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 Post subject: May 24th Monday 2010 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +12.50
PostPosted: Mon May 24, 2010 8:46 pm 
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Trade Journal By M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)

Trade journals are crucial in preventing us traders from becoming complacent or content with our trading plan or the markets because without having the ability to review archives of past trading days in a forever changing market...we won't know it's time to adapt when change occurs in the markets because broker statements alone doesn't help us keep that edge in comparison to a trade journal. In addition, this public trade journal contains useful trading tips a few times per week to encourage readers to return for more information and to help ensure I myself don't forget the importance of basic concepts within my own trading plan. Further, there are market summaries from Youtube Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo Finance as a quick archive of what happened in the markets on a particular day of trading. Thus, if you're looking for trading tips and market summaries that can improve your trading and/or understanding of what happen on a particular day that involves more than just entry signals...consistently read this trade journal and the #FuturesTrades chat room logs where I post my trades in real-time from entry to exit (see link below) via my IRC user name wrbtrader.

Today's #FuturesTrades chat room logs is archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=74&t=529.

Quote:
Today's results are 5 wins : 3 losses. The key trade of the day was my 5th trade (see #FuturesTrades log) as a Long position around 1005am est via the Volatility Trading Report (VTR) even though I did not have access to all of my key market charts due to data vendor problems. Simply, today I was trading the Emini TF alone without any perspective from intermarket analysis.

Trading Tip: If support or resistance zones are being broken or holding amongst key markets at the same time...these are key price action zones you should pay attention too for the remainder of the trading day.


FYI - You can ask me questions here at the forum or you can tweet me on twitter about any thing related to today's trading or related to your own trading.

Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader


In addition, posted below are direct links about my trade methodology or trading approach that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis).

Image WRB Analysis Tutorials @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm

Image Volatility Trading Report (VTR) @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/VolatilityTrading.htm

Image Daily Trade Routine @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/tsl/forum/viewtopic.php?f=109&t=652

Trade Performance for Today: +12.50 points or $1,250 dollars in the ICE Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures
Attachment:
052410_wrbtrader_PnL_Blotter_Profit.png
052410_wrbtrader_PnL_Blotter_Profit.png [ 32.11 KiB | Viewed 1692 times ]

1 tick or 0.10 = $10 dollars and to find out more contract information about the Russell 2000 Emini TF...click here.
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The market summaries below are courtesy of Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance. gm


http://www.youtube.com/v/ptD5uwaxNwY

Dow Falls To 3-Month Low
By Alexandra Twin, senior writer
May 24, 2010: 6:30 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks tumbled Monday, with the Dow ending at a three-month low as worries about the global economic outlook overshadowed a bigger-than-expected rise in existing home sales.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) lost 126 points, or 1.2%, closing at its lowest point since Feb. 2. The S&P 500 index (SPX) declined 14 points, or 1.3%. The Nasdaq composite (COMP) lost 15 points, or 0.7%.

Stocks had fallen in the early going, turned mixed through the afternoon and then turned lower near the close.

The housing market report marked a positive start to a busy week for economic news. Investors are looking for evidence that the U.S. economy is holding up despite the turmoil abroad. More housing reports are due later in the week.

Readings are also due on durable goods orders, personal income and spending, and consumer sentiment.

Nonetheless, the positive report was countered by continued worries about the European debt crisis. The euro slumped, erasing last week's gains, following reports that Spain's central bank took over a long-established regional savings bank.

Stocks ended higher Friday at the end of another rough week, in which worries about the European debt crisis and the flailing euro sent global markets lower. For the week, the Dow and S&P 500 both lost around 4% and the Nasdaq fell around 5%.

Since hitting rally highs in late April, the Dow has lost 10.2%, the S&P 500 has slipped 11.8% and the Nasdaq has dropped 12.5% through Monday's close.
Is this the start of a new bear market?

The declines of more than 10% off the highs means all three major gauges have met the technical definition of a correction. The selling has also raised worries about whether stocks are heading into a bear market, technically a decline of 20% to 30% off the highs.

"I think it's a correction or a pause rather a bear market," said Dan Genter, president and CEO at Genter Capital Management. "We'll probably be in a holding pattern for a few weeks or the rest of the summer before moving higher."

He said that the market had been "teetering on the top," after running up more than 70% from the March 2009 lows. The run was fueled by a mix of government stimulus and expectations that earnings growth would pick up and the economy would recover.

