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 Post subject: April 19th Monday 2010 Emini TF points - NO TRADES TODAY
PostPosted: Tue Apr 20, 2010 1:00 pm 
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Trade Journal By M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)

Trade journals are crucial in preventing us traders from becoming complacent or content with our trading plan or the markets because without having the ability to review archives of past trading days in a forever changing market...we won't know it's time to adapt when change occurs in the markets because broker statements alone doesn't help us keep that edge in comparison to a trade journal. In addition, although this journal contains advertisements involving my trade methods, it does contain useful trading tips a few times per week. Thus, if you're looking for trading tips that can improve your trading and understand that profitable trading involves more than just entry signals...consistently read this trade journal and the #FuturesTrades chat room logs where I post my trades in real-time from entry to exit (see link below) via my IRC user name wrbtrader that's the same as my user name on twitter.

Today's #FuturesTrades chat room logs is archived @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ftchat/forum/viewtopic.php?f=73&t=499.

Quote:
No Trades Today. Family members got sick over the weekend (gastro or stomach flu) and I had to take care of the kids on Monday along with not getting any sleep Sunday night.

Trading Tip: Trading weeks that are heavy with earnings announcements are usually a good week of volatility and good trade opportunities (source - Intraday Tendencies Report).


FYI - You can ask me questions here at the forum or you can tweet me on twitter about anything related to today's trading or related to your own trading.

Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader


In addition, posted below are direct links about my trade methodology or trading approach that enables me to identify key trading areas in the price action that represent changes in supply/demand and volatility along with being able to exploit these changes via WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis).

http://www.thestrategylab.com/WRBAnalysisTutorials.htm

http://www.thestrategylab.com/TradeStrategies.htm

Also, if you're interested in having free access to one of my profitable trade strategies along with earning extra income with little effort...join my referral program @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/ReferralProgram.htm

My Trading Performance: No Trades Today in the ICE Russell 2000 Emini TF ($TF_F) Futures

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Dow Pulls Out A Gain
By Alexandra Twin, senior writer
April 19, 2010: 6:16 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks ended mostly higher Monday as investors set aside some worries about the fallout from Goldman Sachs and scooped up financial, consumer and energy stocks.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) added 73 points, or 0.6%, after having been down by as much as 41 points earlier. The S&P 500 index (SPX) gained 5 points, or 0.5%. The Nasdaq composite (COMP) ended just below unchanged.

Stocks seesawed through the afternoon as enthusiasm about Citigroup's strong profit report vied with the fallout from Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500)' fraud charge last week.

Late in trading a published report said the SEC voted narrowly to approve the charges against Goldman, a signal that the case might not be as strong as some in the industry feared. The company reports quarterly results Tuesday.

Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500) gained 1.6% and the KBW Bank (BKX) sector index rose 1%. Citigroup shares gained 7% following its profit report.

A better-than-expected reading on leading economic indicators was also in play, while the strong dollar hurt commodity shares.

A recovery in financials near the close helped the Dow and S&P 500 end with gains and the Nasdaq cut losses.

Energy, metal and mining shares ended mixed after falling through the afternoon in tune with commodity prices. Prices fell on the stronger dollar and concerns about the spread of ash from a volcano in Iceland. Airline stocks fell as most European airports remained closed. The Amex Airline index lost 2.2%.

After the close, IBM (IBM, Fortune 500) posted higher quarterly sales and earnings that topped estimates and also boosted its full-year 2010 earnings forecast. Shares fell 2% in extended-hours trading after rising 1% during the session.
IBM earnings jump 13%

The declines last Friday fell at the end of an otherwise upbeat period on Wall Street. The Dow and Nasdaq have risen for eight of the last nine weeks and the S&P 500 for seven of the last nine weeks. Last week, the Dow and S&P 500 moved just below 18-month highs, while the Nasdaq reached a near 22-month high.

Following such a run, stocks could be in for a bigger retreat, said Liz Miller, founder of Summit Place Financial Advisors.

"I certainly think a pullback is expected and would be reasonable here, but as I look out longer term, I can see the market higher," Miller said.

"The Dow is at an 18-month high and we have a number of areas that have rebounded to those levels, corporate profits are increasing and we're still in a low-interest rate environment," she said. "These factors should continue to move the market higher."

Citigroup: Citigroup reported quarterly profit that trounced Wall Street estimates, earning $4.4 billion or 15 cents per share, versus a loss a year ago. Analysts thought Citi would report break even in the quarter, according to a survey by tracker Thomson Reuters. Citi shares gained 7%.

