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 Post subject: April 11th Monday 2011 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +16.60
PostPosted: Mon Apr 11, 2011 4:47 pm 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Attachment:
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click on the above image to view today's trading summary

Quote:
A big difference in my profit level for today in comparison to Friday April 8th. That difference is via the fact that I didn't miss any of today's key price action when the price action entered WRB Zones. If you have any questions about my trading, want more details about the trade signal behind a particular trade or want to reply about something stated in this message post...click here.

Trade Performance for Today: +16.60 points or $1660.00 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs provides details about each trade from entry to exit along with commentary as the trade traversed...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=88&t=808.

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=180.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=137&t=1015

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Image Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED actions, global economics that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that's arguably just as important as my technical analysis.

Image CNNMoney.com - Stocks Under Pressure Ahead of Earnings
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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

By Ben Rooney, staff reporter
April 11, 2011: 4:15 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- U.S. stocks closed little changed Monday ahead of corporate reports due throughout the week.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) rose 1 point, or less than 0.1%, according to early tallies. The S&P 500 (SPX) slipped about 4 points, or 0.3%; the Nasdaq Composite (COMP) sank 9 points, or 0.3%.

Stocks posted broad-based gains earlier in the session on a spate of deal news and a drop in oil prices following talk of a cease fire in Libya. But the tone turned more cautious in the afternoon, as investors were awaiting the early results of the first-quarter reporting period.

After the market closed, Alcoa said it earned 28 cents per share in the first quarter, beating analysts' estimates by a penny.

JPMorgan (JPM, Fortune 500), another Dow component, and Google (GOOG, Fortune 500) are also slated to post results later this week.

As of last week, earnings for companies in the S&P 500 were expected to be up around 11% versus the first quarter of 2010, according to estimates from Thomson Reuters. Revenues are seen rising 8% in the quarter.

"The expectation is that the numbers will not disappoint," said Mark Luschini, chief investment strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott.

However, he said investors will be looking for clues on how companies are coping with rising prices for oil and other basic commodities. "I think that will be the real story this quarter," Luschini said.

In addition, the 3% pullback in oil prices weighed on shares of energy producers and industrial companies. Alcoa (AA, Fortune 500) and Caterpillar (CAT, Fortune 500) dragged on the Dow, while Exxon Mobil (XOM, Fortune 500) and Chevron (CVX, Fortune 500) were also weak.

"Oil sold off and the market is taking its cues from that," said Tom Schrader, a managing director at Stifel Nicolaus.

Investors also looked past comments from Janet Yellen, vice chairman of the Federal Reserve, who suggested that the central bank will remain accommodative for some time.

"That normally would have supported the market," said Schrader. "But it doesn't seem to be having any impact."

After a strong start to the year, trading could be choppy in the weeks ahead as stocks hover near the highest levels in over two years, said Steven Goldman, market strategist at Weeden & Co.

"The general feeling is that stocks are still priced to go higher," he said. "But a lot of people have already committed, which makes it more difficult to have a sharp advance."

* Video - NYSE rejects Nasdaq

Companies: Endo Pharmaceuticals (ENDP) announced plans to buy American Medical Systems (AMMD) for $2.9 billion in cash and stock. Shares of American Medical jumped 32%, while Endo stock rose 5%.

Communications services company Level 3 (LVLT) announced plans to buy rival Global Crossing (GLBC) in an all-stock deal valued at $3 billion.

Shares of Tyco (TYC) were up 3.5%, amid speculation that France's Schneider Electric is considering a bid for the Swiss industrial conglomerate.

On the down side, shares of Tenet Healthcare (THC, Fortune 500) sank 15% as the company filed suit against Community Health Systems, which is pursuing a hostile takeover bid for Tenet.

Shares of major U.S. automakers Ford and GM were also under pressure. Ford (F, Fortune 500) fell 3%, while GM (GM) was down 2.8%.

NYSE Euronext, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, said Sunday that its board rejected a takeover offer from the owner of Nasdaq and another rival exchange.

