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WRB Analysis
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| Session Start: Wed May 21 09:28:36 2008Session Ident: #FuturesTrades |
* Now | talking in #FuturesTrades | 09:28 |
<@X> | [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm |
<tzar> | gm NihabaAshi |
<Flex> | morning |
<drt> | good morning | 09:30 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Good morning all |
<rickf> | gm |
<gary> | gm |
<T-stop> | gm |
<anglo> | gm | 09:31 |
<szubaark> | Shorts ES @ 1416 «« paper »» |
<PapaJon> | gm all | 09:33 |
<+rickf> | short es 1416 paper |
<Pepe> | gm all | 09:35 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Shorts ER2 @ 737.80 -> medium size | 09:36 |
| intuition only |
| Covered ER2 Short @ 739.40 --> - 1.6 | 09:37 |
<+rickf> | reverse now long es 1417 -1 paper | 09:38 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Long ER2 @ 740.50 -> medium size |
<KN-ES> | Shorts ES @ 1418.50. | 09:40 |
<+rickf> | exit es 1418.50 +1 paper |
<+KN-ES> | sl 2 | 09:41 |
<+rickf> | grr |
| short es 1418.25 paper | 09:44 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Exited 1/2 ER2 Long @ 743.20 --> + 2.7 | 09:46 |
<+tzar> | nice NihabaAshi |
<+T-stop> | nice patience |
<@NihabaAshi> | Tough trading because key markets are not in sync...all over the place. | 09:48 |
| Simply, ER2 is on its own |
<+KN-ES> | Covered 3/4 ES Short @ 1417 --> + 1418.50. - 1417 | 09:49 |
| ! |
| Shorts ES @ 1418.50 |
| Covered 3/4 ES Short @ 1417 --> + 1.5 | 09:50 |
| humm |
<@NihabaAshi> | Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 741.50 --> + 1 |
<+tzar> | nice KN-ES |
<+KN-ES> | Covered 1/4 ES Short @ 1416.50 --> + 2 |
| thanks |
| h 8 |
<+rickf> | exit es 1416 +2.25 paper | 09:51 |
<+KN-ES> | nice rickf | 09:53 |
<+rickf> | thx kn |
<+Andy> | vn rickf |
<@NihabaAshi> | Shorts ER2 @ 740.80 -> small size |
<+rickf> | thx |
<+szubaark> | nice rick |
<+KN-ES> | Covered 1/4 ES Short @ 1416 --> + 2.5 | 09:54 |
| h 7 |
<+rickf> | txh |
| er thx |
<@NihabaAshi> | Covered all ER2 Short @ 740.40 --> + 0.4 | 09:56 |
| :( |
| Shorts ER2 @ 739.90 -> medium size | 09:57 |
<Widgetman> | damn |
<@NihabaAshi> | tough to hold that prior short (late entry)... |
<+Widgetman> | oops |
| sorry |
<@NihabaAshi> | Will be tougher to hold this follow-through trade | 09:58 |
<+Widgetman> | rug pull |
<+KN-ES> | Covered 1/4 ES Short @ 1415.50 --> + 3 | 09:59 |
| h6 |
<+rickf> | short es 1415 paper |
<+Widgetman> | VN KN | 10:00 |
<+KN-ES> | Covered 1/4 ES Short @ 1414.50 --> + 4 |
| thanks |
| h5 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Covered 3/4 ER2 Short @ 738.70 --> + 1.2 | 10:01 |
<dragon310> | long er 738.8 | 10:02 |
<+dragon310> | reverse short er 738.8 | 10:03 |
| covered er 739.20 --> -04 L( | 10:04 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 739.50 --> + 0.4 |
<+dragon310> | short er 740.40 | 10:06 |
| covered er er 738.40 --> +2 | 10:07 |
<+rickf> | exit 1/2 es 1414 +1 paper | 10:09 |
| get the feeling we're entering a chop zone |
<+KN-ES> | Covered 1/4 ES Short @ 1413.50 --> + 5 |
| h4 |
<+rickf> | h4 target 1413 | 10:10 |
<+Widgetman> | dang well played KN |
| ya may get ya 02 tgt |
| hehe |
<+tzar> | verry well played |
<+KN-ES> | thanks | 10:11 |
<+rickf> | exit remainder es 1414 +1 paper |
<@NihabaAshi> | Long ER2 @ 739.90 -> small size | 10:14 |
| Exited ER2 Long @ 738.50 --> - 1.4 | 10:16 |
<+rickf> | :( |
<@NihabaAshi> | It knew where the stops were at...sliced right through like a hot knife in butter |
<+Widgetman> | TRIN > 1.2 hard for long plays for me | 10:17 |
| I try to work TRIN side |
<+anglo> | nice short at 18.50 KN. I almost saw it realtime. |
<+tzar> | yea i followed it print for print |
<+szubaark> | weak support here |
<@NihabaAshi> | Long ER2 @ 738.70 -> medium size | 10:18 |
<+anglo> | almost doesnt count however. |
<+Widgetman> | 38.3 S line for me |
| fwiw |
| then 34.2 area |
<+anglo> | I remembered 18 zone from yest |
<@NihabaAshi> | :( | 10:19 |
<+szubaark> | markets not in sync |
<+KN-ES> | will see 15.75 again |
<+tzar> | good place to short KN-ES? | 10:20 |
<+anglo> | [10:17] <+anglo> nice short at 18.50 KN. I almost saw it realtime. |
| [10:17] <+tzar> yea i followed it print for print |
<+szubaark> | Covered all Short ES at 1416 --> 0 «« paper »» | 10:21 |
<+anglo> | can you describe what you saw tzar please? |
