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#FuturesTrades May 1st Tuesday 2007 Trade Log

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Russell 2000 Emini ER2 Futures

Today Month Year

+16.60 +16.60 +1147.80

$1,660 $1,660 $114,780

Sell in May?

Profit/Loss Statement

I suspected with most of the European markets on a holiday that today's volatility would be low. However, although it was low, it was good enough to produce some good price movement and good trade opportunities for those traders that were patient.

Also, this will be a key month of trading due to the fact that many pro traders are expecting May to under perform April's performance. Yet, I still can't figure out where this opinion is coming from considering its not supported by any technical analysis nor market seasonal tendency (cycle).

Simply, don't trade blindly and stick to your normal trading plan.

It's what I plan to do regardless if May goes up or down.

As for my trading today, I was very tired (sleepless night due to a sleepless toddler) and luckily I made the bulk of my profits before taking a long break from the market.

However, when I returned to trading in the afternoon trading session, I had two consecutive late entries and decided it was best to call it quits for the day.

Key News of the Day

Commentary by M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi)
intradaystrategies@yahoo.com
Note: Position Size Management is very important in my trading and my position size varies from one trading day to the next trading day or from one trade to the next trade. Also, I'm currently exclusively trading the Russell 2000 Emini ER2 futures even though my strategies are applicable and profitable on all the trading instruments listed towards the bottom of this webpage along with my past trade journals showing consistent profits in other trading instruments prior to exclusively trading ER2.
Further, I can switch and trade any trading instrument that's listed below at the bottom of this webpage for any trader that request such mainly because I do a lot of intermarket analysis while trading ER2.
However, if you want to see up-to-date pattern signals in other trading instruments...click here.


#FuturesTrades purpose, benefits and access info...click here.

Session Start: Tue May 01 09:20:16 2007Session Ident: #futurestrades

* Now talking in #futurestrades 09:20

<X> [NihabaAshi] #FuturesTrades info @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/FuturesTradesChatRoom.htm and trade log archives @ http://www.thestrategylab.com/RecentTrades.htm

<PapaJon> gm all 09:30

<Brutus> Shorts ES @ 1491.75 «« paper »»

<Fleneer> good morning

<NihabaAshi> Good morning Fleneer and all. 09:32

<pat255> gm niha & others 09:33

<Brutus> Shorts ES @ 1492.25 -> Add «« paper »»

<eminitrader> Shorts ES @ 1492 09:35

<NihabaAshi> Shorts ER2 @ 817.30 -> small size 09:37

<Brutus> Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 1490.75 --> + 1.5 «« paper »» 09:38

<NihabaAshi> Covered all ER2 Short @ 816.70 --> + 0.6

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Trading Strategies ->   These strategies will reveal and explain specific strategies from entry to exit that exploit inefficiencies in the price action of your trading instrument for profits in the following trading instruments: Emini Index Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Index Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Index Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Energy Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM), Forex Currencies (EurUsd, EurYen, UsdCdn), Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, OIH, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, XLE) and Hang Seng Index Futures (HSI)

<RussellDaytrade> building a long on very wide scales

<Brutus> Covered 1/4 ES Short @ 1490 --> + 1.75 «« paper »»

<eminitrader> Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 1490 --> + 2 09:40

<Brutus> Covered all ES Short @ 1489.25 --> + 2.5 «« paper »» 09:44

Long ER2 @ 814.9 «« paper »» 09:47

<Chilly> gm .. ISM manufacturing at 10:00est 09:48

<base> GM all

<szubaark> Shorts NQ @ 1882.50 «« paper »» 09:51

<Brutus> Long ER2 @ 813.6 -> Add «« paper »» 09:52

<les> Shorts ER2 @ 813.9 09:53

<Brutus> Long ER2 @ 812.8 -> Add «« paper »» 09:54

<szubaark> Covered all Short NQ at 1879.75 --> + 2.75 «« paper »» 09:55

<les> Covered all ER2 Short @ 813.8 --> + 0.1 09:56

<Brutus> Exited 1/2 ER2 Long @ 814.2 --> + 1.4 «« paper »» 09:57

<X> #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY)

<Brutus> Exited all ER2 Long @ 813.8 --> - 1.1 «« paper »» 09:58

<eminitrader> Covered 1/4 ES Short @ 1488 --> + 4 09:59

<szubaark> nice emini

<eminitrader> thx szu..

holding 3

<RussellDaytrade> does that feel like about it? 10:00

<eminitrader> Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1490 --> + 2

wow ...that was super fast

<ItalianSharp> wow, wat a spike!