The quarter was driven by higher trading revenue, particularly in the company's bond business. But Citi's CEO warned that the company remains cautious on its outlook, given the uncertain economic recovery.

Roughly 25% of the S&P 500 or 123 companies are due to report results this week, including 11 Dow components. Earnings are currently on track to have risen 41% from a year ago, according to Thomson Reuters. Revenues are on track to have climbed 11% from a year ago.

Economy: The index of leading economic indicators (LEI) rose 1.4% in March after climbing a revised 0.4% in the previous month, according to a Conference Board report released Monday. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com thought the March increase would be 1.1%.

Toyota: Toyota will pay a record $16.4 million fine for waiting months to notify the Department of Transformation about a pedal defect that led to the recall of more than 8 million autos. Shares eased 0.4%.

World markets: In overseas trading, European markets fell, with London's FTSE down 0.3%, France's CAC 40 down 0.4% and Germany's DAX down 0.3%. Asian markets tumbled, with Hong Kong's Hang Seng index down 2.1% and Japan's Nikkei down 1.7%.

Bonds: Treasury prices slipped, raising the yield on the 10-year note to 3.81% from 3.77% late Friday. The 10-year yield had risen as high as 4% a week ago, an 18-month peak. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.

The dollar and commodities: The dollar gained versus the euro and the yen.

COMEX gold for June delivery fell $1.10 to settle at $1,135.80 per ounce.

U.S. light crude oil for May delivery slid $1.79 to settle at $81.45 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Market breadth was negative. On the New York Stock Exchange, losers beat winners eight to seven on volume of nearly 1.27 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, decliners beat advancers eight to five on volume of 2.16 billion shares.

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Yahoo! Finance

4:30 pm : Financial stocks were whipsawed to a strong gain that helped the broader market recover from a modest loss to make a strong finish.

Early gains were quickly challenged as participants reapplied pressure to financial shares. That sent the financial sector from a gain of more than 1% down to a loss of nearly 1% at its session low. However, the sector was able to stage a rebound amid news that an SEC decision to press on with charges of fraud against Goldman Sachs (GS 163.32, +2.62) was only secured with a 3-to-2 vote, which suggested that the case might not be so strong. Shares of GS finished near their session high, while the broader financial sector settled with a 1.1% gain.

Citigroup (C 4.88, +0.32) recouped all of its losses from the prior session with a 7.0% surge. The move followed better-than-expected earnings.

While renewed strength in the financial sector provided a necessary lift to the broader market, technicals played a part, too. As such, support surfaced for the S&P 500 around 1186 and the Dow brought in buyers when it breached 11,000.

Most of the better performing blue chips in the Dow were buoyed by anticipation for their earnings. IBM (IBM 132.23, +1.60), Coca-Cola (KO 55.32, +0.35), and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 66.03, +1.01) were atop the list.

A pullback by the greenback boosted the afternoon bid. The buck settled with a gain of less than 0.2% against competing currencies.

Despite the dollar's diminished strength, commodities succumbed to selling. That left the CRB Commodity Index to fall 1.1%. Oil prices were pushed 2.2% lower to close pit trade at $81.45 per barrel. That marked the third straight loss for crude oil prices.

Trading volume was strong this session. In fact, with nearly 1.3 billion shares trading hands on the NYSE this session, it was one of the most actively traded non-options expiration sessions this year.

Advancing Sectors: Financials (+1.1%), Telecom (+1.1%), Health Care (+0.8%), Consumer Staples (+0.4%), Consumer Discretionary (+0.3%), Materials (0.2%), Tech (+0.2%), Utilities (+0.2%), Energy (+0.2%)
Declining Sectors: (None)
Unchanged: Industrials DJ30 +73.39 NASDAQ -1.15 NQ100 +0.00% R2K -0.5% SP400 -0.3% SP500 +5.39 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1009/2.15 bln/1672 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1324/1.26 bln/1681

3:35 pm : Commodities were weak this session as the dollar index rallied amid sovereign concerns which took the euro lower.

Energy commodities lost 1.7%. Crude oil ended lower for the third straight session. After bouncing off the $80.50 level in the early morning, May crude oil closed 2.2% lower at $81.45 per barrel. May natural gas sold off soon after the open and closed 2.2% lower at $3.95 per MMBtu. Gold and silver futures were down about 1% heading into the open of the pit trade.

