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 Post subject: June 4th Friday 2010 Emini TF points (No Trades Today)
PostPosted: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:00 am 
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Trade Journal By M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)

Trade journals are crucial in preventing us traders from becoming complacent or content with our trading plan or the markets because without having the ability to review archives of past trading days in a forever changing market...we won't know it's time to adapt when change occurs in the markets because broker statements alone doesn't help us keep that edge in comparison to a trade journal. In addition, this public trade journal contains useful trading tips a few times per week to encourage readers to return for more information and to help ensure I myself don't forget the importance of basic concepts within my own trading plan. Further, there are market summaries from Youtube Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo Finance as a quick archive of what happened in the markets on a particular day of trading. Thus, if you're looking for trading tips and market summaries that can improve your trading and/or understanding of what happen on a particular day that involves more than just entry signals...consistently read this trade journal and the #FuturesTrades chat room logs where I post my trades in real-time from entry to exit (see link below) via my IRC user name wrbtrader.

Today's #FuturesTrades chat room logs is archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=75&t=537.

Quote:
Today's results are 0 win : 0 loss (see above #FuturesTrades log). No trades today because one of the kids was very sick (most likely an ear infection in combo with stomach virus). However, I did watch Bloomberg and CNBC a little and noticed the Euro and Dow doing very poorly.

Trading Tip: News (global, breaking or whatever) will always have impact on the markets and most of the time it's not priced in. They create fear or greed and it controls the direction of the price action.


FYI - You can ask me questions here at the forum or you can tweet me on twitter about any thing related to today's trading or related to your own trading.

Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader


In addition, posted below are direct links about my trade methodology or trading approach that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm

Image Daily Trade Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=109&t=652

Trade Performance for Today (no trades): +0.00 points or $0 dollars in the ICE Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures

1 tick or 0.10 = $10 dollars and to find out more contract information about the Russell 2000 Emini TF...click here.
------------------------------

The market summaries below are courtesy of Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance. gm


http://www.youtube.com/v/SXBhPhu9_9s

Dow Drops 324 Points As Euro Sinks
By Alexandra Twin, senior writer
June 4, 2010: 4:26 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks slumped Friday after a government report showed employers added fewer jobs than expected last month and the euro plunged to a new 4-year low, reviving worries about the health of the European economy.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) lost 324 points, or 3.2%, closing at 9,931, according to preliminary tallies, just above the lows of 9,889 hit earlier.

The S&P 500 index (SPX) gave up 38 points, or 3.4%. The Nasdaq composite (COMP) slid 84 points, or 3.6%. The losses turned the major indexes lower for the holiday-shortened week.

The weaker-than-expected jobs report seemed to add to concerns that the problems with Europe's economy will cause the U.S. economy to experience a setback so soon after starting to recover from the recession.

"The jobs report was extraordinarily disappointing," said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Investors. He said that in particular the weakness outside of Census hiring was worrisome.

Meanwhile, the euro plunged to a new four-year low after European Union member nation Hungary warned about its ballooning debt, with an official saying that the economy was in a "grave situation" and that the threat of default was "no exaggeration."

Hungary doesn't use the euro, but its woes affected the 16-nation shared currency on concerns that a broad European debt crisis is developing. Previously, the focus was mostly on Greece and the other PIIGS nations - Portugal, Italy, Ireland and Spain.

All 30 Dow components fell, led by Chevron (CVX, Fortune 500), Exxon Mobil (XOM, Fortune 500), Boeing (BA, Fortune 500), IBM (IBM, Fortune 500), 3M (MMM, Fortune 500) and United Technologies (UTX, Fortune 500).

Stocks managed gains Thursday, putting the three major indexes in positive territory for the week. But those gains evaporated Friday, leaving stocks in danger of finishing the holiday-shortened week lower.

All three major indexes are down more than 10% off the rally highs hit in late April and are at risk of falling even further in the near term, although analysts are mixed on how deep the pullback is likely to be.

"There's a war between relatively constructive domestic metrics and the fear that the problems abroad are going to jump the pond and poison the U.S. economy through contagion," Orlando said.
Euro falls to four-year low

Jobs: Employers added 431,000 jobs in May, the biggest number in more than 10 years and an improvement from the 290,000 added in April, the Labor Department said.

However, economists expected 500,000 on average, according to a consensus surveyed by Briefing.com. More notably, 411,000 of the May jobs were short-term Census positions, meaning private-sector job growth was wimpy. Private sector job growth was 41,000 in the May, short of forecasts and weaker than the jump in April.

