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 Post subject: June 14th Monday 2010 Emini TF points (No Trades Today)
PostPosted: Tue Jun 15, 2010 9:17 am 
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Trade Journal By M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)

Trade journals are crucial in preventing us traders from becoming complacent or content with our trading plan or the markets because without having the ability to review archives of past trading days in a forever changing market...we won't know it's time to adapt when change occurs in the markets because broker statements alone doesn't help us keep that edge in comparison to a trade journal. In addition, this public trade journal contains useful trading tips a few times per week to encourage readers to return for more information and to help ensure I myself don't forget the importance of basic concepts within my own trading plan. Further, there are market summaries from Youtube Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo Finance as a quick archive of what happened in the markets on a particular day of trading. Thus, if you're looking for trading tips and market summaries that can improve your trading and/or understanding of what happen on a particular day that involves more than just entry signals...consistently read this trade journal and the #FuturesTrades chat room logs where I post my trades in real-time from entry to exit (see link below) via my IRC user name wrbtrader.

Today's #FuturesTrades chat room logs is archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=75&t=544

Quote:
Today's results are 0 win : 0 loss (see above #FuturesTrades log). No trades today because I needed to get some rest (not feel the stress of trading) along with helping to take care of the family (spouse and kids) whom are sick too.

Trading Tip: Intermarket Analysis for intraday traders is very simple involving many different types of methods. For example of one particular type, if you like to take trades at s/r levels (zones)...take those trades only when other key markets are doing the same.


FYI - You can ask me questions here at the forum or you can tweet me on twitter about any thing related to today's trading or related to your own trading.

Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader


In addition, posted below are direct links about my trade methodology or trading approach that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm

Image Daily Trade Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=115&t=681

Trade Performance for Today (no trades): +0.00 points or $0 dollars in the ICE Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures

1 tick or 0.10 = $10 dollars and to find out more contract information about the Russell 2000 Emini TF...click here.
------------------------------

The market summaries below are courtesy of Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance. gm


http://www.youtube.com/v/ZOv_1ircs_Y

Stocks Erase Gains On Greece
By Alexandra Twin, senior writer
June 14, 2010: 5:22 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks gave up gains by the close Monday after Moody's downgraded Greece's debt rating, reminding investors that Europe's economic woes aren't going away anytime soon.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) lost 20 points, or 0.2%, the S&P 500 index (SPX) lost 2 points, or 0.2%, and the Nasdaq composite (COMP) ended little changed.

Stocks gained soundly in the morning after a report showed a big jump in industrial output in Europe, boosting the euro and reassuring investors about the global recovery. But the advance lost steam in the early afternoon on news that Moody's cut its debt rating on Greece to "junk status."

"The market is very concerned about Greece and Europe and what it means for U.S. growth, but we don't think the problems there are severe enough to send the U.S. or Asia back into recession," said Matt King, chief investment officer at Bell Investment Advisors.

He said that the Monday afternoon dip was also reflective of the fact that afternoon trading volume was thin, making the market more volatile. In addition, the market has tended to switch direction of late in the last hour or 30 minutes of each session.

However, the reaction to Moody's downgrade was fairly mild compared to how it might have unnerved investors a month ago. That's partly because the news was unsurprising, with Greece continuing to struggle despite European leaders having made billions in loans available to the nation. Six weeks ago, Moody's rival Standard & Poor's cut its rating on Greece's debt to junk.
Moody's cuts Greece to junk

Concerns that problems in Greece and other debt-plagued European nations would slow the global recovery pummeled U.S. stocks for more than a month. The three major gauges lost more than 10% each -- the technical definition of a "correction" -- on worries that the United States could be headed for a double-dip recession.

But stocks managed to recover at the end of last week and through early Monday afternoon as the focus expanded to include improving corporate earnings and signs the economy is recovering outside the job market.

"We think we've seen a short-term correction, not the start of a bear market," King said. "Hopefully the market will become less manic over the next few months and focus more on the fundamentals.

Caterpillar (CAT, Fortune 500), United Technologies (UTX, Fortune 500) and Wal-Mart Stores (WMT, Fortune 500) were among the few gainers on the Dow, while DuPont (DD, Fortune 500), JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500), Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500) and Travelers (TRV, Fortune 500) were among the decliners.