Both precious metals worked their way back to the flat line as the dollar tempered its move to the upside. May gold closed down marginally at $1135.20 per ounce. May silver closed 0.3% higher at $17.73 per ounce. DJ30 +67.11 NASDAQ -4.63 SP500 +3.75 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 973/1.82 bln/1700 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1186/966 mln/1810

3:00 pm : The stock market ran into a bit of upside resistance at the neutral line, but renewed leadership from financial stocks has helped drive the broader market back into higher ground.

Financials have swung sharply back into positive territory to trade with a 0.6% gain amid news that in a 3-to-2 vote the SEC has decided to follow through with its charges against Goldman Sachs (GS 161.97, +1.27). Given that the decision by the SEC was not unanimous, some believe that its case may not be so strong.

Meanwhile, Treasuries have turned lower, such that the benchmark 10-year Note is now down nearly 10 ticks. DJ30 +68.47 NASDAQ -7.62 SP500 +2.27 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1007/1.65 bln/1656 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1187/880 mln/1797

2:30 pm : All three major indices recently broke free from their recent range-bound trade to advance to afternoon highs. Though they are still well off of their session highs, the Dow now sports a solid gain and the S&P 500 is close to the neutral line.

Telecom continues to trade with the strongest gain of any major sector. It is now up 1.1%. Still, telecom stocks remain in the worst shape so far this year since they are down 5.4% year-to-date. DJ30 +29.55 NASDAQ -14.77 SP500 -0.82 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 744/1.51 bln/1925 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 850/790 mln/2110

2:00 pm : Stocks in the broader market continue to chop along in a narrow range with modest losses. The inaction has made for rather dull theater.

As this session wanes and lackluster trade persists, participants have started to look at the lineup for the latest in major corporate earnings announcements. Scheduled to report after this session's close, IBM (IBM 131.51, +0.88) is first on the list. Tomorrow morning brings Coca-Cola (KO 55.01, +0.04), Goldman Sachs (GS 158.75, -1.95), and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 65.81, +0.79). DJ30 -15.04 NASDAQ -26.50 SP500 -6.63 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 637/1.38 bln/2004 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 662/732 mln/2313

1:30 pm : Small-caps and mid-caps have been out of favor for this entire session. Such persistent weakness has left the Russell 2000 to trade with a 1.3% loss, while the S&P 400 is down 1.0%.

Meanwhile, the broader market continues to chop along in negative territory with a modest loss, but the Dow has made its way back to the unchanged mark. DJ30 -3.09 NASDAQ -23.72 SP500 -4.83 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 660/1.26 bln/1967 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 739/680 mln/2232

1:00 pm : The major indices made their way to modest gains in the early going, but sellers have since stepped in to apply some pressure.

Leadership from the financial sector helped give the broader market some support in the early going. The sector's strength came as participants picked up some of the names that were beaten down during the selloff that Goldman Sachs (GS 159.27, -1.43) led this past Friday. Financials failed to sustain those early gains, though; the sector is now down 0.2% after it had been up more than 1%.

Large-cap tech has also come under pressure. Such weakness has left the Nasdaq to lag its counterparts considerably.

Citigroup (C 4.72, +0.16) and IBM (IBM 131.30, +0.67) have been exceptions to the action among financials and tech issues. Citi has attracted support after it posted this morning better-than-expected profits. IBM is on deck to report earnings after the close.

Still, without leadership from the broader tech and financial sectors, respectively the two largest by market weight, the S&P 500 and the Nasadaq Composite fell through the lows that were registered during the prior session's selloff. They have since recovered a bit. Meanwhile, the Dow has been relatively sturdy as buyers show support for the blue chip index near 11,000.

Volatility has made another spike this session, such that the Volatility Index is up 5.2% at the moment.

Despite the pickup in volatility and varied losses throughout the broader equity market, Treasuries haven't found any real interest to speak of. Instead, the benchmark 10-year Note remains a few ticks in the red.

Commodities have also been out of favor this session. That has left the CRB Commodity Index to contend with a 1.1% loss. DJ30 -2.57 NASDAQ -21.25 SP500 -4.34 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 710/1.16 bln/1923 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 737/637 mln/2225

12:30 pm : The broader market continues to trade with a modest loss, but the Amex Airline Index is down a sharp 2.7%. Its weakness comes as many carriers have to ground flights due to ash-polluted skies over Europe. Of the 13 members listed in the Amex Airline Index, Southwest Airlines (LUV 13.52, +0.14) is the only one to sport a gain. Its strength is largely owed to an upgrade by analysts at JPMorgan.

