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 Post subject: June 1st Tuesday 2010 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +4.70
PostPosted: Tue Jun 01, 2010 11:25 pm 
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Trade Journal By M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)

Trade journals are crucial in preventing us traders from becoming complacent or content with our trading plan or the markets because without having the ability to review archives of past trading days in a forever changing market...we won't know it's time to adapt when change occurs in the markets because broker statements alone doesn't help us keep that edge in comparison to a trade journal. In addition, this public trade journal contains useful trading tips a few times per week to encourage readers to return for more information and to help ensure I myself don't forget the importance of basic concepts within my own trading plan. Further, there are market summaries from Youtube Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo Finance as a quick archive of what happened in the markets on a particular day of trading. Thus, if you're looking for trading tips and market summaries that can improve your trading and/or understanding of what happen on a particular day that involves more than just entry signals...consistently read this trade journal and the #FuturesTrades chat room logs where I post my trades in real-time from entry to exit (see link below) via my IRC user name wrbtrader.

Today's #FuturesTrades chat room logs is archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=75&t=534.

Quote:
Today's results are 2 wins : 1 loss (see above #FuturesTrades log). Only a few trades today due to router or ISP connection problem that caused data packet loss from my broker and chart subscription. Most likely with hindsight I would have made about 2k today. Regardless, tomorrow is another trading day and hopefully my ISP has fixed it's current problems.

Trading Tip: Pay attention to the closing times of key markets because they will often (more often than not) have impact on the price action of your trading instrument.


FYI - You can ask me questions here at the forum or you can tweet me on twitter about any thing related to today's trading or related to your own trading.

Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader


In addition, posted below are direct links about my trade methodology or trading approach that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm

Image Daily Trade Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=109&t=652

Trade Performance for Today: +4.70 points or $470 dollars in the ICE Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures
Attachment:
060110_wrbtrader_PnL_Blotter_Profit.png
060110_wrbtrader_PnL_Blotter_Profit.png [ 32.23 KiB | Viewed 1674 times ]

1 tick or 0.10 = $10 dollars and to find out more contract information about the Russell 2000 Emini TF...click here.
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The market summaries below are courtesy of Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance. gm


http://www.youtube.com/v/tUIRZw_c5hw

Late Retreat Sinks Stocks
By Alexandra Twin, senior writer
June 1, 2010: 6:52 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks slumped Tuesday, ending a choppy session lower, as worries about the global economic outlook overshadowed better-than-expected readings on the U.S. economy.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) fell 112 points, or 1.1%. The S&P 500 index (SPX) lost 19 points, or 1.7% and the Nasdaq composite (COMP) fell 35 points, or 1.5%.

The market retreated in early trading after a report showed slower manufacturing growth in China and the euro briefly fell to a fresh four-year low. Better-than-expected readings on U.S. construction and manufacturing helped turn the tide in the morning. But the market sold off again heading into the close.

Stocks tumbled last month, with the Dow's decline of 7.9% its worst May performance since 1940. All financial markets were closed Monday for Memorial Day.

The pullback came as the euro plunged and the European debt crisis threatened to slow global growth. Worries about China's slowdown were also a factor.

These issues are likely to continue pressuring stocks, said Stephen Carl, head equity trader at Williams Capital Group.

"I don't think the selling is over by any means," he said. "It looks like we're hovering in a range around 10,000 (on the Dow), but there could still be more selling to come."
Stocks: New month, same malaise

Economy: The Institute for Supply Management's May manufacturing index fell to 59.7 from 60.4. However, the index was expected to fall more, to 58.9, according to a consensus of economists surveyed by Briefing.com.

Any reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector. The index has indicated expansion for 10 consecutive months.

Construction spending rose 2.7% in April, trouncing expectations for a rise of 0.1%. The government reported construction spending rose 0.4% in March.

Companies: BP (BP) shares plunged 15% as the company's latest attempt at stopping the oil spill - now in its seventh week - failed. The company had tried to stop the spill - the worst in U.S. history - by forcing mud into the leaking well

Since the Deepwater Horizon exploded on April 20, the stock has lost more than one-third of its value.

AIG (AIG, Fortune 500) shares fell after the company rejected Prudential PLC's request to lower the price of its $35.5 billion deal to buy AIG's Asian affiliate, raising the chances of the deal falling apart.

On the upside, Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500) shares gained after the company said Monday that it has sold its 2 millionth iPad. Following the news, a number of analysts raised their estimates on iPad sales and Apple's quarterly and fiscal-year figures.

Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500) announced it is cutting its total workforce by 3,000 over the next few years as it accelerates its use of automatic data centers for business customers. Shares of the Dow component gained 0.5%.

A variety of financial shares fell, lowering the KBW Bank (BKX) sector index by 2.6%.
0:00 /3:00A "half-speed" economic recovery

Euro: The European currency seesawed after touching a four-year low of $1.2111 in the morning.

The dollar rose 0.2% against the yen.

World markets: Markets in Europe were mixed. Britain's FTSE 100 lost 0.5%, Germany's DAX gained 0.3% and France's CAC 40 lost 0.1%.

Asian markets ended lower. Japan's Nikkei lost 0.6% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 1.4%. China's Shanghai Composite lost 0.9%.

Commodities: U.S. light crude oil for July delivery fell $1.39 to settle at $72.58 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

COMEX gold for August delivery rose $11.90 to settle at $1,226.90 an ounce.

Bonds: Treasury prices were little changed, with the yield on the 10-year note holding at 3.30%, little changed from late Friday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.

Trading volume: Market breadth was negative. On the New York Stock Exchange, losers beat winners three to one on volume of 1.43 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, decliners topped advancers by over four to one on volume of 2.15 billion shares.

Image

Yahoo! Finance

4:30 pm : Sloppy, listless trade gave way to a broad-based selling effort, which intensified into the close and culminated in another round of sharp losses.

Market participants returned from the extended holiday weekend to several of the same problematic themes of recent weeks. For starters, worries about the state of finances in Europe continue to linger, but news that the European Central Bank (ECB) said that eurozone banks face further writedowns over the next 18 months added to concern. Europe's major bourses buckled and the euro fell to a new four-year low of $1.211 in response.

Meanwhile, concerns about global growth came back into play in the wake of weaker-than-expected monthly manufacturing data from China.

In the face of the market's growth concerns, the Bank of Canada announced that it added 25 basis points to its benchmark interest rate, which now stands at 0.50%. The hike makes Canada the first G-7 country to raise rates.

U.S. data showed that the ISM Manufacturing Index for May hit 59.7, which is a bit better than the 59.4 that had been widely expected. Moreover, construction spending for April surged 2.7%, which easily surpassed the 0.1% monthly increase had been widely anticipated, to make for the best monthly increase since 1998.

Those announcements helped stocks swing from an early loss of more than 1% to a solid gain.

A pullback by the greenback also helped stocks, but the dollar was later able to stage a modest rebound so that it finished with a 0.3% gain against a basket of competing currencies.

Though stocks looked like they were on course for an impressive turnaround, trade quickly turned muddled. That left the broader market to chop along in lackluster action.

The lack of positive leadership left stocks susceptible to a late selloff, which focused on cyclical plays like materials stocks and energy stocks. The materials sector fell to a 3.1% loss as steel stocks dropped 5.9%. Meanwhile, energy fell 4.3%, collectively, as oil and gas equipment plays are imbued by BP (BP 36.52, -6.43), which continues to grapple with the consequences of its oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico.

Weakness among energy stocks was exacerbated by a pullback in oil prices, which finished pit trade with a 1.8% loss at $72.58 per barrel.

Gold prices closed with a 0.9% gain at $1226.90 per ounce, however. July silver also shared in the safety trade; it finished up 0.5% at $18.55 per ounce.

Advancing Sectors: (None)
Declining Sectors: Energy (-4.3%), Materials (-3.1%), Utilities (-2.3%), Financials (-2.1%), Industrials (-2.1%), Consumer Discretionary (-1.6%), Health Care (-1.0%), Tech (-0.9%), Telecom (-0.8%), Consumer Staples (-0.2%) DJ30 -112.61 NASDAQ -34.71 NQ100 -0.9% R2K -3.1% SP400 -2.7% SP500 -18.70 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 455/2.13 bln/2224 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 642/1.43 bln/2403

3:30 pm : A 1.9% decline in the energy sector helped the CRB commodity index to a 1% loss this session. July crude oil closed the session lower by 1.8% to $72.58 per barrel after trading with a loss for the majority of the session. July natural gas ended down by 1.9% to $4.26 per MMbtu.

