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 Post subject: May 23rd Monday 2011 Emini TF (No Trades Personal Day Off)
PostPosted: Tue May 24, 2011 9:31 am 
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Joined: Sat Jan 10, 2009 2:06 pm
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Location: Canada
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)

Quote:
No trades today...it's a holiday here in Canada even though the U.S. markets are open.


Trade Performance for Today: +0.00 points or $0.00 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs provides details about each trade from entry to exit along with commentary as the trade traversed...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=90&t=859.

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=180.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=138&t=1058

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Image Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED actions, global economics that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that's arguably just as important as my technical analysis.

Image Bloomberg (YouTube Video) - U.S. Stocks Fall on Europe Concern as Commodities Tumble:

May 23 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Julie Hyman and Deborah Kostroun report on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks retreated, giving the Standard & Poor's 500 Index its biggest drop in two months, as commodities slumped amid concern that Europe's debt crisis is worsening and the global economic recovery is losing momentum.

Image CNNMoney.com - Stocks Skid On Renewed Worries About Europe
Attachment:
052311-Key-Price-Action-Markets.png
052311-Key-Price-Action-Markets.png [ 516.42 KiB | Viewed 313 times ]

click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

By Ben Rooney
May 23, 2011: 4:53 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stocks closed sharply lower Monday as simmering worries about Europe's debt problems boiled over, sending investors in search of safety.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) slumped 131 points, or 1%, to 12,381. The S&P 500 (SPX) fell 16 points, or 1.2%, to 1,317. The Nasdaq Composite (COMP) tumbled 44 points, or 1.6%, to 2,759.

The selling was broad-based, with all 30 Dow components in the red. Caterpillar (CAT, Fortune 500), Alcoa (AA, Fortune 500) and Du Pont (DD, Fortune 500) were the biggest laggards on the blue-chip index.

Financial stocks also faltered, with shares of Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500), JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500), Wells Fargo (WFC, Fortune 500), Citigroup (C, Fortune 500) and Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500) all down more than 1%.

On Friday, rating agency Fitch cut Greece's credit rating by three notches to "highly speculative," putting it in junk bond territory. In addition, Standard & Poor's slashed Italy's outlook to 'negative' from 'stable.' The downgrades, combined with a weaker-than-expected reading on manufacturing in Europe, renewed concerns about the eurozone's debt crisis.

Furthermore, Spain's ruling Socialist party was hit with its worst election defeat in years over the weekend, as citizens continued to protest the weak economy and high unemployment.

* Video - Banks under pressure

All of that helped boost the U.S. dollar to a two-month high against the euro. The stronger dollar pressured prices for commodities that are priced in the U.S. currency, such as oil.

"Investors have realized that the European sovereign debt crisis is not over," said James Shelton, chief investment officer at Kanaly Trust in Houston. Add concerns about the U.S. economy and waning monetary stimulus, he said, "and you're seeing investors reduce risk."

Stocks finished lower Friday, as the dollar rallied on worries over Greece's debt.

All stock indexes are down more than 2% this month. Both the Dow and S&P have posted weekly declines for three weeks in a row.

Looking ahead, there aren't a lot of reasons for optimism. Investors seem to have taken to heart the old Wall Street adage of "Sell in May, then go away."

* Big trouble with little Chinese stocks - StockTwits

After a strong round of first-quarter corporate earnings, investors are turning their attention to the outlook for the global economy, said Kevin Rendino, senior portfolio manager at BlackRock.

"We're entering one of those horrendous macro periods," he said.

Investors are also bracing for life without the billions of dollars the Federal Reserve has been pumping into the economy. The Fed's quantitative easing program is set to expire in June.

The U.S. housing market could be in focus early Tuesday, with the government's montly report on new home sales expected before the market opens. Later in the week, investors will take in a revised reading on second-quarter U.S. gross domestic product.

World markets: European stocks sank. Britain's FTSE 100 dropped 1.7%, while the DAX in Germany tumbled 2% and France's CAC 40 fell 1.9%.

Asian markets ended sharply lower. The Shanghai Composite plunged 3%, the Hang Seng in Hong Kong shed 2% and Japan's Nikkei declined 1.5%.