Market breadth was positive. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners topped losers three to two on volume of 1.14 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, advancers topped decliners seven to six on volume of 1.90 billion shares.

No major economic news was released Monday, but reports are due later in the week on housing, wholesale and consumer inflation and jobless claims.
Microsoft's demise 'greatly exaggerated'

BP: President Obama reportedly wants the company to set up a fund to pay for damages from the leaking oil well, two months after the initial explosion. Lawmakers want BP (BP) to make as much as $20 billion available.

But the company may not be able to comply, as it only had $7 billion in cash on hand at the end of the first quarter and is currently expected to pay out dividends on June 21st. BP is expected to have discussed the issue of dividends at its board meeting Monday. Meanwhile, its stock price continues to plummet, losing 9.7% Monday to $30.67 per share.
0:00 /3:12The fault with BP's blowout preventer

Euro: The euro rose 0.9% versus the dollar, continuing to recover after touching a four-year low of $1.188 last week. The dollar fell 0.1% against the yen.

World markets: European markets gained. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.7%, Germany's DAX rose 1.3% and France's CAC 40 gained 2%.

Asian markets gained. Japan's Nikkei rose 1.8%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng gained 0.9% and China's Shanghai Composite added 0.3%.

Commodities: U.S. light crude oil for July delivery rose $1.18 to $74.96 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

COMEX gold for August delivery fell $7.60 to $1,222.60 an ounce.

Bonds: Treasury prices fell, raising the yield on the 10-year note to 3.28% from 3.22% late Friday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.

Image

Yahoo! Finance

4:30 pm : The stock market failed to sustain strong gains on Monday as buyers backed down upon running into resistance near a key technical hurdle.

Trade started on a positive note as the major market averages shadowed the advances made by overseas markets. Continued strength in the euro also helped give a lift to stocks. The euro had been up more than 1.5% against the dollar at its session high, but it finished with a 1.0% gain near $1.223.

The euro encountered some midsession selling amid news that analysts at Moody's downgraded Greece's debt to Ba1 from A3. The news had little lasting effect on the euro since the downgrade made for little surprise, given the popular belief that fiscal conditions in Greece remain tenuous. Amid such tenuous conditions, Greece's Prime Minister Papandreou said ahead of this past weekend that his government decided against leaving the euro and pledged to pay its dues and return to growth.

The Greece headline proved to be a modest downtick in the stock market's gradual, afternoon descent. In the first half of trade stocks had made a steady march higher so that the S&P 500 was up more than 1% at its session high, but the broad-based strength began to fade once the stock market lost momentum near its 200-day moving average. The technical line remains a formidable point of resistance against the stock market's attempts at near-term gains.

Market participants put some of the most pressure on natural resource plays. In turn, the materials sector swung to a 1.0% loss after it had been up more than 1% at its session high. Chemicals stocks dropped more than 2% as a group; so did gold stocks.

Energy stocks had also been up more than 1%, but they settled with a 0.5% loss. BP Plc (BP 30.67, -3.30) was one of the worst performers in the sector. The company announced that its cost of response to the Gulf oil spill now stands at $1.6 billion, while political rhetoric against the company persists. Analysts also continue to express concern for the company's dividend.

Financials were a laggard for most of the session; even in the early going, when strength was broad. The sector fell to a 0.7% loss as weakness among diversified banks (-1.6%) and investment banks (-2.0%) faltered.

Only a few pockets of strength remained into the close. Defensive-oriented utilities (+0.4%), consumer staples (+0.4%), and health care stocks (+0.2%) finished in positive territory. Consumer discretionary plays (+0.2%) advanced with help from retailers (+0.5%).

Advancing Sectors: Utilities (+0.4%); Consumer Staples (+0.4%); Health Care (+0.2%); Consumer Discretionary (+0.2%)
Declining Sectors: Materials (-1.0%), Financials (-0.7%), Energy (-0.5%), Tech (-0.3%), Telecom (-0.3%), Industrials (-0.2%) DJ30 -20.18 NASDAQ +0.36 NQ100 -0.1% R2K +0.5% SP400 +0.4% SP500 -1.97 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1484/1.89 bln/1168 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1888/1.14 bln/1165

3:30 pm : Strength in the euro, and the corresponding weakness in the dollar index, coupled with strength in global equity markets helped the commodities sector trade higher today, with the CRB Commodity Index gaining 1.6%.

