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 Post subject: May 8th Tuesday 2012 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +22.50
PostPosted: Wed May 09, 2012 12:23 am 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)

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click on the above image to view today's performance verification

Price Action Trade Performance for Today: +22.50 points or $2250 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, all trades were posted real-time in the free #FuturesTrades chat room. You can read today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs for details (e.g. time, price, contract size) about each one of my trades from entry to exit along with price action commentary as the trade traversed in comparison to what's shown in the above image...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=104&t=1214.

To join our free chat room...registration instructions located at a different forum @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=630

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my price action trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=119&t=718.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our price action trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=152&t=1459

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Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED/ECB/IMF actions or any important global economic events that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables (key market events) causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that results in swing points and strong continuation price actions. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for my technical analysis. Just as important, these summaries becomes my archives to allow me to understand what was happening on any given trading day in the past...something I can not get from my broker statements alone.

Stocks Tumble On Greece Uncertainty

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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stocks sank Tuesday, although the major indexes closed off session lows, as Greece's uncertain political situation keeps investors on edge.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) fell 76 points, or 0.6%, to 12,932. The S&P 500 (SPX) tumbled 6 points, or 0.4%, to 1,364. The Nasdaq (COMP) declined 11 points, or 0.4%, to 2,946.

The selling picked up steam during the morning, with the S&P 500 touching a 2-month low, as stocks in Europe fell sharply. But major indexes in the United Sates pared losses in the last hour of trading.

All eyes continue to be on Europe, after Greece's main center-right party failed to form a coalition government. Now, the left-wing coalition, which is opposed to austerity as the way to close Greece's debt gap, will have three days to form a government.

The latest development is feeding investors' fears that Greece might have to drop out of the eurozone.

"The political stalemate in Greece is casting a shadow over risk markets in general and equities in particular," said Nick Stamenkovic, investment strategist at RIA Capital Markets in Edinburgh. "Investors are questioning whether Greece will be a part of the single currency at the end of this year."

The Greek stock market fell 3.6%, adding to sharp losses in the previous session.
Greece could drop euro but tragedy won't follow

As various parties grapple with forming a coalition government in Greece, it's looking increasingly likely that new elections will need to be held, most likely in mid-June. That throws into question whether Greece will be forced to renegotiate its bailout funding.

Greek leftist leader Alexis Tsipras on Tuesday laid out the radical agenda he hopes to pursue if he becomes prime minister, including the cancellation of international loan agreements to Greece that forced the country into sharp budget cuts.

Meanwhile, European Union leaders are grappling with the need to boost economic growth during a time of austerity. Early Tuesday, European Council president Herman Van Rompuy set May 23 as the date for an unscheduled EU summit, announcing on his Twitter feed that it would be an "informal dinner."

In addition to the "re-circulating woes in Europe," investors were also rattled by weak sales numbers from McDonalds, said Peter Tuz, portfolio manager at Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Va.

"More uncertainty in Europe is not good for U.S. markets, nor is the weakness in consumer-oriented stocks," said Tuz.

U.S. stocks recovered from a shaky start Monday, following elections in France and Greece over the weekend.

World markets: European stocks fell sharply late in the day to end lower. Britain's FTSE 100 (UKX) was down 1.7%. The DAX (DAX) in Germany shed 1.9%. In France, the benchmark CAC 40 (CAC40) fell 3% one day after Socialist party leader Francois Hollande won the nation's presidential election.

In the bond market, investors bought €1.3 billion worth of short-term Greek government bills out of €2.6 billion offered. The yield was 4.69%, up from 4.55% at the last auction in April.

Asian markets ended mixed. The Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) slid 0.1% and the Hang Seng (HSI) in Hong Kong lost 0.2%, while Japan's Nikkei (N225) rose 0.7%.
0:00 /1:43Fossil's market surge: Extinct

Companies: Shares of fashion accessories maker Fossil (FOSL) plunged after it reported first-quarter revenue that fell short of even the lowest forecasts.

Fast-food chain Wendy's (WEN) reported operating income of 1 cent a share, falling short of analysts' forecasts for a profit of 3 cents a share.

Shares for Electronic Arts (EA) slipped after the video-game maker cut its first-quarter outlook for the period ending in June.