While those expectations were starting to get fulfilled, investors were looking for more good news to get over the hump, he said. Without additional good news, stocks reacted strongly to the bad news, he said, including the threat of the European debt crisis spreading, the falling euro and the BP oil spill.

Housing: April existing home sales rose 7.6% to a seasonally adjusted 5.77 million annual unit rate from a 5.36 million unit rate in March, the National Association of Realtors reported shortly after the start of trading. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com expected a smaller rise to 5.65 million units. The rise was due largely to the expiration of the homebuyer tax credit at the end of April.
0:00 /4:59Don't blame Europe for volatility

Corporate news: AIG (AIG, Fortune 500) will not face criminal charges, with the Justice Department opting not to pursue the case due to insufficient evidence.

In deal news, IBM (IBM, Fortune 500) is reportedly buying AT&T' (T, Fortune 500)s business software unit Sterling Commerce for $1.6 billion in cash.

Financial stocks slipped, including Dow components Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500). Other big losers included PNC Financial Services (PNC, Fortune 500), Wells Fargo (WFC, Fortune 500), Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500) and Morgan Stanley (MS, Fortune 500).

The KBW Bank (BKX) index lost 3.3%.

Market breadth was negative. On the New York Stock Exchange, losers beat winners three to two on volume of 1.31 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, decliners topped advancers by eight to five on volume of 2.08 billion shares.

Euro/dollar: The euro lost 0.3% versus the dollar after seesawing over the last week since falling to a four-year low of $1.2234 earlier in the month.

The dollar was little changed against the yen.

World markets: Markets in Europe cut earlier losses to end mixed. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.1%, Germany's DAX lost 0.4% and France's CAC 40 was little changed.

Asian markets were mixed. Japan's Nikkei fell 0.3%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng gained 0.6%. China's Shanghai Composite rallied 3.5%.

Commodities: U.S. light crude oil for July delivery rose 17 cents to settle at $70.21 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

COMEX gold for July delivery rose $17.90 to settle at $1,194.70 an ounce.

Bonds: Treasury prices slipped, lifting the yield on the 10-year note to 3.22% from 3.20% where it stood late Friday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.

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Yahoo! Finance

4:25 pm : Trade was muddled for most of the session, but weakness among financial stocks and other cyclical plays undercut the broader market for a sizable loss.

Stocks got off to a relatively weak start after news that Spain's central bank took control of regional savings outfit CajaSur served as a very real reminder of the financial uncertainty in Europe. The headline also stirred selling against the euro, which fell 1.6% to 1.2373 per dollar.

While the euro was weak for the entire day, Europe's major bourses were able to stage a rebound. Their upturn helped ease some of the early pressure against domestic stocks, but persistently listless trade limited the broader market's upward moves. As a consequence, the S&P 500 was unable to push past the session highs of this past Friday.

The mixed tape was eventually imbued by financial stocks, which fell to a 2.9% loss -- the worst of any major sector in the S&P 500. Diversified bank stocks (-4.0%) and regional bank stocks (-4.2%) were among the worst performing groups, but Janus Capital (JNS 10.51, -0.85) saw one of the sharpest slides after analysts at Goldman Sachs downgraded asset managers.

Energy stocks (-2.2%), materials stocks (-1.7%), and industrial stocks (-1.6%) also came under a stiff bout of selling pressure as market participants turned against cyclical stocks.

Large-cap tech stocks had displayed strength for most of the session, but the group succumbed to selling in the final stretch of trade. The Nasdaq 100 had been up as much as 1.0%, but it finished with a 0.4% loss as it closed at its session low along with the other major averages. Yahoo! (YHOO 15.54, +0.07) was able to hold on to a modest gain, though. Its strength followed news that it will form a strategic alliance with Nokia (NOK 10.02, -0.05).

There weren't any other major news items of note and economic data was limited to April existing home sales, which spiked 7.6% month-over-month to an annualized rate of 5.77 million units. A rate of 5.62 million units had been expected.

The economic calendar for Tuesday features a consumer confidence reading from the Conference Board and housing price data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency.

Advancing Sectors: (None)
Declining Sectors: Financials (-2.9%), Energy (-2.2%), Materials (-1.7%), Industrials (-1.6%), Telecom (-1.0%), Utilities (-0.9%), Consumer Discretionary (-0.8%), Consumer Staples (-0.8%), Tech (-0.6%), Health Care (-0.2%) DJ30 -126.82 NASDAQ -15.49 NQ100 -0.4% R2K -1.2% SP400 -1.0% SP500 -14.04 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 935/2.08 bln/1756 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1187/1.31 bln/1912

3:30 pm : The CRB Commodity index finished the session modestly higher today amongst mixed action in the equity indices.

