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 Post subject: June 28th Tuesday 2011 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +24.60
PostPosted: Tue Jun 28, 2011 6:42 pm 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Attachment:
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click on the above image to view today's trading summary

Trade Performance for Today: +24.60 points or $2460.00 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs provides details about each trade from entry to exit along with commentary as the trade traversed...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=91&t=917.

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=180.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=138&t=1058

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Image Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED actions, global economics that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables (key market events) causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that's arguably just as important as my technical analysis. Thus, I pay attention to these key market events from one trade to the next trade to give me the market context for my technical analysis.

Image CNNMoney.com - Stocks Soar On Housing Data
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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

By Ken Sweet, contributing writer June 28, 2011: 4:49 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stocks rallied on Tuesday, with the Dow jumping 145 points, as investors cheered a report showing home prices rose for the first time in nine months in April.

"The market was hungry for some good news, particularly on housing," said Fred Dickson, chief investment strategist with D.A. Davidson & Co. "After months of depressing housing data, today's report felt especially good."

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) added 145 points, or 1.2%, to close at 12,189; the S&P 500 (SPX) climbed 17 points, or 1.3%, to 1,297; and the Nasdaq Composite (COMP) was up 41 points, or 1.5%, to 2,729.

The S&P 500 was led higher by shares of Nike (NKE, Fortune 500), which jumped 10% a day after the athletic shoe maker posted better-than-expected profit and sales, citing strength in its Chinese and other overseas markets.

Top performers on the Dow included energy companies Exxon Mobil (XOM, Fortune 500) and Chevron (CVX, Fortune 500), as oil prices jumped more 2.5%. Other strong performers among the blue chips were Home Depot (HD, Fortune 500) and Caterpillar (CAT, Fortune 500).

The S&P Case-Shiller home price index, considered one of the leading gauges on the housing market, rose 0.7% in April.

Dickson said that while April Case-Shiller numbers were solid, he doesn't believe the report indicates a housing market bottom.

"The report could be a momentary blip," he said.

Investors continue to follow overseas developments amid ongoing protests in Greece Tuesday, as Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou pushes for deep spending cuts and tax increases.

Greek lawmakers began debating an austerity package Monday, which is needed to secure financial aid for the struggling country. Discussions continued Tuesday, with Greece's parliament set to vote Wednesday on a five-year budget plan.

"The wrangle over the next tranche of bailout funds is only a tiny step in Greece's journey to fiscal sustainability, and even if this vote is passed it will require years of austerity measures to get the finances back to a manageably high level," said Kathleen Brooks, research director with Forex.com in a note to investors.

In another facet of Europe's debt crisis, the credit agency Moody's warned it may have to downgrade Spain's regional banks. The agency said regional governments remain too optimistic in their economic forecasts and are likely to see bigger-than-anticipated deficits.

Although jitters about Greece's debt crisis and the health of the eurozone still remain, markets could be overshadowed temporarily by optimism about the upcoming earnings season.

Stocks started off the week with solid gains, as strength in the technology sector boosted all three major indexes.

Economy: The Conference Board's consumer confidence survey for June came in at 58.5, lower than the level of 60.8 that economists had expected.

* Earnings: The market's bright spot

Companies: Shares of GSV Capital (GSVC) fell 5%, a day after a 42% rally on its disclosure that it acquired 225,000 Facebook shares at $29.28 per share. The deal puts the value of Facebook, still privately held but expected to make an initial public offering, at about $70 billion.

Accenture's (ACN) stock rose 3% after the management consultancy was tapped to join the S&P 500. Accenture will replace Marshall & Ilsley (MI), which is in the process of being acquired by the Bank of Montreal (BMO).

Youku.com (YOKU) shares soared 30% after the company announced a video-on-demand service in coordination with Time Warner's (TWX, Fortune 500) Warner Bros. TimeWarner is the parent company of CNN and CNNMoney.

Shares of LinkedIn (LNKD) jumped 13% after analysts at several major investment banks, including Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase, put the social media site on their "buy" lists.

* USD-Yen breaks above 18-day high - StockTwits

World markets: European stocks closed solidly higher. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.8%, France's CAC 40 added 1.4% and the DAX in Germany ticked up 0.9%.