July crude oil futures gained 1.8% to $75.12 per barrel. Moody's downgrade of Greece did cause crude oil to pull back in mid-afternoon trade, but it was able to retrace most of that sell off ahead of the close of pit trade. July natural gas futures rallied for 4.6% to finish the session at $5.005 per MMBtu. Forecasts for warmer-than-expected weather and a brewing storm in the middle of the Atlantic helped push futures higher today.

August gold futures ended lower by 0.6% to $1224.50 per ounce. It trimmed some of its losses following the Greece news, but was unable to recoup all of its losses. July silver futures closed higher by 1% to $18.41 per ounce. DJ30 +34.61 NASDAQ +11.97 SP500 +3.79 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1666/1.5 bln/967 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2172/787.4 mln/859

3:00 pm : Stocks have started to reclaim some of their gains. Materials stocks have been left behind, though; the materials sector is down 0.3% and is the only major sector in the S&P 500 to trade in the red.

Among basic materials plays, gold stocks are down 1.9%. Their weakness was largely underpinned by a pullback in contract gold prices, which closed pit trade $6.10 lower at $1224.10 per ounce.

Chemical stocks have been some of the overall worst performers in the materials sector. Diversified chemical stocks are down 1.3%, while agricultural chemicals are down 2.2%. DJ30 +42.17 NASDAQ +13.81 SP500 +4.82 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1698/1.41 bln/941 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2174/726 mln/859

2:30 pm : Stocks extended their slide in recent trade, but support soon surfaced near the neutral line. In turn, the major equity averages have been able to remain in positive ground, even though they are still near session lows.

The euro has also surrendered some of its gains. It is now at $1.222 with a 0.9% gain after it had been up more than 1.5% at its session high.

Treasuries have trimmed their losses amid the stock market's recent pullback. In turn, the benchmark 10-year Note is now down 10 ticks after it had been down more than 20 ticks at its session low. DJ30 +37.79 NASDAQ +10.97 SP500 +3.46 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1661/1.29 bln/972 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2098/656 mln/922

2:00 pm : A sudden flurry of selling pressure has sent stocks to session lows. There isn't any immediate news item or trading catalyst to account for the sudden change of tone, though.

Financials and materials stocks have come under some of the most selling pressure. Both sectors had been up in excess of 1% at their session highs, but the financial sector is now down to a 0.2% loss and the materials sector is now down to a 0.3% loss. DJ30 +24.41 NASDAQ +12.94 SP500 +3.11 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1734/1.19 bln/882 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2170/600 mln/851

1:30 pm : Analysts at Moody's recently announced that they have downgraded Greece to Ba1 from A3. The news caused the euro to tick further off of its high and sent the major equity averages another leg lower. Neither move was an overly sharp one, though, and both the euro and the stock market have since stabilized. The lack of a sustained reaction is likely the result of the market's expectation for the downgrade, given that fiscal conditions in Greece remain tenuous. Heading into this past weekend Greece's Prime Minister Papandreou said his government made conscious decision against leaving the euro and that it pledges to pay its dues and to return to growth. DJ30 +60.84 NASDAQ +22.47 SP500 +7.83 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1879/1.09 bln/706 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2357/546 mln/651

1:00 pm : Stocks have traded in positive fashion for the entire session, but resistance near their 200-day moving average has kept a cap on this session's advance.

Strong gains among overseas markets and continued strength in the euro gave domestic averages a strong start, which motivated broad-based buying. While action in both Asia and Europe has already closed, currency traders have pushed the Japanese yen down to a fractional loss against the dollar and pulled the euro off of its recent high so that it now trades with a 1.2% gain at $1.226.

Strength in the euro has been closely tied to strength among stocks in recent weeks. And even though the currency is currently at its best level of the day, the stock market has spent the past couple of hours drifting off of its session high, which was just a couple of points shy of its 200-day moving average. Many believe that the stock market's action near its 200-day moving will be a telling sign of how stocks will trade in the near term -- already on two recent occasions the stock market has failed to push through the key technical line and subsequently fell under renewed selling pressure.

A positive tone continues to permeate trade, however. As such, all 10 major sectors are in higher ground. Energy stocks, currently up 0.8% to trade in-line with the broader market, had shown leadership in early action. The sector's relative strength was partly owed to higher crude oil prices, which were last quoted at $75.35 per barrel, up 2.1%.

