slumped to $28.16 per ounce for a 1.9% loss.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +2.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +1.50. Domestic stock futures have eased back, but Europe's major bourses continue to sport solid gains after leaders of the Group of Eight made known their desire to keep the eurozone intact. Despite their statements, the euro currently trails the dollar by about 0.2%. Germany's DAX is currently up 0.8% amid broad-based strength. Merck KGAA and Commerzbank are the top performers, while RWE, E.On AG, and Henkel AG make up the only issues trading in negative territory. Britain's FTSE is up by 0.7% with help from Man Group, Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS 6.52, +0.25), and Standard Chartered. Fresnillo Plc and Randgold Resources are at the opposite end of the spectrum. Despite losses in shares of Credit Agricole and Societe Genreale, France's CAC has climbed to a 0.4% gain. Renault and Peugeot have helped the effort.

Asia's major averages were mixed in overnight trade. Japan's Nikkei settled with a 0.3% gain. Tokyo Electric Power was a top performer. Oki Electric Industry also provided leadership. Sharp Corp and Aozora Bank were at the bottom of the list. Hong Kong's Hang Seng lost 0.2%. Bank of China and China Construction Bank provided modest support, but Agricultural Bank of China was weak. China Telecom and China Petroleum & Chemical (SNP 92.00, -0.19) also weighed. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite closed with a 0.2% gain. China's Premier Jiabo suggested the country may have to adjust policy to combat the economic slowdown. China CNR was a strong performer, as was Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel. Dalian Port was a poor performer. Founder Securities also suffered from concerted selling.

Note: ticker quotes reflect US premarket prices.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +4.10. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +5.00. Friday marked the stock market's eleventh loss in 13 sessions, but there is a bid behind stock futures today. Support comes amid statements that Group of Eight leaders want Greece to remain in the eurozone. Europe's major bourses have seen a positive response, but the euro is currently down narrowly.

A dearth of corporate announcements has left early traders with few other directional cues. Lowe's (LOW 26.80, -1.68) is among those that reported; its bottom line bested expectations, but the company issued underwhelming guidance. Yahoo! (YHOO 16.26, +0.84) will sell half of its stake in Alibaba. Note: ticker quotes reflect premarket prices.

The economic calendar is light with only the Chicago Fed Index due at 8:30 AM ET.

06:27 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +5.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +7.80.

06:27 am : Nikkei...8633.89...+22.60...+0.30%. Hang Seng...18922.32...-29.50...-0.20%.

06:27 am : FTSE...5293.24...-45.10...-0.90%. DAX...6323.13...+51.90...+0.80%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader, http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader and http://chart.ly/users/wrbtrader

http://www.thestrategylab.com
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