<@NihabaAshi> | Exited all ER2 Long @ 739.50 --> + 0.8 |
<+KN-ES> | someday we all will learn from my mistake |
<@NihabaAshi> | geeesh :( |
<+tzar> | on the way up, there was lots of big green prints ( big i mean over 150) |
| way more then red prints , and red were very small in comparison | 10:22 |
| it only cooled down at 19 |
| that should have been an excelent entry point |
| Flex took 19 |
<+anglo> | kewl tzar. thanks. will review. |
<+tzar> | then crazy selling begun |
| red prints of at least 300 | 10:23 |
<+szubaark> | Shorts ES @ 1415.50 «« paper »» |
<+anglo> | by the time I saw the selling the price had already dropped |
<+tzar> | all the way down to about 15 |
| yes, crazy selling happened |
<+anglo> | I noticed KN entry was on the way up...ie before 19.25 printed |
<+tzar> | he got 18.50 i belive | 10:24 |
<+anglo> | yes...but on the way UP |
<@NihabaAshi> | volatility flatlined |
<+tzar> | yes |
| but he knows stuff |
| anglo, you know what helps | 10:25 |
<+anglo> | surely you are joking Mr. tzar!...hehe |
<+tzar> | i opened 2 time and sales windows |
| one of them shows filtered, orders over 150+ |
<+anglo> | kewl |
<+dragon310> | long 740.30 | 10:26 |
<+rickf> | i dont get t&s data :( |
<+KN-ES> | rickf, who is ur data provider? |
<+rickf> | broker is open ecry |
<+tzar> | the
way i understood KN-ES yesterday, once you see that either red or green
dominates for a while, you wait for it to calm down, and enter the
opposite. so if its green that dominates, you take a short once you see
calm from green side | 10:27 |
<+rickf> | not t&s in terms of size lots |
<+dragon310> | covered 740 --> -03 |
<+anglo> | yeah. KN is a gawd amongst insects...an X-man! ... hehe | 10:28 |
| he surely is generous too, describing his stuff. | 10:29 |
<+tzar> | KN-ES did you assemble your monster PC? | 10:30 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Shorts ER2 @ 739.00 -> small size |
| 1030am est EIA Petroleum Status Report just released | 10:31 |
<BigDawg291> | just dropped wuick on Oil |
<+tzar> | red dominates right now |
| but KN-ES is short bias |
| conflicting indicators |
| haha |
| meanigs stay away from longs |
<Splurge> | wow crude figs complete surprise | 10:32 |
<+Widgetman> | my rule is if TRIN > 1.2 |
| hide long btn |
| < 1.2 hide short |
| fwiw |
<+szubaark> | Huhe spike on Oil |
<+tzar> | my rule is, if KN-ES short, do not take long |
<+Widgetman> | lol |
| good rule |
| NEVER fade KN |
<+tzar> | lol |
<@NihabaAshi> | punks not giving me a fill :( | 10:33 |
<+KN-ES> | Covered 1/4 ES Short @ 1413 --> + 5.5 |
<+Widgetman> | this is distribution imo |
<+KN-ES> | h3 |
<+Widgetman> | dang KN |
| how many ya got ? |
| hehe |
<+tzar> | well Widgetman |
| you see all those 800+ prints on time and sales? | 10:34 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Covered ER2 Short @ 738.60 --> + 0.4 |
<+tzar> | thats KN-ES haha |
<+Widgetman> | lol |
<+Splurge> | KN uses cursor arrows on his keyboard to move mkt lol |
<+tzar> | lol |
<@NihabaAshi> | Shorts ER2 @ 738.30 -> small size | 10:35 |
<+anglo> | [10:29] <+anglo> he surely is generous too, describing his stuff. | 10:36 |
<@NihabaAshi> | ER2 fighting hard to keep its support level :( | 10:37 |
<+PapaJon> | yes... very jumpy |
<@NihabaAshi> | Covered ER2 Short @ 739.70 --> - 1.4 |
<+dragon310> | short er 793.7 | 10:38 |
<+szubaark> | Covered all Short ES at 1414 --> + 1.5 «« paper »» |
| tough to stay in a position due to the shakes | 10:39 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Long ER2 @ 739.80 -> medium size |
| Pin Ball Machine price action | 10:40 |
<+rickf> | choppy |
<@NihabaAshi> | It's a bronco buck rodeo ride :( |
<+KN-ES> | Dax is the only instrument not that choppy :) | 10:41 |
<+dragon310> | covered er 740 --> -03 |
<+tzar> | KN-ES, what do you think of scalping from 15 to 13 |
<+rickf> | question for those who track volume -- do you use basic volume numbers, the b/a imbalance, or a particular indicator? |
<+KN-ES> | got in 7126 and now its 7071 ........... no trouble..... 50+ pts |
<@NihabaAshi> | Exited ER2 Long @ 740.20 --> + 0.4 |
<+rickf> | still trying to see what works best for me on that aspect |
<@NihabaAshi> | I'm stying on the sidelines and will just watch for awhile |
<+Splurge> | 50+ points on dax? |
<@NihabaAshi> | Pin Ball Maching price action is not for me. | 10:42 |
