August 15th Tuesday 2006 Trade Log

#FuturesTrades is a private and free realtime trading posting chat room on the IRC Othernet server that allows traders from all over the world to communicate.

Click here for the instructions on gaining access to #FuturesTrades.

In addition, NihabaAshi is the only trader in #FuturesTrades that represents TheStrategyLab.com strategies.

Further, you'll find below the chat room time stamped text log of realtime trades (real money and simulator) that were posted by full-time, part-time traders from around the world and the timestamp is eastern standard time (est). 

Also, below NihabaAshi's trading blog like comments, you can read the time stamped trades (prices, entries, exits et cetera) and market discussions that sometimes contains trading tips or insights that are more useful than what you will see at any other futures blog or chat room.

Trading Blog Below is not your traditional trader's blog in the usual blog format. However, you will find informative commentary on a few occasions as time permits and such will contain trading tips that should help your trading as I attempt to sum up my thoughts as I traversed from the first trade to the last trade that was posted in #FuturesTrades realtime trade posting chat room. 

 

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Trading Dead Zone  

More often than not, trading the noon (lunch) trading session isn't worth the effort.

Of course once in awhile a big move starts during lunch and you'll wish you were there.

However, the times when nothing happens are times when the broker is getting rich and your not taking a critical break (time away) from the markets to re-energize and/or regain your market perspective.

With that said, I didn't say close your positions when lunch arrives.

I'm saying not to open up new positions when lunch arrives because that dead zone is notorious for causing losses and overtrading.

Today's results (real money and simulator trading) shown above are that of NihabaAshi only. To see his total accumulated points for the month of August...click here. To see results for the months of 2006 and prior years...click here.

Commentary by M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi)  
intradaystrategies@yahoo.com

Note: Each month there are a few trading days that we consider to involve interconnecting key price action of different markets and you can view the charts associated with the key price action along with their stories at our key chart story archives.

  

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Session Start: Tue Aug 15 09:20:04 2006Session Ident: #futurestrades
* Now talking in #futurestrades09:20
<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm
<asuni> gm niha, gm all09:21
<PapaJon> gm all09:26
<szubaark> gm
<Chilly> gm folks09:29
<eminitrader> morn all09:32
<asuni> GM mr ET
<eminitrader> :)
<NihabaAshi> gm all09:34
Shorts ER2 @ 695.30 -> small size 09:35
5 contracts
Covered ER2 Short @ 694.20 --> + 1.1 09:38
Holding 2 contracts
<pat255> gm all
<NihabaAshi>  exit stop lowered ER2 @ 695.20 09:39
<eminitrader>  Long ES @ 1283.25 09:40
* Retrieving #futurestrades modes...09:43
<NihabaAshi>  Trailing Stop Hit ER2 @ 695.20 --> + 0.1 09:44

Shorts ER2 @ 694.20 -> small size
<szubaark>  Shorts NQ @ 1516.25
<NihabaAshi> 3 contracts only09:45
<jperl> mostly green this morning...09:47
http://charts.dacharts.com/2006-08-15/JP ERL_012.png09:48
<NihabaAshi> I gave this trade a lot of breathing room and its not paying off.09:50
<les> its gotten very tight out there niha09:51
i think its consolidating the rise from 8:30 report
* ztkii is now known as ozzjo09:52
<NihabaAshi> Les...the real numbers are tomorrow and will shed some light on todays key economic reports...09:53
<les> yep
<NihabaAshi> Simply, I don't think this can push any higher because of the pending info tomorrow.
<szubaark>  exit stop set NQ @ 1520
<eminitrader>  Long ES @ 1282.25 -> Add
<les> yeah.. altho i thought the improved mid-east situation may still lift the mkts a bit
<NihabaAshi>  Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 693.50 --> + 0.7 09:54
<les> of course the first one to bust the ceasefire will see it all tumble :)
<pat255> dang the same ole freaking down we go
<eminitrader>  Long ES @ 1281 -> Add 09:55
<NihabaAshi>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 693.90 --> + 0.3 09:58
Be right back...got some distractions here.
* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_away
* NihabaAshi_away is now known as NihabaAshi10:03
<marklc> short dax 5769

out b/e
<szubaark>  exit stop set NQ @ 1518 10:04
emini gap again causing problems10:05
<eminitrader> right szu...but i'm holding my longs
<asuni> if moves will copy yesterday's moves, we'll see NHOD before filling the gap10:06
<szubaark>  Covered all Short NQ at 1518 --> - 1.75
<eminitrader>  Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1283.50 --> + 2.5 10:13
thats 1.5pts ..my avg long 128210:14
<szubaark> nice
<pat255> vn emini
<eminitrader> thx szu...initial entry was a bit too soon

thx pat
<pat255> for a moment i thot this going to be repet of yesterday10:15
<eminitrader> u mean the drop..
<pat255> yes10:16
k guys biab...@office again today..ty all
  
