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#FuturesTrades October 2nd Monday 2006 Trade Log

#FuturesTrades is a private and free realtime trading posting chat room on the IRC Othernet server that allows traders from all over the world to communicate.

Click here for the instructions on gaining access to #FuturesTrades.

In addition, trades posted by members of #FuturesTrades in the below trade post chat log are by traders that do not have access to TheStrategyLab.com strategies except for NihabaAshi.

Fee-based clients of TheStrategyLab.com strategies use the private IRC rooms called #TheStrategyLab and #SwingTradingTSL.

Further, you'll find below the chat room time stamped text log of realtime trades (real money and simulator) that were posted by full-time, part-time traders from around the world and the timestamp is eastern standard time (est). 

Also, below NihabaAshi's trading blog like comments, you can read the time stamped trades (prices, entries, exits et cetera) and market discussions that sometimes contains trading tips or insights that are more useful than what you will see at any other futures blog or chat room.

Trading Blog Below is not your traditional trader's blog in the usual blog format. However, you will find informative commentary on a few occasions as time permits and such will contain trading tips that should help your trading as I attempt to sum up my thoughts as I traversed from the first trade to the last trade that was posted in #FuturesTrades realtime trade posting chat room. 

 

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ER2 EuroFX EC
+14.70 +0.0000
$1,470.00 $0.00

Trading Perspective

Profit/Loss Blotter

Only reason why I'm profitable today is that all the data vendor problems didn't sneak up on me and I didn't reverse trades into any false volatility spikes due to data stalls.

Other than that...not a very good trading day and will continue hammering at the market with some size because October is the start of several market seasonal patterns.

Today's results (real money and simulator trading) shown above are that of NihabaAshi only. To see his total accumulated points for the month of October...click here. To see results for the months of 2006 and prior years...click here.

Commentary by M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi)  
intradaystrategies@yahoo.com

Note: Each month there are a few trading days that we consider to involve interconnecting key price action of different markets and such is represented by a particular type of price action from one of the key markets. You can view the charts and their clues that's associated with the key price action at our key market archives.

  

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Session Start: Mon Oct 02 09:31:04 2006Session Ident: #futurestrades
* Now  #FuturesTrades purpose and benefits...click here.09:31
<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm
<asuni> gm niha
<NihabaAshi> Good morning all.
<szubaark> gm
<NihabaAshi> I won't be here Friday to attend a funeral.09:32
I was suppose to fly out this past Friday to help some relatives with transportation but my brother is handling that.
Today is the month of market seasonal patterns.09:33
Simply, we should get some strong trend days this month.
Shorts ER2 @ 727.90 -> large size 09:34
9 contract trade and I'm looking for something big.09:35
I'm also not expecting any volatilty chop like what we saw on Friday.09:36
<eminitrader> yep ES is set-up fpr a huge move ...waiting for direction...expecting nice volatility today09:37

Shorts ES @ 1344.75 09:41
<les>  Shorts ER2 @ 726.4 «« paper »» 09:42
Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 725.9 --> + 0.5
live trade09:43
that cover was 1/2 not 1/309:44
<eminitrader>  Covered all ES Short @ 1344.75 --> 0 09:45
<les>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 726.3 --> + 0.1
<szubaark>  Buys NQ @ 1667.25 09:46
<pdays>  Shorts ER2 @ 11747
<NihabaAshi> We've got two big key economic events today at 10am est.09:47
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)09:49
<NihabaAshi> EuroFX still hasn't given any warnings of volatilty due to the pending 10am est key economive events.09:51

More data problems :(09:53
<szubaark> slow down drip09:54
<silo1> hey guys09:55

how are you guys doing
<szubaark> hey
<les>  Long ER2 @ 726.4 09:56

Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 726.8 --> + 0.4 10:00
<NihabaAshi> Volatility spike in EuroFX10:01
<eminitrader>  Shorts ES @ 1345.25 10:02
<NihabaAshi>  Covered 2/3 ER2 Short @ 727.60 --> + 0.3 10:03
<eminitrader>  Covered all ES Short @ 1`345.25 --> + 1345.25 - 1`345.25 10:04
<NihabaAshi>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 727.60 --> + 0.3
  
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<les>  Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 728.2 --> + 1.8
<szubaark> nice Volatility spike to upside.. back to my entry10:05
nice les
<les> thx szu... 1left

exit stop raised ER2 @ 726.5
<eminitrader> yes nice start ;es :)10:07
:es = les sorry typo
<les> oh right :)) thx em10:08
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 727.70 -> large size
<eminitrader>  Shorts ES @ 1345 10:09
<les>  exit stop raised ER2 @ 726.8 10:12
Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 727 --> + 0.6 10:13
<szubaark> almost no reaction to News10:14
<les> aftre the 2nd retreeat from 50 ema, it was time to bail10:15
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 727.10 --> - 0.6

