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#FuturesTrades July 21st Monday 2008 Trade Log

 

Russell 2000 Emini ER2 Futures

Today Month Year
+0.00 +156.00 +2042.60
$0 $15,600 $204,260

Not Applicable

(on vacation)

No Trades (on vacation)

click on image to view actual size

 

Current Performance Record

Supply/Demand Change of the Day

Profit/Loss Statement

 

Trade Posting Chat Log Info: My name is M.A. Perry (a.k.a. online as NihabaAshi - martial arts & Japanese Candlestick term) and I am the moderator of #FuturesTrades.

I use the below chat log as feedback to critical trading information that's not available when I review my broker statements nor any statistical analysis of my trading.  Also, the above profit/loss info represents my trades only and all trades were posted in real-time within 5 seconds unless otherwise noted after entry or exit as shown in the below chat log.

Further, although I'm not familiar with the trade methods used by most members of #FuturesTrades, I use a rule based methodology (very objective) that involves price action only trading (no indicators). 

  There is some subjectivity involved with some of my trades when I'm developing a new entry signal, developing new trade management (hence the name TheStrategyLab.com) or when market conditions change resulting in me relying more on my market experience (intuition) instead of on my trading plan.

With that said, today's trade posting chat log is below and it contains all my trades that were posted in real-time along with the trades of other members of #FuturesTrades...

If you want the instructions for gaining access to our free #FuturesTrades chat room...click here.

   
  #FuturesTrades purpose, benefits and access info for day traders, swing traders and position traders...click here.
Time Zone Info Chat Log below is eastern standard time (est) - New York City, U.S.A and/or Montréal, Canada time zone.
  
WRB Analysis
  
Session Start: Mon Jul 21 00:00:00 2008Session Ident: #futurestrades
<@X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade because it provides critical information they can't get from broker statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not recommended without their permission. More info at www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChat Room.htm05:55
<starglazer> Bank of America Earns US$3.41 Billion or US$0.72 Per Share in Second Quarter07:02
<+starglazer> vs 0.53 street$
<Bambam-77> pos trgt is 1270 area07:09
<+Bambam-77> for russel look at 697 as pos trgt area07:19
<DJ> gm08:42
<ripsboy> gm all...09:13
<+DJ> gm09:14
<ItalianSharp> morning all09:18
<+DJ> gm
<PapaJon> gm all09:26
<+DJ> gm
<drt> gm everyone09:27
* subq market profile charts for today --- http://www.charthub.com/chart/search/mpc hart09:36
<szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 1265.75 «« paper »» 09:43
<+szubaark>  exit stop set ES @ 1267.50 «« paper »» 09:44

Covered all Short ES at 1267.50 --> - 1.75 «« paper »» 09:45

Shorts ES @ 1266.25 «« paper »» 09:48

exit stop set ES @ 1267.50 «« paper »» 09:49
<Awash> morning all09:50
<Brutus_> gm awash, gm guys
<+DJ> gm09:51
<startrader>  Long NQ @ 1838 09:54
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1267.50 --> - 1.25 «« paper »» 09:55
Shorts ES @ 1266 «« paper »»
Pinball type price action
exit stop set ES @ 1267.50 «« paper »» 09:57
<+Brutus_>  http://custom.marketwatch.com/custom/tda meritrade-com/html-story.asp?guid={d6158 c6c-110b-48b7-910c-bba6cee672ba}
<+startrader>  Exited 1/2 NQ Long @ 1840.25 --> + 2.25 09:58
Exited Remainder NQ Long @ 1839.25 --> + 1.25 09:59
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1267.50 --> - 1.5 «« paper »» 10:00

Shorts ES @ 1265.75 «« paper »» 10:01
<@X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade because it provides critical information they can't get from broker statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not recommended without their permission. More info at www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChat Room.htm10:04
<+startrader>  Shorts NQ @ 1837 10:05

