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 Post subject: July 6th Weds 2011 Emini TF (No Trades Personal Day Off)
PostPosted: Wed Jul 06, 2011 9:15 pm 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)

Quote:
No trades today due personal appointments and I'll be back to trading on July 7th Thursday.

Trade Performance for Today: +0.00 points or $0.00 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs provides details about each trade from entry to exit along with commentary as the trade traversed...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=92&t=926.

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=180.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=138&t=1058

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Image Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED actions, global economics that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables (key market events) causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that's arguably just as important as my technical analysis. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for my technical analysis.

Image CNNMoney.com - Stocks Shake Jitters, Close Higher
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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

By Ben Rooney July 6, 2011: 5:10 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stocks recovered from early loses to close near session highs Wednesday after EU officials pushed back against recent downgrades of Greek and Portuguese debt, raising speculation that the union could move to minimize the impact of the ratings agencies.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) rose 56 points, or 0.4%, to close at 12,626. The S&P 500 (SPX) gained than 1 point, or 0.1%, to 1,339. The Nasdaq composite (COMP) advanced 8 points, or 0.3%, to 2,834.

The Dow was supported by strength in industrial and technology stocks. Shares of DuPont (DI), 3M (MMM, Fortune 500) and Caterpillar (CAT, Fortune 500) all gained more than 1%. Intel (INTC, Fortune 500) and IBM (IBM, Fortune 500) were also strong. But the index was pressured by weakness in bank shares, as well as shares of Alcoa (AA, Fortune 500) and Disney (DIS, Fortune 500).

Stocks opened lower after China announced another increase in lending rates. But the tone turned bullish later in the day after European Union officials challenged the main credit rating agencies, which have been skeptical of EU efforts to stabilize troubled members of the monetary union.

Echoing comments made earlier by the German finance minister, European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso suggested the ratings agencies have an anti-European bias and are fueling speculation in the financial markets, Reuters reported.

The comments were in response to a downgrade of Portugal's government debt by Moody's on Tuesday. Standard & Poor's also issued a report this week saying a voluntary restructuring of Greek debt by French and German banks would still qualify as a default, in their view.

Both agencies are based in the United States.

"[EU officials] seem to be trying to minimize the ratings agencies and possibly reduce their impact," said Nick Kalivas, vice president of financial research at MF Global. "They are upset that Greece and Portugal have passed austerity plans and the rating agencies go ahead and downgrade the debt anyway when they're already priced at junk levels."

Kalivas said investors may be thinking that the EU could move to suspend the ratings issued by the three main agencies. That, he said, could "reduce headline risk" and make it less likely that banks will have to write down the value of the Greek and Portuguese debt they hold.

"It would mean less risk in the system," he said.

Concerns about the debt problems facing some troubled European economies have been hanging over the market for months. The issue has been back in the spotlight as the EU and International Monetary Fund begin work on a second bailout for Greece, which is expected to include some private sector involvement.

Despite those worries, the European Central Bank is widely expected to announce plans Thursday to raise interest rates to 1.5% from 1.25% currently. ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet will hold a press conference before the U.S. market opens.

* What's next for the economy

China's central bank lifted interest rates Wednesday for the fifth time since October, in an effort to combat inflation. The People's Bank of China said Tuesday that it will raise its one-year lending rate by a quarter percentage point to 6.56%.

Brian Gendreau, market strategist at Financial Network, said the move was not surprising since China has been raising rates since last year. But he added that an abrupt slowdown in China's robust economic growth would be a problem for many U.S. companies.

* How to find 'safe' stocks in China

"China has become such a major part of the global economy," he said. "Any cracks that appear in that model would be alarming for investors."

U.S. stocks ended little changed Tuesday, as investors took a step back after last week's stellar gains. The Dow and S&P snapped a five-day winning streak.

The gains last week were driven by signs of strength in the U.S. manufacturing sector. But investors remain wary about the U.S. economy ahead of Friday's payrolls report from the Labor Department.

Economists surveyed by CNNMoney are expecting the report to show 120,000 jobs added to payrolls. Typically, the economy needs to add about 150,000 just to keep pace with population growth.

