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 Post subject: May 10th Tuesday 2011 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +7.70
PostPosted: Tue May 10, 2011 4:21 pm 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Attachment:
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click on the above image to view today's trading summary

Trade Performance for Today: +7.70 points or $770.00 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs provides details about each trade from entry to exit along with commentary as the trade traversed...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=90&t=839.

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=180.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=138&t=1058

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Image Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED actions, global economics that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that's arguably just as important as my technical analysis.

Image CNNMoney.com - Deals Push Stocks Higher For Third Day
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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

By Ken Sweet, contributing writer
May 10, 2011: 4:15 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stocks rose for third straight day on Tuesday, as investors were bolstered by Microsoft's $8.5 billion deal to buy Skype, along with solid corporate earnings reports and economic data.

"There are just a lot of strong numbers, from earnings to economic data, that keep pushing this market higher," said Frank Davis, director of sales and trading at LEK Securities.

At the preliminary close, the Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) rose 76 points, or 0.6%, to close at 12,761; the S&P 500 (SPX) gained 11 points, or 0.8%, to 1,357; and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (COMP) added 29 points, or 1%, to close at 2,872.

Shares of Intel (INTC, Fortune 500), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500) and Cisco (CSCO, Fortune 500) were among the Dow's top performers, all rising by more than 1%, while Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500) was the biggest drag on the blue-chip index, falling 0.5%.

* Video - Microsoft's Skype call

Leading the Dow was media giant Disney (DIS, Fortune 500), whose shares rose more than 2% ahead of the company's quarterly results after the closing bell. Analysts are expecting the media company to post a profit of 56 cents a share.

Investors also focused on U.S. import-export data, wholesale inventories and quarterly home prices, as well as the strong Chinese trade report.

Early Tuesday, the Chinese government said China's trade surplus surged to $11.43 billion in April, growing for the second month in a row.

While stocks continue to move higher, there are signs that Wall Street is becoming more defensive. Utilities were among Tuesday's top performers, with companies such as ConEd (ED, Fortune 500), Pacific Gas & Electric (PGE) and American Electric Power (AEP, Fortune 500) all up at least 1%. Healthcare stocks, another defensive sector, were also doing well.

"When you see those sectors outperforming the broader market, that's a signal that investors are getting more cautious," said Quincy Krosby, chief market strategist with Prudential Financial. "I think we're beginning a topping-out process for stocks, unless the economic data like jobless claims starts to improve."

U.S. stocks rose Monday, as commodity prices bounced back. But the gains were tempered by worries about the fiscal crisis in Greece.

Economy: U.S. home prices continued their sharp drop during the first three months of the year, according to a report by the National Association of Realtors. The average price on a single family home in the U.S. now stands at $158,700, down 4.6% from a year ago.

The price of imports into the United States increased 2.2% in April, while exports only advanced 1.1%, according to a report released by the Labor Department.

The Commerce Department said wholesale inventories rose 1.1% in March, which was in line with forecasts.

Companies: Cisco shares rose 1% ahead of its quarterly results on Wednesday after the closing bell. Analysts are looking for the telecommunications and router company to earn 37 cents a share.

Shares of eBay (EBAY, Fortune 500), which owns a 35% stake in Skype, rose 2.5% in midday trading.

Dean Foods (DF, Fortune 500)' stock surged 11%, after the dairy company easily trounced earnings expectations and raised its outlook, citing improving demand.

Shares of Intercontinental Hotels (IHG), which owns Holiday Inn, rose 4% after the company reported a 30% jump in profit.

Google (GOOG, Fortune 500) unveiled its cloud-based music service on Tuesday, which will allow users to upload music for later streaming.

World markets: European stocks ended solidly higher. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 1.3%, the DAX in Germany advanced 1.3% and France's CAC 40 ticked higher 1.1%.

Asian markets finished higher. The Shanghai Composite edged up 0.6% and Japan's Nikkei rose 0.3%. Hong Kong's stock market was closed for a holiday.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar rallied against the euro, the Japanese yen and the British pound.

Oil for June delivery rose $1.13, or 1.1%, to $103.63 a barrel.

Gold futures for June delivery rose $15, or 2.2%, to $1,518 an ounce.

