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 Post subject: April 15th Thursday 2010 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +3.00
PostPosted: Thu Apr 15, 2010 11:07 pm 
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Stocks Hang On To Gains
By Julianne Pepitone, staff reporter
April 15, 2010: 4:41 PM ET

NEW YORK ( -- Stocks ended positive Thursday to close a volatile session, as investors took the latest jobless claims report in stride and Google reported much better-than-expected earnings after the closing bell.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) added 21 points, or 0.2%, to close at 11,144.57. The S&P 500 index (SPX) gained 1 point, or 0.1%, to end at 1,211.67. The Nasdaq composite (COMP) was up 11 points, or 0.4%, to end at 2,515.69.

Stocks had sold off earlier in the session after the jobless claims report, which showed a surprise surge for the second week in a row. But the Labor Department attributed the jump to "technical" issues, including the Easter holiday. The indexes churned throughout the day.

"Holidays are always an issue, so the market will probably discount this [report] over time," said Fred Dickson, chief market strategist at D.A. Davidson & Co. "Of course, if next week shows another bad number, three weeks of downbeat data can't be explained away."

Stocks soared Wednesday on strong earnings and retail sales. The Dow and the S&P 500 both rose to their highest levels in more than 18 months, while the Nasdaq topped the 2,500 mark for the first time since June 2008.

"While these levels are mostly psychological, they're still road signs along the highway of a bull market," Dickson said.

Jobless claims: Labor Department's weekly jobless claims report said there were 484,000 new claims filed last week, up 24,000 from the previous week.

That was the highest level since the week ended Feb. 20 -- a disappointment to economists, who had expected new claims to fall to 440,000.

Companies: After the closing bell, Google (GOOG, Fortune 500) reported quarterly sales and profit that trumped expectations. The search giant's net income was $1.96 billion, or $6.06 per share, in the first quarter, up 38% $1.42 billion from the same period last year.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial expected only $6.60 per share. Google shares rose 1% in after-hours trade.
0:00 /2:53Bears call out stock market surge

"At this point in the year, the focus is really on earnings news," said Dickson. "With strong reports from JPMorgan (JPM, Fortune 500) and Intel (INTC, Fortune 500) earlier this week, more good data would be a really nice start to the earnings season."

UPS (UPS, Fortune 500) pre-reported its quarterly results late Wednesday. The parcel delivery service said earnings per share jumped 33% to 53 cents, compared to 40 cents in the first quarter of last year. Shares rose 5.2%.

Toyota (TM) said it is conducting safety tests on all of its sport utility vehicles after suspending worldwide sales of its Lexus GX 460 over rollover concerns.

After the bell, news reports said the Securities and Exchange Commission is investigating whether Hewlett-Packard executives paid nearly $11 million in bribes to secure a contract from a Russian official's office. Shares of HP (HP) fell 27 cents, or 0.5%, $54.25 in after-hours trade.

Economy: Government figures showed that capacity utilization increased to 73.2% in March from 72.7% the previous month, slightly missing analysts' expectations of a jump to 73.3%.

The Philadelphia Federal Reserve's regional manufacturing index jumped to 20.2 in April from 18.9 the previous month. Economists expected a reading of 20.

A report from RealtyTrac said there were more than 930,000 foreclosure filings in the first quarter of 2010, up 7% from the previous quarter and a whopping 16% jump from the year-earlier quarter.

Greece: Investors were also on edge as Greek bond yields spiked. Later this month, Athens plans to hold a sale of U.S.-dollar-denominated bonds, and analysts worry the demand could be smaller than anticipated.

The report revived lingering worries that Greece will require more aid to stave off a possible default, though concerns were tempered earlier this week after from European Union officials announced a plan to provide an additional $40 billion in low-cost loans for the debt-stricken nation. The International Monetary Fund agreed to kick in $13.5 billion.

But the outlook for Greece still remains fraught, and whenever the nation's plight is in the news, investors tend to punish the euro and other investments that are considered high risk.