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<eminitrader> bye
<pat255> no trade just watch ..dial up connection..10:17
<asuni> bye pat
<pat255> later emini asuni ty
<szubaark>  Shorts NQ @ 1519.75
<eminitrader>  Exited Remainder ES Long @ 1282.50 --> - 0.75 10:18
thats +0.5 on the avg
<szubaark>  exit stop set NQ @ 1522 10:19

exit stop set NQ @ 1519.75 10:23
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)
<szubaark> changing Stop to breakeven..dont like PA
<asuni> emini, waiting for nhod before trying a short trade?
<les> what's nhod??10:24
<eminitrader> no short signal at least so far ...
<asuni> new high of day
<les> oh
<asuni> quicker
<les> thought it maybe was to do with big ears n noddy :))
<eminitrader> expecting pullback and rentry long 1279-1277
<jperl> TotalMarket has been oscillating about its average price all morning...10:28
http://charts.dacharts.com/2006-08-15/JP ERL_013.png
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 693.30 -> small size 10:30

2 contracts only
<eminitrader>  Long ES @ 1282.25
<NihabaAshi> I'm now in profit protection mode and I don't think I can get much more than what I already have gotten out of the a.m. trading session.10:31
<eminitrader> expecting a retest oh high
<les>  Long ER2 @ 693.5 10:32
<szubaark>  Covered all Short NQ at 1519.75 --> 0
<les>  exit stop set ER2 @ 692.3
<NihabaAshi> ER2 volatility drying up...I'm now expecting a WRB volatility spike...10:33
Hopefully in my trade direction and not against me.
<szubaark>  Buys NQ @ 1519.50
<les> me too niha :)10:34
<eminitrader> towards new highs :)
<les>  Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 693.8 --> + 0.3
wrong
Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 693.9 --> + 0.4
<NihabaAshi>  Exited 1/2 ER2 Long @ 694.10 --> + 0.8
<les>  Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 694.1 --> + 0.6 10:36
exit stop raised ER2 @ 693.6
Trailing Stop Hit ER2 @ 693.6 --> + 0.1
<NihabaAshi>  Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 693.80 --> + 0.5
<eminitrader> think we have seen the lows for now10:40
<Chilly>  Long YM @ 11205
<eminitrader>  Exited 1/3 ES Long @ 1284.25 --> + 2 10:41
<szubaark> emini nice sticking to your guns.
<Chilly>  exit stop set YM @ 11206
<eminitrader> was expecting a retest szu
<szubaark> actually NQ Broke its High10:42
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 695.70 -> small size

1 contract only

I obviously have a Bearish bias base upon my position size management of Shorts versus Longs.10:44
<Chilly>  exit stop raised YM @ 11226 10:45
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 696.20 --> + 0.5
<szubaark>  Exited all Long NQ at 1527 --> + 7.5 10:47
<NihabaAshi> ES, NQ and YM have already made new intraday highs since 0830am est...
  
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ER2 looks like it wants to do the same.
<szubaark> yup.ER holding this up10:48
<eminitrader>  Exited 1/3 ES Long @ 1286.25 --> + 4
<szubaark> nice emini.
<eminitrader> thx szu ..10:49
<Chilly>  Trailing Stop Hit YM @ 11226 --> + 21
<eminitrader> nice10:50
<Chilly> thx, you guys too10:51
<eminitrader> :)
<NihabaAshi>  #FuturesTrades Purpose -> No gurus here, no signal calling by a head trader and no intentions to educate. This room is being used by you as a realtime trade journal of trades (real money or simulator) and discussions are for you to add additional info to your brokerage statements. Do not mimic (shadow) the trades by others without their consent as stated at http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm10:52
<les>  Shorts ER2 @ 695.2

exit stop set ER2 @ 696.6

Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 694.7 --> + 0.5 10:53
<NihabaAshi> ER2 volatility dried up again...expecting a volatilty spike here soon.
<les>  exit stop moved to breakeven ER2 @ 695.2

