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 Post subject: July 27th Tuesday 2010 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +15.00
PostPosted: Tue Aug 03, 2010 10:57 pm 
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The market summaries below are courtesy of Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance.

Most U.S. Stocks Fall After Drop in Consumer Confidence
July 27 (Bloomberg) -- Bloomberg's Courtney Donohoe reports on the performance of the U.S. equity market today. Most stocks fell, with the Standard & Poor's 500 Index declining for the first time in four days, as retailers slid after consumer confidence retreated to a five-month low. Bloomberg's Pimm Fox also speaks.

Stocks: Earnings Help, Economy Hurts
By Alexandra Twin, senior writer
July 27, 2010: 5:44 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks churned Tuesday, losing steam after a three-session run, after a big drop in consumer confidence offset better-than-expected profit growth from DuPont, UBS and others.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) added 12 points, or 0.1%. The S&P 500 (SPX) lost just over 1 point. The Nasdaq (COMP) composite lost 8 points, or 0.4%.

Consumer confidence declined in July, according to the Conference Board's closely watched index, which fell to 50.4 from an upwardly revised 54.3 in June. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com thought the index would decline, but only to 51. The report served to underscore the weak outlook for consumer spending heading into the fall, and caused stocks to erase early gains.

"The consumer confidence index was below expectations but not surprising," said David Chalupnik head of equities at First American Funds. "We had a down market in May, June and early July, and that weighs on consumer spending and confidence."

Better-than-expected results from a number of companies had propelled markets in the morning, extending the recent rally. But that advance lost steam, with technology and consumer stocks hit the most.

Stocks gained Monday after FedEx (FDX, Fortune 500) lifted its profit forecast and new home sales grew more than expected in June. The advance built on last week's rally, pushing the Dow into positive territory for the year, along with the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 moved into positive territory for the year on Tuesday morning, before retreating.

* Fear hobbling the recovery

Company results: Dow component DuPont (DD, Fortune 500) reported higher quarterly sales and earnings that topped estimates, thanks to higher prices and increased demand. The chemical maker also boost its earnings forecast for the year. Shares gained 3.6%.

Swiss bank UBS (UBS) reported higher quarterly profit that topped estimates, thanks to the stock market rally and currency trading gains. U.S.-traded shares gained 9%.

Swiss rival Credit Suisse (CS) also reported a better-than-expected profit as tax and accounting gains tempered the impact of investment banking losses. Shares gained 4.4%.

German competitor Deutsche Bank (DB) reported higher quarterly earnings. But revenue was weaker due to a decline in its investment banking profit. Shares gained 2.8%.

Tellabs (TLAB) reported higher quarterly sales and earnings that beat estimates and lifted its fiscal second-quarter outlook. But shares of the communications gear maker dropped on concerns that it will lose some of its business building wireless networks for AT&T to a rival vendor. Shares fell 5.9%.

With just over one-third of the S&P 500 having reported, Earnings are currently on track to have risen 34% from a year ago, according to earnings tracker Thomson Reuters.

Chalupnik said the gap between economic and earnings news reflects that U.S. companies benefit from exposure to strong emerging markets and a not-yet slowing European economy, offsetting the weakness in the U.S. economy.
0:00 /3:10Hayward's downfall

BP: BP posted a huge quarterly loss of $17.2 billion due to costs connected to the Gulf of Mexico oil spill. The company also said that British CEO Tony Hayward will be replaced by American Robert Dudley Oct. 1. BP (BP) shares fell 1.7%.

Housing: The Case-Shiller 20-city home price index rose 1.3% in May versus April and up 4.6% from a year earlier, suggesting pricing has stabilized.

World markets: European shares rose. The CAC 40 in France gained 0.8%, Germany's DAX rose 0.2% and the FTSE 100 added 0.3%.

Asian markets finished mixed. Japan's benchmark Nikkei index edged down 0.1% and the Hang Seng in Hong Kong ended 0.6% higher.

Currencies and commodities: The euro fell against the dollar, while the U.S. currency gained versus the Japanese yen.

U.S. light crude oil for September delivery settled down $1.48 to $77.50 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

COMEX gold's August contract fell $25.10 to $1,158 per ounce.

Bonds: Treasury prices fell, and the yield on the 10-year note climbed to 3.05% from 2.99% late Monday. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions.