Asian markets ended with gains. The Shanghai Composite finished barely above breakeven, the Hang Seng in Hong Kong ticked up 0.1% and Japan's Nikkei added 0.7%.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar lost ground against the euro, British pound and the Japanese yen.

Oil for August delivery added $2.28 to $92.89 a barrel.

Gold futures for August delivery rose $3.80 to $1,500.20 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury edged lower, pushing the yield up to 3.03% from 2.93% late Monday.

Image

Image Yahoo! Finance - Market Update

4:30 pm : For the second straight session broad-based buying on light share volume took stocks sharply higher. Greece's vote on new austerity measures remains on the horizon, however.

Word that Germany backs France's proposal to involve the private sector in Greece's efforts to restore its finances turned the tepid tone of premarket trade into something decidedly more optimistic. Participants' positive response was attributable to the appearance of a unified front in attacking the problems plaguing fiscally woeful Greece. In turn, traders were more dismissive of the uncertainty regarding Greece's vote on a set of austerity measures established by country officials, the EU, and the IMF.

Once trade opened, stocks set out on a steady ascent that took the three major equity averages to gains in excess of 1%. A 2.7% aggregate gain made energy stocks the biggest drivers of the advance. However, Nike (NKE 89.90, +8.28) surged 10% to book one of the best percentage gains for an individual issue following its upside earnings surprise.

Financials failed to find any meaningful support. The sector settled with a gain of just 0.4%. What's more, that modest move came after the sector had spent some time in negative territory.

Participation was paltry once again. In turn, share volume dwindled, which made it easier for stocks to score outsized gains. Thin trading volume is expected to be an ongoing theme this week, given that many traders are taking vacation ahead of the holiday weekend.

The combination of concerted buying among equities and a disappointing Treasury auction caused Treasuries to be trounced today. The auction of 5-year Notes drew a bid-to-cover of 2.59 and dollar demand of $90.7 billion. The bid-to-cover was the lowest since June 2010, while dollar demand dropped to its lowest level since July 2009.

Advancing Sectors: Energy (+2.7%), Consumer Discretionary (+1.9%), Materials (+1.8%), Industrials (+1.5%), Health Care (+1.5%), Tech (+1.3%), Telecom (+0.7%), Utilities (+0.5%), Financials (+0.4%), Consumer Staples (+0.3%)
Declining Sectors: (None) DJ30 +145.13 NASDAQ +41.03 NQ100 +1.5% R2K +1.5% SP400 +1.5% SP500 +16.57 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1896/1.69 bln/677 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2456/804 mln/603

3:30 pm : Commodities were a bit more volatile today as participants eyed tomorrow's austerity vote in Greece... August crude oil rallied for 2.5%, its largest single day move in over a month, to close at $92.89 per barrel. Crude pushed higher heading into the close to put in highs at $92.96. Weakness in the dollar helped crude oil stem its three session sell-off. August natural gas rallied for 2.1% to end at $4.35 per MMBtu.

August gold ended higher by 0.3% to $1500.60 per ounce, while July silver closed up 0.2% to $33.66 per ounce. Gold futures traded to their best levels, at $1507.00, in midmorning trade, but spent the remainder of the session pulling back from those highs to end with only modest gains. Silver saw a similar move as gold, in morning trade, but was unable to take out its overnight highs at $34.13. It too spent the remainder of the session retracing that spike to finish just above unchanged. DJ30 +126.28 NASDAQ +35.42 SP500 +14.10 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1761/1.3 bln/800 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2366/548.4 mln/702

3:00 pm : The stock market heads into the final hour of today's trade with a gain of more than 1%. Stocks are now up 2.1% week to date.

Tech stocks drove the prior session's advance by scoring a 1.4% gain. The sector is up another 1.1% today. Energy stocks have been today's leaders, however. As a group, energy stocks are presently up 2.7%, which comes on top of the 0.7% gain that they recorded yesterday.

