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 Post subject: July 28th Wednesday 2010 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +5.70
PostPosted: Tue Aug 03, 2010 11:01 pm 
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The market summaries below are courtesy of Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance.

S&P 500 Declines for Second Day on Concern Over Recovery: Video
July 28 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Courtney Donohoe reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. U.S. stocks fell, sending the Standard & Poor's 500 Index lower for a second day, after orders or durable goods unexpectedly decreased and the Federal Reserve said economic growth slowed in some areas. Bloomberg's Pimm Fox also speaks.

Stocks Fall On Economic Fears
By Alexandra Twin, CNNMoney.com senior writer
July 28, 2010: 6:56 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks fell Wednesday as a worse-than-expected report on durable goods orders and weaker quarterly results from Boeing and others added to concerns about the pace of the economic recovery.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) lost 40 points, or 0.4%. The S&P 500 (SPX) lost 8 points, or 0.7%. The Nasdaq (COMP) composite lost 24 points, or 1%.

The surprise drop in durable goods orders and a slide in European markets kept concerns about the U.S. economy front and center.

"I think the selling today was a result of us getting overbought in the short term, as a result of the S&P rising 8% this month," said David Levy, portfolio manager at Kenjol Capital Management.

"The bigger picture is that we're still in a tug-of-war between better earnings news and mixed economic news," he said. "Today some of the earnings news wasn't as good as it has been and the economic news was also disappointing, so people backed out."

Bets on a strong profit reporting period fueled stock gains through most of July. Month-to-date, the Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Dow industrials are all up between 8% and 8.5% through Thursday's close.

Thanks to that strength, stocks have erased second-quarter losses, leaving the major stock gauges all near breakeven for 2010. But in order for stocks to make gains through year-end, investors need more reassurance that the economic recovery will be sustainable, even if it is weaker than had been hoped during last year's rally.

"There's still a lot of uncertainty about employment, real estate and the deficit," said Gary Webb, CEO at Webb Financial Group. "I think we'll end the year higher but probably not by much."

* Fear hobbling the recovery

Economy: Durable goods orders fell 1% in June after dropping 0.8% in May, surprising economists who thought orders would rise 1%. Durable goods orders are orders on products meant to last at least three years, such as cars and computers.

The economy continues to improve at a modest pace, according to the latest "beige book" report released by the Fed in the afternoon. Economic activity held steady or improved in 10 of the 12 districts, the central bank said.

Quarterly results: Dow component Boeing (BA, Fortune 500) said its second-quarter profit fell from a year earlier, due to less airplane deliveries and defense revenue. The company's weaker quarterly revenue and earnings topped the average forecast of analysts surveyed by Briefing.com. Shares dropped just short of 2%.

Comcast (CMCSA, Fortune 500) reported weaker quarterly earnings and higher revenue, as costs associated with its takeover of NBC Universal were countered by higher advertising revenue. Results on both an earnings and revenue basis were above consensus. Shares of the cable operator gained 1.2%.

Sprint Nextel (S, Fortune 500) posted its first rise in subscribers in three years, but also posted a wider second-quarter loss as it lost more lucrative customers who hold longer-term deals. Shares gained modestly.

ConocoPhilips (COP, Fortune 500) was one of several oil companies to report a big jump in quarterly earnings and revenue that topped estimates, thanks to a turnaround in refining. Shares were little changed. Exxon Mobil (XOM, Fortune 500) reports results Thursday.

Aetna (AET, Fortune 500) and WellPoint (WLP, Fortune 500) both posted better-than-expected profits and boosted their full-year forecasts, but shares fell anyway.

World markets: European shares were mixed. The CAC 40 in France gained 0.1%, Germany's DAX fell 0.5% and the FTSE 100 lost 0.9%.

Asian markets rallied. Japan's Nikkei gained 2.7%. The Hong Kong Hang Seng gained 2.6%. The Shanghai Composite gained 2.3%.
0:00 /1:54How to save during hard times

Currencies and commodities: The euro fell against the dollar after seesawing through the day, while the U.S. currency fell versus the Japanese yen.

U.S. light crude oil for September delivery fell 19 cents to $76.80 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

COMEX gold for August delivery rose $2.80 to $1,163.90 per ounce.

Bonds: Treasury prices rose, lowering the yield on the 10-year note to 3.00% from 3.05% late Tuesday. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions.

Market breadth: Breadth was negative. On the New York Stock Exchange, losers beat winners by two to one on volume of 1 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, decliners beat advancers by over two to one on volume of 1.88 billion shares.

