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#FuturesTrades June 19th Tuesday 2007 Trade Log

 

Russell 2000 Emini ER2 Futures

Today Month Year
+11.30 +166.40 +1546.80
$1,130 $16,640 $154,680

click on image to view actual size

 

Current Performance Record

Charting Commodity Market Price Behavior

Profit/Loss Statement

 

General Chat Room/Log Info: The above points along with profit/loss info represents trades by M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi) only and all trades were posted in realtime as shown in the below chat log.

Also, #FuturesTrades is free to any trader and I am the only trader in #FuturesTrades that represents TheStrategyLab.com

My main function in #FuturesTrades is to be the moderator and I use the chat room as more eyes on the markets to help prevent missing critical market info that have impact on my trades.

#FuturesTrades is not a signal calling chat room and all users are required to post at least one trade (real money or simulator) per day of use.

General Strategy Info: Although I'm not familiar with the trade methods used by most members of #FuturesTrades, I use a rule based (no subjectivity) methodology that involves WRB Analysis.

However, I use other key variables integrated with WRB Analysis that involves simple concepts of intermarket analysis, market seasonal tendencies, volatility analysis, support/resistance zones and position size management along with custom Japanese Candlestick patterns to complete my trading plan that results in consistent profits.

All of my trades and commentary for today's market action (posted below) are via the user name NihabaAshi (Japanese Candlestick term) and I exclusively trade the Russell 2000 Emini ER2 futures even though I closely monitor other key markets in the world.

To learn more about my methods, the links below will provide the info you need.

Trading Reports (fee-based content for traders that want access to our reliable/profitable strategies)

WRB Analysis Tutorials (free and fee-based content to help improve your own strategies)

With that said, today's trade posting chat log is below and it contains all my trades that were posted in realtime along with the trades of other members of #FuturesTrades.

Further, if you want the instructions for gaining access to our free #FuturesTrades chat room...click here.

   
  #FuturesTrades purpose, benefits and access info for day traders, swing traders and position traders...click here.
Session Start: Tue Jun 19 09:27:46 2007Session Ident: #futurestrades
* Now talking in #futurestrades09:27
<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm
<PapaJon> gm all09:28
<intowin> gm
<pat255> gm all...looks like buy this drop..
<RussellDaytrade> I have a possible 846.93 downside09:29
<venedom> gm again09:31
<Awash> good morning all09:32
<venedom>  Shorts ER2 @ 850.7 09:33

Covered all ER2 Short @ 851.20 --> - 0.5 09:34
<base> gm all09:35
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 851.00 -> large size 09:39

:(

Covered 2/3 ER2 Short @ 849.80 --> + 1.2 09:41
<pat255> good start niha ..09:42
<eminitrader>  Shorts ES @ 1443 09:44
<NihabaAshi>  Covered ER2 Short @ 849.00 --> + 2 09:49
Holding 1 contract remainder
<eminitrader>  Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 1541.50 --> - 98.5

repost09:50

Shorts ES @ 1543

Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 1541.50 --> + 1.5

better now
<base> better :)
<eminitrader> :)
<NihabaAshi>  exit stop lowered ER2 @ 849.80 09:51
I have some data problems...09:52
When I close this position or if it produces another WRB pt level further down...
I'm going to log off and reboot my entire network.09:53
<Brutus> any news items today?
<NihabaAshi> Will take about 8mins.
<eminitrader>  Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 1541 --> + 2 09:54
<RussellDaytrade> I think that was it
<PapaJon> just earlier housing numbers
<NihabaAshi>  Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 848.70 --> + 2.3
  
Trading Edge: 

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If your an independent trader looking for an edge to help you traverse around obstacles to profitable trading...a method that's well defined, gives you a better understanding of the markets, applicable for day trading, position trading, swing trading, market seasonal tendencies, position size management with a money back guaranteed policy...click here.
   Trading Strategies ->   These strategies, from entry to exit,  will exploit inefficiencies in the price action of your trading instrument for profits in the following trading instruments via WRB Analysis: Emini Index Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Index Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Index Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Energy Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM), Forex Currencies (EurUsd, EurYen, UsdCdn), Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, OIH, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, XLE) and Hang Seng Index Futures (HSI) 
  