Financials have lagged all session. The sector is up only 0.2% at the moment. That underwhelming gain comes after the sector scored a 1.1% gain yesterday. The financial sector's relative weakness today comes as shares of diversified service heavyweights like JPMorgan Chase (JPM 39.44, -0.44) and investment banks like Goldman Sachs (GS 128.63, -2.08). DJ30 +135.17 NASDAQ +36.35 SP500 +15.04 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1790/1.16 bln/761 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2391/465 mln/674

2:30 pm : All three major equity averages are now at new session highs. The move has come amid broad-based buying interest, but for the second session in a row share volume remains light. With fewer numbers of shares being exchanged, each trade carries more relative weight than it would otherwise. That can lead to mor pronounced swings in stock prices. The low level of share volume comes in conjunction with paltry participation ahead of the long, holiday weekend -- U.S. markets will be closed on Monday in observance of Independence Day.DJ30 +130.25 NASDAQ +36.59 SP500 +14.59 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1780/1.06 bln/762 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2392/427 mln/647

2:00 pm : The Nasdaq has inched up to a new session high. Although strength among its underlying components is broad, Amazon.com (AMZN 202.40, +1.15) has actually been a bit of a laggard. The stock's relatively modest gain today comes after it had spiked sharply in the prior session in response to the decision by analysts at Morgan Stanley to add the stock to their Best Ideas List.DJ30 +122.31 NASDAQ +34.57 SP500 +13.86 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1733/985 mln/801 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2373/395 mln/664

1:30 pm : Disappointing results from an auction of 5-year Notes were just released. That, along with continued strength among stocks, has caused Treasuries to slide to session lows. In turn, the yield on the 5-year Note is up 1.578% while the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note is a few basis points back above 3.00%.

Specific to the auction, the bid-to-cover came in at 2.59, dollar demand was $90.7 billion, and the indirect bidder participation rate came in at 37.6%. For comparison, the prior auction produced a bid-to-cover of 3.20, dollar demand of $112.0 billion, and an indirect bidder rate of 47.1%. An average of the past six auctions results in a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.84, dollar demand of $99.3 billion, and an indirect bidder participation rate of 40.7%.

As was the case at the auction of 2-year Notes yesterday, a lack of foreign bidders appeared to be the main driver of the disappointing results. In fact, today's bid-to-cover was the lowest since June 2010. More telling is that dollar demand came in at its lowest level since July 2009. DJ30 +124.84 NASDAQ +32.75 SP500 +13.58 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1736/915 mln/800 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2362/365 mln/670

1:00 pm : Stocks are up with strong gains for the second straight session. The improved tone of trade comes despite lingering uncertainty regarding Greece's ability to restore its finances.

The mood among participants had been rather flat ahead of the open, but buying interest was bolstered by word that Germany is on board with France in bringing the private sector in to help Greece shore up its finances. The comments come ahead of a highly anticipated vote by Greece's parliament on whether or not to pass new austerity measures that were planned among officials from Greece, the EU, and the IMF.

Stocks started the session with a modest gain, but were quick to extend the move. Given the prior session's bounce, stocks are now on pace for one of their best back-to-back performances in more than a month.

Energy stocks have been a primary source of strength this session. The sector's 2.2% gain is far greater than what any other sector has achieved.

Although not quite as impressive as the energy sector's gain, consumer discretionary stocks are up 1.5%. Among discretionary plays, Nike (NKE 87.60, +5.98) is a top performer. An upside earnings surprise has underpinned the stock's 7% spike to a new three-month high.

Financials have been relatively weak all session. In fact, the sector only recently recovered from negative territory to trade with a tepid 0.2% gain.

Participants have paid little attention to today's data, which have been mixed. The S&P/CaseShiller Home Price Index posted its first increase in eight months, but the Conference Board reported that its reading on consumer confidence came down more than expected. In contrast, Germany's official consumer confidence reading improved from the prior month. Other foreign data featured a downward revision to the United Kingdom first quarter GDP to growth of 1.6%. Meanwhile, Japan recorded a slow down in retail sales. DJ30 +116.97 NASDAQ +31.65 SP500 +12.67 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1719/830 mln/790 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2349/330 mln/671

12:30 pm : Stocks remain in strong shape. That has put pressure on Treasuries. In turn, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note is back up near 3.00%. Treasuries could see some incresed volatility when results from an auction of 5-year Notes are released at the top of the hour. Today's auction comes on the heels of a 2-year Note offering yesterday that was met with relatively weak demand.DJ30 +117.35 NASDAQ +31.14 SP500 +12.26 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1707/750 mln/788 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2341/283 mln/676

12:00 pm : The Nasdaq has added incrementally to its gain so that it now sits at its best level of the day. Google (GOOG 493.24, +10.44) has been a primary source of leadership in the tech-rich Nasdaq. Shares of the Internet search giant are now at their best level in about three weeks.