Image

Yahoo! Finance

4:10 pm : Briefing.com covered more than 150 earnings reports between the prior session's close and this morning's open. The vast majority of those announcements featured upside earnings surprises, but market participants were generally unimpressed, such that stocks ultimately succumbed to a broad selling effort that left the major averages to settle lower between 0.4% and 1.0%.

Managed care providers Aetna (AET 27.56, -0.80) and WellPoint (WLP 50.82, -1.98) both produced better-than-expected earnings for the latest quarter and even increased their forecasts, but the pair was dropped markedly, such that shares of managed care stocks sank a collective 2.5%.

Such weakness weighed on the overall health care sector for the entire session. As a result, health care stocks shed 1.4% this session. That made them the worst performing sector of the day.

Telecom traded with relative strength for the entire session and settled with a 0.4% gain. That made it the only sector to stage a gain this session. Wireless services provider Sprint Nextel (S 4.84, +0.01) was a primary leader after it posted an upside earnings surprise. However, integrated giant AT&T (T 26.20, +0.05) lagged after it was placed on Standard & Poor's ratings watch list.

Boeing (BA 67.32, -1.30) was one of the worst performing blue chips this session. Investors ignored the company's better-than-expected bottom line since it came amid a light revenue figure and failed to lead to an increased forecast.

In other earnings news, Las Vegas Sands (LVS 26.69, +1.41), Comcast (CMCSA 19.56, +0.23), Broadcom (BRCM 37.47, -0.06), and Aflac (AFL 49.52, -1.19) each exceeded earnings expectations for the latest quarter. CVS (CVS 31.54, +0.94) had in-line results, but Newmont Mining (NEM 55.40, -0.38) missed.

Data did nothing to inspire traders this session. That was largely because durable goods orders for June made a surprise 1.0% decline when a 1.0% increase had been anticipated. Orders less transportation fell 0.6%, which contrasted with the 0.6% increase that had been widely expected. Both total orders and orders less transportation for the prior moth were revised downward to reflect a 0.8% decline a 1.2% increase, respectively.

The Fed's latest Beige Book saw a muted response since it failed to provide any new insight into economic conditions. In step with recent comments from Fed Chairman Bernanke at his semiannual testimonies to the Senate and House, the Beige Book stated that the economic recovery has slowed in some areas.

Treasuries were flat for most of the session, but a bid surfaced in the afternoon to take the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note back below 3.0%. The move came as stocks encountered increased selling and market participants digested results from an auction of 5-year Notes. The auction produced a bid-to-cover ratio of almost 3.1 and had an indirect bidder participation rate of 47.3%. Dollar demand for the auction totaled $113.2 billion. Each measure was above that of the prior session.

In the commodity pits, oil prices settled with a 0.7% loss at $76.99 per barrel after they had been as low as $75.90 per barrel amid news that oil inventories for the week ended July 23 had increased by 7.31 million barrels, which was far more bearish than the draw of 1.73 million barrels that had been expected.

In contrast, natural gas prices staged a 1.4% gain to settle at $4.71 per MMBtu.

Precious metals prices diverged as gold gained 0.2% to close pit trade at $1160.40 per ounce and silver prices extended their slide from the prior session to settle with a 1.0% loss at $17.44 per ounce. DJ30 -39.81 NASDAQ -23.69 SP500 -7.72 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 762/1.84 bln/1841 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 995/1.00 bln/2013

3:30 pm : Grains led all advancers in the CRB Commodity Index, after it tacked on 2.8%. Sept corn futures rallied for 3.7% to close at $3.76 per bushel. Sept wheat futures gained 3.5% to end at $6.15 per bushel. Wheat traded to a 13-month high, helped by forecasts of a sharp decline in Russian wheat exports.

Sept natural gas rallied for 1.1% to close at $4.71 per MMBtu. While natural gas did close comfortably higher, it gave back the majority of its gains as it sold off in afternoon trade to close nearly 15 cents below its highs. Sept crude oil settled lower by 0.7% to $76.99 per barrel.

Sept silver shed 0.7% to close at $17.44 per ounce. Silver has dropped over 75 cents in the past two sessions and is trading at its worst level since June 7. Aug gold ended higher by 0.2% to $1160.40 per ounce. DJ30 -58.88 NASDAQ -27.57 SP500 -9.06 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 705/1.5 bln/1903 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 861/679.7 mln/2146

3:00 pm : Stocks have chopped their way to fresh session lows. The Nasdaq now faces a loss of roughly 1%, which is more than double the size drop that the Dow currently faces. The Nasdaq's underperformance comes partly because of weakness among large-cap tech issues, which carry significantly more market weight than the other issues in the index. DJ30 -41.40 NASDAQ -23.36 SP500 -7.32 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 747/1.34 bln/1818 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 945/601 mln/2045

2:30 pm : Stocks recently dropped to fresh session lows. The move came without any kind of clear catalyst or apparent cause.