Economy: Late Friday, lawmakers pushed through a last-minute budget bill to keep the federal government open for business. Uncertainty about a possible shutdown kept investors on edge last week, sending stocks down on Friday.

While investors may welcome the deal -- because it creates more certainty about this year's government spending -- lawmakers will now refocus on even more difficult budget battles ahead. Questions still loom about raising the debt ceiling and dealing with long-term deficits in the 2012 budget.

World markets: London's FTSE ended flat, while the Dax in Frankfurt eased 0.2% and Paris' CAC-40 fell 0.6%, after an earthquake shook northeastern Japan -- sending a landslide into Iwaki City. That's the same region that was devastated by a deadly earthquake-tsunami on March 11.

Over the weekend, the Chinese government reported its first quarterly deficit in seven years, as imports outweighed exports by more than $1 billion.

That's a stark contrast to the first quarter of 2010, when China's General Administration of Customs reported a surplus of more than $13 billion.

Asian markets had already closed in the red prior to Monday's earthquake.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar rose against the euro and the British pound, but fell versus the Japanese yen.

Oil for May delivery slipped $3.62 to $109.19 a barrel.

Gold futures for June delivery fell $6.10 to $1,467.80 an ounce. Earlier in the session, the precious metal hit an intraday high of $1,478 an ounce.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury was little changed, with the yield unchanged from Friday at 3.57%.

Image

Image Yahoo! Finance - Market Update

4:35 pm : Both the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 fell to modest losses, but the Dow finished flat in another listless session of trade.

Stocks stayed near the neutral line during almost all of last week's trade. They were confined there by a lack of leadership. Such was the case again today.

Although the early tone of trade was mildly positive, the limited number of headlines failed to bolster buying interest ahead of the latest quarterly report from Dow component Alcoa (AA 17.77, -0.15). In turn, stocks were left to drift lower.

Uncertainty about what earnings season may have in store kept many traders on the sidelines. As a result, trading volume on the NYSE barely broke 800 million shares.

Those that did participate in today's trade failed to find inspiration from a few corporate deals, including the purchase of Global Crossing (GLBC 24.97, +10.17) by Level 3 (LVLT 1.70, +1.70) in a stock-for-stock transaction that values GLBC at $23.04 per share, which is a premium of more than 50% above its closing price from Friday. American Medical (AMMD 29.50, +7.17) will be acquired by Endo (ENDP 41.06, +0.21) for $30 per share, which is a premium of more than 30% over its closing price from last week.

NYSE Euronext (NYX 37.59, -1.11) issued a rejection of the takeover bid issued by Nadsaq (NDAQ 28.03, -0.42) and IntercontinentalExchange (ICE 120.55, +0.00) due to its commitment to combine with Deutsche Boerse.

A 2.5% drop in oil prices to $109.92 per barrel didn't do anything to spur buying interest in stocks either. Rather, energy stocks were sold off. The Energy Select SPDR (XLE 78.15, -1.57) shed 2%.

Frequent broad market leaders, financials fought off selling efforts to finish flat, as measured by the Financial Select SPDR (XLF 16.46, +0.00), while the Tech SPDR (XLK 25.89, -0.04) slipped only modestly. DJ30 +1.06 NASDAQ -8.91 SP500 -3.71 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 885/2.06 bln/1711 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 911/817 mln/2089

3:30 pm : Commodities finish mixed on the day. Industrials (+0.9%) were the largest advancing session, while energy (-1.2%) was the largest declining session.

May crude oil fell 2.5% to settle at $109.92 per barrel. Reports of a cease fire in Libya, coupled with reports of a large firm taking profits on a basket trade of commodities which included crude oil, weighed on prices today. It notched lows at $109.55 per barrel, but has extended its sell off in afterhours trade to notch fresh lows at $109.23. May natural gas finished higher by 1.8% to $4.11 per MMBtu. Today's gains came from a rebound following nat gas' recent six session sell off.

