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 Post subject: October 28th Thursday 2010 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +1.20
PostPosted: Fri Oct 29, 2010 4:06 pm 
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Joined: Sat Jan 10, 2009 1:06 pm
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Location: Canada

Trade Results of M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Only Trading (no indicators)

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I didn't trade the afternoon trading session due to personal appointments involving my family and will not trade tomorrow because of the same reasons. With that said, the trades I took today were 4 losers and 2 winners but the winners were big enough to offset the losing trades to result in a profitable trading day...just barely.

Trade Performance for Today: +1.20 points or $120 dollars in the ICE Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures.
1 tick or 0.10 = $10 dollars and to find out more contract information about the Russell 2000 Emini here.

In addition, today's #FuturesTrades chat room logs provides details about each trade from entry to exit along with commentary as the trade traversed...all archived @

Also, posted below are direct links to information about my trade methodology and trading plan (there's a difference between the two) that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ and there's a free study guide of the WRB Analysis Tutorial Chapters 1, 2 and 3 @ However, you must join the TSL Support Forum to access the free study guide. To here.

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @

Image Trading Plan Daily Trade Routine @


Image Market Summaries

The below summaries by Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance helps me to do a quick review of the fundamentals, FED actions, global economics that had an impact on today's price action. Simply, I'm a strong believer that many variables causes key changes in supply/demand and volatility that's arguably just as important as my technical analysis.

Image - Stocks Waver Amid Investor Caution
Attachment:[1].png[1].png [ 22.17 KiB | Viewed 177 times ]

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By Hibah Yousuf, staff reporter
October 28, 2010: 4:34 PM ET

NEW YORK ( -- Stocks pared earlier losses and ended virtually unchanged Thursday, as investors remained cautious ahead of next week's Federal Reserve meeting.

Starting the session with strong gains, stocks were fueled by optimism from corporate earnings and a report showing fewer people filing for first-time unemployment. However, skittishness prevailed and stocks seesawed throughout the session.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) closed 12 points lower, or 0.1%, with 3M (MMM, Fortune 500) and Caterpillar (CAT, Fortune 500) leading the decline. Earlier, the blue chip index had added as many as 53 points and had lost 74 points.

The S&P 500 (SPX) finished 1 point higher, or 0.1%, while tech-heavy Nasdaq (COMP) gained 4 points, or 0.2%.

"We're going to have a lot of choppiness in the market until we get some clarity from the Fed's plan next week," said Peter Tuz, president at Chase Investment Counsel.

Stocks also ended the session mixed Wednesday as investors lowered their expectations for an aggressive move by the Federal Reserve to stimulate the economy.

Speculation over just how big of a move the Fed is going to make will continue to drive market activity through next week's Fed meeting, according to analysts.

"It's really all about the Fed next week -- and to a lesser extent elections," said Frank Longman, a market technician with Brean Murray, Carret & Co.

Stocks will likely remain on a roller coaster leading up to and possibly after the Fed announcement on Nov. 3.

Economy: The Department of Labor released its weekly jobless claims figures before the start of trade. The number was much lower than expected.

The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment fell to a 3-month low of 434,000 -- a decline of 21,000 from the prior week. Economists expected claims to have risen to 458,000, according to

Companies: 3M (MMM, Fortune 500) reported a third-quarter profit of $1.53 per share on revenue of $6.9 billion. The company beat on earnings but fell short on sales, sending its stock down 6.5% and making it the Dow's biggest loser.

Exxon Mobil (XOM, Fortune 500) also beat expectations on profit but not revenue. The oil giant earned $1.44 per share on revenue of $95.3 billion for the third quarter. Shares rose 0.8%.

Eastman Kodak (EK, Fortune 500) shares surged 15.3% after the company reported a narrower loss, citing growth in its digital businesses. While total sales edged down 1%, digital sales surged 10% during the latest quarter.
0:00 /1:34Investors bet on casinos

Shares of Avon Products (AVO) lost 5.6%, after the company's profit and sales came in weaker than expected. Avon's sales in North America and Latin America fell short of the company's forecast.

