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 Post subject: September 12th Monday 2011 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +43.00
PostPosted: Mon Sep 12, 2011 7:43 pm 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)

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click on the above image to view today's trading summary

Trade Performance for Today: +43.00 points or $4300.00 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, all trades were posted real-time in the free #FuturesTrades chat room. Today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs provides details (e.g. time, price, contract size) about each one of my trades from entry to exit along with price action commentary as the trade traversed...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=94&t=996.

To join our free chat room...registration instructions located at a different forum @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=630

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=180.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=143&t=1197

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Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED/ECB/IMF actions or any important global economic events that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables (key market events) causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that results in swing points and strong continuation price actions. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for my technical analysis. Just as important, these summaries becomes my archives to allow me to understand what was happening on any given trading day in the past...something I can not get from my broker statements alone.

U.S. Stocks Gain, Reversing Loss, on China Report

Sept. 12 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks advanced, erasing earlier losses, as speculation that China may invest in Italy triggered a rally that lifted the Dow Jones Industrial Average more than 200 points in the last 45 minutes of trading.

Stocks Rally On Hopes That China Will Buy Italy's Bonds

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By Hibah Yousuf September 12, 2011: 5:21 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Stocks finished a choppy session higher Monday, as investors who have been worried about a deepening European debt crisis pinned their hopes on a report that China is in talks with Italy to buy the cash-strapped country's debt.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) added 69 points, or 0.6%. Earlier, the blue chip index was down as much as 167 points.

The S&P 500 (SPX) rose 8 points, or 0.7%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite (COMP) gained 27 points, or 1.1%.

Stocks were mostly lower throughout Monday's volatile session, as investors struggled with a new wave of anxiety over the possibility that Greece will default on its debts.

Adding to the jitters, France's top banks could be facing a credit downgrade from ratings agency Moody's, according to Reuters. Traders expect a downgrade announcement could be issued at any moment as the 90-day window for a review comes to a close. The credit ratings agency issued the review on June 15.

But stocks gained some traction, turning modestly higher during the final hour of trading, after the Financial Times said China's government may make "significant purchases of Italian bonds and investments in strategic companies."

If China indeed comes to the rescue of debt-ridden Italy, "it would be a welcome sign of improving stability" in the ongoing European debt crisis, said Michael James, senior equity trader at Wedbush Morgan Securities.

Technology shares posted the best gains, boosted by a 50% surge in shares of Netlogic (NETL) after Broadcom (BRCM, Fortune 500) agreed to buy the semiconductor company for $3.7 billion.

Chipmaker Intel (INTC, Fortune 500) was the best performer on the Dow, with shares up almost 3%, while Micron Technology (MU, Fortune 500) and eBay (EBAY, Fortune 500) were among the biggest gainers in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

Stocks ended sharply lower Friday, as bad news out of Europe kept piling up. The sell-off triggered the sixth weekly decline in seven weeks for the Dow and S&P 500.

* Europe's debt crisis: 5 things you need to know

After the resignation of European Central Bank executive board member Jürgen Stark, investors grew increasingly concerned about a possible Greek default.

A default has yet to materialize, but investors are clearly on edge as contagion fears tighten their grip on European markets.

Those worries, along with concerns that the United States may slip back into a recession, have pushed stocks firmly into the red for the year. The Dow is down more than 4%, the S&P 500 is off almost 8% and the Nasdaq is nearly 6% lower.

World markets: European stocks ended in the red, but off the session's lowest levels. Britain's FTSE (UKX) 100 sank 1.6%, the DAX (DAX) in Germany fell 2.3% and France's CAC (CAC40) 40 dropped 3.7%.

* World markets plunge

Asian markets ended lower. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong (HSI) plunged 4.2% and Japan's Nikkei (N225) dropped 2.3%. Shanghai (SHCOMP) was closed for a market holiday.

Economy: President Obama made a new pitch for his $447 billion job creation act from the Rose Garden Monday, and will send the stimulus plan to Congress this evening.

Companies: Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) shares rose 1% after CEO Brian Moynihan said the bank plans to cut costs by 8% through 2014. The bank also confirmed that it expects to cut 30,000 jobs in the 'next few years' as it moves to refocus its banking business.