In overnight trade, May silver rallied to fresh ~31 yr highs at $41.97 per ounce, however by the close of pit trade today, it had given back all of those gains to finish near the flat line at $40.61 per ounce. Silver has extended its selloff in electronic trade, where it recently notched lows at $40.11 per ounce. It was an uneventful session for June gold, which finished lower by 0.5% to $1468.10 per ounce. DJ30 -12.15 NASDAQ -16.26 SP500 -5.82 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 883/1.6 bln/1708 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 867/528.1 mln/2118

3:00 pm : Stocks had been trying to make a move higher, but renewed selling pressure has sent the major equity averages another leg lower. In fact, the Dow is now at a fresh session low.

Even though selling pressure has picked up in recent trade, there hasn't been much share volume behind the move. Participation in the past few weeks has been anemic. Market watchers will be looking closely to see if trading volume increases with the arrival of earnings season in order to assess investor sentiment and willingness to put cash to work.

Volatility is actually down sharply today. In fact, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is down more than 6%. DJ30 -5.67 NASDAQ -14.58 SP500 -5.06 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 950/1.51 bln/1634 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 947/480 mln/2028

2:30 pm : The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite have slowly trimmed some of their losses, but both are still stuck in negative territory. Meanwhile, the Dow is trying to reclaim lost gains. Strength among blue chips remains modest, though.

Although the Dow's gain has been limited all day, it has steadily outperformed its counterparts. Most of its relative strength stems from buying interest in Travelers (TRV 60.52, +0.94) and Kraft (KFT 32.04, +0.37), both of which are up more than 1%. DJ30 +20.66 NASDAQ -8.23 SP500 -1.63 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 964/1.38 bln/1598 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1036/439 mln/1917

2:00 pm : Bank stocks continue fighting to hold on to their gains. In turn, the KBW Bank Indes is clinging to a factional gain after it had been up solidly in the early going. The rest of the financial sector is also trying to fend of broader market selling pressure as it hovers near the neutral line, as displayed by the Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF 16.47, +0.01).DJ30 +15.37 NASDAQ -9.37 SP500 -1.70 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 933/1.29 bln/1632 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 987/400 mln/1946

1:30 pm : Crude oil prices recently descended to a fresh session low of $109.55 per barrel. Continuous contract futures now price the energy component at $109.95 per barrel, which makes for a 2.5% loss.

The drop in oil prices has helped prop up airline stocks, such that the Amex Airline Index is up 0.5%. The Dow Jones Transportation Index is still down 0.2%, though. DJ30 +10.06 NASDAQ -9.15 SP500 -1.95 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 925/1.19 bln/1624 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1013/370 mln/1905

1:05 pm : Listless trade has left stocks to drift lower ahead of the latest quarterly report from Dow component Alcoa this evening. That has made for mixed action among the major equity averages.

Stocks got a modest bid this morning, despite general weakness among many overseas markets and an absence of economic items or other meaningful market drivers. Support was partly attributed to anticipation for the latest earnings results from Alcoa (AA 17.70, -0.22), which unofficially kicks off earnings season tonight. Wall Street is calling for earnings of $0.27 per share, but the company has actually exceeded the consensus earnings forecast in each of the past three quarters.

The mildly positive tone that surrounded stocks in the early going has waned, however. That has left shares of AA to hand back opening gains. Other materials plays have also been pressured, leaving the sector with a 0.5% loss, but Monsanto (MON 67.20, +0.98) and BHP Billiton (BHP 103.04, +1.88) have managed to hold on to heady gains with help from a couple of analyst upgrades.

Utilities stocks, which are often regarded as defensive-oriented plays, have been hit the hardest. That sector is down 1.3%. Energy stocks aren't too far behind as they contend with a 0.9% loss as oil prices drop 1.7% to $110.90 per barrel.

Still, it is large-cap tech issues like Apple (AAPL 330.39, -4.67) and Cisco (CSCO 17.48, -0.17) that are having the most adverse affect on the Nasdaq, given their market weight and the steepness of their losses.

Generally, this session's listless drift is consistent with the lackluster action that left stocks to hug the neutral line during all of last week. DJ30 +5.26 NASDAQ -11.89 SP500 -2.53 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 922/1.11 bln/1601 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1039/345 mln/1861

12:30 pm : Increased selling pressure recently took the broad market to a fresh session low, which actually came with a slight loss. It has since worked its way back above the flat line.

