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 Post subject: June 8th Tuesday 2010 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +30.80
PostPosted: Thu Jun 10, 2010 9:34 pm 
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Trade Journal By M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)

Trade journals are crucial in preventing us traders from becoming complacent or content with our trading plan or the markets because without having the ability to review archives of past trading days in a forever changing market...we won't know it's time to adapt when change occurs in the markets because broker statements alone doesn't help us keep that edge in comparison to a trade journal. In addition, this public trade journal contains useful trading tips a few times per week to encourage readers to return for more information and to help ensure I myself don't forget the importance of basic concepts within my own trading plan. Further, there are market summaries from Youtube Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo Finance as a quick archive of what happened in the markets on a particular day of trading. Thus, if you're looking for trading tips and market summaries that can improve your trading and/or understanding of what happen on a particular day that involves more than just entry signals...consistently read this trade journal and the #FuturesTrades chat room logs where I post my trades in real-time from entry to exit (see link below) via my IRC user name wrbtrader.

Today's #FuturesTrades chat room logs is archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=75&t=539

Quote:
Today's results are 9 wins : 3 losses (see above #FuturesTrades log). I've return to trading today after two days of not trading due to sickness in the family. However, although I easily surpassed my profit goal for the day...it was a tough trading day for me mentally because I still lacking in sleep after only getting a few hours of sleep the past few trading days. With that said, my best trade signals as usual via the Volatility Trading Report (VTR).

Trading Tip: Trading is a tough job on the body and mind. Therefore, make sure you routinely eat healthy and exercise along with getting proper rest to take on the daily stresses of trading.


FYI - You can ask me questions here at the forum or you can tweet me on twitter about any thing related to today's trading or related to your own trading.

Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader


In addition, posted below are direct links about my trade methodology or trading approach that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm

Image Daily Trade Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=109&t=652

Trade Performance for Today: +30.80 points or $3,080 dollars in the ICE Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures
Attachment:
060810_wrbtrader_PnL_Blotter_Profit.png
060810_wrbtrader_PnL_Blotter_Profit.png [ 32.15 KiB | Viewed 1517 times ]

1 tick or 0.10 = $10 dollars and to find out more contract information about the Russell 2000 Emini TF...click here.
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The market summaries below are courtesy of Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance. gm


http://www.youtube.com/v/d4QIhnNVOdU

Dow In Triple-Digit Comeback
By Alexandra Twin, senior writer
June 8, 2010: 6:26 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks staged a comeback late Tuesday, with the Dow and S&P 500 rallying near the end of a choppy session, following a surge in commodity and financial shares.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) gained 123 points, or 1.3%, and the S&P 500 index (SPX) rallied 11 points, or 1.1%. Both ended the previous session at the lowest point since Nov. 4.

The tech-fueled Nasdaq composite (COMP) erased bigger afternoon losses to close down by 3 points, or 0.2%, which nevertheless was the lowest close since Feb. 10.

Stocks churned in the morning, as investors weighed Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's positive comments about the economy with continued fears about the global outlook. But by the early afternoon, the Dow and S&P had turned higher as investors eyed the rising euro and a rally in commodities.

"It was a really volatile day, moving from negative to positive several times," said Paul Brigandi, senior portfolio manager at Direxion Funds.

He said that the volatility is bound to continue as investors try to get a handle on the outlook for the global economy.

"Investors are on edge right now," he said. "Technically, we're looking pretty bearish, but we could see a period of consolidation for a few weeks here before there's another leg down."

COMEX gold for August delivery rose $4.80 to settle at a record high of $1,245.60 an ounce.

Market correction: Stocks were hit hard Friday and Monday after last week's disappointing May jobs report and more concerns about the European debt crisis and the weak euro.

Such worries have weighed on markets for weeks as investors have tried to suss out whether the United States is in danger of falling into a so-called double-dip recession. A brutal May and rough start to June has left the major stock indexes down more than 10% from the rally highs hit in last April, with some analysts looking for declines of more than 20%, the definition of a bear market.

"Most of the charts of the major gauges look terrible and I think it's going to be a difficult summer," said Tom Schrader, managing director at Stifel Nicolaus.

"I just don't think the efforts in Europe are going to be enough and China is slowing as well," he said.

Schrader said he could see the stock indexes losing as much as 25% off the highs before stabilizing.

