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 Post subject: April 14th Thursday 2011 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +16.00
PostPosted: Fri Apr 15, 2011 8:55 am 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Attachment:
041411-wrbtrader-PnL-Blotter-Profit-1600.png
041411-wrbtrader-PnL-Blotter-Profit-1600.png [ 70.98 KiB | Viewed 322 times ]

click on the above image to view today's trading summary

Quote:
Now that I'm completely finish with the tax work...I had a clear head for trading today. The best trade of the day was my first trade as Long position @ 0954am est when I exploited the key change in supply/demand that correlated with a key price area near yesterday's intraday lows on the regular session chart. If you have any questions about my trading, want more details about the trade signal behind a particular trade or want to reply about something stated in this message post...click here.

Trade Performance for Today: +16.00 points or $1600.00 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs provides details about each trade from entry to exit along with commentary as the trade traversed...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=88&t=811.

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=180.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=137&t=1015

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Image Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED actions, global economics that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that's arguably just as important as my technical analysis.

Image CNNMoney.com - Stocks Close Flat As Oil Rises Again
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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

By Ken Sweet, contributing writer
April 14, 2011: 4:45 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stocks ended Thursday's session mostly flat, erasing earlier losses as commodities and energy stocks climbed higher. The gains in oil offset weakness in the banking and technology sectors.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) rose 14 points, or 0.1%, to 12,285. The Dow was down as much as 107 points earlier in the session.

The S&P 500 (SPX) was effectively flat, closing at 1,315; and the tech heavy Nasdaq Composite (COMP) fell a point, or 0.1%, to 2,760.

"It's a lot of wait and see at the moment," said Frank Davis, director of sales and trading with LEK Securities.

Financial shares were the biggest laggard Thursday after the Senate issued a report late Wednesday that slammed Goldman Sachs as a "case study" of the recklessness and greed that set off the 2008 financial crisis.

Bank stocks were also lower after an announcement from the Federal Reserve that it plans to slap fines on some of the largest U.S. banks, alleging "unsafe and unsound practices" in how they handled foreclosures.

* Video - Senate slams Goldman Sachs

Shares of Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500) fell 3%, Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) lost 1%, and JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) shares were down 3%.

"A combination of the announcement by the Fed yesterday, plus the Senate's comments on Goldman Sachs in particular are weighing on the sector," said Richard Staite, U.S. banks analyst with Atlantic Equities.

Technology shares also dropped after industry tracking firms Gartner and IDC both said PC sales unexpectedly fell in the first quarter. Shares of Intel (INTC, Fortune 500), Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500) and Dell (DELL, Fortune 500) were all down between 1% and 3% each.

Offsetting the losses in tech and banking, energy stocks such as Chevron (CVX, Fortune 500) and Marathon Oil (MRO, Fortune 500) were higher as oil rebounded back over $108 a barrel.

Stocks rose slightly Wednesday, following President Obama's speech unveiling his plan to cut the U.S. budget deficit by $4 trillion over 12 years.

Economy: The Labor Department reported first-time jobless claims increased by 27,000, to a weekly total of 412,000. Wall Street was expecting initial claims to have totaled 385,000 claims last week.

"The jobless claims figure caught people by surprise," said Anthony Conroy, head trader at BNY ConvergEx Group.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Producer Price Index rose 0.7% in March. Prices at the wholesale level were expected to have risen 1.1%.

Companies: Shares of Google (GOOG, Fortune 500) dropped 5% in after-market hours after the company reported a 17% rise in earnings, but Google's results missed analysts' expectations.

The Internet search giant said it earned an adjusted profit of $8.08 a share in its first quarter, while analysts expected earnings of $8.10 a share, according to Briefing.com.
Zipcar, Acros Dorados pop in IPO debut

Shares of Arcos Dorados (ARCO) jumped 25%, following the South American company's initial public offering. Arcos Dorados is the largest franchisee of McDonald's restaurants worldwide.

Car sharing company Zipcar (ZIP) soared more than 65% on its first day of trading after its IPO.

World markets: European stocks closed moderately lower. Britain's FTSE dropped 0.8%, the DAX in Germany fell 0.4% and France's CAC lost 0.9%.