Materials stocks are falling more sharply out of favor. The sector was already one of the worst performers this past Friday, but today the sector is down another 0.5%. The sector's weakness comes even though both Monsanto (MON 67.20, +0.98) and BHP Billiton (BHP 103.20, +1.88) are boasting impressive gains in response to a couple of analyst upgrades. DJ30 +35.54 NASDAQ -4.77 SP500 +0.66 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1033/1.00 bln/1474 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1129/305 mln/1726

12:00 pm : A recent flurry of selling pressure has caused stocks to slip a bit. The major averages aren't quite back to earlier session lows, though.

The Dollar Index is up only 0.1% at the moment. The greenback had been in much better shape earlier today, but a bounce by the euro has eroded the dollar's advance. The euro was last quoted with only a fractional loss at $1.445. DJ30 +37.96 NASDAQ -5.50 SP500 +1.09 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1130/894 mln/1368 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1336/274 mln/1511

11:30 am : Choppy trade continues to undermine the stock market's ability to set out on a clear direction. Part of the problem is a lack of leadership.

Leadership was also lacking last week. In turn, stocks spent those five sessions trading in a tight range near the neutral line. Some of the sideways drift is owed to cautioun ahead of the latest quarterly report from Dow component Alcoa (AA 18.05, +0.13), which will announce its results this evening in an unofficial start to earnings season. Alcoa has exceeded the consensus earnings estimate in each of the past three quarters. DJ30 +49.12 NASDAQ -1.72 SP500 +229 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1243/790 mln/1212 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1478/238 mln/1333

11:00 am : Recent selling pressure knocked the Nasdaq into the red, but it has successfully recovered so that it is back in positive territory. It remains well below its opening level, though. As for the Dow and S&P 500, both were pressured, but neither suffered any kind of an actual loss. Their gains remain modest.

Consumer staples stocks and health care stocks are this session's top performers. Both sectors are up 0.6%. Despite the strength of those two sectors, each of which is considered to be defensive oriented, the utilities sector continues to underperform. Specifically, utilities stocks are down 0.6% at a new session low. Electric utilities like Dominion (D 44.13, -0.69) have been a heavy drag. DJ30 +48.82 NASDAQ +1.85 SP500 +3.26 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1106/630 mln/1312 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1352/195 mln/1443

10:35 am : The dollar index has pulled back from session highs of 75.092, which provided some strength to select commodities. However, the dollar index remains in positive territory.

After rising to a 30-month high last week, May crude oil has been in the red all morning. It put in today's lows of $111.53/barrel earlier this morning and after testing that low, crude remains slightly above that level at $111.80/barrel, down 0.9%.

May natural gas was in negative territory overnight and this morning before gaining steam at the open and rallying into positive territory as it quickly gained ~3.4%. It ultimately hit new session highs of $4.14/MMBtu and is currently trading 2.3% higher at $4.14/MMBtu.

Precious metals are mixed this morning with gold modestly lower and silver higher. Overnight, gold futures (continuous contract) rose to another new all-time high, this time hitting $1476.00/oz. In current activity, the June contract is 0.4% lower at $1468.60/oz. May silver almost broke through the $42 level overnight, but hit $41.975 as the current session high. It's pulled back in recent trade and is now up 1.3% at $41.15/oz.DJ30 +38.00 NASDAQ -4.21 SP500 +1.60 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1058/477.1 mln/1325 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1284/151.6 mln/1432

10:00 am : The Nasdaq has eased off of its opening gain, but the broader market has built on its opening bounce. Large-cap components like Apple (AAPL 333.41, -1.65) and Google (GOOG 573.97, -4.19) have hampered the Nasdaq Composite, but financial issues (+0.6%) have helped give a lift to the S&P 500.