<Brutus> Long ER2 @ 814.7 «« paper »»

<pdays> ISM54.7 est 51

<NihabaAshi> Shorts ER2 @ 814.70 -> medium size 10:01

<pdays> home -4.9 est .1

<eminitrader> :(( stopped out

<szubaark> Shorts NQ @ 1878.50 «« paper »»

<Brutus> Exited ER2 Long @ 813.9 --> - 0.8 «« paper »»

<NihabaAshi> Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 813.20 --> + 1.5

<szubaark> exit stop set NQ @ 1878.50 «« paper »» 10:02

Covered all Short NQ at 1875.50 --> + 3 «« paper »» 10:03

<NihabaAshi> Covered ER2 Short @ 812.50 --> + 2.2

Holding 2 contracts

<eminitrader> very nice szu ...two winners :))

<les> Shorts ER2 @ 812.3 10:04

<Brutus> Long ER2 @ 812 «« paper »»

<PapaJon> that was a weird spike

<NihabaAshi> Covered ER2 Short @ 811.60 --> + 3.1 10:05

<les> Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 811.7 --> + 0.6

<eminitrader> took me out :(

<NihabaAshi> Holding 1 contract

<PapaJon> yah.. me too

:(

<eminitrader> guess that was just a shake out

<PapaJon> hell uv one

<Brutus> Long ER2 @ 811.1 -> Add «« paper »»

<eminitrader> lol

<PapaJon> back in now tho

<eminitrader> think of it ...mine was a perfect entry .. 10:06

will wait for a renrty

<RussellDaytrade> l 3 now ap 814.1 10:07

<NihabaAshi> Fed Chairman Bernanke speaks today at 11am est at the Univ. of Montana about "free trade". 10:08

<pat255> later guys ty

<RussellDaytrade> yes, free trade...it's ok to cross into Canada from Montana to buy some good beer! :) 10:09

<Brutus> Exited all ER2 Long @ 812.8 --> + 2.5 «« paper »» 10:10

<NihabaAshi> Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 812.90 --> + 1.8

<RussellDaytrade> 819.59 10:11

few hours or more hence

<les> Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 813 --> - 0.7 10:12

<RussellDaytrade> scaled sell orders...to close longs...816 and above 10:13

<jperl> ER2 VWAP 814.73 10:15

<PapaJon> i suppose that spike was from the ism report? 10:16

what was the result .. anyone know?

<eminitrader> makes no difference pj...that was prolly just a excuse to take out the weak hands

<NihabaAshi> PapaJon...yes...the spike was via the 10am est ISM Report release.

<Brutus> Long ER2 @ 813 «« paper »» 10:17

<PapaJon> yah i know et.. just curious is all

<eminitrader> Long ES @ 1485.25

Date ET Release For Actual Briefing.com Consensus Prior Revised From 10:18

May 01 10:00 ISM Index Apr 54.7 51.5 51.0 50.9

there we gp oj

actual, concensus, briefing consensus, prior 10:19

<PapaJon> thnx bud

<eminitrader> urw 10:20

<jperl> ER2 now between peak volume 813.60 and VWAP 814.64

price action has already oscillated once through here 10:21

<eminitrader> Exited all ES Long @ 1484.25 --> - 1 10:22

<jperl> My trade this morning.... 10:24

http://charts.dacharts.com/2007-05-01/JP ERL_013.png

note this was a long entry at 9:37.... 10:25

example of how to turn a losing trade into a winner

<Brutus> Long ER2 @ 811.8 -> Add «« paper »»

<les> Shorts ER2 @ 810.6 10:27

<Brutus> Long ER2 @ 810.5 -> Add «« paper »» 10:28

<les> wrong entry post

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<Brutus> exit stop set ER2 @ 808 «« paper »»

<les> Shorts ER2 @ 811.1

Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 810.6 --> + 0.5

<ItalianSharp> nice rebound by YM here 10:30

<Brutus> Exited all ER2 Long @ 813.4 --> + 3.3 «« paper »» 10:37

<les> late post - again.. 10:38

sorry, got called away 10:39

<eminitrader> nice B

<Brutus> thx

<les> Covered all ER2 Short @ 812.4 --> - 1.3

<Brutus> Long ER2 @ 813.3 «« paper »» 10:41

Exited ER2 Long @ 813 --> - 0.3 «« paper »» 10:42

<les> Long ER2 @ 813.8 10:51

<Brutus> Long ER2 @ 813.3 «« paper »»

<jperl> ER2 VWAP 814 10:52

<NihabaAshi> Overall volatility today has been great except the volume sucks. 10:54

<les> Exited 1/2 ER2 Long @ 814.3 --> + 0.5

<asuni> anyone knows if bernanke will speakm at 11 today?