Also, while the government added 411,000 Census jobs, it also cut 21,000 other positions, leaving the total increase in government payrolls at 390,000.

The unemployment rate dropped to 9.7% from 9.9%, beating expectations for a drop to 9.8%.

On the upside, hourly earnings increased 0.3% after flattening out in April. Economists thought earnings would increase 0.1%.
Markets go on a Hungary strike

Euro: The euro tumbled to a new four-year low against the dollar, falling as low as $1.1956 before recovering a bit to stand at $1.1968.

The dollar fell 1% against the yen.

Company news: Wal-Mart Stores (WMT, Fortune 500) announced a new $15 billion share buyback plan Friday at its annual meeting for shareholders. Buyback plans are generally seen as positive for the company's stock price going forward as they represent a sign of corporate confidence.

Energy stocks: BP (BP) shares continued to fall Friday in the aftermath of the massive oil leak, more than 6 weeks after its Deepwater Horizon rig exploded. Standard & Poor's cut its credit rating Friday after Fitch and Moody's, the other big ratings agencies, downgraded BP Thursday.

Efforts to plug the leak have been so far unsuccessful. While the company expects the flow to be capped by August, experts say there is a risk that it could drag on a lot longer.

Energy stocks slumped, including Dow components Exxon Mobil (XOM, Fortune 500) and Chevron (CVX, Fortune 500). The Amex Oil index lost 3.5%. The Amex Natural Gas index lost 2.8%.
Oil spill: How bad it could get

World markets: Markets in Europe tumbled on Hungary's comments and after the EU reported European growth in the first quarter was just 0.2%, short of the United States and Japan. Britain's FTSE 100 lost 1.6%, Germany's DAX gave up 1.9% and France's CAC 40 retreated 2.9%.

Asian markets were mixed. Japan's Nikkei lost 0.1% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng was little changed. China's Shanghai Composite added a few points.
0:00 /2:30How BP's new fix should work

Commodities: U.S. light crude oil for July delivery fell $3.10 to settle at $71.51 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

COMEX gold for August delivery rose $7.70 to $1,217.70 an ounce.

Bonds: Treasury prices rallied, lowering the yield on the 10-year note to 3.22% from 3.38% late Thursday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.

Market breadth was negative. On the New York Stock Exchange, losers beat winners ten to one on volume of 1 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, decliners topped advancers eight to one on volume of 1.7 billion shares.

Image

Yahoo! Finance

4:15 pm : Sellers reclaimed control of the stock market after it had put together solid back-to-back gains. The change in tone came amid renewed concerns about contagion in Europe and disappointing nonfarm payrolls data.

Stocks entered Friday with a weekly gain of more than 1%, but that was dashed with this session's rout, which saw the S&P 500 drop more than 3%. That gave the stock market a weekly loss of more than 2% -- its fourth weekly loss of more than 1% in six weeks.

Market participants sold stocks en masse upon learning that officials from Hungary stated that economic conditions in their country are grave and that talk of default is not an exaggeration. What's more, the country does not plan to put austerity measures in place, leading many wonder whether the European Union (EU) will have to provide a bailout.

Though Hungary uses the forint instead of the euro as its currency, the country's troubles make for a manifestation of the fears spawned by the tenuous fiscal and financial conditions throughout Europe. In turn, the euro dropped a precipitous 1.7% to set a new four-year low of $1.1956.

Trade was also hurt by news that nonfarm payrolls for May increased by 431,000, which is well below the 500,000 that many had expected. Even higher numbers had been whispered in some circles, making disappointment over the number all the more significant. Ultimately, the smaller-than-expected increase in payrolls overshadowed news that the unemployment rate made a surprise move to 9.7% from 9.8%.

There really weren't any other headlines to act as catalysts for trade. In turn, market participants were focused on the negative. Of the 500 components in the S&P 500, only one -- Cephalon (CEPH 59.11, +0.33) -- managed to muster a gain. Weakness in the rest of the market led the benchmark index to one of its worst performances this year and its lowest close since February.

Such sharp selling pressure caused the Volatility Index, often euphemistically dubbed the "Fear Gauge," to surge more than 20%. It closed at its highest level of the week.

There was plenty participation behind this session's selloff. Specifically, trading volume on the NYSE surpassed 1.6 billion shares, which is comfortably above the 50-day average of roughly 1.4 billion shares. This session's declining volume outnumbered advancing volume by more than 130-to-1.

Amid this session's carnage, Treasuries fared extremely well. As such, the benchmark 10-year Note spiked more than one point to drop its yield is below 3.20%.

