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 Post subject: January 24th Monday 2011 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +17.90
PostPosted: Tue Jan 25, 2011 10:22 am 
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Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Attachment:
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click on the above image to view today's trading summary

Quote:
A good trading day because I minimized my loss per losing trade and maximized my profit per winning trade. The best trade of the day was the first trade that netted several points per contract via a large position size. If you have any questions about my trading, want more details about the trade signal behind a particular trade or want to reply about something stated in this message post...click here.

Trade Performance for Today: +17.90 points or $1790.00 dollars in the Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
Russell 2000 Emini TF Futures - 1 tick or 0.10 = $10.00 dollars and there's more contract information @ The ICE.
S&P 500 Emini ES Futures - 1 tick or 0.25 = $12.50 dollars and there's more contract information @ CMEGroup.

In addition, today's #FuturesTrades trading chat room logs provides details about each trade from entry to exit along with commentary as the trade traversed...all archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=86&t=736. However, be advised that I'm frequently testing new trade signal methods or new trade management rules (e.g. stop/loss, trailing stops, profit targets, order types, time frames, workstation templates et cetera) after entry of existing profitable trade signal methods whenever market conditions change. Thus, adapting is a critical variable to my consistent profits along with preventing me from becoming complacent in my trading...this helps avoid trading account drawdowns.

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=180.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm and there's a free trade signal strategy @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewforum.php?f=89 so that you can freely test drive one of our trade strategies with support prior to purchasing the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Image Trading Plan Daily Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=128&t=854

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Image Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED actions, global economics that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that's arguably just as important as my technical analysis.

Image Bloomberg (Youtube) - U.S. Stocks Gain as M&A, Buybacks Boost Optimism



Image CNNMoney.com - Dow Marches Toward 12,000
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click on the above image to view today's price action of key markets

By Annalyn Censky, staff reporter
January 24, 2011: 4:47 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Stocks got the week off to a solid start Monday, with the Dow slowly clawing its way toward the 12,000 mark.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) closed at 11,980, up 109 points, or 0.9% from the prior trading session.

The blue-chip index has been on an upward trend since Thanksgiving, and is now within a stone's throw of 12,000 -- a level last seen on June 18, 2008.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 (SPX) gained 7 points, or 0.6%; and the Nasdaq (COMP) rose 28 points, or 1%.

While analysts say a slight pullback could be in the cards soon, companies are reporting strong earnings, which should drive continued positive momentum over the long term.

"American companies are doing quite well, and I think that's going to eventually show up in the employment numbers," said Chad Cunningham, chief investment officer at Iron Horse Capital Management. "If we get any sort of a short-term technical pullback, I think it's a good time to allocate money to U.S. equities."

The rest of the week brings an onslaught of earnings results from blue chip companies, as well as the latest readings on consumer confidence, new home sales and the overall economy. Cunningham said he expects to see slight improvement in all the economic indicators.

Companies: After the bell, American Express (AXP, Fortune 500) reported earnings of 94 cents per share on revenue of $7.32 billion, falling just a hair short of analyst estimates. Its stock fell 1.1% in after-hours trading.

Shares of Amgen (AMGN, Fortune 500) also fell 0.5% in late trading, after the biotech giant announced earnings that barely beat the Street. Earnings from Texas Instruments (TXN, Fortune 500) came in slightly better than expected too, but its stock fell 2.2%.

Earlier during the trading session, RadioShack (RSH, Fortune 500) shares tumbled 11.4% after the electronics retailer forecast a weak fourth-quarter profit and announced its CEO Julian Day plans to retire in May.

The end of the year was tough on electronics retailers, with sales falling below expectations. Last month, Best Buy (BBY, Fortune 500) lowered its outlook for the full year.

JC Penney (JCP, Fortune 500) shares surged 7.2% after the retailer announced it has named prominent hedge fund manager William Ackman and Steven Roth, chairman of Vornado Realty Trust, to its board of directors. JC Penney also said it plans to close six unprofitable stores and continue phasing out its catalog business.

Before the opening bell, Halliburton (HAL, Fortune 500) logged better-than-expected earnings. Shares of the company rose 0.6%.