Preliminary data released Monday showing Chinese manufacturing dropped to a 10-month low in May only added to the selling pressure, as investors continued to worry about global growth, said Jones.

Commodities: Oil for July delivery fell $2.40 to settle at $97.70 a barrel.

Gold futures for June delivery rose $6.50 to $1,515.40 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury jumped, pushing the yield down to 3.13% Monday from 3.15% late Friday.

* Value stocks in vogue

Companies: Shares of entertainment products maker Sony (SNE) slipped nearly 4%. The company posted a $3.19 billion annual loss and cut its full-year earnings outlook to reflect damages of the earthquake and tsunami in Japan.

Shares of Krispy Kreme (KKD) jumped more than 20% after the doughnut maker beat earnings per share by 4 cents on strong sales.

Image

Image Yahoo! Finance - Market Update

4:30 pm : Concerted selling sent stocks down sharply to their lowest level in a month this session. The effort came amid renewed concern about global economic growth, the fiscal condition of countries in the eurozone periphery and, as a corollary, a stronger dollar.

Stocks gapped down at the open and never really made any effort to recover. Weakness was largely rooted in the negative reaction to news that eurozone linchpins Greece and France both saw their latest PMI Manufacturing readings make marked pullbacks to 58.2 and 55.0, respectively, from the prior month. The overall eurozone PMI Manufacturing reading also pulled back; it came in at 54.8.

A downwardly revised forecast for Italy's debt and a cut to Greece's rating during the weekend offered another reminder to traders about the tenuous conditions of the eurozone economy.

The euro retreated in the wake of those headlines. That bolstered buying in the greenback, which climbed to a near two-month high before easing off of that mark into the afternoon. At the end of the trading day, the dollar was up 0.6% against a basket of competing currencies.

Eurozone concerns and a stronger dollar culminated in one of the market's worst single-day drops in months and also made for a new monthly low.

No sector went unscathed, but defensive-oriented issues like consumer staples stocks (-0.7%) and telecom (-0.7%) managed to limit their collective losses to less than 1%.

Commodities were also clipped this session. Their overall weakness led the CRB Commodity Index to drop in excess of 1%.

Such widespread selling interest stoked volatility, although it cooled as the session progressed. In the early going the Volatility Index spiked toward 20 for the first time in about two months. It later eased off of that mark, but was still up roughly 5% as of the close of trade.

Increased volatility and concerted selling among equities compelled some traders to rotate into Treasuries. In turn, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note returned to its 2011 low near 3.10% before a few basis points were added back in afternoon action.

Advancing Sectors: (None)
Declining Sectors: Consumer Staples (-0.7%), Telecom (-0.7%), Consumer Discretionary (-0.9%), Materials (-1.0%), Health Care (-1.0%), Utilities (-1.2%), Financials (-1.3%), Industrials (-1.4%), Energy (-1.5%), Tech (-1.5%)DJ30 -130.78 NASDAQ -44.42 NQ100 -1.5% R2K -1.8% SP400 -1.6% SP500 -15.90 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 487/1.80 bln/2117 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 615/865 mln/2379

3:30 pm : Concerns about sovereign debt issues in Europe dictated the direction of some commodities today. July crude oil, which shed 2.4% to close at $97.70 per barrel, sold off as investors looked for safer havens. June gold, which finished up 0.4% to $1515.50 per ounce, was one of those havens. Gold prices have continued to push higher in electronic trade. July silver ended lower by 0.5% to $34.91 per ounce. In overnight trade it sold off on the back of a stronger dollar, but it was unable to recoup all of its losses.

June natural gas finished higher by 2.8% to $4.35 per MMBtu. Hotter than average temps in parts of the US helped natural gas higher today. DJ30 -117.31 NASDAQ -38.39 SP500 -14.10 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 614/1.4 bln/1987 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 638/582.8 mln/2339

3:00 pm : Stocks recently stretched to a session high. However, the move has failed to generate the momentum necessary for an actual rally to take hold. Instead, the tone of trade remains decidedly downbeat.

