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 Post subject: April 13th Tuesday 2010 Emini TF ($TF_F) points +3.90
PostPosted: Wed Apr 14, 2010 9:39 am 
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Dow Ekes Out Another 18-Month High
By Alexandra Twin, senior writer
April 13, 2010: 8:08 PM ET

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks scratched out slim gains Tuesday, pushing the Dow and S&P 500 to fresh 18-month highs and the Nasdaq to the highest point in almost two years, as economic optimism again lifted equities.

The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) added 13 points, or 0.1%, ending at 11,019.42, the highest point since Sept. 26, 2008. The S&P 500 index (SPX) was little changed, but nonetheless managed to end at a fresh 18-month high. The Nasdaq composite (COMP) added 8 points, or 0.3%, ending at a new 22-month high.

After the close, Intel (INTC, Fortune 500) reported higher quarterly sales and earnings that topped expectations, kicking off the tech sector earnings on a positive note. Shares gained nearly 4% after the close.

Select stocks led the mild advance, with consumer and other economically sensitive shares rising. Home Depot (HD, Fortune 500), McDonald's (MCD, Fortune 500), 3M (MMM, Fortune 500) and General Electric (GE, Fortune 500) were among the Dow's bigger gainers.

But any advance was limited by weakness in financial shares, with the KBW Bank (BKX) index losing 1.1%. Alcoa shares were down 3%, and commodity prices and shares slipped.

The Dow first closed above 11,000 Monday after European leaders made $40 billion in loans available to debt-strapped Greece, should the nation need it. Greece's inability to borrow at low rates has raised fears it might default on its debt. But the loan package eased those fears and the euro nation's sale of short-term notes Tuesday drew strong demand.

Investors have been worried that Greece's problems will destabilize the euro and rattle the other debt-burdened PIIGS, Portugal, Italy, Ireland and Spain.

Regardless of these worries, stocks have been on the rise lately, with the major indexes all advancing in seven of the last eight weeks on bets that the economy won't fall into a double-dip recession. Optimism about the quarterly reporting period has also fed stock gains.
'Free money' is stocks' secret weapon

Alcoa: The aluminum producer reported a quarterly profit late Monday of 10 cents per share versus a loss of 59 cents per share a year ago. The gain was in line with a consensus of analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters.

But Alcoa (AA, Fortune 500)'s revenue missed expectations. The Dow component reported revenue of $4.89 billion versus forecasts for $5.238 billion. Alcoa's sales topped $4.147 billion a year earlier.

S&P 500 earnings are expected to have risen 37% versus a year earlier, when the financial crisis hit its nadir and earnings plunged 40%. Revenue is expected to have risen 10% versus a year ago.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500), Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) and Google (GOOG, Fortune 500) are the other big names due later in the week.
0:00 /1:05Intel earnings due

Palm: Shares slumped 14.6% in active trading following reports Monday that the troubled company has hired Goldman Sachs and Qatalyst Partners to try and find it a buyer. Palm (PALM) shares had gained 17% Monday.
Junk stocks rise from the scrap heap

Trade gap widens: The February trade deficit rose to $39.7 billion in February from a revised $37 billion in January, according to a Commerce Department report released Tuesday morning. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com thought it would widen to $38.5 billion.

Both exports and imports rose following the January decline, but the increase in imports topped that in exports, causing the deficit to rise.

World markets: In overseas trading, European markets fell, with London's FTSE down 0.3%, France's CAC 40 down 0.4% and Germany's DAX down 0.3%. Asian markets slipped too, with the Hong Kong Hang Seng down 0.2% and the Japanese Nikkei down 0.8%.

Bonds: Treasury prices rallied, lowering the yield on the 10-year note to 3.82% from 3.85% late Monday. The 10-year had risen as high as 4% a week ago, an 18-month high. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions.

The dollar and commodities: The dollar fell versus the euro and against the yen.

COMEX gold for June delivery fell $8.80 to settle at $1,153.40 per ounce.

U.S. light crude oil for May delivery fell 29 cents to settle at $84.05 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Market breadth was positive. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners beat losers by a narrow margin on volume of 1.06 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, advancers topped decliners by a narrow margin on volume of 2.56 billion shares.

Image

Yahoo! Finance

4:25 pm : Market participants were initially uninspired by mixed results from Alcoa, but interest in tech plays ahead of Intel's latest report helped the broader market muster a fractional gain. A slight dip by the dollar helped, too.

