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 Post subject: September 6th Tuesday 2011 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +12.50
PostPosted: Wed Sep 07, 2011 12:19 am 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)

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click on the above image to view today's trading summary

Quote:
No trades for me on Monday Sept 6th because I wanted to enjoy the 3 day weekend because Monday was the U.S. Labor Day weekend. Thus, spent time with the family instead of watching the markets. As for today's trading session, very calm and smooth although there weren't many trade opportunities.

Trade Performance for Today: +12.50 points or $1250.00 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, all trades were posted real-time in the free #FuturesTrades chat room. Today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs provides details (e.g. time, price, contract size) about each one of my trades from entry to exit along with price action commentary as the trade traversed...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=94&t=991.

To join our free chat room...registration instructions located at a different forum @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=630

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=180.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=143&t=1197

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Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED/ECB/IMF actions or any important global economic events that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables (key market events) causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that results in swing points and strong continuation price actions. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for my technical analysis. Just as important, these summaries becomes my archives to allow me to understand what was happening on any given trading day in the past...something I can not get from my broker statements alone.

U.S. Stocks Drop on Europe Concern; S&P Pares Loss

Sept. 6 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks fell, giving the Standard & Poor's 500 Index its longest slump in almost a month, amid concern that Europe's debt crisis is worsening. Equities pared losses in the final 30 minutes of trading.

Stocks End Down for a third day

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By Ben Rooney September 6, 2011: 4:54 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The long weekend was not long enough for some investors on Wall Street.

U.S. stocks fell Tuesday, extending last week's losses, following a major selloff in Europe on Monday.

European markets ended mixed Tuesday after the Swiss National Bank moved to stabilize the nation's currency.

But the long-running debt crisis in Europe, which appears to be spreading from Greece to Italy and other vulnerable nations, continued to weigh on U.S. markets.

"Uncertainty surrounding the health of Europe's financial system continues, with no definitive news," said Jason Pride, director of investment strategy at Glenmede.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) fell 101 points, or 0.9%, to close 11,139. Earlier in the day, the blue-chip average sank over 300 points to trade below the 11,000 mark

The S&P 500 (SPX) fell 9 points, or 0.9%, to 1,165. The Nasdaq Composite (COMP) sank 6 points, or 0.2%, to 2,474.

U.S. financial markets were closed Monday for the Labor Day holiday. Last week, the major indexes all ended lower after sharp losses on Thursday and Friday.

Stocks fell on Friday after the U.S. government said the nation's employers added zero jobs to their payrolls in August. The report renewed fears that the United States may be headed into another recession.

* Risk of recession just got worse

"We've got troubles on both sides of the pond and it's hard for investors to get excited about stocks with so much uncertainty," said Art Hogan, managing director at Lazard Capital Markets.

Hogan said investors are looking for more clarity on how much it will cost to resolve the debt problems in Europe and stimulate economic growth in the United States.

President Obama will outline steps to boost hiring Thursday in a highly anticipated speech to Congress. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will discuss the nation's economic outlook on the same day at an event in Minnesota.

But many investors say political gridlock could get in the way of progress as lawmakers return from recess.

"The question is can they agree to get anything done," said Marc Pado, U.S. market strategist with Cantor Fitzgerald. "They have been so unwilling to budge, and it doesn't sound like things are moving in the right direction."

In the meantime, investors were flocking to assets that are seen as safe havens.

The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rose, pushing the yield down to 1.98% from 2% late Friday. Earlier, the yield fell to a record low level of 1.91% as prices rose.

Despite the bearish tone Tuesday, market analysts said shares of some companies are trading at bargain prices compared with potential earnings.

"This is really a stock pickers' market right now," said Anthony Conroy, head trader at BNY ConvergEx Group. "There are some tremendous opportunities to make long-term investments."

* Video - Harvard economist: 'We never left the recession'

Companies: Shares of major U.S. banks were among the weakest performers.

Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) fell 3.4% after reports surfaced that the bank could cut 30,000 workers over several years.