Investment banks like Goldman Sachs (GS 162.48, +1.52) and diversified financial services plays like JPMorgan Chase (JPM 47.23, +0.39) are providing leadership to the financial sector. British banks are especially strong this morning, though. Specifically, Barclays (BCS 20.26, +0.84) is up more than 4%. DJ30 +53.28 NASDAQ +5.31 SP500 +4.76 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1142/230 mln/1115 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1356/80 mln/1240

09:45 am : Stocks have started the session with modest gains, although underlying strength is relatively broad. Still, utilities stocks are under early pressure as they slide to a 0.4% loss. DJ30 +33.66 NASDAQ +4.74 SP500 +3.22 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1143/156 mln/1113 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1301/55 mln/1278

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +1.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +6.60. A slightly higher start to the week appears to be in the works, at least that's what stock futures suggest. The moderately positive tone has evolved in the face of lackluster action abroad, but precedes the latest quarterly report from Dow component Alcoa (AA), which will unofficially mark the start of earnings season. There haven't been any major headlines this morning, aside from a couple of corporate deals. Among those news stories is word that NYSE Euronext (NYX) has refused an offer from Nasdaq OMX (NDAQ) and IntercontinentalExchange (ICE) that was meant to rival that of Deutsche Boerse. Meanwhile, the dollar has gained ground against the euro this morning. Despite that, silver prices have attracted renewed buying interest, although gold prices have come down. Oil prices are also down this morning.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +1.60. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +6.60. Stock futures continue to point to a positive start for trade. Commodities are more mixed. As such, oil prices are now down about 0.8% in the first few minutes of pit trade; they were recently quoted at $111.90 per barrel. As for gold, it is down 0.4% to $1469 per ounce. Silver is sporting a 1.5% gain at $41.21 per ounce, though.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +1.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +5.30. Varied degrees of selling pressure have left Europe's major bourses to trade in the red. Germany's DX is currently down 0.2%. Meanwhile, France's CAC has fallen to a 0.7% loss. Schneider Electric and BNP Paribas represent a pair of particularly weak performers there. Britain's FTSE is off only fractionally. Economic news out of the country features an Industrial Production report from France that showed a 0.4% increase in activity. Industrial production in January had increased by a downwardly revised 0.7%.

In Asia, China reported that its trade balance for March turned positive after a precipitous drop in the prior month. Exports for the country were up almost 36% in March. Imports spiked 27% for the month. Shanghai's Composite closed with a 0.2% loss. Hong Kong's Hang Seng shed 0.4%. Japan's Nikkei fell 0.5% as automakers came under pressure amid a downgrade of the space by analysts at Citigroup. TDK Corp and Pioneer stood out as two of the worst performers, however. Tokyo Electric Power staged another surge by closing with a gain of about 20%. Japan reported that machine orders for February fell 2.3% after they had increased by 4.2% in January.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +0.40. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +3.10. Coming off of a flat week of trade, stock futures have benefited from some modest buying interest. The action precedes the latest quarterly report from Dow component Alcoa (AA), which will unofficially start earnings season tonight. In other corporate events, NYSE Euronext (NYX) rejected a takeover bid from Nadsaq (NDAQ) and IntercontinentalExchange (ICE) in a move that reflects its commitment to combine with Deutsche Boerse. In other merger and acquisition activity, Global Crossing (GLBC) will be taken over by Level 3 (LVLT) in a stock-for-stock transaction that values GLBC at $23.04 per share, which is a premium of more than 50% above its closing price from Friday. Meanwhile, American Medical (AMMD) will be acquired by Endo (ENDP) for $30 per share, which is a premium of more than 30% over its closing price from last week. Global markets haven't done much to support this morning's bid. Rather, most of the major markets abroad are in the red or have already suffered losses. Outside of stocks, oil prices have pulled back by about 1% to $111.65 per barrel. Gold is down 0.5% to $1466 per ounce after it set a record high late last week. Silver prices are up more than 1% to trade comfortable above $41 per ounce. There are no economic items of consequence

06:51 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +1.70. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +4.10.

06:51 am : Nikkei...9719.70...-48.40...-0.50%. Hang Seng...24303.07...-93.00...-0.40%.

06:51 am : FTSE...6062.88...+7.10...+0.10%. DAX...7180.10...-36.90...-0.50%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

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