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 Post subject: September 2nd Friday 2011 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +11.60
PostPosted: Sat Sep 03, 2011 8:11 am 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)

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click on the above image to view today's trading summary

Quote:
My toughest trading day of the year mainly due to poor trade management after entry on approximately 60% of my trades for today. Also, most of today's shown profits were eaten by commissions. Other than that, the trading day before the U.S./Canada Labor Day Holiday isn't usually an easy trading day. Thus, I had expected a problematic volatility today. I'll add the market day before Labor Day Holiday to my list as a day of no trades to spend more time with the family. Thus, make it a 4 day weekend instead of a 3 day weekend.

Trade Performance for Today: +11.60 points or $1160.00 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, all trades were posted real-time in the free #FuturesTrades chat room. Today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs provides details (e.g. time, price, contract size) about each one of my trades from entry to exit along with price action commentary as the trade traversed...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=94&t=989.

To join our free chat room...registration instructions located at a different forum @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=630

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=180.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=143&t=1197

-----------------------------

Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED/ECB/IMF actions or any important global economic events that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables (key market events) causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that results in swing points and strong continuation price actions. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for my technical analysis. Just as important, these summaries becomes my archives to allow me to understand what was happening on any given trading day in the past...something I can not get from my broker statements alone.

Stocks Drop As Jobs Report Wipes Out S&P 500 Weekly Gain

Sept. 2 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks slumped, wiping out the weekly gain for the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, as a government report showing employment stagnated last month stoked concern the world's largest economy may fall into a recession.

Stocks Erase Gains For The Week

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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

By Hibah Yousuf September 2, 2011: 4:29 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Stocks ended sharply lower Friday, erasing the week's gains, after a government report showing no job growth in August stoked fears that the U.S. may be headed into another recession.

All three indexes posted their worst one-day percentage loss in more than two weeks. Before Friday's session, the major indexes had been up between 2% and 3% for the week. But after the steep losses Friday, stocks ended the week little changed.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) finished down 253 points, or 2.2%, with financial stocks leading the sell-off. Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) fell 8%, and JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) shed more than 4%.

The selling was broad, with all of the 30 Dow issues firmly in the red. Just a handful of S&P 500 stocks showed gains, including Newmont Mining (NEM, Fortune 500) and Supervalu (SVU, Fortune 500).

The S&P 500 (SPX) lost 30 points, or 2.5%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (COMP) dropped 66 points, or 2.6%.

* With zero jobs, recession risk just got worse

Before the opening bell, the Labor Department said employers showed a net jobs change of zero last month -- meaning the U.S. overall neither gained or lost positions. That was the weakest reading since September 2010, when the economy lost 27,000 jobs. The last time the headline employment change number was zero was in February 1945.

A CNNMoney survey of 21 economists had forecast that the U.S. economy would add 75,000 jobs overall. The Labor Department reported that the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 9.1%, as expected.

August's weakness in the labor market was no surprise. The month started with Congress squabbling about the debt ceiling, Standard & Poor's downgrading the U.S. credit rating and the stock market swinging wildly.

* Video - Grandpa still works, kids can't find jobs

"This generally confirms what we already knew: August was a tough month," said Brad Sorensen, director of market and sector research with the Schwab Center for Financial Research. "The lack of job growth is modestly disappointing, but it doesn't change the overall picture."

Friday's bad news sent investors flocking to traditional safe havens, including gold and U.S. Treasuries. Concerns about the U.S. economy slipping back into a recession have been in the spotlight during the last several weeks.

* 'No confidence' sparks rush to safety

Gold prices jumped $47.80, or 2.6%, to settle at $1,876.90 an ounce, while the yield on the 10-year note slid closer to 2% -- a level it hasn't seen since mid-August. Oil prices, meanwhile, dropped 2.5% to settle at $86.45 a barrel.

Stocks ended Thursday's session solidly lower, as weakness in financial shares offset a stronger-than-expected manufacturing report that initially eased some investor jitters.