Silver futures for July delivery gained $1.50, or 4%, to $38.66 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury edged lower, with the yield rising to 3.17%.

Image

Image Yahoo! Finance - Market Update

4:30 pm : After falling for four straight sessions, the stock market has put together a string of three straight gains. The climb has been underpinned by the buy-the-dip mentality that traders have followed for the past couple of years.

Despite uncertainty about the future of monetary policy, the fiscal health of the eurozone states, growth and interest rates in China, and geopolitical tensions at various points across the globe, the tone of trade has turned decidedly upbeat during the course of the past few sessions. Participants have been confident that buying stocks following a series of losses will ultimately lead to gains, given that the market's resilience has made it quick to recover from any short-term setbacks ever since it bottomed in early 2009.

Strong earnings have been a source of fundamental support for the stock market's climb up from its bear market low, although it can be conceded that reports in recent weeks have had less of an influence over broad market action, given the lack of blue chips and bellwethers in the reporting lineup.

Microsoft (MSFT 25.67, -0.16) came out today to announced that it will pay $8.5 billion to acquire Skype. However, the stock failed to find favor. Evidently investors would have preferred different use of the firm's cash hoard, which included $7 billion in cash and equivalents and another $43 billion in short term investments at the end of the first quarter.

In other corporate news, Boston Scientific (BSX 7.02, -0.69) President and CEO, Ray Elliott, will retire at the end of this year. That announcement dropped the stock to a new one-month low.

Treasuries managed to limit their losses in the face of a stronger equity market. Their recovery came after session lows were set following solid auction results for $32 billion in 3-year Notes. The auction drew a bid-to-cover of 3.29, dollar demand of $105.3 billion, and an indirect bidder participation rate of 34.4%.

After advancing solidly this last Thursday Friday, the dollar has ended lower in each of the past two trading days. Today's loss was only about 0.2%.

Advancing Sectors: Consumer Discretionary (+1.3%), Utilities (+1.3%), Telecom (+1.1%), Financials (+0.9%), Tech (+0.9%), Industrials (+0.8%), Materials (+0.7%), Consumer Staples (+0.6%), Health Care (+0.6%)
Declining Sectors: (None)DJ30 +75.68 NASDAQ +28.64 NQ100 +0.9% R2K +1.6% SP400 +1.1% SP500 +10.87 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1910/2.02 bln/648 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2448/831 mln/563

3:30 pm : June gold finished higher by 0.9% to $1516.30 per ounce, while July silver ended up 3.7% to $38.49 per ounce as the precious metals extended their bounce to a third consecutive session. Inflation and geopolitical concerns helped the precious metals finish higher. Both metals have continued their move higher in electronic trade.

In a move similar to that of yesterday's close, June crude oil, which closed higher by 1.3% to $103.88 per barrel, traded to its highest levels of the session at $103.95. Yesterday's news that the CME would raise margins on prices, effective at the close of business today, had little impact on trade. Instead, the surge in RBOB gasoline prices (stemming from possible supply disruptions due to the flooding taking place in the Midwest and South), coupled with geopolitical concerns, pushed prices higher today. June natural gas gained 2.2% to end at $4.24 per MMBtu. DJ30 +95.43 NASDAQ +29.74 SP500 +12.97 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1896/1.6 bln/661 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2433/547.1 mln/564

3:30 pm : June gold finished higher by 0.9% to $1516.30 per ounce, while July silver ended up 3.7% to $38.49 per ounce as the precious metals extended their bounce to a third consecutive session. Inflation and geopolitical concerns helped the precious metals finish higher. Both metals have continued their move higher in electronic trade.

In a move similar to that of yesterday's close, June crude oil, which closed higher by 1.3% to $103.88 per barrel, traded to its highest levels of the session at $103.95. Yesterday's news that the CME would raise margins on prices, effective at the close of business today, had little impact on trade. Instead, the surge in RBOB gasoline prices (stemming from possible supply disruptions due to the flooding taking place in the Midwest and South), coupled with geopolitical concerns, pushed prices higher today. June natural gas gained 2.2% to end at $4.24 per MMBtu. DJ30 +95.43 NASDAQ +29.74 SP500 +12.97 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1896/1.6 bln/661 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2433/547.1 mln/564

3:00 pm : A recent flurry of buying interest has boosted stocks up to fresh session highs. The move coincides with a dip by the dollar back into the red to trade with a fractional loss.