Halliburton (HAL, Fortune 500) stock sank 8% after a report from federal investigators suggested the oil services company knew the cement it used on the BP oil well was unstable.

Motorola (MOT, Fortune 500) reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings of 16 cents per share, on total sales of $5.8 billion. The company attributed its strong earnings to growth in smartphone sales, particularly in China. Shares rose 0.5%.

Shares of Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500) spiked 1% after-hours after the company beat expectations with a quarterly profit of $5.41 billion, or 62 cents per share. Sales soared 25% to $16.2 billion, and also topped estimates.

Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500) will release its quarterly earnings after the market closes. Analysts predict a profit of 55 cents per share on $15.8 billion in revenue. Microsoft's stock edged up 0.9%.

General Motors is taking a big step toward repaying taxpayers for last year's $50 billion bailout, announcing it will repurchase $2.1 billion in preferred stock held by the Treasury Department.

Verizon Wireless (VZ, Fortune 500) has agreed to pay $25 million to the government to settle an investigation of the "mystery fees" it improperly charged millions of customers for data sessions they never intended to launch, the Federal Communications Commission said Thursday. The stock closed down 0.3%.

World markets: European stocks ended higher, with Britain's FTSE 100 and France's CAC 40 adding 0.6%. The DAX in Germany advanced about 0.5%.

Asian markets ended the session mixed. The Shanghai Composite slid 0.2%, while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong rose by 0.2%. Japan's Nikkei fell 0.2%.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar fell against the euro, Japanese yen and the British pound.

Oil for December delivery gained 24 cents to settle at $82.18 a barrel.

Gold futures for December delivery gained $19.90 to finish at $1,342.50 an ounce.

Bonds: Prices on U.S. Treasuries rose, pushing the yield on the benchmark 10-year bond down to 2.7%.


Image Yahoo! Finance - Market Update

4:35 pm : Stocks settled mixed with the major equity averages near the neutral line. The lack of direction came despite encouraging data and a sharp drop by the dollar, but preceded the advance GDP report for the third quarter.

The S&P 500 was up about 0.6% at its session high and down about 0.5% at its session low before it muddled its way to a flat finish. Early gains were helped by a positive reaction to initial jobless claims for the week ending October 23. They totaled 434,000, which is well below the 458,000 initial claims that had been expected, on average, among economists polled by The tally was also the smallest since July. More impressive is that continuing claims fell to 4.36 million, which is a near two-year low.

It took little time before the stock market's early gain was dashed, even though the dollar was under stiff pressure. The dollar, which has had an inverse relationship with stocks for several months, dropped to a 1.1% loss.

While the greenback was less of a factor than in recent sessions, stocks worked their way out of the red to finish slightly above the neutral line.

Actual leadership was limited, but health care managed to book a 0.5% gain, one of the better performances. That came amid strength in Cardinal Health (CAH 34.33, +0.92) and Celgene (CELG 61.20, +1.80). Both had upbeat earnings reports.

Industrials were at the other end of the scope as 3M (MMM 85.07, -5.30) dropped precipitously despite an upside earnings surprise. However, the sector pared losses into the close to finish just 0.3% into the red.

Market participants had varied reactions to earnings Akamai (AKAM 51.11, +0.72), Visa (V 76.45, -3.47), Colgate-Palmolive (CL 74.92, -0.58), Norfolk Southern (NSC 60.79, -0.56), Las Vegas Sands (LVS 44.63, +3.57), Noble Energy (NE 34.32, -0.11), Zimmer Holdings (ZMH 49.41, -2.48), Motorola (MOT 8.13, +0.04), and Dow Chemical (DOW 30.86, -0.35), all of which had better-than-expected earnings. To be fair, though, revenue results remain less impressive.

