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 Post subject: August 16th Monday 2010 Emini TF (No Trades)
PostPosted: Mon Aug 16, 2010 10:11 pm 
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Trade Journal By M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)

Trade journals are crucial in preventing us traders from becoming complacent or content with our trading plan or the markets because without having the ability to review archives of past trading days in a forever changing market...we won't know it's time to adapt when change occurs in the markets because broker statements alone doesn't help us keep that edge in comparison to a trade journal. In addition, this public trade journal contains useful trading tips a few times per week to encourage readers to return for more information and to help ensure I myself don't forget the importance of basic concepts within my own trading plan. Further, there are market summaries from Youtube Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo Finance as a quick archive of what happened in the markets on a particular day of trading. Thus, if you're looking for trading tips and market summaries that can improve your trading and/or understanding of what happen on a particular day that involves more than just entry signals...consistently read this trade journal and the #FuturesTrades chat room logs where I post my trades in real-time from entry to exit (see link below) via my IRC user name wrbtrader.

Today's #FuturesTrades chat room logs is archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=77&t=597

Trade Performance for Today: +0.00 points or $0 dollars in the ICE Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures because of a personal day off from the markets.
1 tick or 0.10 = $10 dollars and to find out more contract information about the Russell 2000 Emini TF...click here.

Quote:
Today's results are 0 win : 0 loss (see above #FuturesTrades log). I decided to take another personal day off from the market. In fact, August is usually my lowest performing month of the year due to extended days off from the market to spend time with the family along with giving myself a chance to re-energize prior to the start of the fall trading session.


FYI - You can ask me questions here at the forum or you can tweet me on twitter about any thing related to today's trading or related to your own trading.

Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader


In addition, posted below are direct links about my trade methodology or trading approach that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm

Image Daily Trade Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=120&t=731

------------------------------

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Most U.S. Stocks Rise Led by Technology, Materials: Video
Aug. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Courtney Donohoe reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. Most stocks rose, with the Standard & Poor's 500 Index climbing after four days of declines, with materials shares gaining as gold reached a six week high and technology rebounding from last week's slump. EBay Inc. gained 2.6 percent on speculation its PayPal service will be used by Google Inc.'s smartphone. Donohoe talks with Pimm Fox on Bloomberg Television's "Taking Stock."

Tech Stocks Gain In Choppy Session
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By Annalyn Censky, staff reporter
August 16, 2010: 4:38 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks ended mixed after a choppy session Monday, as investors were caught between excitement over dealmaking in the tech sector and pessimism about weaker-than-expected economic data.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) fell 1.14 points, and the S&P 500 (SPX) rose just 0.13 point. But the tech-laden Nasdaq (COMP) composite climbed 8.39 points, or 0.4%.

Investors remained cautious following four straight losing sessions in the wake of the Federal Reserve's bearish outlook last week. A raft of downbeat economic reports and some tepid earnings results added pressure.

Wall Street will be bracing for key reports on housing, building permits, prices and quarterly results from retail giants Wal-Mart (WMT, Fortune 500) and Home Depot (HD, Fortune 500) Tuesday before the bell.

"The economic data hasn't been at its weakest levels, and I don't anticipate we're going to roll over, and crash and burn," said Phil Streible, a senior market strategist with Lind-Waldock. "But I think we're going to waffle around here until volume picks up again in September."

Companies: Curbing the Dow's losses, shares of Cisco Systems (CSCO, Fortune 500) rose 2.6%, and shares of Intel (INTC, Fortune 500) advanced 1.7% after acquisition announcements from Intel and Dell (DELL, Fortune 500) sparked excitement about other possible takeover deals in the tech sector.

Intel is buying Texas Instruments' cable modem product line, the company said Monday. It did not disclose the cost of the deal.

Meanwhile, Dell said it will acquire data-storage company 3PAR for $1.15 billion, a deal the company said could cut its data management costs by 50%. Shares of Dell (DELL, Fortune 500) fell 0.4% after the announcement, but 3PAR (PAR) rose 86%.

Lowe's (LOW, Fortune 500) stock edged 0.5% higher after the home improvement retailer posted higher fiscal second-quarter profit and revenue -- although the company missed forecasts and lowered its outlook.

Lowe's reported a profit of $832 million, or 58 cents per share, for the quarter ended July 30. That was below the 59 cents per share analysts were forecasting. But earnings rose 9.6% from $759 million, or 51 cents a share, a year earlier, thanks to cost-cutting measures.

