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 Post subject: March 19th Monday 2012 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +12.90
PostPosted: Mon Mar 19, 2012 9:26 pm 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)

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click on the above image to view today's performance verification

Price Action Trade Performance for Today: +12.90 points or $1290 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, all trades were posted real-time in the free #FuturesTrades chat room. You can read today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs for details (e.g. time, price, contract size) about each one of my trades from entry to exit along with price action commentary as the trade traversed in comparison to what's shown in the above image...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=102&t=1170.

To join our free chat room...registration instructions located at a different forum @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=630

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my price action trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=119&t=718.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our price action trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=150&t=1403

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Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED/ECB/IMF actions or any important global economic events that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables (key market events) causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that results in swing points and strong continuation price actions. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for my technical analysis. Just as important, these summaries becomes my archives to allow me to understand what was happening on any given trading day in the past...something I can not get from my broker statements alone.

U.S. Stock Market Wrap

March 19 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Pimm Fox and Deborah Kostroun report on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index advanced to the highest level since May 2008 as Apple Inc. plans to pay a dividend and buy back $10 billion of its stock.

Stocks Juiced By Apple

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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- After a year filled with uncertainty, 2012 has so far been a strong one for stocks. Stronger economic data has helped push the Dow up more than 8% since January.

But it's not so easy for some investors to forget last year's pain. Many retail players are hanging on the sidelines, waiting for a sign that they won't get burned again.

"There is still some skepticism on the part of people who missed the rally," said Bernard Kavanagh, vice president of portfolio management for St. Louis-based broker Stifel Nicolaus. "So despite the strong initial pop, many retail investors are not in the game yet."

Couple that tentativeness with a dearth of economic news, and you have a recipe for volatile trade.

That's how Monday's session went, with little economic or corporate news on the docket. But after a morning of choppiness, stocks held onto modest gains to close the day.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) gained almost 7 points, or less than 0.1%, to close at 13,239.13. The S&P 500 (SPX) rose 6 points, or 0.4%, to end the day at 1,409.75.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq (COMP), boosted by news from Apple, added 23 points for a 0.8% gain. It closed the day at 3,078.32.

Ahead of the opening bell Monday, Apple said it would pay a quarterly dividend of $2.65 a share. The company will also buy back $10 billion of its own shares over the next three years.

"This is the kind of news that will buoy confidence, especially if it's coupled with signs of life in important areas like employment," said Kavanagh, the Stifel Nicolaus analyst.

Just last week, Apple's stock topped $600 for the first time ever, fueled by record iPhone and iPad sales growth. Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500) shares closed 2.7% higher following the dividend/buyback announcement, to close the day at $601.10 -- its first-ever close above $600.

* Video - Apple cracks open its war chest

Also in focus were bank stocks, following reports that the Federal Reserve made some minor corrections to its stress test results. Citigroup (C, Fortune 500) and Morgan Stanley (MS, Fortune 500) shares ended the day higher.

Shares of Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) rose to top $10 in midday trade for the first time since August. But the rally was short-lived, and shares ended the day 2.6% lower.

On Friday, stocks ended mixed although the major indexes all posted gains of more than 2% for the week.

* Retail investors shun the rally

Companies: Shares of Sprint Nextel (S, Fortune 500) closed 4.5% lower after Craig Moffett, an analyst at research firm Sanford C. Bernstein, downgraded the stock to "underperform." Moffett cited, among other issues, concerns about Sprint's ability to sell millions of iPhones given the high costs of network upgrades.

Starbucks (SBUX, Fortune 500) will open its first Evolution Fresh juice bar on Monday in Bellevue, Wash., four months after the coffee giant acquired the juice business. Starbucks will also start distribution of the brand to grocery stores on Monday.

The advisory board of European shipper TNT Express (TNTEY) said they are recommending that shareholders accept the terms of an $6.8 billion all-cash offer from UPS (UPS, Fortune 500).

Shares of Domino's Pizza (DPZ) ended 3.4% higher after the company announced a one-time dividend of $3 per share to be paid on April 2.