Market breadth: Breadth was negative. On the New York Stock Exchange, losers beat winners by eight to seven on volume of 1.11 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, decliners edged advancers by seven to six on volume of 2.07 billion shares.

Image

Yahoo! Finance

4:15 pm : The stock chopped its way to a flat finish after struggling to find direction during the first half of the session. Yet despite a sense of uncertainty among stocks, neither Treasuries nor precious metals found favor.

Stocks put together a strong start on the back of better-than-expected earnings from diversified financial services outfit UBS (UBS 16.50, +1.35) and an increase in income at Deutsche Bank (DB 68.06, +1.88). News that the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision will allow less strict capital and liquidity requirements for banks added to the positive backdrop surrounding financials in the early going.

Dow component DuPont (DD 40.38, +1.39) added to the positive tone by turning in an upside earnings surprise.

Meanwhile, embattled energy giant BP (BP 38.00, -0.65) reported a steep second quarter loss that was the result of expenses related to the oil spill in the Gulf. The oil outfit also announced plans to sell some $30 billion in assets during the next 18 months and confirmed that CEO Tony Hayward will be replaced by Robert Dudley in October.

Not all reports were strong. An earnings miss by U.S. Steel (X 45.76, -3.13) sent its shares to their worst loss in more than a month. The slide was exacerbated by profit taking, given that the stock had climbed more than 30% from its July low to the prior session's close. Peer AK Steel (AKS 14.49, -0.71) actually exceeded expectations for the quarter, but that couldn't keep profit takers away.

Retailers traded with outsized losses for almost the entire session. The group dropped 1.9%. Though there is no empirical evidence linking spending with consumer confidence, some suggested that the Conference Board's latest Consumer Confidence Index played a part in the weakness of the retail space. The Consumer Confidence Index for July came in at 50.4, which is down from the upwardly revised 54.3 that had been recorded for the prior month and slightly below the 61.0 that had been widely expected.

The broader market actually made a solid bounce shortly after the release of the report, but they were quick to give up that gain. Stocks then struggled to find their direction for the rest of the session.

The choppy, sideways slog that characterized afternoon trade came after stocks cleared their 200-day moving average in the prior session and settled at one-month highs. What's more, with stocks up more than 9% since their July low some wonder if the market is overbought in the near-term.

Such a prospect seemed to boost utilities stocks, which outperformed with a 1.6% gain. The sector remains in focus tomorrow with the release of earnings from Dominion (D 43.27, +0.67) and Southern Co. (SO 36.73, +0.65).

However, Treasuries, traditional safe havens, were weak for the entire session. Results from a $38 billion auction of 2-year Notes didn't do anything to lift demand. The auction attracted a bid-to-cover of 3.3, an indirect bidder participation rate of 33%, and dollar demand of $126.5 billion, each of which was down from the prior auction.

Precious metals had to grapple with stiff selling. In the process the price of gold dropped to its lowest level since May and settled with a 1.9% loss at $1158 per ounce. Silver prices settled 3.0% lower at $17.63 per ounce.

Advancing Sectors: Utilities (+1.6%), Consumer Staples (+0.4%), Telecom (+0.4%), Financials (+0.1%), Tech (+0.1%)
Declining Sectors: Consumer Discretionary (-1.2%), Industrials (-0.8%), Materials (-0.6%), Energy (-0.4%)
Unchanged: Health Care DJ30 +12.26 NASDAQ -8.18 NQ100 -0.1% R2K -0.5% SP400 -0.7% SP500 -1.17 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1104/2.07 bln/1493 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1332/1.11 bln/1686

3:30 pm : Weakness in the CRB Commodity Index (-0.8%) was led by a 2.5% drop in precious metals. Aug gold settled lower by 1.9% to $1158.00 per ounce and traded to its lowest levels since May 5. Sept silver shed 3% to close at $17.63 per ounce. Both metals sold off as money fled to riskier investments.

Sept crude oil settled lower by 1.8% to $77.50 per barrel. A weaker-than-expected consumer confidence number weighed on futures. Aug natural gas finished higher by 1.4% to $4.67 per MMBtu. DJ30 +23.92 NASDAQ -3.95 SP500 +0.55 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1260/1.7 bln/1330 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1399/808.7 mln/1597

3:00 pm : Action remains lackluster as stocks stay confined to a narrow trading range. Underlying results remain mixed as a result.