As for the Nasdaq's counterparts, the Dow and S&P 500, both are testing their highs of the day, but have yet to confirm the move. Each is up with a gain of almost 1%, though. DJ30 +111.90 NASDAQ +28.70 SP500 +11.61 NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1676/791 NYSE Adv/Dec 2270/709

11:30 am : Corporate news flow has been slow, but many analysts remain busy updating ratings on stocks in their coverage universe. Among the more noteworthy names recently rated, both Visa (V 75.37, +1.48) and MasterCard (MA 278.34, +5.74) were initiated with Buy ratings by analysts at Jefferies ahead of what is expected to be the final rule on debit interchange regulation. Elsewhere, analysts at Goldman Sachs have upgraded shares of TJX Co (TJX 51.24, +1.21). Shares of LinkedIn (LNKD 84.20, +7.82) have been given a Buy rating from analysts at both UBS and JPMorgan.DJ30 +110.20 NASDAQ +26.82 SP500 +10.64 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1612/540 mln/829 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2223/225 mln/727

11:00 am : Strong, broad-based buying has the stock market within reach of another 1% gain. Although it is early in the session, such a move would help fuel one of the stock market's best back-to-back performances in more than a month.

Strength was also broad in the prior session, but tech stocks were a primary source of leadership. Tech stocks are garnering considerable support once again; as a group, they are up 1.0%, but Monster Worldwide (MWW 14.75, +1.18) has been a top performer in the space. Still, tech's gain is only half of what the energy sector has achieved this morning. The energy sector is currently led by Halliburton (HAL 48.02, +1.79). DJ30 +112.43 NASDAQ +26.08 SP500 +11.04 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1640/370 mln/763 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2237/155 mln/680

10:30 am : Crude oil prices were above $92 per barrel earlier this morning, but they have since drifted lower to trade at $91.80 per barrel. Still, the energy component is up 1.3% for the session.

Natural gas has been an even better performer this morning. Contract prices recently pushed up to a fresh session high near $4.34 per MMBtu for a 2.1% gain.

Precious metals prices have been moving sideways for the past 90 minutes. In turn, gold prices are up 0.4% gain at $1503.20 per ounce. Silver prices are up 0.8% to $33.88 per ounce. DJ30 +120.26 NASDAQ +27.11 SP500 +12.09 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1642/300 mln/720 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2276/125 mln/608

10:00 am : Energy stocks continue to extend their lead over the rest of the market. The sector has already run ahead to a 1.8% gain, thanks largely to interest in oil and gas equipment and services plays, along with drillers and refiners, too. The group's strength comes amid a bounce by oil prices to almost $92 per barrel for a 1.5% gain.DJ30 +89.35 NASDAQ +19.28 SP500 +9.32 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1525/160 mln/760 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2202/75 mln/598

09:45 am : The major equity averages are up nicely again this morning. Energy stocks, which have already advanced to a 1.3% gain, have been a source of early leadership. In contrast, financials are lagging as they cling to an incremental gain.

The latest reading on consumer confidence from the Conference Board came in at 58.5, which is less than the 60.8 that had been expected, on average, among economists polled by Briefing.com. The reading was released ahead of the regularly scheduled time of 10:00 AM ET. DJ30 +68.76 NASDAQ +16.49 SP500 +7.49 NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1459/761 NYSE Adv/Dec 2144/599

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +5.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +6.70. Buying interest ahead of the open has picked up in response to headlines that suggest Germany is on board with France in involving the private sector in Greece's efforts to restore its financial health. The news has also helped bolster buying among the major bourses of Europe. Still, protestors in the streets of Athens remain unruly ahead of a vote by the country's parliament to pass new austerity measures. Outside of Greece, data has been somewhat mixed, although domestic data has so far featured a S&P/CaseShiller Home Price Index that made its first increase in eight months. Still to come is the latest consumer confidence reading from the Conference Board (10:00 AM ET). Results from an auction of 5-year Treasury Notes won't be posted until this afternoon (1:00 PM ET).