Outside of earnings, Halliburton (HAL 31.68, -2.74) ran into stiff selling on heavy volume following reports regarding the stability of the cement mixture foundation of the Deepwater Horizon well.

Treasuries finally caught a bid after slumping earlier this week. They were helped by strong results from a $29 billion auction of 7-year Notes. Yields settled a bit above session lows.

Tomorrow brings the advance GDP report for the third quarter. It will be released ahead of the market's open and is likely to be a major trading event. The consensus among economists polled by pegs growth at 2.0%.

Advancing Sectors: Health Care (+0.5%), Consumer Discretionary (+0.4%), Consumer Staples (+0.3%), Telecom (+0.3%), Utilities (+0.2%), Tech (+0.1%)
Declining Sectors: Industrials (-0.3%), Materials (-0.1%), Financials (-0.1)
Unchanged: EnergyDJ30 -12.33 NASDAQ +4.11 NQ100 +0.2% R2K -0.5% SP400 -0.1% SP500 +1.33 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1088/2.02 bln/1504 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1498/1.01 bln/1442

3:30 pm : The dollar drove trade in precious metals again this session. Precious metals collectively rallied for a 1.9% gain as the dollar dove to a loss of more than 1%. Gold specifically gained 1.5% to finish at $1342.50 per ounce. Silver settled 2.3% higher at $23.88 per ounce. They set respective highs of $1346.20 and $24.04 per ounce, which came in late-morning trade.

Natural gas prices started pit trade in the red with a marked loss, but jumped 3.6% to finish at $3.88 per MMBtu on the back of a smaller-than-expected build in weekly inventories. Meanwhile, crude oil prices lagged, but still finished with a 0.3% gain at $82.18 per barrel. DJ30 -25.30 NASDAQ +1.59 SP500 -0.49 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1125/1.66 bln/1437 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1475/770 mln/1451

3:00 pm : The Dow is still in the red and the S&P 500 remains stuck at the neutral line, but the Nasdaq has managed to push up to a modest gain.

Relative strength in the Nasdaq comes largely from Akamai Tech (AKAM 51.58, +1.19) and Celgene (CELG 61.46, +2.06). Akamai reported in-line earnings for its latest quarter, but made optimistic comments during its conference call, while Celgene reported an upside earnings surprise. The Nasdaq's lead over its counterparts comes after it had lagged earlier this session, but puts it in position to outperform for the third straight session. DJ30 -15.97 NASDAQ +4.58 SP500 +0.43 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1180/1.51 bln/1379 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1480/695 mln/1437

2:30 pm : Stocks continue to trade in a narrow range near the neutral line as broader market weakness eases from the levels seen earlier this afternoon. Still, there hasn't been an emergence of leadership to lift the stock market back into positive territory.

Participation has bicked up a bit this session, but not too much. So far, close to 650 million shares have been exchanged on the NYSE. Such a clip of trade should easily take overall share volume on the Big Board above 1 billion. DJ30 -22.70 NASDAQ +3.13 SP500 -0.02 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1111/1.39 bln/1432 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1420/644 mln/1499

2:00 pm : Stocks have shown some resilience recently. As such, the major averages refuse to roll over even as sellers continue to keep them out of positive territory.

Though stocks have limited losses, the Volatility Index is up again. It is up a bit more than 2% at the moment. That still isn't enough to take it back to the levels that its saw in the prior session, when it came in contact with its 50-day moving average for the first time in abou three weeks. DJ30 -31.94 NASDAQ -2.41 SP500 -1.52 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1027/1.27 bln/1503 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1314/585 mln/1576

1:30 pm : Stocks recently attempted to stage a nice, little rally, but they failed to push into positive territory as sellers stood ready at the neutral line. The stock market has since been backed down to a modest loss.