Weakness in the euro led to a 1.8% gain in precious metals this session. Both gold and silver closed the session near their respective highs. June gold ended up 1.5% to $1194 per ounce, while July silver gained 1.9% to close at $18.00 per ounce.

It was an uneventful session for energy commodities, as they traded in a range-bound manner. July crude oil continued to find support around the $70 area, and closed modestly higher by 0.2% to $70.21 per barrel. June natural gas, which shed 0.5% to end at $4.012 per MMBtu, also traded near the unchanged mark throughout the session. DJ30 -68.81 NASDAQ +0.87 SP500 -6.97 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 714/1.61 bln/884 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 268/879 mln/601

3:00 pm : The stock market has chopped its way to a new afternoon low. The move has been led by cyclical plays, like financials, which have extended their downturn so that the sector now trades with a 1.9% loss. That marks a fresh session low for the group. Energy stocks, materials stocks, and industrial stocks have also retreated to new session lows -- they are now down 1.5%, 1.0%, 1.0%, respectively. DJ30 -75.73 NASDAQ +3.62 SP500 -6.52 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1299/1.49 bln/1362 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1622/805 mln/1437

2:30 pm : Stocks have steadied since their recent descent, but action remains mixed as just over half of the major sectors in the S&P 500 contend with losses. The generally mixed tape has made for rather muddled trade and a lackluster session.

Financials remain at the bottom of the heap. The sector is are now down 1.6% to trade near its session low. Given the sector's size, it remains a primary source of weakness for the broader market. Meanwhile, tech stocks continue to provide a boon to this session's action, thanks to their 0.6% gain. DJ30 -39.83 NASDAQ +10.42 SP500 -2.81 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1349/1.39 bln/1310 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1718/750 mln/1337

2:00 pm : A recent flurry of selling pressure has caused all three major equity averages to pull back to fresh afternoon lows. Stocks are still comfortably above their session lows, though.

Part of the downturn stems from renewed weakness among financial stocks, which are back to a 1.5% loss. Banking issues remain especially weak, such that diversified bank stocks have fallen a collective 2.6% and regional bank stocks have dropped 3.0% as a group. However, investment services outfit Janus Capital (JNS 10.71, -0.65) is the worst performing stock in the S&P 500 financial sector; its weakness follows word that the asset management space was downgraded by analysts at Goldman Sachs. DJ30 -44.37 NASDAQ +7.01 SP500 -3.08 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1286/1.28 bln/1355 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1720/682 mln/1329

1:30 pm : Unable to sustain any move that it makes into positive territory, the S&P 500 continues to chop along the neutral line, which is near its prior session high. Meanwhile, the Nasdsaq Composite has managed to hold on to a solid gain, thanks to strength among large-cap tech. Large-cap tech's positive influence is even more pronounced in the Nasdaq 100, which is currently up 0.9%. DJ30 -26.68 NASDAQ +10.84 SP500 -0.24 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1337/1.18 bln/1307 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1768/623 mln/1265

1:00 pm : Strength among large-cap tech issues has helped the Nasdaq put together a solid gain, but the broader S&P 500 has had to fight through muddled trade.

A relatively weak start for stocks followed news that Spain's central bank took over long-established regional savings bank CajaSur. The headline acted as a reminder of the financial uncertainty that exists in parts of Europe. In turn, the euro gave up the gains that it saw in a short covering trade last week; it is still down 1.4% to 1.2400 per dollar.

Despite the lackluster open, stocks have been able to chop their way higher. An interest in tech issues has put the Nasdaq out in front of its counterparts. Apple (AAPL 250.59, +8.27), Google (GOOG 489.57, +17.52), and Oracle (ORCL 22.64, +0.48) are primary leaders in the tech-rich index. Yahoo! (YHOO 15.75, +0.28) has also been able to stage a solid gain after it was learned that the company will form a strategic alliance with Nokia (NOK 10.05, -0.02).

The broader S&P 500 has had a harder time finding higher ground, though. The benchmark index has had to contend with weakness among financial stocks and energy stocks, which are down 0.5% and 0.7%, respectively.