World markets: While stocks in Asia ended mostly higher, Japan's benchmark Nikkei index slipped 0.6% following reports that Japan's economic growth slowed sharply to 0.4% in the second quarter -- putting China another step closer to becoming the world's second-largest economy.

Japan's gross domestic product totaled $1.29 trillion for the three months ending in June, while China's official figure for the same period was $1.34 trillion.

* China marches toward world's No. 2 economy

China is forecast to overtake Japan by the end of the year to become the world's No. 2 economy after the United States. Official annual figures won't come until early 2011.

Meanwhile, the Shanghai Composite rallied 2.1%, while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong ended the day up 0.2%.

European shares ended mixed. France's CAC 40 dropped 0.4%, while the FTSE 100 in Britain and Germany's DAX were fractionally higher.

Economy: The Empire Manufacturing survey index jumped to 7.1 in August from 5.08 in July, showing growth in the New York region. Economists polled by Briefing.com had expected a jump to 7.5.

A report from the National Association of Home Builders showed builder confidence for newly built single-family homes edged down for a third consecutive month in August. The NAHB's Housing Market Index declined one point to 13, its lowest level since March of 2009. Economists had expected the index to hold steady from July's 14 points.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar fell against the euro, the Japanese yen and the British pound.

Oil futures for September delivery slipped 15 cents to settle at $75.24 a barrel.

Gold futures for December delivery rose $6.60 to settle at $1,226.20 an ounce.

Bonds: Prices for Treasurys rose. The yield on the 10-year note fell to a 17-month low of 2.58% from 2.68% late Friday. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions.

The 2-year yield hovered near its record intraday low of 0.48%.

Market breadth: Market breadth was positive. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners beat losers on a tight margin on volume of 789 million shares. On the Nasdaq, advancers beat decliners two to one on volume of 1.6 billion shares.

Image

Yahoo! Finance

4:30 pm : Last week's near 4% loss made for a bit of a hangover Monday morning as stocks opened with a loss. An early bounce helped the broader market improve its position, but it still finished flat.

Early participants were dealt few trading cues. Among the more notable headlines, there was lower-than-expected annualized second quarter GDP of 0.4% in Japan, renewed selling in Europe, a slightly smaller-than-expected rise in the August Empire Manufacturing Index to 7.1, and an earnings miss from home improvement retailer Lowe's (LOW 19.70, +0.11).

Despite the lackluster headlines, the S&P 500 bounced up from its opening low in the 1070 area to make its way back to its two-day consolidation range highs in the 1080 to 1085 zone. Resistance in that zone confined the broader market to a narrow range that resulted in a finish flat.

The Nasdaq had a better finish. Its relative strength stemmed from tech issues, which outperformed for the entire session. The overall tech sector settled with a 0.4% gain, though it had been up roughly 1% at its session high.

Small-caps in the Russell 2000 outperformed. 3Par (PAR 18.00, +8.35) was a primary leader following news that Dell (DELL 11.96, -0.05) will purchase the company for $18 per share, which is an 87% premium over the stock's closing price last week.

In other merger news, airline plays TAM S.A. (TAM 20.78 +4.09) and LAN Airlines (LFL 27.79, +0.59) will combine their holdings under a single parent entity. That helped drive the Amex Airline Index 2.4% higher.

For-profit education plays were pressured amid reports regarding poor loan repayment rates at Strayer Education (STRA 163.26, -36.75). Adding to the weight was a downgrade of Corinthian Colleges (COCO 5.22, -1.44) by analysts at Deutsche Bank.

Trading volume was pathetic again. Specifically, share volume on the NYSE didn't even break 800 million shares. That makes for one of the most thinly traded session's all year.

Though the dollar dropped to a 0.5% loss, safe havens like Treasuries and gold garnered support.

Broad support for fixed income dropped the yield on the 2-year Note to a new record low of less than 0.49%. The benchmark 10-year Note saw its yield drop to a 15-month low just under 2.57%, while the yield on the 30-year Bond fell to 3.71% for the first time since April 2009.

Gold prices closed 0.9% higher at $1226.20 per ounce, which marks a one-month closing high.