Asian markets ended mixed. The Shanghai Composite edged lower by 0.3% and the Hang Seng in Hong Kong slipped 0.5%, while Japan's Nikkei ticked up 0.1%.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar rose against the euro, but fell against the Japanese yen and the British pound.

Oil for May delivery rose $1.32 to $108.42 a barrel.

Gold futures for June delivery rose $19.30 at $1,474.40 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury edged lower, pushing the yield up to 3.48% from 3.47% late Wednesday.

Image

Image Yahoo! Finance - Market Update

4:35 pm : For the second straight session the stock market overcame selling pressure to finish flat. In both sessions stocks were able to do it without help from the financial sector.

Stocks dropped markedly in the first few minutes. Sellers were motivated by renewed weakness among several major foreign equity averages and a disappointing initial jobless claims count for the week ended April 9. Initial claims climbed 27,000 week-over-week to 412,000, which is greater than the 385,000 initial claims that had been widely expected. The surprisingly high tally marked the first time in more than a month that initial claims exceeded 400,000.

Separately, the Producer Price Index for March increased by 0.7%, which is less than the 1.1% increase that had been broadly expected. Excluding food and energy, producer prices for March increased by a much more tepid 0.3%, which is slightly greater than the 0.2% increase that had been expected, on average, among economists polled by Briefing.com.

Early pressure was primarily focused on tech stocks and financials. Although buying interest gradually emerged to help tech stocks pare losses, financials remained hampered by weakness among diversified bank stocks ahead of the latest report from Bank of America (BAC 13.13, -0.14) tomorrow morning. Investment bank stocks were also weak amid news that Goldman Sachs (GS 155.79, -4.38) has been accused by a Senate subcommittee for lying in a testimony during 2010. Additionally, Deutsche Bank (DB 60.57, -0.81) and Credit Suisse (CS 44.24, -0.42) were both downgraded by analysts at Societe Generale. Overall, the financial sector fell 0.9%, which comes on top of its 0.8% decline in the prior session.

Strong buying interest in consumer staples stocks and energy stocks helped lift the two sectors to gains of 0.6% gain, but the pair failed to provide much broad market leadership. Although their inability to provide a lift to the broader market left the major averages to settle near the neutral line, the flat finish actually represented considerable improvement over the tone of trade seen in the early going.

Waning negativity caused Treasuries to slip a bit. Results from the auction of 30-year Bonds didn't exactly bolster buying interest in the space. The auction drew a bid-to-cover of 2.83, dollar demand of $36.8 billion, and an indirect bidder participation rate of 47.2%.

Ongoing pressure against the greenback led the Dollar Index down to a new 52-week low. Amid the decline in the dollar, oil prices climbed back above $108 per barrel, while gold gained more than 1% to eclipse $1472 per ounce and silver surged 3.5% to $41.69 per ounce.

Advancing Sectors: Consumer Staples (+0.6%), Energy (+0.6%), Health Care (+0.5%), Utilities (+0.5%), Materials (+0.3%), Telecom (+0.2%)
Unchanged: Industrials
Declining Sectors: Consumer Discretionary (-0.3%), Tech (-0.3%), Financials (-0.9%)DJ30 +14.16 NASDAQ -1.30 NQ100 -0.2% R2K +0.4% SP400 +0.0% SP500 +0.11 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1455/1.72 bln/1121 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1600/925 mln/1358

3:30 pm : Precious metals (+2.6%) led all commodities higher today, helped by a 3.5% rally in May silver, which closed at $41.69 per ounce. June gold also partook in the rally, after it gained 1.2% to end at $1472.40 per ounce. Weakness in the dollar, concerns about Greek sovereign debt, and a move higher in crude oil pushed precious metal prices higher today. The continuous gold contract pushed back towards its all time highs at $1478, notching session highs at $1475.20, while silver closed in on its recent ~31 yr highs (at $41.975) after posting highs at $41.78.

