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 Post subject: August 25th Thursday 2011 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +30.60
PostPosted: Thu Aug 25, 2011 11:34 pm 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)

Attachment:
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click on the above image to view today's trading summary

Trade Performance for Today: +30.60 points or $3060.00 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, all trades were posted real-time in the free #FuturesTrades chat room. Today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs provides details about each one of my trades from entry to exit along with commentary as the trade traversed...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=93&t=981.

To join our free chat room...registration instructions located at a different forum @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=630

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=180.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=142&t=1168

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Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED/ECB/IMF actions or any important global economic events that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables (key market events) causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that results in swing points and strong continuation price actions. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for my technical analysis. Just as important, these summaries becomes my archives to allow me to understand what was happening on any given trading day in the past...something I can not get from my broker statements alone.

U.S. Stocks Snap Three-Day Rally on German Selloff, Jobs

Aug. 25 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Deborah Kostroun reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks fell, snapping a three-day rally, after jobless claims unexpectedly increased and selling in German futures sparked a rout in global equities.

Stocks End In Red After 3-Day Advance

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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

By Hibah Yousuf August 25, 2011: 4:32 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stocks ended sharply lower Thursday, as investors hit the brakes following a 3-day advance, and as nervousness about Europe's debt crisis returned to the spotlight.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) tumbled 171 points, or 1.5%, and the S&P 500 (SPX) lost 18 points, or 1.6%. The Nasdaq composite (COMP) dropped 48 points, or 2%.

"The market's had a few good days recently, so we're going to see a lot of give and take," said Art Hogan, managing director of Lazard Capital Markets.

Investors also grew anxious about Europe, amid rumors that ratings agencies may downgrade the credit rating in Germany -- Europe's largest economy.

"I wouldn't put much stock into [the rumor], because ratings agencies would look at France before they even consider downgrading Germany. But there is a lot of nervousness in the market and that's driving sentiment," said Michael Hewson, market analyst at CMC Capital Markets in London.

Standard and Poor's, Fitch Ratings and Moody's Investors Services said Thursday that they did not have any updates to their AAA-rating on Germany.

European stocks ended sharply lower. The DAX (DAX) in Germany slipped 1.4%, Britain's FTSE (FTSE) 100 fell 1.7%, and France's CAC (CAC) 40 shed 0.7%.

* Market wants Bernanke to be Mighty Mouse

This week's three-day stock advance in the U.S. has been attributed to investor hopes that Fed chief Ben Bernanke will announce steps on Friday to spur the faltering economy at the Kansas City Fed's annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyo.

At last year's meeting, Bernanke prepared the market for QE2 -- a bond-buying program that is widely credited for supporting stocks earlier this year.

"I'm worried about how much anticipation is baked into the market that Bernanke will do a repeat of last year," Hogan said, adding that investors will likely be disappointed if the Fed chief fails to announce new measures.

Prior to Thursday's declines, the Dow and S&P 500 were up 4% this week, while the Nasdaq gained 3%.

Companies: Financial stocks were the biggest winners Thursday, as investors reacted to Warren Buffett's $5 billion bet on battered shares of Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500). The news was a welcome surprise, since Bank of America shares have been hammered recently and are down roughly 40% over the past month

Shares of the Charlotte, N.C.-based bank rallied 9%, making it the biggest gainer on the Dow index.

Other bank stocks were right behind BofA with healthy gains. Morgan Stanley (MS, Fortune 500) rose nearly 3% and Citigroup (C, Fortune 500) jumped 5%, while US Bancorp (USB, Fortune 500) and Wells Fargo (WFC, Fortune 500) also edged higher.

Meanwhile, shares of Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500) dipped almost 1% after co-founder and two-time CEO Steve Jobs resigned late Wednesday.

* Video - Apple: Greater than the sum of its CEO?

Former Chief Operating Officer Tim Cook will replace Jobs, who will remain chairman of the second-most valuable company in the world.

Economy: First-time claims for unemployment benefits rose more than expected, as a dispute between Verizon Communications (VZ, Fortune 500) and its union employees caused thousands of workers to seek jobless benefits

Ongoing claims, which include people filing for the second week of benefits or more, dropped to the lowest level since September 2008.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar rose against the euro, the British pound and Japanese yen.