<+rickf> | right
now it's a combination of the MFI, volume, and b/a imbalances -- but
too many things to eyebakk i think, even though it seems to be working |
<+KN-ES> | 58 pts to be the exact |
| dax is now 7067 |
<+Andy> | rickf...what is MFI? |
<+rickf> | money flow indicator | 10:43 |
<+Splurge> | reckon you just bought all of it then |
<+KN-ES> | arround 6 in the morning |
<+szubaark> | Buys ES @ 1414 «« paper »» |
<+Andy> | I don't use any mathematically derived indicators...they were invented to mislead retail, imho |
<+KN-ES> | [09:47:46]
<tzar> KN-ES, what do you think of scalping from 15 to 13
................. >> this is a trending market, not very ok for
scalping | 10:44 |
| i think |
<+rickf> | andy - i agree but they can be assistive as long as you don't use 'em only to signal things |
<+dragon310> | im bias to the downside... |
<+rickf> | ie common sense/wisdom prevails :) |
<+dragon310> | but with them holding er up for some reason |
<+Widgetman> | till TRIN < 1.2 |
| I biased dn too | 10:45 |
<+tzar> | KN-ES, im just looking at the last 15 min on 1min chart, it goes from 15 to 13 many times |
| but i will take your word for it |
<+KN-ES> | Covered 1/4 ES Short @ 1412.50 --> + 6 | 10:47 |
| h2 |
<+Andy> | Long ES @ 1412.75 «« paper »» |
<+Widgetman> | what does the h2 mean ? | 10:48 |
<+rickf> | short es 1412.50 sm sz |
<+tzar> | holding 2 |
<+Widgetman> | ahhh |
| th |
| now I get it |
| duh |
| hehe |
<+Andy> | Exited all ES Long @ 1411.75 --> - 1 «« paper »» |
<+Widgetman> | 40.2 my er short line |
| fwiw |
| I workin it when I can get filled | 10:49 |
| 38.3 buy |
| but I pssin on buys |
<+KN-ES> | Covered 1/4 ES Short @ 1411.50 --> + 7 |
| h 1 |
<+rickf> | exit es 1411.50 +1 paper |
<+KN-ES> | we are looking at strong support 9.25 - 10.25 | 10:50 |
<+dragon310> | wow should have traded ym this morning with my down bias |
<+rickf> | k all back in a bit |
<+Widgetman> | Ym weaker | 10:51 |
| all am |
| like I said | 10:53 |
| I passin on buys |
| hehe |
| till TRIN comes dn |
<+KN-ES> | Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1409.50 --> + 9 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Shorts ER2 @ 736.80 -> small size | 10:54 |
<+tzar> | well done KN-ES |
| squized everything out of this |
<@NihabaAshi> | intuition |
<+KN-ES> | 1412 should be a good place to short |
| or 8.25 |
<@NihabaAshi> | now a support area trying to form :( | 10:55 |
<+Widgetman> | thx KN | 10:56 |
<+KN-ES> | and 15.50 should be a good place to consider long | 10:58 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Covered ER2 Short @ 737.60 --> - 0.8 |
<+KN-ES> | Shorts ES @ 1409.75 | 10:59 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Shorts ER2 @ 737.20 -> medium size |
<+KN-ES> | Covered 3/4 ES Short @ 1408.75 --> + 1 | 11:00 |
<+Widgetman> | my vol div triger fired on ES |
| fwiw |
| long sig |
<+KN-ES> | sl 11.75 |
| add 1409.25 | 11:02 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Covered all ER2 Short @ 735.80 --> + 1.4 | 11:04 |
<+KN-ES> | Covered ES Short @ 1409.25 --> + 0.5 |
| Reverse and Enter Long ES @ 1409.25 |
<Brutus> | 05/21/2008 11:03 *DJ OIL FUTURES: Nymex Crude Breaches $132/Bbl, Falls Back |
<@NihabaAshi> | With this "pin ball machine" price action...not a good time to be scaling out of positions. |
<+KN-ES> | sl 8 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Will be exiting all at once until things calm down. |
<+KN-ES> | Exited ES Long @ 1408.50 --> - 0.75 | 11:05 |
| Reverse and Enter Short ES @ 1408.50 |
| sl 11.75 |
| Covered ES Short @ 1409.50 --> - 1 | 11:14 |
| Reverse and Enter Long ES @ 1409.50 |
| sl 7.50 |
| Exited 1/2 ES Long @ 1410.50 --> + 1 | 11:16 |
<@NihabaAshi> | If you have an offshort-account...beware !!! | 11:20 |
| http://online.wsj.com/article/SB12113246 3390508615.html?mod=pj_main_hs_coll |
<+Andy> | time to withdraw my 100M...never liked visiting Liechtenstein much, anyway | 11:23 |
<@NihabaAshi> | :) |
<sb> | time to buy my own private island |
<+tzar> | crap i think my name came up | 11:25 |
<+KN-ES> | Exited 1/4 ES Long @ 1412 --> + 2.5 | 11:26 |
| h7 | 11:27 |
<@X> | #FuturesTrades Info ->
No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade
journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade
because it provides critical information they can't get from broker
statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not
recommended without their permission. More info at
www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChat Room.htm |
<+szubaark> | Exited all Long ES at 1412 --> - 2 «« paper »» |
| Shorts ES @ 1412 «« paper »» |
<+KN-ES> | Exited 1/4 ES Long @ 1411.50 --> + 2 | 11:30 |
| h5 |
<+Splurge> | KN what do you mean when you post h7 or h5 etc | 11:31 |
<+Flex> | holding remaining contracts |
<+KN-ES> | sl 9.50 0.00 |
<+tzar> | he holding 7 contracts |
| then 5 |
| he showing how many he got left in his position |
* +Splurge | chokes on his cup of coffee | 11:32 |
<+tzar> | lol |
<+Andy> | nice entry, szu | 11:35 |
<+KN-ES> | agree |
<+tzar> | heh |
| KN-ES said 12 was good short |
<+KN-ES> | i was looking for 12.50 |
<+Flex> | Long ES @ 1411 |
<+tzar> | but i hesitated tot take it becuase KN-ES has a long | 11:36 |
| conflicting indicators = stay out |
<+KN-ES> | told you......someday we both will learn fom MY mistake |
<+tzar> | hehe |
<+szubaark> | thanks..should have been more patient to see what develops |
<+tzar> | i really got scared when i had a short at 9.50 and then you reversed to take long | 11:37 |
| i took .25 profit |
| and stayed out |
<+dragon310> | nq on the 15min chart looks like a head and shoulder forming for the past 3 days |
<+KN-ES> | need a break....... another 15 min .. | 11:42 |
| 10.25 ...... another .75 | 11:43 |
| hit and out | 11:44 |
| see u all after lunch |
<+Flex> | bye |
<+tzar> | in 15 min? |
<+KN-ES> | 1 hr :) .. traded almost 5 hrs |
<+tzar> | woah |
| ok 1 hour is good, i need a break as well | 11:45 |
| i wonder if KN-ES ever sleeps |
| and if he sleeps, does he trade in his dreams? |
<+Flex> | Exited all ES Long @ 1411.25 --> + 0.25 | 11:47 |
| i go too, don't like this chop | 11:48 |
| l8r |
<+tzar> | bye Flex |
* Flex | is now known as Flex_away |
<+rickf> | back | 11:59 |
<+tzar> | wb | 12:00 |
<+rickf> | and we're right back where i left.... :| | 12:01 |
<+Spartan> | Shorts ER2 @ 738.4 -> small size «« paper »» |
* codehead_afk | is now known as codehead | 12:07 |
<+dragon310> | short er2 @ 738.10 | 12:21 |
<+szubaark> | that last quick, sudden drop sucked all the Volatility out of this | 12:25 |
| Covered all Short ES at 1412.75 --> - 0.75 «« paper »» | 12:30 |
| Buys ES @ 1412.75 «« paper »» |
<+Spartan> | Covered all ER2 Short @ 739.0 --> - 0.6 «« paper »» |
| gotta go to work, good luck trading |
<+Andy> | cy Spartan |
| never found much percentage in taking a position in this low volatility, low volume, middle range pa | 12:31 |
<+rickf> | i'm not touching this now |
<+Andy> | szu has courage! |
<+tzar> | anyone here signed up for the netflix live service | 12:34 |
<shortorlong> | anyone using mirus/zenfire finding it down atm? |
<+szubaark> | Exited all Long ES at 1412 --> - 0.75 «« paper »» | 12:35 |
| Shorts ES @ 1412 «« paper »» |
* Flex_away | is now known as Flex |
<+dragon310> | i'm trying to estabish my long term bearish position in er |
<+rickf> | i'll be lurking quietly here for a while -- doing final read-thru of my chapter edits | 12:38 |
<+Flex> | 1419 is my res and 1406 support, and we are exactly in the middle :( | 12:39 |
<+szubaark> | almost an hour of chop crap |
<MK> | looks like er is leading now |
<+Flex> | 406 not yet touched btw | 12:40 |
<+szubaark> | Covered all Short ES at 1413 --> - 1 «« paper »» | 12:41 |
| Buys ES @ 1413 «« paper »» |
<+MK> | fomc minutes should be interesting |
| er prob go back to 743 range before retrace | 12:43 |
<+szubaark> | Volatility spike | 12:45 |
<+dragon310> | meeting is going to be release when? 1pm cent? | 12:47 |
<+rickf> | 2pm |
| minutes released from last meeting |
<+dragon310> | 2pm central or eastern? |
<+rickf> | east |
<+MK> | Shorts ER2 @ 740.5 «« paper »» | 12:51 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Be back in about 5mins...rebooting.Session Close: Wed May 21 12:56:30 2008 | 12:56 |
| Session Start: Wed May 21 12:56:30 2008Session Ident: #FuturesTrades |
* DisconnectedSession | Close: Wed May 21 12:56:30 2008 |
| Session Start: Wed May 21 13:17:49 2008Session Ident: #futurestrades |
* Now | talking in #futurestrades | 13:17 |
<@X> | [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTra desChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrad es.htm |
<+tzar> | wb NihabaAshi | 13:18 |