Given the negative slant to today's trade, declining share volume has outpaced advancing share volume by more than 5-to-1 on the NYSE. Overall share volume on the Big Board currently stands at little more than a half billion, which is about even with the pace of trade in recent weeks.

Treasuries have been slowly surrendering their gains in recent trade. Their drift lower has taken the benchmark 10-year Note back to the neutral line after its early gain had trimmed its yield back down to its 2011 low near 3.10%. DJ30 -111.44 NASDAQ -37.21 SP500 -13.87 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 601/1.27 bln/1987 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 648/535 mln/2316

2:30 pm : The Dollar Index has eased off of its afternoon high so that it is now up 0.6% for the day. That has given some light relief to the stock market, which is now at its best level since morning trade. Overall losses remain on the order of 1% or more, though.DJ30 -122.60 NASDAQ -39.17 SP500 -14.67 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 566/1.18 bln/2026 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 606/490 mln/2356

2:00 pm : Stocks have spent most of the session drifting sideways in a narrow range near session lows, but they have managed to make a very minor upturn in recent trade. All three of the major equity averages are still trading with losses in excess of 1%, though.

Pressure against commodities also remains stiff and steady. As a result, the CRB Commodity Index continues to contend with a loss of more than 1% as well. A 2.4% drop in oil prices to $97.70 per barrel has weighed heavily on the CRB. DJ30 -131.50 NASDAQ -43.74 SP500 -15.66 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 490/1.08 bln/2096 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 524/450 mln/2439

1:30 pm : Weakness remains widespread as sellers continue to apply steady selling pressure. Today's slump comes hand in hand with marked losses among many of the major global indices. Combined weakness has the Dow Jones Global Index down 2.0% to a new two-month low.DJ30 -156.36 NASDAQ -48.68 SP500 -18.15 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 484/1.00 bln/2096 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 527/420 mln/2422

1:00 pm : Stocks have been under sharp pressure all session. The slide has taken the major equity averages down to their lowest levels in a month.

Concerns about the state of finances among countries in the eurozone periphery returned to the forefront via a downwardly revised outlook for Italy's debt and a downgrade on the debt of Greece during the weekend. Questions about the continent's growth trajectory came into focus after both Germany and France reported marked declines in their monthly PMI Manufacturing readings.

The disappointing data has sent the euro lower. The dollar's response has been a 0.8% climb to it's best level in almost two months.

Sentiment has been soured by the greenback's heady gain and the disappointing data from Europe. In turn, each of the 10 major sectors has fallen to a loss. Only defensive-oriented consumer staples stocks (-0.7%), telecom issues (-0.8%), and utilities (-0.8%) have limited losses to less than 1%.

Amid the market's retreat, volatility has climbed sharply. The Volatility Index is currently up more than 6%, but it had been up even more than that earlier today, when it pushed to 20 for the first time in about two months.

Volatility and selling among stocks has stirred support for Treasuries, such that buying in the benchmark 10-year Note has sent its yield back to its 2011 low near 3.10%. DJ30 -150.38 NASDAQ -45.43 SP500 -17.09 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 493/939 mln/2081 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 503/390 mln/2436

12:30 pm : Weakness among stocks continues to bolster buying interest among Treasuries, although the bounce by Treasuries hasn't been anything dramatic. More specifically, the benchmark 10-year Note is up about a dozen ticks. Still, that's enough to take the yield on the Note back toward its 2011 low.DJ30 -153.56 NASDAQ -48.47 SP500 -17.49 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 428/857 mln/2125 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 490/355 mln/2428

12:00 pm : Europe's major bourses are now closed for the day. Losses were steep -- Britain's FTSE fell to a 1.6% loss; Germany's DAX dropped 1.8%; France's CAC closed 1.8% lower; Spain's IBEX sank 1.4%, and; Portugal's PSI gave up 0.4%. Weakness in Europe was largely owed to disappointing data in the latest round of PMI Manufacturing readings. Fiscal concerns also continue to weigh on sentiment there.

Weakness abroad has imbued the bias of domestic traders. As such, stocks have spent the entire session trading with marked declines, which have culminated in losses of more than 1% for the major equity averages. DJ30 -162.26 NASDAQ -48.49 SP500 -18.27 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 422/760 mln/2109 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 490/314 mln/2412

11:30 am : Consumer staples and utilities stocks have managed to limit their losses this session to less than 1%, but only barely. They are down 0.8% and 0.9%, respectively.