Economy: Sorenson said investors will keep a close eye on economic data leading up the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting in September.

"I think the bar for another round of quantitative easing, or something along those lines, is still fairly high," Sorensen said. "If we get more bad numbers, that could change the story. But at this point, I don't expect we'll see any new Fed action at the next meeting."

Investors will also tune into President Obama's economic address to a joint session of Congress on Sept. 8, which is expected to focus on his long-awaited jobs proposal.

Companies: Shares of H&R Block (HRB) plunged 12%, making it the worst performer on the S&P 500, after the tax-preparation company reported disappointing quarterly results after Thursday's closing bell.

Netflix (NFLX) shares sank almost 9%, after Starz said late Thursday that it has ended contract renewal negotiations. Starz will pull its movies and TV shows from Netflix early next year. Netflix was among the worst-performing stocks on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

* Video - Netflix loses Starz

Financial stocks were also under intense pressure following news reports, citing unnamed sources, that said the Federal Housing Authority was gearing up to file lawsuits against Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500), among others.

* Banks take it on the chin...again

On Thursday, the Federal Reserve sanctioned Goldman over questionable practices in one of its mortgage units. Shares of the bank fell 5%.

Liz Claiborne's (LIZ) stock jumped 9% after the cash-strapped apparel company said it agreed to sell its Mexx fashion brand to a joint venture with a private equity firm. The deal is expected to help Liz Claiborne trim its debt.

Shares of AstraZeneca (AZN) slipped 3.5% after the company said that its anti-cholesterol drug failed to stand out in a study that aimed to show it would be more effective than generic versions of rival Pfizer's Lipitor, which are due to hit shelves later this year.

World markets: European stocks took a dive Friday, following the U.S. jobs report. Britain's FTSE (FTSE) 100 fell 2.3%, the DAX (DAX) in Germany sank 3.4% and France's CAC (CAC) 40 fell 3.6%.

Asian markets ended the session ended lower. The Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) fell 1.1%, the Hang Seng in Hong Kong (HSI) dropped 1.8% and Japan's Nikkei (N225) tumbled 1.2%.

Currencies: The dollar rose against the euro, but fell versus the Japanese yen and the British pound.

Image

Market Update

4:25 pm : Aggressive selling on Friday extended a slide that started on Thursday. That effectively erased gains staged in the first half of the week, giving the stock market a fractional weekly loss.

An upward trend carried stocks higher at the start of the week. Buyers were encouraged by signs of improved sentiment in Europe, where news of consolidation in Greece's banking industry was regarded as a step toward stabilizing the country's banking system. Stocks even overcame an abysmal Consumer Confidence Index reading of 44.5 for August; it was the worst level for the Index since April 2009.

Stocks climbed in seven out of eight sessions for a cumulative gain of more than 8% before becoming winded on Thursday, when the stock market attempted to bounce in response to a better-than-expected August ISM Manufacturing Index reading of 50.6. The move failed to hold when the S&P 500 encountered resistance near the 1230 zone, which marks the 50% retracement level between the July high and August low. Some conceived that the better-than-expected ISM reading, though relatively neutral on its own, could stand as evidence against the case for further monetary policy.

Speculation about a third round of quantitative easing has been rampant, but minutes from the most recent FOMC meeting failed to make note of any such plans. Instead, only a mention of the Fed's intent to monitor conditions and take action, if determined necessary, was made.

Still, talk of further easing resurfaced again on Friday, when stocks slumped 2.5% -- their worst one-day percentage drop in two weeks -- in response to a disappointing monthly payrolls report. According to official data, no nonfarm payroll additions were made during August. That contrasted with the consensus call for an increase of 70,000. Even nonfarm private payrolls increased by a mere 17,000, which is far less than the 110,000 that had been generally expected among economists polled by Briefing.com.