McDonald's (MCD, Fortune 500) reported earnings in line with expectations. Shares of the fast food chain rose 0.5%.

World markets: European stocks ended their session higher. Britain's FTSE 100 edged up 1.1%, France's CAC 40 rose 0.5% and the DAX in Germany was little changed.

Asian markets ended the session mixed. The Shanghai Composite slid 0.7% and the Hang Seng in Hong Kong fell 0.3%, as Japan's Nikkei ticked up 0.7%.

Economy: There are no major economic reports on tap for Monday.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar rose against the British pound, but fell against the euro and the Japanese yen.

Oil for March delivery slipped $1.24 to settle at $87.87 a barrel.

Gold futures for February delivery rose $2.90 to settle at $1,345.50 an ounce on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

Cocoa futures for March delivery jumped 4%, after the Ivory Coast put a one-month ban on cocoa exports.

Bonds: The price on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rose slightly, sending the yield down to 3.41%.

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Image Yahoo! Finance - Market Update

4:30 pm : Large-cap tech rallied after it had lagged last week. That helped the Nasdaq outperform, but it was the Dow that set a new two-year high as it advanced more than 100 points to settle just 20 points shy of the 12,000 mark.

Tech stocks were a bit mixed in early trade, but buying quickly picked up after the sector started to run. Tech stocks settled with a 1.6% gain.

NVIDIA (NVDA 24.73, +2.51) was a leader among tech issues following positive mention in the financial press over the weekend. Heavyweight tech issues Microsoft (MSFT 28.38, +0.36), Intel (INTC 21.24, +0.42), and Cisco (CSCO 21.17, +0.44) complemented its strength and, in turn, drove both the Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100 to their best percentage gains in three weeks. IBM (IBM 159.63, +4.13) also caught a big bid, which took the stock to a new record high and helped drive the Dow to within just 20 points of the 12,000 line for the first time since June 2008.

J.C. Penney (JCP 32.52, +2.18) shares made their sharpest single-session spike in three months after the retailer said that it will take strategic actions to maximize growth and profitability. The stock settled comfortably above its 50-day moving average for the first time in two weeks. The rest of the retail space failed to follow, though; they advanced just 0.3%.

Market participants were generally unimpressed by the latest round of earnings, which featured a bottom line beat by Halliburton (HAL 39.55, +0.36) and in-line results from McDonald's (MCD 75.38, +0.37). Both were relative laggards.

Financials trailed for the entire day. The sector's 0.1% loss was largely owed to weakness in regional bank shares, which collectively shed 1.3%. Health care plays were also weak; they fell to a fractional loss due to weakness in managed care, which dropped 1.0%.

Advancing Sectors: Tech (+1.6%), Materials (+1.0%), Industrials (+1.0%), Telecom (+0.6%), Consumer Discretionary (+0.6%), Utilities (+0.5%), Consumer Staples (+0.4%), Energy (+0.2%)
Unchanged: Health Care
Declining Sectors: Financials (-0.1%)DJ30 +108.68 NASDAQ +28.01 SP500 +7.49 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1721/1.89 bln/939 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2114/957 mln/882

3:30 pm : Commodities finish mixed on this quiet Monday, with industrials (+1.5%) leading advancers and energy (-1.9%) leading the decliners.

Feb natural gas shed 3.1% to close at $4.57 per MMBtu, marking its first down day in five sessions. It sold off to its lowest levels, at $4.57, heading into the close of pit trade. March crude oil settled down 1.4% to $87.87. Crude oil traded to its lowest level of the session, at $87.27, in mid-afternoon trade, but managed to bounce off those lows to finish the session at levels it spent the morning hours trading around.

It was a very uneventful session for precious metals. Feb gold ended higher by 0.1% to $1344.50 per ounce while silver shed 0.2% to close at $27.32 per ounce. Both metals have, however, sold off to their lowest levels of the day following the close of pit trade. DJ30 +82.87 NASDAQ +23.42 SP500 +4.46 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1697/1.5 bln/951 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2062/657.5 mln/901

3:00 pm : Financials continue to trail the broader market. The sector is down 0.1% and remains the only major sector that has failed to muster a gain. Financials have fared a bit better than the broader market in the first few weeks of 2011, however; since the start of the year they are up 3.1% while the S&P 500 is up 2.5%.