Advancing Sectors: Materials (+0.5%), Tech (+0.4%), Utilities (+0.1%), Energy (+0.1%)
Declining Sectors: Health Care (-0.4%), Telecom (-0.3%), Financials (-0.2%)
Unchanged: Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, IndustrialsDJ30 -1.14 NASDAQ +8.39 NQ100 +0.2% R2K +0.9% SP400 +0.2% SP500 +0.13 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1624/1.63 bln/1008 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1880/787 mln/1090

3:30 pm : Grains were the weakest sector in the CRB Commodity Index today, shedding 2.5%. Dec wheat futures closed lower by 5.2% to $6.96 per bushel. Forecasts for rain in Russia weighed on prices today.

Dec gold closed higher by 0.9% to $1226.20 per ounce, while Sept silver finished up 1.7% to $18.43 per ounce. The continued flight to safety pushed precious metals futures higher today.

Sept natural gas closed lower by 2.3% to $4.23 per MMBtu. Continued bearish fundamentals pushed natural gas to its lowest levels since late May. Sept crude oil finished down by 0.2% to $75.24 per barrel, marking a fifth consecutive session of losses. Continued concerns about the economy, further supported by worse-than-expected economic data in Japan, prevented crude oil from ending that recent streak. DJ30 -31.03 NASDAQ -4.69 SP500 -1.62 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1323/1.3 bln/1284 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1537/555.9 mln/1443

3:00 pm : Stocks have moved another leg lower. The decline puts the stock market at its worst level of the afternoon, but overall losses remain relatively modest.

Small-cap stocks have been strong performers this session. Collectively, they are up 0.5% at the moment. 3Par (PAR 17.97, +8.32) is a primary leader among small-caps following news that Dell (DELL 11.89, -0.12) will purchase the company for $1.15 billion, or $18 per share, which represents an 87% premium over the stocks closing price last week. DJ30 -34.89 NASDAQ +2.24 SP500 -3.31 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1443/1.18 bln/1149 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1675/505 mln/1293

2:30 pm : Finance stocks have faltered. The sector is now down 0.4%, which makes it one of the worst performing sectors this session.

The sector's recent slip coincides with a minor dip in the broader market, which has actually done a good job holding near the 1080 level after bouncing up from the 1070 area at the open. However, the bounce puts the stock market back near its two-day consolidative range highs in the 1080 to 1085 resistance zone. DJ30 -5.26 NASDAQ +11.05 SP500 +0.28 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1637/1.07 bln/969 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1892/450 mln/1067

2:00 pm : For-profit education plays are under pressure following reports regarding poor loan repayment rates at Strayer Education (STRA 167.43, -32.58). Also weighing on the space is a downgrade of Corinthian Colleges (COCO 5.29, -1.37) by analysts at Deutsche Bank.

Meanwhile, the broader market continues to drift along in a narrow trading range with low share volume. DJ30 +9.01 NASDAQ +14.28 SP500 +1.60 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1684/988 mln/909 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1982/410 mln/974

1:30 pm : Stocks are drifting along in a narrow trading range. That means the Nasdaq's healthy gains remain intact, whereas the broader market remains only modestly higher for the session.

Trading volume remains sluggish. More directly, share volume on the NYSE has yet to break 400 million shares this session. DJ30 +16.61 NASDAQ +15.26 SP500 +2.22 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1733/910 mln/836 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2047/380 mln/888

1:00 pm : Large-cap tech stocks have given the Nasdaq a nice gain, but the broader market has been a bit slow to follow.

Stocks got off to a slow start as market participants initially showed little willingness to take on risk after watching the market fall almost 4% last week. Renewed selling in Europe certainly didn't help the morning mood.

However, tech stocks gradually began to gain ground. The sector has since advanced 0.8%. Such strength has helped the Nasdaq take a lead over its counterparts.

Retailers are also up nicely as home improvement retailers attract support in the face of an earnings miss from Lowe's (LOW 19.96, +0.37).

Financials have had a quiet session. Several consumer finance names are out with their latest monthly charge-off metrics. The rate of charge-offs generally continues to decline.

Though they lack weight, materials stocks have also been strong. The sector is up 0.9% as participants show an interest in diversified metals and gold stocks, which have been helped by a 0.6% climb in the price of gold bullion to $1222.70 per ounce. Gold prices set a new one-month high of more than $1225 per ounce earlier today.

Treasuries have been in favor all day. In turn, the yield on the 10-year Note set a new 15-month low of less than 2.60% and the 2-year Note hit a new record low of less than 0.49%.

