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To see other trade signals and charts...click here.

Dec 13th Tues 2005 Trade Log

#FuturesTrades is a private and free realtime trading posting room on the IRC Othernet server.

You'll find below the text log of realtime trades that were posted by full-time and part-time traders from around the world. 

Also, if you want to see an example of a prior trading day of what the trades actually look like on a computer screen while using mIRC to communicate with traders from all over the world in #FuturesTrades...click here.


 Session Start: Tue Dec 13 08:38:07 2005Session Ident: #futurestrades
* Now talking in #futurestrades08:38
* Topic is ' #FuturesTrades -> Realtime active trade posting ER2, ES, NQ, YM, Eurex, T-Notes, EuroFX @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTra desChatRoom.htm'
* Set by X on Sun Dec 11 22:17:07
<X> [NihabaAshi] Password, trade post script, trader profiles and trade journals are posted ONLY at the discussion forum at http://p207.ezboard.com/bthestrategylab
* X sets mode: +o RacerX
<danshirley> ..09:11
* RacerX sets mode: +v danshirley
<danshirley> FOMC day...market my be 'subdued' until 2:1509:13
 Bus. inventories at 1009:14
 U.S. retail sales increased a modest 0.3% for the third straight month in November, as a rebound in auto sales offset a big decline in gasoline, the Commerce Department said Tuesday.09:16
 U.S. stock futures are pointing to a flat to higher open Tuesday after an upbeat profit outlook from Procter & Gamble, but the market is likely to tread cautiously ahead of a Federal Reserve decision on interest rates.09:17
 Mkt looking for a 'change in language' to indicate rate rises are close to an end
 european mrkts are very slightly higher09:20
 SIRI rated as sell by Banc of America09:22
 :)
<X> [NihabaAshi] Password, trade post script, trader profiles and trade journals are posted ONLY at the discussion forum at http://p207.ezboard.com/bthestrategylab09:30
* X sets mode: +o NihabaAshi
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> This room is only for Trade Posting (real or paper) and/or discussions about a posted trade or key market events that could affect a trader's open trade position. LURKING not allowed..strictly enforced.09:34
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 693.80 -> small size
* RacerX sets mode: +v NihabaAshi
<NihabaAshi> I have a Bullish Trend bias...not sure how long this bias will last.09:35
<mispe>  Shorts YM @ 10823 09:37
* NihabaAshi sets mode: +v mispe
<mispe>  Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 10817 --> + 6 09:38
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 693.30 --> - 0.5
  Reverse and Enter Short ER2 @ 693.30
<szubaark_>  Shorts YM @ 10815 09:40
* RacerX sets mode: +v szubaark_
<mispe>  Covered Remainder YM Short @ 10815 --> + 8
<NihabaAshi> Still waiting for the VIX/VXN/VXO to open to organize my position sizing.09:42
 0945am est
<mispe> VXO what's that ?09:43
<NihabaAshi> VXO is the old VIX09:44
  Trailing Stop Hit ER2 @ 693.30 --> 0 09:48
 Incorrect...
 It's a stop lower...
  exit stop lowered ER2 @ 694.30 09:49
<szubaark_>  Covered all YM Short @ 10821 --> - 6 09:50
<mispe>  Shorts YM @ 10821
<szubaark_>  Long YM @ 10821
<NihabaAshi>  exit stop lowered ER2 @ 694.00 09:51
  exit stop lowered ER2 @ 693.80 09:53
  Trailing Stop Hit ER2 @ 693.80 --> - 0.5 09:54
<substanz>  Shorts YM @ 10819 «« paper »» 09:56
* RacerX sets mode: +v substanz
<mispe>  Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 10816 --> + 5 09:57

Covered Remainder YM Short @ 10815 --> + 6 09:58
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 693.50 -> large size 10:01
<danshirley> U.S. OCT. INVENTORIES UP 0.3% VS. 0.5% EXPECTED10:02
<NihabaAshi> :(
<danshirley> U.S. OCT. SALES UP 0.8%, BIGGEST GAIN SINCE JULY
<substanz>  Covered all YM Short @ 10825 --> - 6 «« paper »»
<danshirley>  U.S. OCT. INVENTORY-SALES RATIO STAYS AT RECORD LOW 1.25
<eminitrader>  Shorts ES @ 1269.25 10:04
* RacerX sets mode: +v eminitrader
<danshirley>  Shorts YM @ 10826 «« paper »» 10:05
<pdays>  Shorts ER2 @ 693.7 «« paper »» 10:06
* RacerX sets mode: +v pdays
<mispe>  Shorts YM @ 10827
<les>  Shorts ER2 @ 693.3 10:07
* RacerX sets mode: +v les
<substanz>  Shorts YM @ 10825 «« paper »»
<szubaark_>  RED ALERTK4
<mispe> time to go long10:08
<NihabaAshi> So far...Er2 not responding
<mispe>  Covered all YM Short @ 10827 --> 0
<szubaark_> NQ stealing the show10:09
<NihabaAshi>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 693.50 --> 0 10:11
<danshirley>  Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 10820 --> + 6 «« paper »»