Concern that the disappointing employment data reflected weakness in the broader economy sent oil prices 2.9% lower to $86.33 per barrel, but the want for safety bolstered buying among precious metals, such that gold prices spiked 2.6% to $1877.20 per ounce and silver prices surged 3.8% to $43.12 per ounce on Friday. Treasuries climbed sharply, too, such that the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note returned to 2.0%.

Financials suffered the worst fate during the back-to-back losses. The sector shed 2.4% on Thursday then surrendered another 4.0% on Friday. The latest leg of losses was exacerbated by news that a dozen banks are the target of federal accusations regarding mortgage securities misrepresentation.

There wasn't a great deal of share volume at week's end, but that's mostly because many trading desks were thinly staffed ahead of the three-day weekend -- U.S. markets are closed on Monday in observance of Labor Day. DJ30 -253.31 NASDAQ -65.71 NQ100 -2.3% R2K -3.6% SP400 -3.2% SP500 -30.45 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 380/1.57 bln/2186 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 443/975 mln/2595

3:30 pm : Weakness in the equity market on the back of a dour jobs report triggered a strong push for safety. That took gold prices 2.6% higher to $1877.20 per ounce and silver prices 3.8% higher to $43.12 per ounce.

Concern that the disappointing employment data reflected weakness in the broader economy sent oil prices 2.9% lower to $86.33 per barrel. Natural gas fell an even sharper 4.7% to $3.86 per MMBtu. DJ30 -251.83 NASDAQ -68.17 SP500 -30.67 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 332/1.15 bln/2209 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 394/614 mln/2162

3:00 pm : Stocks enter the final hour of trade at session lows. The selling effort, which has added considerably to the loss suffered in the prior session, has completely erased the gains that were staged on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.

Today's selling has certainly been broad based and aggressive, but there hasn't been a great deal of share volume behind the move. In fact, hardly a half billion shares have traded hands on the NYSE today. The lack of share volume typically makes for more dramatic swings in stock prices since each individual trade takes on greater relative weight. Today's anemic volume is mostly because trading desks are thin ahead of the long, holiday weekend -- U.S. markets are closed on Monday in observance of Labor Day. DJ30 -263.90 NASDAQ -73.35 SP500 -32.12 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 325/1.05 bln/2205 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 400/560 mln/2605

2:30 pm : Stocks have slowly descended even deeper into negative territory. That has left all three major equity averages to trade at session lows. Meanwhile, Treasuries have climbed to session highs. That's taken the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note down to 2.02%, which marks its lowest level in about two weeks.DJ30 -235.79 NASDAQ -64.59 SP500 -29.30 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 390/918 mln/2135 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 425/492 mln/2555

2:00 pm : The stock market is sitting at an afternoon low with a 2% loss. The weakness comes amid a broad, aggressive sell-off in the wake of a disappointing jobs report, which has been regarded by many as a reflection of the broader economy's weakness. While signs of a strained economy will often weigh on stocks, some believe that dour data could prompt the Fed to introduce further monetary stimulus. Of course, skeptics question whether the Fed even has any more policy tools that could drive growth, given that it has already supplied two rounds of quantitative easing in the wake of the financial crisis.DJ30 -198.51 NASDAQ -57.15 SP500 -25.57 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 405/842 mln/2100 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 425/455 mln/2545

1:30 pm : Stocks have slipped below their recent trading range. The move has taken the Nasdaq back to its morning low. Neither the Dow nor the S&P 500 have confirmed that move, though.

Financials have deteriorated further amid the market's downturn. The sector now trades with a 3.3% loss, which is still worse than what any other sector has suffered. Among financials, Bank of America (BAC 7.34, -0.57) has suffered one of the worst percentage losses, and is also among the most actively traded names this session. DJ30 -206.25 NASDAQ -53.21 SP500 -24.53 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 750/775 mln/2040 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 455/415 mln/2505

1:00 pm : Stocks are off of their session lows, but still down sharply in the wake of a disappointing monthly payrolls report.

