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#FuturesTrades September 21st Friday 2007 Trade Log

 

Russell 2000 Emini ER2 Futures

Today Month Year
+1.70 +153.00 +2621.60
$170 $15,300 $262,160

Profitable Trade

1252pm - 1305pm est

Losing Trade

1157am - 1203pm est

click on image to view actual size

 

Current Performance Record

Key Trades of the Day (see chat log below)

Profit/Loss Statement

 

Trading via WRB Analysis: I missed most of the key market action today due to personal reasons to spend time with the family.

As expected, yesterday's key White WRB s/r zone (820.20 - 821.90) dictated supply/demand for today until the market found its own direction for the trading day.

Other than that, a boring trading day that I spent more time during personal things instead of aggressively watching the markets for trade opportunities. 

General Strategy Info: The above profit/loss info represents trades by M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi) only and all trades were posted in realtime as shown in the below chat log. 

Although I'm not familiar with the trade methods used by most members of #FuturesTrades, I use a rule based (no subjectivity) methodology that involves WRB Analysis.

In fact, many of my trades or profit targets will occur within key WRB support/resistance zones because these price areas gives me a better understanding of key changes in supply demand.

  Traditional pivot point analysis or traditional s/r levels are inadequate in understanding changes in supply/demand of the Russell 2000 Emini ER2 or any other trading instrument of today's markets in comparison to WRB Analysis.

WRB Analysis is also a key aspect in my use of intermarket analysis, market seasonal tendencies, volatility analysis and custom Japanese Candlestick patterns to complete my trading plan that results in consistent profits.

Further, position size management is a key aspect of my trading and I trade any where between 1 to 9 contracts per trade depending upon the volatility, pattern signal, seasonal tendencies or intuition.

All of my trades and commentary for today's market action (posted below) are via the user name NihabaAshi (Japanese Candlestick term) and I exclusively trade the Russell 2000 Emini ER2 futures even though I closely monitor other key markets in the world.

With that said, today's trade posting chat log is below and it contains all my trades that were posted in realtime along with the trades of other members of #FuturesTrades.

Further, if you want the instructions for gaining access to our free #FuturesTrades chat room...click here.

   
  #FuturesTrades purpose, benefits and access info for day traders, swing traders and position traders...click here.
Session Start: Fri Sep 21 08:48:51 2007Session Ident: #FuturesTrades
* Now talking in #FuturesTrades08:48
<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm
<pat255> gm all08:50
<werner> gm all
<PapaJon> gm all09:21
<Dmi76> gm all09:23
<PapaJon> Reminder.. today is Quad-Witching day
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for traders and intermarket analysis of Emini Futures (EMD, ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, XLE, QQQQ, SPY)09:31
* subq market profile charts today09:32

http://www.charthub.com/images/2007/09/2 1/er2_rth_mp.png

http://www.charthub.com/images/2007/09/2 1/es_rth_mp.png

http://www.charthub.com/images/2007/09/2 1/nq_rth_mp.png

http://www.charthub.com/images/2007/09/2 1/ym_rth_mp.png09:33
<eminitrader> nice sell set-up...low risk09:42
<szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 1539.25 «« paper »» 09:43

exit stop set ES @ 1542.25 «« paper »»
<Tim_a> july 23rd resistence, e?09:44
<eminitrader>  pa set-up
<Tim_a> pa?
never mind, slow this morning
<eminitrader> price actio after theclose of 3 min bar @ ( : 39 est09:45

..ideal sell 1541.50 - 4 tick stop ...low risk high probability..09:46

thats what i meant

9:39 est
<szubaark> yeah my Sell is at low of the range, high risk, but early morning looking for Volatility for followthru09:47
low of Opening Range
  
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   Trading Strategies ->   Strategies used by NihabaAshi, from entry to exit,  exploit inefficiencies in the price action for profits of the following trading instruments via WRB Analysis: Emini Index Futures (EMD, ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Index Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Index Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Energy Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM), COMEX Metals Futures (GC), Forex Currencies (EurUsd, EurYen, UsdCdn), Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, OIH, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, XLE) and Hang Seng Index Futures (HSI) 
  
