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 Post subject: May 10th Monday 2010 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +28.80
PostPosted: Thu May 13, 2010 7:09 am 
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My Trading Performance for Today: +28.80 points in the ICE Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures
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Special thanks to CNNMoney and Yahoo! Finance for their market summaries that I've copied and reposted below. gm

Stocks: Best Day In 14 Months
By Alexandra Twin, senior writer
May 10, 2010: 6:33 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks rallied Monday after European officials approved a nearly $1 trillion rescue plan to contain the debt crisis in troubled nations and stabilize the euro.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) gained 405 points, or 3.9%, the average's biggest one-day point and percentage gain since March 23, 2009.

The S&P 500 index (SPX) surged 49 points, or 4.4%. It was also the best day on a point and percentage basis since March 23, 2009.

The Nasdaq composite (COMP) rallied 109 points, or 4.8%. It was the Nasdaq's best day on a point basis since Oct. 28, 2008, and on a percentage basis since March 23, 2009.

Markets around the globe advanced on the plan as investors breathed a sigh of relief that aggressive action was being taken after months of mounting concern. The euro gained versus the dollar, and the dollar gained against the yen.

Treasury prices slipped, boosting the corresponding yields, as investors pulled money out of the safe-haven investment and put it into riskier assets, such as stocks.

U.S. investors were reacting to the size and scope of the rescue, said Ron Kiddoo, chief investment officer at Cozad Asset Management.

"It shows Europe is willing to do something fairly dramatic to address these problems," he said. "It doesn't solve everything, but it's a good step."
The Panic is over. But for how long?

A big selloff last week left all three major indexes in negative territory for the year and the Nasdaq in a correction -- defined as a decline of at least 10% off the recent highs. The Nasdaq's decline was 10.5%. The Dow had fallen 7.4% and the S&P 500 8.5% from the late April highs.

Stocks had been down on worries about debt-plagued Greece weakening other troubled European nations, including Spain and Portugal, and ultimately destabilizing the euro.

But the selling was exacerbated last Thursday after computer trading on more than 300 stocks sparked a massive selloff. The Dow tumbled 998.50 points, the index's biggest loss ever on an intraday basis, before it recovered about two-thirds of the drop. On Friday, trades of 296 stocks were cancelled.

In the aftermath of that selloff, the Securities and Exchange Commission and the major stock exchanges all agreed Monday on the basic framework to strengthen "circuit breakers" and methods for handling erroneous trades.

The selling that plagued the market for a week or two prior to the Thursday battering started to wear out, setting markets up for a bounce, said Gary Webb, CEO at Webb Financial Group.

But with Thursday's so-called "flash crash" and continued concern about European debt, the major indexes finished the week down for the year to date. Having gotten past that, stocks could be set up for a decent bounce for a few weeks, Webb said.

"I think investors around the world are reacting well to this bailout because they see that our bailout worked," he said, referring to the $787 billion U.S. stimulus plan approved last year. "There's a price to be paid down the line, but the fact that it did stabilize our markets is reassuring them that the EU bailout will stabilize the euro."

Volatility: Last week the CBOE Volatility index, or the VIX (VIX), Wall Street's fear gauge, rallied to 13-month highs as investors priced in a bigger retreat. But on Monday, the VIX slumped 12 points, or almost 30%, to end at 28.96 as investor anxiety dissipated.

"The news out of Europe is positive, but I'm not sure how healthy today's move is," said Paul Brigandi, vice president of trading at Direxion Funds. "It shows we're back in a volatile period. We had a violent selloff last week and this huge rebound today."

He said that the moves in the market and in the VIX show investors are uncertain about how to factor in all the so-called headline risk, including Greece, the Gulf oil spill and the latest for Goldman Sachs, which is fighting off fraud charges.

Additionally, "It shows we're getting away from fundamentals like the economy and corporate profits and just focusing on the day-to-day news," he said.
0:00 /6:02NYSE CEO explains selloff

Rescue plan: The European rescue package, valued at close to $1 trillion over three years, includes government-backed loans, the expansion of a stabilization program and funding from the International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Under the deal, the 16 European Union (EU) countries will provide a collective $570 billion in the form of government-backed loans. The European Commission, the EU's governing body, will provide another $76 billion under an already existing stabilization fund. The IMF will provide at least $284 billion.

Additionally, the European Central Bank said it would start buying government and corporate debt. The ECB was said to have started buying euro zone government bonds Monday, although details were not available.