The tone of trade ahead of the open had already been weakened in response to further selling in Europe and news that a dozen banks are the target of federal accusations regarding mortgage securities misrepresentation. Sentiment soured further with news that there was no change to August nonfarm payrolls, which were widely expected to increase by 70,000. Nonfarm private payrolls increased by only 17,000, which is far less than the 110,000 that had been generally expected.

Aggressive selling at the open quickly dropped the stock market by more than 2%. Stocks have worked their way up from those depths, but overall losses remain steep as stocks drift sideways deep in negative territory.

Financials are in the worst shape today. The sector's overall loss of 3% is largely owed to the dumping of bank stocks in response to the mortgage securities accusations. Bank stocks are collectively down 3.5%, according to the KBW Bank Index.

In contrast, telecom (-0.2%), utilities (-0.7%), and consumer staples (-0.7%), all defensive in nature, are the only sectors that have managed to limit their losses to less than 1%.

Precious metals have also performed well in response to the stock market's slump. Specifically, gold prices are up 2.6% to $1877 per ounce while silver prices sport a 3.6% gain at $43 per ounce. DJ30 -181.41 NASDAQ -44.87 SP500 -21.47 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 470/720 mln/1995 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 470/390 mln/2475

12:30 pm : Stocks have spent the past hour trading in a relatively narrow range. The drift comes as action slows in the wake of a disappointing monthly payrolls report, which was met with aggressive selling this morning.

Amid the market's steady drift through negative territory, Treasuries and precious metals are performing well. DJ30 -186.56 NASDAQ -43.04 SP500 -21.37 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 495/655 mln/1960 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 480/360 mln/2440

12:00 pm : Stocks have struggled to extend their climb from session lows yet again. The action has left the major market averages to drift along with deep losses.

Overall action seems to have slowed since this morning. The reduced pace of trade comes as market participants prepare for a three-day weekend -- U.S. markets will be closed on Monday in observance of Labor Day. That has plenty of traders taking off early for vacation time, effectively reducing share volume. DJ30 -177.32 NASDAQ -40.65 SP500 -20.78 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 535/586 mln/1902 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 443/320 mln/2465

11:30 am : Stocks have worked their way off of session lows again, but the major equity averages continue to trade with relatively steep losses.

Defensive-oriented plays have done the best job of cutting or limiting their losses. Generally, consumer staples stocks, utilities stocks, and telecom stocks are all down by less than 1%.

Defensive issues were also the best overall performers during August, which ushered in the stock market's worst monthly performance in more than a year. In fact, only utilities scored any kind of a monthly gain during August; they advanced 1.7% for the month. DJ30 -175.96 NASDAQ -39.51 SP500 -20.53 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 440/500 mln/1965 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 375/280 mln/2515

11:00 am : Stocks failed to sustain a recent move off of their lows. As a result, they have drifted back toward the depths that were set in the opening minutes of trade.

For the second straight session financials are in the worst shape of any major sector. Weakness across shares of regional banks, diversified banks and financial services players, investment banks and brokerages, and even insurers has the sector down 2.9%. Sentiment in the sector has only been further weakened by news that a dozen banks are the target of federal accusations regarding mortgage securities misrepresentation. DJ30 -209.62 NASDAQ -45.38 SP500 -23.38 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 340/380 mln/2035 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 300/220 mln/2560

10:35 am : The dollar index remains in positive territory, which has created some selling pressure on commodities this morning. In sum, energy markets are in the red, metals and agriculture are mixed (Metals: Gold, silver, aluminum higher, Copper lower; Agriculture: Grains higher, soft commodities mostly lower).

Crude oil futures have been in the red all session and hit new session lows of $85.37/barrel less than an hour ago. In current trade, crude is 3.2% lower at $86.14/barrel.

Natural gas has been in the red all morning as well. It fell below the $4.00/MMBtu level earlier just briefly (hitting a session low of $3.98), but is now down 0.9% at $4.01/MMBtu.

Precious metals have been on a steady uptrend today and are the best performers in the commodity complex. Gold rose as high as $1884.00/oz and is currently up 2.7% at $1878.00/oz. Silver hit session highs of $43.22/oz and is now 3.6% higher at $43.02/oz.

