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 Post subject: August 26th Friday 2011 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +39.70
PostPosted: Fri Aug 26, 2011 8:56 pm 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)

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click on the above image to view today's trading summary

Trade Performance for Today: +39.70 points or $3970.00 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, all trades were posted real-time in the free #FuturesTrades chat room. Today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs provides details (e.g. time, price, contract size) about each one of my trades from entry to exit along with price action commentary as the trade traversed...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=93&t=982.

To join our free chat room...registration instructions located at a different forum @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=630

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=180.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=142&t=1168

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Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED/ECB/IMF actions or any important global economic events that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables (key market events) causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that results in swing points and strong continuation price actions. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for my technical analysis. Just as important, these summaries becomes my archives to allow me to understand what was happening on any given trading day in the past...something I can not get from my broker statements alone.

Stocks Rise As Bernanke Signals Economy Doesn't Need Aid

Aug. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks rallied, breaking a four-week losing streak for the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke indicated the economy isn't deteriorating fast enough to warrant any immediate stimulus amid valuations close to the lowest in 2 1/2 years.

Stocks Break Four-Week Losing Streak

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By Ken Sweet, contributing writer August 26, 2011: 4:53 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Stocks saw a Ben Bernanke-fueled rally Friday, even though the Fed Chief warned that the economy continues to remain weak in the short term.

Bernanke did not lay out or allude to any new plans to introduce more stimulus measures, but investors said they believe the Fed is in "wait and see" mode.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) rose 135 points, or 1.2%, to close at 11,285. The index had been down more than 200 points earlier in the day.

The S&P 500 (SPX) added 18 points, or 1.5%, to 1,180 and the Nasdaq Composite (COMP) gained 60 points, or 2.5%.

Tech stocks led the way. Dow members Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500) and Intel (INTC, Fortune 500) were up more than 2%, while the S&P 500 was led higher by shares of Electronic Arts (ERTS), Dell (DELL, Fortune 500) and Nvidia (NVDA).

It was a solid week for Wall Street, with the Dow and the S&P gaining more than 4%, and the Nasdaq climbing 5.7%. It ends what had been a four-week losing streak for stocks.

In his Friday morning speech, Bernanke made no reference to the Fed introducing additional measures to boost economic growth, noting that such moves may have to come from bodies outside of the Fed's control, like Congress.

* Bernanke pledges support

The only notable action that Bernanke took was announcing the Fed would expand its September meeting from one day to two days. Investors took that as a sign that the central bankers need more clarity about the economy's actual condition and nothing -- including another round of quantitative easing -- was off the table.

"It looks like they're open to doing QE3, but they're going to wait for more data before taking action," said Quincy Krosby, market strategist with Prudential Financial. "It's only been a few weeks that the recent economic data has been bad."

Anticipation had been high going into the speech. At last year's meeting, Bernanke prepared the market for QE2 -- or quantitative easing, the second round of Fed bond buying that is widely credited for supporting stocks earlier this year.

[urlnew=* How to invest in a scary economy]* How to invest in a scary economy[/urlnew]

Meanwhile, as Hurricane Irene makes its way up the East Coast toward New York City, exchanges are prepared to resume trading as usual Monday.

"We have contingency plans in place for such events, with the goal of having the market up and running while ensuring the safety of our people," said a spokesman from NYSE Euronext, the parent of the New York Stock Exchange.

New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg announced a mandatory evacuation of some parts of the city, effective Saturday. NYC subways, trains and buses will also be shut down this weekend.

The NYSE was closed for a day in September 1985, when the eye of Hurricane Gloria hit western Long Island, New York.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rose slightly, pushing the the yield down to 2.20% from 2.22% late Thursday.

Economy: The Commerce Department said the U.S. economy grew at a revised annual rate of 1% during the second quarter, down from a previously reported 1.3%.

The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey came in slightly better than expected at a reading of 55.7, up from the multi-year low of 54.9 reported two weeks ago.

Companies: Tiffany's (TIF) stock jumped 9%, after the luxury jeweler posted higher-than-expected earnings and sales for the second quarter.