Covered 1/2 NQ Short @ 1834.50 --> + 2.5 10:06

Covered Remainder NQ Short @ 1833 --> + 4 10:07
<jsbach> what types of charting software have the OHLC-attraction feature for drawing trend lines?
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1263.25 --> + 2.5 «« paper »» 10:08
<+startrader>  Long NQ @ 1832.25 10:09
Exited 1/2 NQ Long @ 1834.50 --> + 2.25 10:14
Exited Remainder NQ Long @ 1836.50 --> + 4.25
<+szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 1264.75 «« paper »» 10:15
<+Awash>  Shorts ES @ 1266 10:18
<+szubaark>  exit stop set ES @ 1266.75 «« paper »» 10:23
<KmartTrader> good morning guys10:24
<+KmartTrader> what time frame do you guys use? thanks.
<+startrader>  Long NQ @ 1831 10:25
<+szubaark> 2min,5,15,30 Daily,Weekly
<+startrader> blue light special timeframe, "for the next 15 mins shoppers!"10:26
<+szubaark>  exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 1264.75 «« paper »» 10:27
<+startrader>  Exited 1/2 NQ Long @ 1833.25 --> + 2.25
* codehead_afk is now known as codehead10:29
<+startrader>  Long NQ @ 1830.37 -> Add 10:30
exext a strong bounce off 1828 handle10:34
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1261.25 --> + 3.5 «« paper »» 10:35
<+Awash> nice exit Szu10:44
<+szubaark> thnx

Shorts ES @ 1263.75 «« paper »»
<+Awash> you sold the pullback szu10:48
you're aggressive today?
<+startrader>  Exited 1/2 NQ Long @ 1834 --> + 3.63 10:50
<+szubaark> no, just trying to reach get nice Profit cushion
Covered all Short ES at 1264.75 --> - 1 «« paper »»
<silo> my prediction is that we go up from here
<+silo> from today
<+DJ> silo, after today?
<+szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 1263.25 «« paper »»
<+silo> if we start to go up today

which is likely
<+DJ> ok
brutus, ty for calendar10:51
<+Brutus_> yw10:52
<+DJ> baxwill, are you in?
<+szubaark>  exit stop set ES @ 1264.75 «« paper »» 10:54
<+DJ> silo, will you look at a high breakout (resistance level) for a trend?10:56
<+szubaark> Volatility contracting, expecting Volatility spike soon
<TL-TradeLancer> szu, how do u measure vol? just give me short answer so I know your thinking...thks10:58
<+TL-TradeLancer> volatility10:59
<+szubaark> when u see candles getting smaller, volatility contracting, when they get wider,volatility expanding11:00
<+DJ> an additional question: how do predict?

szu,you have predicted in last week a couple of times

that I can recall
<KN-SR>  Shorts CL @ 1262.50 11:01
<+KN-SR> s.l 1.25
<+szubaark> u have to watch, it takes a while to learn
<+DJ> ok11:02
<+Awash> good commentary Szu, agree lots of screen time is necessary to learn accurately
<+silo>  Shorts ER2 @ 693.10 «« paper »» 11:03

kn trading cl today eh?
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1261.75 --> + 1.5 «« paper »» 11:04
<+TL-TradeLancer> TY szu
<+KN-SR> nop
thats es
my laptop
i m connect to my home pc11:05
let me fix it
connected
hmm should owrk
Covered 3/4 ES Short @ 1261.50 --> + 1
its a slow connection
<+Awash> lets see if we can set a new intraday low11:06
<+szubaark>  Buys ES @ 1262 «« paper »»
exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 1262 «« paper »» 11:07
<+KN-SR> we should have a bullish day today
<+TL-TradeLancer> well we're definitely trending sideways & building cause for something to launch price, the pattern this am looks like bullish flag setup11:10
<+KN-SR>  Shorts ES @ 63.00 11:15

s.l 1.2511:16

bbl11:17

this connection killing me
<+szubaark>  Exited all Long ES at 1262.75 --> + 0.75 «« paper »» 11:20
Buys ES @ 1264 «« paper »» 11:24
Exited all Long ES at 1263 --> - 1 «« paper »» 11:29
Shorts ES @ 1262 «« paper »» 11:32
<+startrader>  Long NQ @ 1828 11:33
<+KN-SR>  Long ES @ 61.75 11:34
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1262 --> 0 «« paper »»
<+KN-SR> s.l 1.2511:35
bbl
<+szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 1261.25 «« paper »» 11:36
<+startrader>  Long NQ @ 1825 -> Add 11:37
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1261.25 --> 0 «« paper »»

Buys ES @ 1261.75 «« paper »» 11:38

Exited all Long ES at 1260.25 --> - 1.5 «« paper »»