Economy: The number of planned job cuts rose 11.6% in June to 41,432 from May's 37,135, according to outplacement consulting firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

The Institute for Supply Management said its non-manufacturing index fell to 53.3 in June from 54.6 in May, the group said. That's still above the level indicating expansion in the sector.

* Video - Investors look to the SKYY

Companies:Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) fell 2.5%, after a group of small investors called Walnut Place filed court documents, saying it plans to challenge a proposed $8.5 billion settlement the bank announced last week with holders of mortgage-backed securities.

Disney fell over 1% after chief executive Bob Iger said the owners of Hulu are committed to selling the online video site, according to the Wall Street Journal. Disney is a co-owner of Hulu along with News Corp., Comcast (CMCSA, Fortune 500) and private equity firm Providence Equity Partners.

Verizon (VZ, Fortune 500) Wireless said it will eliminate the option for customers to consume unlimited data on their mobile phones without paying additional fees and move to usage-based data plans in June. Shares rose slightly.

Shares of News Corp. (NWSA, Fortune 500) fell 4% amid speculation that the company could delay its takeover of Sky Broadcasting Group, due to the scandal surrounding alleged phone hacking by one of its British tabloid newspapers.

* Video - Forget earnings. Show me the jobs!

World markets: European stocks fell. Britain's FTSE 100 slipped 0.7%, France's CAC 40 shed 0.5%, and the DAX in Germany fell 0.3%.

Asian markets ended mixed. The Shanghai Composite fell 0.2% and the Hang Seng in Hong Kong dropped 1%. Japan's Nikkei gained 1.1% -- ending at its highest level since March 11, when the country was struck with a devastating earthquake.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar rose against the euro and British pound, but fell versus the Japanese yen.

Oil for August delivery slipped 24 cents to settle at $96.65 a barrel.

Gold futures for August delivery rose $16.50 to end at $1,529.20 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rose, pushing the yield down to 3.09% from 3.14% late Tuesday.

Image

Image Yahoo! Finance - Market Update

4:15 pm : Stocks traded listlessly again today. The lack of action comes after last week's heady advance, but precedes the payrolls report on Friday.

The broad equity market was mired near the neutral line for the second straight session. Participants continue to rest on the laurels of last week's 5.6% gain, which was the best weekly performance for the S&P 500 in about two years.

There weren't many headlines that acted as trading cues for participants this session. The only item on the economic calendar was the ISM Non-Manufacturing Survey for June. It came in at 53.3, which is less than the 54.0 that had been expected, on average, among economists polled by Briefing.com. The reading is also less than the 54.6 that was reported for the prior month.

Tomorrow's calendar features the latest weekly initial jobless claims tally and the ADP Employment Report, which is offers a glimpse into the always pivotal official Nonfarm Payrolls Report on Friday. Uncertainty surrounding the jobs report ahead of its release often results in range bound trade.

Tech stocks and industrial issues displayed strength today. Those sectors settled with 0.5% gains, but that was offset by weakness among financial stocks, which collectively shed 0.6%.

Financials were a primary source of weakness for foreign markets in their latest round of trade. More specifically, Commerzbank and Deutsche Bank (DB 58.40, -1.02) weighed down Germany's DAX; BNP Paribas and Credit Agricole undercut France's CAC, and; Britain's FTSE faltered amid weakness in Barclays (BCS 16.15, -0.59) and Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS 12.12, -0.45). Banks in China were weak a day after Moody's made it know that loans to local governments were likely understated by about a half trillion dollars. As an aside, China tacked on another 25 basis points to its target interest rate, as had been widely speculated in recent weeks.

The dollar displayed strength all day long. Relative to a basket of competing currencies, the dollar advanced 0.6%. Most of the move was against the euro, which slid 0.8% to $1.431 as it extended its prior session slide after analysts at Moody's downgraded Portugal's debt yesterday afternoon.

Without any major surprises or new catalysts to drive trade, share volume remained depressed. Participation has been anemic all summer, but it has been especially sluggish in the days that have bracketed the Independence Day holiday.