Volatility has picked back up. The Volatility Index had spiked more than 3% in the early going, then pulled back to the unchanged mark as stocks staged an upturn, but it has since spiked to trade with a 6.1% gain as stocks trade near session lows. DJ30 -20.17 NASDAQ -24.60 SP500 -6.16 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 652/1.05 bln/1971 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 661/585 mln/2274

12:00 pm : Stocks recently slipped another leg lower, but the move has lost momentum as the S&P 500 garners support near 1186. Though stocks are steady for the moment, they are below the low that was registered during this past Friday's selloff.

The latest flurry of selling pressure has been broad based, but telecom stocks (+0.7%) and health care stocks (+0.5%) continue to sport healthy gains. Weakness has been most pronounced among materials stocks, though; the sector is down 1.4%. DJ30 -23.80 NASDAQ -23.31 SP500 -5.93 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 719/886 mln/1882 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 687/506 mln/2236

11:30 am : Financial stocks were up as much as 1.3% this morning, but the sector has since come down so that it now trades with just a 0.2% gain. Its pullback comes as investment banks and brokerages (-0.5%), regional banks (-0.5%), and diversified banks (unch.) fail to sustain the strength that they had exhibited during the early going.

Meanwhile, defensive-oriented telecom stocks and health care stocks have managed to remain in higher ground. The two sectors are up 0.7% and 0.6%, respectively. Strength in the former sector has been underpinned by both integrated telecom plays (+0.7%) and wireless services stocks (+0.5%), while the former group has been helped by managed care plays (+2.6%). DJ30 +5.60 NASDAQ -10.13 SP500 -1.30 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 990/748 mln/1568 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 979/438 mln/1894

11:00 am : The Dow and Nasdaq have given up their modest gains and are now back at the unchanged mark. Meanwhile, the Nasdsaq has retreated to a modest loss as large-cap tech comes under pressure -- Cisco (CSCO 26.78, -0.20), Apple (AAPL 245.62, -1.78), and Intel (INTC 23.73, -0.19) are primary sources of weakness.

Despite relative weakness among many large-cap tech plays, IBM (IBM 131.32, +0.69) has held steady to a solid gain. The stock's strength comes ahead of the company's latest earnings report, which is expected to be delivered after the close. Wall Street's consensus calls for Big Blue to post a profit of $1.93 per share. DJ30 +7.71 NASDAQ -6.99 SP500 -0.52 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1072/596 mln/1447 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1091/366 mln/1732

10:30 am : The greenback has given up some of its gains, such that it now trades with a modest 0.2% gain after it was up 0.5% against competing currencies at its session high.

The dollar's downward drift has eased some of the pressure against precious metals, which were down markedly in early pit trade. However, gold prices are now virtually unchanged at $1136.40 per ounce, while silver prices now sport a 0.3% gain at $17.74 per ounce.

As for the energy complex, natural gas prices are flat at $4.04 per MMBtu, while oil prices failed to sustain an upward move and are back down to a 2.3% loss at $81.40 per barrel. DJ30 +10.43 NASDAQ -2.28 SP500 +1.70 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1139/450 mln/1324 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1201/293 mln/1555

10:00 am : Stocks seemed to have a rather difficult time finding their direction during the first few minutes of trade, but leadership from the financial sector has since lifted the broader market to a modest gain. Financials are now up 0.7% as participants scoop up names in the sector after Goldman Sachs (GS 159.97, -0.73) led a selloff in the sector this past Friday.

Meanwhile, energy stocks have managed to recoup losses. The sector is now down just 0.2% as oil prices come up from their morning lows. Oil is now down 1.8% at $81.75 per barrel.

Just released, leading indicators for March showed an increase of 1.4%, which is stronger than the 1.1% rise that had been expected. The prior month's data was revised upward to show an increase of 0.4%.

Early movers: Trading up -- CRN +31.9%, VALU +19.7%, ACAS +12.4%, DMLP +10.8%, ENCO +7%, MIPI +6.6%, CADX +6.2%; Trading down -- RNN -20.8%, LION -12.2%, ZN -11.9%, TNE -10.3%, SBCF -9.1%, WWIN -8.3%, PRVT -7.9%, PALM -7.9%

Advancing Sectors: Financials (+0.7%), Telecom (+0.7%), Tech (+0.3%), Consumer Discretionary (+0.3%), Health Care (+0.2%)
Declining Sectors: Materials (-0.2%), Energy (-0.2%), Consumer Staples (-0.1%)
Unchanged: Utilities, Industirals DJ30 +32.80 NASDAQ +5.17 SP500 +2.40 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1085/285 mln/1320 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1152/210 mln/1561

09:45 am : Stocks initially reversed their opening losses as financials and tech plays garnered modest support, but the broader market has since faltered to trade in mixed fashion. Tech (+0.1%) and financials (+0.2%) continue to provide a modest element of support, though.