Results from a $29 billion auction of 7-year Notes were released at 1:00 PM ET. The auction drew a yield of 1.97% on a bid-to-cover ratio of 3.1 and indirect bidder participation of 50.2%. For comparison, the average of the past 10 auctions had a bid-to-cover of 2.9 and indirect participation of 48.9%. A positive reaction to the results has stirred some additional buying among Treasuries, such that their yields are at new session lows. DJ30 -38.45 NASDAQ -2.30 SP500 -1.31 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1024/1.17 bln/1499 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1336/535 mln/1552

1:05 pm : Encouraging data and a sharp drop in the dollar have failed to keep stocks in higher ground.

The session started with a solid gain as market participants offered a broad bid that followed news of the least weekly initial jobless claims count (434,000) since July and the least number of continuing claims (4.36 million) in close to two years.

A drop in the dollar that erased all of its prior session gain was also widely cited as cause for early support. However, the dollar has since extended that slide and failed to keep stocks from rolling over. The dollar is now down close to 1.2% against competing currencies. While that is its worst slide in only a week, it is still the greenback's second worst loss in more than three months.

Earnings continue to come in above expectations, but investors remain fickle, especially amid less impressive revenue results.

Shares of 3M (MMM 84.29, -6.08) have been dumped despite an upside earnings surprise and in-line revenue for its latest quarter. Its weakness has dragged down the industrials sector to a 0.9% loss.

Akamai (AKAM 51.10, +0.71) posted in-line earnings and issued in-line guidance for fiscal 2010, but optimistic comments were issued during its conference call to drive the stock to a fresh 52-week high. It has since drifted off of that mark, but it has provided some support to the tech sector, which is down 0.7%. Apple (AAPL 302.88, -5.45) has undermined the sector with its fifth drop in six sessions. That comes after it staged a nearly uninterrupted run for about two weeks up to $310 per share from just under $290.

Shares of Visa (V 75.90, -4.02) are also under stiff pressure, despite a modest earnings beat by the company. Shares of insurer Allstate (ALL 30.39, -2.09) are even worse off after the company reported one of the few earnings misses of the latest round of announcements. Their weakness has undermined the financial sector, which is down by 0.4%.

Health care is one of the few spaces that has managed to hold up relatively well against broader market weakness. The sector is currently up 0.2% as Cardinal Health (CAH 34.18, +0.77) and Celgene (CELG 61.30, +1.90) trade with strength. Both had upbeat earnings reports. DJ30 -42.31 NASDAQ -4.75 SP500 -2.32 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1002/1.09 mln/1507 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1352/490 mln/1540

12:30 pm : Stocks recently ran into another flurry of selling, which sent each of the major equity averages to fresh session lows. Despite the ominous sound of such an event, overall losses remain relatively modest.

Though overall losses aren't so severe, weakness has become rather widespread. As such, only the health care sector has managed to hold on to any kind of gain -- it is currently up fractionally. Cardinal Health (CAH 34.08, +0.67) has been a primary source of support for the sector, thanks to its latest earnings report, which featured an upside earnings surprise. Better-than-expected earnings from biotech outfit Celgene (CELG 61.30, +1.90) have also propped up the sector. DJ30 -71.71 NASDAQ -13.11 SP500 -5.23 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 884/980 mln/1601 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1136/450 mln/1743

12:00 pm : Industrial stocks have lagged all session. The sector is currently down 0.8%, worse off than any other sector in the S&P 500.

Most of the industrial sector's weakness is owed to a sharp drop in shares of 3M (MMM 84.47, -5.83), even though the industrial conglomerate posted an upside earnings surprise for its latest quarter. The drop in shares of MMM takes the stock to its lowest level in more than one month. DJ30 -60.51 NASDAQ -11.56 SP500 -3.70 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 889/885 mln/1581 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1195/405 mln/1662

11:30 am : The S&P 500 has poked back into positive territory with help from a dwindling dollar, which has extended its slide to a fresh session low. The dollar is now down 1.2% against competing currencies. While that is its worst slide in only a week, it is still the greenback's second worst loss in more than three months.