Energy stocks collectively make up the weakest sector in the S&P 500. Of the 39 names in the energy sector, only Marathon (MRO 31.92, +0.50), Chesapeake (CHK 21.11, +0.10), and Sunoco (SUN 28.48, +0.12) are in higher ground.

The energy sector's slide comes in the face of a 0.8% gain by oil prices, which currently stand at $70.60 per barrel after a series of selloffs in recent weeks.

Economic data was limited to a better-than-expected existing home sales report for April. Though the report didn't do much to help the broader market, it has helped shares of homebuilders find support (+1.1%). DJ30 -11.72 NASDAQ +14.13 SP500 +1.28 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1364/1.09 bln/1250 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1740/572 mln/1283

12:30 pm : The S&P 500 recently pushed into positive territory, but its stay there was short lived as it is now back in the red with a fractional loss.

Volatility continues to cool. As such, the Volatility Index is down almost 10% after it hit a fresh 52-week high this past Friday.

While volatility in the equity market has come down, oil prices have seen some swings this session. The energy component swung from a solid gain in the early going to a modest loss, but it now sports a 0.8% gain at $70.55 per barrel. DJ30 -21.50 NASDAQ +12.52 SP500 -0.15 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1745/975 mln/1112 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1880/512 mln/1116

12:00 pm : The S&P 500 continues to contend with resistance at the neutral line. In turn, it still trades with a fractional loss.

Financial stocks have more than halved their losses, though. The sector is now down 0.5% as CME Group (CME 330.01, +11.50) leads specialized finance plays to a 2.0% gain.

Meanwhile, health care stocks have jumped out to a 0.6% gain, which makes them the best performing sector in the S&P 500. The health care sector is currently led by health care equipment names like Baxter International (BAX 41.99, +1.31). As a group, health care equipment stocks are up 1.8%. DJ30 -23.05 NASDAQ +8.68 SP500 -0.70 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1332/875 mln/1244 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1681/458 mln/1289

11:30 am : Oil prices have given up their gains so that they now trade with a 0.1% loss at $69.95 per barrel. That pullback has undermined energy stocks, which are now down 1.4% and the worst performing sector in the S&P 500. Of the 39 names in the energy sector, only Marathon (MRO 31.62, +0.20) is in higher ground.

Meanwhile, action in the broader market remains muddled. Despite that, volatility is down nearly 7%, as measured by the Volatility Index. DJ30 -60.39 NASDAQ +3.33 SP500 -4.62 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1284/740 mln/1255 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1523/392 mln/1427

11:00 am : Stocks recently staged a rebound that took the tech-rich Nasdaq to a solid gain and the broad-based S&P 500 just past the neutral line and into positive territory. However, another flurry of selling has knocked stocks off of their session highs.

Tech stocks continue to outperform. As a group, tech stocks are up 0.5%, but the best gains come from Internet software and service providers, which are up 2.2% as a group amid news that Yahoo! (YHOO 15.68, +0.21) and Nokia (NOK 9.88, -0.20) struck a strategic alliance that will make Nokia the global provider of maps for Yahoo, while Yahoo will be the global provider of mail and chat for Nokia. DJ30 -58.73 NASDAQ +4.05 SP500 -3.21 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1442/598 mln/1072 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1720/324 mln/1170

10:30 am : The US Dollar Index is trading near its session highs, currently up 1.2%. However, most commodities are trading higher in morning trade, including, crude, gold and silver.

July crude oil hit morning lows of $69.57 per barrel around 7:30am ET, but pushed into positive territory shortly before pit trading began. In current trade, crude is 0.6% higher at $70.40 per barrel. July natural gas was in positive territory at the open of pit trading, but lost steam and fell into the red and to new session lows of $4.05 per MMBtu. The energy component recovered a portion of its losses, but remains in negative territory, currently down 0.2% at $4.09 per MMBtu.

Precious metals are also trading higher despite strength in the dollar index. Both June gold and July silver have traded in positive territory all session. Gold hit overnight highs of $1191.10 per ounce and is currently 1% higher at $1187.40 per ounce. Silver also hit session highs overnight, touching $18.06 per ounce, but has since lost about half of its gains. Silver is 1.1% higher at $17.85 per ounce in recent trade. DJ30 -40.81 NASDAQ +8.83 SP500 -2.81 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1737/3316.5 mln/939 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2348/2295.5 mln/740

10:00 am : Existing home sales for April spiked 7.6% month-over-month to an annualized rate of 5.77 million units, which is more than the expected rate of 5.62 million units.