"When the euro slips, that's not necessarily good news for U.S. markets," Dickson said. "The American stock market definitely looks to take a cue from European shares."

Outlook: Dickson said he expects a continued upward trend over the coming weeks, with some small dips scattered throughout.

"We haven't hit the speed limit on this rally, but we're getting close," Dickson said. "Any excuse for a pullback, like some downbeat earnings, could create speed bumps."

Dickson added that many investors and fund managers have cash on their books and are looking to step off the sidelines. With interest rates at continued lows, equities are an increasingly attractive place to plunk their cash, he said.

World markets: European shares ended slightly higher. The FTSE 100 in Britain, France's CAC 40 and Germany's DAX added a few points.

In Asia, Japan's Nikkei jumped 0.6% and the Hang Seng in Hong Kong rose 0.2%.

A report from China's National Statistics Bureau showed the nation's economy surged nearly 12% during the first quarter compared with a year earlier. China's gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic activity, was up 1.2% from the fourth quarter of 2009.

Currencies and commodities: The dollar was up versus the euro, but it fell against the British pound and Japanese yen.

The price of oil dipped 34 cents to settle at $85.50 a barrel. Gold prices added 70 cents to settle at $1,159.70 an ounce.

Bonds: Prices for U.S. Treasurys rose, with the yield on the 10-year note at 3.85%. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions.


Yahoo! Finance

4:30 pm : The stock market stretched its streak of gains to six even though interest among buyers cooled amid a mixed batch of headlines.

Better-than-expected earnings and an upside forecast from UPS (UPS 68.89, +3.44) after the prior session's close seemed to set the stage for continued gains in the early going. The report propelled UPS to its best single-session percentage gain in more than one year and pushed the Dow Jones Transportation Index up 1.7% to a new 52-week high. CSX (CSX 55.25, -0.21) lagged even though analysts at Deutsche Bank raised their target on the rail carrier.

The broader market had a hard time trading in a clear direction as bounces fleeted and retreats ran into technical support. Still, the stock market was able to eke out another gain, which made for the best streak of gains by the S&P 500 in one month.

Action was also a bit choppy in the Nasdaq Composite, but the tech rich index resisted efforts to retreat into the red. Its relative strength was rooted in continued interest in large-cap tech ahead of the latest results from Google (GOOG 595.30, +6.30).

The dollar acted as an occasional headwind this session. It settled nearly 0.4% higher against a basket of foreign currencies as the euro was pressured amid rekindled concerns about the ability of Greece to service its debt and word that the country has lowered expectations for the amount it hopes to raise from a global dollar bond at the end of this month.

Rather than cheer China's torrid 11.9% increase in first quarter GDP, many market watchers in Asia grew increasingly concerned about the prospect of tighter monetary policy in the country, regardless of some cooler-than-expected inflationary data.

Stateside data proved mixed. Weekly initial jobless claims were up more than expected to 484,000, while continuing claims climbed to a worse-than-expected 4.64 million.

Industrial production during March increased a much smaller-than-expected 0.1%, while at 73.2% capacity utilization was generally in-line with what had been expected.

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey hit a five-month high of 31.9 and the Philadelphia Fed Survey for April came in at 20.2 to beat the consensus estimate.

Trading volume was strong this session. In fact, with nearly 1.2 billion shares traded on the NYSE this session, volume on the big board surpassed its 200-day moving average for the first time since a quadruple witching options session nearly one month ago. Monthly options are set to expire tomorrow, so trading volume could see another spike in the week's final session.

Participants can also look forward to results from Bank of America (BAC 19.48, +0.08) and the latest housing start figures and building permit numbers Friday. The preliminary reading on consumer sentiment for April from the University of Michigan is also due tomorrow.