Natural resource plays are under relatively stiff pressure at the moment. More specifically, energy stocks are down 0.7%, collectively, as oil prices push 2.5% lower to $81.15 per barrel, while materials stocks are down a collective 0.5% as steel stocks (-1.3%) and shares of diversified metals and miners (-1.3%) fall out of favor.

Amid this morning's action, volatility has made another sharp, upward spike that has taken the Volatility Index up 3.6%. DJ30 +3.71 NASDAQ -1.64 SP500 -0.87 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 782/161 mln/1528 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 781/142 mln/1877

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -5.80. Concern about potential fallout from the SEC's charges against Goldman Sachs (GS) or an extension of similar charges to other firms has kept buyers away from many financials this morning, regardless of better-than-expected earnings from Citigroup (C).

Strong numbers from Haliburton (HAL) haven't done anything to help energy plays since oil prices have pushed down to their lowest level of this month -- oil was last quoted at $80.90 per barrel, down 2.8% and near its 20-day moving average of roughly $80.80 per barrel.

Those themes have imbued the broader market with weakness this morning, as has a stronger dollar, up 0.5%, and steep losses throughout Asia, where China's government continues its efforts to cool real estate speculation.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -4.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -5.80. Oil prices have extended their slide from last week so that crude oil is down 2.9% to $80.85 per barrel in the first few minutes of pit trade. However, natural gas prices have held on to their recent gains, such that the commodity is up fractionally at $4.04 per MMBtu.

As for precious metals, both gold prices and silver prices are down. As for gold, the yellow metal was recent quoted 0.4% lower at $1132 per ounce. Silver was last seen at $17.62 per ounce, down 0.3%. A stronger dollar certainly hasn't helped the prospects of precious metals this morning; the buck is currently up 0.5% against a basket of foreign currencies.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -4.70. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -6.50. Losses in Europe are broad, but the steepness of the slide has been less than severe since the major bourses there digested last week news that the SEC has charged Goldman Sachs (GS) with fraud related to subprime securities. Concern that similar charges will hit Deutsche Bank (DB) have the German outfit under continued pressure and Germany's DAX down 0.4%. Financial issues have also weakened France's CAC, which is off by 0.7%. Axa (AXA), BNP Paribas, and Societe Generale are leading losses. Britain's FTSE currently contends with a 0.7% loss. HSBC (HBC) and Barclays (BCS) are down sharply, but Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) has managed to stage a gain.

China's Shanghai Composite plunged 4.8% to lead Asian markets sharply lower over night. The selling effort was partly attributable to Wall Street's slide this past Friday, but also to additional steps by China's government to further curb speculation in its property market. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng shed 2.1%. Its banking stocks and property stocks tumbled. As such, shares China Resources Land and China Overseas Land both fell to near two-month closing lows. In Japan, the Nikkei fell 1.7% as more than 90% of its components logged losses. Fanuc LTD, Kyocera (KYO), and Canon (CAJ) were key laggards. Financial players Mitsubishi UFJ (MTU) and Mizuho Financial (MFG) were also exceptionally weak.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.90. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -7.00. Last week closed out on a weak note as participants opted to take profits following news that the SEC has charged Goldman Sachs (GS) with fraud related to subrpime securities. Since then, The Wall Street Journal reported that the SEC is investigating whether other deals arranged by Wall Street firms misled investors. The news has cast a pall over premarket trade.

A stronger dollar has also put pressure on stock futures; the buck is currently up 0.4% against competing currencies.

Participants await earnings results from Citigroup (C), which is the biggest name on this morning's earnings calendar. The economic calendar features the leading indicators report for March (10:00 AM ET).

06:45 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -4.80. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -9.50.

06:45 am : Nikkei...10908.77...-193.40...-1.70%. Hang Seng...21405.17...-460.10...-2.10%.

06:45 am : FTSE...5714.11...-29.90...-0.50%. DAX...6159.13...-20.80...-0.30%.

Special thanks to Yahoo! Finance and CNNMoney for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

Phone: +1 708 572-4885
Business Hours: 8am - 5pm est (Mon - Fri)
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