<RussellDaytrade> startin to look sweet

<NihabaAshi> He's schedule to speak and he'll be doing a Q&A session. 10:55

<jperl> 11:00 AM, Univ of Montana

<asuni> thks

<RussellDaytrade> added one more at 810.5, just closed one, ap on 4 813.2, up tareget adjusted to 818.88 10:56

<Brutus> Exited 1/2 ER2 Long @ 815 --> + 1.7 «« paper »» 10:58

Exited 1/4 ER2 Long @ 815.4 --> + 2.1 «« paper »» 10:59

<RussellDaytrade> all out, up 740 less comm

<Brutus> Exited all ER2 Long @ 815.5 --> + 2.2 «« paper »»

<eminitrader> Shorts ES @ 1487.50 11:02

* les is now known as lesAway 11:08

<lesAway> will post exits later on

<X> #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY) 11:09

<eminitrader> Covered all ES Short @ 1488.25 --> - 0.75 11:20

<lesAway> now that er2 has retested 50ema and vwap area.. 11:22

i'm hoping to see it push to the HOD area

since its just made a higher high

<eminitrader> Shorts ES @ 1487.50 11:24

<RussellDaytrade> may see an acceleration up about here 11:32

<eminitrader> Covered ES Short @ 1488.50 --> - 1

Reverse and Enter Long ES @ 1488.50

Exited all ES Long @ 1489.50 --> + 1 11:34

<lesAway> exit stop raised ER2 @ 814.7 11:35

<eminitrader> Shorts ES @ 1490 11:36

* lesAway is now known as les 11:37

<eminitrader> Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 1488.50 --> + 1.5 11:46

<les> Exited Remainder ER2 Long @ 815.1 --> + 1.3 11:50

<eminitrader> Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 1487 --> + 3 11:53

<ItalianSharp> emini you still bearish?

<jperl> ER2 VWAP 814.26 11:54

<RussellDaytrade> building new long on scales

<eminitrader> yes IB

<jperl> peak volum 813.90

<eminitrader> wll not go long unless new highs 11:55

IB = IS :)

0r pa set-up on retest of lows 11:56

<ItalianSharp> It'll be tough for mkts to get above the 10am news spike

<RussellDaytrade> wider scales and smaller size than in the am session

<ItalianSharp> lots of selling up there

<eminitrader> true but never know....remembers mrkt is oversold with no relief at all yesyerday ...so could see a move 1494-1496 plus on ES 11:57

<X> #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY) 12:18

<eminitrader> Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1488 --> + 2 12:20

<Brutus> http://www.amex.com/?href=/atamex/news/p ress/sn_ETF_ProShares_071306.htm 12:21

<RussellDaytrade> amazing, they launched those at precisely the mkt bottom, for all practical purposes...guess there's more interest then! 12:24

<ItalianSharp> it's either break or bounce time for eminis 12:26

<RussellDaytrade> I htink it in up-mose for a couple days, plus or minus 12:27

up-mode

unless breaks lows and gathers a little more steam to downside. that said, if it does break lows, I also expect selling pressure to abate relative to yesterday, which will begin to create a pos divergence,ie, lower price, less sell pressure 12:31

barring any exogenous event occuring

<eminitrader> Shorts ES @ 1487.25 12:37

<RussellDaytrade> btw, that dynamic described above, has already occured this am, and is in place right now...lower price, with diminished selling pressure, with a little luck. it'll manifest into higher prices from here. thats my outlook, at this time 12:40

<eminitrader> Covered all ES Short @ 1487.25 --> 0 12:42

Shorts ES @ 1486 12:54

<Brutus> Long ES @ 1484.75 «« paper »» 13:00

Exited ES Long @ 1484.75 --> 0 «« paper »» 13:02

<eminitrader> Covered all ES Short @ 1486 --> 0 13:06

:(( second time today 13:14

<NihabaAshi> Long ER2 @ 812.90 -> small size 13:26

1 contract only for the remainder of the day to protect my profits.