First quarter results from Dow component Alcoa (AA 14.34, -0.23) unofficially marked the start earnings season last evening. Alcoa posted adjusted earnings of $0.10 per share, which was in-line with the consensus estimate, but earnings quality was questioned due to smaller-than-expected revenue.

Fellow Dow component JPMorgan Chase (JPM 45.87, -0.27) is scheduled to report its latest quarterly results tomorrow morning, ahead of the opening bell. The stock closed at a session low, however.

Regional bank stocks were especially weak. The group fell 2.0% following the decision by analysts at UBS to downgrade KeyCorp (KEY 8.14, -0.20), Huntington Banc (HBAN 5.69, -0.34), and Regions Financial (RF 8.34, -0.40).

Meanwhile, analysts at Credit Suisse won favor for educational services plays with an upgrade of DeVry (DV 71.73, +6.67) and ITT Educational (ESI 119.20, +10.42). Shares of the pair set fresh 52-week highs.

Participants chased Intel (INTC 22.76, +0.22) to a fresh 52-week high ahead of its post-close earnings announcement. Shares of the semiconductor giant helped give the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index a 0.6% gain and helped the Nasdaq Composite find a fractionally improved 52-week high.

The broader S&P 500 had its gains capped as it continues to encounter resistance at 1200. Still, the benchmark index was able to rebound from a midmorning loss that briefly took it below near-term support at 1190. That slide came as the Dollar Index turned a modest loss into a slight gain, but stocks recovered as the buck's bounce proved unsustainable.

Volatility ramped up this session. Specifically, the Volatility Index spiked nearly 8% before it finished the session 3.5% higher. The rebound followed a 30-month low in the prior session.

Treasuries had a quiet, but relatively solid session as the benchmark 10-year Note continued its gradual climb. The yield on the Note now stands slightly above 3.80% after it had been just above 4.00% last week.

Advancing Sectors: Consumer Discretionary (+0.6%), Tech (+0.3%), Industrials (+0.3%)
Declining Sectors: Energy (-0.5%), Utilities (-0.4%), Materials (-0.3%), Telecom (-0.2%)
Unchanged: Health Care, Financials, Consumer Staples DJ30 +13.45 NASDAQ +8.12 NQ100 +0.4% R2K +0.3% SP400 +0.4% SP500 +0.82 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1375/2.53 bln/1295 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1549/1.05 bln/1481

3:30 pm : The CRB Commodity Index closed with a 0.4% gain, thanks partly to a sharp bounce in natural gas prices. Contract prices for the energy component climbed 3.5% to $4.15 per MMBtu.

Oil prices pared losses to settle at $84.01 per barrel, down 0.4%. Oil prices had been down some 2% at their session low.

Precious metals fell in tandem as gold prices closed pit trade 0.8% lower at $1152.80 per ounce and silver prices settled 0.9% lower at $18.25 per ounce.

In other commodity-related news, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) advanced 0.6% in its latest session. That gain marked only the second time in 19 sessions that the BDI staged an advance. DJ30 +26.22 NASDAQ +8.63 SP500 +1.82 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1280/2.12 bln/1407 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1532/777 mln/1485

3:00 pm : Stocks enter the final hour of trade stuck in a narrow trading range that has left the broad S&P 500 unchanged near 1197. Still, that's up solidly from this session's low, which was marked when the broad market measure slip momentarily below 1190.

Treasuries have had a quiet, but relatively solid session. More specifically, the benchmark 10-year Note is up nine ticks as it extends its gradual climb. The yield on the Note now stands just above 3.80%, which is down 20 basis points since last week. DJ30 +12.01 NASDAQ +6.02 SP500 +0.06 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1236/1.94 bln/1437 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1408/708 mln/1602

2:30 pm : The financial sector has made its way up to the neutral line after it was down as much as 0.6% earlier this session. In more recent action, REITs have been a key source of support as diversified REITs jump 4.0%, industrial REITs ascend 3.9%, and retail REITs climb 3.0%.

However, regional banks remain a drag on the sector. As a group, regional lenders are down 1.7%. Their weakness stems largely from several analyst downgrades.

Big banks come into closer focus tomorrow morning, when JPMorgan Chase (JPM 46.06, -0.08) posts earnings for its first fiscal quarter. Wall Street currently expects the company to post a profit of $0.64 per share. DJ30 +10.80 NASDAQ +6.78 SP500 -0.14 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1212/1.78 bln/1461 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1409/651 mln/1591

2:00 pm : All three major indices have made their way to fresh session highs. The move has put Nasdaq Composite at a new 52-week high, but its counterparts have yet to return to the yearly highs that they set in the prior session.