On Friday, the federal agency overseeing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac filed lawsuits against 17 financial institutions. The lawsuits cited Bank of America, Citigroup (C, Fortune 500), JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) and Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500); and were filed in an attempt to recover billions of dollars in losses from risky mortgage investments.

Several European banks were also named in the lawsuit, including Société Générale, Deutsche Bank (DB), HSBC (HBC), Credit Suisse (CS) and Barclays (BCS).

Shares of European banks have already been battered by concerns about their exposure to billions of dollars worth of sovereign debt.

"The financials are leading the way down," said Conroy. That's troubling, he added, because "you can't have a healthy economy without healthy financial institutions."

Beyond bank stocks, shares of Hewlett Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500) and General Electric (GE, Fortune 500) were also under pressure. But Pfizer (PFE, Fortune 500) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ, Fortune 500) managed to post modest gains.

Economy: The Institute for Supply Management's services report for August came in at 53.3, up from July's reading of 52.7 and well above economists' forecasts of 51. Any reading above 50 signifies expansion.

* Brace for profit forecasts to be reeled in

World markets: After a painful selloff on Monday, stocks in Europe closed mixed Tuesday.

The DAX (DAX) in Germany and France's CAC (CAC) 40 both lost 1%. But Britain's FTSE (FTSE) 100 rose 1%.

Asian markets also ended mixed. The Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) slipped 0.3% and Japan's Nikkei (N225) fell 2.2%, while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong (HSI) rose 0.5%.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar rose against the euro, British pound and the Japanese yen.

The dollar jumped 9% versus the Swiss franc following the announcement from the SNB.

Oil for October delivery tumbled 43 cents to close at $86.02 a barrel.

Gold prices surged to an intraday record earlier Tuesday of $1,923.70 an ounce. But the precious metal retreated later in the day, rising $1.50 to settle at $1,878.40 an ounce.

Image

Market Update

4:30 pm : Stocks may have logged their third straight loss, but they managed to fight back from losses of more than 2% to finish the day at session highs.

Traders returned to action from a long, holiday weekend ready to sell. Their effort was rooted in the notion that soured sentiment among Europe's major bourses, some of which descended deeper into bear market territory today, was a tacit sign of rekindled concerns over the region's economic, fiscal, and financial conditions.

Those concerns caused all three major equity averages to descend more than 2% in the opening minutes of trade. Stocks received temporary relief from the August ISM Service Index, which improved to 53.3 from 52.7 to exceed the 51.0 that had been broadly anticipated among economists polled by Briefing.com.

Sellers redoubled their efforts shortly after the ISM's release, taking stocks to session lows. Buyers waded back in from there, but their resolve was tested late in the afternoon as some moved to close their positions for fear of further volatility. Stocks ultimately resumed their climb into the close.

The Nasdaq was most successful at slashing its loss. Amazon.com (AMZN 216.05, +6.05) and Apple (AAPL 379.74, +5.69) were primary leaders for the Nasdaq. Although the Dow more than halved its loss, it lagged its counterparts as financial plays like Bank of America (BAC 6.99, -0.26) remained under pressure until the close.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 64.64, +0.57) and Pfizer (PFE 18.65, +0.19) offered the Dow some support. The pair also helped the overall health care sector swing to a 0.3% gain after it had been down more than 3% early on. Health care represented the only major sector to score a gain.

Advancing Sectors: Health Care +0.3%
Declining Sectors: Consumer Discretionary -0.4%, Consumer Staples -0.4%, Tech -0.5%, Utilities -0.6%, Materials -0.7%, Energy -1.1%, Telecom -1.1%, Industrials -1.2%, Financials -1.8% DJ30 -100.96 NASDAQ -6.50 NQ100 +0.00% R2K -0.4% SP400 -0.7% SP500 -8.73 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 886/1.74 bln/1681 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 814/1.12 bln/2213

3:30 pm : In overnight trade, gold futures rallied to a new all-time high of $1923.70 per ounce, aided by news that the Swiss National Bank pegged the franc to the euro, as well as concerns about the state of global economies. Support for futures faded from there, though. As such, Dec gold closed with a 0.1% loss at $1872.30 per ounce. Dec silver, which shed 1.2% to settle at $41.87 per ounce, did not partake in the initial flight to safety; futures traded in negative territory throughout the session and finished just above lows of $41.60 per ounce.