Oil for October delivery rose 14 cents to settle at $85.30 a barrel.

Gold futures for December delivery rose $5.90 to settle at $1,763.20 an ounce. Earlier, gold prices fell almost 3% to $1,705.40 an ounce, and prices tumbled 5% Wednesday. The weakness comes after a powerful rally in the gold market that sent prices skyrocketing above $1,900 an ounce earlier this week.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rose, pushing the yield down to 2.24% from 2.28% late Wednesday.

World markets: Asian markets ended Thursday's session with gains. The Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) rose 2.9%, while the Hang Seng (HSI) in Hong Kong and Japan's Nikkei (N225) increased 1.5%.

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Market Update

4:30 pm : Renewed selling pressure caused stocks to slump today. That offset the prior session's climb.

Stocks were under pressure ahead of the open as premarket traders reacted to news that Apple (AAPL 373.72, -2.46) will lose its heralded CEO, Steve Jobs, and that the latest initial jobless claims tally totaled 417,000, which is greater than the 400,000 claims that had been generally anticipated among economists polled by Briefing.com. But then news surfaced that Warren Buffett is investing $5 billion of Berkshire Hathaway's cash in Bank of America (BAC 7.65, +0.66) preferred stock. According to CNBC, Buffett's bid was a vote of confidence in both the company and the U.S.

The idea that the billionaire investment guru sees value in shares of BAC, which has suffered several steep losses in recent weeks, brought about a flurry of buying interest just before the session's start. The effort carried over into the open, such that the financial sector surged more than 3% within the first 10 minutes of trade.

Leadership from the financial sector helped the broad market climb to an early gain of more than 1%, but the market quickly reversed course then spent the rest of the session contending with selling pressure.

Selling interest was partly stoked by speculation that Germany, Europe's most robust and diverse economy, could lose its AAA credit rating, although the major rating agencies were quick to affirm Germany's top-tier rating. Others were interested in locking in the strong gains of the past two sessions, 1.3% and 3.4%, respectively, for fear of how stocks will react to the Fed's statement tomorrow from Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

Pressure persisted into the close. As has been the case in the past couple of sessions, participants leaned in the direction of trade late in the day. That caused stocks to settle at session lows.

Energy stocks slumped more than 2%, which made for the worst performance of any sector. Energy stocks also underperformed in the prior session, but they still head into Friday with a week-to-date gain of about 2%, thanks mostly to a surge of more than 4% on Tuesday.

Gold prices were initially pared this morning, but the stock market's reversal into the red prompted participants to rotate back into the precious metal. In turn, gold prices climbed to close the session with a 0.3% gain at $1762.80 per ounce. Silver was even stronger -- it surged 4.1% to $40.78 per ounce.

Advancing Sectors: (None)
Declining Sectors: Energy (-2.2%), Consumer Discretionary (-2.0%), Industrials (-1.8%), Telecom (-1.7%), Health Care (-1.7%), Tech (-1.6%), Utilities (-1.5%), Consumer Staples (-1.5%), Materials (-1.0%), Financials (-0.5%)DJ30 -170.89 NASDAQ -48.06 NQ100 -1.7% R2K -2.6% SP400 -2.2% SP500 -18.33 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 504/1.79 bln/2070 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 731/1.21 bln/2313

3:35 pm : Gold prices were down this morning, but the stock market's reversal into the red prompted participants to rotate back into the yellow metal. In turn, gold prices climbed to close the session with a 0.3% gain at $1762.80 per ounce. Silver was even stronger; it surged 4.1% to $40.78 per ounce.

Energy prices fared fairly well this session. Specifically, oil prices closed pit trade with a 0.3% gain at $85.42 per barrel. Natural gas prices settled 0.3% higher at $3.93 per MMBtu, despite a bigger-than-expected weekly inventory build of 73 bcf. DJ30 -159.77 NASDAQ -41.64 SP500 -16.57 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 529/1.38 bln/2025 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 761/790 mln/2274

3:00 pm : Stocks have slipped below their recent trading range, but they are not yet at the session lows that were set earlier this afternoon.