exit stop moved to breakeven YM @ 10826 «« paper »»
<substanz>  Covered all YM Short @ 10819 --> + 6 «« paper »»
<eminitrader>  Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 1268.75 --> + 0.5 10:12

Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1269.25 --> 0
<danshirley>  Trailing Stop Hit YM @ 10826 --> 0 «« paper »»
<les>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 694.1 --> - 0.8 10:14
<szubaark_>  Exited 1/2 YM Long @ 10831 --> + 10 10:16
<mispe>  Long YM @ 10830

Exited 1/2 YM Long @ 10835 --> + 5 10:18
<NihabaAshi> ER2 still not able to keep up :(
<mispe>  Exited Remainder YM Long @ 10835 --> + 5 10:19
<danshirley>  Shorts YM @ 10833 «« paper »»
<mispe>  Shorts YM @ 10833 10:20
<danshirley>  exit stop set YM @ 10839 «« paper »»
  Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 10828 --> + 5 «« paper »» 10:21
<mispe>  Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 10828 --> + 5
<danshirley>  exit stop moved to breakeven YM @ 10833 «« paper »»
<mispe>  Covered Remainder YM Short @ 10831 --> + 2 10:22

Long YM @ 10828 10:25
<szubaark_>  Exited all YM Long @ 10827 --> + 6
  Shorts YM @ 10826
<jperl> I love it...10:26
* RacerX sets mode: +v jperl
<jperl> 1 YM long, 1 YM short
<danshirley>  exit stop lowered YM @ 10830 «« paper »»
<mispe>  Exited all YM Long @ 10824 --> - 4
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 693.00 -> large size 10:32
 Tough tough trading...then again it is FOMC day :)10:34
<danshirley>  Covered Remainder YM Short @ 10824 --> + 9 «« paper »» 10:38

TICK reversing
<TLTrader>  Long YM @ 10826 -> small size 10:39
* RacerX sets mode: +v TLTrader
<TLTrader> scalp
<szubaark_>  Covered all YM Short @ 10828 --> - 2 10:42

no momentum
<jperl> all YM moves have been oscillations about the VWAP10:43
<NihabaAshi> So far...its a scalpers day and I'm unwilling to go that route even when I was at a +0.40 profit on all my trades today.10:44
<jperl> see Ym chart....
<pdays>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 692.9 --> + 0.8 «« paper »»
<NihabaAshi> Thus, most likely this is my last trade until this afternoon.10:45
<jperl> http://www.charts.dacharts.com/2005-12-1 3/JPERL_011.png
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> This room is only for Trade Posting (real or paper) and/or discussions about a posted trade or key market events that could affect a trader's open trade position. LURKING not allowed..strictly enforced.10:46
<TLTrader>  Exited all YM Long @ 10828 --> + 2

not what i had in mind but it's struggling
<jperl> same oscillations in ER2...10:51
 http://www.charts.dacharts.com/2005-12-1 3/JPERL_012.png
<cwb2> short 1082511:01
* RacerX sets mode: +v cwb2
<cwb2> exit 10827 -0211:02

no more trading before fomc hehe
<NihabaAshi> ER2 being a little booger today :(11:05
<jbraswell> yeah, I got smoked early on, didn't even have time to post my losses...11:07

down $300
<cwb2> short 1082311:18
 small
 exit 10824 -0111:20
<NihabaAshi> Anyone else has YM stuck around 10823 ???11:28
<jperl> yes
<NihabaAshi> Ok...wasn't sure if I was having some data problems.11:29
<jperl> now 10825
<cwb2> shortn 1082211:34

hmm whats wrong with futures11:35

trading on cash today, thing doesn't follow

exit 10825 - 3 , thats not good11:37
<NihabaAshi>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 693.50 --> - 0.5 11:44
 I've lost my patience, will head out for an early lunch with the spouse. Thus, intentionally covering my Short at a loss eventhough its not near my stop of 694.3011:45
 Target on that short was 691.80 or a pt2
<substanz>  Shorts YM @ 10830 «« paper »»
* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_lunch
<eminitrader>  Shorts ES @ 1270.75 11:47