Advancing Sectors: Consumer Staples +0.6%, Industrials +0.5%, Tech +0.5%, Materials +0.4%, Health Care +0.3%, Utilities +0.2%
Declining Sectors: Energy -0.2%, Consumer Discretionary -0.3%, Financials -0.6%, Telecom -0.8%DJ30 +56.15 NASDAQ +8.25 NQ100 +0.3% R2K +0.4% SP400 +0.6% SP500 +1.34 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1453/1.65 bln/1101 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1686/820 mln/1299

3:40 pm : Precious metals extended their respective rallies to a second session, with August gold gaining 1.1% to settle at $1529.00 per ounce, while Sept silver rallied for 1.6% to end at $35.97 per ounce. Despite strength in the dollar, both metals moved higher in light of yesterday afternoon's news that Moody's cut Portugal's debt rating, as well as inflation concerns following a rate hike in China.

It was an uneventful session for August crude oil, which shed 0.3% to close at $96.65 per barrel. Crude spent the session chopping around the unchanged mark, as the market awaits tomorrow's inventory data, as well as Friday's jobs data. August natural gas finished lower by 2.7% to $4.22 per MMBtu. DJ30 +39.65 NASDAQ +4.38 SP500 -0.54 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1363/1.4 bln/1189 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1586/574.2 mln/1406

3:00 pm : The S&P 500 remains mired near the neutral line as it plods into the final hour of today's trade. Although they are off of their session low, financials (-0.6%) continue to be a source of weakness. Energy stocks (-0.5%) have hampered action, too. In contrast, tech stocks (+0.4%) and industrials (+0.7%) have provided support.

The Dow has managed to hold on to a solid gain, however. Its relative strength comes as 3M (MMM 97.43, +1.29), Caterpillar (CAT 109.74, +1.31), and Boeing (BA 74.97, +0.82) put together the best gains among blue chips. DJ30 +56.04 NASDAQ +5.81 SP500 +0.89 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1382/1.14 bln/1150 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1646/465 mln/1332

2:25 pm : Stocks are still stuck in listless, lackluster trade. The market's "inaction" today has made for rather dull theatre.

This session's insipid state is partly owed to caution ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report that is due on Friday. The sideways drift has allowed last week's heady advance to consolidate, though. DJ30 +25.96 NASDAQ +1.23 SP500 -0.75 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1358/1.05 bln/1182 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1576/425 mln/1389

2:00 pm : Stocks are little changed in the last 30 minutes. That has left the major equity averages to remain mixed.

Share volume has been paltry today. While that is consistent with the poor participation seen in recent weeks, it is also a reflection of the lack of headlines or other catalysts that have been worth trading on. DJ30 +54.64 NASDAQ +9.05 SP500 +1.39 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1458/970 mln/1072 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1684/395 mln/1286

1:30 pm : Stocks are surrendering some of their gains. The downward drift has taken the S&P 500 back to the flat line, but the Dow and Nasdaq continue to cling to their already modest gains.

Treasuries haven't really responded to the stock market's recent slip. Instead, the benchmark 10-year Note continues to trade with a gain of only a few ticks, which haven't been enough to take the Note's yield back below 3.10%. DJ30 +44.54 NASDAQ +6.17 SP500 -0.17 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1399/890 mln/1115 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1586/365 mln/1368

1:00 pm : The stock market has made its way to a modest gain after plodding along for most of the morning. The upturn comes amid increased broad market support.

For the second straight session stocks started near the neutral line and chopped along listlessly. Even amid a lack of catalysts, participants had only a muted response to the latest ISM Non-Manufacturing Index, which slipped to a slightly weaker-than-expected 53.3. International headlines were generally limited, although concerns about rate hikes in China were confirmed with the decision by the PBOC to add another 25 basis points to their target interest rate.

Financials weighed on early action as they fell to a loss of more than 1%. The sector has since trimmed that loss to 0.6%. Investment banks, diversified banks, and regional banks continue to hamper the sector, however. Markets in both Europe and China saw sellers hit bank stocks, too; European bank shares moved lower in the wake of yesterday's downgrade of Portugal's debt, while China's banks were implicated by reports that loans to local governments were underestimated.

Tech stocks have made a strong push to a 0.6% gain after slipping into the red in mid-morning trade. Microsoft (MSFT 26.32, +0.29) and Yahoo! (YHOO 15.72, +0.23) have helped give the sector a boost.