Finally, the Federal Reserve joined central banks in Canada and Europe in re-establishing a program that makes more U.S. dollars available for interbank lending.

On the move: Gains were broad based, with 30 Dow components rallying.

Big contributors to the Dow's gains were aerospace firms Boeing (BA, Fortune 500) and United Technologies (UTX, Fortune 500), heavy-equipment maker Caterpillar (CAT, Fortune 500), tech firms IBM (IBM, Fortune 500) and Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500), as well as 3M (MMM, Fortune 500), McDonald's (MCD, Fortune 500) and Procter & Gamble (PG, Fortune 500).

Market breadth was negative. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners topped losers by almost 19 to 1 on volume of 1.86 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, advancers beat decliners by seven to one on volume of 2.87 billion shares.

Fannie Mae: Mortgage backer Fannie Mae (FNM, Fortune 500) asked for another $8.4 billion from the federal government Monday after reporting a massive first-quarter loss. The losses were due to accounting changes and the continued weakness in the U.S. housing market.

Fannie Mae, along with fellow mortgage company Freddie Mac (FRE, Fortune 500), was put under government conservatorship during the height of the financial crisis in fall 2008. It already owed the government $76.2 billion.

Last week, Freddie Mac asked for another $10.6 billion after posting an $8 billion quarterly loss.

World markets: Stocks around the globe finished higher. In Europe, France's CAC 40 gained 9.7%, Germany's DAX added 5.3% and Britain's FTSE rose 5.2%. On Monday, the Bank of England said it will keep its key interest rate unchanged at a low 0.5%.

Asian markets rallied as well, with Japan's Nikkei adding 1.6% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng gaining 2.5%. On Friday, the Bank of Japan pumped $22 billion into financial markets to ease fears about the impact of the Greek debt crisis.

Dollar and commodities: The euro gained 1% against the dollar, continuing to recover after having fallen to a 14-month low versus the U.S. currency last Thursday. The dollar rose 1.7% versus the yen.

U.S. light crude oil for June delivery gained $1.69 to settle at $76.80 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

COMEX gold for June delivery slid $9.60 to settle at $1,200.80 per ounce.

Bonds: Treasury prices tumbled, pushing the yield on the 10-year note to 3.57% from 3.43% Friday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.

Image

Yahoo! Finance

4:35 pm : Efforts to prevent contagion in Europe helped the stock market stage its best single-session rally in more than one year. And even though the move was both broad and strong and accompanied by high volume trade, some question its sustainability.

A positive mood permeated global trade for the entire session, thanks to a decision by leaders of the European Union (EU) and International Monetary Fund (IMF) to pledge financial support to eurozone countries. In turn, Greece and other countries on tenuous financial footing will be able to tap a pool of 500 billion euros from the EU, while the IMF stands ready with another 250 billion euros. In addition to those measures, the European Central Bank announced that it will make eurozone bond purchases via the secondary market. Such a move should help facilitate credit markets by providing a deep pocketed buyer. Meanwhile, the U.S. Federal Reserve has reopened swap lines with foreign institutions.

That series of efforts helped tighten credit default swap spreads for the likes of Greece and Portugal, and also sent the euro up sharply. The euro gave ground against bounce by the greenback, though; in turn, the dollar settled trade with a loss of little more than 0.2% after it had been down as much as 1.8% against a basket of competing currencies.

Stocks traded with strong gains for the entire session, especially those in Europe, where all 30 names in Germany's DAX advanced and all 40 components of France's CAC climbed. French banks booked some of the best gains as the bailout news helped relieve concerns related to their loan exposure to Greece.

Many market pundits questioned whether this session's surge was anything more than a relief rally for the broader market, especially after the S&P 500 fell almost 8% during the course of the four previous sessions.

Bets on further moves to the downside caused some to cover their positions this session. That sort of short covering only squeezed stocks higher and ushered in higher trading volume.

With some 1.8 billion shares exchanging hands on the NYSE this session, trading volume surpassed its 200-day moving average for the fifth time in a row.

Though some may discount the conviction behind this session's move and attribute it to relief buying and short covering, nearly 98% of the names in the S&P 500 advanced to take the stock market to its best percentage gain in more than 52-weeks. Such broad-based strength sent the Volatility Index, or "fear gauge," to a 30% drop.