Though the sideways chop gives a sort of calmness to the final hour of the session, many market participants will watch to see whether any late swings provide cues regarding broader market sentiment. DJ30 +15.29 NASDAQ -7.74 SP500 -1.26 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1201/1.50 bln/1375 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1329/750 mln/1677

2:30 pm : The S&P 500 is attempting to poke back into positive ground, where it would rejoin the Dow. The Nasdaq continues to lag with a modest loss, though.

Though action this afternoon seems to have slowed, trading volume remains moderate. For the past two weeks trading volume on the NYSE has averaged just 1.1 billion shares per session, but greater participation in preceding weeks has the 50-day average propped up to almost 1.4 billion shares. DJ30 +22.71 NASDAQ -5.97 SP500 -0.25 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1250/1.46 bln/1309 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1331/689 mln/1642

2:00 pm : Stocks recently started to go on the backslide, but support quickly steadied the move to keep the major indices in a relatively narrow afternoon trading range.

Utilties have pushed ahead, however. The defensive-oriented sector is now up 1.3%, which makes it the best performing sector of the session. As a group, utilities stocks currently boast a 4.3% dividend yield, which is second only to the telecom sector's current dividend yield of 5.9%. DJ30 +17.33 NASDAQ -9.83 SP500 -1.35 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1141/1.35 bln/1423 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1265/636 mln/1717

1:30 pm : Stocks are starting to come under renewed selling pressure, which has already sent the Nasdaq to a fractionally extended session low. The Nasdaq's relatively outsized loss is largely the result of weakness among the likes of Cisco (CSCO 23.32, -0.29), Research In Motion (RIMM 53.17, -2.36), and Oracle (ORCL 24.34, -0.30). Fellow large-cap tech plays Apple (AAPL 263.16, +3.88) and Google (GOOG 492.22, +3.25) are both strong, though. DJ30 -1.85 NASDAQ -14.76 SP500 -3.74 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1108/1.25 bln/1439 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1191/592 mln/1773

1:05 pm : The stock market is back at the flat line after retreating from an early gain to a moderate loss. The action comes as participants question the near-term direction of stocks now that they have climbed more than 9% from July lows to a one-month high.

Stocks started the session in higher ground amid strong support from financials, which were up more than 1% before backing down to the current gain of just 0.3%. The sector's early strength stemmed from better-than-expected earnings from UBS (UBS 16.47, +1.32) and an increase in income at Deutsche Bank (DB 67.95, +1.77). Regions Financial (RF 7.34, +0.25) complemented the reports with a better-than-expected bottom line and the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision confirmed that it will ease capital and liquidity requirements for banks.

In other earnings news, Dow component DuPont (DD 40.40, +1.41) topped earnings expectations, but fellow materials plays U.S. Steel (X 45.61, -3.28) has fallen sharply after it posted an earnings miss. That has imbued AK Steel (AKS 14.43, -0.77), which actually exceeded earnings expectations rather handily.

Embattled energy giant BP (BP 38.12, -0.53) reported a steep second quarter loss that stemmed from the expenses related to the firm's oil spill. The firm also announced plans to sell $30 billion in assets in the next 18 months and plans to replace current CEO Tony Hayward with Robert Dudley in October.

In the latest dose of data, the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index pulled back slightly more than expected in July. Stocks initially reacted positively to the report, but then retreated into the red as sellers applied pressure.

Retailers have fallen under the most pressure. The group is down 1.7%, which has dropped the consumer discretionary sector for a 1.2% loss. Even Under Armour (UA 37.97, -0.26) has been dropped after it posted an upside earnings surprise and an increased outlook, which now exceeds what Wall Street had forecast.

Amid this session's mixed action, defensive-oriented telecom and utilities stocks have attracted support. Both sectors are up 0.9%, which makes them the session's best performers, so far.

Mixed interest among market participants comes after stocks strung together a series of five gains in six sessions to push past their 200-day moving average yesterday. In addition to clearing that hurdle, stocks settled the prior session at a one-month high. However, that has led some to question whether stocks are near-term overbought.

Despite such uncertainty, precious metals have been pressured for almost the entire session. That has gold prices down a sharp 2.0% to $1160 per ounce and silver down an even steeper 3.1% to $17.65 per ounce.