Health care is barely positive. The sector's fractional gain makes it today's second worst performing sector. Health care facilities plays, up 1.6%, have been a source of support this session, but managed care providers, down 0.8%, have undermined the sector.

Only an hour remains before the end of the session. American Express (AXP 45.77, -0.23) and Texas Instruments (TXN 34.36, +0.45) are both scheduled to report quarterly results after the close. DJ30 +86.58 NASDAQ +26.82 SP500 +6.01 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1777/1.39 bln/856 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2150/585 mln/816

2:30 pm : Large-cap tech has lifted the Nasdaq 100 to a 1.3% gain. That makes for its best percentgage climb since a 1.6% surge three weeks ago. Apple (AAPL 335.42, +8.70), which accounts for about one-fifth of the weight of the Nasdaq 100, is a primary leader in the Index. However, Google (GOOG 609.93, -3.34), which represents about 4% of the Index weight, has been a laggard in the group.DJ30 +102.17 NASDAQ +28.64 SP500 +7.33 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1757/1.26 bln/844 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2197/538 mln/760

2:00 pm : The Dow is up 100 points, but still about 30 shy of the 12,000 mark. Meanwhile, the Dow has spent the past two hours hugging the 1290 line. Both have benefited from broad-based support this session.

Treasuries have had a quiet session, so far. In the face of a stronger equity market Treasuries have still managed to tick slightly higher, however. The benchmark 10-year Note is up a few ticks so that its yield is just below 3.40% while the 30-year Bond is up a handful of ticks so that its yield is just DJ30 +98.80 NASDAQ +26.01 SP500 +6.92 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1722/1.19 bln/866 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2183/495 mln/777

1:30 pm : Financials make up the only major sector that has failed to produce a gain. The sector's 0.1% loss stems largely from weakness among regional bank plays, which are collectively down 1.1%.

Diversified banking and financial services heavyweight Bank of America (BAC 13.95, -0.30) has also been a drag on the financial sector. Its 2% drop today comes after it fell 2.0% on Friday in respone to an earnings miss. Shares of BAC are down more than 8% during the course of the five most recent sessions and now trade below their 200-day average.DJ30 +99.98 NASDAQ +27.00 SP500 +6.75 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1733/1.07 bln/858 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2131/450 mln/813

1:00 pm : The major equity averages are up with strong gains after stumbling in the early going. The move has been broad based, but materials stocks and large-cap tech issues have made the biggest gains.

The broader market started the session on a flat note as a dearth of data and earnings news left market participants unmotivated. However, support at the neutral line provided a floor for stocks to stage a gradual climb.

Materials plays have been strong since the open. The sector is up 1.4% as all but a few of its members stage gains. U.S. Steel (X 54.62, +1.33) is a leader in the pack ahead of its earnings report tomorrow morning.

Tech stocks were mixed early on, but the sector has since climbed to a 1.3% gain. The move has been led by the sector's large-cap members, which actually traded as laggards last week. NVIDIA (NVDA 24.94, +2.72) is in especially strong shape following positive mention in the financial press over the weekend; its leadership has helped lift the Nasdaq to a nice lead over its counterparts.

Halliburton (HAL 39.34, +0.15) posted this morning better-than-expected earnings, but its shares have struggled to sustain their morning rally. Its pullback comes amid relative weakness in the energy sector, which is up just 0.1% as oil prices dive to a 2.0% loss at $87.30 per barrel and natural gas prices drop 2.3% to $4.63 per MMBtu.

McDonald's (MCD 75.29, +0.28) has also pulled back a bit after staging a nice swing out of negative territory. The Dow component reported this morning an upside earnings surprise of its own.