Although weakness is widespread, health care stocks have been a heavy drag on trade. Collectively, health care stocks are down 1.9%. Pharmaceutical plays like Pfizer (PFE 17.93, -0.45), GlaxoSmithKline (GSK 41.97, -1.39), and Merck (MRK 31.84, -0.39) are under particularly stiff pressure following news that officials in Spain have voted to make doctors write prescriptions based on generic drug names. DJ30 -171.50 NASDAQ -48.38 SP500 -18.44 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 580/1.26 bln/1940 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 835/721 mln/2170

2:30 pm : Stocks are drifting along in a narrow trading range. That has kept the broad market down with a loss of 1%.

Financials, which offered, leadership in the early going, have been mired near the neutral line. Their inability to rally back to a gain has only made it harder for the broad market to make any kind of break out of its recent range. DJ30 -122.30 NASDAQ -33.94 SP500 -12.61 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 580/1.16 bln/1930 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 770/660 mln/2230

2:00 pm : Shares of Guess? (GES 31.22. -2.07) are in pretty poor shape today. The stock's 6% slide comes in response to the retailer's downside guidance, which has cast a pall over its upside earnings surprise for the latest quarter. Meanwhile, rue21 (RUE 24.99, -1.98) has fallen 7% following its earnings miss. Fellow apparel and accessories retailer Express (EXPR 17.40, -0.63) is also grappling with aggressive selling pressure, even though it reported better-than-expected bottom line results and issued an in-line earnings outlook.DJ30 -123.51 NASDAQ -31.58 SP500 -12.08 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 590/1.09 bln/1920 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 755/620 mln/2255

1:30 pm : Results from an auction of 7-year Notes produced a bid-to-cover of 2.76, dollar demand of $80.0 billion, and an indirect bidder participation rate of 51.7%. For comparison, the prior auction drew a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.63, dollar demand of $76.3 billion, and an indirect bidder rate of 39.6%. An average of the past six auctions results in a bid-to-cover of 2.80, dollar demand of $81.1 billion, and an indirect bidder rate of 42.9%.

Treasuries climbed to session highs shortly after the results were released, but they have since eased back a bit. Part of their pullback comes amid a move by stocks up from their session lows. DJ30 -132.14 NASDAQ -35.15 SP500 -13.13 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 540/1.00 bln/1959 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 667/570 mln/2323

1:00 pm : The major equity averages opened trade in positive territory, but quickly rolled over. Stocks now trade at session lows with sizable losses.

Sentiment ahead of the open was initially hampered by news that the latest weekly jobless claims tally climbed unexpectedly to 417,000, and word that Apple (AAPL 371.20, -4.98) CEO Steve Jobs will resign from the highly innovative computer hardware and personal electronics maker. But news that billionaire Warren Buffett will invest $5 billion in Bank of America (BAC 7.65, +0.66) preferred stock brought about a flurry of buying that positioned stocks for a positive start.

Buffett's investment in Bank of America bolstered the entire financial sector, which has been a soft spot for the stock market in recent weeks. Financials were up in excess of 3% at their session high, but have since dropped to a 1.0% loss.

The financial sector's reversal has come in conjunction with a broad market pullback that gained momentum amid speculation that Germany, Europe's most robust and diverse economy, could lose its AAA credit rating. Although the major rating agencies affirmed Germany's top-tier rating, participants have shown that they remain leery of Europe's fiscal and financial conditions.

Europe's bourses also sold off in response to the speculation. Such action suggests participants there remain quite jittery, which contrasts starkly with the confidence that had been seemingly implied by bourse's gains earlier this week.

Weakness among stocks has helped gold prices bounce. In an extension of its prior session slump, the yellow metal had been down again this morning, but it has since moved up to $1762 per ounce for a 0.3% gain.