Insurance stocks such as Allstate Corp., (ALL, Fortune 500) Travelers Cos (TRV, Fortune 500)., MetLife (MET, Fortune 500) and Chubb Corp. (CB, Fortune 500) were mixed as the East Coast braced for Hurricane Irene.

* Video - Insurers brace for stormy sell-off

Shares of Pandora (P) climbed 7%, as second-quarter revenue spiked 117% to $67 million -- beating analysts' forecast for $61 million. But the online radio company's stock is off almost 17% from where it debuted in June.

Halliburton (HAL, Fortune 500) is on a hiring spree this year. The company is planning to create as many 15,000 jobs globally, including 11,000 in North America, according to a statement released late Thursday. Shares rose 4%.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar fell against the euro, the Japanese yen and the British pound.

Oil for October delivery rose 13 cents to $85.42 a barrel.

Gold futures for December delivery jumped $34.10 to $1,822.60 an ounce.

World markets: European stocks closed lower on Friday. Britain's FTSE (FTSE) 100 fell less than 0.1%, the DAX (DAX) in Germany dropped 0.8% and France's CAC (CAC) 40 lost 1%.

Asian markets ended the session mixed. The Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) edged 0.1% lower and the Hang Seng in Hong Kong (HSI) shed 0.9%, while Japan's Nikkei (N225) added 0.3%.

Image

Market Update

4:30 pm : The stock market slid to a 2% loss in response to some disappointing GDP data and an absence of encouraging comments from Fed Chairman Bernanke, but the market has since rallied back to a gain of more than 1%.

Early traded was imbued by deteriorating sentiment in Europe, where many of the region's major bourses succumbed to sharp pressure before paring losses into their close. Selling interest increased with the release of the revised GDP data, which indicated that the U.S. economy expanded at a 1.0% pace during the second quarter. Economists polled by Briefing.com pegged second quarter growth at 1.1% after the preliminary report had suggested that the economy grew by 1.3%.

Selling pressure intensified in the opening minutes of trade, but session lows weren't set until shortly after Fed Chairman Bernanke issued a statement from Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where members of the Fed recently wrapped up their latest meeting. Bernanke noted again that the economic recovery has been less robust than what had been hoped, but restated that the FOMC is prepared to employ tools as needed. The benefits and costs of additional stimulus were also discussed, but at this time the Fed appears to have no plans of making any changes to monetary policy.

Once stocks stabilized from the knee-jerk selling, a flurry of buying took stocks into positive territory. The stock market's ascent into afternoon trade was interrupted only by a few pauses. Stocks then spent the final few hours of the day drifting sideways near their daily highs.

Today's advance gave the stock market its fourth gain of the week, including an incremental advance of less than 0.1% on Monday. As a result, the S&P 500 scored a weekly gain of 4.7%, which was the stock market's first weekly advance in five weeks and its best weekly performance since a 5.6% weekly gain almost two months ago.

Tech stocks were primary drivers of today's advance. The sector's 2.3% advance was led by large-cap issues like Apple (AAPL 383.58, +9.86), which rallied to fully offset the loss that it suffered yesterday in response to news that the company's heralded CEO, Steve Jobs, plans to resign.

Although they lack the weight to be legitimate leaders, consumer discretionary stocks collectively climbed 2.1% in an impressive performance. Tiffany & Co. (TIF 69.01, +5.90) was a leader following its upside earnings surprise and strong forecast.

Amid the market's volatility in recent weeks, the relatively stable businesses and high dividend yields currently offered by utilities stocks and telecom stocks had made them favorites among investors, but the two sectors fell out of favor in the latest round of action. Utilities actually slipped to a 0.1% loss while telecom plays posted a mere gain of 0.2%.

That said, gold, which is widely considered the ultra safe haven, garnered strong buying interest. The precious metal climbed 2.0% during pit trade to about $1797 per ounce. It extended that move to more than $1812 per ounce in electronic trade.