The dollar's drop has stimulated further buying among precious metals. As such, gold prices are now up 1.2% to $1338.10 per ounce and silver prices are up 2.3% to $23.93 per ounce. That, along with an upside earnings surprise, has helped Barrick Gold (ABX 46.45, +0.85) stage a strong gain while the rest of the materials sector is mired near the neutral line with Potash (POT 144.27, -3.05), Dow Chemical (DOW 31.00, -0.21), and Bunge (BG 59.58, -2.12) all in the red despite their better-than-expected earnings. DJ30 -20.28 NASDAQ -3.40 SP500 +0.36 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1021/782 mln/1420 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1431/355 mln/1388

11:00 am : The major equity averages have stabilized since slipping into the red, but tech stocks, now down 0.3%, continue to weigh on the mood of the broader market.

Weakness has also persisted in the face of a sharp drop by the dollar, which is now down 1.0% to a session low. DJ30 -30.54 NASDAQ -6.75 SP500 -1.10 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 951/650 mln/1436 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1305/300 mln/1476

10:30 am : Stocks have rolled over in recent trade. The selling effort has dashed the broader market's opening gain.

Action among commodities is generally positive, though. As such, the CRB Commodity Index has managed to put together a 0.2% gain.

Among the more widely watched commodity plays, natural gas was exceptionally weak ahead of the latest weekly inventory data, which showed a build of 71 bcf when a build of 74 bcf had been widely expected. However, prices have since swung to $3.74 per MMBtu, where they trade with a 0.7% loss, after they had been at about $3.70 per MMBtu ahead of the data.

Meanwhile, oil prices are up a solid 0.4% to $82.25 per barrel.

Precious metals have made a nice rebound from their slide in the prior session. The bounce has taken gold prices 0.9% higher to $133.70 per ounce and silver prices up 1.5% to $23.75 per ounce. DJ30 -19.26 NASDAQ -8.99 SP500 -1.70 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 988/480 mln/1318 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1344/230 mln/1407

10:00 am : The stock market has slid off of its opening high, but it is still comfortably in positive ground.

Tech stocks, which make up the largest sector by market weight, have fallen to the neutral line, though. The sector's pullback comes as semiconductor stocks, which surged 3% in the prior session, have run into some resistance that has caused them to trade with a 0.4% loss.

Akamai (AKAM 52.54, +2.14) has provided the tech sector with some early support, though. The company posted in-line earnings and issued in-line guidance for fiscal 2010, but during its conference call last evening management stated that it believes analysts' estimates for 15% revenue growth in fiscal 2011 is actually conservative. Shares of AKAM set a new 52-week high in the opening minutes of trade.

Advancing Sectors: Health Care (+0.7%), Telecom (+0.7%), Consumer Discretionary (+0.5%), Energy (+0.5%), Consumer Staples (+0.4%), Utilities +0.4%), Financials (+0.4%), Materials (+0.3%)
Declining Sectors: (None)
Unchanged: Industrials, TechDJ30 +31.94 NASDAQ +6.33 SP500 +4.32 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1394/309 mln/830 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1949/158 mln/769

09:45 am : Stocks are up solidly in the first few minutes of trade. The strong start contrasts with the openings of the two previous sessions.

This morning's bid has been broad based in that all 10 major sectors are in higher ground with comparable gains. Still, energy (+0.7%) and telecom (+0.7%) are currently up the most.