The flight to safety, sparked by continued fears about foreign economies, helped August gold close higher by 0.9% to $1226.90 per ounce. July silver also partook in that safe haven move, finishing up 0.5% to $18.55 per ounce. DJ30 -31.21 NASDAQ -17.57 SP500 -9.80 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 595/1.64 bln/2065 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 852/975 mln/2159

3:00 pm : The stock market continues to chop along listlessly. However, the range of trade has become narrow, which has also made trade lackluster and rather unexciting.

Treasuries have had a quiet afternoon. They had started the session solidly higher, but the stock market's early rebound caused fixed income holdings to fall. The benchmark 10-year Note is now flat, as has been the case for the better part of this session. DJ30 +9.75 NASDAQ -2.80 SP500 -4.68 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 761/1.44 bln/1859 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1055/850 mln/1950

2:30 pm : Afternoon action remains rather quiet. In turn, the stock market continues to struggle in its effort to set forth on a clear path of trade.

Overall gains remain limited as consumer staples stocks (+0.8%), tech (+0.5%), telecom stocks (+0.4%), and health care stocks (+0.2%) make up the only major sectors still in higher ground.

Weighed down by BP (BP 37.61, -5.34), the energy sector continues to work its way lower. The sector is now down 2.4%, just above the session low that it set only a few minutes ago.

Weakness among energy stocks has only been exacerbated by the continued retreat of oil prices, which trade with a 1.7% loss at $72.70 per barrel as they head into the close of pit trade. DJ30 +27.06 NASDAQ -0.15 SP500 -2.85 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 782/1.34 bln/1826 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1056/795 mln/1925

2:00 pm : Renewed selling has caused stocks to surrender some of their recent gains. Overall action remains both listless and lackluster.

Trading volume is relatively strong, though. More than 700 million shares have already exchanged hands on the NYSE. DJ30 +30.46 NASDAQ -1.05 SP500 -2.40 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 720/1.21 bln/1871 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1009/713 mln/1963

1:30 pm : Stocks recently made another upward push, which has taken the Dow to a fresh session high. Its advancers outnumber its declining issues by 5-to-1.

Though the Dow has a lead over its primary counterparts, the Nasdaq 100 is in even better shape. The index is now up 1.1% and it is still led by Apple (AAPL 265.67, +8.79), which is probing its May reaction high of $265 per share. DJ30 +81.39 NASDAQ +12.23 SP500 +3.54 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 936/1.10 bln/1637 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1276/648 mln/1684

1:05 pm : Market participants returned from the extended holiday weekend to another round of selling, which came amid concerns about the fiscal health of many eurozone countries and some pessimistic comments from the European Central Bank (ECB). However, buyers showed resolve and a pair of upbeat economic reports helped drive the broader market to higher ground. Trade has since turned mixed, though.

When U.S. trade opened several European bourses were down by 2% or more. The weakness came as investors were reminded of the continent's tenuous financial conditions when the ECB said that eurozone banks face further writedowns in the next 18 months.

Renewed weakness in the euro took the currency down to a new multimonth low of $1.211. It has since rebounded to $1.228, however.

The early mood among market participants certainly wasn't helped by news of a weaker-than-expected monthly PMI reading from China, which many have expected to provide a boon to the global economic recovery. Yet with the country's growth prospects called into question, the Shanghai Composite has dropped more than 3% during the course of the past two sessions so that it is only slightly above its 52-week low.

Despite the negative themes of early trade, domestic markets were able to work their way higher. Large-cap tech offered early leadership, but a broader bounce came as the ISM Manufacturing Index for May hit 59.7, which is better than what had been expected. Meanwhile, construction spending for April spiked 2.7% in the best monthly Increase since 1998.

The three major indices traded with varied gains at their session high, but the advance has proved fleeting as only defensive-oriented stocks have held on to their gains.

Energy stocks are under the most pressure. The sector is down 2.0% as oil and gas equipment plays are imbued by BP (BP 38.04, -4.91), which continues to grapple with the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico.

A reversal by oil prices from a gain of more than 1% to a 0.8% loss at $73.35 per barrel certainly hasn't helped the energy sector. DJ30 +34.54 NASDAQ +0.34 SP500 -2.08 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 757/1.02 bln/1829 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 988/602 mln/1964

12:30 pm : Support has kept stocks from extending their recent slide. In turn, the major indices now trade in mixed fashion.

