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 Post subject: October 14th Thursday 2010 Emini TF (No Trades)
PostPosted: Tue Oct 19, 2010 8:09 pm 
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No trades today for me due to a personal family problems.

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Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Wall Street Stages Late Day Comeback
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By Ben Rooney, staff reporter
October 14, 2010: 5:33 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- In an abrupt about-face, stocks closed with minor losses Thursday as investors shook off concerns about the banking sector to do some bargain hunting late in the day.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) closed down 1 point, after tumbling more than 40 points earlier in the session. The S&P 500 (SPX) lost 4 points, or 0.3%. The Nasdaq (COMP) slid 6 points, or 0.2%.

Bank stocks led the market lower in the morning as concerns about investigations into foreclosure proceedings by state regulators weighed on the sector.

JPMorgan (JPM, Fortune 500) lost 2.8% one day after it reported a surge in third-quarter profit. Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) fell 5%, and Citigroup (C, Fortune 500) lost 4.4%.

But stocks regained most of the lost ground in the afternoon as buyers came back into the market to scoop up shares that had been beaten down earlier in the session, said Ryan Larson, a senior equity trader at RBC Global Asset Management.

"As the financials weighed on the market, things became cheap," he said.

After the closing bell, Google (GOOG, Fortune 500) reported quarterly profit and sales that rose from year-ago levels and beat Wall Street's forecasts. Shares of the web giant were up 9% after hours.

Chipmaker AMD (AMD, Fortune 500) reported a quarterly loss that narrowed from last year, although its adjusted earnings beat analysts' expectations. Shares rose 7% in extended trading.

The reports were the latest in a slew of quarterly financial statements released this week from major U.S. companies. On Friday, the deluge will continue with General Electric (GE, Fortune 500) and Mattel (MAT, Fortune 500) due to report results before the market opens.

Larson said investors are looking for solid revenue growth and will pay close attention to what executives have to say about the outlook for next year.

"It has to be about sales, not cost cutting," he said. "And the revenue picture has been mixed so far."

Meanwhile, the dollar continued to deteriorate on Thursday. That helped to drive gold prices higher as investors moved to more tangible assets. Oil prices also rose.

The greenback has been under pressure this week, as investors anticipate another round of asset purchases from the Federal Reserve. That policy -- known as quantitative easing -- could push interest rates down and keep the dollar weak.

Fed policy will probably be in focus again Friday morning when Ben Bernanke, the central bank's chairman, makes a speech in Boston.

Also on Friday, investors will take in reports on consumer prices and retail sales, as well as consumer sentiment, business inventories and regional manufacturing activity.

Stocks rallied Wednesday, amid speculation that the central bank will announce plans to do more quantitative easing at its next meeting in November.

Economy: Initial jobless claims rose to 462,000 in the latest week, from a revised 449,000 the week before, the Labor Department said.

Economists had expected initial claims to have risen to 450,000, according to consensus estimates from Briefing.com.

The government's latest reading on inflation at the manufacturing level rose 0.4% in September, matching the pace in August. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, core PPI rose 0.1%, also the same rate as the month before.

The U.S. trade balance widened to $46.3 billion in August from a revised $42.6 billion in July, the Commerce Department said.

Companies: Verizon Wireless said it will begin selling Apple's iPad at its 2,000 retail stores nationwide beginning next month.

The move ends AT&T's (T, Fortune 500) exclusive grip as the wireless carrier for Apple's wildly popular tablet, and potentially sets the stage for a broader partnership between Apple and Verizon.

Verizon (VZ, Fortune 500) shares were up 0.5%. Apple's stock, which crossed $300 for the first time Wednesday, dipped 0.4%.

Shares of Yahoo (YHOO, Fortune 500) gained 4.5%, after The Wall Street Journal reported AOL is considering teaming up with private-equity firms to make a bid for the search engine.
0:00 /1:14Yahoo spikes on AOL merger chatter

Apollo Group (APOL), which operates the University of Phoenix, withdrew its 2011 earnings guidance late Wednesday. Apollo said the company faces an "uncertain regulatory environment." The stock plunged 23%, dragging down other education companies such as DeVry (DV) and ITT Educational Services (ESI).

World markets: European markets ended mixed. Germany's DAX rose 0.4%, while the CAC 40 in Paris fell 0.2% and the FTSE 100 lost 0.3%.

In Asia, stocks closed in positive territory. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong rose 1.7% and the Shanghai Composite gained 0.6%. Japan's Nikkei edged higher 1.9%.

Commodities and Currencies: The dollar fell against major international currencies including the British pound, the Japanese yen and the euro.