Treasuries are stronger, too. The benchmark 10-year Note is currently near its session high ahead of results from an auction of 7-year Notes. DJ30 -153.37 NASDAQ -39.62 SP500 -15.39 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 550/913 mln/1930 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 680/515 mln/2310

12:30 pm : Unable to extend their rebound, the major market averages have drifted back to their session lows. Weakness has become widespread in that all 10 major sectors are in the red. Among them, energy (-2.1%), industrials (-2.0%), and health care (-1.9%) are in the worst shape; materials (-0.7%) have done the best job of limiting losses.DJ30 -151.06 NASDAQ -36.32 SP500 -16.16 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 611/835 mln/1850 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 735/475 mln/2225

12:00 pm : Stocks have been unable to extend their rebound. That has left each of the major equity averages to continue contending with a loss of roughly 1%.

With stocks stuck in the red, Treasuries are seeing some solid buying interest. Strength in the 10-year Note has trimmed its yield by about six basis points from the near 2.3% that was registered in the prior session. Treasuries will come into closer focus in one hour, when results from an auction of 7-year Notes are posted. DJ30 -112.88 NASDAQ -24.91 SP500 -10.88 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 613/753 mln/1825 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 713/428 mln/2220

11:30 am : Stocks have managed to rebound from session lows, but overall, losses remain broad and rather steep.

Financials had been a source of leadership in the early going, but it has since been weakened by broad market selling pressure. At its high, the financial sector was up well in excess of 3%, but now it is sitting only narrowly above the neutral line.

Energy stocks are in rough shape. Their 1.8% loss makes them today's worst performers. Although they advanced 0.4% yesterday, this is the second straight session that the sector has lagged -- yesterday they were mired in negative territory until a late broad-market bounce brought the sector to a modest gain. DJ30 -108.75 NASDAQ -22.66 SP500 -10.01 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 580/655 mln/1825 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 675/375 mln/2240

11:00 am : Stocks have descended deeper into negative territory during the course of the past hour. Part of the push lower comes in response to speculation among members of the financial media that Germany, which is regarded as both the largest and most diverse economy in Europe, may lose its AAA credit rating. That said, though, analysts from both S&P and Fitch recently affirmed their top ratings on Germany, according to CNBC.

CNBC has also run headlines suggesting that officials from Germany have stated that they have no intention to implement additional short-selling bans, which are often considered by market participants to be a sign of distress.

Germany's DAX is now down 3.0% after it had sported a nice gain earlier today. DJ30 -106.45 NASDAQ -32.28 SP500 -10.19 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 570/485 mln/1785 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 674/292 mln/2195

10:35 am : Commodities are mainly red across the board and have extended losses in recent activity, while the dollar index is back in positive territory. Gold futures are extending yesterday's losses, but silver is showing nice gains.

Natural gas futures are hit new session highs of $3.94/MMBtu just over an hour ago, but have since sold off and fell into negative territory. Ahead of inventory data, nat gas fell to new session lows of $3.87/MMBtu. Following the data, which showed a build of 73 bcf vs. consensus of a build of 74 bcf, nat gas spiked back to the flat line and is now up 4 cents at $3.96/MMBtu.

Crude oil sold-off as well in recent trade from session highs and fell into the red. Crude put in new session lows of $83.40 minutes ago and is now trading 1.8% lower at $83.69/barrel.

Gold futures have been in the red all session, extending losses from yesterday's sharp decline. Silver, on the other hand, took off from the unchanged line about an hour ago and rose to new session highs of $40.29/oz. In current activity, gold is down 1.0% at $1740.10/oz., while silver is up 2.3% at $40.08/oz.

DJ30 -93.16 NASDAQ -23.71 SP500 -10.06 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 640/452 mln/1687 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 761/275 mln/2087

10:00 am : Stocks have resumed their descent from their opening highs. The selling effort has left all three major equity averages to trade in the red.

Of the major indices, the Nasdaq is in the worst shape. Its slide comes largely in response to weakness in shares of heavyweight Apple (AAPL 369.37), which has been pressured in response to news that the company's CEO, Steve Jobs, is resigning. DJ30 -45.51 NASDAQ -14.29 SP500 -2.40 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1610/70 mln/510 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2121/72 mln/480

09:45 am : The S&P 500 is holding on to a solid gain after pulling back from its opening high. The recent slip actually took the Nasdaq into the red, but it has managed to poke back into positive territory.