Oct crude oil rallied into the close for about two points, which helped recoup losses. Despite that rally, crude oil was unable to trade into positive territory and finished lower by 0.5% to $86.02 per barrel. Oct natural gas rallied for 1.8% to close at $3.94 per MMBtu. DJ30 -177.74 NASDAQ -27.70 SP500 -17.25 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 575/1.27 bln/1990 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 520/725 mln/2495

3:00 pm : Stocks have started to slip from their recovery highs. The downturn has taken all three major averages back to losses of at least 1%.

There really hasn't been any kind of key catalyst or headline to account for the pullback. Instead, it is most likely due to efforts by traders to close their positions so as to protect themselves from any kind of volatility or unforeseen event that may unfold after the market closes in an hour. DJ30 -173.20 NASDAQ -26.43 SP500 -16.45 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 750/1.18 bln/1800 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 655/680 mln/2340

2:30 pm : Stocks continue to pare their losses. The latest leg of the effort has taken stocks to fresh session highs. The Nasdaq's climb has been steeper than that of the Dow. As such, the Nasdaq's current loss is about one-quarter of what it had traded with at its session low, whereas the Dow's current loss is only a about half of what it was at its session low. The Nasdaq's relative strength stems from the likes of Apple (AAPL 376.87, +2.82) and Amazon.com (AMZN 214.40, +4.40).DJ30 -133.96 NASDAQ -14.28 SP500 -11.67 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 720/1.06 bln/1815 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 622/625 mln/2365

2:00 pm : Stocks are at their best levels of the day, but losses remain deep and broad. The weakness today, and in recent sessions, is largely underpinned by concerns about the financial and fiscal health and stability of the eurozone. That said, CNBC recently reported that a letter from Fed Chairman Bernanke noted that the Fed is closely monitoring developments in Europe. That isn't much of a surprise, though.DJ30 -162.68 NASDAQ -25.36 SP500 -15.87 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 580/975 mln/1945 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 495/575 mln/2490

1:30 pm : Stocks continue to climb slowly. The effort has taken the three major equity averages up from session lows, which were set mid-morning, when they were all down in excess of 2%.

Health care stocks have been healing more rapidly than the rest of the market. The sector was down 2.7% at its low today, but has since recovered to trade with a loss of only 0.5%, which is less than a third of what the broad market is still wrestling with. DJ30 -194.73 NASDAQ -36.97 SP500 -19.70 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 595/900 mln/1920 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 480/540 mln/2495

1:00 pm : Stocks are off of session lows, but widespread weakness still has the broad market headed toward its third straight sharp loss.

Soured sentiment in Europe has prompted participants to sell stocks aggressively again today. The effort marks an extension of the effort that took stocks lower this past Thursday and Friday (U.S. markets were closed on Monday in observance of Labor Day). As a result, the S&P 500 has already shed more than 5% in September. That comes on top of the near 6% decline suffered in August, which stands as the worst month for the market in more than a year.

Selling in recent sessions has been largely led by the financial sector, but today's effort has been broad based with energy (-2.9%), materials (-2.3%), industrials (-2.3%), financials (-2.1%), and tech (-1.9%) in the worst shape. Only health care has managed to limit its loss to less than 1%.

Today's data has been limited to a better-than-expected ISM Service Index for August. It came in at 53.3, which is up from the prior posting of 52.7 and greater than the 51.0 that had been expected, on average, among economists polled by Briefing.com.

Weakness among equities pushed up gold and Treasury prices this morning, but the pair has since pulled back. Gold prices were up in excess of 1% this morning, but now trade with a 0.2% gain at $1880 per ounce. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Note is still below 2.0%, but up a few basis points from the multi-decade low that it set earlier today.