The S&P 500 is now flirting with a 1% gain. Consumer discretionary stocks and utilities stocks are still this session's top performers. They are up 1.3% and 1.5%, respectively.

The broad market lift has helped health care stocks climb off of the flat line. The sector now sports a solid gain of 0.5%. That matches the consumer staples sector's performance. DJ30 +78.90 NASDAQ +26.04 SP500 +11.03 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1794/1.45 bln/741 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2399/500 mln/592

2:30 pm : Stocks continue to move along sideways in a relatively narrow trading range. Although that has made for a rather unexciting afternoon of trade, it has helped stocks hold steady to their gains.

Nokia (NOK 8.76, +0.35) has been a standout, though. The stock's push higher comes amid heavy volume, making it one of today's most actively traded names. The acton comes after shares of NOK underperformed in the past couple of sessions. Still, shares remain about 7% below last week's high. Their dive from that mark came after the company paid its annual dividend. DJ30 +48.93 NASDAQ +18.06 SP500 +7.41 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1724/1.31 bln/801 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2321/450 mln/640

2:00 pm : Corporate news flow remains slow. Possibly the biggest announcement of the day is the decision by Microsoft (MSFT 25.54, -0.30) to acquire Skype for $8.5 billion. Investors have long called for the company to invest some of the cash that it keeps in its coffers -- the company's first quarter balance sheet featured more than $7 billion in cash and equivalents and another $43 billion in short term investments -- but the decline in shares of MSFT suggests that the market's reaction to this decision isn't exactly decidedly positive.DJ30 +53.43 NASDAQ +17.31 SP500 +7.61 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1722/1.19 bln/789 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2304/413 mln/661

1:30 pm : Treasuries have moved slightly lower in the minutes that followed results for a $32 billion auction of 3-year Notes. The yield on the 3-year Note now sits at 0.957% while the yield on the 10-year Note is at 3.18%.

The slip comes even though the auction saw surprisingly strong demand. The auction drew a bid-to-cover of 3.29, dollar demand of $105.3 billion, and an indirect bidder participation rate of 34.4%. For comparison, the prior auction drew a bid-to-cover of 3.25, dollar demand of $104.0 billion, and an indirect bidder participation rate of 33.7%. An average of the past six auctions gives a bid-to-cover of 3.12, dollar demand of $99.8 billion, and an indirect bidder participation rate of 34.5%. DJ30 +44.76 NASDAQ +14.61 SP500 +6.24 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1704/1.10 bln/795 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2271/380 mln/671

1:00 pm : The major equity averages are up with solid gains for the third straight session. The stretch of buying follows four straight losses.

Stocks sagged last week before buyers stepped back into the fold on Friday. Renewed support at the start of this week helped stocks gain traction and build momentum, which has reflected the buy-the-dip mentality that traders have held for so long.

Stocks have added to gains in the face of renewed concerns about the health of Greece's finances, although Greece helped quell those concerns with a successful short-term debt offering.

China's economic growth, and interest rates as a corollary, also remains in the backdrop. The country reported for April a 29.9% increase in imports after a 35.8% increase in the prior month. Its exports increased by 21.8% after a 27.3% jump in March.

Buying interest in the past few sessions has varied in its focus. Today, utilities stocks have actually attracted the most favor. Despite their stodginess, the sector is up 1.3% while the Dow Jones Utility Average is up 1.4% to its highest level in more than two years. Consumer discretionary stocks, up 0.9%, are also in strong shape.

Health care stocks have remained near the flat line for the past couple of hours. Boston Scientific (BSX 6.99, -0.72) has been a considerable burden on the space, following news that its President and CEO will retire.