Other bank stocks also rose, with shares of Citigroup (C, Fortune 500), Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) up between 0.7% and 1%.

* Video - Bank of America's axe starts swinging

McGraw Hill (MHP, Fortune 500) agreed to split into two companies -- one focused on its education unit, and the other will combine Standard & Poor's, McGraw-Hill Financial and Business Information. Shares of McGraw-Hill rose nearly 4%.

Commodities and currencies: The dollar turned lower against the euro following the report suggesting that China may resuce Italy from its debt woes.

The greenback rose versus the British pound, but slipped against the Japanese yen.

Oil for October delivery rose 95 cents to settle at $88.19 a barrel.

Gold futures for December delivery fell $46.20 to $1,813.30 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury edged higher, pushing the yield down to 1.92%.

Image

Market Update

4:30 pm : The stock market settled with a solid gain after it had been down in excess of 1% amid heightened concerns about fiscal and financial conditions in Europe.

Speculation that a few of France's primary financial institutions -- Societe Generale, BNP Paribas, and Credit Agricole -- might be hit with a debt downgrade called into question the health of the country's financial system. Of course, such consideration comes in addition to the already precarious conditions in the eurozone periphery.

Amid fears of contagion, Europe's bourses were cut down and domestic markets opened with marked losses. A bout of buying interest took the major US averages upward in the early going, but the effort lost momentum when the Dow and S&P 500 attempted to turn positive. The Nasdaq was able to find higher ground with help from internet retailers and semiconductor stocks, which were bolstered by news that Broadcom (BRCM 33.07, -0.37) will acquire NetLogic (NETL 48.12, +16.21) for $50 per share, or a premium of more than 55% over its closing price last week.

A lack of positive leadership left stocks to drift lower in afternoon trade. Yet the rumor that a sovereign wealth fund from China was talking with Italy about a bond purchase prompted a broad-based bounce. Sellers attempted to reapply pressure in the final hour, but stocks were able to overcome the resistance. That squeezed out some sellers, giving the market's late rise added momentum.

Financials made one of the stronger moves. The sector settled with a 1.2% gain as bank stocks bounded to give the KBW Bank Index a 1.7% gain.

Materials made up the only major sector that failed to put together a gain. The sector's 0.8% loss was underpinned by weakness among metals and miners issues, which left the SPDR S&P Metals and Mining ETF (XME 54.99, -0.67) to log a loss in excess of 1%.

The late barrage of buying interest helped pull the Volatility Index back below 40 after it had been up more than 10% to trade above 43 at midday.

The dollar had a rather volatile day, though. It set a six-month high against a basket of competing currencies overnight, but drifted lower to start the trading day with a slight loss. The greenback eventually battled back, but ended the session near the flat line.

Treasuries had a rather quiet session until they ticked lower as stocks staged their late-session surge. Treasuries showed little response to the latest auction of 3-year Notes.

Advancing Sectors: Tech +1.3%, Financials +1.2%, Consumer Discretionary +1.2%, Utilities +0.9%, Telecom +0.7%, Energy +0.5%, Health Care +0.4%, Industrials +0.1%, Consumer Staples +0.1%
Declining Sectors: Materials -0.8%DJ30 +68.99 NASDAQ +27.10 NQ100 +1.3% R2K +0.9% SP400 +0.6% SP500 +8.04 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1418/1.98 bln/1162 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1440/1.09 bln/1576

3:35 pm : Wide spread weakness in other asset classes caused for some liquidation in the precious metals today. Despite continued concerns about a possible Greek default, as well as more rumors that Moody's is preparing to downgrade the three largest French banks, gold and silver prices traded steadily lower throughout the session. Gold prices shed 2.5% to settle at $1813 per ounce, while silver prices dropped 3.4% to end at $40.22 per ounce. Both metals have extended their respective sell-off in afterhours trade, with gold trading to fresh lows at $1804 and silver at $39.75.