BP Plc (BP 30.94, -3.03) has been absent from the energy sector's advance, though. The company announced that its cost of response to the Gulf oil spill now stands at $1.6 billion. Meanwhile, political rhetoric continues to mount against the company and analysts continue to express concern for the company's dividend.

Volatility, down 5.5%, has cooled for the fourth time in five sessions. During those five sessions the Volatility Index has lost 25%. DJ30 +72.48 NASDAQ +24.38 SP500 +8.63 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1903/990 mln/691 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2390/486 mln/604

12:30 pm : Gains remain strong and broad based, but the broader market continues to slowly back off of its session high, which was registered roughly one hour ago. This session's advance has returned the Nasdaq Composite to a year-to-date gain -- the Nasdaq is now up just 0.1% since the start of the year. DJ30 +84.19 NASDAQ +28.05 SP500 +10.55 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1936/889 mln/641 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2451/432 mln/529

12:00 pm : The S&P 500 recently crossed above the 1105 line, but it lost momentum as it came closer to its 200-day moving average of 1108. Stocks have since eased back a bit, but gains remain both strong and broad based with advancing issues outnumbering decliners by more than 9-to-1.

In terms of volume, advancing volume outweighs declining volume by more than 6-to-1. Still, overall volume for this session isn't that impressive.

Traditional safe havens continue to lag. For example, the 10-year Treasury Note is down 22 ticks and spot gold prices are down 0.9% to $1218 per ounce. DJ30 +89.23 NASDAQ +29.47 SP500 +10.74 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1937/790 mln/628 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2495/381 mln/473

11:30 am : Stocks have extended their recent run to register fresh session highs. The move has been broad based, such that the financial sector has been pulled up from a modest loss in the early going to a 1.0% gain.

Energy stocks and consumer discretionary stocks are out in front. Both sectors are up 1.6%. Energy stocks have been helped by a 2.8% increase in oil prices to $75.80 per barrel, while consumer discretionary stocks are led by retailers' 1.7% gain.

Meanwhile, volatility has come down even further, such that the Volatility Index is down 5.5%. DJ30 +106.94 NASDAQ +33.33 SP500 +13.27 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1951/678 mln/576 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2532/332 mln/407

11:05 am : Action has been choppy in the early going, but stocks have managed to make their way to a fresh session high, just over the 1100 line. That puts them within striking distance of the stock market's 200-day moving average, which stands at 1108. The 200-day moving average is expected to make for a pivotal point of trade since on two recent occasions the stock market has failed to push through that point and subsequently fell under renewed selling pressure. DJ30 +86.01 NASDAQ +28.44 SP500 +10.24 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1912/577 mln/577 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2433/277 mln/449

10:30 am : The US Dollar has been in negative territory all session so far, but this is only providing price support to select commodities.

The weakness in the dollar index is benefitting the energy markets, which are some of the best performers in the CRB Commodity Index this morning. July crude oil has been steadily trending higher during the day's session. Crude hit new session highs of $75.99 per barrel in recent trade and is currently trading at $75.71 per barrel, up 2.6%.

July natural gas has been slightly volatile in recent action, but has also been in positive territory all session. AFter pulling back ~$0.08 near the $4.86 level, natural gas quickly rebounded back near today's session highs of $4.95 per MMBtu. Currently, the energy component is 2.7% higher at $4.91 per MMBtu.

Precious metals are mixed today despite weakness in the dollar index. August gold moved into negative territory just after 6:00am ET and hit fresh session lows of $1222.30 per ounce in recent activity. Currently gold is 0.7% lower at $1221.80 per ounce. July silver has been in the black all session, hitting new morning highs of $18.57 per ounce in recent activity. Currently, silver is trading 1.0% to $18.42 per ounce. DJ30 +74.52 NASDAQ +27.58 SP500 +8.45 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1884/416.1 mln/526 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2346/201.0 mln/489

10:00 am : Early strength remains broad with nine of the 10 major sectors in the S&P 500 sporting solid gains -- financials (-0.1%) remain the only sector in the red.

Such positive breadth has caused volatility to cool. In turn, the Volatility Index is down 2.2%.

Amid strength in stocks and lower volatility, Treasuries have ticked lower. The benchmark 10-year Note is currently down 15 ticks, so that its yield is now just shy of 3.30%.