Advancing Sectors: Tech +2.3%, Consumer Discretionary +2.1%, Materials +2.1%, Industrials +1.9%, Energy +1.7%, Health Care +1.2%, Financials +1.0%, Consumer Staples +0.8%, Telecom +0.2%
Declining Sectors: Utilities -0.1%DJ30 +134.72 NASDAQ +60.22 NQ100 +2.6% R2K +2.6%% SP400 +2.7%% SP500 +17.53 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2013/1.85 bln/548 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2532/1.12 bln/503

3:30 pm : The release of Chairman Bernanke's commentary for the Jackson Hole symposium caused quite a bit of volatility in commodities as the markets attempted to read into what his remarks mean. Dec gold, which finished higher by 2% to $1797.30 per ounce, saw swings of around 25 points immediately following the release. Eventually, however, futures were able to stabilize and began trending higher. They traded to their best levels of pit trade heading into the close, and have since extended their rally in after hours trade, notching fresh highs at $1812.60. Sept silver, which ended up 0.6% to $40.95 per ounce, experienced the same sharp swings as gold. It managed to end with modest gains after trading back and forth between positive and negative territory.

Oct crude oil finished higher by 0.1% to $85.37 per barrel. Futures sold off on the heels of the release of the Chairman's commentary, dropping to lows at $82.95. They were able to rebound off those lows to recoup losses in mid-morning trade and spent the remainder of the session chopping around the flat line. Sept natural gas ended near flat, as well, at $3.94 per MMBtu.DJ30 +85.94 NASDAQ +47.4 SP500 +12.75 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1865/1.5 bln/673 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2374/793.8 mln/677

3:00 pm : Although they recently slipped a bit, stocks have basically spent the past couple of hours drifting along in a relatively narrow range. With the final hour at hand, though, market watchers are wondering whether or not stocks will lean one way or another into the close, as they have in the past few sessions. Whichever way they go, stocks are currently sitting on a weekly gain of almost 5%. That would mark the first weekly advance for the S&P 500 in five weeks.DJ30 +106.64 NASDAQ +55.49 SP500 +14.91 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1950/1.36 bln/570 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2470/710 mln/535

2:30 pm : Stocks have drifted off of their afternoon highs, but continue to trade with broad, strong gains.

Action has slowed considerably since this morning. By 10:00 AM ET market participants had been dealt [downward] second quarter GDP revisions, the final Consumer Sentiment Survey for August from the University of Michigan, and the latest take on the economy and monetary policy tools from the Fed. Since then, there really haven't been any major announcements capable of making stocks swing in one direction or the other. DJ30 +108.26 NASDAQ +53.66 SP500 +14.60 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1978/1.25 bln/530 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2490/655 mln/500

2:00 pm : The S&P 500 recently tested the top end of its trading range, around 1180, but hasn't been able to generate the momentum necessary to move another leg higher.

Although tech stocks have been a primary source of support this session, consumer discretionary stocks are faring quite well, too. As a group, consumer discretionary stocks are up 2.6%, which makes them the best performing bunch today. Tiffany & Co. (TIF 69.22, +6.11) has been a leader among discretionary plays, thanks to an upside earnings surprise and an impressive forecast. Shares of TIF now trade near a three-week high.DJ30 +152.73 NASDAQ +62.01 SP500 +19.79 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1940/1.15 bln/550 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2500/600 mln/480

1:30 pm : The stock market continues to drift along its session high. Stocks have been range bound for about an hour. Despite the steady, heady gains displayed by equities, Treasuries have performed well all session. In fact, buying interest has kept the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note near or below 2.20% for virtually the entire session. That's basically the midpoint of the yield's range this week.DJ30 +153.30 NASDAQ +56.73 SP500 +18.55 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1895/1.07 bln/565 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2434/555 mln/516

1:00 pm : The stock market slid to a 2% loss in response to some disappointing GDP data and an absence of encouraging comments from Fed Chairman Bernanke, but the market has since rallied back to a gain of more than 1%.

News ahead of the open that second quarter GDP was revised downward to reflect growth of 1.0%, which is less than the 1.1% growth that had been broadly anticipated, was met with moderate selling pressure. The reaction was somewhat contained because many traders were careful to avoid making big bets before Fed Chairman Bernanke's update on the economy and any potential plans for policy tools.

Interest in the latest statement from the Fed also led participants to look past the final August Consumer Sentiment Survey, which was nudged down to 55.7 from 55.8.