Bernanke: The Federal Reserve Chairman said at an event Monday night that he doesn't expect the U.S. economy to fall back into a recession again. In addition, he said that the steps European leaders were taking to control rising deficits were helping.
Gulf spill widows: Don't stop drilling

Euro: The euro rose 0.1% versus the dollar after churning in the morning and touching a four-year low of $1.188 Monday. The dollar fell 0.1% against the yen.

The direction of the euro tends to be taken as a proxy for worries about the European debt crisis and its impact on the global economy. Hungary's debt has become the latest concern for investors, adding to ongoing worries about Greece, Spain and the other so-called PIIGS nations - Italy, Ireland and Portugal.
0:00 /1:48'BP is a good company'

Company news: McDonald's (MCD, Fortune 500) reported that sales at stores open a year or more rose 4.8% worldwide and 3.4% in the United States as consumers continued to buy its fast food. The company has reported rising sales in the United States for four months straight.

However, the Dow component warned that full-year profits would be hurt by the impact of the weak euro. Big multi-nationals such as McDonald's benefit from a strong euro as foreign sales convert back to more U.S. dollars. Shares rose 2%.

BP (BP) and Transocean (RIG) shares slumped in the ongoing fallout from the oil spill in the Gulf. On Monday, BP said it was having some success with its latest attempt to stop the flow of oil following the explosion and sinking of the Deepwater Horizon rig. But investors remained wary after published reports looked at the slim, but possible risk of bankruptcy for BP in the wake of the disaster.

The rig was operated by Transocean and contracted to work on an oil well leased by BP.

But other energy-sector stocks rallied, including Exxon Mobil (XOM, Fortune 500), Schlumberger (SLB) and ConocoPhilips (COP, Fortune 500).

Exxon Mobil is a Dow stock. Other big Dow gainers included Boeing (BA, Fortune 500), Caterpillar (CAT, Fortune 500), DuPont (DD, Fortune 500) and Procter & Gamble (PG, Fortune 500).

A variety of big tech shares fell, including Intel (INTC, Fortune 500), eBay (EBAY, Fortune 500), Oracle (ORCL, Fortune 500) and Microsoft (MSFT, Fortune 500).

Market breadth was mixed. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners beat losers three to two on volume of 1.6 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, decliners topped advancers three to two on volume of 2.66 billion shares.

World markets: European markets slipped. Britain's FTSE 100 lost 0.8%, Germany's DAX gave up 0.6% and France's CAC 40 retreated 1%.

Asian markets inched higher. Japan's Nikkei rose 0.2%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng gained 0.6% and China's Shanghai Composite added 0.1%.

Commodities: U.S. light crude oil for July delivery rose 55 cents to settle at $71.99 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Bonds: Treasury prices rose, lowering the yield on the 10-year note to 3.17% from 3.18% late Monday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.

Image

Yahoo! Finance

4:30 pm : Trade was mostly choppy Tuesday, but the session finished on a strong note as the Dow and S&P 500 climbed in the final hour to close near their highs of the day.

The euro proved to be the primary catalyst for stocks. As has been the case in recent sessions its gains gave a lift to the major equity averages and its pullbacks prompted sellers to apply pressure. The euro had traded with weakness overnight amid calls from Fitch that the United Kingdom's fiscal challenge is formidable and that a strong, medium term consolidation strategy is warranted. However, the euro was able to rebound and net a gain of roughly 0.3% at $1.196 after oscillating for most of the session.

A lack of clear direction among stocks in the early going saw the Dow drop below its May low so that it set its worst level since November. Exxon Mobil (XOM 61.24, +1.94) helped lead the blue chip index to a gain of more than 100 points after it had been down more than 50 points at its session low. Strength in shares of XOM also gave the broader energy sector a 1.9% gain even after analysts at Goldman Sachs downgraded deepwater drillers like Diamond Offshore Drilling (DO 56.94, -2.27) and Transocean (RIG 46.33, -2.84), both of which fell to fresh 52-week lows.

While all 10 major sectors in the S&P 500 advanced, materials stocks had some of the best gains. The sector spiked 2.5% as gold stocks attracted additional support after gold bullion prices propelled to a new record high of $1252.10 per ounce. Gold prices settled pit trade with a 0.4% gain at $1246.50 per ounce.

Tech stocks lagged for the entire session, but they managed to rally to a fractional gain in the final minutes of trade. Still, that wasn't enough to lift the tech-rich Nasdaq to higher ground. Instead, the Nasdaq logged another loss as it trailed its counterparts for the second straight session.

Lingering weakness in the Nasdaq has caused it to shed almost 6% since the selloff that followed an underwhelming jobs report this past Friday. Meanwhile, gains this session for the Dow and S&P 500 have left them down little more than 3% and almost 4%, respectively, since that report.