<Tim_a> wicks at top, green, then red, with same wick high?
<eminitrader> if it breks 1535 expect a gap fill09:48
<szubaark> Why 1535?
<eminitrader> depends on how u read it... i read it as a fade..whuchever...either way ..like i said was low risk high probability09:50
1534-1535 area is support szu09:51
on my charts---1538-1536 ..minor support09:52
1534-1536..major support09:53
if nothing eslse ..can atleast expect a bounce off these levels
so ideal area to cover some and lock in part of the moolah :)09:54
hope u were not long based on that bar tim09:55
<les>  Long ER2 @ 818.8 «« paper »» 10:02
<Tim_a> what bar? i went short at the level you mentioned, (es small)
<eminitrader> k..cause u mentioned u read it as a bullish set-up10:03
<Tim_a> no, i was agreeing with you - i read it as a 'tweezer top'10:04
<eminitrader> glad u didn't get faked out :)
<Tim_a> thx
<eminitrader> may still get there ..but at that piont in time ..it was a nice sell10:05
<pat255> it is crazy action ..
need fast fingers
<les>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 819.6 --> + 0.8 «« paper »» 10:06
<eminitrader> looks like the mrkt is trying to decide which way to flow...making its intention..abt timne10:10
be back..10:11
* cmr is now known as Candido10:36
<werner> .10:37
.10:58
<NihabaAshi> I just got back from some personal stuff.11:01

Les the only one trading today ???
<les> even i havnt mich interest niha11:02
<pat255> mkt in congestion ..very few moves ..
<NihabaAshi> Ok...I see szubarrk posted a trade.
<pat255> Ser 20.5
<NihabaAshi> Yeah...I'm now taking my first look at the charts this morning.
Doesn't look like anything is worthwhile.
<pat255> tight stop .511:04

they took it ..11:05
<szubaark>  exit stop lowered ES @ 1541.50 «« paper »» 11:12
<pdays>  Shorts ER2 @ 821.7 11:14

Covered all ER2 Short @ 821.2 --> + 0.5 11:18
<bigjim98282> wtg pdays
<les>  Shorts ER2 @ 821.4 «« paper »» 11:19
<szubaark>  Covered remainder Short ES at 1541.50 --> - 2.25 «« paper »» 11:28
<pdays> tnx bj
<szubaark>  Buys ES @ 1541.50 «« paper »»
<les>  Shorts ER2 @ 822.4 -> Add «« paper »» 11:32
<NihabaAshi>  Reminder -> #FuturesTrades chat room trade posting archived logs are posted @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm (today's log will be updated tonight by 9pm est)11:37
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for traders and intermarket analysis of Emini Futures (EMD, ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, XLE, QQQQ, SPY)
<NihabaAshi> The direct link to yesterday's chat log is @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/092007Futu resTrades.htm11:38
<pat255> thks N
* intowin-away is now known as intowin11:48
<intowin> They are getting dangerously close to my stop 24.10 : (

Thats the only bad thing about leaving. I have to use wider stops

where is all the volatility quad witch brings?11:51
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 822.50 -> small size 11:57
2 only
<les>  Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 821.3 --> + 1.1 «« paper »» 12:02
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 821.50 --> - 1 12:03
Reverse and Enter Short ER2 @ 821.50
reversed into a large Dark WRB...not the best entry.12:04
<intowin> hope your on... here is my premarket entry

[07:43] <intowin-away> will be out till noon. gonna let a short run til I get back..

[07:44] <intowin-away> short ES @ 820.50
<NihabaAshi> Could have gotten the reverse around 821.90 but got caught "watching" instead of "reacting".
* codehead_afk is now known as codehead12:08
<NihabaAshi> Dark Hammer Line...be careful
<intowin> going for broke on this one 24.10 stop
<Brutus> On options Exp what time exactly is the expiration ?12:10
for stocks
<NihabaAshi> volatility dropping fast
<intowin> 3pm12:11
<Brutus> MAybe a selloff at 3 IT ?
<intowin> usually pretty volital all day. up down up down.. we had the up premarket I am looking for a down anytime12:12
<Brutus> Aapl, goog ebay at 52 week highs and at max pain from what I can see
<NihabaAshi>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 821.40 --> + 0.1 12:19
<les>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 822 --> - 0.6 «« paper »» 12:20