May natural gas gained 1.4% to close at $4.20 per MMBtu. This morning's smaller-than-expected inventory data pushed natural gas higher throughout the session. It pulled back modestly from session highs, at $4.26, heading into the close of pit trade. May crude oil posted gains for the second consecutive session after closing higher by 0.9% to $108.11 per barrel.DJ30 +30.05 NASDAQ -0.12 SP500 +2.10 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1350/1.3 bln/1192 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1540/617.6 mln/1410

3:00 pm : The Dow has made another attempt to poke into positive territory, but formidable resistance at the neutral line continues to keep it from puting together any kind of a gain. Gains also continue to elude the broader S&P 500, which recently made a move to session highs, but then ran into resistance at the flat line as well.DJ30 -5.60 NASDAQ -7.87 SP500 -1.59 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1218/1.21 bln/1290 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1390/570 mln/1554

2:30 pm : Financials continue to underperform the rest of the market. The sector's 0.8% loss comes amid weakness in diversified bank stocks, but also from investment banks. The latter space has been hurt by news that Goldman Sachs (GS 155.91, -4.26) has been accused by a Senate subcommittee for lying in a testimony during 2010. Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank (DB 60.35, -1.03) and Credit Suisse (CS 44.11, -0.55) were both downgraded by analysts at Societe Generale.DJ30 -4.54 NASDAQ -9.18 SP500 -1.43 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1081/1.11 bln/1420 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1303/527 mln/1627

2:00 pm : Stocks continue to slowly move down from their mid-day highs. That has given the Nasdaq a loss that is double that of the S&P 500, but triple what the Dow has endured. The Nasdaq's outsized loss comes after it had outperformed in the prior session.

Large-cap tech issues like Research In Motion (RIMM 52.96, -1.87), Cisco (CSCO 17.06, -0.19), and Microsoft (MSFT 25.20, -0.43) have been the heaviest burdens on the Nasdaq. DJ30 -27.70 NASDAQ -17.56 SP500 -4.31 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1053/1.04 bln/1440 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1268/493 mln/1640

1:30 pm : Stocks have been backed down a bit after attempting to stage a rally. The slip comes after the Dow failed to push through resistance into positive territory.

Results from the auction of 30-year Bonds were released at the top of the hour, but not much excitement has followed. The auction drew a bid-to-cover of 2.83, dollar demand of $36.8 billion, and an indirect bidder participation rate of 47.2%. For comparison, the prior auction drew a bid-to-cover of 3.02, dollar demand of $39.3 billion, and an indirect bidder participation rate of 40.7%. An average of the past six auctions gives a bid-to-cover of 2.61, dollar demand of $36.5 billion, and an indirect bidder participation rate of 40.3%. DJ30 -12.45 NASDAQ -13.40 SP500 -2.62 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1167/960 mln/1307 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1362/460 mln/1522

1:00 pm : Stocks were knocked down in the early going, but a gradual recovery has left them to trade in mixed fashion.

Early participants put pressure on stocks as they responded to renewed weakness among the major overseas markets and news that weekly initial jobless claims unexpectedly climbed back above 400,000. That overshadowed news about a moderation in producer inflation pressures.

Tech stocks and financials suffered some of the sharpest pressure in early trade. Although tech has halved its decline to a loss of about 0.5%, financials continue to grapple with a 0.8% loss. The financial sector's inability to rebound is largely the result of weakness among bank stocks in between yesterday's report from JPMorgan Chase (JPM 45.07, -1.18) and tomorrow's report from Bank of America (BAC 13.19, -0.08).

In contrast, consumer staples stocks have stretched ahead to a 0.6% gain, which makes them this session's top performing sector. Still, its lack of weight in the market has limited its leadership.

Although stocks still lack a clear-cut leader, an improved tone of trade among market participants has helped the broad market work its way back from this morning's slide. The effort has left the Dow to trade at the flat line while the S&P 500 is now off only fractionally. DJ30 -2.36 NASDAQ -7.49 SP500 -1.57 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1113/890 mln/1331 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1297/425 mln/1564

12:30 pm : The Dow and the S&P 500 have made an upward push that has them at session highs. The effort has actually left the Dow only a few points away from the flat line. The Nasdaq continues to lag its counterparts, though.

The Dollar Index is now down 0.4%, which puts it at a session low. The dollar's doldrums of late have come primarily as a result of strength in the euro and the yen. The euro was last quoted with a 0.4% gain at $1.45. Meanwhile, the yen is up 0.5% at 83.37 yen per dollar. The British pound has also garnered support today; it is up 0.6% to almost $1.64.