Advancing Sectors: Industrials (+5.7%), Financials (+5.6%), Consumer Discretionary (+5.3%), Tech (+5.0%), Materials (+4.8%), Energy (+4.0%), Utilities (+3.0%), Consumer Staples (+2.8%), Health Care (+2.7%), Telecom (+2.4%)
Declining Sectors: (None) DJ30 +404.71 NASDAQ +109.03 NQ100 +5.0% R2K +5.6% SP400 +5.2% SP500 +48.85 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2209/2.78 bln/327 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2988/1.86 bln/157

3:35 pm : Commodities bounced off nearly a 3-month low to close 1.6% higher this session. Gains in the index dissipated throughout the morning as the dollar index rose all session, though.

The largest gains were seen in energy commodities, they closed up 2.9%. June crude oil bounced off a near 3-month low to close up 2.3% at $76.80 per barrel. July natural gas saw an even more pronounced gain, closing 3.7% higher at $4.17 per MMBtu.

Gold was one of the few commodities that did not benefit from short-covering this session. June gold closed 0.8% lower at $1200.80 per ounce. Meanwhile July silver closed 0.5% higher at $18.55 per ounce. DJ30 +342.81 NASDAQ +92.77 SP500 +40.77 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2160/2.30 bln/372 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2964/1.40 bln/181

3:00 pm : Stocks have spent almost the entire afternoon moving sideways. Though that has made for some rather unexciting trade in terms of movement, many are content to sit back and let their gains ride into the close.

Of this session's best performers by percent gained, Lennar (LEN 19.64, +2.15) is atop the list, followed closely by Aflac (AFL 49.40, +5.13). At the other end of the spectrum, Dean Foods (DF 10.55, -4.08) has lost more than 25% of its market cap after it announced disappointing quarterly earnings and issued downside guidance. DJ30 +369.86 NASDAQ +97.58 SP500 +43.67 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2163/2.08 bln/368 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2966/1.22 bln/173

2:30 pm : The stock market has entered into a rather narrow trading range. That has kept the S&P 50 just above the 1150 line, which is near its afternoon low.

While gains remain heady and broad based, there have been a few notable laggards. Among them, Goldman Sachs (GS 142.17, -0.82) is down after a steady descent from its initial gap up this morning. Meanwhile, Moody's (MCO 21.40, -1.96) is down sharply following harsh comments about rating agencies from some European Union leaders following the decision to pledge funds to eurozone countries that face financial uncertainty. DJ30 +353.47 NASDAQ +92.89 SP500 +41.54 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2151/1.96 bln/363 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2963/1.15 bln/172

2:00 pm : The S&P 500 has started to bounce along the 1150 line in recent action. Gains remain both strong and broad.

Volume has been very strong this session. In fact, more than 1 billion shares have already traded hands on the NYSE. Though the strong pace of trade keeps with the trends of the past couple of weeks, part of this session's increased participation comes as a result of traders having to buy into the stock market in order cover their bets for further downside moves in the stock market. That sort of short covering has also augmented this session's advance.

Still, trading volume could seen an additional spike in the final hour of trade as more margin calls are made. DJ30 +337.60 NASDAQ +87.94 SP500 +39.59 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2149/1.82 bln/362 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2970/1.07 bln/163

1:30 pm : Stocks recently slipped to an afternoon low, but the move shouldn't necessarily make for too much concern among those that have cheered this session's advance since the stock market is still up sharply in its best single-session percentage advance in more than one year.

At its session high, the S&P 500 was up almost 4.8% from the prior session's close. At its recent afternoon low the benchmark index was up 3.4%. It has since moved upward a bit to trade with a near 4% gain. DJ30 +356.42 NASDAQ +90.03 SP500 +40.97 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2167/1.69 bln/340 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2970/998 mln/151

1:00 pm : A decision by the European Union and International Monetary Fund leaders to pledge financial support to the eurozone has brought about a wave of buying and short covering that has caused the stock market to surge in its best single-session percentage gain in more than a year.

Countries in the eurozone that face financial uncertainty will be eligible to receive some 500 billion euros from the EU and another 250 billion euros from the IMF, according to announcements this morning. In addition to those measures, the European Central Bank will buy eurozone bonds from the secondary market and the Federal Reserve has reactivated swap lines with foreign institutions. At least for the time being, those efforts have eased contagion concerns that have surrounded Greece for weeks and, in turn, caused credit default swap yields to contract.