Gold futures for December delivery rose $7.10 to close at $1,377.60 an ounce. In earlier trading, gold reached $1,388.10 an ounce -- a new intra-day trading high.

The price of oil gained 48 cents to settle at $82.53 per barrel.

Bonds: The price fell on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury, pushing up the yield to 2.46% from 2.42% late Wednesday.

Image

Yahoo! Finance

4:10 pm : Stocks logged their first loss in five sessions as weakness among bank stocks imbued broader market trade and the dollar pared its loss. Data was of little consequence this session.

A lack of direction in the early going left stocks vulnerable to a broader slide that was led by bank stocks. Banks succumbed to a concerted selling effort related to concern regarding banks' handling of foreclosures and representation of mortgage loan pools for use in mortgage backed securities.

Given the uncertainty surrounding the situation, participants opted to dump a broad range of banks in high volume. That dropped the KBW Bank Index below its 50-day moving average for a 2.6% loss, its worst in more than one month.

Materials stocks were also hit relatively hard after the sector entered into today's trade with a month-to-date gain of more than 6%. Profit taking sent the sector 0.9% lower.

Telecom outperformed for almost the entire session. The sector's 0.3% advance was led by Dow component Verizon (VZ 32.44, +0.23), which confirmed that it will soon begin to offer the iPad from Apple (AAPL 302.31, +2.17).

The broader market was able to improve its position into the close to finish with a more mild loss. Still, the Volatility Index closed about 8% higher in its sharpest percentage increase since early September.

The dollar also improved its position since dropping to a new 2010 low overnight. Global investors had continued their push against the dollar due to the notion that further quantitative easing could result in a greater number of dollars in circulation. The greenback was able to retrace some of its slide to settle with a 0.6% loss against competing currencies.

Data had little influence on trade. Among the items released, initial jobless claims for the week ended October 9 totaled 462,000, which is more than the 450,000 claims that had been expected, on average, among economists polled by Briefing.com. The latest initial claims figure made for a week-over-week increase of 13,000. Continuing claims fell 112,000 week-over-week to 4.40 million.

The Producer Price Index for September increased 0.4%, just as it did in August. The increase for September exceeds the 0.2% monthly increase that had been widely forecast. Excluding food and energy, producer prices increased a more tepid 0.1% for the second straight month, as expected.

Trade during August resulted in a deficit of $46.3 billion, which is up from the $42.6 billion deficit recorded for the prior month. It was also worse than the $44.5 billion deficit that had been generally expected among economists polled by Briefing.com.

Despite losses among stocks and an increase in volatility, Treasuries fell this session. Most of that was due to another disappointing Treasury auction. Demand for 30-year Bonds was the lowest since December 2009. The Bond dropped about 1.5 points so that its yield climbed to 3.90%.

Advancing Sectors: Telecom (+0.3%), Tech (+0.1%)
Declining Sectors: Financials (-1.8%), Materials (-0.9%), Industrials (-0.4%), Utilities (-0.2%), Consumer Discretionary (-0.2%), Health Care (-0.2%), Energy (-0.1%)
Unchanged: Consumer StaplesDJ30 -1.51 NASDAQ -5.85 NQ100 -0.1% R2K -0.3% SP400 -0.5% SP500 -4.29 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1202/2.01 bln/1423 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1203/1.11 bln/1773

3:30 pm : The CRB Commodity Index had climbed to a new two-year high before it pulled back to close with a fractional gain.

Precious metals provided the most support as gold prices in the continuous contract set a new record high of $1383.90 per ounce overnight. The yellow metal settled with a 0.6% gain at $1378.50 per ounce. Silver prices swung to a new 30-year high of $24.95 per ounce overnight, but pulled back to settle pit trade with a 2.5% gain at $24.54 per ounce.

Natural gas prices rallied from a loss of more than 2% to a gain of more than 1% following news that inventories for the week ended October 8 increased by 91 bcf, which is on par with the build of 92 bcf that had been widely expected. Natural gas prices failed to sustain the bounce and settled with a 0.9% loss at $3.66 per MMBtu.

Oil prices surrendered an early gain to finish pit at $82.68 per barrel, down 0.4%. Prices started their downturn with the release of inventory data for the week ended October 8. The data showed a much smaller-than-expected draw of 416 barrels of crude oil. DJ30 -41.28 NASDAQ -12.78 SP500 -7.78 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 964/1.66 bln/1658 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 926/822 mln/2064

3:00 pm : The stock market has slipped to a new low for the session. Declining issues now outnumber advancers by more than 2-to-1 in the NYSE.