<Brutus> thx09:55
<PapaJon> there is state street investor confidecne
in 5 mins
<NihabaAshi> My charts went dead...can't see anything...be back soon.
<Brutus> dax bounced of 8010 - pullback to prior BO09:56
* DisconnectedSession Close: Tue Jun 19 09:56:46 2007
 Session Start: Tue Jun 19 10:05:34 2007Session Ident: #futurestrades
* Now talking in #futurestrades10:05
<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTra desChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrad es.htm
<intowin> shorts es 1542.50 1544 stop10:06
<eminitrader>  Covered ES Short @ 1542 --> + 1 10:08
Reverse and Enter Long ES @ 1542
<RussellDaytrade> I think it may have reached bottom prices, but it also feels like there isn't much of a bounce in store, ie, muted/less than normal, etc10:10
<Awash>  Long ES @ 1541.75 10:11
<RussellDaytrade> we have two days of overhead overhang, directly above10:13
<eminitrader>  Exited all ES Long @ 1541 --> - 1 10:14
<intowin> covered es @ 1541.25 + 1 +1.2510:16
<eminitrader>  Long ES @ 1541.75 10:17
<Awash>  Long ES @ 1542 -> Add 10:18
<eminitrader>  Exited 1/3 ES Long @ 1542.50 --> + 0.75 10:20
might see some easing of selling pressure if 1543.25 is taken out
<Awash> i'm watching that level10:21
<RussellDaytrade> I think it is in upmode now, but it it going to have to work to get up there, no easy levitations10:22
<eminitrader> yep maybe a couple of pionts tthere
<Awash>  Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1543.75 --> + 1.75
<intowin> Nice going guys10:23
<eminitrader>  Exited 1/3 ES Long @ 1543.50 --> + 1.75
<Awash> let's see if we close this gap
<pat255> vn guys ...geez caught between this chop..10:26
<eminitrader> stop @ b/e ...be back10:28
<RussellDaytrade> all out on the long10:31
<Awash>  Exited all ES Long @ 1544.75 --> + 3
<intowin> Long yg 659.60 stop at 659 gold10:32
<eminitrader>  Exited ES Long @ 1545.25 --> + 3.5 10:34

Reverse and Enter Short ES @ 1545.25
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)
<pat255> em killing the mkt both sides ..well done ..
<eminitrader>  Shorts ES @ 1546.25 -> Add 10:35
thx pat10:36
<Awash> pullback or reversal at Resistance (PDC area as R)?10:45

any thoughts
<eminitrader>  Shorts ES @ 1545.75 -> Add 10:46
res area here shld see a pullback at least till 1542-154410:47
<intowin> shorts es 1545.75 sorry late10:48
<eminitrader> looks like this is the high for the day
ast least till the pm session
<Awash> k
<eminitrader> talking probabilities here A...10:49
just replying to ur Q ...my thoghts :))
<Awash> exactly

good input

i'm looking to get long on a pullback10:50

so far PA traded back to 1544.25
<eminitrader> like i said just probabilities based on where is mrkt is as of now
yep ..missed my target 1 by 1 tick :(10:51
but solid res here...as per my charts
<Awash> agree
<pat255> ah ha now that em mantion charts ..wish he cud post 1-2 sometimes ...10:52
<eminitrader> holding 20 shorts ...so it better work :)
<pat255> geez lord ...oh my em u have big cjones ..
<eminitrader> nice price area ...low risk high potential10:54

avg 1545.75
<intowin> 44.25 first target E?
<eminitrader> yes itw for first lot
<venedom>  Shorts ER2 @ 852.90 -> small size 10:57
<Awash> PA consolidating since 9:30 CST10:59
<venedom>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 852.30 --> + 0.6 11:02
<jperl> ER2 @ yesterday's VWAP, 852.49
<intowin> covered ES 1544.25 + 1.5011:04
<eminitrader> chAnge in my tarhets11:07
<intowin> np here I am happy with any profit. so far I am three for three stil holding gold11:08
<eminitrader>  Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 1543.75 --> + 2

will hold remaing for some time
<intowin> another plus ten possible for you E11:09
<eminitrader> very much so ..itw ...lts wait and see if it unfolds
<jperl> done for the morning....trades here....11:28
http://charts.dacharts.com/2007-06-19/JP ERL_015.png
<eminitrader>  Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 1543.25 --> + 2 11:29

holding 7 stop @ b/e11:31

exit stop moved to breakeven ES @ 1545.75 11:32
<Awash> good trading
<eminitrader> thx A ..
<RussellDaytrade> just now hitting my down targets on the er at / near 849.87, :), (give or take an iota)11:34
two minutes early, even
<jperl> ER2 @ VWAP 850.2911:40