Shares of retailers have also struggled to share in this session's broad market advance. The group is collectively up 0.2%, although J.C. Penney (JCP 32.53, +2.19) has spiked on the back of news that it will take strategic actions to maximize growth and profitability. To help achieve this the retailer has added new members to its board. DJ30 +80.49 NASDAQ +24.49 SP500 +5.77 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1701/987 mln/885 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2093/418 mln/832

12:30 pm : After lagging last week, large-cap tech has helped lift the Nasdaq Composite to a nice lead over its counterparts. The Nasdaq is now up nearly 1%, which puts it on pace for its best single-session percentage move in three weeks.

Among tech issues, semiconductor stocks are in particularly strong shape. As such, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is up 2.0%. DJ30 +86.39 NASDAQ +25.67 SP500 +6.83 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1717/900 mln/836 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2143/380 mln/758

12:00 pm : Stocks have paused at session highs. The S&P 500 is still about seven points shy of the two-year high that it set last week.

NVIDIA (NVDA 24.50, +2.28) is this session's top performer by percent gained, among issues listed in the S&P 500. Shares of NVDA are also among the top five most actively traded names by volume. The stock's strength follows positive mention in the financial press over the weekend. DJ30 +79.73 NASDAQ +21.97 SP500 +5.90 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1683/791 mln/849 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2128/339 mln/754

11:30 am : Materials stocks have extended their run. The sector is now up 1.4%. MeadWestvaco (MWV 28.48, +1.06), Vulcan Materials (VMC 42.03, +1.52), and International Paper (IP 28.71, +0.80) are primary leaders in the sector. Airgas (ARG 63.50, -0.35) and Ecolab (ECL 50.01, -0.13) are the only two names in the 30-member materials sector that have failed to make a move into positive territory.

Energy stocks had lagged a bit in the early going, but the sector has since pushed up to a 0.4% gain. Oil and gas equipment plays had been down more than 1% and were partly responsible for the sector's weakness early on, but they are now up an impressive 1.1%. A rally by Halliburton (HAL 39.72, +0.53) in the wake of a better-than-expected earnings report has made the stock a primary leader in that space. DJ30 +74.43 NASDAQ +21.08 SP500 +5.82 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1654/686 mln/855 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2097/297 mln/748

11:00 am : Stocks had slipped shortly after the open, but they have since regrouped and now trade at fresh session highs. What's more, the move actually has the Dow at a new two-year best.

IBM (IBM 157.73, +2.23) continues to be a leader among blue chips. The company reported better-than-expected earnings last week, but it has been riding a buying wave ever since. The stock's latest leg higher has put shares at a new record high. DJ30 +58.20 NASDAQ +10.31 SP500 +3.58 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1481/555 mln/983 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1889/245 mln/925

10:35 am : The dollar index fell into the red to new session lows of 77.997 about an hour ago. However, this only gave commodities a slight boost.

In the CRB Index, 10 are lower and nine are higher. Cocoa futures are up sharply, now up about 4.5%, after the Ivory Coast put a month-long export ban in place. Cotton futures rose limit up overnight (gaining 3.2%) and lumber futures are also limit-up.

Energy markets remain in negative territory. March crude oil hit session lows of $87.40 per barrel in recent trade and is now 1.4% lower at $87.88 per barrel. February natural gas hit its own new session lows of $4.68 per MMBtu after falling in negative territory. It's now down 0.4% at $4.72 per MMBtu.

February gold has pulled back and is now just above the unchanged line at $1343.70 per ounce. March silver is currently 0.3% lower at $27.33 per ounce.DJ30 +47.79 NASDAQ +7.92 SP500 +2.03 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1438/430 mln/981 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1746/197 mln/1035

10:00 am : Stocks slipped in recent trade to take the broad-based S&P 500 and tech-rich Nasdaq down to the neutral line. The Dow has managed to hold on to a modest gain, though.

The dollar has also dipped in recent trade. It is now down 0.2% against a basket of competing currencies after it had been up modestly earlier this morning.

Advancing Sectors: Materials (+0.5%), Utilities (+0.2%), Telecom (+0.2%), Industrials (+0.1%)
Unchanged: Tech, Health Care, Consumer Staples
Declining Sectors: Financials (-0.2%), Energy (-0.2%), Consumer Discretionary (-0.3%)DJ30 +27.02 NASDAQ -0.19 SP500 -0.13 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1251/255 mln/1029 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1591/130 mln/1118

09:45 am : The broader equity averages are up modestly this morning, but basic materials plays have made a nice move higher. In turn, the materials sector is up 0.7%. Within the sector, paper products are especially strong; they currently sport gains on the order 5%.