Riskier plays, like small-cap stocks and mid-cap stocks, remain under pressure, however. The two groups are down 1.2% and 1.0%, respectively. Despite their weakness this session, the two groups have still fared better on a year-to-date basis. Specifically, the Russell 2000 Small-Cap Index is up 4.6% year-to-date and the S&P 400 Mid-Cap Index is up 4.0% since the start of 2010, while the broad-based S&P 500 is down 2.4% year-to-date. DJ30 +35.64 NASDAQ +0.60 SP500 -1.95 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 754/938 mln/1797 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1032/550 mln/1922

12:00 pm : The Dow is holding on to a fractional gain gain, which has been supported by Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 59.02, +0.72), IBM (IBM 125.77, +0.51), and Wal-Mart (WMT 51.26, +0.70). JPMorgan Chase (JPM 39.14, -0.44) and American Express (AXP 39.66, -0.21) are at the other end of the spectrum.

With financials among the weakest blue chips most, the broader financial sector is down 0.7%. Though that makes for a marked loss, it is not even half of the energy sector's 1.7% drop, which is still the worst of any major sector this session. DJ30 +5.97 NASDAQ -8.75 SP500 -4.97 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 619/843 mln/1920 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 909/496 mln/2032

11:30 am : The S&P 500 recently slipped back into the red, but it has since steadied itself near the neutral line. Tech (+0.5%) is still a top performer this session, but telecom stocks have made their way to the number one spot as they sport a 0.7% gain. Other defensive-oriented sectors like consumer staples (+0.6%) and health care (+0.4%) are also faring well, but utilities lag with a 0.5% loss.

Though the stock market has made some rather dramatic moves in recent trade, the Volatility Index is up just 1.5%. DJ30 +45.65 NASDAQ +5.99 SP500 +0.89 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 878/714 mln/1617 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1185/420 mln/1718

11:00 am : Stocks have eased back a bit since pushing to session highs in recent trade. Tech remains a primary leader, though; the sector is currently up 0.6%, more than any other major sector in the S&P 500.

Energy stocks continue to lag. The sector is still down more than 1% (1.1%, to be exact) as market participants shun shares of oil and gas equipment players (-5.6%). Integrated oil and gas outfit BP Plc (BP 38.36, -4.59) is at the center of the sector's weakness. The stock set a fresh 52-week low of $36.90 per share earlier. DJ30 +47.54 NASDAQ +9.28 SP500 +1.46 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 991/599 mln/1457 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1307/352 mln/1552

10:30 am : Stocks have overcome early losses so that they now sport varied gains. The move mirrors a bounce by the euro, which has caused the greenback to give up its morning gain so that it is now flat against a basket of competing currencies.

Oil prices have extended their recent rebound, too. The energy component had been down more than 1% in the early going as economic growth concerns came into play. However, it is now up to a 1.2% gain at $74.85 per barrel.

Natural gas prices are up a solid 1.0%. Contracts were last quoted at $4.38 per MMBtu.

Gold prices continue to garner support. The yellow metal is currently up 1.2% to $1226.40 per ounce, just shy of its session high of $1228 per ounce.

Silver is also strong. The precious metal was last quoted at $18.60 per ounce, up 1.0%.

Collective strength among commodities has the CRB Commodity Index up 0.6%. DJ30 +65.52 NASDAQ +18.92 SP500 +4.78 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1167/475 mln/1240 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1542/280 mln/1257

10:00 am : Stocks have pushed to their best levels of the morning. The move comes amid the latest dose of data.

The ISM Manufacturing Index for May came in at 59.7, which is slightly above the 59.4 that many had expected. The May reading marks a pullback from the 60.4 that was registered in the prior month, though.

Figures for construction spending in April showed a 2.7% increase from the prior month. The increase easily surpassed the 0.1% monthly increase had been widely expected and the upwardly revised 0.4% monthly increase that had been logged for the prior month. DJ30 -23.73 NASDAQ -2.04 SP500 -4.59 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 699/281 mln/1662 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 698/171 mln/2038

09:45 am : The stock market has pared its opening loss, but weakness is still widespread as all 10 major sectors in the S&P 500 remain in the red. Losses are steepest among energy stocks, which have lost 1.6% as the Gulf oil leak continues to beat down BP Plc (BP 37.61, -5.34). Other oil and gas explorers and oil and gas equipment plays have been imbued by BP's troubles.

The energy sector's slide persists in the face of a rebound by oil prices, which were down more than 1% this morning, but are now flat at $73.95 per barrel.