time for lunch
<eminitrader>  Covered ES Short @ 1542.75 --> + 2.5 11:44
holding 2
<intowin> re-entered short 1544.25 ES11:52
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 851.30 -> small size 11:54
intuition trade
Shorts ER2 @ 851.50 -> Add 11:59
total of 2 contracts now
<eminitrader>  Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1545.75 --> - 0.5 12:00
<NihabaAshi>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 852.00 --> - 1.2
<intowin> covered ES 1545.50 - 1.2512:01
<eminitrader> solid bounce right from support area on the ES12:02
<Awash> no turning back12:03
<eminitrader> yep ...think i'm done for the day...s12:04
<Awash> good job
<eminitrader> thx
<pat255> S trapped & moving it up..12:05
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 853.60 -> small size
Exited all ER2 Long @ 853.80 --> + 0.2 12:07
Shorts ER2 @ 853.50 -> small size 12:10
<pat255> k guys back to office ty all..12:11
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 853.60 -> Add 12:13
2 contracts now
Covered ER2 Short @ 854.40 --> - 0.9 12:15
Reverse and Enter Long ER2 @ 854.40
Covered ER2 Short @ 853.90 --> + 0.5 12:17
Reverse and Enter Long ER2 @ 853.90
<intowin> sold yg 663.0 +3.4012:18
<NihabaAshi> Ooops...
I'm Short @ 853.90 and I took a loss of -0.5 on the Long
Shorts ER2 @ 853.90 -> small size 12:19
Shorts ER2 @ 853.90 -> Add 12:20
large size short
* codehead_afk is now known as codehead12:27
<NihabaAshi>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 853.30 --> + 0.6 and +0.6 12:29
<NihabaAshi_away> Caught a WRB pt1 exit on that Short to clean up the prior losses.12:37
* NihabaAshi was kicked by NihabaAshi_away (NihabaAshi)
<NihabaAshi_away> Got some connection problems on IRC
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY) 12:46
<RussellDaytrade> just fulfilled my larger structure up target12:54
may be emerging above the downtrendline I noted yesterday12:55
possible 852.3 on a dnleg13:01
<intowin> short es 154813:29

covered es 1546.75 +1.2513:36
<eminitrader>  Long ES @ 1546.76
2 only
Long ES @ 1546.75
missed t1 by 1 tick again :(13:43
exit stop raised ES @ 1546.25 13:49
Exited all ES Long @ 1546.25 :(( --> + 1546.25 :(( - 1546.75 13:54
Long ES @ 1546.50 14:01
2 only14:02
<intowin> think we topped out today14:04
<eminitrader>  Exited all ES Long @ 1545.25 --> - 1.25
<RussellDaytrade> closed 3/4 of short...852.9 was and is my target on this move, with a minute remaining! close enuf!14:09

I htink it has embarked on a larger structure dnleg, that may carry it further down, given more time14:10

glad I took most of it off!14:11
<Awash>  Emini, got time for a question?14:12
<eminitrader> go ahead A
<RussellDaytrade> I will be posting in invisible ink for a while
<eminitrader> :))14:13
<Awash> you wrote this earlier, "[11:03] <eminitrader> solid bounce right from support area on the ES" how did you determine this area 1542.75 as Support when the LOD was at 1540.50 area?
<eminitrader> u refering to this post [10:47:41] <eminitrader> res area here shld see a pullback at least till 1542-154414:15
<Awash> yes
  
WRB Analysis
  
<venedom>  Shorts ER2 @ 855
<eminitrader> that was the supparea for that upswing we saw make new highs
<Awash> that was a 2 point range, do you look at previous reaction highs and breakout areas for support?14:16

i'll post a chart
<eminitrader> yes for confirmation only that area was basically a cluster of
<RussellDaytrade> EM, what software program you use for charting? does it auto-calculate your fib targets, or do you manually impose them onto the charts?
<eminitrader> no program RD ...just tradestation which is my trading platform14:17
<Awash> http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/attachment .php?s=&postid=1505245
<eminitrader> yes RD i set it up to calculate the fibs14:18
<RussellDaytrade> so you drag n drop fibs that calculate off of price points, etc
<eminitrader> just the highs/lows from where i want them
pretty much rd14:19
<RussellDaytrade> the er may now be setting up to re-establish into a lower target
<eminitrader> price pionts r a better term :)
<RussellDaytrade> same dif, as they are generally highs and lows14:20

my targets are in the 851.5 area, so not much downside, realtively, if it achieves it14:21
<venedom>  Covered all ER2 Short @ 854 --> + 1
<eminitrader> nice one A - thats basically a template of my mrkt flow...
<jperl> ER2 peak volume now 855.00, VWAP @ 851.83
<Awash> cool