Advancing Sectors: Consumer Discretionary (+1.0%), Energy (+0.9%), Industrials (+0.9%), Tech (+0.9%), Telecom (+0.8%), Materials (+0.6%), Health Care (+0.6%), Consumer Staples (+0.4%), Utilities (+0.4%)
Declining Sectors: Financials (-0.1%) DJ30 +52.45 NASDAQ +20.17 SP500 +6.30 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1798/255 mln/513 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2218/133 mln/514

09:45 am : Early strength is broad based, but financial stocks have been left behind. The sector is currently down 0.1% as weakness among diversified banks (-1.4%) takes its toll on the sector. Multiline insurers (+1.7%) has provided a line of support to the sector, though.

Meanwhile, airline stocks have extended their ascent from last week. In turn, the Amex Airline Index is up 2.0%. That makes for its fifth straight gain, during which time it has soared nearly 10%. The Amex Airline Index is now up more than 18% since the start of the year, while the S&P 500 is down more than 1% year-to-date. DJ30 +48.37 NASDAQ +19.13 SP500 +6.53 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1824/161 mln/447 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2201/94 mln/464

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +7.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +11.00. Coming off of back-to-back advances, which combined for a 3.4% gain, the stock market looks like it is heading for its third straight climb. The persistence of a positive tone has been helped by buying in both Asia and Europe. Continued strength in the euro has also helped. The euro is currently up 1.2% to $1.226 in its fourth advance in five sessions. During that time the euro has gained 2.8% against the greenback. There haven't been any other key catalysts for trade this morning. Corporate news flow has been dry, though BP Plc (BP) revealed that its cost of response to the oil spill in the Gulf now stands at $1.6 billion. Some analysts continue to question the safety of the company's dividend. There is no economic data on tap for today.

09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +7.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +12.30. The tone to premarket trade remains upbeat as the euro continues to gain ground against the greenback. The euro was last quoted with a near 1.3% gain at $1.227, a morning high. Commodities have also caught a strong bid, such that the CRB Commodity Index is up 1.0%. Higher oil prices are largely responsible for that move; crude oil prices are up 2.7% to $75.80 per barrel in the first few minutes of pit trade. Natural gas prices sport a strong 3.0% gain at $4.93 per MMBtu. As for precious metals, gold prices are down 0.5% to $1222.30 per ounce, but silver has made its way to a 1.3% gain at $18.46 per ounce.

08:30 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +7.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +11.80. Germany's DAX is up an impressive 1.3% amid broad-based strength. Of its 30 members only Fresenius Medical and Bayer AG are in the red. Salzgitter AG is atop the list of advancing issues. In France, the CAC has climbed to a 1.7% gain. Total (TOT) is a primary source of strength, but France Telecom has been a notable laggard - it is the only name in the 40-member index currently in the red. In Britain, the FTSE is up 0.7%. Metals plays are out in front as Rio Tinto (RTP), BHP Billiton (BHP), and Anglo American trade with leadership. BP Plc (BP) is back under pressure after it updated its cost of response to the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico to $1.6 billion. Speculation about the company's dividend remains ongoing. Sentiment in Europe has been helped by a stronger-than-expected eurozone industrial production report for April. Meanwhile, the euro continues to trade with a strong lead over the greenback; the euro is currently up 1.2% to $1.226, a session high. In Asia, Japan's Nikkei made its way to a 1.8% gain. Advancers outnumbered decliners by nearly 15-to-1. Fast Retailing was a leader in the move. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng climbed 0.9%. Its advancers outnumbered decliners by 6-to-1. HSBC (HBC), China Construction Bank, and Bank of China were primary leaders.

08:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +6.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +9.80. News flow is slow and there aren't any economic items of broad consequence on the docket for today. However, strong gains among overseas markets have helped prop up premarket sentiment so that S&P 500 stock futures are positioned for a strong start. A sharp climb by the euro has also added to early strength - the euro is currently up 1.1% to $1.224.

06:30 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +6.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +8.00.

06:30 am : Nikkei...9879.85...+174.60...+1.80%. Hang Seng...20051.91...+179.50...+0.90%.

06:30 am : FTSE...5197.04...+33.50...+0.70%. DAX...9116.30...+70.20...+1.20%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1 708 572-4885
Business Hours: 8am - 5pm est (Mon - Fri)
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