<+MK> | Shorts ER2 @ 738.1 «« paper »» | 13:21 |
<+szubaark> | Exited all Long ES at 1409.25 --> - 3.75 «« paper »» | 13:23 |
| Shorts ES @ 1409.25 «« paper »» |
<+MK> | support here but if break... |
<+szubaark> | sneaky action all day | 13:24 |
<+MK> | 735-36 next |
<+szubaark> | that was a sneaky retrace to 1415 then quick dump | 13:27 |
<+MK> | Covered 1/3 ER2 Short @ 736.9 --> + 1.2 «« paper »» | 13:30 |
<lumenPharmer> | wtg mk, you went back for more :) | 13:31 |
<+MK> | Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 737.1 --> + 1 «« paper »» |
<+lumenPharmer> | i should have held |
<+MK> | Long ER2 @ 737.5 «« paper »» | 13:32 |
<@X> | #FuturesTrades Info ->
No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade
journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade
because it provides critical information they can't get from broker
statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not
recommended without their permission. More info at
www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChat Room.htm | 13:33 |
<+tzar> | KN-ES you back yet? | 13:34 |
<+szubaark> | uh huh | 13:37 |
<peterpanboy> | gm to everyone | 13:38 |
<+tzar> | hi peter |
<+peterpanboy> | hi tzar | 13:41 |
<+MK> | Long ER2 @ 736.8 -> Add «« paper »» | 13:55 |
| Long ER2 @ 735.5 -> Add «« paper »» | 13:57 |
<+dragon310> | head and shoulder pattern on nq 15 is broken |
<+Flex> | ....1406 ! | 13:58 |
| and here we are | 13:59 |
<+szubaark> | dragon, can u show a chart of that |
<+rickf> | short es 1407 paper | 14:00 |
<+szubaark> | FOMC minutes in 1 minute, looks like market ignoring it |
| 1400 test would be Sweet |
<@NihabaAshi> | Shorts ER2 @ 734.00 -> small size | 14:01 |
<+rickf> | exit 1/2 es 1405 +2 paper |
| h 8 |
<@NihabaAshi> | intuition only |
<+szubaark> | FOMC minutes adding more rocket fuel |
<@NihabaAshi> | 2 contracts only | 14:02 |
| Will go to 1 contract only for the remainder of the trading day |
<+rickf> | exit 1/2 es 1403 +4 paper |
<+MK> | Long ER2 @ 733 -> Add «« paper »» |
<+rickf> | h 4 |
<+Brutus> | 05/21/2008 14:01 *DJ FOMC: Housing 'Bleak,' Consumer Spending 'Slowed To A Crawl' | 14:04 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Covered ER2 Short @ 733.60 --> + 0.4 | 14:05 |
<+rickf> | exit es 1403.50 +3.5 paper |
<tzar2> | test | 14:06 |
<+tzar2> | NihabaAshi can you kick tzar out the room |
| got d/c and cant use my nick | 14:07 |
* tzar | was kicked by NihabaAshi (multiple names not allowed on server) |
<+tzar2> | thanks |
| test | 14:08 |
| hmm |
<+szubaark> | Niha that was a quick cover |
<+tzar2> | i get tzar "Nickname is already in use." |
<@NihabaAshi> | Shorts ER2 @ 732.30 -> small size |
<+KN-ES> | .................finally we took out 1402 |
| :) |
<+szubaark> | another Volatility spike, now a Breakout |
| Covered all Short ES at 1400 --> + 9.25 «« paper »» |
<+Flex> | it creamed both 406 and 402 now next stop 387 ? | 14:09 |
<+KN-ES> | nop |
| it should bounce |
| :) |
<+tzar2> | KN-ES you taking a long? |
<+KN-ES> | Long ES @ 1399.75 | 14:10 |
<+Flex> | maybe a stop buy 404 or 408 something ? |
<+KN-ES> | high risk trade |
<@NihabaAshi> | Covered ER2 Short @ 732.20 --> + 0.1 |
<+KN-ES> | sm sz |
| sl 1.75 |
<@NihabaAshi> | too fast for me this pin ball machine price action |
| will sit on the sidelines and just watch |
<+MK> | Long ER2 @ 731.5 -> Add «« paper »» | 14:11 |
<+KN-ES> | Long ES @ 1399.50 |
| add |
<+szubaark> | limit to enter long ES @ 1397 «« paper »» | 14:13 |
<+Brutus> | 05/21/2008 14:05 *DJ US Stocks Slide; Fed Signals No More Rate Cuts |
<+dragon310> | no more rate cut?? no!!! | 14:14 |
<+KN-ES> | Exited 3/4 ES Long @ 1400.50 --> + 1 |
<+dragon310> | bad for wall street good for my long term short play on nq and er |
| did anyone catch that 15min head and shoulder on nq i posted awareness back 2 hourst ago/ | 14:15 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Shorts ER2 @ 731.40 -> small size |
| geeesh | 14:19 |
<+tzar2> | this cant be good for economy |
<@NihabaAshi> | Big Dark WRB |
| Covered ER2 Short @ 727.80 --> + 3.6 | 14:20 |
<+rickf> | vn niha |
<+KN-ES> | i thought we are done thinking about economy long time ago |
<+tzar2> | heh |
<+Flex> | Long ES @ 1397 | 14:21 |
<+tzar2> | some people still call |
<+dragon310> | covered half of nq short --> +40 |
<+KN-ES> | nice |
<+szubaark> | Buys ES @ 1397 «« paper »» |