Treasuries haven't attracted any support either. In turn, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Note is now 3.05% and the yield on the 2-year Note is 0.64%. News that a $38 billion auction of 2-year Notes drew a bid-to-cover of 3.33 and a yield of almost 0.67% hasn't helped. DJ30 +13.02 NASDAQ -9.19 SP500 -1.57 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1214/1.17 bln/1307 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1348/550 mln/1602

12:30 pm : The S&P 500 has poked back into positive territory, but the gain is only a fractional one. However, utilities stocks now sport a 1.5% gain, as a group. That makes the defensive-oriented block the best performing sector of the session. It also puts utilities stocks in positive territory for 2010 -- they are now up 0.1% year-to-date. DJ30 +30.81 NASDAQ -4.90 SP500 +0.82 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1272/1.05 bln/1221 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1454/503 mln/1484

12:00 pm : The broader market has started to lift off of its low, but it has yet to make its way back into positive territory. Despite that upturn, shares of retailers have fallen under increased pressure, such that the group now contends with a 1.6% loss.

Though the stock market remains in the red, Treasuries have been unable to attract any support. As such, the benchmark 10-year Note is down a dozen ticks and the 2-year Note is down a few ticks on its own. Their yields stand at 3.04% and 0.63%, respectively, ahead of results from an auction of 2-year Notes. DJ30 +5.75 NASDAQ -7.98 SP500 -1.59 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1148/960 mln/1329 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1327/460 mln/1594

11:30 am : Selling has intensified so that the major averages are at new morning lows. The resistance this session comes as some start to wonder whether stocks are overbought in the near term, given that the S&P 500 has climbed for five of the past six sessions and more than 9% from its July low. In doing so, the stock market set a fresh one-month high and broke above its 200-day moving average yesterday.

While this session's selling effort has become a relatively broad-based affair, utilities have managed to attract support. As a result, the sector sports a 0.8% gain. DJ30 -20.43 NASDAQ -12.35 SP500 -4.24 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1099/843 mln/1362 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1194/405 mln/1715

11:00 am : The stock market is now in negative territory. It had been up nicely in the first few minutes of trade, but sellers quickly stepped in to challenge the move.

Retailers are under some of the most pressure. As a group they are down 1.3%, which has dragged down the broader consumer discretionary sector to a 1.0% loss. However, Under Armour (UA 38.90, +0.68) has managed to hold on to a strong gain following news of its upside earnings surprise and increased 2010 outlook, which now exceeds what Wall Street had forecast for the sports apparel and accessories retailer. DJ30 +6.66 NASDAQ -5.42 SP500 -0.59 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1252/698 mln/1157 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1476/336 mln/1385

10:30 am : Precious metals have been hit with some aggressive selling this morning. In turn, gold prices have dropped 1.4% to $1166.80 per ounce and silver has slid 2.8% to $17.70 per ounce.

Oil has also succumbed to some recent selling. The commodity had been up as high as $79.69 per barrel in the early going, but it is now down to $78.35 per barrel with a 0.8% loss.

Natural gas prices have managed to remain in positive territory, though. The commodity was last quoted with a 0.5% gain at $4.64 per MMBtu.

For a measure of the broader commodities space, the CRB Commodity Index is down 0.2%. DJ30 +16.05 NASDAQ -0.78 SP500 +0.95 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1316/562 mln/1034 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1574/273 mln/1238

10:00 am : The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index pulled back to 50.4 in July from the upwardly revised reading of 54.3 that was recorded for the prior month. It had been widely expected that the July reading would come in closer to 51.0, but a generally positive response has helped stocks reclaim some of their morning gains.

Advancing Sectors: Financials (+1.0%), Utilities (+0.6%), Telecom (+0.4%), Tech (+0.3%), Consumer Staples (+0.2%), Health Care (+0.1%)
Declining Sectors: Consumer Discretionary (-0.4%), Energy (-0.3%), Materials (-0.1%), Industrials (-0.2%) DJ30 +35.27 NASDAQ +5.97 SP500 +4.16 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1543/355 mln/743 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1869/179 mln/866

09:45 am : A fit of selling pressure has undermined the stock market's strong start. Still, the major averages remain in higher ground with modest gains.