Shares of Intel (INTC 22.72, +0.18) are just a few pennies shy of the 52-week high that they set in March. The semiconductor giant reports its latest quarterly results after the close. For the time, its strength has helped lift the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index to a 0.6% gain and the broader tech sector to a 0.4% gain.

Of the major sectors in the S&P 500, tech's gain is second only to the consumer discretionary sector, which is up 0.6% amid strength in shares of retailers. Retailers, as a group, are up 0.7%; Family Dollar (FDO 38.90, +0.90) and Home Depot (HD 34.25, +0.77) are primary leaders among retail plays. DJ30 +14.05 NASDAQ +6.93 SP500 +0.32 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1206/1.64 bln/1458 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1407/608 mln/1579

1:30 pm : The Dow and the Nasdaq are stuck near the neutral line, while the S&P 500 remains mired in the red with a modest loss.

Though action in the broader market remains generally listless, education services stocks are exceptionally strong. The group's strength follows an upgrade of both DeVry (DV 71.46, +6.40) and ITT Educational (ESI 119.09, +10.31) by analysts at Credit Suisse. Shares of the pair are at fresh 52-week highs. DJ30 +0.60 NASDAQ +1.60 SP500 -1.65 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1104/1.51 bln/1530 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1270/560 mln/1687

1:00 pm : The major indices have made a modest recovery from losses that followed a bounce by the dollar, but overall action remains mixed as listless trade follows underwhelming quarterly results from Alcoa (AA 14.20, -0.37).

Dow component Alcoa unofficially began earnings season last evening with the release of results for its first fiscal quarter. Though Alcoa met the consensus earnings estimate, the quality of those earnings was called into question since the aluminum producer had smaller-than-expected revenue.

Weakness in shares of AA has undermined the broader materials sector, which is currently down 0.7%.

Energy stocks have also been hit with selling. The sector is currently down 0.8%, but it had been down in excess of 1% at its session low. Its losses have been pared as oil prices recover from an early drop -- crude oil prices were down 2% in early pit trade, but now contend with a 0.8% loss.

The energy sector has also been helped by the broader market's rise, which came amid a pullback in the greenback. The dollar had made its way up from a modest loss in the early gain to sport a slight gain, but it has since drifted back to the flat line. Most of the dollar's moves continue to come in connection with action in the euro, which continues to be driven by many of the headlines that pertain to Greece's financial health. That said, Greece was able to raise roughly 1.6 billion euros in a short-term debt auction, which was actually oversubscribed.

Semiconductor stocks have had a relatively quiet session ahead of this evening's earnings announcement from tech bellwether Intel (INTC 22.68, +0.14) -- the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is up a tame 0.2% at the moment. DJ30 +7.18 NASDAQ -0.16 SP500 -1.84 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1078/1.37 bln/1535 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1257/521 mln/1684

12:30 pm : Stocks have moved another leg higher in recent action. The climb puts the major indices at their best level since their midmorning slide. While the Dow is back above 11,000 and testing its session highs, the S&P 500 has yet to make its way back to where it started the session.

A pullback by the greenback so that it is now unchanged against a basket of foreign currencies has helped the stock market improve its position. The Dollar Index has spent most of the session in a relatively narrow range that spans from slightly positive to slightly negative. DJ30 +4.00 NASDAQ -2.46 SP500 -2.53 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 1033/1.25 bln/1557 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1197/483 mln/1736

12:00 pm : Regional banks are down 2.5%, collectively, in the wake of word that analysts at UBS downgraded to Sell shares of KeyCorp (KEY 7.95, -0.39), Huntington Banc (HBAN 5.63, -0.40), and Regions Financial (RF 8.40, -0.34). The downgrade comes after the trio put together some of the most impressive gains since the start of 2010. Prior to the start of this session the year-to-date gain for KEY was 50%; it was 65% for HBAN, and; it was 65% for RF.

Weakness among regional banks has imbued diversified banks, which are down 1.7%. As a group, though, diversified banks are still up 19% this year.

The broader financial sector is down 0.6% at the moment, still worse than the broader market. DJ30 -13.53 NASDAQ -5.11 SP500 -4.79 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 987/1.12 bln/1579 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1074/435 mln/1850

11:30 am : Stocks continue to climb up from session lows. The ascent by the S&P 500 has been more gradual than that of the Dow, which is outperforming on a relative basis even though its declining issues outnumber its advancers by more than 3-to-1.