Economy: The Treasury Department said early Monday that it made taxpayers a hefty $25 billion profit by getting rid of one of its financial-crisis era portfolios of mortgage-backed securities.

Housing will be in focus this week, with reports due on new home sales, housing starts and existing home sales.

While recent reports on the job market and the banking sector have given credence to beliefs that the economy is on the mend, the housing market is still struggling. Last month, the National Association of Realtors said home prices fell to their lowest point in more than a decade in January.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar fell against the euro and British pound, and it was flat versus the Japanese yen.

Oil for April delivery gained $1.03 to settle at $108.09 a barrel.

Gold for April added $11.50 to settle at $1,667.30 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury fell, pushing the yield up to 2.36% from 2.30% late Friday.

World markets: European stocks ended lower on Friday. Britain's FTSE 100 (UKX) and the DAX (DAX) in Germany each lost less than 0.1%, and France's CAC 40 (CAC40) fell 0.5%.

Asian markets ended mixed. The Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) rose 0.2% and Japan's Nikkei (N225) edged higher 0.1%, while the Hang Seng (HSI) in Hong Kong lost 1.0%.

Image

Market Update

4:30 pm : Although Apple was a strong performer following news of its dividend and share repurchase plan, Financials were the primary drivers behind the broad market's move to a new multi-year high. Momentum slowed in late afternoon action, however.

Early trade was largely lackluster amid a lack of actionable headlines and general weakness among Europe's major bourses. Market participants were also slow to take encouragement from news that heavyweight Apple (AAPL 601.10, +15.53) plans to open its coffers, currently stuffed with close to $100 billion in cash, to help fund a quarterly dividend of $2.65 per share starting in the fourth quarter of its fiscal 2012 and a $10 billion share repurchase program commencing in fiscal 2013. A positive response to the news helped the stock settle above $600, extending the torrid run that has made it the largest company by market cap -- shares are now up nearly 50% year to date.

Financials finished the day with a 0.6% gain, which is less than half of what it had achieved at its session high. The sector's run higher helped lift the S&P 500 above 1412 for the first time since mid-2008. However, when Financials faltered in afternoon trade the broad market followed suit to finish shy of its session high.

Bank stocks were the primary source of the swing. They initially climbed higher without much regard for the weakness displayed by bank stocks listed on Europe's major bourses this morning. Their upward push took the KBW Bank Index to a gain greater than 1.5%, which came as a strong follow-up to its near 7% weekly gain, but then profit taking undercut the move. The KBW Bank Index ended the day with a more moderate gain of about 0.5%.

The Dow barely finished the day with a gain. Home Depot (HD 48.83, -0.22) hampered it during the day. The stock's weakness came alongside a disappointing monthly Housing Market Index reading from the NAHB.

Utilities suffered the only loss among the major sectors. They finished the day at session lows with a 0.5% loss. The defensive-oriented sector is now down nearly 4% year to date. No other sector is in the red in 2012.

The dollar endured some more selling, extending its decline from the near two-month high that it set last week. By session's end it was quoted with a loss of about 0.4% against a basket of major foreign currencies. The dollar's downturn helped support the commodity complex, such that the CRB Index booked a 0.5% gain.

Treasuries encountered more selling. The action lifted the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note closer to 2.40% before easing back as the stock market drifted lower in afternoon trade.

Advancing Sectors: Tech +0.8%, Energy +0.6%, Financials +0.6%, Materials +0.5%, Consumer Discretionary +0.5%, Industrials +0.1%, Telecom +0.1%, Consumer Staples +0.1%
Unchanged: Health Care
Declining Sectors: Utilities -0.5%DJ30 +6.51 NASDAQ +23.06 NQ100 +0.8% R2K +0.9% SP400 +0.2% SP500 +5.58 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1659/1.54 bln/901 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1884/721 mln/1106

3:30 pm : A slide by the dollar today helped stir support for precious metals, which opened pit trade near the neutral line. By session’s end, though, gold gained $11.40, or 0.7%, to settle at $1667.50 per ounce. Silver scored a gain of $0.33, or 1.0%, to settle at $32.94 per ounce. Session highs were set at $1670.10 and $33.09, respectively.

