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 Post subject: February 13th Monday 2012 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +5.20
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2012 11:54 pm 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)

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click on the above image to view today's performance verification

Price Action Trade Performance for Today: +5.20 points or $520 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, all trades were posted real-time in the free #FuturesTrades chat room. Today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs provides details (e.g. time, price, contract size) about each one of my trades from entry to exit along with price action commentary as the trade traversed...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=101&t=1140.

To join our free chat room...registration instructions located at a different forum @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=630

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my price action trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=119&t=718.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our price action trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=149&t=1370

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Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED/ECB/IMF actions or any important global economic events that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables (key market events) causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that results in swing points and strong continuation price actions. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for my technical analysis. Just as important, these summaries becomes my archives to allow me to understand what was happening on any given trading day in the past...something I can not get from my broker statements alone.

Stocks Gain After Greece OKs Austerity

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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stocks rose Monday after the Greek government approved a key austerity package, lifting hopes the nation will qualify for more bailout money and avoid a messy default.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) rose 73 points, or 0.6%, to end at 12,874. The S&P 500 (SPX) added 9 points, or 0.7%, 1,352. The Nasdaq (COMP) rose 27 points, or 0.9%, to 2,931.

The Greek Parliament voted early Monday to approve a package of austerity reforms, marking a key step toward securing a second bailout worth €130 billion from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund. Greece needs the money to avoid a potential default on a €14.5 billion bond redemption in March.

But the tone remains cautious as Greece must meet other conditions before euro-area finance ministers meet Wednesday, when they are expected to make a final decision on the bailout.

The vote came amid escalating public protests against the reforms, which include job and salary cuts for government workers, pension reforms and other measures to reduce government spending.

"A favorable Greek vote for austerity measures, even as there are still several hurdles to clear and civil unrest in Athens is ongoing, has spurred risk appetite," said Camilla Sutton, chief currency strategist at Scotia Bank.

* Obama budget: Tax plans aim at rich

U.S. financial stocks posted early gains in the wake of Greece's debt deal. Shares of Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) rose 2.2% and JPMorgan (JPM, Fortune 500) gained 1.8%.

Meanwhile, Monday had no reports on the U.S. economy. But the week ahead brings key data on retail sales, new-home construction and inflation.

"While uncertainty regarding the Greek debt crisis will weigh on equity markets, I continue to expect investors will tolerate more risk for greater returns given the slow, but steady progress in U.S. growth," said Sharon Stark, head of fixed-income strategies at Birmingham, Ala.-based Sterne Agee.

Stocks dropped Friday as anxiety mounted over Greece's ongoing debt drama.

* Video - NASCAR rides through slow economy

Economy: President Obama unveiled a $3.8 trillion budget request Monday that hikes taxes on the rich, spends new money on infrastructure and education, but does little to reform the entitlement programs that pose the biggest long-term threat to the federal budget.

The budget forecasts a deficit for fiscal year 2012 that will top $1.3 trillion, before falling in 2013 to $901 billion, or 5.5% of gross domestic product.

The release comes after heated debate over the past year about how the U.S. should balance aiding the economic recovery with its deficit-reduction needs.

Companies: Shares of Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500) briefly rose to an all-time high above $500 in early trading.

Separately, the computer and cellphone maker sued Motorola Mobility (MMI) to try and prevent Motorola from blocking sales of iPhones in Germany, with Apple arguing that its iPhone 4S is protected by a license agreement with Qualcomm (QCOM, Fortune 500).

Meanwhile, EU regulators approved Google's $12.5 billion acquisition of Motorola.

* Volcker defends namesake rule against banks

Chesapeake Energy (CHK, Fortune 500) outlined its 2012 financial plan Monday, saying that it expects to receive $2 billion from two separate transactions in the next 60 days and plans to issue $1 billion in senior notes in a public offering.

Malkin Holdings LLC, which controls the Empire State Building, filed Monday for an initial public offering for a real estate investment trust (REIT) for the building. The filing puts the estimated value of the Empire State Building at $2.5 billion, while the other two properties are worth about $1 billion between them.

Shares of Madison Square Garden (MSG) spiked on hopes the parent company of the New York Knicks will benefit from enthusiasm about the team's new star player, Jeremy Lin.