Among the Dow's 30 components, Home Depot (HD 34.06, +0.58) is a primary source of strength. Its advance this session marks its fifth straight gain, during which time the stock has climbed 4.5%.

At the other end of things, Chevron (CVX 79.76, -0.67) is a primary laggard among blue chips. The integrated oil and gas company has had to battle lower oil prices this entire session -- oil prices are up from their lows, but still down a considerable 1.6% to $83.00 per barrel. DJ30 -12.40 NASDAQ -3.87 SP500 -4.51 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 958/998 mln/1581 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1060/386 mln/1807

11:00 am : Upward momentum in the greenback has taken the Dollar Index into positive territory to trade with a 0.1% gain. That has led to increased pressure against stocks, such that the major indices recently retreated to fresh session lows. Stocks managed to find support as the S&P 500 slipped below 1190, however.

Losses remain broad based, but are still steepest among energy stocks, which are down 1.2%, collectively. The sector has been hampered by weakness among shares of oil and gas equipment plays (-2.4%), oil and gas drillers (-1.8%), and oil and gas explorers (-1.3%). An extended slide in oil prices has also undermined the sector -- oil prices are now down 1.9% to $82.70 per barrel.

Volatility has spiked as a result of this session's early selling effort. The Volatility Index, sometimes referred to as the Fear Index, retreated to a 30-month low as stocks hit fresh 52-week highs in the prior session, but it is up a sharp 6.9% this session. DJ30 -33.26 NASDAQ -6.88 SP500 -5.41 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 849/830 mln/1666 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 991/320 mln/1874

10:30 am : The US Dollar Index reversed sharply off of morning lows around 9:00ET and is now back in positive territory. This sent commodities lower, most of which hit fresh morning lows.

May crude oil has traded in the red all session so far. After trading just beneath the unchanged line for most of the session, crude pushed to new session lows of $82.51 per barrel in recent trade on the strength in the dollar index. Currently, the energy component is trading just above those lows at $82.68, down 2%.

May natural gas hit session highs of $4.05 per MMBtu around the time pit trading began, but strength in the dollar index pushed it back into negative territory and to new session lows of $3.95 per MMBtu. Currently, natural has is trading 0.8% lower at $3.98 per MMBtu.

Precious metals also hit new session lows near the top of the hour after trading in the red during today's session. June gold is currently 1.1% lower at $1149.10 per ounce, while May silver is 1.9% lower at $18.07 per ounce.
DJ30 -34.77 NASDAQ -8.04 SP500 -5.65 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 837/630.2 mln/1626 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 930/251.5 mln/1880

10:00 am : Stocks recently bounced up from their opening slip, but momentum from that move has since slowed. An improvement in the dollar has acted as a headwind -- the Dollar Index is now flat.

The greenback's upward move has rekindled pressure against the materials sector, which is now down 0.4%. Materials stocks started to trim their losses amid strength in steel stocks (+0.1%), but the dollar's upward move has undercut the dollar-sensitive sector.

Early movers: Trading up -- MIPI +176.7%, ABK +45.3%, GJW +25.2%, TNC +13.1%, VRS +13.1%, TSON +12.6%; Trading down -- RNN -11.2%, PALM -10.4%, CODI -7.7%, OREX -7%, MPW -6.5%, EURX -6.3%, ADC -6%, CBD -5.9%

Advancing Sectors: Consumer Discretionary (+0.2%), Tech (+0.1%), Industrials (+0.1%)
Declining Sectors: Energy (-0.6%), Materials (-0.4%), Utilities (-0.4%), Consumer Staples (-0.3%), Health Care (-0.3%), Financials (-0.3%), Telecom (-0.2%) DJ30 -3.55 NASDAQ -0.70 SP500 -1.87 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 959/390 mln/1382 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1133/165 mln/1602

09:45 am : The stock market is down modestly in the first few minutes of trade. Losses are broad based.

Weakness is most pronounced among natural resource plays. As such, the energy sector is down 0.6%. Its loss is largely underpinned by lower oil prices, which were recently quoted at $83.35 per barrel, down 1.2%.

Underwhelming quarterly results from Alcoa (AA 14.24, -0.33) have led the materials sector to a 0.5% loss. Though aluminum plays are weak, steel stocks have offered some support as US Steel (X 64.49, +0.57) bounces up from its 20-day moving average after falling 10% from the 52-week high that it set last week. DJ30 -5.14 NASDAQ -1.37 SP500 -1.85 NASDAQ Adv/Vol/Dec 916/240 mln/1327 NYSE Adv/Vol/Dec 1076/122 mln/1509

09:15 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -1.50. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -2.50. Stock futures have improved their position this morning so that a flat start for the session now looks to be in order. The tepid tone comes as market participants step into earnings season, which got its unofficial start last evening with quarterly results from Dow component Alcoa (AA). Alcoa met earnings expectations, but its revenue was rather underwhelming.