The two sectors have been helped by their defensive posture. Procter & Gamble (PG 67.16, -0.20) has been a source of support for the consumer staples sector while Dean Foods (DF 13.53, +0.17) has actually put together a gain. Although Edison International (EIX 39.77, +0.05) is the only name in the sector that is currently in higher ground, the rest of the space has successfully contained losses. DJ30 -157.46 NASDAQ -47.85 SP500 -17.75 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 434/645 mln/2085 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 490/265 mln/2366

11:00 am : Steady pressure has left stocks to continue to slog along near their session lows. Corresponding selling interest has stoked volatility, such that the Volatility Index is up 6% so that it is back near its monthly high.

The dollar recently eased back a bit, but it has since regathered upward momentum. It is now back to sporting a 0.8% gain. DJ30 -142.47 NASDAQ -45.44 SP500 -16.03 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 398/528 mln/2083 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 485/218 mln/2363

10:35 am : Strength in the dollar index, which is currently up 0.6%, has caused selling pressure in the majority of the commodity complex this morning with crude oil and copper two of the worst performers.

Crude oil futures have been in the red all morning. Crude hit new session lows of $96.64 five minutes after pit trading began and is now trading near its 50-day moving average at $97.53/barrel, down 2.6%.

Natural gas is one of a few commodities trading higher and is currently the best performing commodity so far in today's session. The energy component has been in positive territory since around 7:00am EST and is now up 2.8% at $4.41/MMBtu.

Precious metals are in positive territory again, but just showing modest gains. About 40 minutes ago, both precious metals gained steam. This pushed gold into positive territory and it's remained there since, now at $1514.60 per ounce, up 0.4%. Silver just moves back into positive territory and is now up 0.1% at $35.13 per ounce.

Overnight, agriculture commodities traded lower with wheat showing declines of 11 cents (or 1.4%) at $7.96/bu, soybeans fell 7 cents to $13.73/bu, while corn fell less than 1 cent (-0.07%), keeping it at $7.59/bu. Pit trading in the grains just began a couple of min ago and corn is + 6 cents at $7.65/bu, wheat is -7 cents at $7.99/bu and soybeans are -6 at $13.74/bu.DJ30 -145.61 NASDAQ -49.98 SP500 -15.94 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 365/349.9 mln/2074 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 421/156.0 mln/2379

10:00 am : Declining issues currently outnumber advancers by about 8-to-1 on the NYSE. Gold stocks like Newmont Mining (NEM 55.12, +1.04) and its peer Barrick Gold (ABX 45.82, +0.22) are among the few that have attracted support.

Gold stocks have been helped by a 0.3% gain in the price of the physical metal, which was last quoted at $1513 per ounce. Gold's gain comes in the face of a stronger dollar, which is currently off of its morning high, but it continues to sport a strong gain of 0.6% against a basket of major foreign currencies.

Advancing Sectors: (None)
Declining Sectors: Consumer Staples (-0.4%), Utilities (-0.6%), Financials (-0.8%), Health Care (-0.9%), Consumer Discretionary (-1.0%), Telecom (-1.0%), Materials (-1.3%), Energy (-1.5%), Industrials (-1.6%), Tech (-1.6%)DJ30 -136.76 NASDAQ -47.88 SP500 -15.67 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 305/162 mln/2075 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 318/94 mln/2434

09:45 am : Stocks are down sharply in the first few minutes of trade. The slide has taken each of the major equity averages to its lowest level in a month.

The stock market's weakness is largely due to the dollar's advance against competing currencies. In fact, the Dollar Index is up 0.7%, which puts it at its best level in almost two months.