Gold was also a beneficiary of a flight to safety. It closed pit trade with a 0.6% gain at $1217.20 per ounce.

Gold wasn't the only commodity to find favor, though. Natural gas prices climbed 2.3% to settle pit trade at $4.82 per MMBtu as the energy component extended its surge from the prior session. DJ30 -324.06 NASDAQ -83.86 NQ100 -3.4% R2K -5.0% SP400 -4.1% SP500 -37.95 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 300/2.30 bln/2372 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 289/1.63 bln/2790

3:30 pm : Continued fears stemming from Europe, a flight to safety in the U.S. dollar and a May jobs report falling short of heightened expectations led to a sharp sell-off this session. Equity markets are once again flirting with session lows. In turn, commodities lost 2.4%, as the dollar is currently up about 1.0%.

Crude oil was a primary victim of the sell-off. The July contract traded steadily lower throughout the session. It closed down 4.2% at $71.51 per barrel after bouncing off the $71 level just before the close of the pit trade.

Silver traded much like an industrial metal this session. It traded sharply lower, much like copper and nickel prices. The July contract lost 3.5% to close at $17.30 per ounce.

Gold, natural gas and sugar futures were the only the commodities in the CRB commodity index to trade higher. Gold was the beneficiary of a flight to safety. It closed modestly higher, up 0.6% at $1217.20 per ounce. Meanwhile, natural gas extended yesterday's rally. It closed 2.3% higher at $4.82 per MMBtu. DJ30 -329.73 NASDAQ -79.86 SP500 -38.29 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 273/1.80 bln/2380 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 275/1.11 bln/2800

3:00 pm : After pausing at 1070 the S&P 500 has slipped to a new session low, which also makes for a fresh weekly low.

Despite this session's sharply negative tone, shares of Goldman Sachs (GS 143.24, -0.80) had actually managed to trade with modest gains for most of the afternoon until the stock recently retreated into the red. Just minutes ago, influential analyst Dick Bove said he thinks this will be a very bad quarter for Goldman as word circulated that he has cut his estimates on the stock. Still, losses in shares of GS are moderate when compared with the broader financial sector's 3.6% slide. DJ30 -326.93 NASDAQ -80.19 SP500 -37.63 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 288/1.59 bln/2358 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 278/974 mln/2788

2:35 pm : This session's slide has taken the S&P 500 down to 1070, which is in-line with its weekly low. However, the stock market currently appears hesitant to push below that point.

Despite a slowdown in the broader market's descent, industrial stocks continue to plummet. The industrial sector is now down 4.2%. The sector is still up 1.9% year-to-date, though. DJ30 -271.84 NASDAQ -70.13 SP500 -32.80 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 315/1.42 bln/2304 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 317/865 mln/2735

2:00 pm : The stock market has descended to a new session low. As things currently stand, this selloff is shaping up to be the worst single-session slide since just over two weeks ago, when the S&P 500 dropped nearly 4% in its worst performance since the start of the year.

Stocks are also on track for a weekly loss of more than 1%. That would mark the fourth weekly loss of more than 1% in six weeks. DJ30 -249.09 NASDAQ -63.94 SP500 -28.77 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 338/1.29 bln/2257 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 327/782 mln/2696

1:30 pm : Stocks continue to trade with deep, broad-based losses, such that the S&P 500 is down 2.5% and more than 95% of its components are in the red.

Commodities are down sharply, too. Specifically, the CRB Commodity Index has lost 2.1%. Most of that decline comes from a 3.3% drop in oil prices to $72.15 per barrel.

Natural gas has been strong, though. The commodity climbed almost 6% in the prior session and now it is up another 4.8% to $4.92 per MMBtu.

Gold has also staged a gain. The yellow metal started the session in the red, but it was recently quoted with a 0.7% gain at $1217 per ounce as broader market pessimism has won it support. DJ30 -252.80 NASDAQ -57.99 SP500 -27.75 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 371/1.17 bln/2213 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 353/710 mln/2656

1:00 pm : The tone of trade has been negative since the start as market participants react to rekindled concerns about the possibility of contagion in Europe and a disappointing U.S. jobs report.

Grave economic conditions and the absence of an austerity plan in Hungary have made talks of default by the country very real. While it is not a part of the eurozone, Hungary is a member of the European Union (EU), so many worry that the EU will have to provide a bailout.

With financial conditions in the continent clearly tenuous, the euro has dropped precipitously. The euro was recently down 1.4% against to $1.199, a new four-year low.