Attention quickly turns to Intel (INTC), though. The tech bellwether is scheduled to unveil its latest numbers after the closing bell.

Earnings season has sometimes been dubbed silly season since the stock market's reaction to corporate announcements isn't always what one would expect. Such a scenario becomes all the more plausible when market participants start to juggle headlines about the fiscal woes of Europe and economic data. In regard to the former, Greece recently held an auction of debt that was overbought, which suggests some of the concerns over the country's fiscal health may have been calmed since the EU agreed to offer the country financial support. As for economic data, the trade balance for February deepened more than expected to $39.7 billion.

09:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -1.20. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -2.30. Stock futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 continue to make their way closer to the flat line.

Meanwhile, Germany's DAX is down 0.1% at the moment. Considerable strength in Bayer AG is being offset by considerable weakness in Siemens (SI). France's CAC is flat at the moment as advancers and decliners balance each other. Britain's FTSE is off by 0.1%. Diageo PLC (DEO) has been a primary source of support in recent action, but natural resource plays Rio Tinto (RTP) and Xstrata have been week. Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) has remained unchanged, though; the stock was upgraded to by analysts at UBS. In economic news, British retail sales increased 4.4% year-over-year in March.

In other news, Greece sold some 1.56 billion euros in 6-to 12-month bills in an auction that was oversubscribed. The offering marked the country's first borrowing test since ministers of the European Union agreed to provide Greece with financial aid.

In Asia, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index slipped 0.5% and Japan's Nikkei lost 0.8%. Wariness over upcoming results from bellwether Intel (INTC) led to weakness in chip stocks. In turn, Tokyo Electron and Advantest each fell more than 1%. Sanyo Electric gained 1.3% amid news that its operating profit is likely to surge 50% in its current fiscal year. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng shed a modest 0.2%. Currency-sensitive plays came under pressure after President Hu Jintao said yuan appreciation is not imminent. Sinopec (SNP) advanced after it announced a $4.6 billion acquisition that would expand its interest in Canadian oil sands. The Shanghai Composite managed to gain 1.0% even though declining issues had a 2-to-1 edge over advancers. PetroChina and China Petroleum were primary sources of support.

08:35 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -2.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -4.00. Stock futures have pared a portion of their losses, but a slightly lower start to the session still looks to be in order. Just announced, the February trade deficit deepened to $39.7 billion from an downwardly revised $37.0 billion in the prior month. On average, economists had expected a February deficit of $38.5 billion. Import prices increased 0.7% in February. They were expected to increase 1.0% after an upwardly revised 0.2% decline in January.

08:05 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -2.60. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -4.30. Stock futures are down modestly following underwhelming quarterly results from Alcoa (AA). The Dow component posted last evening in-line adjusted earnings of $0.10 per share, but its smaller-than-expected revenue has caused some to question demand and the quality of earnings. Analysts at UBS downgraded shares of AA after the release of the results. Shares of AA are down 1.5% to $14.35 each ahead of the opening bell.

Market participants have had a more positive response to results from Infosys (INFY), which is up 1.4% to $62.28 per share in premarket trade. The company brought in $0.61 per share, including items, met revenue expectations, and issued in-line guidance.

According to the latest headlines about Greece, the country held an auction of short-term debt that was actually oversubscribed. The strong demand was presumably helped by the nod during the past weekend by European Union ministers to provide Greece with financial aid.

The February trade balance and import prices for February are due at the bottom of the hour - the consensus calls for a trade deficit of $38.5 billion and a 1.0% monthly increase in import prices.

06:25 am : S&P futures vs fair value: -3.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -5.80.

06:25 am : Nikkei...11161.23...-90.70...-0.80%. Hang Seng...22103.53...-34.60...-0.20%.

06:25 am : FTSE...5758.79...-18.90...-0.30%. DAX...6226.51...-24.20...-0.40%.

Special thanks to Yahoo! Finance and CNNMoney for their market summaries. gm

Best Regards,
M.A. Perry
Trader and Founder of WRB Analysis (wide range body analysis)
Image@ http://twitter.com/wrbtrader and http://stocktwits.com/wrbtrader

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