Treasuries are also up solidly at the moment. Following steady pressure in recent sessions that sent the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note to a one-month high, the 10-year Note has gained about 10 ticks to take its yield back below 2.70%. DJ30 +31.18 NASDAQ +8.20 SP500 +5.24 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1419/184 mln/715 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2002/104 mln/640

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +6.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +8.30. Stock futures had been trading with narrow gains overnight, but the tone of premarket trade has improved markedly with a drop by the dollar and the release of some better-than-expected weekly jobless claims data. More specifically, the dollar is down 0.9% against competing currencies. That more than offsets the gain that it staged in the prior session. As for the latest jobless claims tally, initial claims fell more than expected week-over-week to 434,000, the lowest sum since July, and continuing claims dropped precipitously to 4.36 million, which is the lowest count for continuing claims in close to two years. Earnings, though less influential to traders lately, continue to provide a positive backdrop as results have largely exceeded what analysts had forecasted, yet revenue remains less impressive. Strong gains in Europe have also supported this morning's positive tone.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +6.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +9.30. The improved tone to premarket trade in the U.S. has helped Germany's DAX reclaim some of its earlier gains. The German bourse is now up 1.1%. Volkswagen has been a primary leader in the latest climb. Its effort has been complemented by that of Deutsche Telekom. In France, the CAC has climbed back toward its session high so that it now trades with a 1.2% gain. With Total (TOT) and France Telecom (FTE) providing leadership, advancing issues now outnumber decliners by 3-to-1. France Telecom reported better-than-expected earnings for its latest quarter. Better-than-expected earnings from Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) have also been met with a positive reaction, which has helped Britain's FTSE make its way to a 1.1% gain. However, Vodafone, Standard Chartered, and HSBC (HBC) have the primary leaders in that advance.

In Asia, Japan's Nikkei fell to a 0.2% loss as the yen bounced back from some recent slides. To little surprise the country's central bank left its benchmark lending rate at 0.1%. According to data, sales from large retailers in September were down 1.7% after a 1.8% decline in August. Fast Retailing and Softbank were primary sources of weakness, but Fanuc Ltd and Canon (CAJ) provided some support. Canon just reported yesterday morning better-than-expected earnings and raised its profit forecast for fiscal 2010, but lowered its revenue outlook for the year. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite slipped 0.2% as China Shenhua and SAIC weighed on action. Their weakness offset gains by Aluminum Corp and Bank of China. CNOOC (CEO) recently announced increases in both production and revenue its third quarter. Hong Kong's Hang Seng slipped from an opening gain, but managed a modest rebound to finish its latest session with a 0.2% gain. Bank of China and China Construction Bank led the way while Hong Kong Exchange and Tencent Holdings lagged.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +6.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +10.50. A drop by the dollar to a new morning low recently spurred buying in stock futures. The climb by futures has since been extended with help from the latest weekly jobless claims count. Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 23 totaled 434,000, which is down 21,000 week-over-week and well below the 458,000 initial claims that had been expected, on average, among economists polled by As for continuing claims, they fell by 122,000 week-over-week to 4.36 million, which is the lowest continuing claims count in close to two years.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +2.40. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +4.00. Stock futures are only slightly higher this morning, even though the dollar has dropped markedly to trade at a morning low with a 0.7% loss against competing currencies. The trepidation among premarket participants precedes the latest weekly jobless claims tally, which will be released at 8:30 AM ET. That is the only item on the economic calendar ahead of the Advance GDP report for the third quarter -- due tomorrow. Earnings continue to come in droves. Results generally remain upbeat with Visa (V), 3M (MMM), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), Cardinal Health (CAH), Motorola (MOT), and Dow Chemical (DOW) among the more widely held names to report upside surprises in the latest round of announcements. Revenue figures, indicative of demand, remain less impressive, though.

07:31 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +1.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +3.30.

07:30 am : Nikkei...9366.03...-21.00...-0.20%. Hang Seng...23210.86...+46.30...+0.20%.

07:30 am : FTSE...5682.52...+36.50...+0.60%. DAX...6602.25...+34.30...+0.50%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body/bar analysis)
Price Action Only Trading (no indicators)
Image@ and

Phone: +1.708.572.4885
Business Hours: 8am - 5pm est (Mon - Fri)
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