Advancing Sectors: Industrials (+0.9%), Tech (+0.5%), Consumer Discretionary (+0.4%)
Declining Sectors: Financials (-0.5%), Consumer Staples (-0.3%), Health Care (-0.3%), Telecom (-0.2%), Utilities (-0.2%)
Unchanged: Materials, Energy DJ30 +21.46 NASDAQ +10.83 NQ100 +0.5% R2K +0.3% SP400 -0.1% SP500 +1.02 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1537/2.76 bln/1145 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1449/1.20 bln/1549

3:30 pm : A stronger dollar acted as a headwind against commodities this session. That made for mixed trade, which culminated with a 0.1% loss for the CRB Commodity Index.

Precious metals finished fractionally higher after they recouped overnight losses. Gold prices closed pit trade at $1160.30 per ounce and silver settled at $18.43 per ounce.

Oil prices moved sideways for most of the afternoon. It closed with a 0.4% loss at $85.51 per barrel.

Natural gas was a standout, but for the wrong reason. It closed with a 4.9% loss just below $4.00 per MMBtu as sellers steadily applied stiff pressure after weekly natural gas inventories showed a larger-than-expected build. DJ30 +12.92 NASDAQ +9.72 SP500 +0.36 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1543/2.28 bln/1156 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1507/806 mln/1529

3:00 pm : Stocks are still stuck in a tight range as the session's final hour of trade approaches. Despite the lackluster action, trading volume has been rather solid. Trading volume should see a strong spike tomorrow, when monthly options are set to expire. While heavier trading volume often reflects increased participation and more conviction among market participants, the expiration of options can blur that distinction.

Participants can also look forward to the latest housing start figures and building permit numbers Friday. The preliminary reading on consumer sentiment for April from the University of Michigan is also due tomorrow. DJ30 +24.56 NASDAQ +11.23 SP500 +2.17 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1507/2.12 bln/1169 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1509/745 mln/1512

2:30 pm : Stocks have started to trade sideways. That has made for rather uninteresting action. Still, the stock market is up for the sixth straight session.

UPS (UPS 69.54, +4.09) remains a primary leader in the broader market. The company's better-than-expected earnings and upside forecast have put it in position to post its best single-session percentage gain in more than one year. DJ30 +18.67 NASDAQ +10.91 SP500 +1.94 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1489/1.98 bln/1188 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1509/700 mln/1509

2:00 pm : Stocks are taking a breather after staging a modest bounce.

Treasuries remain static with the benchmark 10-year Note holding on to a handful of upticks. The yield on the Note is currently at 3.83%.

Volatility has pulled back in recent action, such that the Volatility Index now trades 1.2% higher for the session. It had been up as much as 5.8% earlier this session. DJ30 +16.85 NASDAQ +10.08 SP500 +1.97 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1434/1.85 bln/1219 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1476/670 mln/1495

1:30 pm : Stocks have fought their way back into higher ground after they spent the past hour mired in negative territory with slight losses. Up 1.1%, industrials continue to sport the best gains while the tech sector follows with a 0.5% gain of its own.

Consumer discretionary stocks have suddenly come into favor. The sector is now up 0.5% as Yum! Brands (YUM 42.99, +1.31) holds steady to its gain, which has been supported by upside earnings results for the company's latest quarter. DJ30 +20.48 NASDAQ +10.72 SP500 +2.28 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1455/1.73 bln/1184 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1485/622 mln/1468

1:00 pm : Stocks worked their way through some mixed headlines to modest gains in the early going, but pressure has since picked up to give the broader market a slight loss.

Participants initially failed to extend gains from the prior session advance into trade this morning as concerns about the ability of Greece to service its debt and news that the country has lowered expectations for the amount it hopes to raise from a global dollar bond at the end of this month sent yield spreads on Greece's debt higher. The developments also pressured the euro and propped up the dollar.

Trade was also lackluster in Europe, as well as in Asia, where news of a torrid 11.9% increase in China's first quarter GDP fed concerns about tighter monetary policy in the face of some cooler-than-expected inflationary data.