i also look at 5min along side

with Volume on 5 minute chart14:22
<eminitrader> i look @ 1.5,15.30.60 ...but just for confirmation of critical price pionts14:23
my set-ups are triggered on the 3 min
<Awash> k

i use to get whacked on the 3 min
<eminitrader> use the 1 min for trailing stops ...but kinda limited
<venedom>  Long ER2 @ 854 14:25
<Awash> what's you all opinion about the big picture of ES PA currently, we've failed to set a new high on the daily above May's high of 1558
?
<neo> hello everyone - a little q : is someone getting long on ES near 1545 ?14:26
* NihabaAshi_away is now known as NihabaAshi
<Awash> every attempt higher we sell off14:27

like yesterday

and today at 1551

i use the daily chart to gauge overall direction and use this to concentrate most of my positions whether long or short based on bullish or bearish conditions14:28
<eminitrader> my read : key # is around 1555 that corelates to around 1540 on the SPif that breks i wld expect a brekout to new highs before any significant pullbeck/correction14:29
<venedom>  Exited all ER2 Long @ 854 --> 0 14:30
<eminitrader> neo - mrkt flow is now showing a higher probability of testing the low14:31
<neo> ok thanks
<eminitrader> so long @ this level are a low probabbility trade ...see my earlier entirs and exits
<Awash> do you consider the last pullback near the 1500 on ESU7 a weak advance considering the volume was low?
<RussellDaytrade> that er is sticky today14:32
<eminitrader> k there we go as i was typing

i dont look @ volume A ..not on the indices
<neo> i just connected so i can't read the mess of the morning - (or i don't know how to do it)14:33
<Awash> k
<RussellDaytrade> feels like its running outta downside thrust, though visually, it looks lower, like its going in slo-mo...sticky, darned thing14:38
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 853.80 -> small size 14:40
<eminitrader> looks like a long scalp @ around 1444.25 with atight stop may just abt work14:45
<X>  #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)14:46
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 853.50 -> Add 14:52
Exited 1/2 ER2 Long @ 854.00 --> + 0.5 14:54
Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 854.20 --> + 0.4 14:55
<eminitrader> looks like we missed the entry by 2 ticks :(

see u all tomorow14:58
<Awash> later
<intowin> I am outta here also cu
<eminitrader> later guys14:59
<ItalianSharp> later emini, intowin
<RussellDaytrade> cu
<jperl> done for the day....P/L here....15:14

http://charts.dacharts.com/2007-06-19/JP ERL_016.png
<NihabaAshi>  Shorts ER2 @ 854.90 -> small size 15:26
Shorts ER2 @ 855.30 -> Add 15:28
Always tough to trade after 3:30pm est15:33
Freaky stuff happens :)15:34
That was almost a WRB pt1 (shallow one) :(15:35
<ItalianSharp> yep, tough indeed15:36

yesterday i traded until 4.15pm sharp...it wasnt nice
<NihabaAshi> My performance after 3:30pm est usually sucks...
<ItalianSharp> lots of noise, lots of traders needing to close positions...bad fills...tough trading indeed15:37
<NihabaAshi> Need to find something that consistently works in it with all the choppy price action.
Covered ER2 Short @ 856.50 --> - 1.6 15:38
Reverse and Enter Long ER2 @ 856.50
Exited all ER2 Long @ 857.00 --> + 0.5 15:40
Still a rodeo ride.15:41
<neo> hmm ES really rebounced from 1545 area..15:43
<NihabaAshi>  Long ER2 @ 856.90 -> small size 15:45
Exited all ER2 Long @ 857.20 --> + 0.3 15:47
Take care all and see all tomorrow.16:09
* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_away
* DisconnectedSession Close: Tue Jun 19 16:33:58 200716:33
  
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In addition, below are the trading instruments our chat room members monitor closely to make trade decisions:  

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CBOT mini-sized Dow Futures YM

Eurex Index Derivatives (futures) DAX and DJ Euro Stoxx50

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Forex Currencies EurUsd, EurYen and UsdCdn

Exchange Traded Funds DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, OIH, XLE and GLD  

NYMEX Energies Light Crude Oil CL, e-miNY QM and Natural Gas NG

COMEX Metals Gold GC

Hang Seng Index Futures HSI

Last of all, if you have any questions about any of the above commentary, specific trades et cetera...

Don't hesitate to ask your questions and we'll reply back as soon as possible.

Sincerely,

M.A. Perry and Associates

TheStrategyLab.com

 questions@thestrategylab.com

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