Amid concerns about the implications of a stubbornly weak job market, Fed Chairman Bernanke stated in a speech last night that unemployment is expected to remain high, but that economic conditions continue improve at a moderate pace. Bernanke's comments were consistent with what has been communicated via the minutes of recent FOMC meeting and offered some reassurance to those wary of a double-dip recession.

Treasuries had a weak session. The benchmark 10-year Note fell 10 ticks so that its yield was lifted to 3.18%. Results from an auction of 3-year Notes did little to spur interest in the space. The bid-to-cover came in at 3.2, which is above recent averages, but at $116.3 billion the auction's dollar demand was the second weakest result over the past eight auctions.

Advancing Sectors: Materials (+2.5%), Telecom (+2.1%), Financials (+2.0%), Energy (+1.9%), Consumer Staples (+1.5%), Utilities (+1.3%), Industrials (+1.0%), Consumer Discretionary (+0.8%), Health Care (+0.2%), Tech (+0.1%)
Declining Sectors: (None) DJ30 +123.49 NASDAQ -3.33 NQ100 -0.1% R2K -0.1% SP400 +0.6% SP500 +11.53 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1059/2.65 bln/1567 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1836/1.65 bln/1209

3:30 pm : Soft commodities, led by a 2.8% gain in sugar futures, helped the CRB Commodities Index (+0.4%) higher today. Orange juice and Cocoa futures both contributed gains of 1.3% to the move in soft commodities. Otherwise, it was a relatively quiet session for energy (-0.7%) and precious metals (+0.2%) futures.

July crude oil futures closed higher by 0.8% to $71.99 per barrel. Crude remains largely range bound. July natural gas futures shed 2.3% to finish at $4.803 per MMBtu on profit taking from its recent rally back towards the $5 mark.

August gold ended higher by 0.4% to $1246.50 per ounce. Gold did trade to a new all time high, at $1254.40 in the overnight session, but quickly pulled back from those levels and never retested them in pit trade. July silver closed higher by 1.1% to $18.375 per ounce. DJ30 +60.24 NASDAQ -19.84 SP500 +3.10 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 763/2.1 bln/1865 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1331/1.1 bln/1678

3:00 pm : The stock market's recent upturn has stalled. Stocks now enter the final hour of trade without any clear direction.

Despite the lackluster and frequently listless trade, participation has been strong. Specifically, more than 1 billion shares have already exchanged hands on the NYSE. The 50-day moving average for trading volume on the Big Board stands at 1.4 billion. DJ30 +34.69 NASDAQ -21.66 SP500 +0.85 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 749/1.96 bln/1858 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1249/1.02 bln/1745

2:30 pm : Renewed support for stocks has helped drive the major equity averages sharply higher in the past couple of minutes. There isn't any news item to account for the move, but it coincides with efforts by the euro to reclaim gains -- the euro now trades with a 0.2% at $1.194.

The broader market's recent bounce has helped the materials sector come within reach of its session high. The sector is now up 1.9% with Newmont Mining (NEM 57.11, +1.95) and Freeport McMoRan (FCX 61.00, +2.34) providing leadership.

Tech stocks are still troubled, though. The sector is down 0.6%. It has spent almost all of the session in negative territory. NVIDIA (NVDA 11.14, -0.36) is one of its worst performers. DJ30 +59.71 NASDAQ -14.93 SP500 +4.02 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 796/1.79 bln/1788 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1361/920 mln/1629

2:00 pm : A retreat by the euro has caused selling among stocks to intensify. More specifically, the euro is now up with just a fractional gain at $1.193, while the three major indices have made their way to afternoon lows.

Though this session's action has been choppy and without much direction, the Volatility Index is down 2.1%. It had been in positive territory earlier this session. DJ30 -11.86 NASDAQ -31.90 SP500 -4.74 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 627/1.62 bln/1967 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1015/835 mln/1948

1:30 pm : Results from the recent auction of 3-year Treasury Notes were released at 1:00 PM ET. The results were tepid in that the auction produced a bid-to-cover of 3.2, which is only slightly above the six-auction average of almost 3.1 when the theme of trade is supposed to be one of safety.

The auction's results didn't have much of an immediate impact on Treasuries, but a recent pullback by the stock market has helped Treasuries trim their losses. As such, the benchmark 10-year Note is now down just a couple of ticks. DJ30 -1.96 NASDAQ -28.74 SP500 -3.51 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 629/1.50 bln/1959 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1014/772 mln/1946

1:00 pm : Trade has been choppy and mixed for the entire session as a lack of news flow has left stocks without much direction. In turn, many market participants continue to take their cues from the euro.