Consumer staples stocks have done the best job of limiting their losses. The sector is down only 0.5%. In contrast, industrial stocks are collectively down by 1.5%, which makes them this morning's worst performing sector. DJ30 -138.72 NASDAQ -45.66 SP500 -15.88 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 251/55 mln/2079 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 240/50 mln/2113

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -16.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -30.30. Stock futures point to a sharply lower start to the new week. The negative bias comes as the dollar stages a strong gain and concerted selling interest takes hold of the major foreign markets following some disappointing data. Many commodities have also been clipped in the wake of the greenback's gain, which currently stands at 0.8%, relative to a basket of major foreign currencies. Premarket participants have been without corporate news and domestic data, so there hasn't been anything to improve the mood ahead of the open. However, that has helped safety plays like Treasuries. Gold is currently clinging to a fractional gain while most of the commodities complex comes under a bout of selling pressure.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -15.70. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -29.30. Strength in the dollar, which was last quoted with a 0.8% gain against a basket of major foreign currencies, has put pressure on many commodities. In turn, the CRB Commodity Index is down 1.3%. Crude oil is under some of the most pressure -- it is down 3.1% to $97.00 per barrel in the first few minutes of pit trade. Natural gas prices are up a heady 1.0% to $4.33 per MMBtu, however. Meanwhile, gold prices are up 0.2% to $1511 per ounce. The yellow metal has been helped by interest in safety, although its price is off of its morning high near $1513 per ounce. Silver prices have fallen 1.2% to $34.68 per ounce.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -15.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -29.10. Disappointing data from the eurozone has the region's bourses under sharp pressure. As such, Germany's DAX is down a dramatic 2.0%. Weakness is widespread in the wake of news that the country's Manufacturing PMI for May fell to 58.2 from 62.0 in the prior month while its Services PMI fell to 54.9 for May from 56.8 in April. Banking plays Deutsche Bank (DB) and Commerzbank have been among the heaviest drags on trade. France's CAC is also down 2.0%. All 40 components are under pressure; what's more, not one of them is trading with a loss of less than 1%. Losses on the order of 4% have made Credit Agricole and Alcatel-Lucent (ALU) the two worst performers. Such sharp selling has come mostly in response to news that France's Manufacturing PMI fell to 55.0 for May from 57.5 in April. Meanwhile, its Services PMI for May eased down to 62.8 from 62.9 for the prior month. Britain's FTSE is off by 1.7%. Losses are also broad there, but natural resource plays are suffering some of the sharpest declines. As for action in the eurozone's periphery, Spain's IBEX is down 1.4%, but Italy's MIB is off by 3.3%. Italy's debt rating outlook was downgraded by analysts at S&P during the weekend. Greece's Athex 20 has given up 0.7% after its debt was downgraded by analysts at Fitch.

Overnight trade in Asia was also weak. As such, Japan's Nikkei dropped to a 1.5% loss. Tokyo Electric Power was, once again, one of the worst performers. Sony (SNE) suffered only a relatively modest loss, but the after the close the company reduced its forecast. It was also recently learned that Warner Music Group (WMG) rejected the takeover offer made by Sony. As for economic data, Japan's final reading for its March Leading Index hit 100.1, which is up slightly from the preliminary reading of 99.5. Hong Kong's Hang Seng was sent to a 2.1% loss. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite tumbled 2.9% for its worst single-session drop in several months. Selling interest in China was partially fueled by a multi-month low in the country's HSBC PMI, which came in at 51.1 for May. Pressure also came in response to renewed strength in the dollar, which is at its best level in nearly two months. Most of the greenback's recent gains have come against the euro.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -15.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -29.30. Concerted selling abroad has carried over into premarket trade. The negative tone takes root in some disappointing eurozone data, namely marked drops in manufacturing PMI for Germany, France, and the broader eurozone during May. Also weighing on sentiment are ongoing concerns about the fiscal health of countries in the eurozone periphery, like Italy, which had its outlook downgraded during the weekend by analysts at S&P. The euro has also been hurt by the headlines. In turn, the dollar has made a strong climb, which has exacerbated premarket weakness. Nothing is on the economic calendar for today.

06:50 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -15.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -29.30.

06:50 am : Nikkei...9460.63...-146.50...-1.50%. Hang Seng...22711.02...-488.40...-2.10%.

06:50 am : FTSE...5855.94...-92.60...-1.60%. DAX...7137.30...-129.50...-1.80%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1.708.572.4885
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