Consumer staples stocks (+0.7%), industrials stocks (+0.6%), and materials stocks (+0.5%) are also finding favor.

The dollar has been strong all day. It currently sports a 0.5% gain, most of which is owed to weakness in the euro. The euro is already down about 1.4% against the dollar this week. It was last quoted at $1.432. DJ30 +70.80 NASDAQ +12.94 SP500 +3.05 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1465/800 mln/1007 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1713/330 mln/1225

12:30 pm : Stocks have struggled to extend their recent push higher, but haven't encountered any real selling either. That has left the major equity averages sitting near session highs.

Treasuries have had their gains trimmed in recent trade. The benchmark 10-year Note had been up solidly earlier, but now it is only up a couple of ticks. DJ30 +46.96 NASDAQ +6.84 SP500 +1.10 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1373/735 mln/1102 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1598/305 mln/1342

12:00 pm : The S&P 500 has poked into positive territory for the first time today. Meanwhile, the Dow and Nasdaq Composite have worked their way up to modest gains.

The stock market's recent upturn, although modest in scope, has come amid broad support. In particular, tech stocks, which collectively represent the largest sector by market weight, are now up 0.4%. Industrials and materials stocks are up 0.5%, which puts them closely behind the 0.6% gain currently sported by the consumer staples sector. Even financials, which have lagged all session, have managed to trim a loss of more than 1% into a loss of about 0.7%. DJ30 +40.18 NASDAQ +6.84 SP500 +1.05 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1348/640 mln/1099 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1593/270 mln/1310

11:30 am : Overall action remains both listless and lackluster. The dullness comes after stocks scored their strongest weekly performance in about two years, but precedes the official nonfarm payrolls report for June. Caution ahead of that report has allowed last week's gains to consolidate.DJ30 +12.33 NASDAQ -2.66 SP500 -2.09 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1091/525 mln/1302 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1349/220 mln/1513

11:00 am : Stocks have extended their move up from morning lows, but they remain mixed overall. For two straight sessions the broad market has lacked leadership.

Consumer staples stocks are today's best performers, as a group. The sector, which carries little overall market weight, is up 0.4%. Dow component Procter & Gamble (PG 6470, +0.44) has been a primary leader in its space.

Financials have been a steady drag on trade for the past two days. The sector's 1.1% loss is worse than any other major sector, although telecom isn't in much better shape as the group grapples with a 1.0% loss of its own. DJ30 +6.54 NASDAQ -1.89 SP500 -2.63 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1062/420 mln/1315 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1300/175 mln/1537

10:35 am : The dollar index is back near session highs, which continues to add pressure on commodities. Energy markets are lower, while in the metals space, copper is down and gold, silver and aluminum are higher. In the ag space, the majority of commodities are in the red except for a few showing modest gains.

Crude oil futures moved back in the red about 45 minutes ago and back near session lows of $95.93/barrel. However the energy component managed to stay just above the $96.00 level and is currently 0.6% lower at $96.37/barrel. Natural gas futures are down 1.2% at $4.32/MMBtu.

Precious metals spent most of the morning trending higher with gold futures hitting fresh session highs of $1529.70/oz about 20 minutes ago. Silver tracked gold's momentum and moved back towards it own session high. Both precious metals have pulled back slightly off those highs and gold is now 1.0% higher at $1527.20/oz. while silver is up 1.0% at $35.77/oz.DJ30 -4.66 NASDAQ -7.59 SP500 -4.27 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 925/246.7 mln/1350 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 946/114.3 mln/1736

10:05 am : The ISM Non-Manufacturing Survey for June was just posted. It came in at 53.3, which is less than the 54.0 that had been broadly expected among economists polled by Briefing.com. The June Survey is also less than the 54.6 that was reported for the prior month.

Stocks haven't shown much of a reaction to the report. As a result, they continue to chop along in mixed fashion. DJ30 -2.20 NASDAQ -6.06 SP500 -3.52 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 995/130 mln/1235 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1107/65 mln/1607

09:45 am : As they were in the prior session, the major equity averages are mixed this morning. There continues to be a lack of leadership, too.