Energy stocks have had a hard time establishing a clear direction of trade. The sector has handed back a chunk of its morning rebound to trade with a gain of just 0.2%. Its recent slip comes amid a dip by oil prices back to the flat line at about $102.55 per barrel. It had been up around $103.70 per barrel at its session high. DJ30 +45.98 NASDAQ +15.23 SP500 +5.83 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1722/958 mln/745 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2235/348 mln/675

12:30 pm : Results from a $32 billion auction of 3-year Notes are due at the top of the hour. The yield on the Note has barely budged today; it was last quoted at 0.96%. Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year Note is up narrowly to 3.17%.

As for fixed income securities abroad, Britain's 3-year Note currently yields 1.41% while its 10-year issue yields 3.28%. Germany's 3-year Note currently yields 1.95% while its 10-year Bund yields 3.12%. Among the less fiscally sound eurozone countries, Spain's 3-year Note currently yields 3.99% while its 10-year Note yields 5.27%. DJ30 +47.83 NASDAQ +16.35 SP500 +6.83 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1737/920 mln/731 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2247/314 mln/668

12:00 pm : Stocks have steadied themselves following a recent slip. They remain shy of session highs, however.

Health care stocks have had a hard time finding support this session; the sector is currently mired near the neutral line. Boston Scientific (BSX 6.98, -0.73) has been a burden on the sector. The company's President and CEO, Ray Elliott, announced that he will retire at the end of this year. DJ30 +49.87 NASDAQ +15.93 SP500 +6.62 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1715/820 mln/737 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2238/280 mln/649

11:30 am : The stock market has turned downward in recent trade, but overall gains remain solid. Despite the broad market's slip, the utilities sector has continued to climb so that it is now up 1.5% to a fresh session high. Power generation plays like Exelon (EXC 42.38, +1.19) and Constellation Energy (CEG 36.92, +1.21) are leaders in the utilities space. Their strength has actually lifted the Dow Jones Utility Average to a 1.5% gain, which puts the Average at its highest level since 2008.DJ30 +43.70 NASDAQ +12.39 SP500 +5.55 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1723/699 mln/701 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2246/235 mln/606

11:00 am : Financials lagged yesterday, but the sector has rallied to a 0.9% gain this session. It strength is underpinned by diversified financial services plays like Bank of America (BAC 12.35, +0.16) and investment banks like Morgan Stanley (MS 25.50, +0.42). Insurance giant AIG (AIG 29.44, -0.26) has failed to find much support, though.

Energy stocks have recovered from their morning decline. The sector is now up 0.5%, thanks largely to leadership from refiners like Tesoro (TSO 26.24, +0.45) and Sunoco (SUN 42.45, +0.60). DJ30 +64.71 NASDAQ +18.64 SP500 +8.32 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1709/575 mln/679 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2206/185 mln/629

10:30 am : Despite modest strength in the dollar, most commodities are trading higher this morning.

Sugar futures, which are 4.1% higher, are the top performing commodities play of the day. Silver is following as it extends its prior session advance to sport a 3.5% gain at $38.42 per ounce. Silver spent most of the overnight session in a one dollar range between $37 and $38 per ounce.

As for gold, the yellow metal has also extended yesterday's advance. It was lst quoted with a 0.8% gain at $1515.20 per ounce. However, gold did encounter some selling interest with the start of floor trade. Prior to that, the precious metal was as high as $1518.90 pe ounce.

Energy prices are mixed this morning. Specifically, oil prices have been unable to push out of the red, but the energy component has remained above $100 per barrel. It was last quoted with a 0.2% loss at $102.36 per barrel after being as low as $100.15 per barrel. Natural gas prices are currently up 0.8% to $4.25 per MMBtu.DJ30 +7.71 NASDAQ +17.80 SP500 +7.86 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1668/393.7 mln/627 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2161/133.7 mln/637

10:00 am : Stocks recently made a modest push higher. The move has been particularly beneficial to consumer discretionay stocks, which are now up with a collective gain of 0.7%. Fossil (FOSL 102.74, +8.74) is especially strong following its latest quarterly report, which featured better-than-expected earnings for the latest quarter. Meanwhile, energy stocks continue to lag. As such, Exxon Mobil (XOM 82.85, -0.33) remains in the red.DJ30 +52.64 NASDAQ +19.46 SP500 +7.13 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1644/190 mln/605 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1897/70 mln/748

09:45 am : The broad market is up with a modest gain in the early going. Despite their stodginess, utilities stocks have run ahead so that they collectively trade as this morning's top performing sector; the group is up 0.8%.