The Government Accountability Office issued a report Tuesday that the U.S. Treasury may eventually turn a $15.1 billion profit on its bailout of insurer AIG (AIG, Fortune 500) when all final payments and asset sales are complete.

McDonald's Corp.'s (MCD, Fortune 500) same-store sales increased 3.3%, both globally and in the U.S. market. Analysts were expecting sales to grow 5%, according to Reuters. Sales rose 3.5% in Europe, but only 1.1% in the unit that includes Asia-Pacific, Middle East and Africa.
0:00 /2:15Munger on Occupy: 'I hate that'

In other corporate news, shares of DirecTV (DTV, Fortune 500) slipped even as the broadcast satellite provider reported slightly better earnings and sales in line with forecasts.

Entertainment conglomerate and Dow component Walt Disney (DIS, Fortune 500) will report earnings after the close. The studio had a blockbuster weekend with "The Avengers," which broke records with box office sales of $200.3 million during opening weekend. Those sales will not be included in this report, while an estimated $200 million in losses on epic bomb "John Carter" will.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar gained strength against the euro and British pound, but fell versus the Japanese yen.

Oil for June delivery fell 93 cents to end at $97.01 a barrel.

Gold futures for June delivery dropped $34.60 to settle at $1,604.50 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury fell Tuesday, leaving the yield at 1.84%.

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Market Update

4:30 pm : A wave of widespread weakness sank the stock market more than 1% to its lowest level in two months, but a steady climb in afternoon trade helped stocks slash losses.

Amid a lack of meaningful earnings announcements and a complete absence of domestic data, most market participants opted to sell stocks at the open due to lingering concerns about the implications of recent political elections in Europe -- Europe's major bourses settled their latest session with steep losses, dropping the EuroStoxx by 1.5%.

Domestic averages attempted to stabilize after enduring an opening leg down, but selling regained traction to take the S&P 500 below the 1350 line for the first time snce early March. A failed rebound attempt left stocks to drift lower again, but their ability to stay off of session lows suggested was enough support to prevent further losses. From there stocks began a steady ascent that saw the Dow recover more than 100 points.

Energy stocks staged one of the more impressive swings. The sector was down more than 2% at its session low, but settled the day down only 0.4%. Meanwhile, crude oil recovered from a session low of $95.57 per barrel to settle pit trade at $97.13 per barrel for a 0.8% loss. Despite the upturn, the closing price stands as the lowest closing level for the June contract this year. Natural gas prices also recoverd from negative territory to close pit trade at $2.39 per MMBtu for a 2.6% gain.

Defensive in nature, Utilities and Health Care scored gains of 0.2%, but neither was down dramatically at any point during the day. Telecom suffered a 0.2% loss after it had spent most of the session outperforming the other major sectors.

The turn in tone took the Volatility Index from above 20, which hasn't been eclipsed for almost a month, back to about 19 by the closing bell. The resulting increase for the VIX was less than 1%, although it had been up nearly 10% earlier in the day.

Volatility seemed to excite some traders. Share volume on the NYSE didn't break the 1 billion mark, but it did hit 900 million, which is above averages for the past few months.

The dollar advanced another 0.3% against a basket of major foreign currencies today. That puts it comfortably above its 50-day moving average, which was first crossed late last week, at a new three-week high.

Treasuries also attracted a solid bid, or at least enough to send the yield on the 10-year Note even closer to 1.80% for a new a three-month low before it eased off that mark. Results from an auction of 3-year Notes today resulted in a bid-to-cover ratio of 3.65, dollar demand of $116.8 billion, and an indirect bidder participation rate of 35.7%. For comparison, the prior auction drew a bid-to-cover of 3.36, dollar demand of $107.5 billion, and an indirect bidder rate of 39.9%, while an average of the last six auctions results in a bid-to-cover of 3.48, dollar demand of $111.3 billion, and an indirect bidder rate of 36.4%.

Advancing Sectors: Health Care +0.2%, Utilities +0.2%
Declining Sectors: Consumer Staples -0.1%, Telecom -0.2%, Industrials -0.3%, Energy -0.4%, Materials -0.5%, Tech -0.5%, Financials -0.7%, Consumer Discretionary -1.3%DJ30 -76.44 NASDAQ -11.49 NQ100 -0.4% R2K -0.1% SP400 -0.2% SP500 -5.86 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1205/2.17 bln/1313 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1188/900 mln/1800

3:30 pm : The CRB Commodity Index suffered a 0.8% loss, which marks its fourth down day in five sessions. The span of weakness comes after it had scored six consecutive gains.