Treasuries have ticked to fresh session highs as a result. They had been stuck at the flat line for most of the session, but a recent pickup in prices has sent the yield on the 10-year Note fractionally below 3.00%. DJ30 -38.82 NASDAQ -20.81 SP500 -6.11 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 771/1.24 bln/1775 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1024/552 mln/1950

2:05 pm : The reaction to the Fed's latest Beige Book has been insignificant, primarily because the comments within it are in-line with what Fed Chairman Bernanke recently stated in his semiannual testimonies to the Senate and House In turn, stocks continue to trade with moderate losses.

To be more specific, though, the Beige Book stated that the economic recovery has slowed in some areas amid sluggish residential real estate markets and modest improvements in most labor markets. DJ30 -6.58 NASDAQ -14.27 SP500 -2.77 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 876/1.15 bln/1664 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1236/500 mln/1692

1:30 pm : Results from an auction of 5-year Notes were released at 1:00 PM ET. The auction produced a bid-to-cover ratio of almost 3.1 and an indirect bidder participation rate of 47.3%. Dollar demand totaled $113.2 billion. For comparison, the prior auction was met with a bid-to-cover of 2.6, an indirect bidder participation rate of 34.6%, and dollar demand of $98.0 billion. Treasuries have only ticked slight higher in response, but not enough to move the benchmark 10-year Note more than a single tick into positive territory.

Meanwhile, stocks remained confined to a narrow trading range in negative territory. DJ30 -16.19 NASDAQ -13.92 SP500 -3.35 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 878/1.02 bln/1616 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1228/448 mln/1713

1:00 pm : A raft of better-than-expected earnings reports hasn't done anything to inspire market participants today. Instead, stocks are following up the prior session's flat finish with modest losses.

The tone of trade has been moderately negative for most of the morning -- the mood undermined by a surprise drop in durable goods orders for June.

Health care stocks are the worst shape. The sector is down 1.1% as managed care providers drop to a 3.0% loss, despite better-than-expected earnings and increased forecasts from both Aetna (AET 27.70, -0.66) and WellPoint (WLP 51.06, -1.74).

Dow component Boeing (BA 67.61, -1.01) has been hit with a beating. The company's upside earnings surprise has lost luster amid a lower-than-expected top line and a reaffirmed outlook that remains below what Wall Street has projected.

Elsewhere, Las Vegas Sands (LVS 26.86, +1.58), Comcast (CMCSA 19.57, +0.24), Broadcom (BRCM 37.55, +0.02), and Aflac (AFL 49.37, -1.34) each exceeded earnings expectations for the latest quarter, while CVS (CVS 31.80, +1.20) had in-line earnings and Newmont Mining (NEM 55.57, -0.21) missed.

Telecom stocks have held up well against this session's slide. The sector is up 0.8% following better-than-expected results from Sprint Nextel (S 4.95, +0.12). AT&T (T 26.26, +0.11) is slightly higher in the face of news that it has been placed on Standard & Poor's ratings watch list.

Energy is the only other sector that currently sports a gain - it is up 0.3%. The sector's strength comes even though oil prices are down 0.8% to $76.85 per barrel following a surprisingly large build of more than 7 million barrels of crude oil for inventories of the week ended July. Natural gas prices are up a strong 2.8% to $4.80 per MMBtu, though.

Due at any moment are results from an auction of 5-year Notes. Later today the Fed will issue its latest Beige Book (2:00 PM ET), which is comprised of anecdotal data from the various Fed regions. DJ30 -2.65 NASDAQ -10.33 SP500 -2.64 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 829/938 mln/1648 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1205/407 mln/1741

12:30 pm : Boeing (BA 67.61, -1.01) is the worst performing Dow component at the moment. The stock is getting beaten down, even though the company posted better-than-expected earnings for the latest quarter. However, Boeing's upside surprise came amid a lighter-than-expected top line and wasn't enough to encourage the firm to increase its outlook. Instead, Boeing reaffirmed its forecast, which remains below what Wall Street has projected. DJ30 -13.62 NASDAQ -12.74 SP500 -3.59 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 780/860 mln/1684 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1128/372 mln/1795

12:00 pm : While the broader market remains mired in negative territory with a moderate loss, the Dow Jones Transportation Index has managed to muster a fractional gain. It is currently led by C.H. Robinson (CHRW 64.75, +3.55), which posted last evening better-than-expected earnings for its latest quarter. The stock has also benefited from an analyst upgrade. Meanwhile, Norfolk Southern (NSC 54.90, -1.62) also exceeded expectations and announced that it will increase its stock repurchase program, but its shares have been met with selling pressure.