The dollar has staged a steady rally, however. It is up 1.0% against a basket of competing currencies, even after the Swiss National Bank stated that it will target a fixed exchange rate for its franc at 1.20 euro and is ready to purchase unlimited quantities of foreign currencies. The euro is now down 0.6% to $1.398. DJ30 -210.06 NASDAQ -42.48 SP500 -21.28 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 550/830 mln/1955 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 420/500 mln/2550

12:30 pm : Unlike earlier rebound attempts, stocks haven't been backed down from their recent recovery highs. That has enabled stocks to sit at session highs. Overall losses remain steep, though.

Pressure this session has stocks on pace for their third straight loss. As things currently stand, each loss exceeds 1%, based on the S&P 500. In turn, the stock market is already down more than 5% in September. That comes on top of the 5.7% monthly loss suffered in August, which marked the poorest monthly performance in more than one year. DJ30 -204.91 NASDAQ -40.29 SP500 -20.94

12:00 pm : Stocks have paused after pulling up from session lows. The effort has the Dow up more than 80 points from its daily low. Despite that, the blue chip Index is still down more than 200 points.

All 30 members of the Dow are in the red, but Pfizer (PFE 18.42, -0.04) has done an impressive job of limiting its loss. Fellow health care play Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 63.56, -0.51) has also done a relatively solid job of resisting the selling efforts of today's participants. DJ30 -207.37 NASDAQ -41.20 SP500 -21.77

11:30 am : Stocks are working their way off of session lows. The effort has brought the major averages back in-line with their morning recovery highs, which are still deep in negative territory.

Financials have made some relatively strong moves in recent action. Although the sector is still down 2.2%, that's much better than what it had been suffering earlier, when it was down well in excess of 3%. DJ30 -203.36 NASDAQ -37.20 SP500 -21.90

11:00 am : Stocks started to trim their losses in the wake of a better-than-expected ISM Service Index for August, but the move failed to gain traction. As a result, sellers stepped back in to re-apply pressure, which took stocks down to new session lows.

Although losses are deep and broad, shares of European financial outfits Credit Suisse (CS 23.60, -3.78), UBS (UBS 12.18, -1.62), and Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS 6.86, -1.07) are in especially rough shape -- each is wrestling with a loss in excess of 10%.

Amid all of the selling, Blyth Industries (BTH 61.35, +8.28) has managed to stage an aggressive run higher. Its climb comes in the wake of its latest quarterly report, which included an increased forecast for fiscal 2012.DJ30 -248.24 NASDAQ -51.53 SP500 -26.77

10:35 am : The dollar index remains near session highs, which is currently at 75.75, which continues to add pressure on the commodity complex. At the top of the hour, positive ISM Manufacturing data gave the S&P 500 a boost and the CRB Commodity Index and modest jump higher. However, the CRB erased those gains.

Crude oil futures (WTI crude oil) have been in negative territory all session and fell as low as $83.29/barrel in overnight activity. Just ahead of the open of floor trading, crude fell back near that session low, but began an uptrend that put crude back above the $85 level. In current trade, the energy component is down 2.1% at $84.61/barrel. Meanwhile, brent crude oil is showing gains on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange, clearly widening the spread between WTI oil and Brent oil. Currently, brent crude is 1.5% higher at $111.78/barrel.

Natural gas began to gain steam about 30 minutes before floor trading began and rose to session highs of $3.93/MMBtu. In recent trade, nat gas pulled back near the unchanged line and is now up 0.10% at $3.88/MMBtu.

Gold rose to new all-time highs of $1923.70/oz during the overnight session and currently remains above the $1900 area. Silver, on the other hand, has been in the red and is now down 1.2% at $42.59/oz. Gold is currently up 1.4% at $1903.10/oz.DJ30 -294.18 NASDAQ -63.41 SP500 -32.89 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 325/404 mln/2125 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 202/278 mln/2703

10:05 am : The ISM Service Index for August was just posted. It came in at 53.3, which is up from the prior posting of 52.7 and greater than the 51.0 that had been expected, on average, among economists polled by Briefing.com.

The stronger-than-expected ISM reading has helped lift stocks up from their morning lows. Overall losses remain deep and broad, though. DJ30 -211.23 NASDAQ -39.69 SP500 -21.74

09:45 am : All three major equity averages are down in excess of 2%. To little surprise, then, weakness is widespread.