<+dragon310> | still have my er riding |
<+KN-ES> | Dax is 7016 |
<+rickf> | that was a nice little es run |
<+Flex> | Exited all ES Long @ 1398 --> + 1 | 14:22 |
<+MK> | Long ER2 @ 727.7 -> Add «« paper »» |
<+tzar2> | vn Flex |
<+Flex> | thx | 14:23 |
| Kn you still in ? | 14:24 |
| not sure if this 97 supp will hold | 14:25 |
| 87 stronger |
<+KN-ES> | [13:17:11] <KN-ES> sl 1.75 | 14:26 |
<+Flex> | wasn't SL from entry @1399.75 ? |
<+Brutus> | 05/21/2008 14:25 *DJ OIL FUTURES: Nymex Crude Hits $133/Bbl |
<+KN-ES> | yes |
<+Flex> | ok thanks | 14:27 |
<+MK> | Long ER2 @ 727.1 -> Add «« paper »» |
<+Widgetman> | up cycle ES | 14:28 |
| fwiw |
| I hid my long btn today |
| TRIN too hi |
| 726 due er | 14:29 |
| div long sig ES 4M fwiw | 14:32 |
* tzar2 | is now known as tzar | 14:33 |
<+tzar> | KN-ES what do you think about the market | 14:35 |
<+dragon310> | market just changed direction tzar | 14:37 |
<+tzar> | still going down | 14:38 |
<+MK> | Long ER2 @ 725 -> Add «« paper »» |
<+tzar> | now lots of green prints |
<+KN-ES> | stil think it will close 1402 +- |
<+MK> | Long ER2 @ 726 -> Add «« paper »» | 14:39 |
<+KN-ES> | dax is 7015 | 14:40 |
| thats a good news :) |
<+dragon310> | er doesn't trend well | 14:45 |
| if we keep selling toward the close es is going to close near low 1370s | 14:46 |
<+Flex> | 87 strong support, old struggling area from prev. weeks |
| all IMO of course |
| below 360 and bull market is done for a while I think | 14:47 |
<+MK> | Long ER2 @ 723.2 «« paper »» | 14:50 |
<+dragon310> | long er 724.2 | 14:57 |
<pdays> | Long ER2 @ 724.8 |
<+dragon310> | im disappointed in zn | 15:02 |
<@NihabaAshi> | ZN gave it a good try but couldn't keep the volatility on that price surge...it then retraced. | 15:05 |
<+dragon310> | exit er2 726.6 --> +2.2 |
| short er2 726.6 |
| tight stop here see if it continue | 15:06 |
<+tzar> | NihabaAshi who is ZN? |
<+dragon310> | 10 year note |
| takes alot of money to move those notes and bonds | 15:07 |
<+szubaark> | Oil at 133+ | 15:08 |
<+KN-ES> | only problem is this is us seesion | 15:10 |
| zn or zb, 10 or 30 yrs notes are mostly own by other countries | 15:11 |
<+dragon310> | covered er 727 -04 | 15:12 |
<+KN-ES> | and manjrity of the money their are more or less economic event based |
| so, for a very short term trend, its often confusing......... | 15:13 |
| there........ | 15:14 |
<+tzar> | KN-ES did you asemble your computer? | 15:15 |
<+KN-ES> | still working with the design | 15:16 |
| will take some time |
<+tzar> | what do you mean design |
| making a custom case? |
<+Flex> | is it silent ? |
<+KN-ES> | yes |
| problem with the cooling |
<+Flex> | I used a Lian Li V2000-II, great case | 15:17 |
| Noctua fans |
<+KN-ES> | i am talking to dell to see if i can use there server as a barebone |
<@NihabaAshi> | Shorts ER2 @ 729.30 -> small size | 15:18 |
<+KN-ES> | will save me lots of time |
| and energy |
<@NihabaAshi> | 1 only and another intuition trade |
<+Flex> | Noctua cooler and Zalman multi fan regulator, I can barely hear it only because of hard disks | 15:19 |
| lol that's a great idea |
<+tzar> | i wonder what KN-ES is going to do with 64 gig of ram |
<+Flex> | do you mean a 19" rack, slim line server ? |
<@NihabaAshi> | Covered ER2 Short @ 729.90 --> - 0.6 | 15:20 |
| Long ER2 @ 730.10 -> small size | 15:21 |
<+dragon310> | short er @ 730 |
<+tzar> | dragon you still short? | 15:25 |
<+dragon310> | yea with an 8 tick stop | 15:26 |
| just 2 contract |
<+tzar> | i never tried ER, i want to though |
<+dragon310> | er keep wanting to go up but the other index don't |
<+tzar> | is this a normal range for ER.. about 20 points? | 15:27 |
<+dragon310> | ill take what ever it gives me |
<@NihabaAshi> | Exited ER2 Long @ 728.50 --> - 1.6 | 15:28 |
| Reverse and Enter Short ER2 @ 728.50 |
| Covered ER2 Short @ 729.00 --> - 0.5 | 15:30 |
<+szubaark> | :( |
| easy to get shaken out today | 15:31 |
<+dragon310> | er stubborn | 15:32 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Long ER2 @ 728.50 -> small size |
<+tzar> | dragon310 what is your target on ER | 15:33 |
<+dragon310> | im going to get stop pout soon | 15:34 |
| my target was for the lows |
<+tzar> | 723's? |
<+dragon310> | yea somewhere aeroun there but it doesn't seem like it anymore |
<+szubaark> | expecting Volatility spike soon, hopefully to upside, Im Long | 15:35 |