Crude oil continued its downtrend, falling as low as $95.57 per barrel before reversing. The energy component more than halved its loss so that it settled pit trade 0.8% lower at $97.13 per barrel -- the June contract's lowest closing level of 2012. Natural gas prices were in negative territory for most of the session, but a rally into the close shot prices into positive territory. Futures contracts closed with prices at $2.39 per MMBtu, which makes for a 2.6% gain.

Precious metals were under stiff selling pressure all session. Gold dropped as low as $1596.30 per ounce to set its lowest level since the start of the year. The June contract settled with a 2.1% loss at $1604.90 per ounce, a closing low for 2012. Silver also suffered a 2.1% loss by settling its floor session at $29.43 per ounce. DJ30 -76.22 NASDAQ -8.22 SP500 -5.60 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 965/1.67 bln/1525 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 875/580 mln/2110

3:00 pm : Stocks have managed to extend their rebound effort to reach fresh afternoon highs. Of the major equity averages, the Nasdaq has made the strongest recovery. It had actually been wrestling with a loss that was steeper than that of either the Dow or the S&P 500, but it has slashed so much of that loss that it is now down less than either of its counterparts for the day. Most of that move is owed to a strong effort by Tech stocks, which have managed to more than halve their losses, putting the sector on pace for a 0.8% loss.DJ30 -125.82 NASDAQ -22.65 SP500 -11.85 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 870/1.53 bln/1625 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 790/525 mln/2190

2:30 pm : Stocks have worked their way up to incrementally improved afternoon highs, but the broad market remains positioned for a 1% loss, or its fourth down day in five sessions. The only day in that span when stocks didn't suffer a loss was yesterday, which saw the S&P 500 finish flat. During the course of those five sessions the stock market has lost more than 3% of its value.DJ30 -138.85 NASDAQ -28.86 SP500 -13.40 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 805/1.41 bln/1675 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 705/480 mln/2265

2:00 pm : The dollar has pulled back in recent trade, leaving it with a lead of less than 0.2% against a basket of major foreign currencies. Its downturn has coincided with an uptick by stocks, which are now testing the rebound highs that they set shortly before noon ET.

While the broad market is trying to trade higher, defensive sectors Telecom and Utilities have actually traded lower. In fact, Telecom is now down to a session low with a 0.4% loss. Utilities were recently rebuffed near the neutral line and now trade with a 0.2% loss. DJ30 -137.48 NASDAQ -32.13 SP500 -14.15 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 825/1.30 bln/1655 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 725/445 mln/2230

1:30 pm : Results from an auction of 3-year Notes showed very strong demand. Specifically, the offering resulted in a bid-to-cover ratio of 3.65, dollar demand of $116.8 billion, and an indirect bidder participation rate of 35.7%. For comparison, the prior auction drew a bid-to-cover of 3.36, dollar demand of $107.5 billion, and an indirect bidder rate of 39.9%, while an average of the last six auctions results in a bid-to-cover of 3.48, dollar demand of $111.3 billion, and an indirect bidder rate of 36.4%.

Treasuries have had hardly any reaction to the results. As such, they continue to sport solid gains. DJ30 -143.31 NASDAQ -38.23 SP500 -15.67 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 740/1.20 bln/1720 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 640/405 mln/2305

1:00 pm : Widespread weakness has stocks down sharply today. The action forced the broad market to its lowest level in two months.

A markedly lower open that came in response to renewed weakness in Europe looked like it was about to stabilize before sellers began to redouble their efforts. The subsequent push sent the S&P 500 below 1350 for the first time snce early March. Persistent pressure has kept the broad market measure down with a loss in excess of 1%.

Energy stocks remain a heavy drag. The sector's 2.0% loss is among the worst of any major sector. On a related note, oil prices continue to trend lower; futures currently price the energy component at $96.10 per barrel, which makes for a 1.9% loss.