Covered ES Short @ 1271.25 --> - 0.5 11:48

Reverse and Enter Long ES @ 1271.25

Exited ES Long @ 1271.25 --> 0 11:50

Reverse and Enter Short ES @ 1271.25
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> This room is only for Trade Posting (real or paper) and/or discussions about a posted trade or key market events that could affect a trader's open trade position. LURKING not allowed..strictly enforced.11:58
<cwb2>  Shorts ES @ 10836 12:00

Covered 3/4 ES Short @ 10837 --> - 1 12:03

Shorts ES @ 10837 12:06

Covered all ES Short @ 10839 --> - 2 12:11
<substanz>  Covered all YM Short @ 10841 --> - 11 «« paper »» 12:12
<cwb2> market reprimandations for shorting tops

:)

was looking for a 7 tick retrace, market didn't even give that that12:13

Shorts ES @ 10841 12:16

ok last top

test

not good trading12:18
<substanz>  Shorts YM @ 10842 «« paper »»
<cwb2>  Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 10843 --> - 2 12:20

i'm going to close this positon out quick12:22

just want to make some commission money back and not short tops ever again using cash index :D, worse strategy on the planet12:24

Covered 1/4 ES Short @ 10835 --> + 6 12:25
<substanz>  Covered all YM Short @ 10835 --> + 7 «« paper »» 12:26
<cwb2> stop 1083512:30
<eminitrader>  Covered all ES Short @ 1270.25 --> + 1
<cwb2> stop 1083412:31

Covered all ES Short @ 10833 --> + 8 12:33

now thats a lot of trading for nothing

:D
<togglex> long er2 692.712:36
 stop 692.3
 close long 692.6 +0.312:40
 er, 693.0
<cwb2> looks like rally12:54

probably going to rally after fed meeting, lots of buyers appeared 5 minutes ago12:56

ok13:01

looking to go short large
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> This room is only for Trade Posting (real or paper) and/or discussions about a posted trade or key market events that could affect a trader's open trade position. LURKING not allowed..strictly enforced.13:07
<togglex> short er2 692.6 stop 693.013:08
<cwb2> did fed meeting come out ?
<togglex> i thought it was 1400h or 1415h13:09
<eminitrader> no
 yep
<cwb2> ok cool

short killings right now

this market is going down , let me wash my hands and get p repared :), NASDAQ is going to lead13:10
* NihabaAshi_lunch is now known as NihabaAshi13:12
<togglex> close short er2 693.013:13

-0.4
<szubaark_> yawn.13:16
<joereal>  Long ES @ 1270.50 «« paper »» 13:18
* RacerX sets mode: +v joereal
<GoodMood>  Shorts YM @ 10837 13:42
* RacerX sets mode: +v GoodMood
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 692.20 -> large size

Exited ER2 Long @ 691.40 --> - 0.8 13:50

Reverse and Enter Short ER2 @ 691.40

Bad spot to do a trade reversal...will not hold this Short too long.13:51

Should have added to the long.

Getting too close to the FOMC pre-reactions within that 15min window.13:55
<GoodMood>  Covered all YM Short @ 10837 --> 0 13:58
<NihabaAshi>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 691.00 --> + 0.4 13:59

I'm now NEUTRAL bias on ER2, YM and still Bullish bias on ES and NQ.14:02
<cwb2> i want to see NQ go down 1% :D14:06
<NihabaAshi> If I get a trade signal...I'll load the boat...14:10