Shorts ES @ 1260.25 «« paper »»
<Trader> .11:52
<+Awash>  Covered 1/4 ES Short @ 1257 --> + 9 11:58

still holding 5
<+szubaark> nice
<+Brutus_> vn awash
<+Awash> thanks11:59
<+DJ> wow, awash!

nice
<+Awash> LOD on deck, maybe we stall here, or reverse
<+DJ> good signal
<+szubaark> most likelt whack Overnight Stops below12:00
<+DJ> er is approaching LOD 688.3

lower lows and lower highs

broke 200 period MA right before 9am pST

on 3 minute chart12:01

er only
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1256.25 --> + 4 «« paper »»
<+Awash> vn szu12:02
<+szubaark> thnx.. had to do a few reversals but was worth it
<+Brutus_> Good trade szu
<@X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade because it provides critical information they can't get from broker statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not recommended without their permission. More info at www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChat Room.htm12:10
* TL-TradeLancer is now known as JimL12:17
<werner> hi all13:09
<+szubaark> hi werner13:10
<+werner> hi szu13:11
<+Awash> howdy werner13:12
<+werner> yo awash13:13
<+DJ> bbl13:25
<+JimL> slow march to wipeout all short stops & not excite upside trend, will have to let the trend establish itself after lunch13:36
<+szubaark>  Shorts ES @ 1261.25 «« paper »» 13:46
<+starglazer>  Long ES @ 1260.75 13:48
<+szubaark>  exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 1261.25 «« paper »»

tight Stop13:49

Covered all Short ES at 1261.25 --> 0 «« paper »» 13:50
<+starglazer>  Exited all ES Long @ 1261.25 --> + 0.5 13:51
Long ES @ 1261.5 13:55
<+szubaark>  Buys ES @ 1262 «« paper »» 13:56

Exited all Long ES at 1261 --> - 1 «« paper »» 13:58

Shorts ES @ 1261 «« paper »» 13:59

Expecting Volatility spike soon14:00

exit stop set ES @ 1262 «« paper »» 14:02

Covered all Short ES at 1262 --> - 1 «« paper »» 14:03

Shorts ES @ 1260 «« paper »» 14:04
<+starglazer>  Long ES @ 1259.5 -> Add
<rickf> hi all14:07
<+szubaark> hey rick
<+starglazer>  Exited all ES Long @ 1260 --> - 1 14:09
<+rickf> fyi i won't be around for a week or so - got some projects to take care of
<+szubaark>  exit stop set ES @ 1261 «« paper »» 14:11

Covered all Short ES at 1260.25 --> - 0.25 «« paper »» 14:12
<@X>  #FuturesTrades Info ->  No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade because it provides critical information they can't get from broker statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not recommended without their permission. More info at www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChat Room.htm14:13
<+starglazer> ER2 on its own island14:17
<+szubaark>  Buys ES @ 1260 «« paper »» 14:18
still fighting unchanged for day here14:19
Exited all Long ES at 1260 --> 0 «« paper »» 14:21
Shorts ES @ 1259.25 «« paper »» 14:23
Covered all Short ES at 1260 --> - 0.75 «« paper »» 14:26
Buys ES @ 1260 «« paper »»
Volatility spike14:27
Exited all Long ES at 1258 --> - 2 «« paper »» 14:29
Shorts ES @ 1258 «« paper »»
huge whipsaws
<manto> azu whaich instrument u look at for the vol bars ?14:30
<+manto> to get a feel for the volatility
sorry szu14:31
<+szubaark> ES
<+rickf> i hate ranging markets :(14:33
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1259.25 --> - 1.25 «« paper »» 14:35

Buys ES @ 1259.25 «« paper »»

Exited all Long ES at 1257.50 --> - 1.75 «« paper »» 14:40

Buys ES @ 1257.50 «« paper »» 14:43

just creeping lower, tick by tick14:47
<+DJ> 1256 would form a double bottom today
<+szubaark> also, 3pm approaching, perfect scenario14:48
<+DJ> sorry triple bottom
there was a very early, pre-session low at that level
<+rickf> k all i'm outta here for a week or so. good trading, everyone!14:51
<+szubaark> bye rick
<+DJ> thx

have a good trip

last sig vol on ES was 25 minutes ago14:54
<+Awash> Lets see if we can set a new low14:59
<+DJ> yes
  