Reverse and Enter Short ER2 @ 727.10
<eminitrader>  Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 1344.25 --> + 0.75
<szubaark> ER retraced almost Half that WRB10:17
<NihabaAshi> Yep
<eminitrader>  Covered ES Short @ 1344 --> + 1

Reverse and Enter Long ES @ 1344
<szubaark> nice emini in this Tight Range10:18
<eminitrader> thx szu ...took 3 of them to get something
<szubaark> yes.. need a lot of patience for this market lately10:19
<eminitrader>  Exited 1/3 ES Long @ 1345 --> + 1

yes and today is supposed to be a jewish holiday too ...so dont know how volume will be10:20
<les> well here's one who's not gonna make it on judgement day10:21
i thought yom kuppur was yesterday10:22
kippur
<eminitrader> its today
<NihabaAshi> I think the Asia markets were closed last night.
<PapaJon> kippur.. isnt that a fish?
<les> k
<PapaJon> j/k
<eminitrader>  Exited Remainder ES Long @ 1344 --> 0
<les> right pj

friggin heathen
<NihabaAshi> I wasn't able to get data for the Asia markets last night...assumed they were closed.10:23
Covered all ER2 Short @ 726.90 --> + 0.2 10:24
<PapaJon> nah.. i just like kipper snacks
<les> like i said
<PapaJon> and bacon
<les> me too
<PapaJon> uh huh
<les> if there was a jewish hell...10:25
i'd be ther first
with the lawyers and accountants
<szubaark> emini notice how YM,NQ,ER holding lows yet ES spiked low for Stops10:26
<eminitrader> :))10:27
got me
<szubaark> sure looks like markets are on holiday

Exited all Long NQ at 1663.50 --> - 3.75 10:36

Shorts NQ @ 1663.50
<eminitrader>  Long ES @ 1344.50 10:37
<silo1> anyone use yahoo or msn messenger?
<eminitrader> not me ..saving the bandwidth10:38
<NihabaAshi> Yep...those communication programs are resource hoggers.
<eminitrader> true niha ..it screws up scrolling data10:39
specially my time and sales
Exited all ES Long @ 1344.50 --> 0 10:42
anyone think its a good idea to take the day off10:43
<les>  Shorts ER2 @ 727.5 -> small size 10:44
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 727.40 -> large size
<les> was thinkin same em10:45
<szubaark> looks like all the institutions did
<eminitrader> might be the best thing to do les...at least till pm10:46
<pdays>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 11745 --> + 2
late post
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 727.80 --> - 0.4 10:49

Reverse and Enter Long ER2 @ 727.80
<eminitrader> niha ..any comments on the mrkt ..given if it acts like friday...and this being oct
<NihabaAshi> October will break out of September range...just gotta play it smart and be there when it happens.

As we get closer to mid-month...I'll start increasing my size.10:50
<eminitrader> k..thx .
<les>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 727.4 --> + 0.1 10:51
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 727.50 -> Add 10:52
Exited 1/4 ER2 Long @ 728.10 --> + 0.6 10:54
  
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<les> i've lost interest in trading this muck10:55

early break for me

back later
* les is now known as lesAway
<szubaark> sneaky price action again10:56

Covered all Short NQ at 1666 --> - 2.5

Buys NQ @ 1666
<NihabaAshi>  Exited 1/4 ER2 Long @ 729.60 --> + 1.8
<szubaark> 2 Stop outs now trying to at least breakeven10:57
<NihabaAshi> more data problems...gotta reboot the other computers :(11:01
* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_away
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)
* DisconnectedSession Close: Mon Oct 02 11:06:07 200611:06
 Session Start: Mon Oct 02 11:11:12 2006Session Ident: #futurestrades
* Now talking in #futurestrades11:11
<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm
<NihabaAshi>  Exited 1/4 ER2 Long @ 730.10 --> + 2.3 11:23
<szubaark> every tick is a struggle
<NihabaAshi> Have a trailing stop in for my remainders...if hit...its still profitable.11:24

Be back later to cool off...very angry with all the data problems I'm having today.
* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_away
<szubaark>  Exited all Long NQ at 1671 --> + 5 11:38

hi code.11:42
<codehead> hi szu & co11:49
<substanz>  Shorts YM @ 11788 «« paper »» 11:53
<eminitrader> nice long there szu ..:)
<szubaark> thanks.. after 2 Stopouts in that Consolidation finally broke out.11:54
<eminitrader> yep...if ES breks 1351...should be fun11:55
<substanz>  Covered all YM Short @ 11783 --> + 5 «« paper »» 12:01
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)12:10
<szubaark>  Buys NQ @ 1671.25 12:21