Crude oil prices and gold prices have rallied to gains of more than 1% amid the dollar's downturn. Oil prices were recently quoted at $108.40 per barrel while gold is trading hands at $1474 per ounce. DJ30 -3.74 NASDAQ -10.74 SP500 -1.77 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1054/816 mln/1388 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1233/392 mln/1630

12:05 pm : Stocks have steadied after another bout of selling pressure, but broad market leadership is still lacking. Of the major sectors, consumer staples (+0.4%) continue to display strength, but the sector's lack of weight has undermined its ability to lift the rest of the market.DJ30 -37.43 NASDAQ -13.79 SP500 -4.69 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 820/725 mln/1586 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 988/355 mln/1847

11:30 am : Stocks continue to drift deeper into negative territory, but they remain well above session lows.

Despite the broad market's lackluster action, JB Hunt Transportation (JBHT 47.57, +2.97) shares set a fresh 52-week high on the back of a better-than-expected earnings report and upside guidance, which comes in the face of elevated oil prices. The stock has eased off of its session high, but continues to sport a gain of almost 7%.

Strength in shares of JBHT have helped prop up the company's peers. In turn, the Dow Jones Transportation Index has put together a 0.2% gainDJ30 -43.74 NASDAQ -16.06 SP500 -5.04 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 829/612 mln/1565 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1025/302 mln/1782

11:00 am : Stocks recently worked their way up to morning highs, but a loss of momentum has left the major equity averages to start drifting lower again.

Defensive-oriented issues are trading with the most strength this morning. As such, utilities are up fractionally while telecom stocks are collectively up 0.2%. Consumer staples ares till this morning's best performing sector; they are up 0.3%.

Treasuries, a traditional safe haven, aren't seeing much buying, though. They had been up modestly in the early going, but now they are mixed.

As for the dollar, its doldrums continue. In turn, the Dollar Index is down 0.3% to trade near the 52-week low that it set overnight. DJ30 -40.41 NASDAQ -12.61 SP500 -4.43 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 898/490 mln/1418 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1103/250 mln/1644

10:35 am : May natural gas was in negative territory earlier this morning and around 7:00am ET it hit session lows of $4.06/MMBtu. It remained just above that level ahead of inventory data, but gained steam. Following the data, which showed a build of 28 bcf versus consensus of 35 bcf, nat gas spiked to new session highs of $4.20/MMBtu and is now trading at that level still, up 1.3%.

May crude oil was in the red this morning, but when pit trading began, the energy component rallied about $2/barrel to new session highs of $108.03/barrel. In current activity, crude is up 0.6% at $107.75/barrel.

Precious metals put in a small rally a couple of hours ago. June gold ran to new session highs of $1468.80/oz., while May silver pushed back up to overnight highs of $41.40/oz. Gold is currently 0.8% higher at $1467.80/oz and silver is showing gains of 2.9% at $41.39/oz and is the best performer in the CRB Commodity Index.DJ30 -42.87 NASDAQ -10.98 SP500 -4.14 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 757/335.4 mln/1513 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 801/187.4 mln/1916

10:00 am : Stocks have stabilized from their opening slide, but not until both the tech sector and the financial sector -- two of the broad market's most influential sectors -- were both down 1%.

Consumer staples stocks are showing the only sign of strength, but that is only because the sector has managed to remain at the flat line. Consumer staples giant Procter & Gamble (PG 63.12, +0.13) is a primary leader in its space.

Amid the stock market's early weaknes, Treasuries have managed to move a few ticks higher. The effort has the yield on the benchmark 10-Year Note at a weekly low.

Advancing Sectors: (None)
Unchanged: Consumer Staples
Declining Sectors: Tech (-0.9%), Financials (-0.9%), Consumer Discretionary (-0.8%), Industrials (-0.6%), Utilities (-0.5%), Energy (-0.5%), Telecom (-0.3%), Health Care (-0.3%), Materials (-0.2%)DJ30 -76.26 NASDAQ -19.04 SP500 -8.20 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 530/150 mln/1673 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 576/105 mln/2039

09:45 am : Stocks are under some early pressure. The selling effort has been relatively broad based, but tech stocks and financial plays have been hit with some of the sharpest pressure.