Given the negative breadth with only one hour remaining before the close, it looks like the stock market's streak of gains will end at four. That streak helped take stocks to fresh five-month highs in the prior session. DJ30 -56.08 NASDAQ -15.50 SP500 -9.66 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 986/1.52 bln/1601 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 944/742 mln/2028

2:30 pm : Stocks are still just a bit above their session lows. The dour tone of trade has persisted for the past few hours. That has made for heightened volatility.

With the session's end drawing near, participants are readying themselves for another round of earnings results. Tonight brings the latest from Google (GOOG 538.84, -4.46), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD 7.12, -0.10), and JB Hunt Transportation (JBHT 35.51, -0.43). Conglomerate General Electric (GE 17.01, -0.27) is scheduled for tomorrow morning. DJ30 -49.68 NASDAQ -13.15 SP500 -8.69 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1047/1.42 bln/1536 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1034/685 mln/1914

2:00 pm : The major equity averages are still stuck in the red. Overall losses remain moderate, though.

Tech stocks have attempted to turn positive over the past few minutes. The sector is currently flat as strength in First Solar (143.09, +6.16) and Yahoo! (YHOO 15.90, +0.65) is offset by weakness in Sandisk (SNDK 38.74, -1.20) and Motorola (MOT 7.92, -0.20).

With the tech sector stuck at the neutral line, telecom remains the only major sector in higher ground. More impressive is that the telecom sector has successfully stayed out of the red for the entire session, despite a few broad-based selling efforts. Telecom stocks are up 0.3%, collectively. DJ30 -34.81 NASDAQ -9.36 SP500 -6.78 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1092/1.33 bln/1452 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1154/632 mln/1786

1:30 pm : Treasuries have fallen under some stiff selling in the past 30 minutes. A disappointing auction of 30-year Bonds is the impetus. Ahead of the auction's results, which were released at 1:00 PM ET, the 30-year bond had actually been up a single tick. It has since retreated to a loss of one full point.

At $32.4 billion, dollar demand for the acution was the lowest since December 2009. The auction's bid-to-cover was 2.49 and the indirect bidder participation rate was 32.4%. For comparison, the prior auction drew a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.73 on dollar demand of $35.5 billion and an indirect bidder participation rarte of 36.1%. The average of the four previous auctions had a bid-to-cover of 2.82, dollar demand of $38.7 billion, and an indirect bidder participation rate of 38.9%. DJ30 -34.89 NASDAQ -10.94 SP500 -7.40 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 972/1.24 bln/1572 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1071/590 mln/1875

1:00 pm : A weaker dollar looked like it would provide stocks with support early on, but big losses among bank stocks have imbued the broader market with weakness. Many have been indifferent toward the latest dose of data.

The thought that further quantitative easing from the FOMC could put more dollars into circulation has continued to weigh on the greenback. In turn, the dollar dropped to a new 2010 low overnight. It has since pared its loss so that it now trails a basket of competing currencies by 0.6%.

Though it is still in the red, the dollar's improved position weighed on stocks near the open. Left with little direction, the S&P 500 was confined to a narrow range between the neutral line and near term support levels.

However, the broader market broke out of its trading range to slide to session lows amid intensified selling among bank stocks, which have been weakened by escalated concerns regarding banks' foreclosure processes. Several firms have halted related activities amid investigation into the documentation of and processes related to certain foreclosures. Additionally, CNBC's Faber noted this morning that mortgage loan pools created for mortgage backed securities may have featured representation that was not entirely true.

Such scenarios introduce a new unknown to the sector. That will make upcoming earnings out of the banking sector of even greater interest. The KBW Bank Index is currently down 3.5%, which has put it back below its 50-day moving average.

For-profit education plays are also under considerable pressure this session. That's largely owed to a weak outlook on enrollment from Apollo Group (APOL 36.85, -12.65), even though the firm posted a better-than-expected bottom line.

Yahoo! (YHOO 15.88, +0.63) also made headlines this morning. Reports have indicated that the Internet search firm is a possible candidate for private equity purchase.

Verizon (VZ 32.47, +0.26) has also found favor in the face of broader market weakness. The company will soon begin offering the iPad from Apple (AAPL 300.97, +0.83). Strength in shares of VZ have made telecom (+0.3%) the only sector still in positive territory.

Data did little for stocks this morning. Among the reports, the latest weekly tally of initial jobless claims climbed a bit more than expected, but continuing claims came down sharply from the prior week. Overall producer prices made a bigger-than-expected monthly increase, but core prices were up narrowly for the second straight month, as expected. Lastly, the trade deficit for August proved deeper than many had anticipated. Corporate news has been a bit light.