Though considered a safe haven by many, the dollar has been down all session. It is currently contending with a 0.7% loss against competing currencies. However, that comes after it gained more than 3% last week. DJ30 +14.99 NASDAQ +15.57 SP500 +1.86 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1745/850 mln/811 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2013/350 mln/924

12:30 pm : The stock market has made a minor push to a fractionally improved session high. Overall gains in the S&P 500 remain quite modest, though.

In contrast, the Nasdaq has made its way to an enviable gain of almost 1%. Though many biotech stocks have weighed on it, large-cap tech has been able to provide a boost. DJ30 +22.33 NASDAQ +18.68 SP500 +2.82 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1697/760 mln/843 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2008/320 mln/896

12:00 pm : The S&P 500 has spent the past hour trending along the neutral line in lackluster fashion. Though technology stocks, which collectively care more market weight than any other sector, are up with an impressive 0.8% gain, the broader market has been slow to follow.

Health care stocks, another heavily weighted group, are down 0.4% at the moment. The sector's weakness stems from losses among managed care providers (-0.9%) and biotech plays (-0.9%). Biotech issues Biogen Idec (BIIB 55.74, -0.20), Celgene (CELG 55.39, -0.28), Amgen (AMGN 54.09, -0.93), which were all assigned Hold ratings at Deutsche Bank. DJ30 +14.12 NASDAQ +13.59 SP500 +1.82 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1551/685 mln/954 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1846/288 mln/1045

11:30 am : The 30-year Bond is up two full points, which is enough to drop its yield to 3.74%. Its yield hasn't been that low since April 2009. At the shorter end of the yield curve, the 2-year Note is up two ticks, which has its yield just under 0.50%. The yield on the 2-year Note hit a new record low of less than 0.49% earlier today. DJ30 -8.70 NASDAQ +8.56 SP500 -0.28 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1403/600 mln/1061 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1620/252 mln/1229

11:00 am : The tech sector has jumped ahead to a 0.8% gain. Most of that move is owed to strength among large-cap tech plays like Intel (INTC 19.48, +0.33) and Cisco (CSCO 21.94, +0.58).

Strength among large-cap tech has also given the Nasdaq a lead over the Dow and S&P 500 after it had lagged last week. Last week's 5.0% drop has contributed to the Nasdaq's 3.7% year-to-date loss, which is steeper than either the 3.2% year-to-date decline for the S&P 500 or the 1.2% year-to-date decline for the Dow. As an aside, the Nasdaq outperformed with ease in 2009, when it logged an annual gain of more than 40% and the S&P 500 and Dow both recorded annual gains closer to 20%. DJ30 +5.00 NASDAQ +11.88 SP500 +0.88 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1563/500 mln/866 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1825/214 mln/1001

10:30 am : Commodities are mixed this morning, while the dollar index is trading near session lows of 82.241. Energy is in the red, while precious metals are trading higher, benefitting from the weak dollar index.

September crude oil and September natural gas fell notably shortly after the open of pit trading. Crude was around the $75.80 level when it reversed lower, falling into negative territory and to new session lows of $74.86 per barrel, while natural gas dropped from the unchanged, losing just over 3% and hitting new session lows of $4.19 per MMBtu. Crude is now just under the unchanged line at $75.39 per barrel, while natural gas is 2.8% lower at $4.208 per MMBtu.

Precious metals have been in positive territory all session. Both December gold and September silver extended overnight gains when pit trading opened, pushing gold to new session highs of $1229.50 per ounce and silver to its own new session highs of $18.49 per ounce. Gold is currently 0.8% higher at $1226.40 per ounce, while silver is 1.7% higher at $18.43 per ounce.DJ30 -5.45 NASDAQ +9.85 SP500 -0.01 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1488/373.3 mln/887 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1769/166.0 mln/985

10:00 am : The broader market is moderately weak in the early going, but airline stocks have ascended to a robust 3.5% gain. Such strength stems from the announcement that TAM S.A. (TAM 22.15, +5.46) and LAN Airlines (LFL 28.01, +0.81) will combine their holdings under a single parent entity. That news first circulated after Friday's close.