The latest dose of U.S. data proved mixed as both weekly initial jobless claims and continuing claims were worse than expected at 484,000 and 4.64 million, respectively.

Meanwhile, industrial production for March increased a smaller-than-expected 0.1%, while capacity utilization was in-line at 73.2%.

On the positive side of things, the Empire State Manufacturing Survey hit a five-month high of 31.9 and the Philadelphia Fed Survey for April came in at 20.2. Both beat the respective consensus estimate.

Despite a mixed start stocks were able to garner support and push into positive territory, where the major averages set fractionally improved 52-week highs. Industrials have been a primary source of strength, thanks to leadership from UPS (UPS 69.42, +3.97) and FedEx (FDX 96.12, +2.11). UPS won favor for the pair with better-than-expected bottom line results and an increased outlook. The industrial sector currently sports a 0.9% gain.

However, some buyers began to step to the sidelines and left the broader market to slip from its midmorning advance. The downturn steadied slightly below the neutral line, but stocks have struggled to get back into the green.

The muddled action has put Citigroup (C 4.90, -0.03) back below the $5 per share mark, which is cited as the minimum for some funds to invest in a stock.

Tech remains relatively strong, though. Continued support for large-cap tech issues has helped keep the Nasdaq in positive territory with a modest gain. DJ30 +0.98 NASDAQ +6.88 SP500 -0.06 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1384/1.61 bln/1239 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1379/585 mln/1573

12:30 pm : The Dow and S&P 500 recently tried to turn positive, but they were rebuffed at the neutral line, which had actually acted as a brief source of support during the stock market's pullback. Though the two indices have been mired in the red, their overall losses remain minimal.

Large-cap tech has helped keep the Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100 in higher ground, however. Apple (AAPL 247.36, +1.67), Intel (INTC 24.16, +2.71), and Google (GOOG 595.15, +6.15) are primary leaders in the space. DJ30 -9.75 NASDAQ +4.26 SP500 -1.12 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1294/1.47 bln/1324 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1278/535 mln/1676

12:00 pm : The Dollar Index is on the climb. It is now up 0.5%, which is just shy of its session high. Rekindled strength in the dollar has exacerbated the stock market's recent slide, which has left the Dow and S&P 500 in negative territory with a slight loss.

The greenback's gain has also added pressure to commodities, which are now down a collective 0.4%, according to the CRB Commodity Index. Natural gas prices remain especially weak in the wake of a larger-than-expected inventory build; the commodity was last quoted at $4.03 per MMBtu, down 4.1%.

Volatility has increased in recent action. In turn, the Volatility Index is now up 2.5%. It is still down more than 26% year-to-date, though. DJ30 -12.40 NASDAQ +3.95 SP500 -1.13 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1283/1.33 bln/1325 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1252/481 mln/1673

11:30 am : Stocks have fallen under a sudden flurry of selling activity, such that the stock market is back to the unchanged mark. However, there is near-term support there for the S&P 500.

The retreat among stocks has helped Treasuries move a few ticks higher, though their strength remains moderate at best. DJ30 -9.37 NASDAQ +6.66 SP500 -0.23 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1312/1.17 bln/1237 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1341/414 mln/1565

11:00 am : Stocks have reversed their early losses so that they now sport modest gains. The move has put stocks at fractionally improved 52-week highs.

Citigroup (C 5.05, +0.12) has extended its spike from the prior session, but hasn't quite made it back to its 52-week high, which was set in August 2009. However, the stock has come into closer focus now that it has eclipsed the $5 per share mark, which is the minimum for some funds to invest in a stock. That means that shares of C could attract an expanded pool of buyers. The stock currently tops the list of most actively traded names by volume in the S&P 500. DJ30 +6.42 NASDAQ +10.65 SP500 +2.63 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1404/940 mln/1104 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1527/332 mln/1321

10:30 am : The US Dollar Index has slowly trended lower after hitting session highs earlier hits morning. Currently, the dollar index is 0.5% higher at 80.56.