Crude oil overcame pressure in electronic trade to sport a solid gain for most of pit trade. The energy component had set a session high of $108.76 per barrel before it settled at $108.56 per barrel, which makes for a gain of $1.00, or 0.9%. Natural gas prices opened in the red, but rallied roughly 4% from session lows to reach a session high of $2.39 per MMBtu about an hour after pit trading began. Although the move proved unsustainable, natural gas still closed pit trade with a gain of $0.02, or 1.0%, at $2.35 per MMBtu. DJ30 +17.98 NASDAQ +27.13 SP500 +7.05 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1760/1.25 bln/780 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2020/495 mln/955

3:00 pm : Stocks have slipped off of their afternoon perch with the arrival of the final hour of the day. The move coincides with a pullback by Financials, which are now at an afternoon low with a gain of a little less than 1.0%. However, the Tech sector, which is the largest by market weight, remains at its session high with a 0.9% gain.

Utilities continue to underperform. In fact, facing a 0.3% loss, they make up the only major sector in negative territory. Utilities also stand as the only major sector in negative territory for 2012; they are down close to 4% year to date. DJ30 +20.06 NASDAQ +29.90 SP500 +8.09 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1795/1.10 bln/740 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2080/430 mln/865

2:30 pm : A sideways drift has kept the broad market dancing along its session high, but the Nasdaq has extended its advance so that it is now at its best level of the day and sporting a 1.0% gain.

The Nasdaq's advance has been led by heavyweight Apple (AAPL 598.49, +12.92), which announced earlier today plans for a dividend and share repurchases. During the past couple of months the stock has had an impressive run up to $600 per share, but it has had a relatively difficult time pushing past that price level. DJ30 +29.45 NASDAQ +31.35 SP500 +9.21 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1810/1.00 bln/730 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2125/395 mln/810

2:00 pm : While stocks climb, Treasuries have traded lower. Their weakness has caused yields to climb, such that the rate on the benchmark 10-year Note is now up to a new multi-month high of almost 2.40%. At the shorter end of the yield curve, the 2-year Note is yielding 0.4%. At the long end of things, the 30-year Bond is yielding 3.47%.DJ30 +29.29 NASDAQ +30.12 SP500 +8.65 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1790/960 mln/735 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2140/370 mln/800

1:30 pm : The stock market has added to its gains so that it now sports a solid gain as it stands at a slightly improved session high. Meanwhile, the Dow has been unable to put together anything more than a slight gain. That's mostly because of weakness in the likes of Microsoft (MSFT 32.30, -0.30) and Home Depot (HD 48.60, -0.45). Dow component United Technologies (UTX 85.08, -0.40) is also grappling with some relatively pronounced selling pressure.DJ30 +32.70 NASDAQ +28.15 SP500 +8.92

1:00 pm : Renewed favor for Financials has helped the sector lead the broad market up to a new multi-year high, but amid so few headlines the move has come quietly.

Stocks started the session in mixed fashion, but the broad market now sports a solid gain primarily because bank stocks have staged another impressive bounce. Their latest climb has the KBW Bank Index sporting a 1.5% gain. Their strength has helped drive interest in the rest of the Financial sector, which is currently up 1.3%. The Financial sector's advance actually began to take form in the face of weakness among bank and financial shares in Europe, where the region's major bourses fought for a relatively mixed finish.

Tech stocks traded in lackluster fashion for most of the morning, but the sector has since worked its way to a 0.8% gain. The initial delay came despite strength in heavyweight Apple (AAPL 598.83, +13.26), which made headlines this morning because of its plan for a dividend and share repurchases.

Homebuilders and home improvement retailers have sat out for most of the stock market's latest leg higher. Their relative weakness comes after the latest NAHB Housing Market Index came short of what had been widely expected. It was the only dose of data today.

The greenback has had a rather weak day after trading near the flat line this morning. It was last quoted with a 0.4% gain against a collection of competing currencies.