Advancing Sectors: Materials (+0.2%), Tech (+0.1%)
Declining Sectors: Health Care (-1.0%), Energy (-0.8%), Utilities (-0.7%), Telecom (-0.6%), Consumer Staples (-0.6%), Industrials (-0.6%), Financials (-0.5%), Consumer Discretionary (-0.1%)DJ30 -44.69 NASDAQ -0.51 SP500 -4.89 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1100/220 mln/1169 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1062/106 mln/1603

09:45 am : The broader market is down in the first few minutes of trade, but some rather erratic action has given way to an upward swing.

Though stocks are trying to improve their position, only materials stocks and tech stocks are in higher ground. Their gains stand at 0.3% and 0.2%, respectively.

Treasuries continue to climb. In turn, the yield on the 10-year Note is now below 2.60% for the first time since March 2009. DJ30 -37.61 NASDAQ -0.48 SP500 -4.04 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1015/138 mln/1167 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1013/75 mln/1584

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -6.50. Stocks appear to be headed for a modestly lower open as last week's losses leave market participants with a bit of a hangover and Europe's major bourses run into renewed selling as well. Soured sentiment has led many to shrug off the euro's 0.9% gain against the greenback after it just logged its worst weekly loss against the dollar since May. Though the dollar is weak, a preference for safety has Treasuries up sharply, such that the yield on the 10-year Note is near 2.60% for the first time since May. Additionally, gold prices are up 0.8% to $1224 per ounce, a new one-month high.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -4.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -7.50.

Trade in Europe remains weak. On the heels of a 2.4% weekly loss, Germany's DAX is down 0.2% at the moment. Its latest loss is underpinned by weakness among financials, which are down 1.2% as a group. In France, the CAC has fallen 0.8%, which comes on top of its 2.8% loss last week. Financial plays are down 1.6% as BNP Paribas and Societe Generale fall sharply out of favor. Of the 40 names in the CAC, only Essilor International, Bouygues, and Vivendi are currently in higher ground. Following a 1.1% fall last week, Britain's FTSE is down another 0.4% this session. Oil and gas plays, down 1.0%, are the heaviest drags as widely-held BP Plc (BP) and Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) encounter a stiff bout of selling. Data in Europe was largely limited to an in-line CPI report out of the eurozone.

In Asia, Japan's Nikkei fell 4.0% last week and gave up another 0.6% Monday amid disappointment over the country's second quarter GDP, which increased at an annualized rate of just 0.4%. Data for the prior quarter was revised lower to 4.4% growth. Energy plays were among the worst performers; they fell 2.5%. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite climbed 2.1% as large-cap energy plays PetroChina (PTR) and China Petroleum (SNP) and banking giant Industrial & Commercial Bank showed strength. Of the 911 names in the index, just six slipped to a loss. The broad strength comes after the index fell 1.9% last week. Hong Kong's Hang Seng tacked on 0.2% after it fell 2.8% last week. China Mobile helped telecom plays climb 1.4%, which made it the best performing sector. Property stocks showed weakness.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -2.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -3.80. There hasn't been much of a reaction to the August Empire Manufacturing Index, which is a regional gauge of manufacturing activity. It came in at 7.1, which is slightly below the 7.5 that had been expected, on average, by a sample of economists polled by Briefing.com. However, the August reading marks and improvement from the 5.1 that was recorded for the prior month.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -4.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -5.80. Last week the stock market fell for four straight sessions to log a weekly loss of nearly 4%. Lingering weakness has stock futures below fair value ahead of Monday's open. Europe's major bourses are down with varied losses, but Asia's major market averages closed in mixed fashion as the Shanghai Composite climbed more than 2% and Japan's Nikkei fell 0.6% after the country's annualized second quarter GDP increased at a much weaker-than-expected 0.4%. The dollar is down 0.5% after it climbed more than 3% last week. Treasuries have caught a strong bid that has dropped the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note to almost 2.60%, which marks the yields lowest level in close to 15 months. Domestic data is limited to the August Empire Manufacturing Survey (8:30 AM ET) and Treasury International Capital Flows for June (9:00 AM ET). Lowe's (LOW) is among the few companies out with earnings announcements this morning. The home improvement retailer came short of the consensus estimate and also trimmed its top line forecast.

06:52 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -2.60. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -3.80.

06:52 am : Nikkei...9196.67...-56.80...-0.60%. Hang Seng...21112.12...+40.60...+0.20%.

06:52 am : FTSE...5267.06...-8.40...-0.20%. DAX...6108.23...-1.90...0.00.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1.708.572.4885
Business Hours: 8am - 5pm est (Mon - Fri)
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