If not...will continue keeping a tight lid on any losses.
<cwb2> same here14:11
 going short large , going to checkoff every single requirement
 before I entry14:12
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 691.40 -> small size
<danshirley> 1 minute to FOMC time14:13
  FOMC HIKES RATES BY QUARTER POINT TO 4.25%14:14
 MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO FOMC STATEMENT
  FOMC TAKES ACCOMMODATIVE PHRASE OUT OF STATEMENT
<NihabaAshi> Geeesh...look at the EuroFX spike :)14:15
<danshirley> FOMC SAYS ECONOMY SOLID DESPITE HURRICANES, ENERGY
<joereal>  Exited all ES Long @ 1273.00 --> + 2.5 «« paper »»
<NihabaAshi>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 692.50 --> + 1.1
 That was a sell at any price when 693 is hit...I got filled at -0.50 tick less :(14:16
<cwb2> niha: that much slippage on ER2?14:17
<NihabaAshi> Only in the middle of a FOMC announcment.
<pat255> nice niha ...14:18
* RacerX sets mode: +v pat255
<NihabaAshi> Well...I'm still in the hole for the day but not much because I kepted a lid on things.
<cwb2> this rally still means nothing
 still waiting to short large
 but wiating of course :)
 rallied right back into resistance, good palce to short on INDU14:19
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> This room is only for Trade Posting (real or paper) and/or discussions about a posted trade or key market events that could affect a trader's open trade position. LURKING not allowed..strictly enforced.
<substanz>  Shorts YM @ 10863 «« paper »»
<cwb2> gonna wait though :D
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 693.30 -> large size
 I'm loaded.
* cwb2 hides
<cwb2> :D
<substanz>  Covered all YM Short @ 10875 --> - 12 «« paper »»
<cwb2> let me check daily now14:20
 ok short is now going on the backburner
<NihabaAshi>  Exited 2/3 ER2 Long @ 695.50 --> + 2.2 14:21
<substanz>  Shorts YM @ 10910 «« paper »»
<NihabaAshi> Nicely in the green for the day but my win:loss ratio is horrible.14:22
<cwb2> niha: nice long :D
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 697.00 --> + 3.7
<substanz>  Covered all YM Short @ 10920 --> - 10 «« paper »» 14:23
<NihabaAshi> Holding 2 contracts
<substanz> :(
<NihabaAshi>  exit stop raised ER2 @ 695.00

It's been awhile since I've seen a FOMC announcment produce parabolic price surge with very little retrace to signal a trade signal in the opposite direction.14:25

Yet...day isn't over yet and it still could retrace.

I have my trailing stop in a good spot in which if it is hit...most likely it will continue down.14:27

Like now :(14:28

Trailing Stop Hit ER2 @ 695.00 --> + 1.7

That stop was at the resistance price of a WRB which is now a support price...watching to see if it will hold (it shouldn't)14:29
<cwb2> short 1090114:34
 large!
<NihabaAshi> I missed my Short entry at 694.90
<cwb2> man so much data tradestation is startwing to freeze14:35
<NihabaAshi> Looking for a few little wins to get my win:loss ratio back in the positive.
<cwb2> stop 1090014:36
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 694.80 -> small size

Covered all ER2 Short @ 694.20 --> + 0.6 14:37
<cwb2> exit 10897 1/214:40
 exit 10900 1/2
<NihabaAshi> Euro volatility is dying...we should see it transfer over to the eminis.
<cwb2> nice
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 695.50 -> small size
<jperl>  Long YM @ 695.30
<TLTrader>  Long YM @ 10903 -> small size
<jperl> thats er2
  Long ER2 @ 695.30 14:41
<NihabaAshi>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 695.70 --> + 0.2
<jimmy>  Shorts NQ @ 1725 -> large size 14:42
* RacerX sets mode: +v jimmy
<TLTrader>  Exited all YM Long @ 10905 --> + 2 14:43
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 695.00 -> small size 14:44

Volatility in EuroFX declining allong with a price decline
<cwb2> niha: haha this price action is crazzzy :D14:45
<NihabaAshi>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 695.40 --> + 0.4

Agree...reason why I'm using the volatility from EuroFX on these quick trades.14:46

Looks like the volatility game is over...Eminis and EuroFX seem to be back in sync with each other.14:47
<GoodMood> niha: you measure volatility of the minis by looking at vix/vxn. But how do you measure it for Euro ?14:48
<NihabaAshi> I use the VIX/VXN for trend analysis only...14:49
<GoodMood> ok14:51
<NihabaAshi> I use the EuroFX volume and the momentum (eye-balling it) versus the ES Emini.
<GoodMood> i c
<NihabaAshi> Regardless if I'm trading ER2, YM or NQ...

It's EuroFX and ES Emini ONLY during extreme volatility conditions.