<@X> | #FuturesTrades Info ->
No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade
journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade
because it provides critical information they can't get from broker
statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not
recommended without their permission. More info at
www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChat Room.htm | 15:36 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Exited ER2 Long @ 729.10 --> + 0.6 |
<+szubaark> | Exited all Long ES at 1395 --> - 2 «« paper »» |
| Shorts ES @ 1395 «« paper »» |
<+dragon310> | er needs to catch up to the rest of the crowd... down only -9 points from the open? | 15:38 |
<+szubaark> | not much time left in the day, needs to start moving soon or im Out | 15:39 |
<+dragon310> | moving stop to 729.80 |
<+szubaark> | Covered all Short ES at 1391 --> + 4 «« paper »» | 15:42 |
<+pdays> | Exited all ER2 Long @ 725.5 --> + 0.7 |
<+KN-ES> | nice trades |
<+tzar> | KN-ES do you thnk we break 90 today? | 15:43 |
<+szubaark> | congestion areas were real choppy today, toug to hold on to trades, get whacked there a few times |
<@NihabaAshi> | Shorts ER2 @ 726.30 -> small size |
| 1 contract only and intuition only | 15:44 |
| Covered ER2 Short @ 725.90 --> + 0.4 | 15:45 |
<+dragon310> | closed er long --> +3 | 15:46 |
| close er short i mean |
<+szubaark> | :) |
<+dragon310> | not much time left |
<@NihabaAshi> | Long ER2 @ 727.90 -> small size | 15:47 |
<+szubaark> | Niha, intuition? |
<+tzar> | pressing the buy/sell button with eyes closed |
<@NihabaAshi> | Just trying to ride the volatility within some key price areas | 15:48 |
<+MK> | Exited all ER2 Long @ 728.1 --> + 7 «« paper »» | 15:49 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Exited ER2 Long @ 728.00 --> + 0.1 |
| Long ER2 @ 727.80 -> small size | 15:51 |
| 4pm est rush hour traffic jam starting to get trickier | 15:53 |
| Exited ER2 Long @ 727.20 --> - 0.6 |
| Shorts ER2 @ 726.30 -> small size | 15:54 |
<+Flex> | c'mon 87... | 15:55 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Covered ER2 Short @ 726.20 --> + 0.1 | 15:57 |
| geeesh |
| On the wrong side of that volatility spike into 4pm :( | 15:58 |
| Long ER2 @ 726.60 -> small size |
<+dragon310> | im done for today | 16:00 |
<@NihabaAshi> | Pin Ball Machine price action |
<+Flex> | KN you still there ? |
<@NihabaAshi> | Exited ER2 Long @ 727.10 --> + 0.5 | 16:01 |
<+Flex> | harsh session today, but definitely not boring :) |
<+rickf> | as long as we make our $ | 16:02 |
<+szubaark> | Yes, very Brutal Price Action |
<+tzar> | i liked it |
<@NihabaAshi> | Didn't catch any big WRB pt trades this afternoon but the morning profits was still great. |
| Take care all and see all tomorrow |
<+rickf> | cya |
<+tzar> | NihabaAshi you still green for the day? |
<@NihabaAshi> | Yep |
<+Splurge> | nite |
<+szubaark> | my best trades came at end of day |
<+tzar> | thats great | 16:03 |
| cya tomorrow |
<+rickf> | did ok early morning and the fomc trade at 2 -- quite happy today |
<+Flex> | see ya |
<+Brutus> |
http://custom.marketwatch.com/custom/tda meritrade-com/html-story.asp?guid={7bfe3 0aa-541b-4546-94c6-e26b7c3e05bd} |
<+peterpanboy> | see ya tomorrow |
<+BigDawg291> | you all have any forex plays you are looking at? | 16:05 |
<+Flex> | eurusd |
<+rickf> | long euro |
<+Flex> | same |
<+rickf> | up nicely today |
<+BigDawg291> | you all still holding? |
<+rickf> | closed out a bunch this morning but didnt post here |
| my second trade today yeah | 16:06 |
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Trading
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Trading
Strategies ->
Strategies
used by NihabaAshi, from entry to exit, exploit inefficiencies in the price action
for profits of the following trading instruments via WRB Analysis and
Intermarket Analysis: Emini
Index Futures (EMD, ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex
Index Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext
Index Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX
Energy Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM),
COMEX Metals Futures (GC), Forex Currencies (EurUsd, EurYen, UsdCdn), Exchange Traded Funds (DIA,
GLD, OIH, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, XLE) and
Hang Seng Index Futures (HSI)