emini what u think about going Long here on pullback?12:30
<eminitrader> the NQ gave a nice short szu..@v 12 :30 EST break of 69.75 ..4 tick stop12:35
3 min
see supp 67-6812:36
<szubaark> we just broke out of a Long consolidation Base to upside to im "expecting" more followthru UNLESS market proves me wrong12:37
<eminitrader> thats true szu ...67-68 entry would have given a good t1
<szubaark> looking for bounce here @1668 IF NOT im in trouble12:38
<eminitrader> yep if 67 is broken ..u might want to bail out12:39
good thing here is ES holding strong supp ..might see your move from here12:40
* NihabaAshi_away is now known as NihabaAshi12:42
<szubaark> Niha nice still holding Long12:44
ER building nice Bull Flag12:51
Im starting to like ER again.. thing clamed down a lot last 2 years.. almost no more Death Spikes12:52
ER was known for Spikes of Death, and Reversals from Hell12:53
<codehead> lol13:00

for the most part, ER trades pretty cleanly

just have to have adequate guts on the stops or it will eat you up13:01

that is, if you try to get away with skimpy stops, it will gladly take them from you13:02
<szubaark> ES holding up here13:03
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)13:23
<szubaark>  Exited all Long NQ at 1666 --> - 5.25
:((
Shorts NQ @ 1666
Covered all Short NQ at 1666 --> 0 13:34
Buys NQ @ 1666
<NihabaAshi>  Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 728.00 --> + 0.2 13:40
<eminitrader> what a move..13:41
<NihabaAshi> That's what happens when the Longs give up after a tight volatility range that's also a low volatility range.13:42
<eminitrader> lost u here niha13:43
doesn't tight means low range
<NihabaAshi> I'm talking about volatility...not price.
<eminitrader> k13:44
<NihabaAshi> You can have a range and have high volatility.

You can also have a range and have low volatility.
<eminitrader> got it..
so this was low both..
<NihabaAshi> Range and low volatility sets up breakouts or breakdowns.
<eminitrader> k..thx13:45
<NihabaAshi> Yeah...it was too tight up there between 1130am - 1245pm est.

The volatility setup a potential for a volatility spike...
<eminitrader> mrkt really moving
<NihabaAshi> Today it went DOWN as a volatility spike.13:46
<eminitrader> boy o boy...
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 726.80 -> large size 13:48
<szubaark>  Exited all Long NQ at 1650.50 --> - 15.5
Shorts NQ @ 1650.50
<silo1> niha, what just caused the big drop?13:49
<NihabaAshi> I'm keeping in mind what happen on Friday after I gave up trading after taking such a beating...just trying to catch a few ticks out of this.
<szubaark> ooppss.. went to the bathroom and see market TANKED
<NihabaAshi> Silo...don't know...I just want to get something out of it.
<szubaark> damn forgot to put in Stop, got whacked pretty good. didnt think they gonna drop 20 Points all of a sudden13:51
<NihabaAshi>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 726.30 --> + 0.5 13:52
I'm done trading...I just had a order that didn't get filled down around 725.60
  

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* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_away13:53
<szubaark> yeah this is too tough to make any money.. im just rolling dice here
Out of nowehere they drop frikin 20 points!
That was a EXPENSIVE bathroom break i took.. gave them over 15 Points! bastids14:04
Covered all Short NQ at 1650.50 --> 0
Im gonna call it a day.. Nerves are shot.14:05
* szubaark is now known as szubaark_away
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)14:35
<lesAway>  Long ER2 @ 724.2 14:45
<substanz>  Long YM @ 11742 «« paper »» 14:46
<lesAway>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 723.4 --> - 0.8 14:51

Long ER2 @ 722.6 15:00

Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 723 --> + 0.4 15:01
<lesAway>  exit stop raised ER2 @ 722.7 15:15

Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 723.5 --> + 0.9 15:17

like blood from a stone :)

anyway, most of the previous loss gotten back

its time to retire from the fray methinks

at least i'm in the black today, - a miserable 2.615:18

cya all tomorrow
<substanz> bye les15:19
<lesAway> oops, wrong calc - 3.o pts up

god do i feel better now :)

jeez
<substanz> tomorrow another day ...15:20
<lesAway> for sure, altho i cant be here for pm session
* lesAway is now known as les15:21
<substanz>  Exited all YM Long @ 11755 --> + 13 «« paper »» 15:30
<NihabaAshi_away> Take care all and see all tomorrow.16:33
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)16:59
<Awash> test18:49

anyone around?
<NihabaAshi_away> I'm around...just for a few minutes.19:17
<Awash> test19:18
<Awash> 7 minutes to open19:53

anyone around?

narrow range thus far in Nikkei 22520:14
<Awash>  Long mini Nikkei 225 @ 16200 «« paper »» 21:19

Exited all mini Nikkei 225 Long @ 16190 --> - 10 «« paper »» 21:38
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)21:41
  
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In addition, below are the trading instruments our chat room members monitor closely to make trade decisions:  

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CBOT mini-sized Dow Futures YM

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Last of all, if you have any questions about either #EminiFutures general market chat room, #FuturesTrades realtime trade posting room or the two realtime strategy discussion rooms used by traders with access to our fee-based strategies called #TheStrategyLab and #SwingTradingTSL...

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TheStrategyLab.com

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