The dollar's downturn has helped lift gold prices, which are now up 0.6% to $1665 per ounce after trading near the flat line this morning. Oil prices have mostly held steady to their gains; the energy component was last quoted with a 0.6% gain at $107.70 per barrel, which is less than its session high modestly above $108 per barrel. DJ30 +26.30 NASDAQ +25.75 SP500 +7.66 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1695/770 mln/785 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2020/305 mln/870

12:30 pm : The S&P 500 has stopped its climb at the 1410 line, which hasn't been touched since mid-2008. Meanwhile, the dollar is down about 0.4% to trade narrowly above its session low after it had traded with a fractional gain in the early going.DJ30 +12.34 NASDAQ +18.41 SP500 +5.36 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1660/685 mln/810 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1945/275 mln/945

12:00 pm : Stocks have broken free from their morning trading range to set fresh session highs. The effort has come amid leadership from Financials and increased interest in Technology stocks.

Financials have extended their climb so that the sector now sports a 1.2% gain, but Tech stocks have made the more pronounced push higher in recent trade, resulting in a 0.7% gain for the sector. Tech stocks had been plodding along for the better part of the morning, unable to follow the lead of Apple (AAPL 596.53, +10.96), which announced plans for a dividend and share repurchase program earlier. DJ30 +19.31 NASDAQ +21.23 SP500 +6.08 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1625/600 mln/825 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1900/245 mln/955

11:30 am : Broad market action remains choppy, but the Financial sector continues to trade with an impressive gain, which currently stands at a little less than 1%. Just as they did last week, bank stocks are driving the sector's advance. Their strength has the KBW Bank Index up 1.1%, which comes on top of the near 7% advance achieved during the course of trade last week. Altogether, Financials are up about 22% year to date.DJ30 -14.19 NASDAQ +9.06 SP500 +2.43 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1480/490 mln/940 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1690/212 mln/1130

11:00 am : The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB 21.39, -0.12) has been stuck in the red since surrendering an early gain after it was learned that the NAHB Housing Market Index hit 28, which is unchanged from the downwardly revised reading that was registered in the prior month, but less than the reading of 31 that had been expected, on average, among economists polled by Briefing.com. Meawhile, home improvement retailers like Home Depot (HD 48.65, -0.40) and Lowe's (LOW 30.31, -0.10) are both at session lows in negative territory.DJ30 -9.53 NASDAQ +9.61 SP500 +2.97 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1380/685 mln/1005 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1605/170 mln/1185

10:30 am : With a 0.7% gain at $107.70 per barrel, oil prices are only slightly below their morning highs. Meanwhile, natural gas prices have rallied from an early loss in excess of 1% to trade with a 2.1% gain at $2.49 per MMBtu.

Precious metals have ticked higher after experiencing mixed action earlier this morning. Gold prices were flat a couple of hours ago, but the yellow metal is now up 0.2% at $1658.70 per ounce. Two hours ago silver was off by about 0.3%, but it is now holding on to a 0.1% gain at $32.64 per ounce. DJ30 -10.52 NASDAQ +2.87 SP500 +1.54 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1390/240 mln/900 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1575/117 mln/1170

10:00 am : Led by Financials, now up 0.8%, the S&P 500 has notched an incrementally improved multi-year high, but the Dow failed to confirm the move. Instead, the blue chip average was rebuffed at the neutral line, keeping it in negative territory with a narrow loss.

Materials stocks have also attracted buying interest this morning. The sector has moved up to a 0.5% gain with help from building products plays and metals issues.

Telecom stocks are at the other end of the spectrum. The sector's 0.3% loss makes it the worst performing group in the early going. DJ30 -12.63 NASDAQ +10.43 SP500 +2.74 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 785/60 mln/1385 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1025/50 mln/1535

09:45 am : Although shares of various European-based banks and financial outfits have weighed on the continent's bourses today, shares of domestic financial plays are performing rather well. In fact, buying interest in the space has the Financial sector up 0.4%, which is better than what any other sector has achieved this morning.