In contrast to the prior session, energy stocks are under pressure. Specifically, energy stocks outperformed yesterday by putting together a 1.6% gain, but this monring the sector has already fallen 0.6%. DJ30 +15.89 NASDAQ +7.59 SP500 +4.07

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +4.10. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +5.80. Stocks have eased off of their morning highs, but they continue to point to a solid start. The bid this morning marks a continuation of the market's upward momentum. Recent buying interest, which actually began this past Friday, comes after stocks fell in four straight sessions. That reflects the buy-the-dip mentality that participants have followed for the past couple of years, and conveys a resilience that has helped contain selling efforts. Of course, some concerns remain. Among them, the fiscal health of Greece and other countries in the eurozone periphery. It was rumored yesterday that the country may need additional bailout funds, but despite that, the country held a successful debt offering earlier today. Issues related to inflation in China or geopolitical instability in the Middle East and North Africa, to name a couple, also remain on the radar.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +4.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +6.50. European equity markets have rallied to heady gains. As such, the EuroStoxx 50 is up 0.9%. Strength stems from a successful debt offering from Greece, despite recent concerns about its fiscal health. The auction featured 1.625 billion euros worth of 26-week bills that drew an average yield of 4.88%, which is about eight basis points above the previous auction's average yield. Greece's Athex 20 is up 1.7%. Germany's DAX is up 1.4%. Strength there is broad. Deutsche Post reported first quarter results that featured better-than-expected results for both its top and bottom lines. BASF was downgraded by analysts at ING. France's CAC has climbed to a 1.4% gain. All 40 of its components are in positive territory; financial issues Credit Agricole, Societe Generale, and BNP Paribas are leading the way. France reported that its industrial production during March fell by 0.9%, which contrasts with the 0.5% increase that was witnessed in the prior month. Manufacturing production fell 1.0% in March after a 0.9% increase in the prior month. Action in Britain has the FTSE up 1.2%. Miners are showing strength. Rio Tinto (RIO), BHP Billiton (BHP), and Anglo American were all given Buy ratings by analysts at RBS.

Action in Asia saw Japan's Nikkei muster a 0.3% gain. Sumitomo Heavy Industries surged in the wake of its latest quarterly report. Toshiba also advanced after announced results. Hong Kong's Hang Seng was closed. It was announced that retailer Coach (COH) intends to list its shares on the exchange. China's Shanghai Composite finished put together a 0.6% gain. Materials plays led the way. According to China's latest trade data, the country's imports increased by 29.9% and its exports increased by 21.8% during April. They increased 35.8% and 27.3%, respectively, in the prior month.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +6.40. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +10.50. Stock futures continue to sport solid gains. Meanwhile, the dollar remains near its morning low as it trades with a 0.1% loss against a basket of major foreign currencies. There hasn't been any real reaction to the latest batch of import and export prices. Excluding agricultural items, exports increased by 1.0% during April. That followed a 1.4% increase in March. As for import prices, excluding oil, they increased by 0.6% in April after a 0.7% increase in the prior month.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +5.70. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +11.70. Stock futures suggest that the major equity averages are ready to extend the prior session's advance. The bid comes on the back of renewed buying interest abroad, where the completion of a debt auction by Greece has helped many of the major European bourses bounce to gains greater than 1%. Overall interest in commodities has cooled since yesterday, but silver has managed to climb another 3.9% to $38.58 per ounce this morning. News flow has been generally slow this morning, but Microsoft (MSFT) recently announced that it has entered into an agreement to purchase Skype for $8.5 billion in cash. The acquisition had been rumored. Monthly import price data is due at the bottom of the hour. Results from an auction of 3-year Noes will be posted at 1:00 PM ET.

06:52 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +5.60. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +7.50.

06:52 am : Nikkei...9818.76...+24.40...+0.30%. Hang Seng...Holiday.........

06:52 am : FTSE...6015.43...+72.70...+1.20%. DAX...7519.46...+109.90...+1.50%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1.708.572.4885
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