The euro fell under renewed pressure overnight as word surfaced that analysts at Fitch characterized the fiscal challenge in the United Kingdom as formidable and said that it warrants a strong, medium term consolidation strategy. However, the currency was able to catch a bid that helped it rebound to a gain. The euro is currently up 0.4% to trade at $1.198.

While the euro's rebound helped stocks start the session in higher ground, sellers continue to make their presence known. In fact, a flurry of midmorning selling sent the Dow through its May low to its worst level since November. However, the index was able to rally more than 100 points back to positive territory, where it has spent the first part of the afternoon.

The Nasdaq continues to underperform. It has spent all but the first few minutes of the session in negative territory as a result of ongoing weakness among large-cap tech plays.

In contrast, gold stocks have extended their rally from the prior session and sent the materials sector to a 1.9% gain. Strength among gold stocks comes amid new highs for gold prices -- the precious metal registered a new record high of $1252.10 per ounce earlier this morning, but it has since eased back to trade with a 0.5% gain at $1246 per ounce.

There have been neither corporate releases nor economic of significance this session, but Fed Chairman Bernanke stated last evening that economic conditions continue improve at a moderate pace. Though that is consistent with what has been communicated through recent FOMC meeting minutes, it reassured some that a double-dip recession is not in the offing.

Results from an auction of 3-year Treasury Notes are due imminently. Treasuries have been in the red ahead of the release. DJ30 +71.50 NASDAQ -9.71 SP500 +5.53 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 937/1.34 bln/1608 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1549/704 mln/1376

12:30 pm : Stocks have started to give back some of their recent gains. The S&P 500 is still in positive territory, though.

Materials stocks are in the best shape overall. The sector's 1.7% gain comes as gold stocks like Newmont Mining (NEM 57.50, +2.34) and Barrick Gold (ABX 44.46, +1.34) extend their rally from the prior session. Shares of NEM are already up nearly 7% week-to-date, while shares of ABX are up more than 7% since the start of the week.

Recent strength among gold stocks comes amid new highs for gold bullion prices. The precious metal registered a new record high of $1252.10 per ounce earlier this morning, but it has eased back to trade with a 0.5% gain at $1246 per ounce. DJ30 +39.30 NASDAQ -15.89 SP500 +1.84 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 741/1.22 bln/1785 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1203/645 mln/1705

12:00 pm : The Dow has extended its recent run to a fresh session high. During the course of the past half hour the index rallied roughly 125 points. Exxon Mobil (XOM 60.75, +1.45) has been a primary leader among blue chips.

The Nasdaq has yet to make its way back to the levels that it saw shortly after the open. Mircosoft (MSFT 24.95, -0.34) is a key laggard within the tech-rich index. DJ30 +74.22 NASDAQ -5.77 SP500 +6.67 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 921/1.11 bln/1583 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1534/587 mln/1354

11:30 am : The euro has caught a strong bid in recent trade, such that it now sports a 0.5% gain at $1.198, a session high. That has helped lift stocks to a slight gain, even after the S&P 500 was met with a mild fit of resistance at the neutral line.

Despite the broader market's recent upturn, the Nasdaq continues to contend with an outsized loss as large-cap tech plays find little relief. DJ30 +19.96 NASDAQ -17.77 SP500 +0.36 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 691/910 mln/1779 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1057/483 mln/1829

11:00 am : The Dow Jones Industrial Average recently took out its May lows, but both the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 steadied their descent as they came within a couple of points of their respective May lows. Support has since surfaced to help stocks make a modest bounce.

Tech continues to trade with weakness, though. The sector is down 0.9% as nearly all of its members fall to a loss. Corning (GLW 16.44, +0.44) and Automatic Data Processing (ADP 40.28, +0.27) are the only two names in the sector that have managed to muster a gain -- shares of GLW were upgraded ahead of the opening bell, but there is no immediate news item to account for ADP's weakness. DJ30 -13.83 NASDAQ -22.95 SP500 -3.33 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 675/695 mln/1771 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 920/375 mln/1924

10:30 am : The US Dollar Index recently moved back into positive territory, which added some selling pressure in the commodity complex this morning.

July crude oil hit morning highs of $72.39 per barrel shortly after the open, but is now trading at $71.76 per barrel, 0.4% higher. July natural gas has been on the retreat in recent activity. It hit a low of $4.77 per MMBtu, down 3%, moments ago.