hmm - was +.40 in fact12:21

done for today

cya all monday
<intowin> wow I am long cad and it just busted a 41 tic move in 4 minutes. Glad I am on the right side of that one
<bigjim98282> this chop is the reason I only traded the open short.12:23
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 823.20 -> medium size 12:32
1 only
<intowin> just take profit below 24.10 NIha :)12:33
<NihabaAshi> I don't have any wiggle room for that type of profit level :(
An entry aroung 822.20 would have kepted me in the trade for such12:34
<intowin> thats where my stop is lol
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 823.40 --> + 0.2
<intowin> just glad I am long the canadian dollar right now12:35

if this trade bust it will keep me even
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 822.90 -> small size 12:38
2 only
should have gone 3
volatility dies quick today...12:39
Charts looks like that it only last no more than 2mins after a volatility spike :(12:40
<Dmi76>  Shorts ER2 @ 822.9
<NihabaAshi> The fact that ER2 has rising since 1045am est must keep the Longs still faithful.12:41
Covered all ER2 Short @ 822.80 --> + 0.1 12:44
volatility slowly rising and price got "too jumpy"
<Dmi76>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 822.7 --> + 0.2 12:45
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 822.20 -> small size 12:52
Breakdown below a Dark Hammer Line
2 only
<Pepe> nice12:53
<NihabaAshi> I had a ton of help from the pending 1pm est speech
<intowin> who is talking today12:54
<NihabaAshi> Fed Governor Warsh12:55
<intowin> remind me to send him a Christmas card
<Tim_a> bush speeches are generally kind to bears12:56
<NihabaAshi>  Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 821.10 --> + 1.1 12:59

Lets see what happen soon after 1pm est.
<ItalianSharp> hopefully the prick speaking now can bring some volatility and wake up those mkts13:01
<NihabaAshi> lol

volatility dropping...something will soon happen as in a volatility spike again.

exit stop lowered ER2 @ 821.70 13:03

Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 821.60 --> + 0.6 13:05

need to ensure I am profitable for the trading day13:06
<ItalianSharp> no volatility so far...guess nobody is listening to this guy today13:09
<NihabaAshi> looks that way :(
<ItalianSharp> i am starting to lose hope that some volatility may come back...and trading under these conditions is very dangerous
<intowin>  exit stop set ES @ 822.70 13:16
<ItalianSharp> i am gonna go get some nice pizza at the best "pizzeria" here in town...i'll be back later and hopefully some miraculous volatility will be back
* ItalianSharp is now known as ItalianSharp_eating_13:17
<Tim_a> we need mary tyler moore - she can take a nothing day, and sudenly make it all seem worthwhile13:38
<szubaark> who is she? Market Wizzz?13:39
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for traders and intermarket analysis of Emini Futures (EMD, ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, XLE, QQQQ, SPY)13:40
<werner> gn all13:56
<intowin> Delay of game over.. we have kick off13:57
<szubaark>  Exited all Long ES at 1539.50 --> - 2 «« paper »» 13:58

Shorts ES @ 1539.50 «« paper »»
<intowin>  Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 818.60 --> + 1.9 13:59
<szubaark> Missed my +2 Target Fill by 1 TICK! on my Long14:00
<intowin> : (
this one had me sweating since 7.30 am14:01
<szubaark> lets see if they close gap :)).. that would be nice.. i would have a good weekend
<intowin>  exit stop set ES @ 820.50 14:02
break even
someone must have thrown a flag on the play. back to delays14:20
with this small swing so far I may just take what I can get14:41
Covered 2/3 ES Short @ 817.50 --> + 3
<szubaark> nice intowin14:42
<intowin> exit stop set to break even plus one
thanks
<szubaark> u think ES gap close by end of day?14:43
<intowin> Market is not doing at all what I thought so really dont know.. Just got lucky this didnt stop out this morning
<szubaark> for me i read this as trend is Down now, confirmed14:44
<intowin> overall If I had to guess probably not. Looking to close out at one more point
quad witch usually breaks all the rules14:45
<Brutus> IHS ?15:00
<Tim_a> quad witch can have a spike out of nowhere that 'pins' to their strike price
<intowin>  Covered all ES Short @ 819.50 --> + 1 15:04
* ItalianSharp_eating_ is now known as ItalianSharp15:06
<ItalianSharp> volatility seems to have improved a little...hopefully i wont jinx it...:)15:07
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 819.50 -> small size 15:08
2 only
I give up because I have no patience today for this type of market day.15:11
<intowin> got that right from 7.30 to 2pm to get my first profit crazy15:12
<NihabaAshi>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 820.20 --> + 0.7 15:15
I'm done for the trading day...will take my small profits and enjoy the weekend.15:16
  