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<+Flex> | yes because I am always long euro to hedge my USD portfolio which is losing value month after month |
| then, apart from that, I try few smaller trades here and there |
<+rickf> | also long the cdn loonie via futures fx -- still in that pos |
<+BigDawg291> | you all need to start posting these things lol | 16:07 |
| I like trading forex but didnt think you all played it much |
<+rickf> | :) |
<+tzar> | go loonie go! |
<+rickf> | i only do it on a whim - not really watching it like the ES, and it's a swing trade for me |
<+Flex> | BigDawn
I think eur will make new highs. I post when I make a shorter term
trade but obviously I don't post my long hedge position |
<+BigDawg291> | i do it swing wise to rick | 16:08 |
<+Flex> | hedge pos never changes day after day |
<+rickf> | ok |
<+BigDawg291> | ok flex well i guess my idea is not good here, I was actually thinking of shorting the GBP/USD and/or EUR/USD here |
<+rickf> | BD - I am long the loonie from .9994 4 futures contracts |
<+Flex> | USD is due for a retracement but only a retracement, so you are going agaisnt the larger trend | 16:09 |
<+BigDawg291> | ok will check it out |
<+Flex> | I would rather wait for that retracement(correction) and then seek for a long eur or gbp entry |
<+BigDawg291> | ok | 16:10 |
<+rickf> | exited my eur/usd position @ 1.57884 +45 pips | 16:12 |
<+Flex> | nice |
* sep34 | is now known as sep34_away |
<+BigDawg291> | very nice rick |
| next time post lol |
<+rickf> | (not 450 pips) |
| lol |
| yeah will do |
<+BigDawg291> | what do you use as normal stops on your forex trades, specifically USD pairs |
<+rickf> | actually, if the trend is intact, i'll let it go w/o stops and eyeball it | 16:13 |
| seen 1-2K swings in the blink of an eye and then recover and pop much higher | 16:14 |
| after getting topped out a few times and seeing that, i took a more liberal approach |
<+BigDawg291> | dang |
| yeah |
<+rickf> | eg -- |
<+Flex> | I also suggest to use stops with care in FX, or you get whipsawed |
<+rickf> | indeed | 16:15 |
<+BigDawg291> | yeah there are alot of whipsaws in forex |
<+Flex> | use adequate pos size and give it room until trend is good for you |
<+rickf> | flex - yep |
<+Flex> | I also use to average down, I enter new positions during i.e. a couple days | 16:16 |
<+BigDawg291> | ok |
<+Flex> | gn all | 16:18 |
<+rickf> | gn flx |
<+Splurge> | nite all |
* Flex | is now known as Flex_away | 16:19 |
<+rickf> | BD - i papertraded some crude yesterday out of curiosity. scary how fast that stuff moves! |
<+BigDawg291> | yeah i bet, how do you even trade it, futures? | 16:20 |
| arent they extremely high priced |
<+rickf> | yeah papertraded virtual oil futures |
| margin is big yep |
<+BigDawg291> | thst what i thought |
<+rickf> | defiantely scared to trade that for real --- same w/nat gas | 16:21 |
| you blink and you might bet a margin call :) |
<+BigDawg291> | yeah to say the least |
<+rickf> | crude contract has almost 13K initial margin | 16:23 |
| yow |
<+BigDawg291> | dang |
| more than my account lol | 16:24 |
<+rickf> | tho today it would've been a 36pct return on margin if it was real |
<+BigDawg291> | dang |
| that would be nice |
<+rickf> | it's like a friend is trading gold futures (for real) and i said what about the etf everyone's pitching on TV.... | 16:25 |
| he's had 8 gold future contracts for a few days |
| 5K initial margin |
| he's almost done 100% return on margin | 16:26 |
<+BigDawg291> | dang |
<+rickf> | compared to the gold ETF that's only up $350 during the same time |
<+BigDawg291> | yeah i have traded the gold etf but not the futures |
| yeah |
* NihabaAshi | is now known as NihabaAshi_away | 16:29 |
<+rickf> | ok all -- i am off for the night. have a good one all, see you tomorrow | 16:38 |
<@X> | #FuturesTrades Info ->
No gurus, no head traders. Members use this room to document (trade
journal) their trades and thoughts from one trade to the next trade
because it provides critical information they can't get from broker
statements nor statistics. Also, mimicking the trades by others is not
recommended without their permission. More info at
www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChat Room.htm | 17:42 |
<jsbach> | anyone here?Session Close: Wed May 21 23:09:50 2008 | 22:24 |
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