World markets: European stocks closed higher. Britain's FTSE 100 (UKX) rose 0.8%, the DAX (DAX) in Germany edged up 0.5% and France's CAC 40 (CAC40) rose 0.1%.

Asian markets ended mixed. The Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) was unchanged, while the Hang Seng (HSI) in Hong Kong added 0.5% and Japan's Nikkei (N225) climbed 0.6%.

Japan's gross domestic product, a measure of economic growth, slipped 2.3% on an annual basis in the fourth quarter of 2011, according to a government report released Monday. For all of 2011, Japan's economy contracted 0.9%, compared to growth of 4.4% in 2010.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar lost ground against the euro and British pound, but gained strength against the Japanese yen.

Oil for March delivery rose $2.24 to settle at $100.91 a barrel.

Crude oil futures were halted due to technical issues and certain trades were canceled Monday on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

Gold futures for April delivery slipped 4 cents to end at $1,724.90 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury fell, pushing the yield up to 1.99% from 1.97% late Friday.

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Market Update

4:20 pm : Stocks started the day higher on encouraging news about agreement from Greece on proposed austerity measures. The early bid waned off the open, but buyers stepped back in around mid-morning and stocks closed right around the levels where they opened, with the S&P 500 adding 0.7%.

After weeks of haggling over austerity plan details, many market participants were concerned that Greece's parliament would drag its feet in passing new measures, but, over the weekend, the country approved the plan, bringing it closer to securing additional bailout funds. That said, eurozone officials still have to approve Greece's plan. There are also challenges associated with implementing any new measures.

The news inspired buying abroad, resulting in varied gains for the world's major equity averages. Domestic averages have followed suit, but they have wavered since the start of the session. Nonetheless, improved sentiment in the wake of the Greece headline has helped take the Dow Jones Global Index up to a 0.7% gain.

Industrial stocks were the strongest today, with the sector gaining 1.2%. Financials, which are considered to be most sensitive to the European crisis, were the second strongest sector, finishing the day +0.9%.

Tech stocks, which make up the largest sector by market weight, were a laggard, gaining 0.6% on the day.

Despite the relatively unimpressive performance of tech stocks, the tech-rich Nasdaq actually maintained a narrow lead over its counterparts today. Apple (AAPL 502.60, +9.18) was a leader in the Nasdaq as it made a push past the psychologically significant $500 level earlier.

Late in the session, a technical glitch halted crude oil trading on the CME. After the halt, crude resumed trading higher and is now around $100.57. Crude ended 1.8% higher at $100.40/barrel in floor trading. Feb natural gas remained in the red all session. The energy component attempted to erase all of its losses in early morning activity, but couldn't hold and closed 2% lower at $2.43/MMBtu.

There haven't been any other stories of great importance today -- earnings reports are sparse and without broad consequence and there hasn't been a single economic announcement. That has likely further depressed participation today, resulting in trading volume that was well below average.DJ30 +72.81 NASDAQ +27.51 SP500 +9.13 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1864/1.57 bln/692 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2370/682.6 mln/719

3:35 pm : In the energy space, Mar crude oil extended gains from mid-morning activity. However, near the end of pit trading, crude oil was halted due to "technical reason", according to the CME. CME is saying "that Crude Complex Futures and Options markets will open at 14:15 Central Time with a 15 minute pre-open." At that time, crude resumed trading higher and is now around $100.57. Crude ended 1.8% higher at $100.40/barrel in floor trading.

Feb natural gas remained in the red all session. The energy component attempted to erase all of its losses in early morning activity, but couldn't hold and closed 2% lower at $2.43/MMBtu.