As if those developments weren't enough to encourage selling, market participants were dealt a disappointing nonfarm payrolls report for May. The report featured a smaller-than-expected increase of 431,000 nonfarm jobs. Underlying the headline number was a much more tepid increase in private sector hiring than many had anticipated.

A barrage of heavy selling followed the headlines. There was a brief, midmorning attempt to stabilize, but stocks have fallen back under a wave of weakness and now trade near session lows with all 10 major sectors are down with losses of nearly 2% or more. Moreover, declining volume outnumbers advancing volume by almost 15-to-1 on the NYSE.

Such sour sentiment has triggered a spike in volatility. Specifically, the Volatility Index is up more than 13%, but it remains shy of its weekly high.

Treasuries have attracted strong support in the face of the increased volatility and sharp losses among stocks -- the benchmark 10-year Note is up more than a point and its yield is below 3.22%. DJ30 -222.11 NASDAQ -48.73 SP500 -23.62 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 390/1.06 bln/2191 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 373/643 mln/2620

12:30 pm : The S&P 500 recently retreated to a fresh session low at 1075, but it was able to attract some modest support there. Still, losses remain steep and widespread as all 10 major sectors contend with losses that range from 1.6% (utilities) to 3.6% (industrials). DJ30 -241.31 NASDAQ -47.97 SP500 -25.21 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 407/980 mln/2142 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 380/589 mln/2599

12:00 pm : Industrial stocks have taken a beat down from sellers. The sector is now down 3.4%, worse than any other major sector, as all 57 of its members trade in negative territory. Textron (TXT 19.44, -1.21), Jacobs Engineering (JEC 41.40, -2.30), and Ryder System (R42.59, -2.32) are among the worst performers in the sector.

Despite the sector's weakness during the past couple of sessions, industrial stocks remain some of the better performers of 2010. Specifically, the sector is up 2.4% year-to-date, while the broader market is down 3.5% since the start of the year. DJ30 -246.52 NASDAQ -48.24 SP500 -25.97 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 416/885 mln/2114 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 368/525 mln/2600

11:30 am : The S&P 500 has slipped to a fresh session low. It is now down more than 2%.

Though total volume has decelerated, declining volume continues to outweigh advancing volume by a staggering 11-to-1.

Meanwhile, Treasuries continue to push higher, such that the benchmark 10-year Note is now up 42 ticks. DJ30 -227.93 NASDAQ -46.06 SP500 -23.53 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 386/751 mln/2109 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 360/445 mln/2578

11:00 am : Trade has been choppy, but weakness remains widespread. There isn't any real leader this session, but the energy sector has managed to limit its loss to 0.8%, which is about half of what the broader market currently faces.

The energy sector is currently led by oil and gas explorers, which are up 0.7%. Oil and gas equipment plays have added support by pushing to a 0.5% gain of their own. BP Plc (BP 38.11, -1.16) is back under pressure despite reports that it has managed to capture some of the oil flow in the Gulf of Mexico. DJ30 -186.37 NASDAQ -35.16 SP500 -18.70 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 372/625 mln/2064 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 405/368 mln/2496

10:30 am : The CRB Commodity Index is down 0.7% this session. It is also on its way toward a 0.7% weekly loss.

Lower oil prices account for most of the CRB's weakness. The commodity is currently down 1.6% to $73.40 per barrel as it surrenders part of its gain from the prior session, when it climbed more than 2%.

Natural gas prices spiked almost 6% in the prior session and have added another 1.5% to that move in this session's pit trade. The commodity is currently at $4.76 per MMBtu.

Precious metals continue to trade with weakness, despite renewed concerns about contagion in Europe and questions about the health of the U.S. economy amid a softer-than-expected increase in monthly nonfarm payrolls. Gold was last quoted with a 0.4% loss at $1203.70 per ounce, while silver is down a sharp 2.0% to $17.58 per ounce. DJ30 -165.13 NASDAQ -28.12 SP500 -15.73 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 340/482 mln/2016 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 386/287 mln/2465

10:00 am : Stocks continue to contend with a stiff bout of selling pressure. That has caused to Volatility Index to spike more than 10% to 32.5, but it remains below its weekly high of 35.7.

Treasuries have continue to attract support in the face of increased volatility and sharp losses among stocks. Specifically, the benchmark 10-year Note is up nearly one full point. That has dropped its yield toward 3.25%.