Though not a member of the Dow Jones Transportation Index, Canadian Pacific (CP 57.70, -0.08) also recently released its latest quarterly results. The company actually bested what Wall Street had expected for its bottom line, but that hasn't been enough to win the stock any favor. DJ30 -23.84 NASDAQ -14.42 SP500 -5.18 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 729/790 mln/1722 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1014/340 mln/1905

11:30 am : Small-cap stocks have slid to a 1.1% loss, as measured by the Russell 2000. Declining issues outnumber advancers by more than 3-to-1 within the index. Lagging issues are currently led by regional lender Hudson Valley Holdings (HUVL 19.77, -3.18), which reported this morning a steep loss for its second fiscal quarter. Small-cap semiconductor outfit FormFactor (FORM 9.76, -1.41) is also under sharp pressure after it reported a deep loss of its own last evening.

Meanwhile, mid-caps in the S&P 400 are down 0.9% as declining issues outnumber advancers by more than 5-to-1. Global Payments (GPN 35.87, -4.06) is among the weakest components following an earnings miss last evening and several subsequent downgrades. DJ30 -18.16 NASDAQ -13.28 SP500 -4.54 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 688/677 mln/1713 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 996/298 mln/1890

11:00 am : Stocks recently moved deeper into negative territory, but the slide has since steadied so that overall losses remain relatively modest. Still, general weakness has caused the Volatility Index to climb close to 4%.

Health care stocks remain in the worst shape. The sector is down 1.1%, which is more than double the loss of the next worst performing sector (financials, -0.5%). The health care sector has been largely hampered by weakness among managed care providers, which are down 3.0% even though both Aetna (AET 27.20, -1.16) and WellPoint (WLP 50.23, -2.57) beat expectations for the bottom line and raised their earnings forecasts. DJ30 -10.71 NASDAQ -10.32 SP500 -3.46 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 751/565 mln/1603 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1040/250 mln/1806

10:30 am : Oil prices have come under increased selling pressure following news that crude oil inventories for the week ended July 23 showed a build of 7.31 million barrels, which contrasts sharply with the draw of 1.73 million barrels that had been expected. Oil prices are now down 1.8% to $76.10 per barrel after they had been down roughly 1.0% in the few minutes that preceded the report.

Natural gas prices remain strong, however. The commodity has been sharply higher all morning and was last quoted with a 2.9% gain at $4.81 per MMBtu.

Precious metals prices have diverged. Specifically, gold prices are up a tepid 0.2% to $1159.80 per ounce as they steady from their selloff in the prior session. However, silver prices have extended their slide from the prior session so that they now trade with a 0.7% loss at $17.51 per ounce. DJ30 -34.96 NASDAQ -14.01 SP500 -6.39 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 650/448 mln/1654 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 854/198 mln/1943

10:00 am : Early action remains mixed, but health care stocks have come under a stiff bout of selling pressure. As a group, health care plays are now down 0.9%, which makes them the worst performing sector.

Telecom stocks remain relatively strong, though. The sector is up 0.5% following better-than-expected results from Sprint Nextel (S 4.93, +0.10). AT&T (T 26.20, +0.05) is slightly higher, even though it was reported that the company has been placed on Standard & Poor's ratings watch list. DJ30 -7.11 NASDAQ +0.88 SP500 -0.91 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 926/255 mln/1258 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1280/120 mln/1426

09:45 am : The major equity averages are flat in the first few minutes of trade. Underlying action is generally lackluster as the major sectors of the S&P 500 move mixed with results that range from the materials sector's 0.4% loss to telecom's 0.6% gain.