In metals, Apr gold and March silver were in positive territory for most today's session. Both precious metals gained some steam in the afternoon session, but gold ultimately closed at the unchanged line, while silver closed just modestly higher.Mar copper futures fell 2 cents at $3.84. Gold ended the session unchanged at $1725.00/oz, while silver finished just 9 cents higher at $33.69/oz.DJ30 +78.75 NASDAQ +27.06 SP500 +9.51 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2004/1300 mln/815 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2447/492 mln/838

3:00 pm : The dollar index trades near its best levels of the day as a quiet session heads into its final hour of trading. Early euro strength following the passage of the Greek austerity vote has subsided with the single currency now trading up 15 pips at 1.3210. Traders will continue to watch this area closely as trade has been stuck in the vicinity since late January. The yen is holding steady near 77.60 as trade tests important resistance in the 78.00 area. Stealth intervention by the Bank of Japan and Ministry of Finance has been all the talk as of late with tonight’s interest rate decision moving into focus. The Bank of Japan is expected to hold its benchmark interest rate steady at less than 0.1%, and as always traders will be paying close attention to the language used by the central bank as to any hints of intervention. The Australian dollar is up 80 pips at 1.0750 after finding support at Friday's close. Today’s buying has the hard currency just off its best levels of the session as it looks to recapture the 1.08 area. Traders will remain focused on the 1.11 area as it represents all-time highs versus the greenback.DJ30 +81.55 NASDAQ +27.63 SP500 +9.82 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1871/1.16 bln/672 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2375/434.9 mln/703

2:30 pm : The major market averages are at session highs as a light-volume session readies for its final hour of trading.

Chinese internet names are seeing solid gains after Yoku (YOKU 21.93, +0.62) received an upgrade from Maxim Group with the firm citing an improved outlook despite near-term competition and margin pressure. The firm expects a strong online ad market in 2012 to be supported by international events and inflation. Sina Corp. (SINA 70.24, +5.10), Renren (RENN 5.44, +0.24), and KU6 Media (KUTV 2.06, +0.04) are piggybacking the move.DJ30 +79.16 NASDAQ +26.49 SP500 +9.65 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1843/1.05 bln/672 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2349/396.2 mln/718

2:00 pm : The major averages are trading near their best levels of the session with the Nasdaq holding a gain of 0.9%.

Shares of Diebold (DBD 39.24, +4.49) are higher by 13% after the company posted earnings per share of $1.40, $0.56 better than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate. Revenues were in-line at $850 million. The company issued upside fiscal year 2012 guidance, projecting earnings per share of $2.30 to $2.50 ($2.27 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate) and revenue growth of 3-6% which would mean revenues of $2.92 billion to $3.01 billion ($2.89 billion Capital IQ Consensus Estimate). DJ30 +72.50 NASDAQ +25.14 SP500 +9.25 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1819/976.9 mln/684 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2378/365.9 mln/688

1:30 pm : The major market averages hold just off their best levels of the session a quiet trade progresses. An advance of 0.8% has the Nasdaq leading the way while the S&P 500 and Dow trail with gains of 0.6% and 0.5% respectively. Volume has been rather uninspiring, and is on track to fall short of Friday’s 650 million shares on the NYSE.

European financials are seeing modest gains after last night’s Greek vote on austerity measures received Parliamentary approval and paved the way for the troubled country to receive a second bailout from the Troika. German bank Deutsche Bank (DB 44.58, +0.45) is higher by 1.1% while Britain’s Barclays (BCS 14.95, +0.14) lags with a 0.8% gains. The European banks are trailing their American counterparts as Bank of America (BAC 8.28, +0.21) and Citigroup (C 33.40, +0.48) are higher by 2.7% and 1.5% respectively. DJ30 +62.63 NASDAQ +22.35 SP500 +8.32 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1835/908.2 mln/658 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2329/337.4 mln/720

1:00 pm : Progress in Greece handed stocks a markedly higher open, but without anything else to encourage follow-through buying strength has waned.

After weeks of haggling over austerity plan details, many market participants were concerned that Greece's parliament would drag its feet in passing new measures, but during the weekend the country quickly approved the plan so that the flagging country is now closer to securing additional bailout funds. That said, eurozone officials still have to approve Greece's plan. There are also challenges associated with implementing any new measures.

The news inspired buying abroad, resulting in varied gains for the world's major equity averages. Domestic averages have followed suit, but they have wavered since the start of the session. Nonetheless, improved sentiment in the wake of the Greece headline has helped take the Dow Jones Global Index up to a 0.7% gain.

Financials are among the biggest beneficiaries of the broad market bounce today. The sector is currently riding a gain of slightly less than 1%. Industrial stocks are close behind, however; the sector is back at its session high to sport a 0.8% gain.