WRB Analysis
  
<intowin> same here.. enjoy
<NihabaAshi> Nothing worst than closing a trading day with a loss on a slow day like today.15:17
<intowin> yep off for some wakeboarding here in a few
<NihabaAshi> Especially it being a Friday.
Also, missing the first few hours of trading didn't help at all because I felt like I've been a few steps behind the market on each trade I did...a few steps as in I should'uv have better entries.15:19
Take care all and have a good/safe weekend.
* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_away15:21
<rainer>  Shorts ER2 @ 820.1
<NihabaAshi_away>  Reminder -> #FuturesTrades chat room trade posting archived logs are posted @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm (today's log will be updated tonight by 9pm est)15:28

The direct link to yesterday's chat log is @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/092007FuturesTrades.htm15:29
<rainer>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 819.10 --> + 1 15:34
<szubaark> NQ nice triple Top for what its worth..could mean nothing on this low volume15:35
<NihabaAshi_away>  Reminder -> #FuturesTrades goes private and when it does...only register members of our forum are allowed access. To register, follow the instructions @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm15:40
<mrboso83756> anyone have any idea to where i can get a full listing of stock traded in the united states and overseas?15:43
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for traders and intermarket analysis of Emini Futures (EMD, ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, XLE, QQQQ, SPY)15:46
<Brutus> Back pain form sitting to long trading?15:53

http://www.bambach.com.au/wr/index.htm

:)
<szubaark> :)15:56
Covered 1/2 Short ES at 1537 --> + 2.5 «« paper »» 16:01
exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 1539.50 «« paper »»
Covered all Short ES at 1537.50 --> + 2 «« paper »» 16:02
<ItalianSharp> nice finish szu16:04

well at the LOD
* DisconnectedSession Close: Fri Sep 21 16:26:42 200716:26
  
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#FuturesTrades past logs can be searched via using Google. For example, pretend you want to research what has been said about volatility analysis. Go to the Google search window below and type in "volatility analysis" site:thestrategylab.com (exactly as I typed it including the quotation marks) and you will find everything associated with those key words that were used by any member of  #FuturesTrades.

  

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Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Hong Kong (China), Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Portugal, Puerto Rico (U.S.), Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Spain, United States and Venezuela.

In addition, below are the trading instruments our chat room members monitor closely to make trade decisions:  

CME Emini Futures EMD, ER2, ES and NQ   

CBOT mini-sized Dow Futures YM

Eurex Index Derivatives (futures) DAX and DJ Euro Stoxx50

Eurex Fixed Income Derivatives BUND, BOBL and Schatz

Euronext Futures FTSE-100 and CAC-40

CME Futures EuroFX EC

Treasury Futures T-Notes ZN, ZF and T-Bonds ZB

Forex Currencies EurUsd, EurYen and UsdCdn

Exchange Traded Funds DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, OIH, XLE and GLD  

NYMEX Energies Light Crude Oil CL, e-miNY QM and Natural Gas NG

COMEX Metals Gold GC

Hang Seng Index Futures HSI

Last of all, if you have any questions about any of the above commentary, specific trades et cetera...

Don't hesitate to ask your questions and we'll reply back as soon as possible.

Sincerely,

M.A. Perry and Associates

TheStrategyLab.com

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