Crude oil finished up 1.1% at $88.19 per barrel. Futures rallied in the face of concerns about the state of global indices and the resulting weakness in equity markets. After trading to highs at $88.95 in mid-morning trade, crude oil pulled back toward the $88 level where it closed. Natural gas finished lower by 0.7% at $3.89 per MMBtu.DJ30 -54.15 NASDAQ +0.68 SP500 -11.25 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1008/1.6 bln/1546 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 816/796.4 mln/2228

3:00 pm : The stock market recently rallied off of its low in response to headlines that suggested Italy is in talks with a sovereign wealth fund from China about the purchase of bonds. The knee-jerk buying effort has since given way to renewed selling pressure. That has the Dow and S&P 500 back to losses of about 1% while the Nasdaq tries to limit its move lower with help from semiconductor issues.DJ30 -125.37 NASDAQ -15.54 SP500 -12.80 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 985/1.33 bln/1570 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 690/640 mln/2300

2:30 pm : The broad market remains mired in negative territory with a loss of more than 1%. Of the major sectors, only utilities, consumer discretionary, and tech have managed to limit their losses to less than 1% (they are all down 0.8%). In contrast, aggressive selling continues to take materials stocks lower; as such, the sector is now down 2.5%.DJ30 -138.50 NASDAQ -20.21 SP500 -14.80 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 685/1.20 bln/1850 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 500/558 mln/2490

2:00 pm : Stocks are starting to rebound after setting new session lows. Leadership remains absent, however.

Oil prices have managed to extend their gains in afternoon trade. The energy component is currently up 0.7% to $87.85 per barrel. Futures prices had been down 1% ahead of pit trade.

The dollar has also managed to sustain a steady climb that has it up 0.5% against a basket of major foreign currencies. DJ30 -121.90 NASDAQ -12.55 SP500 -18.04 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 700/1.10 bln/1830 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 510/510 mln/2455

1:30 pm : A sudden flurry of selling has caused the Dow and S&P 500 to slide to new session lows. The Nasdaq has yet to confirm the move, though.

Meanwhile, the dollar has managed to make modest additions to its gains. It now leads a basket of major foreign currencies by 0.4%.

Treasuries still haven't won any support. In fact, the benchmark 10-year has shed a couple of more ticks in the wake of an underwhelming auction of 3-year Notes. DJ30 -123.10 NASDAQ -14.26 SP500 -12.37 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 945/1.00 bln/1560 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 685/465 mln/2255

1:00 pm : Stocks slashed losses in the opening minutes of trade, but they haven't been able to shake the hold of sellers. As such, the major market averages are all in the red.

Heightened concers about the quality of fiscal and financial conditions of Europe weighed heavily on trade this morning, just as it has in recent weeks, underpinning a trend that has taken the stock market lower in six of the past seven weeks. However, stocks staged an impressive upturn at the open.

Of the major averages, the Nasdaq pushed hardest toward positive territory. The Nasdaq's relative strength was helped by semiconductor stocks after Broadcom (BRCM 32.60, -0.84) announced it will acquire NetLogic (NETL 48.09, +16.18) for $50 per share, which represents a premium of more than 55% over the stock's closing price last week. Internet retailers Amazon.com (AMZN 212.40, +1.01) and eBay (EBAY 29.05, +0.59) also proved pivotal in the Nasdaq's climb.

Sellers redoubled their efforts before the broader market could put together anything more than an incremental gain. That caused both the S&P 500 and Dow to retrurn to their opening lows. Stocks have lacked direction ever since.

Although financials have been a primary source of weakness abroad and at home in recent weeks, the sector is trading in line with the rest of the market today. Specifically, financials are collectively down 0.6%. Regional lenders have generally provided support.

Meanwhile, pressure against materials plays has been especially pronounced. The sector is down 1.7%, which is more than double what the broader market has suffered so far. Metals and mining plays have been the primary culprits in the sector's slide.