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +7.70. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +9.70. Commodities are benefiting from broad buying interest this morning. As such, crude oil prices are up 1.3% to $91.75 per barrel in early pit trade. Natural gas prices are up 1.1% to $4.30 per MMbtu. Among precious metals, gold prices are up a relatively modest 0.3% to $1501.10 per ounce, but silver prices are up a much richer 0.9% to $33.89 per ounce. General strength in the commodity complex has the CRB Commodity Index up 0.8%. Action among commodities comes amid a weaker dollar. The dollar's recent downturn has left it lagging a basket of major foreign currencies by 0.2%. The dollar's dip is mostly due to an upturn by the euro, which recently attracted a flurry of buying interest in response to headlines that suggest officials from Germany have expressed that they share French sentiment for involving the private sector in solving the financial problems that Greece currently faces.

08:30 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +5.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +8.20. Trade in Europe has been relatively mixed. That has left the EuroStoxx 50 to trade narrowly above the neutral line. Close attention continues to be placed on Greece, where protests are preceding parliament's vote on a new set of austerity measures. Greece's Athex 20 is currently up 3.6%. Germany's DAX is currently down 0.2%. Siemens (SI) has been a heavy drag on trade there. The engineering giant offered up an underwhelming quarterly update. Adidas has been an offsetting force, though. The stock's strength comes after peer Nike (NKE) posted a stronger-than-expected profit for the latest quarter. Commerzbank is also up nicely, although its shares were initiated with a Hold rating by analysts at RBS. As for data, Germany's latest GfK Consumer Confidence reading came in at 5.7, which marks a modest improvement from the prior month. France's CAC has successfully climbed to a 0.6% gain. Alcatel-Lucent (ALU) is a leader for the second straight session. In Britain, the FTSE is up 0.5% amid support from financial plays like Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), Prudential PLC, Standard Charter, and Lloyds Group (LYG). Diageo PLC (DEO) is under pressure after its shares were downgraded by analysts at Citigroup, however. Overall strength in the FTSE comes in the face of a downward revision to the United Kingdom first quarter GDP to growth of 1.6% from 1.8% in the preliminary reading.

Overnight action in Asia saw Mainland China's Shanghai Composite close at the flat line after it had strung together an impressive streak of gains. Hong Kong's Hang Seng made an incremental advance. HSBC (HBC) was a source of support after its shares sagged in the prior session. In contrast, real estate development plays encountered selling pressure. Japan's Nikkei advanced 0.7% with help from Fanuc LTD and Nippon Steel. Nissan Motor (NSANY) was a source of weakness, though. Toyota Motor (TM) moved incrementally higher. The company's Credit Corporation was downgraded by analysts at Moody's to Aa3. According to the country's data, seasonally adjusted retail sales for May increased 2.4% after a 4.1% increase in the prior month.

08:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -0.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -1.80. The major market averages scored strong gains in the prior session, but a loss of momentum in overnight trade has left stock futures to trade flat against fair value this morning. The backdrop to premarket trade has been muddled by another round of mixed action abroad, where many participants have been watching protests in the streets of Greece ahead of the country's vote on new austerity measures. Overseas trade has also been affected by varied data, including a downward revision to the United Kingdom's first quarter GDP, an improved GfK Consumer Confidence reading from Germany, and a slowdown in Japan's retail sales. As for domestic data, the latest S&P/CaseShiller reading on home prices will be posted at 9:00 AM ET, followed by a consumer confidence reading from the Conference Board at 10:00 AM ET. At 1:00 PM ET participants will get results from an auction of 5-year Notes. Corporate announcements have been limited since the prior session's close, but an upside earnings surprise from Nike (NKE) has won the company's shares strong support ahead of the open. Separately, Standard & Poor's announced that shares of Accenture (ACN) will replace Marshal and Ilsley (MI) in the S&P 500.

06:56 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -2.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -4.00.

06:55 am : Nikkei...9648.98...+70.70...+0.70%. Hang Seng...22061.78...+20.00...+0.10%.

06:55 am : FTSE...5744.33...+22.00...+0.40%. DAX...7101.81...-6.10...-0.10%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1.708.572.4885
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