Industrials, financials, and energy stocks are in the worst shape. The three sectors are all contending with losses of at least 3%. Telecom, which is down 1.5%, represents the best performing sector this morning. DJ30 -264.02 NASDAQ -49.45 SP500 -28.37

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -30.60. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -39.00. Renewed weakness in Europe has stirred aggressive selling among domestic stocks, such that the broad equity market is expected to open with a loss of about 2%. Such pressure has stoked interest in traditional safe havens like gold, which is up roughly 1% this morning, and Treasuries, which have climbed sharp enough to send the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note to a multi-decade low well below 2.0%. The greenback has also garnered a bid, but most of its gain has come against the yen since the euro has been held near the neutral line by news that the Swiss National Bank has established a minimum target exchange rate of 1.20 euro for its franc and also conveyed its willingness to purchase foreign currencies in unlimited quantities.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -32.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -42.50. Oil prices have dropped a precipitous 3.0% to start pit trade at $83.85 per barrel. Natural gas prices have managed to push up to $3.90 per MMBtu for a 0.8% gain, though. Precious metals are also mixed this morning. Specifically, gold prices are up 1.1% to $1897 per ounce, but silver prices have fallen to $42.30 per ounce for a 1.8% loss. In all, weakness in the commodity complex has the CRB Commodity Index down 1.4% this morning.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -31.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -40.00. A commitment by Switzerland to set a minimum exchange rate target for its franc at 1.20 per euro and purchase foreign currency in unlimited quantities was met with a positive response in Europe, but pessimism has prevailed there. In turn, the EuroStoxx 50 has fallen to a 1.5% loss. That takes it to a two-year low and deeper into bear market territory so that it is now more than 30% beneath its 2011 high. Germany's DAX had been up earlier, but is now down 1.6%. Infineon Tech has been a heavy drag, offsetting strength in Fresenius Medical. France's CAC had been up markedly earlier, but is now off by 1.5% as financial issues like Credit Agricole and Societe Generale slump to losses of about 6% or more. Essilor International is the only name in the 40-member Index that has managed to hold on to a gain; it is up only fractionally. Britain's FTSE has managed to hold on to a narrow gain. Lloyds Group (LYG) and Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) have provided leadership, but Barclays (BCS) and Standard Chartered are under pressure. The region's latest dose of data featured a preliminary reading on second quarter Eurozone GDP, which increased by 0.2%, as it had in the first quarter.

Sharp losses among Europe's major bourses on Monday imbued overnight action in Asia, making for mixed results among the region's major equity averages. Among the more closely tracked, Japan's Nikkei retreated to a 2.2% loss. Advancing issues were very limited, although Kansai Electric, Chubu Electric, and Tokyo Electric put together strong gains. Hong Kong's Hang Seng had sunk more than 1%, but rallied to a 0.5% gain. Esprit was a top performer after it had tumbled in the previous two sessions. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite closed with a 0.3% loss. On Monday the HSBC PMI Services reading for China was released; it came in at 50.6, which is down from the 53.5 that had been posted for the prior month.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -30.60. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -40.50. Stocks had logged back-to-back losses before they entered the holiday weekend, but the break has done anything to cool selling interest. Premarket participants are applying sharp pressure to stocks in response to the steep losses suffered by Europe's major bourses on Monday. Stocks in Europe have rebounded today amid news that the Swiss National Bank set a minimum exchange rate target for its franc at 1.20 per euro and stands ready to buy foreign currencies at unlimited quantities. Still, there remain concerns about fiscal conditions in the regions peripheral countries, including Italy, where general strikes are taking place amid austerity plan discussions. As domestic averages encounter pressure ahead of the open, gold prices and bond prices are pushing higher. Specifically, gold prices are up 1.0% to $1895 per ounce while early interest in the 10-year Note has taken its yield down to 1.95%.

06:49 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -20.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -25.00.

06:49 am : Nikkei...8590.57...-193.90...-2.20%. Hang Seng...19710.50...+94.10...+0.50%.

06:49 am : FTSE...5177.10...+74.50...+1.50%. DAX...5292.28...+46.10...+0.90%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1.708.572.4885
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