Problematic trade...looking for a quick exit. 13:27

Exited ER2 Long @ 813.30 --> + 0.4 13:28

<RussellDaytrade> looks like a posible secondary lod to me

<X> #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY) 13:30

<eminitrader> Shorts ES @ 1486.50 13:41

Covered all ES Short @ 1488 --> - 1.5 13:43

Shorts ES @ 1487.50 13:47

stop in ...be back 13:49

<RussellDaytrade> wow, it feels like time is standing still 13:52

this move is about to carry into my t of 815.21, also have another up t of 816.6 something, on another model...time expired on that 818.88 an hour ago, may still be achieved, since mkt is short term overslod 13:54

<eminitrader> Covered ES Short @ 1488.50 --> - 1 13:56

Reverse and Enter Long ES @ 1488.50

Exited all ES Long @ 1488.50 --> 0 13:58

<RussellDaytrade> out, looking for a decline...not likely it'll happen. :) up 1010 in l/s, no trades today in s/acct

note to above...looking for decline to initiate new long...I am not looking to short, etc 14:01

<NihabaAshi> Shorts ER2 @ 815.60 -> small size 14:02

1 contract only and last trade of the day.

<RussellDaytrade> long one 14:03

<NihabaAshi> Covered ER2 Short @ 815.30 --> + 0.3 14:06

<RussellDaytrade> reworked numbers from previous t, it was 816.65, close enuf, nice when they work out reasonably well...no current setup, just raing long thinkin it has more to go, mostly from view that its shortterm o/s 14:07

<NihabaAshi> Back to back problematic trades via late entries that prevented me from having any wiggle room to stay in the trade...

Good time to call it quits and enjoy a good profitable day.

Take care all and see all tomorrow.

* NihabaAshi is now known as NihabaAshi_away 14:08

<RussellDaytrade> temptation won out..flat...up 1200...more patience might eqaul more pfts, but I still just trading the fkn thing, sometimes. :) 14:31

looks like its just beginning to go, relative to where it may go, given a day or so...we'll see 14:32

my profitablity and trade effeciency are improving, making more with less trades and smaller trade size 14:33

<pat255> vn rd 14:35

<RussellDaytrade> thx pat.

<X> #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY) 14:42

<eminitrader> Shorts ES @ 1492.75 14:49

<Brutus> EMT you got a strong short bias today :)) 14:51

<eminitrader> res level here small stop,,,also last 3 trades were 1 contract ...have size on this one.. 14:52

<Brutus> ic it as long till 1530 or EOD

<eminitrader> expexting a pullback here

no will reverse betn 87-89 if there is a set-up 14:54

buying prssure easing ...shld see some selling pressure now 14:59

<AmazingJason> Shorts ER2 @ 819.40 15:06

<eminitrader> Covered 1/2 ES Short @ 1490.75 --> + 2 15:08

<NihabaAshi_away> Anybody in here having problems logging into http://www.thestrategylab.com

<pat255> niha i have not logged in a while but will try today.. 15:09

<jperl> yes

<NihabaAshi_away> It's down or yes its working?

<jperl> down

<NihabaAshi_away> Thanks 15:10

<RussellDaytrade> excellent pa again today, I have tow targets working...the first smaller is 817.5 or so,with about 8-10 remaining, the second is 814.8, with about 45 remaining. i rate the first as good odds of fulfillemnt, and the second as not so good odds, based on level of percieved oversoldness.

<PapaJon> Niha... its working fine here 15:13

<jperl> up now

<RussellDaytrade> I am most likely doen for day, missed getting shorts on into that delicious spike...may get long again if it goes into the 'dry squirts' mode

hesitating on small target fulfillment, this is about the point for it to make its move down, seems not to wanna do it, ah, there it goes, may not get to 817.5, I will give it a 'b' for effort. 15:19

and I will give myself an 'A' 15:20

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<jperl> ER2 1st StdDev=817.27

2nd StdDev= 819.55

<RussellDaytrade> wow, how high above ddi it get on that spike JP?