Grain pits just opened and soybeans are up 0.4% at $14.41/bu, corn futures are currently 0.7% higher at $7.44, wheat is up 1.2 at $7.70/bu.DJ30 -210.09 NASDAQ -42.72 SP500 -23.04 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 353/351 mln/2016 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 308/207 mln/2547

10:00 am : Stocks have stabilized since slumping at the open, but losses remain steep and broad. Widespread weakness this morning has stoked Treasuries so that the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note is back near 2.0%. Just last week the Note's yield was around 2.3%.DJ30 -217.89 NASDAQ -44.96 SP500 -23.66 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 210/105 mln/2050 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 150/83 mln/2600

09:45 am : The major market averages are down 2% or more this morning. Their deep retreat into the red has come amid some rather aggressive sellng in the wake of a disappointing monthly jobs report, which showed that there was no increase to nonfarm payrolls during August.

Few stocks have been spared by this morning's sell-off. Of the major sectors, only consumer staples have collectively limited their losses to less than 1%. That said, Campbell Soup (CPB 32.08, +0.22) is the only stock in the sector that has managed to put together an actual gain. Its move higher comes in response to a better-than-expected earnings report. DJ30 -221.67 NASDAQ -51.68 SP500 -25.33

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -20.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -31.00. A dour jobs report has dragged down stock futures, such that the cash market is expected to open with a loss well in excess of 1%. That would mark an extension of the prior session's slide, which actually snapped the stock market's four-session streak of gains. Weakness among stocks and a poor picture of the job market, and broader economy by extension, have bolstered buying interest in precious metals. That has gold prices up almost 3% to nearly $1880 per ounce and silver prices up more than 3% to more than $42 per ounce.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -19.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -30.20. Weakness among equities has propelled precious metals prices higher. Specifically, gold prices now boast a 2.8% gain at $1880 per ounce, which is only a few dollars shy of the morning high that it set only minutes ago. Meanwhile, silver prices now sport a 3.8% gain at $43.11 per ounce. Crude oil prices have turned sharply lower. They were down roughly 1% about an hour ago, but have dropped to $86.15 per barrel for a 3.1% loss in the first few minutes of pit trade. Natural gas prices were last quoted with a 0.6% loss at $4.02 per MMBtu.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -21.40. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -32.00. Stock futures have slid lower in response to a disappointing jobs report, but Treasuries have ticked higher. According to official data, nonfarm payrolls for August showed no change. That contrasts with the Briefing.com consensus call for 70,000 new jobs. Moreover, nonfarm private payrolls increased during in August by only 17,000, which is far less than the 110,000 that had been expected, on average, among economists polled by Briefing.com. The headline unemployment rate remained at 9.1%, as had been expected.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -11.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -18.00. Follow through selling, weakness abroad, and caution ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report at 8:30 AM ET has weighed down stock futures this morning. Sentiment has also been tested by reports indicating that a bundle of banks are likely to be sued by a federal agency over matters related to mortgages. It was already learned yesterday afternoon that Goldman Sachs (GS) is the target of a formal enforcement action regarding residential mortgage loan servicing and foreclosure processing. Although premarket trade has pressured stock futures, Treasuries haven't attracted any kind of a bid. That has left the benchmark 10-year Note to drift a couple of ticks lower. Meanwhile, the dollar is down fractionally against a basket of major foreign currencies. In the commodity complex, gold prices are up 1.8% to $1863 per ounce and silver prices are up 2.5% to $42.57 per ounce. Oil prices are down 1.1% to $88.00 per barrel ahead of pit trade.

06:52 am : Nikkei...8950.74...-110.10...-1.20%. Hang Seng...20212.91...-372.40...-1.80%.

06:52 am : FTSE...5310.70...-108.00...-2.00%. DAX...5571.13...-159.50...-2.80%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1.708.572.4885
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