The broader market hasn't made much of reaction to the data, but shares of homebuilders have bounced to their best levels of the morning so that they now sport a 1.6% gain.

Financials remain in pretty bad shape. The sector is down 1.4% at the moment.

Tech has attracted enough support to turn positive, though. The sector is up 0.1%. DJ30 -102.86 NASDAQ -7.48 SP500 -9.83 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 974/220 mln/1324 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 994/120 mln/1707

09:45 am : Stocks have made a sudden, sharp retreat past their opening lows. The move has been led by the financial sector, which is down 1.3% as banking stocks come under pressure in the wake of news that Spain's central bank took over Spanish regional lender CajaSur.

Tech stocks have managed to limit their losses, however. The sector is down fractionally as large-cap tech issues attract support. That has helped the Nasdaq outperform its counterparts in early action. DJ30 -92.73 NASDAQ -3.24 SP500 -7.10 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1139/90 mln/1024 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1119/60 mln/1400

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +2.30. The greenback continues to sport a strong gain over the euro, which currently trades with a 1.5% loss at 1.2385 per dollar, but Europe's major bourses have managed to trim some of their losses in recent trade. Domestic stock futures have mirrored the move, such that a mixed to moderately lower start to trade now looks to be in order. Overall news flow remains slow, so market participants continue to assess the uncertainty of the macro environment, which took a hit with news that Spain's central bank took over regional savings bank CajaSur. As for actual data, the only item on the economic calendar for today is the Existing Home Sales Report for April at 10:00 AM ET.

09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -6.60. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -4.80. Stock futures continue to trail fair value, but they have managed to narrow that gap during the past hour. Meanwhile, commodities have shown some relative strength this morning. Gold is up a sharp 1.1% to $1189 per ounce after it logged a series of losses last week. Silver is also strong as it sports a 1.1% gain at $17.85 per ounce. Oil prices were recently quoted at $70.15 per barrel, up just over 0.1%.

08:30 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -10.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -13.80. Europe's major bourses continue to trade with varied losses. More specifically, Germany's DAX is down 1.1% as its declining issues outnumber its advancers by more than 4-to-1. Siemens (SI) is among the heaviest drags on trade, while Fresenius Medical Care leads the short list of advancers. In France, the CAC is off by 0.7%. Sanofi-Aventis (SNY) is a primary laggard, while BNP Paribas attempts to provide support. Britain's FTSE has fallen to a 0.4% loss as BP Plc (BP) and Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) come under sharp pressure. Vodafone has offered some support, though. Elsewhere in Europe, Italy's MIB Index is down 3.1% and Spain's IBEX is down 2.1% after Spain's central bank bailed out regional lender CajaSur. Meanwhile, the continent's chief currency, the euro, has retreated 1.6% to 1.2368 per dollar as it gives up the gains that it staged last week. In Asia, Japan's Nikkei fell to a 0.3% loss. Fast Retailing was a primary source of weakness. However, Hong Kong's Hang Seng staged a 0.6% gain as its domestic banking issues showed strength. Global banking giant HSBC (HBC) was a considerable drag, though. The Shanghai Composite spiked to a 3.5% gain. It was led by financial plays and energy outfits PetroChina (PTR) and China Petroleum (SNP).

08:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -11.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -17.80. Stock futures are down markedly amid a sharp bounce by the greenback, which was recently quoted with a near 1.2% gain against a basket of major foreign currencies. Most of the dollar's move has come against the euro, which is currently down 1.5% to 1.2380 per dollar after it rallied last week in a short covering trade. Premarket trade has also been hampered by varied losses among Europe's major bourses, including those in Italy and Spain after Spain's central bank bailed out regional lender CajaSur. In contrast, Asia's major averages showed some strength as the Shanghai Composite spiked to a 3.5% gain. There aren't any corporate news items of note this morning and the economic calendar is limited to the latest in existing home sales at 10:00 AM ET.

06:28 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -13.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -22.30.

06:28 am : Nikkei...9758.40...-26.10...-0.30%. Hang Seng...19667.76...+121.90...+0.60%.

06:28 am : FTSE...5039.67...-23.30...-0.50%. DAX...5767.89...-61.00...-1.10%.

Special thanks to Bloomberg, CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1 708 572-4885
Business Hours: 8am - 5pm est (Mon - Fri)
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