Advancing Sectors: (None)
Declining Sectors: Industrials (-2.4%), Financials (-2.2%), Consumer Discretionary (-1.8%), Materials (-1.8%), Health Care (-1.7%), Consumer Staples (-1.6%), Utilities (-1.6%), Telecom (-1.4%), Tech (-1.3%), Energy (-1.2%) DJ30 -178.96 NASDAQ -34.21 SP500 -18.29 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 280/300 mln/2013 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 277/180 mln/2513

09:45 am : Widespread weakness has taken the major equity averages to sharp losses in the first few minutes of trade. Specifically, all 10 major sectors in the red with losses of at least 1%. Pressure is most pronounced among industrial stocks -- the sector is down 2.1%.

Amid such a steep, broad-based slide, the stock market is on pace for a weekly loss of roughly 0.4%. DJ30 -156.32 NASDAQ -35.82 SP500 -17.19 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 212/155 mln/2002 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 181/104 mln/2526

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -22.60. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -42.00. Rekindled concerns about the possibility of contagion in Europe and a disappointing U.S. jobs report have led to stiff selling among premarket participants. In turn, stock futures point to a sharply lower start. A weaker euro - currently down 1.0% to $1.204 - has also dampened early sentiment. The currency fell to a new four-year low amid worries that the European Union will have to provide a bailout to Hungary, which has had to grapple with grave economic conditions and does not plan to implement any austerity measures. Meanwhile, economists and market pundits are contemplating the implications of a smaller-than-expected increase in nonfarm payrolls for May. The report indicated that 431,000 nonfarm jobs were added last month, but the consensus had called for something closer to an increase of 500,000, while some had speculated that the number would be even higher.

09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -21.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -38.80. A disappointing jobs report has caused increased selling among Europe's major bourses, which had already been contending with widespread weakness after Hungary rekindled contagion concerns when its officials said its economy is in grave condition and that default talk is not exaggerated. Since Hungary does not plan to take austerity measures there is concern that the European Union will have to stage a bailout. That has caused the euro to drop to a new multiyear low against the greenback - it is currently down 1.0% to $1.205. As for equities, Germany's DAX is down 1.9%. All 30 of its components are in the red. France's CAC is down 2.6%. Not one of its 40 members have managed to muster a gain. Britain's FTSE is down 1.6%. BP Plc (BP) has made its way to a solid gain in the face of the selloff; its strength stems from reports of progress regarding the Gulf spill. Trade in Asia finished in lackluster fashion. Japan's Nikkei slipped just 0.1% as declining issues had a slight edge over decliners. Fast Retailing was a primary laggard as it gave up part of its gain from the prior session. Hong Kong's Hang Seng settled fractionally lower even though its decliners outnumbered its advancers by 2-to-1. Energy outfit CNOOC (CEO) was a key source of weakness, but global banking giant HSBC (HBC) provided support. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite finished with a fractional gain even though advancing issues had better than a 2-to-1 advantage over decliners. Kweichow Moutai was a leader, but Bank of China proved to be a drag.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -21.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -37.30. Stock futures have fallen to fresh morning lows and the yield on the 10-year Treasury Note has retreated to below 3.27% on the back of a disappointing monthly jobs number. Official nonfarm payrolls for May climbed by 431,000, which is below the increase of 500,000 that had been widely expected after 290,000 nonfarm payrolls were added in the prior month. The unemployment rate for May came in at 9.7%, which is below the 9.8% that had been anticipated and down from the 9.9% of the prior month. Additionally, the average workweek increased to 34.2 from 34.1 in the prior month. It had been expected to stay at 34.1.

08:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -8.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -16.80. Stocks settled the prior session with varied gains, but any sort of follow through has been undermined by renewed concerns about contagion in Europe, where officials from Hungary stated that their economy is in a grave situation and that default talk is not an exaggeration. The officials also stated that austerity measures will not be implemented, so some wonder whether the European Union will have to provide a bailout. In turn, the euro has dropped to a new multiyear low against the dollar - it currently trades with a 0.8% loss at $1.206. Though those developments have dampened the mood among premarket participants, the pivotal nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide a key trading catalyst with its release at the bottom of the hour.

06:26 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +2.10. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +2.80.

06:26 am : Nikkei...9901.19...-13.00...-0.10%. Hang Seng...19780.07...-6.60...0.00.

06:26 am : FTSE...5234.62...+23.40...+0.50%. DAX...6099.58...+45.00...+0.70%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1 708 572-4885
Business Hours: 8am - 5pm est (Mon - Fri)
Skype Messenger: kebec2002
questions@thestrategylab.com
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