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   Trading Strategies ->   Strategies used by NihabaAshi, from entry to exit, exploit inefficiencies in the price action for profits of the following trading instruments via WRB Analysis and Intermarket Analysis: Emini Index Futures (EMD, ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Index Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Index Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Energy Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM), COMEX Metals Futures (GC), Forex Currencies (EurUsd, EurYen, UsdCdn), Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, OIH, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, XLE) and Hang Seng Index Futures (HSI) 
  
<+JimL> a ton of contracts have moved thru er2 since 2xtop @ 14:00, somethings bound to happen15:02
<+DJ> ty

9000 contracts in a minute on es15:06
<+szubaark> slow, controlled, down creep15:12
<+Awash>  it looks like the range is set15:21
<+starglazer> ER2 omgwtfbbq15:25
<+Awash>  Covered all ES Short @ 1259 --> + 7 15:27
<+szubaark> nice15:28
<+Awash> Covering all shorts, will reenter tomorrow or in overnight session, i was anticipating we would close a lot lower than the morning LOD

sell limit to enter short ES @ 1266

will post trade if i get filled overnight
<+DJ> ty15:29
<+Awash> good night all, have to take off and run errands15:36
<+DJ> gn
<+Awash> i'll chat tomorrow
<+DJ> and ty
<+Awash> all fills will be posted
<+DJ> grt
<+Awash> tomorrow
<+szubaark>  Exited all Long ES at 1257.50 --> 0 «« paper »» 15:38
Shorts ES @ 1257.50 «« paper »»
* Awash is now known as Awash_afk15:39
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1259 --> - 1.5 «« paper »» 15:40
Buys ES @ 1259 «« paper »»
bastids faking
<+DJ> 700 is good res point for er15:44
<+szubaark>  Exited all Long ES at 1258] --> - 1 «« paper »» 15:46
Shorts ES @ 1258 «« paper »»
last trade,killer whipsaws
would be nice if they tank this, need the frikin points15:51
In hindsight, my last trade should have been at 11:50 AM Eastern time15:52
<+DJ> gn
<+szubaark>  Covered all Short ES at 1260 --> - 2 «« paper »» 15:57
today was some of the worst chop ive seen in a while16:00
<+starglazer> i agree16:06

the ER2 was the one to trade
<@X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade because it provides critical information they can't get from broker statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not recommended without their permission. More info at www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChat Room.htm16:19
<+werner> gn all16:28
#FuturesTrades Info ->  Close: Tue Jul 22 00:00:00 200822:31
  
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#FuturesTrades past logs can be searched via using Google. For example, pretend you want to research what has been said about volatility analysis. Go to the Google search window below and type in "volatility analysis" site:thestrategylab.com (exactly as I typed it including the quotation marks) and you will find everything associated with those key words that were used by any member of  #FuturesTrades.

  

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We are proud to say that our chat room members are from the following geographical areas in the world:

Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Hong Kong (China), Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Portugal, Puerto Rico (U.S.), Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Spain, United States and Venezuela.

In addition, below are the trading instruments our chat room members monitor closely to make trade decisions:  

CME Emini Futures EMD, ER2, ES and NQ   

CBOT mini-sized Dow Futures YM

Eurex Index Derivatives (futures) DAX and DJ Euro Stoxx50

Eurex Fixed Income Derivatives BUND, BOBL and Schatz

Euronext Futures FTSE-100 and CAC-40

CME Futures EuroFX EC

Treasury Futures T-Notes ZN, ZF and T-Bonds ZB

Forex Currencies EurUsd, EurYen and UsdCdn

Exchange Traded Funds DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, OIH, XLE and GLD  

NYMEX Energies Light Crude Oil CL, e-miNY QM and Natural Gas NG

COMEX Metals Gold GC and ZG

Hang Seng Index Futures HSI

Last of all, if you have any questions about any of the above commentary, specific trades et cetera...

Don't hesitate to ask your questions and we'll reply back as soon as possible.

Sincerely,

M.A. Perry and Associates

TheStrategyLab.com

 questions@thestrategylab.com

"The point of this whole exercise is to make money. Everything else is just conversation." --Jonathan Hoenig

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