Initial excitement over the plan lifted an overhang from the euro to help it up sharply from its 12-month low, but it has since given up plenty of that gain. Strength in the euro had dropped the dollar down as much as 1.8% against a basket of competing currencies, but the buck is now down just 0.3% against that basket.

Stocks remain strong in the wake of the announcement, however. Some of the most dramatic gains were seen in Europe, where France's CAC spiked almost 10% as its financial issues surged in excess of 20% -- French banks have some of the most loan exposure to Greece.

Financials stateside have also been exceptionally strong; they are currently up 5.1%. However, most of that is owed to broader market strength, which has propelled more than 95% of the names in the S&P 500 higher.

Such strong support in the broader equity market has put Treasuries under stiff pressure. As such, the 10-year Note is down more than one full point so that its yield is back above 3.50% after it had fallen below 3.40% last week.

Volatility has dropped sharply as a result of this session's strength. More specifically, the Volatility Index, or fear gauge, is down almost 30%.

While this session's overall advance is among the best seen in many months, pundits have come to question whether it is anything more than a short-term relief rally that has followed the stock market's worst weekly loss in one year. With questions of sustainability in mind, stocks have started to slip from their afternoon lows in recent action. Still, gains remain robust. DJ30 +386.65 NASDAQ +98.33 SP500 +46.44 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2166/1.62 bln/335 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2982/940 mln/141

12:30 pm : Treasuries remain under stiff pressure as stocks continue to sport some of their strongest gains in months. More specifically, the stock market is up more than 4%, while the 10-year Note is down more than one full point and the 30-year Bond is down more than two points. Yields on the Note and Bond are up to 3.55% and 4.42%, respectively, after they had fallen to 2010 lows last week. DJ30 +397.00 NASDAQ +100.10 SP500 +46.40 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2187/1.43 bln/290 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2999/843 mln/121

12:00 pm : The stock market has started to trend higher after making a gradual drift downward for the better part of the morning. Stocks haven't quite eclipsed their session highs, though.

While this session's gains are among the strongest seen in many months, many have come to question whether this is the start of a rebound back to the 2010 highs that were set just a couple of weeks ago or a short-term relief rally from last week's slide, which culminated in the worst weekly loss in one year. DJ30 +421.11 NASDAQ +103.23 SP500 +48.31 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2194/1.32 bln/274 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 3001/788 mln/108

11:30 am : At its session low the dollar had been down as much as 1.8% against a basket of competing currencies, but it has since cut that loss to just 0.5%. Meanwhile, the euro has surrendered a chunk of its gain against the greenback, such that the euro is back below the 1.30 mark to trade at 1.2841 against the dollar.

Despite the upturn by the dollar, commodities continue to trade with strong gains. More specifically, the CRB Commodity Index is up 1.0% amid a 1.9% gain by oil prices to $76.50 per barrel. Gold has made its way up from its session low so that it now trades at $1200 per ounce, down 0.9% for the session. DJ30 +408.64 NASDAQ +97.96 SP500 +43.70 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2174/1.17 bln/276 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2988/700 mln/121

11:00 am : Stocks have drifted off of their morning highs, but gains remain both rich and broad as all 10 major sectors in the S&P 500 sport gains in excess of 2%.

The best gains continue to come from the financial sector, which is up 5.4%. Industrials aren't far behind, though; the sector has made its way 5.3% higher.

With a 2.7% gain, telecom is a relative laggard. However, that is still the sector's best percentage gain since July 2009. DJ30 +373.72 NASDAQ +94.77 SP500 +43.61 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2176/1.01 bln/271 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2984/608 mln/109

10:30 am : Commodities, along with the broader market, are seeing notable strength this morning following news over the weekend that the European Union and International Monetary Fund will provide financial support to eurozone countries.

June crude oil has been in positive territory all session, but is off its morning highs of $78.51 per barrel. Currently, crude is trading at $76.73 per barrel, up 2.2%. June natural began to trend higher overnight and rallied around the open of pit trading to new session highs of $4.15 per MMBtu. The energy component has pulled back only modestly from those levels and is currently 3.1% higher at $4.14 per MMBtu.