Trailing Stop Hit ER2 @ 695.2 --> 0 10:54
<eminitrader>  exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 1282.25
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 695.10 -> small size

5 contracts10:55

:(10:56

Covered ER2 Short @ 695.00 --> + 0.1

Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 695.00 --> + 0.1 10:57

Had to dump it...trade entry error...saw something that really wasn't there.
<eminitrader> stil in the vacation mood :)10:58
<NihabaAshi> I think I got too aggressive on that trade and then that price illusion appeared...10:59

You know...ugly girls only giet pretty after a few drinks :)
<eminitrader> lol
how very true
<NihabaAshi> That's what that trade felt like.
<eminitrader> he he he11:00
<NihabaAshi> I just lost my Bearish bias in ER2.11:02

I'm now neutral.
<eminitrader>  Shorts ES @ 1286.25 11:18
Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 1285.25 --> + 1 11:25
Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 1284.25 --> + 2 11:32
<Chilly>  Shorts YM @ 11220

exit stop set YM @ 11219 11:33
<eminitrader>  exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 1286.25 11:34
that was a reverse acyually@1286.25
<Chilly>  Trailing Stop Hit YM @ 11219 --> + 1 11:35
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)
<les>  Long ER2 @ 695.8 11:36

Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 696.2 --> + 0.4 11:47
<NihabaAshi> EuroFX is trying hard to hold onto its gains...11:48
If it drops further, it could be in trouble.
<les>  Exited 1/3 ER2 Long @ 696.6 --> + 0.8

exit stop raised ER2 @ 695.9 11:49
<jperl> time for lunch.....no good trades for me today....11:50
http://charts.dacharts.com/2006-08-15/JP ERL_014.png
<eminitrader>  Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1286.25 --> 0
<les>  Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 697.3 --> + 1.5 11:51
<patterntrader> test11:59

hi all:)
<NihabaAshi> Hi pattern
<patterntrader> where is the posts?:)12:00
<NihabaAshi> What posts are you talking about :)
<patterntrader> i am short at 85.75

buy,sell:)

everybody busy:)12:01
<NihabaAshi> I hope so.
<patterntrader> ok
<NihabaAshi> By the way, its lunch time.
<patterntrader> i yake my lunch righy here always:)12:02

take

downtrend no time for lunch:)12:03
<NihabaAshi>  Reminder -> #FuturesTrades chat room trade logs are posted @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrad es.htm (logs will be updated tonight by 9pm est to current)12:05
<Chilly> bbl12:12
<NihabaAshi> :(12:21
ER2 volatility has dried up...expecting a volatility spike here soon.12:27
Long ER2 @ 695.50 -> small size 12:28
1 contract only
* les is now known as lesAway12:29
<NihabaAshi> Without the lunch crowd...just not worth it.12:30
<Fleneer> ES last 90 mins 5 min chart symetrical triangle which way will it break? Flip your favorite trading coin.12:33
<NihabaAshi>  Exited ER2 Long @ 696.10 --> + 0.6 12:36
* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_lunch
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)12:44
<eminitrader>  Shorts ES @ 1285.75 12:49

Covered all ES Short @ 1286.75 --> - 1 12:54
<Fleneer> Globex feed dead.13:17
back now.
<eminitrader>  Shorts ES @ 1285 13:24
<szubaark> emini looks like a fakeout13:34
<pat255> hi guys back for a little bit..13:36
* okiaz is now known as uzuiv
<eminitrader> similar pattern like yest..szu13:37
<pat255> yes ...but may hold today?
emini u guys S here?
<eminitrader> i'm from 128513:38
<pat255> kty
<eminitrader> can;t take trades based on may hold pat13:39
<pat255> very true...we shall c
<eminitrader> set-up triggerd a sell...so took it

will know soon if wrong :)
<pat255> but working so far
* NihabaAshi_lunch is now known as NihabaAshi13:41
<szubaark>  Shorts NQ @ 1530 13:42
exit stop set NQ @ 1532
<eminitrader> gap fill szu :))

a very low risk trade
<Chilly>  Shorts YM @ 11219 13:43
<szubaark> NQ having problems testing previous resistance "so far"
<eminitrader> i have a stop @ hod13:44
<szubaark> emini they shoudnt test HOD... if do they should go thru it13:45
<Chilly>  exit stop set YM @ 11228 13:47
<szubaark> they not going anywhere without putting up a Fight.13:49
<eminitrader> itis time it will break thru if tested13:50
itis=this
<pat255> break thru what level emini?13:52
<eminitrader> the hod13:53
<pat255> thks
<szubaark> Volatility spike coming up :))13:54
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)13:56
<szubaark>  exit stop set NQ @ 1530
its gotta go NOW or im out
<Chilly>  exit stop lowered YM @ 11218 13:57