Meanwhile, the Tech sector, which is the largest by market weight, is up only a tepid 0.1% as it struggles to rally around Apple (AAPL 594.61, +9.04). Earlier this morning the company announced plans for a dividend and share repurchase program. DJ30 -15.43 NASDAQ -0.78 SP500 +0.10 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec NA/NA/NA NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec NA/NA/NA

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -1.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +0.50. Only minutes away from the open, the mood among premarket participants remains mixed. The tone comes as Europe's major bourses move lower amid weakness in shares of banks and other financial outfits, which had been a source of leadership in the past couple of weeks, while news that Apple (AAPL 597.40, +11.83) will issue a dividend and a share repurchase plan has been met with a positive response. Despite strong buying interest in the largest stock by market cap, futures for both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 remain mired near the neutral line. Note: ticker quotes reflect premarket prices.

Other headlines have been less consequential and the data on tap for today -- monthly Housing Market Index -- is unlikely to have any sort of strong implication for broad market trade.

As an aside, the dollar is up only fractionally against a basket of major foreign currencies, but oil prices are sporting a 0.8% gain as they approach $108 per barrel.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -2.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -2.80. Commodities are mixed this morning, but the CRB Index has managed to muster a 0.2% gain. Among its most commonly tracked constituents, crude oil has garnered buying interest, such that the commodity was last quoted with a 0.6% gain at $107.70 per barrel in the opening minutes of pit trade. Natural gas prices are currently down 1.6% to $2.40 per MMBtu. As for precious metals, gold prices are unchanged at $1655.80 per ounce, but silver prices are down 0.3% to $32.51 per ounce.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -2.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -3.80. Domestic stock futures have edged lower in the wake of news that Apple (AAPL 590.64 +5.07) plans to initiate a dividend and share repurchase program... Action in Europe has been rather weak. Specifically, Germany's DAX is down 0.7%. Auto plays Volkswagen, BMW, and Daimler are all under pronounced pressure. Deutsche Bank (DB 51.04, +0.00) has also faltered after staging an impressive run during the past couple of weeks. In contrast, Commerzbank has attracted solid support. France's CAC is currently off by 0.8%, weighed down by financial outfits Credit Agricole and Societe Generale. Carrefour SA is also a source of considerable weakness. Britain's FTSE is wrestling with a 0.4% loss as Barclays (BCS 16.05, -0.11), HSBC (HBC 45.65, -0.22), and Standard Chartered all succumb to selling pressure. Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS 9.09, +0.10) has managed to attract buyers, however.

Overnight trade in Asia saw Japan's Nikkei eke out a 0.1% gain. Financial outfits Mizuho Financial (MFG 3.34, +0.00) and Nomura Holdings (NMR 4.85, +0.09) provided support, but Tokyo Electric and Kansai Electric both weighed on action. Meanwhile, financial and banking plays were sold in Hong Kong, such that the Hang Seng suffered a 1.0% loss. Bank of China, Industrial & Commercial Bank of China, and China Construction Bank were heavy drags. China Overseas Land & Investment performed well, though. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite managed to score a 0.2% gain, although heavyweights Agricultural Bank of China and China Communications Construction were weak. Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel garnered strong buying interest.

Note: ticker quotes reflect premarket prices.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -1.10. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +6.30. Last week the stock market booked its tenth weekly gain in 11 tries, but finished the week in mixed fashion. The mood among market participants remains mixed as stock futures remain mired near the neutral line ahead of today's open. Weakness among Europe's major bourses certainly hasn't helped renew any real buying interest ahead of the open. A lack of corporate news has also left traders with few cues, but there is speculation that Apple (AAPL 600.30, +14.73) may announce plans to unlock its cash hoard and declare a dividend during its conference call at 9:00 AM ET. Note: ticker quote reflects premarket price. The only item on the economic calendar is the monthly Housing Market Index, which is scheduled for release at 10:00 AM ET.

06:22 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -3.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -0.80.

06:22 am : Nikkei...10141.99...+12.20...+0.10%. Hang Seng...21115.29...-202.60...-1.00%.

06:22 am : FTSE...5942.61...-23.00...+0.40%. DAX...7119.25...-38.60...-0.50%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader, http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader and http://chart.ly/users/wrbtrader

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