Precious metals are mixed in morning trade. June gold has been in negative territory all session. After hitting overnight lows of $1184.40 per ounce, gold has recovered a portion of its losses but remains in the red at $1202.1 per ounce, down 0.7%. July silver has moved off overnight lows of $18.22 per ounce and back into positive territory, now trading at $18.57 per ounce, up 0.7%. DJ30 +374.48 NASDAQ +96.06 SP500 +43.34 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2182/763.6 mln/231 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2975/467.5 mln/91

10:00 am : While the stock market is up in one of its sharpest spikes in months, it has yet to recover what it lost last week. In fact, the stock market has only reclaimed the 1.5% loss of this past Friday and part of the 3.2% drop that it recorded last Thursday.

Nonetheless, the incredibly strong buying effort has caused a dramatic pullback in volatility, such that the Volatility Index has fallen 35% this morning. DJ30 +396.39 NASDAQ +100.75 SP500 +46.42 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2184/532 mln/180 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2933/335 mln/89

09:45 am : The stock market has surged to its strongest percentage gain in months as a wave of buying and short covering follows word that the European Union and International Monetary Fund have offered financial support to eurozone countries that face tenuous fiscal conditions.

Of the major sectors in the S&P 500, financials are up the most. The sector currently stands 5.6% higher as life and health insurers surge 8.6% and multiline insurers ascend 6.1%. Diversified financial services stocks are up 5.9%. DJ30 +431.01 NASDAQ +108.50 SP500 +50.47 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 2176/384 mln/152 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 2924/245 mln/69

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +45.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +74.50. Sovereign debt yield spreads have tightened and stocks have surged as a wave of buying and short covering has been brought about by news that leaders from the European Union and International Monetary Fund have come together to provide financial aid to eurozone countries that face financial uncertainty. Word that the European Central Bank will buy eurozone bonds from the secondary market and the Federal Reserve has reactivated swap lines with foreign institutions has further fed the action. Meanwhile, many have dumped the dollar as global participants rotate away from safe haven, at least for now. A lapse in risk aversion has also triggered selling in gold, which has pulled back from the 2010 highs that it set last week.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +43.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +73.80. The mood among global market participants has improved amid news of financial aid for struggling eurozone countries but, as a consequence, gold prices are down a sharp 1.3% to $1195 per ounce as traders rotate out of the traditional safe haven. Meanwhile, oil prices are up 2.5% to $76.95 per ounce after they fell for four straight sessions to take the price of crude oil down more than $10.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +45.30. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +73.80. U.S. stock futures continue to point to a sharply higher start, while Europe's major bourses have already rallied sharply. Of the three primary exchanges in Europe, France's CAC is out in front with a 8.5% gain. All 40 of its components are in positive ground, but BNP Paribas has garnered some of the strongest support. Germany's DAX is up 4.8% with all 30 of its components in the green. All 103 stocks in Britain's FTSE are in positive territory. Their collective strength has helped the index spike 4.9%. Banking issues are among its best performers overall. Meanwhile, the euro is up sharply against the greenback. It even recaptured the 1.30 mark against the dollar earlier, but it has since eased back a bit. The improved tone in Europe comes amid a pledge of 500 billion euros from European Union leaders and another 250 billion euros from the International Monetary Fund for eurozone countries that face financial uncertainty. Additionally, the European Central Bank will buy eurozone bonds from the secondary market and the Federal Reserve's has reactivated swap lines with foreign institutions. The news has also caused yields on riskier sovereign debt to contract sharply. In Asia, Japan's Nikkei climbed 1.6% amid broad-based buying. Fast Retailing was a primary source of strength. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng advanced 2.5%. HSBC (HBC) was a primary leader. Banking issues also provided support for the Shanghai Composite, but that index only advanced 0.4%

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +49.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +77.00. A pledge of 500 billion euros from European Union leaders and another 250 billion euros from the International Monetary Fund for eurozone countries that face financial failure has caused yields on sovereign debt from the likes of Greece and Portugal to contract sharply and equity bourses to rally across Europe. The efforts have been complemented by the decision of the European Central Bank to buy eurozone bonds from the secondary market and the Federal Reserve's reactivation of swap lines with foreign institutions. U.S. stock futures have followed the strong overseas gains, such that the S&P 500 points to an opening gain of more than 4%. Meanwhile, the dollar is down a sharp 1.3% against a basket of foreign currencies as the euro rallies.

06:29 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +46.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +79.00.

06:29 am : Nikkei...10530.70...+166.10...+1.60%. Hang Seng...20426.64...+506.40...+2.50%.

06:29 am : FTSE...5370.41...+247.30...+4.90%. DAX...5962.41...+247.70...+4.30%.

Special thanks to Yahoo! Finance and CNNMoney for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

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