Today's action has further stoked volatility, such that the VIX is now up almost 9% to about 42. Yet even though the "Fear Gauge" is up and stocks are generally weak, Treasuries really aren't getting any support. Rather, the benchmark 10-year Note has danced along the neutral line all session. Things could change with results from an auction of 3-year Notes -- they're due at any moment. DJ30 -104.33 NASDAQ -10.18 SP500 -10.29 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 855/920 mln/1630 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 605/430 mln/2335

12:30 pm : The dollar has extended its climb against a collection of competing currencies; it now leads them by 0.3%. Part of the latest leg higher is owed to a dip by the euro, which is now unchanged against the dollar at $1.360. Most of the greenback's gain has come against the yen, which is down 0.4% to 77.22 yen per dollar.DJ30 -115.49 NASDAQ -8.81 SP500 -10.11 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 930/815 mln/1545 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 655/380 mln/2255

12:00 pm : Stocks are struggling to set forth on a clear path. Their lack of direction has cut short the market's recent rebound effort.

Materials stocks are still this session's worst performers overall. The sector's 1.4% loss comes as metals and mining issues like Freeport-McMoRan (FCX 40.61, -1.38), Newmont Mining (NEM 63.28, -1.98), US Steel (X 26.70, -0.70) and AK Steel (AKS 8.01, -0.21) all fall in excess of 2%. Monsanto (MON 65.53, +0.52) is one of the few names in the materials space that has managed to tick higher; its gain comes in the wake of the latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates reprt. DJ30 -80.83 NASDAQ -0.59 SP500 -6.92 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1185/705 mln/1270 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 870/335 mln/2015

11:30 am : Stocks have started to rebound. The move has taken the Nasdaq out of the red and back into positive territory. Both the Dow and the S&P 500 still have a ways to go, though.

The Dollar Index is back into the green for a narrow gain after it had drifted down from the multi-month highs that it set in overnight action. Still, the dollar continues to trail the euro by about 0.3%. DJ30 -78.44 NASDAQ +0.84 SP500 -6.42 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 820/605 mln/1605 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 520/290 mln/2350

11:00 am : Stocks continue to retrace their morning climb. The major equity averages aren't quite back to their morning lows, however.

Sellers' efforts appear to be balanced more toward cyclical plays. In turn, materials stocks are down 1.6%, industrials are down 1.5%, and energy plays are down 1.3%. That said, consumer discretionary stocks have managed to limit losses to less than 1%. Names like Amazon.com (AMZN 213.74, +2.35) and eBay (EBAY 29.07, +0.61), both Internet retailers, have helped the sector remain resilient. DJ30 -115.57 NASDAQ -14.58 SP500 -11.81 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 830/500 mln/1545 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 570/240 mln/2275

10:30 am : A bout of selling pressure has caused the stock market to slip in recent trade. The effort has put the S&P 500 back into negative territory after it had mustered a narrow gain. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq is now at the neutral line. The Dow never managed to make a move out of the red and into the green.

Meanwhile, oil prices have swung higher since trading sharply lower ahead of pit trade. Futures prices were down in excess of 1% this morning, but are now up 0.4% to $87.55 per barrel. Natural gas futures prices were also down about 1% a couple of hours ago, but they have since cut that loss to 0.3% as the energy component trades at $3.90 per MMbtu.

As for action among precious metals, gold prices are still down at around $1840 per ounce for a 1.1% loss. Silver has managed to slash its loss just about in half so that it is now down 1.0% at $41.20 per ounce. DJ30 -69.59 NASDAQ -0.17 SP500 -5.61 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1295/345 mln/1030 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1035/178 mln/1730

10:00 am : The Nasda has rallied into positive territory for a solid gain. Semiconductor-related plays continue to provide it with support. However, the Nasdaq's counterparts continue are having a harder time making it to higher ground. To be fair, though, the S&P 500 is dancing along the neutral line, while the Dow is within relatively close reach of a gain.DJ30 -35.08 NASDAQ +8.57 SP500 -1.34 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 660/120 mln/1560 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 415/80 mln/2280

09:45 am : Stocks are making a nice move up from opening lows, but the major equity averages are still in negative territory with varied losses.