To little surprise, the hurry of traders to assess Bernanke's comments caused stocks to whipsaw in the minutes that immediately surrounded the release of the statement. Bernanke brought no real surprise to the fold. He acknowledged again that the economic recovery has been less robust than what had been hoped, but restated that the FOMC is prepared to employ tools as needed. Bernanke also made note that the benefits and costs of additional stimulus were discussed and will be revisited again in September.

Not long after those comments were digested, stocks began to bounce. Tech stocks, which collectively represent the largest sector by weight, have been a primary source of leadership. The sector's 2.0% gain has the Nasdaq out in front of its counterparts, and on pace for a 5.5% weekly gain, which also exceeds the broad market's week-to-date gain of 4.7%. As an aside, the stock market hasn't staged a weekly gain in more than a month.

Defensive-oriented issues were often strong performers in recent sessions, but they have fallen out of favor today. In turn, utilities stocks and telecom stocks are up only 0.2% this afternoon. A favor for relatively riskier plays has even helped shares of insurers stage gains, despite the threat that Hurricane Irene will whip the East Coast. DJ30 +126.47 NASDAQ +48.98 SP500 +14.94 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1880/1.02 bln/555 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2430/525 mln/505

12:30 pm : Stocks have paused to take a breather just below their session highs. At its current level, the S&P 500 is on pace for a weekly gain of almost 5%. Not only would that make for the stock market's first weekly gain in more than a month, it wold be the stock market's best weekly showing since a 5.6% surge for the week ended July 1.DJ30 +156.02 NASDAQ +58.56 SP500 +19.10 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1860/915 mln/555 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2450/475 mln/475

12:00 pm : Gold prices were down modestly this morning, but made an upward push as the stock market slid to a rather steep mid-morning loss. Although stocks have rebounded sharply (from a 2% loss to a 1% gain), gold prices have managed to push higher so that the precious metal now sports a 1.1% gain at $1782 per ounce. Despite the bounce by the equity market and the price of gold bullion, the SPDR Gold Trust Exchange Traded Fund (GLD 173.20, +0.84) is up a relatively tame 0.5%.DJ30 +130.40 NASDAQ +49.00 SP500 +14.08 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1679/785 mln/690 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2070/409 mln/800

11:30 am : Stocks have resumed their upward trend. The effort has the major equity averages at fresh session highs.

Although it lagged the Dow and S&P 500 in each of the past couple of sessions, the Nasdaq is outperforming its counterparts today. That's mostly due to renewed strength in large-cap tech names. Oracle (ORCL 26.50, +0.60), Microsoft (MSFT 25.13, +0.56), and Intel (INTC 1980, +0.38) are all up about 2% or more. DJ30 +53.66 NASDAQ +37.18 SP500 +8.06 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1708/675 mln/635 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2115/355 mln/735

11:00 am : Stocks have rallied back from their morning slide, but a loss of momentum has left stocks to drift down from their recent highs.

Tech stocks have emerged as leaders today. Despite their recent dip, tech stocks continue to collectively sport a 1.0% gain. Shares of Apple (AAPL 378.94, +5.22) have been integral in the sector's move. Thanks to its climb today, the stock has now fully offset the prior session's loss, which came in response to news that the company's heralded CEO, Steve Jobs, plans to resign from the company. DJ30 -12.49 NASDAQ +20.64 SP500 -0.25 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1115/468 mln/1150 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1020/260 mln/1750

10:35 am : Commodities sold off at the top of the hour, while the dollar index spiked, as comments from Bernanke's speech hit the newswires. Also, at the top of the hour, August Michigan sentiment was released at 55.7, just below the Briefing.com consensus of 55.8.

Crude oil futures sold-off as well at the top of the hour and fell to new session lows of $83.01/barrel. However, it bounced from there and pushed through the $84 level, but is still down 1.4% at $84.05/barrel. Natural gas futures followed a similar pattern and are now 0.5% lower at $3.89/MMBtu

Gold began to sell off just ahead of 10:00am EST and extended losses at the top of the hour. Gold quickly recovered those losses and came near to hitting the $1800 level. Silver followed gold earlier on the sell-off and fell to new session lows of $40.12/oz, but also erased those losses rather quickly. In current trade, gold is up 1.7% at $1791.10/oz, while silver is up 0.3% at $40.84/oz.DJ30 -85.52 NASDAQ +12.29 SP500 -5.40 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1256/428 mln/996 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1202/241 mln/1552

10:05 am : Stocks didn't really react to the final consumer sentiment reading from the University of Michigan, partly because the Survey barely budged to 55.7 from 55.8, but also because participants are more interested in what Fed Chairman Bernanke has to say about the economy.