<jperl> above the 3rd StdDev 15:21

3rd StdDEv is now 821.84

<RussellDaytrade> sweet, was lookin for that feature on Quotetraker,,,they have vwap, nut no SD. 15:22

<jperl> As far as I know, no one has SD but me

<RussellDaytrade> mkt still firming

you program it yourself?

<jperl> yes 15:23

<RussellDaytrade> good man. perhaps you can put out a '3 SD alert'?

<AmazingJason> Covered 1/2 ER2 Short @ 818 --> + 14.6 15:30

<eminitrader> Covered 1/3 ES Short @ 1489.75 --> + 3

<pat255> vn guys .. 15:31

<AmazingJason> Covered Remainder ER2 Short @ 818.10 --> + 1.3

<eminitrader> thx pat

<AmazingJason> that took incredible patience

<pat255> yes ...my weak point ...got to work on it .. 15:32

especially on er ...

<eminitrader> looks like some to come in the ES ...mean to the downside

Covered Remainder ES Short @ 1490.25 --> + 2.5 15:35

<RussellDaytrade> JP, I'd enjoy seeing that SD cahrt of today. any chance of you posting it? 15:39

<pat255> later guys ty all..

<RussellDaytrade> http://s138.photobucket.com/albums/q277/ RussellDaytrade2/?action=view&current=er 5-1-07.jpg 15:41

my trades today...no activity in the s/o acct

<X> #FuturesTrades Info -> Chat room for realtime trade posting by traders of Emini Futures (ER2, ES, NQ, YM), EuroFX Futures (EC), Eurex Derivatives (DAX, ESTX50), Euronext Futures (FTSE100, CAC40), Treasury Futures (ZF, ZN, ZB), NYMEX Futures (CL, NG, HO, QM) and Exchange Traded Funds (DIA, GLD, IWM, OIH, QQQQ, SPY) 15:51

<Brutus> Nice RD. Looking at the AM trades you were down about 1.1k b4 the last buy. Question is when the heat is on do you Add, hold, fold or freeze, when the money is on the line :)) 15:53

<RussellDaytrade> fuck if I know B, I think with enuf bullets in the acct's, and a reasonable scale-in rate, and a reasonable success at identifying my setups, along with a fairly good mkt feel, I can make it work. :) 15:55

<Brutus> Only one way to find out, any plans ? 15:57

<RussellDaytrade> beleive it or not, that was a reasonable ammount to be down...had had that last buy in place, and hadn't expected it to fill, mkt was climbing, I was off taking daughter to school, and had sells in place above mkt, expecting thwey would fill, in part at least...

got back just as mkt was lifting, up a buck from lows, and happy I gotr that last fill, made a big difference 15:58

<Brutus> OK so you are showing consistant sim profits right, so I'm asking what are your plans, a timeline for targets? 16:00

<RussellDaytrade> making inquiries...think anyone will put an 'ole dog' like me to work trading their capital? :)...

yes, good question, trying to sort that out, you'll be the first to know. 16:01

the second to know. :)

<Brutus> Emotions are the biggest factor RD and hardest thing to master imo, so thats what you need to sim :) 16:04

<RussellDaytrade> btw B, I am, as part and parcel of my current and existing, and prevalent trading style and methods, coming to accept, more and more, that I amy be, and in fact usually will be, incorrect, on my initial entries. it's being also correct, in the final analysis, that I am after. I also believe, and acknowledge, and view as a good thing, that I have much room for improvements 16:07

In a round-about way B, I beginning to think that an aspect of sim trades will help to dampen emotions, somewaht. My hope is to ultimately just do the same things, fairly consistently as I am now, with perhaps improving efficiency, but in general similar. 16:09

<NihabaAshi_away> See all tomorrow and it was another good trading day. 16:17

<RussellDaytrade> good one everyone 16:18

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Exchange Traded Funds DIA, IWM, QQQQ, SPY, OIH, XLE and GLD

NYMEX Energies Light Crude Oil CL, e-miNY QM and Natural Gas NG

COMEX Metals Gold GC

Hang Seng Index Futures HSI

Last of all, if you have any questions about the above blog like commentary, listing of our favorite trader blogs, above realtime posted trades or about the strategy discussion chat rooms associated with our fee-based strategies (#TheStrategyLab and #SwingTradingTSL)...

Don't hesitate to ask your questions and we'll reply back as soon as possible.