Financials remain a source of weakness, though. The sector has already fallen to a 1% loss. Banks and diversified financial services outfits like JPMorgan Chase (JPM 40.35, -0.68) and Bank of America (BAC 10.73, -0.27) have been heavy drags in early action. DJ30 +4.50 NASDAQ -3.75 SP500 -3.30 NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1310/1270 NYSE Adv/Dec 1465/1545

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -4.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -4.50. Weakness in Europe has imbued premarket trade. In turn, a lower start to the session appears to be in order. The dollar has attracted renewed support, though. More specifically, the greenback was last quoted with a 0.5% gain against a basket of major foreign currencies. Most of that move is owed to a weaker euro, which began to slide even before Moody's announced yesterday its decision to downgrade Portugal's debt. Trade-worthy headlines have been limited this morning, but participants will get their hands on the latest ISM Non-Manufacturing Index at 10:00 AM ET.

09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -2.50. Selling interest in Europe has the EuroStoxx 50 down 0.4%. Weakness there comes after analysts at Moody's reminded the world of the fiscal troubles facing countries in the eurozone periphery with its downgrade of Portugal. Portugal's PSI 20 is presently down 2.7%. As for action among the bigger bourses of the region, Germany's DAX is down 0.4%. Financial plays Commerzbank and Deutsche Bank are two of the heaviest drags on trade. Infineon Tech and Volkswagen have provided some support, though. In France, the CAC is off by 0.6% as Credit Agricole, Societe Generale, and BNP Paribas come under sharp pressure. Alcatel-Lucent (ALU) is one of only a few select stocks that has found positive territory. Britain's FTSE has fallen 0.8%. Banks are weak there, too. As such, Barclays (BCS) and Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) are the two poorest performing stocks in the FTSE; both are currently contending with losses of about 4%.

Overnight action in Asia saw Japan's Nikkei advance to a 1.1% gain. Buying was broad based, but Nippon Paper was a top performer. Panasonic also outperformed. Power plays Kansai Electric and Chubu Electric topped the list of declining issues. Hong Kong's Hang Seng sank 1.0%. Bank of China and China Construction Bank were a couple of heavy drags on trade. They also weighed on Mainland China's Shanghai Composite, which closed with a modest 0.2% loss. Weakness among banks comes on the heels of news yesterday from Moody's that recent audits may have understated the loans of banks to local governments by about a half-trillion dollars. Additionally, concerns over further rate hikes proved prescient, given that the Peoples Bank of China hiked its key interest rate by another 25 basis points.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.40. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -2.80. Commodities scored strong gains in the prior session, but action in that space this morning has become mixed. Specifically, crude oil prices are down 0.6% to $96.30 per barrel while natural gas prices are down 1.0% $4.33 per MMBtu. Action among precious metals has gold prices up 0.3% to $1517.10 per ounce, but silver is flat at $35.43 per ounce. Meanwhile, the dollar has extended its prior session advance by another 0.6% today. Most of the greenback's gain has come against the euro, which was last quoted with a 0.8% loss at $1.432.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -3.80. Following a generally flat session, a mildly negative tone has crept into premarket trade. That has weakened stock futures, which point to a lower start for the session. In the backdrop, trade in Europe has been weak with the major bourses of the continent in the red. Overnight action in Asia was more mixed. After trade there closed, the Peoples Bank of China announced its plan to tack another 25 basis points on to its benchmark interest rate. Building up to the ADP Employment Report tomorrow and official non-farm payrolls numbers on Friday, the Challenger Job-Cut Report showed that planned cuts by U.S. employers increased by almost 12% in June. Still, the pace of downsizing through the first half of the year is the slowest since 2000. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for June is due at 10:00 AM ET. The consensus among economists polled by Briefing.com calls for a reading of 54.0, which is slightly less than the 54.6 posted for the prior month.

06:53 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -2.60. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -1.00.

06:53 am : Nikkei...10082.48...+110.00...+1.10%. Hang Seng...22517.55...-230.40...-1.00%.

06:53 am : FTSE...5985.02...-39.00...-0.70%. DAX...7427.29...-12.20...-0.20%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1.708.572.4885
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