Tech stocks have limited their losses to just 0.2%. Large-cap tech plays like Apple (AAPL 260.91, +4.03) have been an early source of support. DJ30 -67.26 NASDAQ -11.30 SP500 -8.17 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 552/170 mln/1744 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 500/119 mln/2171

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -13.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -9.00. Stock futures for the Nasdaq have cut their premarket losses, but futures for the broader S&P 500 still point to a sharp loss for the start of trade. The weakness is largely underpinned by continued losses among markets overseas, where worries about the fiscal health of many eurozone countries have led the euro to a new multiyear low against the greenback. Concerns over the continent's financial conditions certainly haven't been helped by word that the European Central Bank believes eurozone banks face further writedowns in the next 18 months. Meanwhile, weaker-than-expected data from China has called into question the country's growth prospects and led the Shanghai Composite down more than 3% during the course of the past two sessions -- the index is now only fractionally above its 52-week low. The possibility that China's growth may not be all that many have hoped has pushed oil prices 1.7% lower to $72.70 per barrel. However, gold prices have climbed 1.0% to $1225 per ounce as many participants seek safety. Coming up at 10:00 AM ET are a couple of potential trading catalysts in the May ISM Manufacturing Index and April construction spending numbers.

09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -14.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -11.30. Stock futures have worked their way up from morning lows, but they still point to a weak start for the session. The euro has also worked its way up from its morning low of $1.2111, also a multimonth low, so that it now trades with a 1.0% loss at $1.2180. Amid the preference for safety, gold prices have climbed 1.1% to $1225.50 per ounce. However, oil prices have fallen 1.7% to $72.75 per barrel amid growth concerns.

08:30 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -14.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -11.30. Weakness continues to permeate trade in Europe, where persistent concerns about the fiscal health of certain eurozone members has fed contagion fears and the European Central Bank indicated that eurozone banks face further writedowns. Those themes caused the euro to drop $1.2111, a new multiyear low, earlier this morning. As for stocks, Germany's DAX is down 1.8%. SAP AG is the only name in the 30-member bourse to trade higher. Losses are currently the worst among industrials. France's CAC has dropped to a 2.1% loss. CAP Gemini is the only component of the 40-member index to stage a gain. With a collective loss of 3.6%, financials are in the worst shape. Britain's FTSE is currently off by 2.0%. BP Plc (BP) has dragged energy stocks to a loss of more than 6% as it continues to look for ways to stem the Gulf oil leak. However, Prudential Plc (PUK) has managed to put together a strong gain amid news that AIG (AIG) will adhere to the original terms of its agreement for Prudential to acquire AIG's pan-Asian life insurance subsidiary, AIA Group Ltd. In Aisa, China's Shanghai Composite dropped 2.4% on Monday and another 0.9% on Tuesday. A weaker-than-expected PMI reading weighed on overall trade, but health care stocks dropped 2.5% as the came under the most pressure in the latest round of selling. Insurers showed moderate strength, though. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng fell 1.4% as declining issues outnumbered advancers by 5-to-1. HSBC (HBC) was one of the weakest performers at the individual level, but a wave of selling sent basic materials stocks to a 3.5% loss as China's growth was questioned. In Japan, the Nikkei fell 0.6%. Fast Retailing was dropped for a 1.3% loss, but industrial plays fell 1.3% as a group. Utilities managed to make their way to 2.2% gain.

08:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -14.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -14.80. The major U.S. market averages were closed yesterday for Memorial Day. Many of the other global indices that remained open saw mixed interest, though China's Shanghai Composite fell 2.4% and another 0.9% Tuesday. A sharper-than-expected decline in China's latest PMI reading weighed on the action. Tuesday's trade has also brought sharp losses to Europe's major bourses, which have been hampered by persistent concerns regarding the continent's fiscal conditions. Those concerns also continue to pressure the euro, which retreated to a new multiyear low of $1.2111. The euro is currently down nearly 1.2% against the greenback to $1.2163. Corporate news has been limited, but the struggles of BP Plc (BP) to stem the flow of oil in the Gulf is still a consistent headline. These themes have weighed heavily on premarket trade, such that domestic stock futures point to a sharply lower start. The ISM Manufacturing Index for May is due at 10:00 AM ET, along with construction spending figures for April. Monthly motor vehicle sales numbers will be released sporadically throughout the day.

06:38 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -15.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -20.50.

06:38 am : Nikkei...9711.83...-56.90...-0.60%. Hang Seng...19496.95...-268.20...-1.40%.

06:38 am : FTSE...5071.69...-116.70...-2.30%. DAX...5861.10...-103.20...-1.70%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1 708 572-4885
Business Hours: 8am - 5pm est (Mon - Fri)
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