The tech sector's opening slide has left the group to contend with a 0.9% loss after they had outperformed in the prior session with a 0.7% gain. Google (GOOG 573.17, -3.11) has been caught up in the slide ahead of its quarterly report tonight.

As for financial plays, the sector has already shed 1%. Banks continue to feel the brunt of selling in the sector, even though bellwether JPMorgan Chase (JPM 45.30, -0.95) posted a strong report yesterday morning. Bank of America (BAC 13.11, -0.16) is scheduled to post its latest report tomorrow morning. DJ30 -77.57 NASDAQ -21.78 SP500 -8.59 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 408/33 mln/1650 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 351/36 mln/1807

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -8.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -18.70. Although stock futures are up from their morning lows, they continue to encounter pressure in response to weakness among major overseas markets and a disappointing initial jobless claims count. Less attention has been paid to a moderation in producer inflation pressures during March. There haven't been any corporate news items of considerable consequence this morning, so many traders are looking ahead to the latest report from Google (GOOG), which is tonight's headliner. Tomorrow morning brings the latest from Bank of America (BAC).

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -9.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -20.00. Europe's major bourses are under pressure again. Their backslide has already offset some of the gains that they staged yesterday. Germany's DAX advanced 1.1% in the prior session, but it is down 0.8% today. Meanwhile, France's CAC has fallen to a 1.2% loss after it advanced 0.7% yesterday. Weakness is widespread in that Alcatel-Lucent (ALU) and Danone are the only two names in the 40-member index to sport any kind of a gain. Strength in ALU marks an extension of the impressive advance that it staged in the prior session. Meanwhile, Danone's gain comes amid a positive response to the company's latest quarterly report. Britain's FTSE put together a 0.8% gain yesterday, but today it is down 1.0%. The United Kingdom's Nationwide Consumer Confidence reading for March came in at 44.0, up from 39.0 in February.

Japan's Nikkei mustered a 0.1% gain. Furukawa and Isuzu Motors were top performers; both advanced more than 7%. Tokyo and was one of the weakest issues with its near 2% loss. Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 0.5% while China's Shanghai Composite closed with a 0.2% loss. Real estate plays were pressured in response to the decision by analysts at Moody's to cut their outlook on China's property sector to negative from stable. The premise of the cut is partly owed to expectations that property developers will face challenges in securing onshore debt financing. New loans were the focus of China's latest dose of data. The country's new loans in March totaled 679.4 billion yuan, up from 535.6 billion yuan in February.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -9.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -21.70. Stock futures have slipped back toward morning lows in the wake of the latest dose of data. Most disappointment stems from news that initial jobless claims for the week ended April 9 totaled 412,000, which is a 27,000 week-over-week increase and also greater than the 385,000 initial claims that had been widely expected. Continuing claims declined to 3.68 million from 3.74 million, though. Separately, the Producer Price Index for March increased by 0.7%, which is less than the 1.1% increase that had been broadly expected. Excluding food and energy, producer prices increased a much more tepid 0.3% in March. The consensus among economists polled by Briefing.com had called for a 0.2% increase.

08:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -6.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -18.20. Futures for the major equity averages trail fair value by a decent margin as sluggish corporate news flow prompts premarket participants to take their cues from overseas markets, which have fallen under another fit of selling pressure. A couple of potential catalysts are on their way, though. The bottom of the hour brings the latest Producer Price Index and weekly jobless claims count. At 1:00 PM ET results from an auction of 30-year Bonds will be released. A few Fed speakers are also slated for today -- Minneapolis Fed President Kocherlakota (9:00 AM ET), Philadelphia Fed President Plosser (12:30 PM ET), and Richmond Fed President Lacker (6:45 PM ET). Google (GOOG) is scheduled to report its latest quarterly results after the close of today's trade; the stock was recently quoted with a modest loss ahead of the open.

07:00 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -8.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -22.50.

07:00 am : Nikkei...9653.92...+12.70...+0.10%. Hang Seng...24014.00...-121.00...-0.50%.

07:00 am : FTSE...5951.68...-58.80...-1.00%. DAX...7120.72...-57.30...-0.80%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1.708.572.4885
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