Treasuries have had a relatively quiet session. Coming up at any moment, though, are results from an auction of 30-year Bonds. DJ30 -38.52 NASDAQ -9.58 SP500 -7.07 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1012/1.13 bln/1454 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1133/535 mln/1764

12:30 pm : Selling pressure has resumed to take stocks to fresh session lows. The effort has caused a spike in volatility, such that the Volatility Index (VIX) is now up more than 5%. Just yesterday the VIX fell to its lowest level since April.

Despite the stock market's weakness and subsequent pickup in volatility, Treasuries haven't found much support. In turn, the benchmark 10-year Note is down several ticks. However, the 30-year Bond has actually found some support, such that it is currently up a single tick ahead of results for an auction of the Bond at 1:00 PM ET. DJ30 -41.74 NASDAQ -10.90 SP500 -7.58 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1012/1.02 bln/1454 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1133/480 mln/1764

12:00 pm : Stocks recently retreated to a fresh session low. Of the major sectors in the S&P 500, only telecom has managed to hold on to a gain. Telecom stocks are up 0.3%, collectively.

Dow component Verizon (VZ 32.45, +0.24) has been a primary leader among telecom plays. News broke this morning that the integrated outfit will soon offer the iPad from Apple (AAPL 301.69, +1.55) bundled with mobile hotspot service. Many of Apple's products have been typically partnered with AT&T (T 28.50, +0.03). DJ30 -28.19 NASDAQ -6.86 SP500 -5.31 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1077/920 mln/1380 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1218/432 mln/1666

11:30 am : After making a slight push into positive territory the stock market has started to slide again. The downturn has been led by financials, which continue to come under significant selling pressure -- the sector is now down 1.7%.

Among financial plays, Bank of America (BAC 12.64, -0.65) is in the worst shape. It is closely followed by Wells Fargo (WFC 24.60, -1.21) and Citigroup (C 4.06, -0.19). The three are also atop the sector's list of most actively traded names by share volume. DJ30 -1.93 NASDAQ -0.73 SP500 -2.01 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1284/785 mln/1107 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1414/366 mln/1405

11:00 am : Stocks are stuck in choppy trade, but they recently poked into positive territory. Overall action remains rather subdued.

Oil inventory data for the week ended October 8 was just released. It showed a draw of 416 barrels, which is far less than the expected draw of 1.45 million barrels. Oil prices had bounced ahead of the report, but have since pulled back a bit in its wake. Oil was last quoted with a 0.7% gain at $83.60 per barrel.

General strength among commodities continues to drive the CRB Commodity Index higher. The CRB is currently up 0.6%, which puts it at a new two-year high. DJ30 +13.78 NASDAQ +3.53 SP500 +0.06 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1356/661 mln/988 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1631/309 mln/1185

10:30 am : Precious metals continue to attract buyers. As such, gold prices in the continuous contract set a new record high of $1383.90 per ounce overnight. The yellow metal has since pulled back to trade with a 0.5% gain at $1376.50 per ounce. As for silver, it hit a 30-year high of $24.95 per ounce overnight, but it, too, has pulled back. Silver was last quoted at $24.42 per ounce with a 2.0% gain.

Natural gas inventories for the week ended October 8 had a build of 91 bcf, which is on par with the consensus call for a build 92 bcf. Natural gas prices have pared their losses with the release of the data. Prices had been down about 2.5% ahead of the report, but they were last quoted with a 1.1% loss at $3.65 per MMBtu.

Oil prices are up modestly at the moment. Specifically, crude was last quoted at $83.25 per barrel, up 0.3%. Weekly oil inventory figures are due at the top of the hour. DJ30 -3.89 NASDAQ +0.64 SP500 -1.38 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1214/512 mln/1093 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1469/251 mln/1312

10:00 am : A rebound from near-term support levels in the first few minutes of trade ran into resistance at the neutral line. That has given way to renewed selling that has threatened to retest early support.

Weakness has become increasingly widespread, such that defensive-oriented telecom and health care make up the only two sectors still in positive territory. They are up 0.3% and 0.1%, respectively.

Financials remain in the worst shape. The sector is off by 1.3%. DJ30 -24.55 NASDAQ -6.15 SP500 -3.54 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 926/318 mln/1285 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1150/175 mln/1546

09:45 am : Financials faltered in the prior session to finish the day flat. Pressure has resumed to take the sector down to an early loss of 1.0%. Banks continue to be the heaviest drag as the KBW Bank Index drops 2.1% in the early going.