Tech and Financials have also been sources of weakness. The two sectors are down 1.7% and 1.5%, respectively. In contrast, defensive-oriented sectors like Telecom and Utilities have managed to limit losses to only 0.1% and 0.2%, respectively.

Selling pressure this session has sent the Volatility Index back above 20 for the first time in almost a month. The euphemistically labeled Fear Gauge is currently up about 8%.

Despite the selling and rise in volatility, gold hasn't benefited from any kind of flight to safety. Instead, the yellow metal's price has tumbled 2.2% to about $1604 per ounce. Earlier today it traded below $1600 per ounce for the first time since the start of the year.

Meanwhile, the greenback has made only a modest gain -- it currently leads a collection of competing currencies by 0.3%. It is up about 0.4% for the week.

Treasuries have attracted a steady bid this session. As a result, the yield on the 10-year Note set a three-month low just a couple of basis points above 1.80%. Results from an auction of 3-year Notes are due at any moment. DJ30 -168.52 NASDAQ -47.59 SP500 -18.65 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 755/1.10 bln/1685 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 660/375 mln/2260

12:30 pm : Stocks have failed to extend their recent rebound attempt. Although stocks are retracing their slide lower, the S&P 500 is still a few points above the two-month low that it set earlier this morning.DJ30 -166.32 NASDAQ -44.65 SP500 -18.52 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 830/980 mln/1595 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 700/335 mln/2205

12:00 pm : Stocks are trimming their losses, but all three major equity averages are still down by 1% or more for the day. The effort to trade higher comes even though stocks are lacking leadership -- highly influential sectors like Tech, Financials, and Energy are down 1.4%, 1.1%, and 1.6%, respectively.

Defensive-oriented sectors have done a decent job of limiting losses. Specifically, Telecom is down only 0.1%, while Utilities have fallen only 0.3%. Consumer Staples stocks are collectively down 0.5%, while Health Care stocks have declined 0.6% as a group. DJ30 -135.00 NASDAQ -37.00 SP500 -15.32 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 700/825 mln/1705 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 600/290 mln/2290

11:30 am : Treasuries have attracted a solid bid in response to today's selling. The action has lifted the benchmark 10-year Note to a half-point gain, which has reduced its yield to 1.82%. The yield on the 10-year Note hasn't been that low since the start of February.

Treasuries could experience some volatility this afternoon -- results from an auction of 3-year Notes will be released at 1:00 PM ET. DJ30 -175.51 NASDAQ -48.48 SP500 -18.65 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 610/710 mln/1775 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 545/245 mln/2325

11:00 am : Stocks have descended deeper into negative territory, putting the major equity averages at new session lows. Increased selling pressure has stoked volatility, such that the Volatility Index, which is often euphemistically referred to as the Fear Gauge, is up more than 8% to trade above 20 for the first time in almost one month.

Despite the stock market's slide, gold hasn't exactly attracted safety seekers. Instead, the precious metal has descended in price to $1597 per ounce, which makes for a 2.5% loss.

Amid broad market weakness and sharply lower gold prices, shares of Newmont Mining (NEM 44.64, -1.50) and Yamana Gold (AUY 13.19, -0.65) are both down sharply. DJ30 -161.74 NASDAQ -49.06 SP500 -18.11 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 600/530 mln/1750 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 565/190 mln/2250

10:30 am : Commodities remain under pressure, leaving the CRB Index to wrestle with a 1.1% loss.

Crude oil prices are currently off by 1.6% at $96.35 per barrel, which is only narrowly above session lows. Meanwhile, natural gas prices have drifted down to $2.39 per MMBtu, which makes for a 1.3% loss.

Precious metals are also grappling with aggressive selling pressure that has dropped gold prices by 2.2% to $1603 per ounce. The price of the yellow metal in the constant contract briefly broke below $1600 per ounce for the first time since the start of 2012. As for silver, it currently sits at $29.32 per ounce with a 2.7% loss. Its price is up by about a dime from its session low. DJ30 -149.48 NASDAQ -44.04 SP500 -17.00 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 615/385 mln/1690 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 620/140 mln/2160

10:00 am : Stocks recently attempted to trim their opening losses, but renewed selling pressure has instead sent the major equity averages back to their initial lows.