Precious metals are trading higher this morning despite modest strength in the US Dollar Index. August gold has pulled back off of earlier highs of $1254.50 per ounce, but spiked back near those levels in recent trade. Gold is currently trading 0.6% higher at $1247.90 per ounce. SIlver is also back near its session highs and is currently 1.1% higher at $18.37 per ounce. DJ30 -4.23 NASDAQ -16.36 SP500 -0.97 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 839/470.8 mln/1508 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1102/263.2 mln/1672

10:00 am : Stocks have completely surrendered their opening gains and retreated into the red. The slide has been especially pronounced in the Nasdaq, which is underperforming for the second straight session. Large-cap tech stocks are still the culprits behind the Nasdaq's relative weakness.

Meanwhile, the broader S&P 500 has breached the 1050 line, which has been cited as a key level by many traders. However, stocks appear to have steadied their slide just a couple of points below the line, at least for now. In turn, the S&P 500 remains roughly eight points above its May intraday low. DJ30 -10.80 NASDAQ -13.06 SP500 -1.70 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 824/261 mln/1403 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1034/153 mln/1644

09:45 am : Stocks have started to pull back a bit from their opening push to higher ground. Still, financials, industrials, and materials stocks have provided the broader market with positive leadership in the early going. The sectors are up 0.6%, 0.7%, and 0.9%, respectively.

In contrast, tech stocks are lagging for the second straight session. The sector is currently dancing along the unchanged line.

Defensive-oriented plays have also been left behind by the broader market. Specifically, health care stocks and utilities stocks are down fractionally. They had traded with relative strength in the prior session. DJ30 +14.40 NASDAQ +2.46 SP500 +2.52 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1355/135 mln/778 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1741/91 mln/879

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +1.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +5.00. Stock futures suggest that a bit of relief is in order after the S&P 500 retreated sharply in back-to-back sessions to a new seven-month closing low. The strength in stock futures has been helped by reassurance from Fed Chairman Bernanke that a double-dip recession is not in the offing since economic conditions continue improve at a moderate pace. Stock futures have also been helped by the euro's rebound from a drop that followed comments from Fitch analysts regarding the formidable fiscal challenge in the United Kingdom. There have only been a few corporate news items have been issued this morning, but none of them are of any significance to the broader market. Economic data is also absent. However, results from an auction of 3-year Treasury Notes at 1:00 PM ET could make for a trading event.

08:45 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +2.70. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +6.50. A strong start for trade in the U.S. still looks to be in order as stock futures for the S&P 500 improve their position. Meanwhile, Europe's major bourses have trimmed their losses so that Germany's DAX is now down 0.6%. Still, declining issues outnumber advancers by 4-to-1. In France, the CAC also contends with a 0.6% loss. Its declining issues outnumber its advancers by more than 5-to-1. Britain's FTSE is now down 0.6% even though analysts at Fitch called the United Kingdom's fiscal challenge "formidable." BP Plc (BP) is a primary source of weakness. In Asia, Japan's Nikkei managed to put together a 0.2% gain overnight. Fast Retailing was a leader as advancers were outnumbered by almost 2-to-1 against declining issues in the wake of continued selling on Wall Street on Monday. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng tacked on 0.6%. HSBC (HBC) was a primary leader. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite climbed just 0.1% even as advancers took a 3-to-1 edge over decliners.

08:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +3.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +6.50. Last evening Fed Chairman Bernanke stated that the economic recovery remains moderate, but that the unemployment rate is likely to remain high. The comments came in the wake of an underwhelming monthly jobs report this past Friday. Concern about the implications of that report and ongoing uncertainty regarding Europe's financial conditions have sent the S&P 500 down almost 5% over the course of the past two sessions. The latest reminder about Europe's financial woes came from a Fitch review of Britain's fiscal challenge, which was deemed formidable. Europe's major bourses are under pressure in the wake of the report, but the euro has managed to gain ground against the greenback during the past few hours. Strength in the euro has helped prop up stock futures for domestic markets.

06:26 am : S&P futures vs fair value: flat. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +1.50.

06:26 am : Nikkei...9537.94...+17.10...+0.20%. Hang Seng...19487.48...+109.30...+0.60%.

06:26 am : FTSE...5011.98...-57.10...-1.10%. DAX...5834.80...-69.80...-1.20%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1 708 572-4885
Business Hours: 8am - 5pm est (Mon - Fri)
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