Despite weakness among financial plays, the broader market has managed to make a modest bounce off of near-term support in the 1174 zone. DJ30 +4.09 NASDAQ +0.36 SP500 -0.40 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1042/199 mln/1074 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1354/123 mln/1272

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -0.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: flat. Stocks set fresh five-month highs in the prior session with help from a drooping dollar. Renewed selling against the greenback had dropped it to a new 2010 low overnight, but it has started to pare those losses. That has undermined stock futures a bit, such that a flat start to the session now looks in order. Data has had little impact on action ahead of the bell as weekly initial jobless claims climbed a bit more than expected, but continuing claims came down sharply from the prior week. Overall producer prices made a bigger-than-expected monthly increase, but core prices were up narrowly for the second straight month, as expected. Lastly, the trade deficit for August proved deeper than many had anticipated. Corporate news has been a bit light. However, it is worth noting that Yahoo! (YHOO) has been discussed as a possible candidate for private equity purchase. Meanwhile, Apollo Group (APOL) has brought pressure to the for-profit space with its weak outlook on enrollment.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -0.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +1.50. Futures for the S&P 500 have pulled back a bit as the dollar retraces some of its morning slide. Germany's DAX is up 0.5% at the moment. That's been enough to extend the German bourse's 2010 high. Siemens (SI) is atop the list of leaders for this session. In contrast, Commerzbank has been a burden. German Economic Institutes released a bi-annual group forecast that revised higher the country's GDP forecast to reflect growth of 3.5% from 1.5% for 2010. Financial plays are also weak in France. As such, losses among BNP Paribas, Societe Generale, and Credit Agricole have undercut France's CAC, which has pulled back from a fresh five-month high to trade with a mere 0.2% gain. Schneider Electric remains a solid source of support. In Britain, the FTSE has fallen to a 0.2% loss. Lloyds Banking Group (LYG), Barclays (BCS), and HSBC (HBC) have been sources of weakness, but metal and mining giant Rio Tinto (RIO) is up solidly following its stronger-than-expected quarterly production numbers. Shares of RIO, previously traded under ticker RTP, are at their highest level in two years. Earlier this morning the euro climbed to its highest level against the dollar since January. At that point it traded at $1.41. It is now down a bit.

Japan's yen hit a new 15-year high of 80.89 yen per dollar overnight. The yen is currently at 81.25 per dollar. Despite the yen's strength, stocks in Japan still moved markedly higher overnight. The Nikkei finished 1.9% higher as approximately 90% as of its names advanced. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite climbed to its best level since late April, but pulled back into the close. It still settled with a 0.6% gain amid leadership from PetroChina (PTR) and Industrial & Commercial Bank. Hong Kong's Hang Seng spiked 1.6% to set a new 28-month high. It was also led by Industrial & Commercial Bank, HSBC, and China Construction Bank.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +2.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +6.00. Stock futures gyrated with the latest dose of data, but they are now back to earlier levels. Initial jobless claims for the week ended October 9 totaled 462,000, which is more than the 450,000 claims that had been expected, on average, among economists polled by Briefing.com. The latest initial claims figure made for a week-over-week increase of 13,000. Continuing claims fell 112,000 week-over-week to 4.40 million. The Producer Price Index for September increased 0.4%, just as it did in August. The increase for September exceeds the 0.2% monthly increase that had been widely forecast. Excluding food and energy, producer prices increased a more tepid 0.1% for the second straight month, as expected. Trade during August resulted in a deficit of $46.3 billion, which is up from the $42.6 billion deficit recorded for the prior month. It was also worse than the $44.5 billion deficit that had been generally expected among economists polled by Briefing.com.

08:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +2.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +5.50. Stock futures are up modestly ahead of the latest dose of data. On tap, weekly jobless claims and producer price data for September are due at the bottom of the hour. Trade data for August are also due then. Weekly natural gas inventory data are due at 10:30 AM ET, followed immediately by weekly oil inventory figures at 11:00 AM ET. The delayed release of oil inventory data comes from the observance of Columbus Day earlier this week. Results from an auction of 30-year Bonds are scheduled for release at 1:00 PM ET. A sharp drop by the dollar to a new 2010 low has helped support premarket trade. The greenback is currently down 0.9% against a basket of competing currencies. Corporate news has generally been light this morning, although Apollo Group (APOL) has brought pressure on the for-profit education space with a pessimistic outlook on enrollment that has overshadowed better-than-expected earnings. Shares of APOL are down about 18% ahead of the open.

06:30 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +2.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +3.50.

06:30 am : Nikkei...9583.51...+180.00...+1.90%. Hang Seng...23852.17...+394.50...+1.70%.

06:30 am : FTSE...5730.12...-17.30...-0.30%. DAX...6464.22...+29.70...+0.50%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)
Price Action Only Trading (no indicators)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

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