Tech stocks, which make up the largest sector by market weight, have been drifting along with only modest gains. As a group, tech stocks are up slightly less than 0.4%.

Despite the relatively unimpressive performance of tech stocks, the tech-rich Nasdaq has actually maintained a narrow lead over its counterparts today. Apple (AAPL 499.0, +5.58) is a primary leader in the Nasdaq; the stock made a push past the psychologically significant $500 level earlier.

There haven't been any other stories of great importance today -- earnings reports are sparse and without broad consequence and there hasn't been a single economic announcement. That has likely further depressed participation today, resulting in an anemic pace of trade. DJ30 +64.03 NASDAQ +21.31 SP500 +7.78 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1760/805 mln/720 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2205/295 mln/760

12:30 pm : Participation today has been lacking, making for some pretty paltry share volume. Already about midway through today's session, only about 270 million shares have traded hands on the NYSE. That anemic rate trails even Friday's sluggish pace, which saw share volume on the Big Board reach about 300 million by this time.

To be fair, share volume has been unimpressive for several months. So, today's lack of volume isn't totally surprising, especially since there haven't been any economic reports or earnings announcements of major consequence that would pull in traders from the sidelines. DJ30 +54.23 NASDAQ +18.96 SP500 +6.53 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1795/730 mln/670 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2285/270 mln/685

12:00 pm : Stocks have extended their rebound from mid-morning lows, but the major equity averages haven't quite returned to their session highs.

Strength remains broad, but financials have benefited the most from today's bounce. The sector's 0.9% gain is better than what any other sector has achieved today.

Defensive in nature, utilities stocks are generally mired near the neutral line. The sector actually slipped into negative territory earlier -- the only one to do so -- but it has since worked its way out of the red. DJ30 +61.68 NASDAQ +22.57 SP500 +7.51 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1825/675 mln/635 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2290/245 mln/665

11:30 am : The euro has turned lower against the greenback after it had traded with a modest gain earlier this morning. The currency is now down 0.1% against the dollar today.

Early strength in the euro came in response to news that Greece's parliament has approved austerity measures that are aimed at securing bailout funds for the flagging country. The euro put together a few impressive performances last week in response to rumors regarding progress in Greece's efforts, so its moderate movement today is most likely because the euro had already factored in the event. DJ30 +49.50 NASDAQ +17.66 SP500 +6.34 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1775/550 mln/645 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2260/210 mln/665

11:00 am : Stocks have stabilized after suffering a gradual descent from opening highs. The downward move was led by tech stocks, which make up the largest sector by market weight. As a group they recently came in contact with the flat line, but were able to find support there.

Treasuries have attracted some buying interest in the midst of the stock market's backslide. Although its gain is modest, the benchmark 10-year Note is now in positive territory, pushing its yield to a few basis points below 2.00%. DJ30 +44.27 NASDAQ +15.44 SP500 +6.03 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1660/432 mln/705 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2155/170 mln/725

10:40 am : The dollar index is showing some weakness this morning, which is providing price support to commodities. The index hit fell as low as 78.61 in overnight activity and is currently just above that level in current trade.

In the energy space, Mar crude oil was trading higher all session, just below the $100 level. But, just a couple of minutes before floor trading opened, at 9am ET, crude gained steam and rallied and $1/barrel to a new session high of $100.62. possibly on headlines regarding continued tensions between Israel/Iran. Crude has since been on a downtrend and is now 0.9% at $99.52/barrel.

Feb natural gas has been in negative territory all session and hit a new session low of $2.39 earlier this morning. The energy component has mostly recovered its losses and is now 1.2% at $2.45/MMBtu>

In metals, Apr gold and March silversold off this morning, but gold is back near the unchanged line, while silver is back in positive territory. Gold is currently down 0.1% at $1724.40 and silver is 0.2% at $33.67/ozDJ30 +36.67 NASDAQ +12.51 SP500 +4.49 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1668/409 mln/708 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1995/165 mln/857

10:00 am : The Nasdaq has a nice leade over its counterparts this morning. Its effort has been helped by Apple (AAPL 501.01, +7.59), which has made concerted push past the psychologically significant $500 level for the first time in the stock's history.