Commodities are also mixed as oil prices trade with a 0.7% loss at $77 per barrel ahead of the latest weekly inventory data, which is due at 10:30 AM ET. However, natural gas prices are 2.6% higher at $4.80 per MMBtu. Meanwhile, gold prices are up 0.2% to $1160 per ounce and silver is down 0.8% to $17.48 per ounce. DJ30 -4.31 NASDAQ -0.43 SP500 -0.55 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 825/139 mln/1252 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1184/78 mln/1414

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -2.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -3.80. Stock futures still point to a slightly lower start to the session. Their relative weakness comes in the wake of disappointing durable goods orders data for June. Meanwhile, a big batch of better-than-expected earnings and strong gains in Asia have been met with a muted response. Little movement among currencies, particularly the euro, has taken away a trading cue from premarket participants. Coming up, though, is oil inventory data for the week ended July 23 (10:30 AM ET), results from an auction of 5-year Notes (1:00 PM ET), and the Fed's latest Beige Book (2:00 PM ET).

09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -1.70. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -4.50.

S&P 500 futures point to a modestly lower start for the session. Europe's major bourses have also weakened. As such, Germany's DAX is now down 0.6%. Materials plays have been a primary source of weakness - they are down 1.4% as a group. However, a 0.9% gain by financials has provided some support. Deutsche Boerse is a key leader, while BMW is a detractor. Financials are also offering support in France, but the CAC has failed to cling to a slight gain and is now down fractionally. BNP Paribas, Societe Generale, and Axa (AXA) are primary sources of strength. In contrast, ArcelorMittal (MT) is under pressure after it reported muddled quarterly figures that featured light revenue. Britain's FTSE has fallen to a 0.7% loss. Its weakness is broad based, but utilities (-1.9%), technology (-1.7%), and oil and gas plays (-1.5%) are in the worst shape. Materials stocks have managed to make a 0.5% advance amid leadership from BHP Billiton (BHP), though.

In Asia, Japan's Nikkei spiked to a 2.7% gain overnight. Some 97% of names advanced, but the move was led by tech stocks (+4.5%) and financial plays (+4.1%). Kyocera (KYO) and Fast Retailing were among individual leaders. Canon (CAJ) also showed strength. The company recently reported strong quarterly results and was subsequently upgraded by analysts at JPMorgan. Utilities lagged with a mere 0.1% gain. In China, the Shanghai Composite climbed 2.3%. PetroChina (PTR) and China Petroleum (SNP) were among the leading movers. Of the 911 index members, losses were limited to just a handful of names, including Tuopai Yeast Liquor, Harbin High Tech, Xinjiang Korla Pear, and Chongqing Department Store. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng staged a 0.6% gain. Its tech sector surged 2.2%, but materials stocks lagged as they lost 1.0%. On an individual level, HSBC (HBC) was a leader, but property plays Hang Lung and Sun Hung Kai were weak.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -2.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -3.80. Sellers have sent stock futures to morning lows following the latest dose of data. Durable goods orders for June decreased 1.0%, but that was weaker than the 1.0% increase that had been anticipated, on average, by a sample of economists polled by Briefing.com. Orders less transportation fell 0.6%, which contrasted with the 0.6% increase that had been widely expected. As for the prior month's figures, total orders were revised downward to reflect a 0.8% decline, while orders less transportation were also revised lower to reflect a 1.2% increase.

08:10 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +1.40. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +2.80. Stock futures are generally flat this morning as premarket participants continue to show an underwhelming response to another large batch of better-than-expected earnings. Boeing (BA), Comcast (CMCSA), Broadcom (BRCM), Las Vegas Sands (LVS), Aflac (AFL), Aetna (AET), WellPoint (WLP), Norfolk Southern (NSC), and Canadian Pacific (CP) all bested what Wall Street had expected for the bottom line. Massey Energy (MEE) and Newmont Mining (NEM) were among the few that failed to meet the consensus. Sprint Nextel (S) also posted an upside surprise, but AT&T (T) has been placed on Standard & Poor's rating watch list. Meanwhile, Moody's affirmed the negative outlook on supported ratings of Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), and Wells Fargo (WFC). As for overseas action, strong overnight gains in Japan's Nikkei (+2.7%) and China's Shanghai Composite (+2.3%) have done little to inspire Europe's major bourses, which are currently mixed. The euro is also flat at the moment. As for data, durable goods orders for June are due at the bottom of the hour. Oil inventory data for the week ended July 23 is due at 10:30 AM ET. At 1:00 PM ET results from an auction of 5-year Notes will be released. The Fed's latest Beige Book follows at 2:00 PM ET.

08:09 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +1.40. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +3.30.

08:09 am : Nikkei...9753.27...+256.40...+2.70%. Hang Seng...21091.18...+117.80...+0.60%.

08:09 am : FTSE...5355.45...-10.20...-0.20%. DAX...6183.84...-23.50...-0.40%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

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