Bernanke's comments are beginning to hit news wires. Among the preliminary takeaways, the economic recovery has been less robust than what had been hoped. In fact, growth has been insufficient to bring down unemployment. That said, the FOMC will be prepared to employ tools as needed, but it did discuss benefits and costs of additional stimulus at its most recent meeting. Also stated was that the Fed will continue to discuss additional tools when it meets again in September.

Stocks have fallen to morning lows in the wake of Bernanke's comments, but appear to have stabilized a bit. DJ30 -145.99 NASDAQ -21.59 SP500 -16.00 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 575/87 mln/1470 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 530/65 mln/2100

09:45 am : Stocks are down markedly in the early going. The slide has been broad based, but financials are in the worst shape of any sector. As a group, financial-related issues are off by 1.3%.

Within the financial sector, insurance players like Allstate (ALL 23.86, -0.57), Travelers (TRV 46.95, -1.04), and MetLife (MET 30.93, -0.60), are in the worst shape. Diversified financial services players and diversified banks, including Bank of America (BAC 7.56, -0.09) and Wells Fargo (WFC 24.15, -0.67), are also down after they had outperformed in the prior session. DJ30 -117.54 NASDAQ -18.48 SP500 -12.18

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -5.70. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -3.80. Stock futures remain under pressure in the wake of downwardly revised second quarter GDP data. Participants are also practicing some caution ahead of the highly anticipated statement from Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke at 10:00 AM ET. Bernanke's comments about economic conditions and whether or not there will be any mention of further quantitative easing or innovative measures intended to stimulate economic growth are likely to drive action in the stock market. That could make for an exciting day of trade on what would otherwise probably be a sluggish, late summer, Friday session.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -9.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -9.50. Gold prices are off of their morning highs, but still sport a 0.7% gain at $1775.50 per ounce. Silver has pulled back slightly from the 4% surge that it staged in the prior session; the precious metal was last priced with a 0.1% loss at $40.70 per ounce. Pit trade just opened for oil; the energy component has taken an early dive so that it trades with a 1.4% loss at $84.08 per barrel. Meanwhile, natural gas prices are down 0.8% to $3.87 per MMBtu. General weakness in the commodity complex has the CRB Commodity Index down 0.4% this morning.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -4.10. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -2.50. Stock futures have slippped a bit in the wake of second quarter GDP revisions. GDP for the months April through June was revised downward to reflect growth of 1.0%, instead of the 1.3% increase that had been posted in the preliminary report. On average, economists polled by Briefing.com had expected revisions to take GDP growth to 1.1%. Although stock futures have had a mildly negative reaction to the data, the dollar remains near its morning high, trailing a collection of competing currencies by just 0.2%.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.60. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -0.80. Stock futures are down narrowly this morning. Participants anxiously await comments from Fed Chairman Bernanke, who is scheduled to make a statement on the economy from Jackson Hole, Wyoming at 10:00 AM ET. Prior to that, though, investors get their hands on revisions to second quarter GDP at 8:30 AM ET then the revised Consumer Sentiment survey for August from the University of Michigan at 9:55 AM ET. In the backdrop of premarket trade, Europe's major bourses are down sharply. As was the case in the prior session, they moved higher in the early going, but then dove amid a foray of selling. The latest slide comes amid news that the European Central Bank opened a $500 million swap line with the Fed. Sentiment has soured most noticeably in Germany, where the country's DAX is down 2.5%. No other major bourse is in such weak shape today.

06:44 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +1.10. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +5.80.

06:44 am : Nikkei...8797.78...+25.40...+0.30%. Hang Seng...19582.88...-169.60...-0.90%.

06:44 am : FTSE...5095.47...-35.60...-0.70%. DAX...5473.83...-110.30...-2.00%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1.708.572.4885
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