Meanwhile, the Dow's gain stands at only about half of what the Nasdaq has achieved. It has been hampered by relative weakness in shares of McDonald's (MCD 99.41, -0.06) and IBM (IBM 192.50, +0.08). DJ30 +52.15 NASDAQ +23.67 SP500 +7.46 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1875/125 mln/380 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2475/75 mln/290

09:45 am : The major equity averages opened with solid gains, but the broad market has eased back some. Still, overall strength is broad based.

Financials are out in front this morning. The sector is currently sporting a 0.9% gain, which has been led by diversified financial services plays like Bank of America (BAC 8.26, +0.19). Insurance issues are also providing support. DJ30 +55.74 NASDAQ +22.27 SP500 +7.25 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec NA/NA/NA NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec NA/NA/NA

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +9.10. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +20.50. A pronounced drop in stock prices this past Friday pushed the S&P 500 into the red for the week after it had posted five consecutive weekly gains, but the broad market measure appears poised to start the new week on a strong note. Renewed buying interest stems from news that Greece's parliament has approved new austerity measures intended to convince eurozone officials that the flagging country is deserving of bailout funds. The headline comes after weeks of speculation and anticipation for such a feat. Although there remain concerns regarding the efficiency with which any sort of plan will be implemented, the implications of the announcement have made it a primary catalyst for early trade, especially since earnings reports are sparse and without broad consequence and there are no economic announcements on tap for today.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +8.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +20.00. Although sentiment is improved this morning, commodities aren't exactly catching a collective bid. Instead, the more commonly tracked natural resources are moving in mixed fashion. More specifically, crude oil prices have run up to $100.44 per barrel, which makes for a 1.8% gain, in the opening minutes of pit trade, but natural gas prices have tumbled 3.0% to $2.40 per MMBtu. Among precious metals, gold prices are flat at $1726 per ounce, while silver sports a 0.5% gain at $33.77 per ounce.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +9.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +21.50. The approval of austerity measures by Greece's parliament remains the top story of the morning. The news has brought about renewed buying interest both at home and abroad. Germany's DAX is presently up 0.9%. Commerzbank is a top performer there; the stock is boasting a gain of about 5%. Automakers have also made an impressive advance. France's CAC is currently up 0.5%. Veolia Environnement is a primary leader there. ArcelorMittal (MT 22.70, +0.50) is also providing support. Alcatel-Lucent (ALU 2.13, -0.06) has been a notable laggard. Britain's FTSE is boasting a 1.1% gain with help from financial plays like Lloyds Group (LYG 2.22, +0.09), Barclays (BCS 15.13, +0.32), and Standard Chartered. Materials plays like Anglo American, Xstrata, and Rio Tinto (RIO 61.08, +1.75) are also performing well.

Asia's major averages staged gains in overnight action. Specifically, Japan's Nikkei settled with a 0.6% gain. Shinsei Bank and Mizuho Financial (MFG 3.14, +0.00) were sources of strength. Softbank complemented their efforts. Participants in Japan generally shrugged off a disappointing reading on fourth quarter economic activity that showed a 0.6% decline in GDP. That comes after a 1.7% increase in the prior quarter. Hong Kong's Hang Seng scored a 0.5% gain. Ping An Insurance was a top performer there. Property plays were pressured, however. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite closed at the flat line. The country's Premier made not that economic policy could experience some adjustments in the first quarter.

Note: all ticker quotes reflect US premarket prices.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +10.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +22.00. Without any earnings reports of broad market consequence and no economic reports scheduled for today market participants have focused their attention on news that Greece's parliament approved new austerity measures that will go toward securing bailout funds that protect the flagging country against default. Although many pundits point out that there are still concerns related to the implementation of the plan, the news has inspired buying interest ahead of the open. The news helped many of Asia's major averages advance in overnight action and has Europe's major bourses up solidly. Meanwhile, the euro has made a modest advance against the greenback.

06:17 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +9.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +21.00.

06:17 am : Nikkei...8999.18...+52.00...+0.60%. Hang Seng...20887.40...+103.50...+0.50%.

06:17 am : FTSE...5912.88...+60.50...+1.00%. DAX...6747.90...+54.90...+0.80%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader, http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader and http://chart.ly/users/wrbtrader

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