Financials are a primary source of strength at the moment. The sector is up 1.1% as diversified financial services firms, diversified banks, and regional banks all benefit from a strong bid. Support for the space comes amid a better-than-expected bottom line from financial services giant UBS (UBS 16.24, +1.09) and regional lender Regions Financial (RF 7.49, +0.40). Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank (DB 68.20, +2.02) posted an increase in second quarter income. Favor for financials has been augmented by confirmation that the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision will ease capital and liquidity requirements. DJ30 +15.29 NASDAQ +3.86 SP500 +2.32 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1418/216 mln/784 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1736/120 mln/934

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +5.70. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +10.50. Stock futures suggest that trade for Tuesday will see a strong start. Such a move would push the S&P 500 even higher above its 200-day average, which was cleared in the prior session for the first time in a month. In addition to overcoming that hurdle, the tone of trade has been helped by another batch of upbeat earnings, including better-than-expected reports from Dow component DuPont (DD) and UBS (UBS) and strong year-over-year income growth at Deutsche Bank (DB). Favor for financials has been augmented by confirmation that the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision will ease capital and liquidity requirements. However, the euro has come under pressure in recent trade. It had sported a modest gain to trade near new two-month highs, but it is now flat against the greenback. Trade in the commodities pits is a bit mixed this morning. Specifically, oil prices are up 0.5% to $79.40 per barrel, but gold was last priced 0.2% lower at $1181 per ounce. So far, data has been limited to a slightly stronger-than-expected increase in the S&P/CaseShiller 20-City Composite Index of home prices. Coming up at 10:00 AM ET is the latest Consumer Confidence Index. Results from an auction of 10-year Notes are due at 1:00 PM ET.

09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +4.40. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +9.80. Stock futures continue to lead fair value by a healthy margin. There hasn't been much of a reaction to the latest home price data, though. The S&P/CaseShiller Home Price Index for May hit 146.4, up from the 144.6 that was registered in the prior month. The 20-city composite for May increased 4.6%, which is greater than the 4.0% increase that had been widely expected after a 3.8% increase in the prior month.

08:30 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +4.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +8.00. Germany's DAX is up 0.7% at the moment. Deutsche Bank (DB) is a leader following its latest quarterly report, which featured increased income and a smaller credit loss provision. Banks have also been buoyed by news that the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision eased capital and liquidity guidelines. In France, the CAC has climbed to a 1.3% gain. It is currently led by financial plays BNP Paribas, Societe Generale, Credit Agricole, and AXA (AXA). In similar fashion, British banks HSBC (HBC), Barclays (BCS), and Lloyds Banking Group (LYG) have boosted the FTSE to a 0.8% gain. Action in Asia was somewhat mixed overnight. Japan's Nikkei slipped to a 0.1% loss as declining issues edged out advancers. Fast Retailing provided price support, but that was offset by Fanuc LTD, Fujifilm, Toyota (TM), and Kyocera (KYO). Mainland China's Shanghai Composite fell 0.5%. PetroChina (PTR) and Industrial & Commercial Bank were two key sources of weakness. Hong Kong's Hang Seng staged a 0.6% gain as tech stocks surged 3.1%. HSBC was a primary source of leadership, as was Tencent Holdings.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +3.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +7.30. The S&P 500 finished the prior session above its 200-day moving average for the first time in one month. An extension of that move looks to be in the making as stock futures take a solid lead over fair value. Early strength comes amid a modest bounce by the euro, which is up 0.3% to trade around two-month highs. Europe's major bourses are also strong amid upbeat quarterly results from Deutsche Bank (DB) and UBS (UBS) and news that the Basel Committee will ease some of its capital and liquidity guidelines. DuPont (DD), Fluor (FLR), and Teva Pharmaceuticals (TEV) also posted strong reports, while embattled BP (BP) reported a steep loss stemming from its oil spill, announced plans to sell $30 billion in assets over the coming 18 months, and also confirmed that Robert Dudley will take over as CEO when current head Tony Hayward resigns his post in October. Coming up, the S&P/CaseShiller Home Price Index for May is due at 9:00 AM ET. The Consumer Confidence Index for July will follow at 10:00 AM ET. Results from an auction of 2-year Notes are due to be released at 1:00 PM ET.

07:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +3.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +8.00.

07:14 am : Nikkei...9496.85...-6.80...-0.10%. Hang Seng...20973.39...+133.50...+0.60%.

07:14 am : FTSE...5389.41...+38.20...+0.70%. DAX...6230.79...+37.20...+1.00%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

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