Financials are leading this morning's action. The sector is up more than 3% in response to news that billionaire investment guru Warren Buffett made a $5 billion investment into Bank of America (BAC 8.33, +1.34) preferred shares. According to CNBC, Buffett's investment is not only a vote of confidence for Bank of America, but also for the U.S. DJ30 +41.25 NASDAQ +5.96 SP500 +7.01

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +7.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -1.50. Stock futures have suddenly spiked. Just a few minutes ago they pointed to a lower open, weakened by a disappointing weekly jobless claims tally and a drop in Apple (AAPL) shares following the resignation of CEO Steve Jobs, but word that Warren Buffett will be investing $5 billion of Berkshire Hathaway money into Bank of America (BAC) has been met with strong, broad market buying ahead of the open. Shares of BAC are now up about 24%, which comes on top of the 10% surge that the stock scored during the prior session.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -5.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -14.80. Europe's major bourses have pulled back from the solid gains that they sported earlier. In turn, Germany's DAX is now up only 0.2%, France's CAC is up 0.5%, and Britain's FTSE is flat. Within the DAX, Commerzbank and Deutsche Bank (DB) are providing leadership. Deutsche Telekom and Fresenius Medical are at the other end of the spectrum. As for the CAC, financials are performing extremely well in the wake of the latest quarterly report from Credit Agricole, which is currently up in excess of 7%. Credit Agricole reported a 202 million euro write down related to Greek debt. Banks like Barclays (BCS), Lloyds Group (LYG), and Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) are propping up the FTSE. Diageo (DEO) is also a strong performer following the release of the outfit's full-year results, which featured better-than-expected earnings. The company also announced a 6% increase to its dividend. Shire Plc (SHPGY) and AstraZeneca (AZN) have undermined action amid reports that Spain passed a law that requires doctors to prescribe medications by their generic name.

Inspired by Wall Street's performance in the prior session, Asia's major averages rallied back from the sizable loss that they suffered on Wednesday. Specifically, both Japan's Nikkei and Hong Kong's Hang Seng ascended 1.5%, but China's Shanghai Composite climbed 2.9%. Industrial plays Fuji Heavy Industries and Komatsu Ltd. were top performers in the Nikkei. Automakers Honda Motor (HMC) and Nissan Motor (NSANY) also offered leadership. Power companies Tokyo Electric, Kansai Electric, and Chubu Electric were the three worst performers in Japan. China Unicom was a top performer in the Hang Seng, thanks to strong earnings results. CNOOC (CEO) was able to add to its prior session gain as traders in China reacted to the company's latest earnings report, which was actually released yesterday. China Construction Bank also provided leadership.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.60. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -14.30. Stock futures are slowly drifting lower in the wake of a relatively disappointing weekly jobless claims report. Initial jobless claims for the week ended August 20 totaled 417,000, which is greater than the 400,000 claims that had been generally anticipated among economists polled by Briefing.com. As an aside, the prior week's tally was revised upward to 412,000. The four-week average climbed to 407,500 as a result of the revision and the increase in the latest weekly tally.

08:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -0.60. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -7.80. Nasdaq 100 futures have been hampered by weakness in shares of Apple (AAPL), which are under pressure in response to the resignation of Apple CEO Steve Jobs. Broad market futures are essentially flat as participants rest on the stock market's recent gains, which have been helped along by improved confidence in Europe's fiscal and financial conditions, as suggested recently by the strong performance of the region's major bourses. Traders also continue to pare their positions in gold. The precious metal slumped more than 5% yesterday. It is currently down another 1.8% to $1726 per ounce. The economic calendar is light ahead of tomorrow's highly anticipated Fed statement from Jackson Hole, Wyoming; it is limited to weekly jobless claims at 8:30 AM ET. Other items of interest today include natural gas inventory numbers at 10:30 AM ET and results from an auction of 7-year Notes at 1:00 PM ET.

06:44 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -1.40. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -11.80.

06:44 am : Nikkei...8772.36...+132.80...+1.50%. Hang Seng...19752.48...+285.70...+1.50%.

06:44 am : FTSE...5203.74...-2.10...0.00. DAX...5714.64...+33.60...+0.60%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1.708.572.4885
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