Semiconductor plays are making an early splash in the wake of news that Broadcom (BRCM 33.23, -0.21) will acquire NetLogic (NETL 47.90, +15.99) for a premium of about 55% over its closing price last week. Collective strength in the semiconductor space has not only given the Semiconductor HOLDRs ETF (SMH 28.76, +0.24) an enviable gain in the early going, but it has also helped the Nasdaq trim its loss more quickly that either of its counterparts.DJ30 -95.85 NASDAQ -7.58 SP500 -7.65 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 390/58 mln/1795 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 225/45 mln/2240

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -10.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -19.40. Stock futures have worked their way up from session lows, but the cash market is still expected to start the week with a loss of more than 1%. The extension of the stock market's downtrend -- it has already logged six weekly losses in nearly two months -- comes amid renewed worries about fiscal and financial conditions in Europe. While those concerns continue to hangover countries in the continent's periphery, France has come into closer focus amid speculation that three of the country's primary financial institutions could be subjected to a debt downgrade. That has sent France's CAC down more than 4% to its lowest level in almost 30 months. Even though sentiment in Europe remains sour, the euro has managed to muster a gain against the greenback. The dollar actually rallied against a basket of major foreign currencies to a new multi-month high in overnight action. Despite the dollar's downturn and an interest in paring risk, especially as it relates to equities, gold prices are down 1.1% to $1840 per ounce.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -11.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -20.80. An aggressive selling effort has chopped down the major market averages of Europe. In turn, the EuroStoxx 50 is down 3.0% to trade at its lowest level in almost 30 months. As has been the case in so many of Europe's retreats in recent weeks, the latest round of losses comes in response to worries about fiscal and financial conditions in the region. While most of that concern has centered on countries in the eurozone's periphery, France has come into focus most recently. Fear that the debt of a few of the country's financial institutions -- BNP Paribas, Societe Gernerale, and Credit Agricole -- may be about to be downgraded has sent the CAC 40 down to a 4.4% loss. Britain's FTSE 100 is off by 2.4%. Kingfisher and Inmarsat are currently the only two names in the Index that have managed to muster any kind of a gain. Germany's DAX is currently down 3.2% as all 30 of its components come under pressure. Commerzbank and Deutsche Bank (DB) are in the worst shape.

Overnight action in Asia left Japan's Nikkei to fall to a 2.3% loss. Olympus, Sharp, and Pioneer were among the weakest performers. Only a handful of names were able to stage gains; Sumitomo Osaka and Taiheiyo Cement topped that short list. Hong Kong's Hang Seng dove to a 4.2% loss. Few were spared from the selling effort there, too. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite was closed.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -16.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -29.50. Even though equities are under heavy pressure ahead of the open, gold isn't benefiting from any kind of a pursuit for safety. Instead, the precious metal is currently priced 1.0% lower at $1842 per ounce. As for silver prices, they are down 2.0% to $40.80 per ounce. Elsewhere in the commodity complex, oil futures prices are down 1.1% to $86.30 per barrel ahed of pit trade. Meanwhile, natural gas futures prices are down 1.0% to $3.88 per MMBtu.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -21.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -39.30. The stock market has already logged losses for six of the past seven weeks, but pronounced weakness among equity futures this morning suggests that the stock market is poised for a decidedly negative start to the new week. Pressure comes largely in response to heightened concers about the quality of fiscal and financial conditions of Europe, where many of the region's major have fallen precipitously. Failure by the Group of Seven to come up with a concerted plan intended to restore confidence and bolster economic activity hasn't helped sentiment. Despite the negative mood among market participants in recent weeks, some companies are showing a willingness to invest. For instance, Broadcom (BRCM) announced this morning that it will acquire NetLogic (NETL) for $50 per share, which is a premium of more than 55% over the stock's closing price last week. In other merger and acquisition activity, Global Industries (GLBL) has agreed to merge its business with Technip in a deal that values GLBL for $8 per share, or a premium of 55% over the stock's closing price from last week. There isn't any economic data on tap, but results from an auction of 3-year Notes are due at 1:00 PM ET.

06:45 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -17.40. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -29.50.

06:45 am : Nikkei...8535.67...-202.00...-2.30%. Hang Seng...19030.54...-836.10...-4.20%.

06:45 am : FTSE...5107.18...-107.50...-2.10%. DAX...5043.08...-146.90...-2.80%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

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