After hitting overnight highs of $86.27 per barrel, May crude oil went on a sharp downtrend, falling into negative territory and to morning lows of $85.32 per barrel. The energy component quickly reversed off that low, and after choppy trade it is just above the flat line at $85.94 per barrel.

May natural gas traded in the red for most of today's session. Lows of $4.13 per MMBtu were hit earlier this morning, but natural gas moved into an uptrend from those levels. Ahead of this morning's inventory data, which was calling for a build of 81 bcf, the energy component was near the flat line at $4.21 per MMBtu. Following the data, which showed a build of 87 bcf, natural gas fell sharply to fresh session lows of $4.10 per MMBtu and is now near those lows at $4.13 per MMBtu down 1.5%

June gold is weak this morning and has traded in the red all session so far, due to the strength in the dollar index. Gold hit lows of $1150.70 per ounce around 8:30ET, but has since regained a portion of its losses and is now trading at $1156.40 per ounce, down 0.2%. May silver hit lows of $18.23 per ounce around the same time gold did, but quickly moved off those lows and is now back near the unchanged line at $18.42 per ounce. DJ30 -4.84 NASDAQ +7.18 SP500 +0.49 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1297/685.5 mln/1145 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1374/252.3 mln/1406

10:00 am : Trade has been a bit choppy in the early going, but the S&P 500 has managed to remain just above near-term technical support near the 1207 to 1208 area. The Nasdaq Composite remains fractionally higher after it made an upward move shortly after the open -- the tech-rich index is currently led by Intel (INTC 23.95, +0.43), which has added to its outsized gains from the prior session.

Just released, the Philadelphia Fed Survey for April came in at 20.2, which is essentially in step with the 20.0 that had been expected, but up from the 18.9 that was posted for March.

Advancing Sectors: Industrials (+0.6%), Tech (+0.1%)
Declining Sectors: Utilities (-0.5%), Consumer Staples (-0.5%), Telecom (-0.4%), Materials (-0.3%), Financials (-0.3%), Health Care (-0.3%), Energy (-0.1%)
Unchanged: Consumer Discretionary DJ30 -20.78 NASDAQ +2.29 SP500 -1.53 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1062/419 mln/1254 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1086/162 mln/1620

09:45 am : Stocks are generally mixed in the first few minutes of trade, but as a group industrials have jumped out to a 0.6% gain. The sector's move has been led by UPS (UPS 69.40, +3.95), which posted after the prior session's close upbeat earnings and led the courier to raise its forecast. Company peer FedEx (FDX 97.34, +3.33) is up sharply in conjunction.

Consumer staples stocks are weak for the second straight session. The sector is down 0.6% at the moment. General Mills (GIS 70.25, -0.62) and Dean Foods (DF 16.74, -0.15) are laggards in the pack. DJ30 -19.58 NASDAQ +1.66 SP500 -1.22 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1000/312 mln/1251 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1057/129 mln/1597

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.40. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -3.50. Stocks finished the prior session in strong fashion, but carryover has been stymied by concern that getting any kind of financial aid to Greece could prove difficult. That consideration has driven down the euro and contributed to lackluster trade in Europe, but boosted the buck to a marked gain. Mixed trade also guided Asia's major market averages. News that China's economy expanded at a torrid 11.9% clip has only fed concerns that tighter monetary policy may be in the making, though inflation in the country proved to be a bit cooler than expected. Many of those headlines have overshadowed better-than-expected results from UPS (UPS) and Yum! Brands (YUM). There has also been some less-than-desirable U.S. data this morning. Specifically, the latest weekly jobless claims count and continuing claims count both proved worse than expected. Just released, industrial production for March increased a smaller-than-expected 0.1%, while capacity utilization was in-line at 73.2%. There was a slight positive in the Empire State Manufacturing Survey, which hit a five-month high of 31.9.

09:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -2.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -3.50. U.S. stock futures remain under moderate pressure. Meanwhile, action is lackluster in Europe, where Germany's DAX is flat as its 30 components trade in near perfect balance across gainers and decliners. France's CAC is also flat, though Total (TOT) has put together a strong gain. British energy giant BP PLC (BP) is also strong, thanks partly to an upgrade by analysts at Credit Suisse. Barclays (BCS) and HSBC (HBC) have also helped support Britain's FTSE, which is up 0.2% at the moment. Metals plays Rio Tinto (RTP) and BHP Billiton (BHP) have hampered trade, however.

As for the continent's chief currency, the euro, it is down markedly against the dollar. Its weakness stems largely from renewed concerns about the ability of Greece to service its debt. The country's prospects for doing so seem to have dwindled a bit given that Dow Jones reported that Greece has lowered expectations on the amount it hopes to raise from a global dollar bond at the end of this month. Select yield spreads relative to the Greek 10-year Note have widened amid the news items.

In Asia, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index gained 0.7% and Japan's Nikkei added 0.6%. Kawasaki Heavy climbed considerably in the wake of a report that the Vietnamese cabinet has approved plans to construct a high-speed rail line connecting the northern and southern parts of the country by using Japan's bullet train. TDK was a primary leader on the Nikkei as it put together its best single-session percentage advance in one month. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng settled just 0.2% higher. HSBC had a healthy gain, though. Its strength was underpinned by strong results from JPMorgan Chase (JPM). Chinese lenders and developers were weak, however. Mainland China's Shanghai Composite finished flat as concerns about tighter monetary policy were rekindled by the country's first quarter GDP growth of 11.9% year-over-year. That overshadowed cooler-than-expected CPI of 2.4% and PPI of 5.9%.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -5.50. Stock futures have slid a bit following the latest weekly jobless claims tally. Initial jobless claims for the week ended Apr. 10 were up 24,000 from the prior week to 484,000, which is worse than the 440,000 claims that had been expected. The latest continuing claims count climbed 73,000 from the prior week to 4.64 million, which is higher than the 4.58 million continuing claims that many had come to expect. Separately, the Empire State Manufacturing Survey for April came in at 31.9, which topped the reading of 24.0 that was widely expected and was the best reading since October.

08:00 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -5.50. The positive tone that dominated trade in the prior session has faded a bit this morning. As such, stock futures currently lag fair value by a modest margin. An upward push by the dollar hasn't helped the mood of premarket participants; the buck is currently up 0.6% against competing currencies. Most of the greenback's gain has come against the euro, which has been pressured amid rekindled concerns about Greece's debt servicing ability. Such concern was made evident by news from The Wall Street Journal that the Greek-German 10-year bond yield spread has sprinted past 400 basis points. Earnings continue to impress. UPS (UPS) announced that it brought in first quarter earnings of $0.71 per share, which exceeded with ease the consensus estimate of $0.58 per share. The beat led the company to raise its earnings forecast for fiscal 2010. J.B. Hunt (JBHT) topped expectations when it posted earnings of $0.29 per share. Yum! Brands (YUM) also beat the Street forecast when it announced adjusted earnings of $0.59 per share. There's another heavy dose of data on tap for today. Due at the bottom of the hour is the latest weekly jobless claims tally and the Empire State Manufacturing Survey for April, followed by Treasury International Capital (TIC) Flows for February at 9:00 AM ET, then March industrial production and capacity utilization rates at 9:15 AM ET. The Philadelphia Fed Index for April comes after the open at 10:00 AM ET. The day is also peppered with commentary from various Fed speakers.

06:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -5.50.

06:35 am : Nikkei...11273.79...+68.90...+0.60%. Hang Seng...22157.82...+36.40...+0.20%.

06:35 am : FTSE...5794.56...-1.60...0.00. DAX...6271.36...-7.10...-0.10%.

Special thanks to Yahoo! Finance and CNNMoney for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)
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