Not all natural resource plays have found support, though. Weakness among oil and gas equipment plays and drillers, respectively down 1.1% and 1.2%, have undermined the energy sector, which is currently down 0.1%.DJ30 +41.21 NASDAQ +6.19 SP500 +1.98 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1446/178 mln/823 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1802/98 mln/866

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: flat. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +2.30. Premarket trade has been rather unexciting for the past couple of hours. As such, stocks appear to be headed for a relatively flat start to the week. Mixed action overseas, an absence of data, and a limited number of major earnings announcements appears to have kept many on the sideline, but the flow of news picks up later this week as the latest FOMC meeting gets underway and participants prepare for the advance fourth quarter GDP report, as well as hundreds of earnings reports.

09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +1.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +5.00. Commodities have caught a nice bid this morning. In turn, the CRB Commodity Index is up 0.4%, which follows a modest weekly gain of about 0.3% and is enough to put the CRB back near its two-year high. Action among the more widely watched commodities is more mixed, however. Gold prices are up 0.3% to $1345.50 per ounce while silver reversed an early morning gain of more than 1% to trade with a 0.5% loss at $27.26 per ounce. Natural gas prices are up a narrow 0.1% to $4.74 per MMBtu, but oil prices are actually down 0.3% to $88.80 per barrel in the first few minutes of pit trade.

08:30 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +1.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +5.50. Domestic stock futures have made a minor tick higher, but overseas action remains mixed. Germany's DAX is down 0.5% at the moment. Siemens (SI) has offered some support, but its effort has been undermined by weakness in Thyssenkrupp, K+S AG, and Volkswagen. Shares of Volkswagen shed more than 9% on the DAX last week and are now down another 2% this session. According to data, Germany's Manufacturing PMI for January came in at 60.2, down from 60.7 in December. France's CAC is currently flat. Total (TOT) has been a leader among advancing issues while Schneider Electric has been a downside driver among declining issues. Data indicate that the country's January Manufacturing PMI came in at 54.3, down from 57.2 in December. Britain's FTSE is up 0.3% as advancers, led by Vodafone (VOD), edge out declining issues, which are currently weighed down by banking issues Lloyds Group (LYG), Barclays (BCS), and Standard Chartered. Broader data for the eurozone produced a Manufacturing PMI that came in at 56.9, which is down a bit from the 57.1 that was posted in the prior month.

In Asia, action was mixed overnight. Japan's Nikkei put together a 0.7% gain. Honda Motor (HMC), Softbank, and Kyocera (KYO) provided leadership. Fast Retailing succumbed to renewed selling, which sent the stock beneath last week's low. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite fell to a 0.7% loss. Industrial & Commercial Bank and Ping An Insurance were among the heaviest drags on trade. Their weakness more than offset strength in energy plays PetroChina (PTR) and China Petroleum (SNP). China's Leading Indicators Index for December came in at 100.8, but that is down from 101.2 in November. Hong Kong's Hang Seng shed 0.3%. Banking plays China Construction Bank and Bank of China were primary culprits in the downturn, although HSBC (HBC) scored a nice gain. Energy play CNOOC (CEO) was also strong.

08:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +1.10. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +5.00. Stock futures are flat this morning. The backdrop is a bit muddled by mixed action overseas following a few relatively disappointing PMI readings from Europe and a dip in China's latest Leading Index. Earnings announcements have been limited, so far, this morning. In-line results from McDonald's (MCD) and a bottom line beat by Halliburton (HAL) are among the more major announcements at this point. The economic calendar is empty today.

06:36 am : [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -0.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +2.80.

06:36 am : Nikkei...10345.11...+70.60...+0.70%. Hang Seng...23801.78...-75.10...-0.30%.

06:36 am : FTSE...5910.19...+14.00...+0.20%. DAX...7020.37...-41.90...-0.60%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Trading (no technical indicators)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

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