Trailing Stop Hit YM @ 11218 --> + 1
<szubaark>  Covered all Short NQ at 1530 --> 0
Shorts NQ @ 1530.25 13:58
wrong..13:59
Buys NQ @ 1530.25
Big Fight here14:01
Exited all Long NQ at 1530 --> - 0.25 14:02
im gonna WAIT for this to develop. its all Noise now14:03
<eminitrader> u will be cahsing it szu

chasing
<szubaark> look just when u think its gonna break,they whack it back up14:04
<eminitrader> true..but like u said they wont let it go w/o a tough fight14:05
<szubaark> Support 1526 Resistance 1534 they@1530 now.. in the middle. Roll the dice either way14:06
<codehead> someone kick ulaii
<szubaark> emini i find lare in the day trading difficult because everyone outhere sees the patterns now and its just a Big fight for Ticks14:10
* ulaii is now known as ktbii14:11
<Chilly>  Long YM @ 11232 14:12
* lesAway is now known as les14:13
<szubaark> not touching this.14:14
* szubaark is now known as szubaark_away
<les>  Shorts ER2 @ 695.8
<eminitrader> i know what u mean szu
<szubaark_away> this is just Pro going against Pro..not worth it.14:15
<codehead> ya, cci swing from + extreme to - extereme, less than 30 pt Ym range, then back to + extreme
<les> wrong entry post14:16
Shorts ER2 @ 695.5
<Chilly>  exit stop set YM @ 11221 14:18

how bad to the longs want it? too choppy for this amateur.
<szubaark_away> yup.. leave this to the Pros with Fast connections and Super Computers.14:24
* izijk is now known as boiuz14:25
  

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<eminitrader>  Covered all ES Short @ 1287 --> - 2
<Chilly>  exit stop raised YM @ 11233 14:27

Trailing Stop Hit YM @ 11233 --> + 1

just glad to get out alive ... again
<pat255> k guys c u all later...ty14:34
<les>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 697.8 --> - 2.3 14:36

nutso
<jperl> Chilly---check PM14:55
<Chilly> how?

I see14:56

how do I reply?14:58
<jperl> you just did
<Chilly> ok
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)15:08
<pat255> wow hmmm rally ...& sticking too so far15:13
* bvkut is now known as ujzin15:21
<jperl> Done for the day....afternoon was better than morning...15:29

http://charts.dacharts.com/2006-08-15/JP ERL_015.png
<GoodMood> congrat jperl15:32
<jperl> tx
* ipiii is now known as jwbzp15:44
<PapaJon> bye all15:51
<Chilly> gn15:56
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)16:20
<NihabaAshi> Take care all and see all tomorrow16:22
* DisconnectedSession Close: Tue Aug 15 16:36:49 200616:36
  
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I don't always trade nor monitor the market from my home office. Sometimes I'll do such from one of my favorite nearby Wi-Fi hotspot or whenever I'm traveling via using this little Wi-Fi detection gadget I got from Think Geek that will show more than just the presence of any nearby signal and its signal strength. It has a 12-character LCD that provides information on signal availability and strength as well as essential network information, including SSID, security status and channel. When multiple networks are present the LCD me to scroll through information for each network.

 

  

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In addition, below are the trading instruments our chat room members monitor closely to make trade decisions:  

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CBOT mini-sized Dow Futures YM

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Euronext Futures FTSE-100 and CAC-40

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Treasury Futures T-Notes ZN, ZF and T-Bonds ZB

Forex Currencies EurUsd, EurYen and UsdCdn

Exchange Traded Funds DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, OIH, XLE and GLD  

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Last of all, if you have any questions about either #EminiFutures general market chat room, #FuturesTrades realtime trade posting room or the two realtime strategy discussion rooms used by traders with access to our fee-based strategies called #TheStrategyLab and #SwingTradingTSL...

Don't hesitate to ask your questions and we'll reply back as soon as possible.

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TheStrategyLab.com

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