Tech stocks are adding to the early drag. The largest sector by market weight is currently down 0.9%. However, Consumer Discretionary stocks are in even worse shape; their collective loss of 1.6% comes as apparel and accessories retailers are hurt by a concerted bout of selling. DJ30 -90.90 NASDAQ -27.58 SP500 -10.66 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 555/180 mln/1620 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 525/80 mln/2170

09:45 am : Stocks are down markedly this morning. Weakness is widespread in that nine of the 10 major sectors are in the red -- only Telecom is in positive territory, sporting a 0.2% gain.

Energy stocks were a drag early in the prior session, but they managed to slash losses. The sector has fallen under renewed selling pressure today, though. The latest effort has left the sector to trade with a 1.0% loss. In the backdrop, oil prices are down 1.0% to $96.95 per barrel. DJ30 -81.06 NASDAQ -20.94 SP500 -8.82 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec NA/NA/NA NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec NA/NA/NA

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -7.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -16.00. Stock futures suggest that the major equity averages will open with rather marked losses. The negative tone comes as Europe's major bourses falter after attempting to fight off political concerns in the continent. Amid such a theme the euro has retreated against the greenback so that it now trades with a near 0.4% loss around $1.301. The euro also trailed the dollar during the prior session, but only by a modest margin. There is little else to act as trading catalysts this morning.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -6.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -14.30. Crude oil prices are being clipped again, leaving the energy component to trade at $96.80 per barrel, which makes for a 1.1% loss. Natural gas prices are also down; constant futures contracts currently price the commodity with a 1.0% loss at $2.40 per MMBtu. Precious metals are also under sharp pressure. Specifically, gold prices have fallen 1.7% to $1612 per ounce, while silver sits at $29.43 per ounce with a 2.3% loss. Collective weakness has the CRB Index wrestling with a loss of about 0.7%.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -7.40. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -16.50. Domestic stock futures have moved lower in recent trade. The action coincides with an upturn by the dollar, which now leads a basket of major foreign currencies by about 0.4%. Greece's Athex 20 dropped sharply in the prior session, and is down more than 3% today as traders respond to political turmoil in the country. Meanwhile, Germany's DAX is currently down 0.2%. Infineon Tech is in the red after it managed to muster a gain during the drop by the DAX yesterday. Such is the same for shares of BMW and Adidas. Deutsche Telekom and Deutsche Boerse are providing support in the latest round of action. Britain's FTSE is presently up by a modest 0.2% as Tullow Oil is a top performer after it suffered one of the worst losses of any FTSE constituent yesterday. Man Group Plc is down sharply for the second straight day, though. France's CAC has fallen to a 1.0% loss after it held up relatively well in the face of widespread weakness throughout Europe during the prior session. Financial outfits BNP Paribas, Societe Generale, and Credit Agricole are leading losses.

Overnight action in Japan was mixed. Japan's Nikkei put together a 0.7% gain amid leadership from Fuji Heavy Industries, Konami Corp., Nissan Motor (NSANY 19.45, +0.00), and Toshiba. Sharp Corp and Kansai Electric were among the more notable laggards. Hong Kong's Hang Seng eased down to a 0.3% loss. Bank of China proved to be a drag, as did China Construction Bank and China Public Healthcare. CST Mining and Dragonite International were strong performers, though. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite closed only 0.1% lower. Bank of China was also a laggard there, but Agricultural Bank of China was a source of strength. China Minsheng Banking was also weak, while China State Construction Engineering put together a strong gain.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -8.30. An upturn in stock futures has helped moderate the negative tone that followed the broad market's flat finish on Monday. Europe's bourses are in generally weak shape amid rekindled political concerns, especially in Greece, where the Athex 20 is down more than 3% after a precipitous drop in the prior session. The dollar continues to trade with a very narrow lead over a collection of competing currencies; it was last quoted with a gain of less than 0.2%. There have been few other directional cues for premarket participants, given the lack of bellwethers reporting quarterly results and an empty economic calendar.

06:18 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -7.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -17.00.

06:18 am : Nikkei...9181.65...+62.50...+0.70%. Hang Seng...20484.75...-51.90...-0.30%.

06:18 am : FTSE...5646.58...-8.50...-0.20%. DAX...6514.61...-54.90...-0.80%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader, http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader and http://chart.ly/users/wrbtrader

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