FOMC announcement falls in that category.14:52
<GoodMood> thx for the explanation !
<NihabaAshi> By the way...EuroFX looks like it died in the past 5 mins.14:53
<cwb2> preparing to short, volatility needs to die down
 i can't enter with price jumping 5 points in one second :)14:54
<jimmy>  Covered all NQ Short @ 1729 --> - 4
<jperl>  Exited ER2 Long @ 696.20 --> + 0.9
<danshirley>  Shorts YM @ 10917 «« paper »» 14:55

Shorts YM @ 10925 -> Add «« paper »» 14:58
<cwb2> short 1091915:02
<danshirley>  Covered 1/2 YM Short @ 10912 --> + 13 «« paper »»
<cwb2> down girl down hehehe15:03
<danshirley>  Covered Remainder YM Short @ 10900 --> + 17 «« paper »» 15:04
<cwb2>  Shorts ES @ 10919
  Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 10902 --> + 17
 looking to keep on shorting15:05
 we are going to short this all the way down at every level I hope :)
 stoip 1090815:06
 short 1089915:07
 stop 108901
 19892 i mean15:08
<TLTrader>  Long YM @ 10897

Exited 1/2 YM Long @ 10902 --> + 5 15:09
<cwb2> exit add 10892 -3, looking to re-enter15:10
 short 1090115:13
 hope it doesn't bull breakout on me hehe
 exit 1090215:14
 looking to reenter
 market falling too quick, slow down there15:18
 chop city time, now time to wait15:23
<TLTrader>  Exited Remainder YM Long @ 10898 --> + 1
<cwb2> no fill15:29
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> This room is only for Trade Posting (real or paper) and/or discussions about a posted trade or key market events that could affect a trader's open trade position. LURKING not allowed..strictly enforced.15:31
<jperl>  Shorts ER2 @ 693.80 15:36
<cwb2>  Covered all ES Short @ 10883 --> + 36 15:40

1/4th

remainder

3:41 , no more shorting :D15:41

short 1088915:48

stop tight

stop 10890

whatever
<jperl>  Covered ER2 Short @ 692.80 --> + 1 15:52
<cwb2> jperl: nice15:54

action was good today
<jperl> tx
<cwb2> man15:56

jperl: I started a new checkbox procedure15:58
<jperl> checkbox?
<cwb2> every order have to checkbox everything, the amount of checks I do is check * 2 contracts or check * 1 contract15:59

i mean a checkbox sheet of paper

so less checkboxes = higher risk = lower contracts

more checkxboers = lower risk = higher contracts

:)
<jperl> what are the checkboxes16:00
<NihabaAshi> Be right back in 5mins...need to do a reboot.
<cwb2> jperl: Its a list of things which I wrote in a notepad, then printed it out 5 times on a paper , with [ ] checkboxers next to them
 every order I send out, need to check off the requirements
 this way nothing is ever forgotten :)16:01
 all orders inspected
 before orders sent out
<X> [NihabaAshi] Password, trade post script, trader profiles and trade journals are posted ONLY at the discussion forum at http://p207.ezboard.com/bthestrategylab16:13
* X sets mode: +o NihabaAshi
<Raph> Hi there. I have a question. Can someone help?16:34
* RacerX sets mode: +v Raph
<cwb2> yeah16:35

whats up

I am now trading with 3 monitors16:36

it kicks ass

and 1 laptop

laptop for order entry only
<Raph> Thanks. What's the name of the following thread? : Study guide notes are posted in a password protected thread and the password will only be provided by email to those that are in attendance of the seminar.
 I mean free seminar tomorrow
<cwb2> ok no idea, that you have to ask niha16:37
<Raph> thanks
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> This room is only for Trade Posting (real or paper) and/or discussions about a posted trade or key market events that could affect a trader's open trade position. LURKING not allowed..strictly enforced.16:40
<NihabaAshi> Hi Raph...16:42
* RacerX sets mode: +v NihabaAshi
<NihabaAshi> I was sick over the weekend and most of yesterday...
 I'm going to try to get those study/guide notes posted by tomorrow morning.
<Raph> thanks16:43
<NihabaAshi> However, the seminar itself will be postponed until Thursday and last for several trading days or until I feel nobody has anymore questions.
 Thus, the study/guide notes are so in-depth that there's usually no questions from traders during the actual seminar (very quiet).16:44
 As for the password itself...16:45
 I'll post the password tomorrow in the #EminiFutures and #FuturesTrades room.
 If your unable to attend...that's ok.
<Raph> I'll there
<NihabaAshi> Just send me an email and I'll give you the password by email for those that are unable to attend the seminar.16:46
 Anyone else in here from France...
<Raph> Is it a secret forum that study guide will be posted in or one of the existing forums on ezboard?16:47
<NihabaAshi> Here's the direct link to where the study/guide notes will be posted...16:50
 http://p207.ezboard.com/fthestrategylabf rm159
 You can't get in because it is password protected or should be :)
 I'll post the password tomorrow after I post the study/guide notes.
<Raph> Got it...thanks16:51
* DisconnectedSessionClose: Tue Dec 13 17:32:08 2005

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